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Vonovia SE — Call Transcript 2018
Dec 6, 2018
477_ip_2018-12-06_9488a8a4-49b8-4752-8024-f9ccac53fb5c.pdf
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9M 2018 Earnings CallDecember 6, 2018
Rolf Buch, CEOHelene von Roeder, CFO
| A g |
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| 1. Hig hlig hts |
2. Bu sin dat 3. Ho kee ing 4. Gu ida 20 19 5. Wr 6. Ap nd ix ess up e use p nce ap -up pe |
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| O t i p e r a o n s ( l. Bu ) ex c wo g |
ic h f O 4. 1 % t g t rg an r en ro w o y -o -y O in du d by 9. % l f e l im in in he do b le fro t 4 t o t t t s tr tu p er a g ex p en se s re ce a s a re su a g u co s uc re m lu de d fo he f 6 hs f 2 0 l l a d f f t in t irs t t 1 7 t in ic ie in co nw er c m on o as e s co n ue e nc g a s. r w y d j. io in ( l. ) f ( bp ). A E B I T D A O in 9 1. 3 % 2 3 0 t te + p er a ns m ar g ex c m a na nc e o s y- o- y |
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| F F O 1 ( l. ) Bu ex c wo g |
O f € 8. 2m ( 2. % ) € 3 9. 8m ( 3. % ) i bu b le ha ho l de ( i.e F F 1 7 7 1 7 7 1 7 t tr ta to V N A + + o y -o -y ; a s re rs l. l hy br d d ) tu i in te t a in i t ie ex c p er p e a re s n m or s ( ) d- f- d € 1. 5 0 5. 6 % io N O S H + y -o -y p er e n o p er € 1. 5 5 ( 6. 4 % ) ig h d N O S H te + y -o -y on w e av er ag e |
||||||
| l V i t a a o n u |
d j. ha f f ( lu f fo l ) A N A V € 4 0. 4 7 Se 3 0, 2 0 1 8 io Vo ia io in Q 3 2 0 1 8 t t p er s re o p as o no v a a n o no v p or Va lu h f € 2. 7 € 3. 0 bn ( 6. 6 % 7. 3 % ) im d fo H 2 lu io h ic h l d l t t te t t e g ro w o es a r va a n, w wo u re su - - in 1 3 % lu h fo he fu l l y 2 0 1 8. t t v a e g ro w r ea r ~ d i da f ~ ha fo d 8. A j. N A V € 4 5 2 0 1 g nc e o p er s re ea r-e n u r y |
||||||
| G d 2 0 8 i 1 u a n c e |
da f d. 2 0 1 8 Gu i irm nc e co n e f D P S € 1. 4 4 be d he An l Ge l Me in in Ma 2 0 1 9. to to t t o p ro p os e nu a ne ra e g y |
||||||
| d G i 2 0 1 9 a n c e u d a n n e w f P e o m a n c e r r f 2 0 9 K P I 1 s r o m d o n w a r s |
fo l, lu d d, Sa les d Vo ia te in ts Re ta Va Re in no g en er a s ea rn g s ac ro ss s eg m en n e- a cu g a n v ur : rr lo d fo d l l r d fo h lu l d De t a in i t A j. E B I T D As t p To ta E B I T D A, ve p m en n g o g ar ep or r e ac se g m en s a n rw w Gr F F O ou p Ea in d is i bu io i is im d by € 1 0 0m ( 1 0 % ) fr 2 0 1 8 tr t ty t te to to + rn g s n ca p ac e s a g ro w c a. om 2 0 1 9. |
KPI Growth in spite of Smaller Portfolio and Higher NOSH
-
Business update
-
Housekeeping
-
Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
Rental income slightly up 3.1% on an almost 2% smaller but higher quality portfolio.
- Adjusted EBITDA Operations up 5.9% because of substantially lower operating expenses and higher contribution from the Value-add Business.
- As a result, and supported by lower interest expenses, FFO1 grew by 12.7% (5.6% per share due to the 6.8% increase in NOSH from the May ABB and scrip dividend).
| 9M 20 18 |
9M 20 17 |
De lta |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Av mb of ide nti al era ge nu er res sqm |
`00 0 |
21 79 3 , |
22 134 , |
-1. 5% |
|
| mb of ide nti al its Av era ge nu er res un |
# | 34 0 7, 77 |
35 09 4, 5 |
8% -1. |
|
| h (y- ) Or nic t wt ga ren gro o-y |
% | 4.1 | 3.9 | 0 b +2 ps |
|
| In- lac t ( ) p e r en eo p |
€/m h/s ont qm |
6.4 5 |
6.1 9 |
+4 .2% |
|
| Va e ( ) rat can cy eo p |
% | 2.7 | 2.9 | -20 bp s |
|
| l in Re nta com e |
€m | 1, 28 7.6 |
1, 24 9.4 |
+3 .1% |
+€ 38 .2m |
| Ma int en an ce ex pe nse s |
€m | -20 2.2 |
-19 2.2 |
+5 .2% |
|
| Op tin era g e xp en ses |
€m | 3.4 -17 |
-19 1.3 |
-9. 4% |
|
| Ad tal j. EB ITD A R en |
€m | 91 2.0 |
86 5.9 |
+5 .3% |
+€ 46 .1m |
| Ad j. EB ITD A V alu dd Bu sin e-a ess |
€m | 90 .7 |
76 .0 |
+1 9.3 % |
|
| Ad j. EB ITD A O rat ion pe s |
€m | 97 6.2 |
92 2.1 |
+5 .9% |
+€ 54 .1m |
| Int FFO 1 st ere ex pe nse |
€m | -18 9.2 |
-21 6.5 |
-12 .6% |
|
| Cu FO nt inc e t s F 1 rre om axe |
€m | -8. 8 |
-15 .1 |
.7% -41 |
|
| FFO 1 |
€m | 77 8.2 |
69 0.5 |
+1 2.7 % |
+€ 87 .7m |
| FFO 1 p sha (eo NO SH ) er re p |
€ | 1.5 0 |
1.4 2 |
.6% +5 |
|
| sha (av ) FFO 1 p NO SH er re g. |
€ | 1.5 5 |
1.4 6 |
+6 .4% |
| G h R D t t e n o r w hlig hts 1. Hig |
i e s r v r dat 2. Bu sin ess up |
e | kee 3. Ho ing use p |
4. Gu |
ida 20 19 nce |
5. Wr ap |
-up | nd 6. Ap pe |
ix | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| h dr ive Re nt wt ro rs |
Po i iv t t g s e re n |
h t tra ro w |
j to ec ry |
( Ge rm an |
ly ) y on |
||||||
| g ( las ) t 1 2M |
9 M 2 0 1 8 |
9 M 2 0 1 7 |
l De ta |
20 13 |
20 14 |
20 15 |
20 16 |
20 17 |
20 18 E |
20 19 E |
|
| rke t d riv Ma en |
1.6 % |
1.6 % |
% 1.7 |
% 1.5 |
1.6 % |
||||||
| S i in t t te ts ( inc l. g na n bs i d ize d r ) ts su en |
1. 1 % |
1. 2 % |
-1 0 bp s |
de Mo rni zat ion |
0.4 % |
0.9 % |
1.2 % |
1.8 % |
2.5 % |
||
| le in Ne t t ( h n wi t w g s o l in ) ter ia stm t ma ve en |
0. 4 % |
0. 5 % |
0 bp -1 s |
Sp eat ion ace cr Or nic nt ga re wt h gro |
--- 1.9 % |
--- 2.5 % |
--- 2.9 % |
--- 3.3 % |
0.1 % 4.2 % |
~4 .4% |
~4 .5% |
| Su b l m ke to ta t ar dr iv h t g t en en ro r w |
1. 5 % |
1. 7 % |
-2 0 bp s |
||||||||
| de Mo iza t io rn n ( lu d let inc ing t ing ne w s wi h i t tm ts nv es en ) Op t im ize Ap tm ts ar en |
2. 5 % |
2. 1 % |
4 0 bp + s |
In tm t tra ve s en |
k c re co r |
d ( €m ) |
|||||
| b l l- f- l r Su to ta t en h t g ro w |
0 % 4. |
3. 8 % |
2 0 bp + s |
New Co tion nst ruc rad uild Upg e B ing Opt imi Apa rtm ze |
(in cl. Nei ghb s ent s |
orh ood De vel opm |
) ent |
0 ~1 |
1, 1, 0 0 |
3 0 0 - 6 0 0 |
|
| Sp io t ac e cr ea n |
0. 1 % |
0. 1 % |
-- - |
3 47 |
47 2 |
77 8 |
, | ||||
| Su b l o ic to ta rg an h t g t re n ro w |
% 4. 1 |
3. 9 % |
2 0 bp + s |
71 2 0 1 3 2 |
17 2 0 1 4 |
2 0 1 5 |
2 0 1 6 |
2 0 1 7 |
2 0 1 |
8 E 2 0 |
1 9 E |
9M 2018 Earnings Call
Excluding Buwog and Victoria Park
- Adj. EBITDA Operations is up 5.9% to €976.2m.
- EBITDA Operations margin (excl. maintenance) expanded to 91.3%.
| €m | 9M 20 18 |
9M 20 17 |
lta De |
|---|---|---|---|
| l in Re nta com e |
1, 28 7.6 |
1, 24 9.4 |
+3 .1% |
| Ma int en an ce ex pe nse s |
-20 2.2 |
-19 2.2 |
+5 .2% |
| Op tin era g e xp en ses |
-17 3.4 |
-19 1.3 |
-9. 4% |
| Ad j. EB IT DA Re nta l |
91 2.0 |
86 5.9 |
+5 .3% |
| Inc om e |
1, 00 2.0 |
79 5.4 |
+2 6.0 % |
| of wh ich al ext ern |
12 5.0 |
11 5.1 |
+8 .6% |
| of wh ich al int ern |
87 7.0 |
68 0.3 |
+2 8.9 % |
| Op tin era g e xp en ses |
-91 1.3 |
-71 9.4 |
+2 6.7 % |
| Ad j. EB IT DA Va lue -ad d Bu sin es s |
90 .7 |
76 .0 |
+1 9.3 % |
| 1 Ad j. EB ITD A O the r |
-26 .5 |
-19 .8 |
+3 3.8 % |
| Ad j. ion EB IT DA O rat pe s |
97 6.2 |
92 2.1 |
+5 .9% |
Mainly consolidation
Driven by better operational performance and lower interest expenses, FFO1 was up 12.7% y-o-y or 5.6% per share (eop) on the basis of 6.8% more issued shares.
| €m ( les in d ica d he ise ) te ot un s rw |
9 M 2 0 1 8 |
9 M 2 0 1 7 |
De l ta |
|---|---|---|---|
| A d j. E B I T D A Op ion t er a s |
9 7 6. 2 |
9 2 2. 1 |
5. 9 % |
| O In te t e F F 1 re s xp en se |
-1 8 9. 2 |
-2 1 6. 5 |
-1 2. 6 % |
| Cu O t inc ta F F 1 rre n om e xe s |
-8 8 |
-1 5. 1 |
-4 1. 7 % |
| O F F 1 |
7 7 8. 2 |
6 9 0. 5 |
1 2. 7 % |
| f w h h bu b le 's ha ho l de ic t tr i ta to Vo ia o a no v s re rs |
7 3 9. 8 |
6 5 0. 6 |
1 3. 7 % |
| f w h h bu b le 's l hy br d l ic t tr i ta to Vo ia tu i i ta inv to o a no v p er p e a ca p es rs |
3 0. 0 |
3 0. 0 |
-- |
| f w h ic h i bu b le l l ing in t tr ta to tro te ts o a n on -c on re s |
8. 4 |
9. 9 |
-1 5. 2 % |
| Ca i l ize d in ta te p ma na nc e |
-7 4. 4 |
-5 0. 3 |
4 7. 9 % |
| O A F F |
7 0 3. 8 |
6 4 0. 2 |
9. 9 % |
| d j d Sa les A te E B I T D A us |
8 7. 0 |
8 1. 3 |
7. 0 % |
| Cu inc O 2 t ta F F rre n om e xe s |
-1 0. 8 |
-2 3. 8 |
-5 4. 6 % |
| O 2 F F |
8 5 4. 4 |
7 4 8. 0 |
1 4. 2 % |
| O € / ha ( O S ) ( 9 2 0 8: 8m 9 2 0 8 ) F F 1 N H M 1 5 1 M 1 7: 4 5m s re eo p ; |
1. 5 0 |
1. 4 2 |
5. 6 % |
| O 1 € / ha ( O S ) ( 9 2 0 1 8: 0 2m 9 2 0 1 3m ) F F N H M 5 M 7: 4 7 s re av g. ; |
1. 5 5 |
1. 4 6 |
6. 4 % |
Adj. NAV is up 12.3% ytd or 5.1% per share in spite of 6.8% more issued shares.
| €m (un les ind ted oth ) ica ise s erw |
Se 3 0, p 2 0 1 8 |
De 3 1, c 2 0 17 |
Is A d j. N A V d f h lu t a g o o p r o xy o r e v a e o |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| d iv |
in bu in ? t e rs e o p e r a g s e s s |
|||||
| Eq i i bu b le Vo ia 's ha ho l de ty t tr ta to a no s re rs u v |
1 7, 0 5 2. 6 |
1 5, 0 8 0. 8 |
By | f d in i io he A d j. N A V t t e n, |
||
| fe De d inv ies d ta tm t p t rre xe s o n es en ro p er a n he l d fo le ts as se r s a |
3 6 7, 4. 7 |
6, 8 1 5. 7 |
f le he br k d lu f he ic t t t t re c s a n m or ar v a e o bu l d i in s |
|||
| 1 f f Fa ir lue de iva ive ina ia l ins t tru ts va o nc me n r |
7 0. 5 |
2 6. 9 |
g | |||
| De fe d de iva ive f ina ia l ta t rre xe s o n r nc ins tru ts me n |
-2 0. 7 |
-8 8 |
l ke d he ie t t t a p p s m ar er m s a n a s su m e s " |
|||
| E P R A N A V |
2 4, 4 6 7. 1 |
2 1, 2 8 4. 6 |
d by "a t ie p ro p er s ar e ow ne ny o ne |
|||
| h T |
h is ig a p p ro a no re s c |
|||||
| Go dw i l l o |
-3 4 9 9. 9 , |
-2 6 1 3. 5 , |
he lu d d t Va Bu in e- a s e s s |
|||
| d j. A N A V |
2 0, 9 6 7. 2 |
1 8, 6 7 1. 1 |
2. 3 % 1 + |
he dv d la fo in t t t t t c o s a a n a g e a n o p er a g p rm |
||
| f a fe l o io o p ro na ne s s w r |
||||||
| 2 E P R A N A V € / ha s re |
4 7. 2 3 |
4 3. 8 8 |
he d lo bu in f i t t t ev e p m e n s e s s p ro |
|||
| 2 d j. € / ha A N A V s re |
0. 4 4 7 |
3 8. 9 4 |
5. 1 % + |
he le bu f t in in i t e g e p ro r cu rr s a s s s s |
Adjusted for effects from cross currency swaps. 2 Based on the number of shares on the reporting dates Sep 30, 2018 (518.1m) and Dec 31, 2017 (485.1m).
9M 2018 Earnings Call
Increasingly Diverse Value-add Business with Growing Contribution
-
Business update3. Housekeeping
-
Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
| Co t nc ep |
lu d d d Va N A V e- a an |
|---|---|
| f I i i i t n s o c n g o s e c e s o e n s e m a m m p o c e s s u r r v u r x u r d l. t t t m a n a g e m e n a n c o s c o n r o f b d d l E i i t t i t i x p a n s o n o c o r e u s n e s s o g e n e r a e a o n a f f b l k i b k h l h i d i t e e n e s a n g a c e a e c a n a n o e n g r v u y w v u r h l d d b h d i i i i i t t t t s e r v c e s a w e r e p r e v o u s y p r o v e y r p a r e s ( l f ). i t i t i i n e r n a z a o n o m a r g n f T V l d d B i t o p e s o a e- a s n e s s w y u u 1. l i ( f ) % I t t 7 5 n e n a s a n g s a s m e n c a. r v c r 2. l i ( l i d i i ) E t t t t e n a n o m e e. g. m m e a, s m a m e e n g x r c u r r 2 5 % c a. |
d f 's l d d N A V V i V t t o e s n o a c c o n o o n o a a e- a u r v u B i s n e s s. u 1 l i h i i C C h 2 0 9 A t t t t W A t t 1 E p p y n g e m p a r m e n e s o e d l d d l A j. E B I T D A V B i t t i t a u e- a u s n e s s r a n s a e s n o a n d d l l f ~ h ( f i i € 5. 8 0 1 4 % t t a o n a v a u e o p e r s a r e o n o p o ~ 9 M A d j. N A V ). |
| Pe ion ( % ) ho i de ia l in b l is he d in i ia ive tra t te t ta t t ne s ws u p s p o n es s |
fro La i bu io in l c in ( A d j. E B I T D A ) t c tr t te t s rg es on n m rn a os av g s |
Sales – Steady Cash Flow at Attractive Margins
-
Housekeeping
-
Business update
-
Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
Total sales volume in 9M 2018 was 9,331 residential units (prior-year period: 8,304), of which 1,666 from Recurring Sales (prior-year period: 1,704) and 7,665 Non-core Disposals (prior-year period: 6,600).
- In spite of value growth of the portfolio, Recurring Sales fair value step-ups could still be maintained around 30% for 9M 2018.
- The Non-core Disposals saw a fair value step-up of 16.3% in 9M 2018, driven largely by two block sales, as we are utilizing the high market liquidity to profitably dispose of our Non-core Portfolio.
- The income and fair value figures of the Non-core Disposals for the prior-year period include a substantial amount of commercialproperty sales.
| R E C U R R I N |
G S A L E S |
I S P O S A L S |
T O T A L |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m (un les s in dic d o the ise ) ate rw |
9 M 2 0 1 8 |
9 M 2 0 1 7 |
N 9 M 2 0 1 8 |
9 M 2 0 1 7 |
9 M 2 0 1 8 |
9 M 2 0 1 7 |
| fro d l In isp co me m os a |
2 0 0. 3 |
2 1 4. 4 |
4 1 1. 8 |
7 3 6. 8 |
6 1 2. 1 |
9 5 1. 2 |
| lue f d l Fa ir isp va o os a |
-1 5 3. 7 |
-1 6 1. 6 |
-3 5 4. 1 |
-6 8 8. 5 |
-5 0 7. 8 |
-8 5 0. 1 |
| d f fro d l A j. i isp t p ro m os a |
6. 6 4 |
2. 8 5 |
5 7. 7 |
8. 3 4 |
0 3 1 4. |
0 1 1. 1 |
| Fa ir lue ( % ) te va s p- up |
3 0. 3 % |
3 2. % 7 |
6. 3 % 1 |
0 % 7. |
| Se l l ing ts co s |
-1 7. 3 |
-1 9. 8 |
|---|---|---|
| d j. Sa les A E B I T D A |
8 7. 0 |
8 1. 3 |
LTV Remains in Comfort Zone
-
Business update3. Housekeeping
-
Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
-
LTV as of September 30, 2018 was 45.1%.
- Against the background of the stable cash flows and the strong fundamentals in our portfolio locations we see continued upside potential for our property values, and we do not see material long-term downside risks.
- We therefore continue to believe that the LTV target range of 40% 45% is adequate for our low risk portfolio, and we feel comfortable with this range.
- Based on our internal projections we estimate the year-end LTV to be below 44% and the Debt/EBITDA multiple1 below 12x.
| €m (un les ind ica ted oth ise ) s erw |
Se 3 0, 2 0 1 8 p |
Ju 3 0, 2 0 1 8 n |
Ma 3 1, 2 0 1 8 r |
De 3 1, 2 0 1 7 c |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No de iva ive f ina ia l l ia b i l i ies t t n- r nc |
2 0, 0 5 3. 2 |
1 9, 7 7 4. 6 |
1 8, 8 8 7. 0 |
1 4, 0 6 0. 5 |
| ha f fe Fo ig te ts re n e xc ng e ra e c |
-3 1. 5 |
-2 9. 6 |
8 -1 7. |
-2 3. 5 |
| Ca h d h iva len ts s an ca s eq u |
-5 0 7. 3 |
-8 6 5. 8 |
-8 2 9. 3 |
-2 6 6. 2 |
| de b Ne t t |
9, 1 5 1 4. 4 |
8, 8 9. 2 1 7 |
8, 0 3 9. 9 1 |
3, 0. 8 1 7 7 |
| les b les Sa iva re ce |
-2 7 3. 2 |
-2 3 9. 8 |
-2 3 2. 4 |
-2 0 1. 2 |
| A d j. de b t t ne |
1 9, 2 4 1. 2 |
1 8, 6 3 9. 4 |
1 7, 8 0 7. 5 |
1 3, 5 6 9. 6 |
| Fa ir lue f r l e fo l io ta te t o ea p or va s |
4 1, 9 4 8. 6 |
4 1, 7 3 2. 3 |
3 8, 4 8 5. 6 |
3 3, 4 3 6. 3 |
| S ha he l e in t ta te ies re s o r r ea s co m p an |
3 3. 6 7 |
3 7 4. 5 |
6 6 6. 6 |
6 2. 2 4 |
| d j. fa ir lu f r l e fo l io A ta te t va e o ea s p or |
4 2, 6 8 2. 2 |
4 2, 4 6 6. 8 |
3 9, 1 5 2. 2 |
3 4, 0 7 8. 5 |
| L T V |
% 4 5. 1 |
3. 9 % 4 |
% 4 5. 5 |
3 9. 8 % |
| L T V ( inc l. l hy br i d ) tu p er p e a |
4 7. 5 % |
4 6. 3 % |
4 8. 0 % |
4 2. 8 % |
Adj. net debt average 2018E over Total EBITDA 2018E
Smooth Maturity Profile with Diverse Funding Mix
Average financing cost of debt maturing in the relevant year. 2 Weighted avg. financing costs excl. Equity Hybrid. Including Equity Hybrid, avg. interest rate of debt maturing in 2021 is 3.4%. 3 excl. Equity Hybrid.excl. Buwog Squeeze Out. 5 LTM EBITDA/LTM interest expense.
| 1. Hig hlig hts 2. Bu sin dat ess up e |
3. Ho kee ing use p |
4. Gu ida 20 19 5. Wr nce ap -up |
6. Ap nd ix pe |
|---|---|---|---|
| ls 2 0 1 7 Ac tu a |
i da ( fr ) 2 0 1 8 Gu Au nc e om g. Inc l. 9 ths Bu & 6 m on wo g |
in l i da F 2 0 1 8 Gu a nc e ths Vic ia Par k tor m on |
|
| Or ic h ( ) t g t g an re n ro w eo p |
4. 2 % |
1 ~4 4 % |
1 ~4 4 % |
| Va ( ) ca nc y eo p |
2. 5 % |
2. 5 % < |
2. 5 % < |
| l ( ) Re ta In €m n co me |
1, 6 6 7. 9 |
1, 8 9 0 1, 9 1 0 – |
1, 8 9 0 1, 9 1 0 – |
| F F O 1 ( €m ) |
9 2 0. 8 |
1, 0 5 0 1, 0 7 0 – |
1, 0 5 0 1, 0 7 0 – |
| ( / ha ) F F O 1 € s re eo p , |
9 0 1. |
2. 0 3 2. 0 7 – |
2. 0 3 2. 0 7 – |
| Ma in ( €m ) te na nc e |
3 4 6. 2 |
~4 1 0 |
~4 1 0 |
| de & ( €m ) Mo iza t ion In tm ts rn ve s en |
8. 6 7 7 |
0 0 0 ~1 , |
0 0 0 ~1 , |
| f u Re ing Sa les ( be i ) ts cu nu m r o n rr |
2, 6 0 8 |
~2 8 0 0 , |
~2 8 0 0 , |
| ( Sa les ) F V te Re ing s p- up cu rr |
3 2. 7 % |
3 0 % 3 % 5 - |
~3 % 5 |
| d ls ( be f u ) No isp i ts n- co re os a nu m r o n |
1 1, 7 8 0 |
to 1 4, 0 0 0 up |
~1 3, 0 0 0 |
| ( Se l l fo l io ) F V te Po t s p- up r |
9 % 7. |
1 0 % 1 % 5 - |
2 0 % > |
| de d / ha D iv i € n s re |
3 2 1. |
f ~7 0 % F F O 1 o |
2 1. 4 4 |
| E P R A N A V ( € / ha ) re s |
4 3. 8 8 |
/ n a |
~5 2 |
| d ( / ha ) A j. N A V € s re |
8. 3 4 9 |
/ n a |
~4 5 |
| Un de ly ing be f s ha ( i l l ion ) r n um r o re s m |
4 8 5. 1 |
5 1 8. 1 |
5 1 8. 1 |
2018 Guidance Confirmed
1 Vonovia stand-alone. 2To be proposed to the 2019 AGM and based on current number of shares outstanding.
European Activities Update Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 2017 2018 Researching and understanding European housing marketsFirst (minor) exposure to non-German resi portfolio via conwert tender offer Rolf Buch is appointed to D. Carnegie BoardSigning of MoU with CDC Habitat (formerly SNI)Tender offer for BuwogTender offer for Victoria Park (14k units)Acquisition of 10% stake in a 4,000 unit portfolio sold by French SNCFCautious step-by-step approach to minimize risk. Currently ca. 10% of the portfolio are located outside Germany. We will continue to monitor the German market and our defined European target markets for accretive acquisition opportunities.Germany is expected to remain the dominant market also in the foreseeable future. No specific target rate or ratios in terms of German vs. non-German exposure but highly opportunistic approach as is the case for our German M&A activities. 2. Business update 3. Housekeeping4. Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
| Au ia str ( la b le bu ine ) ru n a sc a s ss |
Sw de e n ( in fo ) ma cu s |
Fra nc e ( b ig lon ia l ) t te ot t g es g- rm p en |
T he N he lan ds et r ( ive le ) ct no a ro |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| f As % a o l p fo lio tot ort a |
~6 % |
~4 % |
fu No nin l t m ea g |
0 % |
| Ne xt ste p s |
Gr du l a ion vi • t r ota t a a sse a les f m rin atu ts rec ur g sa o re as se d de lop f n nt ts an ve me o ew as se lar de in im i nit a s m ag u la b le bu • Ru t ing ine n s ca op era s ss l low • Fo t ive is it ion ac cre ac q u it ies ort op p un o n a n ist ic ba is ort op p un s |
• Pu ret ive is it ion rsu e a cc ac q u it ies ort op p un o n a n ba ort ist ic is op p un s d d via ien d • A Vo no ex p er ce an ki l l s d u k a et V ict ia Pa s an se or r s lat for fur he in to t a p m r g row he d h r de l m ke t S is i nt ia t we es ar d • De tra te mo ns su cce ss an ina b i lity f V ia sta su o on ov bu de l to ho lso ine it a s ss mo s w ks i de f G ts wo r ou o er ma ny |
lize ke Ut i 1 0 % sta in S NC F • fo lio in fou d ort to p g a mo re p ro n de d f t he ke rst ing t un an o m ar feg d p le d • Sa it ion ua r o p os a n fir dv for st- tag mo ve r a an e l o f s l ote nt ia ing ia p p en o oc ho ing ia l to us co mm erc hip ow ne rs • Pu ret ive is it ion rsu e a cc ac q u it ies ort op p un o n a n ist ic ba is i f a d w he ort op p un s n n leg lat ha d a l low is ion c ng es an s he f e mi t t o p ay ou co no c d de ds fro l ho ivi ia ing n m so c us |
Co inu ke h • nt t r e m ar es ea rc Be d for ive • t p rep are ac cre is it ion ort it ies ac q u o p p un o n a n ist ic ba is ort op p un s |
page 16Update Integration Buwog and Victoria Park Victoria ParkVonovia exercises control via its seats on the Board and sets the parameters within which Vonovia Park is expected to continue its successful track record.No operational integration of Victoria Park, in contrast to all previous acquisitions.Victoria Park is to serve as the nucleus in Sweden from which we try to build a scalable business model, grow in the Swedish residential market and aim to prove that the Vonovia business model also works in markets outside of but similar to Germany.EBITDA Interest + taxes Pro forma FFO 1Operations BuwogFFO 1 VNA stand-aloneBuwog2019 pro forma accretion analysis (actual financing)50% debt + 50% equity financing as per acquisition criteria (FY2019E) 492.1mshares543.0mshares€2.06p.s.€2.06€2.08p.s.Buwog squeeze out effective as of Nov 16, 2018; 100% of Buwog shares now owned by Vonovia.Integration of Buwog Rental Business Germany fully on track and to be completed by year end, as expected. Combination of conwert assets with Buwog assets in Austria fully on track and to be managed on our SAP platform by mid 2019, as expected. this will also serve as a blueprint for potential future integrations outside of Germany.Development business to be transferred onto our platform by mid 2019.Of the €30m synergies announced with the transaction, €5m will be realized in 2018, another €20m in 2019 and the remainder in 2020.FFO 1 VNA stand-aloneEBITDA Operations VP Interest + taxes Pro forma FFO 1 50% debt + 50% equity financing as per acquisition criteria (FY2019E) 492.1mshares514.1mshares2.06p.s.€2.07€2.09p.s.FFO 1 VNA stand-alone EBITDA Operations Buwog EBITDA Operations VP Interest + taxes Pro forma FFO 1492.1mshares518.1mshares€2.06 p.s.€2.14-€2.18 p.s. 2. Business update 3. Housekeeping4. Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
9M 2018 Earnings Call
Update on German Rental Regulation
-
Business update
-
Housekeeping
-
Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
"Mietrechtsanpassungsgesetz" (legislation passed by German parliament on Nov 29, 2018)
| Re la io t g u n |
Im t p ac |
|---|---|
| de iza io l lo io be du d fro 1 1 % 8 % f he Mo t t to to t rn n a ca n r e ce m o l p la h ha l l a ly in tm t a t. Co tra to in i t ia t is to ve en m ou n n ns p p s ry s , l l ho in ke j ho ha de f in d "t ig h ts t t t t t a t a us g m ar no us se re e as , ho ke " in ts us g m ar |
ia i l l o f c ho he 8 % hr ho l d, j he Vo t t t a t no v w ou rs e no r n ew es us s hr ho l d ha lw be ho d. fe de 1 1 % t As es en no re er up g s a ay s v y w ra bu i l d in de iza io ha 8 % f he in t t t tm t g m o rn ns s aw m or e n o ve s en be l lo d f he l r he f t to te to t t, t im t o am ou n a ca on p o a nn ua en p ac h ha he la d be l. is in io is im ia t t t te to te c ng e re g u n ex p ec m a r |
| l low de bs lu f Fo in iza io t te g a m o rn n, a n a o c ap o € 2 / h fo i h f € 7 / t g t tm ts t t o < sq m re n ro w r a p ar en w a re n sq m • he de d io to t iza t io p m o rn n an r r fo f € 3 / h i h € 7 / t g t tm ts t t o > sq m re n ro w r a p ar en w a re n sq m • he de io to t iza t io p m o rn n r r |
ha d l f / h Vo ia i i € 2 t te ts to t g t no v s co m m e a sq m re n ro w ca p fo l low in l l u de bu i l d in de iza io fo 2 0 1 9 d t g a p g ra g m o rn ns r an f he f f 2 0 2 0. As t ic ie a c on se q ue nc e, s om e o e ne rg e nc y y fro de iza io l l p ip l in i l l n be t t o m o rn ns m o ur o ve ra e e w ow p u n ho l d d he fu ds l l be d d ds t i ire te to t im ize an n e c wa m or e op w r r de de lo iza io io tm t m t t t- to ap ar en o rn ns sp ac e cr ea n, ve p m en , ho l d j d in in Sw de ts tm ts p ro ec a n ve s en e n. |
| f r Fu he ig h in La d lo ds ire d t t te t c to r r n g o en ap : n r a re r eq u à- d lo he he f he isc t io t v is- is t te t i t t se p re us en n ew na n wa n v r v y he ha bo he lo l 1 0 % to t t t a t m t t s e n ew re n or e n a ve ca b le t. co m p ar a re n |
Vo ia ha lw be bo he io tra t a t t t no v s a ay s en ns p ar en u p re v us r en lev l a d d l h h la l l t in ia i t t is t io i e n ou r c on ue co m p nc e re g n w u w ha he bu im in t o t ve n o p ac n s es s. |
Evolution of Modernization and New Construction Investments
-
Housekeeping
-
Business update
The supply/demand imbalance in urban areas and the conflict between the need for energy efficiency modernization of Germany's housing stock and affordability of rents have given rise to an intense political and public discussion.
- Vonovia's investment volume 2019 brings a reduction of Upgrade Building volumes as the focus shifts from energy efficiency to affordability for parts of our customer base. We respect that there is growing resistance among parts of our customer base when it comes to energy efficient modernizations. That is why we have committed ourselves to only do upgrade building modernizations with a maximum rent growth of €2/sqmfor the 2019 and 2020 modernization programs.
- At the same time, we are increasing our investments into Optimize Apartment, Space Creation and Development to Hold. As the market leader, Vonovia clearly acknowledges its responsibility and continues its efforts to be part of the solution when it comes to providing affordable, adequate and modern buildings and apartments. So while we will be reducing the investment volume of energy efficient modernizations we will be increasing our investments into other parts of the investment program including new construction and portfolio investments in Sweden so that the overall impact is not expected to be material.
1 Historic range. 2 CAGR since 2013 fair value uplift through performance and investments (excluding yield compression).
- In contrast to opportunistic sales, portfolio clean-up sales or large asset sales known from other sectors, recurring sales ("privatization") are a robust and granular sales channel that has delivered very stable volumes above 2k units p.a. over the last 10 years with an average annual volume of 2.7k (after an initial ramp-up phase of two years).
- We currently have ca. 29k units (excl. Buwog) that are eligible1 for recurring sales.
Including all units that have been legally prepared for retail sales by way of separate land register entries. 2 2013-2017 including Buwog recurring sales.
| E F r |
l f h i t t v o u o n o e h k L P t e s o o a e |
B i u s n e s f r o r m a n |
d d A s a n M i t c e e r |
d l i i t o n a c s |
R e v e n u e |
S t r e a m |
R i s e q u r e |
a | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Hig hlig hts |
2. Bu sin dat ess up e |
3. | Ho kee ing use p |
4. Gu ida |
20 19 nce |
5. Wr ap -up |
6. Ap nd ix pe |
||
| T he bu in ha bs s es s s su he fu l l r i de t ac ro ss es n |
ia l ly ta t n ev o ia l r l e t ta ea s |
lve d in he t s ce l i fe le te c y c o |
I P O in 2 0 1 3 f o ts ur a ss e a |
d da to an y en d j t t r n no us |
co m p as se s va l r ta en ev en ue |
lu io t e cr ea n s. |
W ca se |
hy d in te t a ta re s n xe s be d los d isc t nn o e p er t g m en |
|
| he As t a c on se q ue nc e, h, h- f low t g ro w c as g en Go in fo d i l l g rw ar we w |
d In te t a ta re s n x im iza ion ha t t op p p en s lev l te on or p or e a c a d h t w i t in an no |
||||||||
| l, lu d d, Re ta Va De n e- a |
d du l s in iv i ts a eg m en d In te t a ta re s n xe s a re f he ke t p t o t no ar y fo d in ica to p er rm an ce rs do F ina ing is nc ne o n a lev l ( h te co rp or a e ca s l ing ), de le d p oo co up fro he lev l; t t m a ss e e l loc l d ion t |
||||||||
| A Gr |
Re ve nu es Co ts s d j. E B I T D A In te t re s Ta xe s Co l i da io t ns o n F F O ou p |
an ou y a a w be b he i tra t a r ry a s de b d in t a te t r te n re s a is l in ke d t to no a t se g m en l e Le i ies t t t g a n c an no be lea ly l loc d te to c r a a i f ic t on e sp ec se g m en bu t o te p er a a cr os s ts se g m en d by Ta inc xe s a re re ur leg l e t i t ies t a n no , ts se g m en |
| l d i i G i I t n a a n u |
2 0 1 9 N c e e w – |
S t t c e r u u r |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hlig hts 1. Hig |
2. dat Bu sin ess up e |
3. kee Ho ing use p |
Gu ida 20 19 4. nce |
5. Wr ap -up |
6. nd Ap ix pe |
| i ia l 2 0 1 9 Gu i da In t nc e |
2 0 1 8 y- o- y vs |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| Or h ( ) ic t g t g an re n ro w eo p |
% ~4 4 |
||
| l ( ) Re In €m ta n co me |
2, 0 2 0 2, 0 7 0 – |
||
| ing Sa les ( f u i ) Re # ts cu rr o n |
~2 0 0 5 , |
||
| les F V te Re ing Sa s p- up cu rr |
~3 0 % |
||
| l ( ) To E B I T D A €m ta |
1, 6 5 0 1, 7 0 0 – |
||
| Gr O ( €m ) F F ou p |
0 9 0 1, 1 4 1, 1 – |
||
| ( / ha ) Gr F F O € ou p s re |
2. 2 0 2. 3 0 – |
||
| D iv i de d € / ha n s re |
~7 0 % f Gr F F O o ou p |
||
| de & Co ( €m ) Mo iza t ion Ne tru t ion rn w ns c |
3 0 0 6 0 0 1, 1, - |
||
| de ly be f s ha ( l l ) Un ing i ion n um r o re s m r |
5 1 8. 1 |
- Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
Operating business continues on its strong trajectory.
Investment volume grows and sees a shift towards more new construction, reflecting Vonovia's ambition to be part of the solution.
Market fundamentals remain attractive as evidenced by H2 valuation estimate.
New performance indicators better reflect Vonovia's full earnings growth, cash-flow generation and value creation potential.
IR Contact & Financial Calendar
-
Business update
-
Housekeeping
-
Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
Rene HoffmannHead of Investor RelationsVonovia SEUniversitätsstraße 13344803 BochumGermany
+49 234 314 [email protected]@vonovia.dewww.vonovia.de
| C t t o n a c |
F i i l C l d n a n c a a e n a r |
|
|---|---|---|
| De 7- 1 3 c |
Ro ds ho Eu ( Zu ic h, Pa is, Lo do Am da ) te a ro p e n n, s m w r r r |
|
| De 1 2 c |
E P R A Co Ac Da Lo do te rp or a ce ss y, n n |
|
| 8 De 1 7- 1 c |
ds ho Ca da Ro a w na |
|
| 2 0 9 Ja 1 4- 1 5, 1 n |
Ge Se C In tm t ina N Y rm an ve s en m r, |
|
| Ja 1 6, 2 0 1 9 n |
ds ho Ma t Ro U S A na g em en a w, |
|
| Ja 2 1, 2 0 1 9 n |
ler he fe k fu Ke C Ge Co Co Fr te t p re rm an rp or a n re nc e, an uv ux r |
|
| Ja 3 1, 2 0 1 9 n |
1 Ba k ha La Ge Eq i Fo ( Lo do ) ty n us m p e rm an m n n u ru |
|
| Fe b 3- 4, 2 0 1 9 |
1 Ro ds ho Te l Av iv ( Is l ) a w ra e |
|
| 2 0 9 Ma 7, 1 r |
2 0 8 l F Y 1 Re ts su |
|
| Ap 3, 2 0 1 9 r |
k ha h lan d ko fe de de Ba La De ts Ba Ba n us m p e u c n re nz n- n , |
|
| Ma 7, 2 0 1 9 y |
im l In te ts 3 M 2 0 1 9 r re su |
|
| Ma 1 6, 2 0 1 9 y |
An l Ge l Me ing t nu a ne ra e |
|
| Ju 4- 5, 2 0 1 9 n |
Ca i l Ma ke Da ta ts p r y |
|
| 6, 2 0 1 9 Ju n |
d l in Co fe l in B Ac Be Be ce ss r n re nc e, r |
|
| 2, 2 0 9 Ju 1 1 n |
ba C O Co fe Ex B N P Pa i Eu E Pa is an e r s ro p ea n n re nc e, r |
|
| Au 2, 2 0 1 9 g |
im l In te ts 6 M 2 0 1 9 r re su |
|
| No 5, 2 0 1 9 v |
im l In te ts 9 M 2 0 1 9 r re su |
|
| d A i p p e n |
x | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Hig hlig |
hts 2. Bu sin dat ess up e |
3. Ho kee ing use p |
4. Gu ida 20 19 nce |
5. Wr ap -up |
6. Ap nd ix pe |
| P a g e s |
C t t o n e n |
||||
| 2 8- 3 6 |
9 l d d l M Re t A i t io Da t su s na a – |
||||
| 3 7- 3 9 |
In C S d ie t t tu ve s m e n a s e s |
||||
| 4 0- 4 4 |
F in in a nc g |
||||
| 6 4 5- 4 |
Ac is i t io q ns u |
||||
| 4 7 |
ha S C tr t t a e g y r |
||||
| 4 8 |
lu lu Fa ir Va Ev io t e p er s q m o n |
||||
| 9 4 |
fo l io lu io Po t Ev t o n r |
||||
| 5 0- 5 2 |
ha Vo ia S no v re s |
||||
| 5 3- 5 6 |
d l ke Re i ia Ma Da t t t s e n r a |
||||
| 5 7 |
C la io b G No t tw or re n e e e n er |
i d ia l ie l d Re t Y m a n s e n |
d In t t Ra t s a n er e s e s |
||
| 5 8 |
hr f T La Pe io t e e y er s o rc e p n |
||||
| 5 9- 6 1 |
Ma C io t t na g e m e n o m p e ns a n |
||||
| 6 2- 6 6 |
ic P tu re s |
||||
| 6 7 |
la D is im c er |
| f l S O R i i i I F R P i F F t t t e o n o n o o c c a r |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| hlig hts dat kee 1. Hig 2. Bu sin 3. Ho ing ess up e use p |
ida 4. Gu 20 19 nce |
5. Wr ap -up |
nd 6. Ap ix pe |
| ( les d d o he ) €m in ica te t ise un s rw |
9M 2 0 1 8 |
9M 2 0 17 |
lta De |
| * IF RS P R O FI T F O R T HE P ER I O D |
1, 3 9 9. 0 |
1, 2 0 5. 2 |
1 6. 1 % |
| 1 l r lt Fin ia an c es u |
2 9 6. 5 |
21 8. 2 |
3 5. 9 % |
| Inc * e t om ax es |
7 2 8. 8 |
6 6 3. 8 |
9. 8 % |
| De iat ion d a iza ion * rt t p rec an mo |
3 8 7. |
2 3. 0 |
6 4. 3 % |
| fro fa lue d f in * Inc ir v j tm ts stm t p ert ies om e m a a us en o ve en rop |
-1 3 8 6. 7 , |
-1 1 6 4.7 , |
1 9. 1 % |
| RS * EB IT DA IF = |
1, 0 75 .4 |
94 5. 5 |
3. 1 7 % |
| A d j. EB IT DA BU W O G |
-9 8 1. |
- | - |
| * No rin ite n- rec ur g ms |
9 3. 8 |
75 9 |
2 3. 6 % |
| To l p io d a d j fro he l d for le ta tm ts ts er us en m as se sa |
-0 2 |
0 -5 |
-9 6. 0 % |
| Fin ia l in fro inv in he l e ies tm ts ot sta te an c co me m es en ea co mp an r r |
-1 4. 0 |
-1 3. 0 |
7.7 % |
| AD JU ST ED E BI TD A = |
1, 0 6 3. 2 |
1, 0 0 3. 4 |
6. 0 % |
| d j d S les A te EB IT DA us a |
-8 7. 0 |
-8 1. 3 |
7. 0 % |
| AD JU ST ED E BI TD A O PE RA TI O NS = |
97 6. 2 |
9 2 2. 1 |
5. 9 % |
| 2 FF O int st ere ex p en se |
-1 8 9. 2 |
-2 1 6. 5 |
-1 2. 6 % |
| Cu O nt inc e t FF 1 rre om ax es |
-8 8 |
-1 5. 1 |
-4 1.7 % |
| FF O 1 = |
77 8. 2 |
6 9 0. 5 |
2. % 1 7 |
| Ca ita lize d m int p a en an ce |
-7 4.4 |
0. 3 -5 |
47 9 % |
| AF F O = |
7 0 3. 8 |
6 4 0. 2 |
9. 9 % |
| Cu inc S les nt e t rre om ax es a |
-1 0. 8 |
-2 3. 8 |
6 % -5 4. |
| FF O 2 ( FF O 1 inc l. A d j d EB IT DA S les / Cu inc te nt e t us a rre om ax es les ) Sa |
8 5 4. 4 |
74 8. 0 |
14 2 % |
| O 1 p ha in ( O SH ) FF N er s re eo |
1.5 0 |
1.4 2 |
5. 5 % |
| € p AF F O ha in € ( N O SH ) p er s re eo p |
3 6 1. |
3 2 1. |
2. 9 % |
| Nu be f s ha ( mi l lio ) m r o res n eo p |
5 1 8. 1 |
4 8 5. 1 |
6. 8 % |
All values excluding Buwog except figures marked with *. 1 Excluding income from investments. 2 Including financial income from investments in other real estate companies.
| S & I F R P L |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| hlig hts 2. dat 3. kee 1. Hig Bu sin Ho ing ess up e use p |
ida 20 19 4. Gu nce |
5. Wr ap -up |
nd 6. Ap ix pe |
| €m ( les in d ica d o he ise ) te t un s rw |
9M 2 0 1 8 |
9M 2 0 17 |
De lta |
| fro let Inc ert t ing om e m p rop y |
1, 95 4. 8 |
1, 75 3. 9 |
11 .5 % |
| fro Ot he r in ert t co me m p rop y ma na g em en |
3 9.7 |
3 4. 0 |
1 6. 8 % |
| In fro ty t co me m p ro p er m an ag em en |
1, 9 94 .5 |
1, 7 8 7. 9 |
11 6 % |
| Inc fro d isp l o f p ies ert om e m os a rop |
6 7 3. 6 |
95 1. 2 |
-2 9. 2 % |
| Ca f p l d ing nt ert ies am ou o rop so rry |
-5 9 2. 6 |
-9 0 5. 6 |
-3 6 % 4. |
| lua f a he l d for le Re t ion ts va o sse sa |
4 8. 0 |
6 0. 5 |
-2 0. % 7 |
| Pr f it d isp l o f p ies t o on os a ro p er |
1 2 9. 0 |
1 0 6. 1 |
21 6 % |
| fro he d l f p ( lop ) Inc t isp ert ies De nt om e m os a o rop ve me |
1 2 2. 9 |
- | - |
| f s l d Co st ert ies o o p rop |
-1 0 7. 8 |
- | - |
| f it he d isp l f p ies ( lop ) Pr t t De nt o on os a o ro p er ve me |
15 .1 |
- | - |
| Ne inc fro fa ir lue d j f inv ies t tm ts tm t p t om e m va a us en o es en ro p er |
1, 3 8 6. 7 |
1, 1 6 4.7 |
1 9. 1 % |
| Ca ita lize d int l e p er na xp en se s |
3 3. 3 4 |
3 2 6. 8 |
3 2. 6 % |
| Co f m ria ls st ate o |
-9 9 3. 4 |
-8 6 6. 8 |
14 6 % |
| Pe l e rso nn e xp en se s |
-3 6 0. 5 |
-3 0 7. 1 |
17 .4 % |
| iat ion d a iza ion De rt t p rec an mo |
-3 7. 8 |
-2 3. 0 |
6 3 % 4. |
| he Ot t ing in r o p era co me |
8 7.4 |
75 8 |
15 3 % |
| Ot he ing t r o p era ex p en se s |
-2 5 2. 0 |
-1 9 6. 7 |
2 8. 1 % |
| Fin ia l in an c co me |
27 3 |
4 6. 2 |
-4 0. 9 % |
| Fin ia l e an c xp en se s |
-3 0 1. 9 |
-2 44 9 |
2 3. 3 % |
| Ea ing be fo ta rn s re xe s |
2, 1 27 8 |
1, 8 6 9. 0 |
1 3. 8 % |
| Inc e t om ax es |
2 8. 8 -7 |
-6 6 3. 8 |
9. 8 % |
| f it fo he io d Pr r t o p er |
3 9 9. 0 1, |
2 0 2 1, 5. |
1 6. 1 % |
| bu b le At tr i ta to : |
|||
| 's ha ho l de Vo via no re s rs |
3 2 3. 1, 1 |
6 1, 11 7. |
8. % 1 4 |
| via 's hy br i d c ita l in Vo sto no ap ve rs |
2 2.4 |
2 2.4 |
0. 0 % |
| l lin No tro int sts n-c on g ere |
3. 5 5 |
6 2 5. |
9 % -1 7. |
| ing ha ( ba ic d d i lut d ) in Ea € rn s p er s re s an e |
2. 6 4 |
2. 3 6 |
11 9 % |
| l h ( / l ) S S 1 2 I F R B t T t A t a a n c e e e o a s s e s – |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hig hlig hts 2. sin dat 3. kee ing 1. Bu Ho ess up e use p |
Gu ida 20 19 4. 5. nce |
Wr ap -up |
6. nd ix Ap pe |
|
| €m | 3 0, 2 0 8 Se 1 p |
3 2 0 De 1, 17 c |
lta De |
|
| As ts se |
||||
| b le Int i ts an g as se |
3, 6 0 1.1 |
2, 6 3 7. 1 |
3 6. 6 % |
|
| Pro lan d e ip ert t a nt p y, p n q u me |
2 3 7. 9 |
17 7. 6 |
3 4. 0 % |
|
| Inv tm t p ert ies es en rop |
41 2 6 5. 0 , |
3 3, 1 8 2. 8 |
24 .4 % |
|
| l a Fin ia ts an c sse |
8 2 3. 5 |
6 9 8. 0 |
1 8. 0 % |
|
| Ot he ts r a sse |
1 8. 4 |
1 3. 8 |
3 3. 3 % |
|
| fer d t De ts re ax as se |
1 0. 4 |
1 0. 3 |
1. 0 % |
|
| l n To ta nt et on -c ur re a ss s |
45 95 6. 3 , |
3 6, 71 9. 6 |
25 2 % |
|
| Inv to rie en s |
8. 8 |
6. 2 |
41 9 % |
|
| Tr de iva b les a re ce |
3 4 4. 5 |
2 3 9 4. |
8 0 % 5. |
|
| l a Fin ia ts an c sse |
5. 6 |
0. 5 |
>1 0 0 % |
|
| Ot he ts r a sse |
1 6 5. 7 |
9 8. 4 |
6 8. 4 % |
|
| b les Inc e t iva om ax re ce |
3. 8 4 |
9 47 |
-8 6 % |
|
| h a d c h e len Ca iva ts s n as q u |
5 0 7. 3 |
2 6 6. 2 |
9 0. 6 % |
|
| Re l e inv rie sta te to a en s |
2 9 9. 8 |
--- | --- | |
| he l d for le As ts se sa |
11 8. 6 |
14 2. 6 |
-1 6. 8 % |
|
| To ta l c nt et ur re a ss s |
1, 5 8 4. 1 |
7 9 6. 7 |
9 8. 8 % |
|
| To l a ta et ss s |
47 5 4 0. 4 , |
3 7, 5 1 6. 3 |
2 6. 7 % |
| l h ( / l d b l ) I F R S B S 2 2 T E i L i i i i t t t t a a n c e e e o a q a n a e s u y – |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Hig hlig hts 2. Bu sin dat 3. Ho kee ing 4. Gu ida 20 19 ess up e use p nce |
5. Wr ap |
-up | 6. Ap nd ix pe |
||
| €m | 3 0, 2 0 8 Se 1 p |
3 2 0 De 1, 17 c |
lta De |
||
| Eq ity d l ia b i l it ies u a n |
|||||
| bs be d c l Su i ita cr ap |
8. 5 1 1 |
8 4 5. 1 |
6. 8 % |
||
| Ca ita l re p se rve s |
7, 1 8 1. 8 |
5, 9 6 6. 3 |
2 0. 4 % |
||
| Re ine d e nin ta ar g s |
9, 1 0 0. 8 |
8, 47 1. 6 |
7.4 % |
||
| Ot he r r es erv es |
25 1. 9 |
15 7. 8 |
5 9. 6 % |
||
| To ta l e ity at tr i bu ta b le to V ia 's ha ho l de q u on ov s re rs |
17 0 5 2. 6 , |
15 0 8 0. 8 , |
1 3. 1 % |
||
| Eq ity i bu b le hy br i d c ita l in at tr ta to sto ap ve rs u |
0 3 1, 1.5 |
0 0 6 1, 1. |
3. 0 % |
||
| l e ity i bu b le ia 's ha ho l de d hy br i d c ita l inv To ta at tr ta to V to q u on ov s re rs an ap es rs |
8, 8 1 0 4. 1 |
8 1 6, 0 2.4 |
1 2.4 % |
||
| No l lin int tro sts n-c on g ere |
1, 0 1 6. 3 |
6 0 8. 8 |
6 6. 9 % |
||
| To l e ity ta q u |
9, 0 0. 1 1 4 |
6, 6 9 2 1 1. |
% 14 .4 |
||
| Pro vis ion s |
5 94 3 |
6 0 7. 2 |
-2 .1 % |
||
| Tr de b les a p ay a |
1. 0 |
2.4 | -5 8. 3 % |
||
| de fin l lia b lit No riv at ive ia i ies n an c |
17 75 5. 6 , |
1 2, 45 9.4 |
4 2.5 % |
||
| De riv at ive s |
5 4.7 |
8. 7 |
>1 0 0 % |
||
| Lia b i lit ies fro fin lea m an ce se s |
94 .4 |
94 .7 |
-0 3 % |
||
| Lia b i lit ies l lin int to tro sts no n-c on g ere |
3 8 1. |
24 9 |
27 % .7 |
||
| l lia b lit fro fin Fin ia i ies ten t ing an c m an an c |
5 4. 5 |
--- | --- | ||
| Ot he lia b i lit ies r |
3 47 |
6 3 5. |
-2 6 % 7. |
||
| fer d t lia b lit De i ies re ax |
6, 44 4. 0 |
5, 3 2 2. 6 |
21 .1 % |
||
| To l n l ia b i l it ies ta nt on -c ur re |
25 0 77 6 , |
1 8, 5 8 5. 2 |
3 4. 9 % |
||
| vis ion Pro s |
4 3 4.7 |
3 7 6. 5 |
15 .5 % |
||
| de b les Tr a p ay a |
21 2.4 |
1 3 0. 7 |
6 2.5 % |
||
| fin No de riv ive ia l lia b i lit ies at n an c |
2, 2 97 6 |
1, 6 0 1.1 |
4 3. 5 % |
||
| De riv ive at s |
9 41 |
4.4 | 0 0 % >1 |
||
| b lit fro fin lea Lia i ies m an ce se s |
4. 9 |
4. 6 |
6. 5 % |
||
| Lia b i lit ies l lin int to tro sts no n-c on g ere |
6. 7 |
9. 0 |
-2 5. 6 % |
||
| lia b lit fro fin Fin ia i ies ten an c an an c |
0 9 1 4. |
7.7 | 0 0 % >1 |
||
| l t ing m he lia b lit Ot i ies r |
25 9. 3 |
1 0 5. 9 |
>1 0 0 % |
||
| To l c l ia b i l it ies ta nt ur re |
3, 3 6 2.4 |
2, 2 3 9. 9 |
5 0. 1 % |
||
| l l ia b i l it ies To ta |
8, 2 44 0. 0 |
8 2 0, 25 .1 |
3 6. 6 % |
||
| To l e ity d l ia b i l it ies ta q u a n |
47 5 4 0. 4 , |
3 7, 5 1 6. 3 |
2 6. 7 % |
9M 2018 Earnings Call
| h l I F R S C F a s o w 1. Hig hlig hts 2. sin dat 3. kee ing Gu ida Bu Ho 4. ess up e use p |
20 19 5. nce |
Wr ap -up |
6. nd ix Ap pe |
|---|---|---|---|
| €m | 9 0 8 M 2 1 |
9 0 M 2 1 7 |
l D t e a |
| h f lo fr C t in t iv i t ie a s w o m o p er a g a c s |
8 7 6. 0 |
7 1 9. 0 |
2 1. 8 % |
| h f lo fr C in in iv i ie t t t a s w o m ve s g a c s |
-3 8 7 1. 1 , |
6 2 -1 1 5. , |
0 0 % 1 > |
| h f lo fr f C in in t iv i t ie a s w o m a nc g a c s |
3, 1 4 6. 2 |
-7 5 4. 8 |
1 0 0 % >- |
| h in h d h iv l N t t e c a ng e s c a s a n c a s e q u a e n s |
2 4 1. 1 |
-1 2 0 1. 0 , |
1 0 0 % >- |
| C h d h iv le he b in in f he io d t t t t a s a n c a s e q a n s a e g n g o p er u |
2 6 6. 2 |
0. 8 1, 5 4 |
-8 2. % 7 |
| 1 C h d h iv l h d f h i d t t t t a a a e a e a e e o e e o s n c s q u n s n p r |
5 0 7. 3 |
3 3 9. 8 |
4 9. 3 % |
| f l C M i t t o s o a e r a s |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Hig hlig hts 2. Bu sin dat 3. Ho kee ess up e use |
ing 4. Gu ida 20 19 p nce |
5. Wr ap -up |
6. Ap nd ix pe |
| €m ( les d d he ) in ica ise te t un s o rw |
9 2 0 8 M 1 |
9 2 0 M 1 7 |
l De ta |
| fo l lar Ex i ts p en se s r a nc y co s |
5 1 4. 7 |
2. 0 4 7 |
9. 0 % |
| fo in Ex te p en se s r m a na nc e |
4 1 3. 5 |
3 2 2. 0 |
2 8. 4 % |
| he f p ha d ds d O ice t t o r c os c se g oo a n se s ur rv |
6 5. 2 |
8 7 2. |
-1 0. 4 % |
| l c f m ia ls To ta t o te os a r |
9 9 3. 4 |
8 6 6. 8 |
6 % 1 4. |
All Strategic Markets Show Upward Potential
| 1. Hig hlig hts |
2. Bu |
sin dat ess up e |
3. Ho kee use |
ing p |
4. Gu ida 20 19 5. Wr nce ap -up |
6. Ap nd ix pe |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fai r va |
lue 1 |
In- pla ce |
t ren |
|||||||||
| Re ion l Ma ke t g a r |
(€m ) |
(€/ ) sqm |
ide l uni Res ntia ts |
Liv ing a ('00 are 0 s ) qm |
Vac anc y (% ) |
al (p.a Tot ., € m) |
l (p.a ide Res ntia ., € m) (€/ |
ide l Res ntia /m ont h) sqm |
Org ani nt gro c re wth (% ) |
le (in- ltip Mu pla t) ce ren |
Ave nt gro rag e re wth for st CB eca RE (5 y rs) (% ) |
Rev ion ers ary ial2 ) fro (% pot ent ize Apa m O ptim rtm ent s |
| lin Ber |
6,3 49 |
2,1 91 |
43, 992 |
2,8 04 |
1.7 | 228 | 216 | 6.5 3 |
4.2 | 27. 9 |
4.3 | 46. 3 |
| Rhi (F kfu Ma in A rt, ne rea ran Dar tad t, W ies bad en) ms |
3,6 65 |
2,0 34 |
27, 766 |
1,7 72 |
1.6 | 171 | 165 | 7.9 0 |
4.0 | 21. 5 |
3.5 | 42. 1 |
| Rhi nel and (Co log Dü ldo rf, ne, sse n) Bon |
3,3 90 |
1,6 62 |
29, 657 |
1,9 86 |
2.7 | 170 | 162 | 6.9 8 |
3.3 | 20. 0 |
3.1 | 28. 1 |
| Sou the rn R uhr Ar (Do und rtm ea , chu m) Ess Bo en, |
3,1 75 |
1,1 58 |
43, 798 |
2,6 79 |
3.6 | 187 | 180 | 5.8 3 |
4.7 | 17. 0 |
2.9 | 31. 4 |
| sde Dre n |
3,0 06 |
1,2 86 |
38, 582 |
2,1 95 |
3.0 | 162 | 152 | 5.9 4 |
3.3 | 18. 6 |
3.7 | 31. 8 |
| bur Ham g |
2,3 58 |
1,8 06 |
20, 065 |
1,2 72 |
1.7 | 108 | 103 | 6.8 5 |
4.0 | 21. 9 |
3.3 | 43. 0 |
| Mu nic h |
1,8 98 |
2,9 02 |
9,6 70 |
636 | 0.9 | 64 | 60 | 7.9 5 |
4.1 | 29. 8 |
4.8 | 56. 8 |
| Stu ttg art |
1,8 33 |
2,0 00 |
14, 097 |
887 | 1.9 | 84 | 81 | 7.7 2 |
3.5 | 21. 7 |
3.1 | 40. 6 |
| l Kie |
1,8 26 |
1,2 96 |
23, 474 |
1,3 51 |
2.0 | 102 | 97 | 6.0 7 |
6.2 | 17. 9 |
3.2 | 39. 6 |
| Han ove r |
27 1,5 |
63 1,4 |
16, 251 |
1,0 24 |
3.1 | 79 | 76 | 6.3 6 |
4.2 | 19. 4 |
2.9 | 39. 2 |
| the Ruh (Du isb Nor r Ar rn ea urg , Ge lse nki rch en) |
1,4 59 |
885 | 26, 335 |
1,6 27 |
3.5 | 108 | 105 | 5.5 5 |
4.4 | 13. 5 |
2.4 | 25. 7 |
| Bre me n |
1,0 49 |
1,3 85 |
12, 053 |
732 | 3.9 | 50 | 47 | 5.5 7 |
3.0 | 21. 1 |
3.6 | 30. 0 |
| Lei pzig |
811 | 1,3 07 |
9,1 61 |
587 | 3.9 | 42 | 40 | 5.8 8 |
2.9 | 19. 1 |
2.9 | 23. 3 |
| We hal ia (Mü Osn abr ück ) stp nst er, |
737 | 1,1 83 |
9,4 96 |
616 | 3.0 | 43 | 42 | 5.8 6 |
6.0 | 17. 1 |
3.0 | 41. 3 |
| Fre ibu rg |
556 | 1,9 94 |
4,0 41 |
276 | 1.9 | 24 | 23 | 7.1 9 |
4.7 | 23. 2 |
4.1 | 45. 1 |
| Oth er S tra teg ic L tion oca s |
2,3 62 |
1,3 69 |
26, 611 |
1,6 87 |
2.8 | 132 | 127 | 6.4 6 |
4.7 | 17. 8 |
3.3 | 41. 3 |
| al S ic L tio Tot tra teg oca ns Ge rm any |
36, 00 3 |
79 1,5 |
35 5,0 49 |
22, 132 |
2.6 | 53 1,7 |
1,6 74 |
6.4 7 |
4.1 | 20 .5 |
3.4 | 36 .4 |
| Aus tria |
2,4 72 |
1,3 12 |
23, 238 |
1,7 34 |
4.4 | 107 | 90 | 4.5 3 |
_ | 23. 0 |
n/a | n/a |
| Sw ede n |
1,6 38 |
1,4 98 |
14, 051 |
997 | 1.3 | 115 | 107 | 9.0 3 |
_ | 14. 2 |
n/a | n/a |
Note: In-place rents in Austria and Sweden are not fully comparable to Germany, as Sweden, for example, includes certain ancillary costs. The table above shows the rental level unadjusted to the German definition.1Fair value of the developed land excluding €1,310.7m, of which €355.6m undeveloped land and inheritable building rights granted, €269.3m assets under construction, € 436m development and €249.7m other. Data for Strategic Locations also includes Recurring Sales assets in those markets.
| ( fo Se 3 0, 2 0 1 8 ro rm a |
de l Re i nt ia s |
lac In t -p e r en |
Va rat ca nc y e |
lue Fa ir v 1 a |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ) p p |
its un |
( /sq /m h ) € t m on |
( ) % |
( bn ) € |
f t l % ota o |
( /m ²) € |
| Op te era |
2 0, 3 3 1 1 |
6. 6 5 |
2.4 | 2.4 1 |
3 0 % |
8 1, 5 4 |
| Inv t es |
2 0 6, 6 11 |
6. 4 0 |
2.7 | 2 0. 4 |
5 0 % |
1, 5 8 2 |
| bt l S ic lus Su ot tra te C te a g rs |
3 2 6, 74 4 |
6. 6 4 |
2. 6 |
3 2.7 |
8 % 1 |
6 9 1, 5 |
| 2 Sa les Re rri cu ng |
2 9, 3 3 0 |
6. 6 1 |
3. 2 |
3. 4 |
8 % |
1, 6 7 3 |
| Se l l |
7, 3 7 2 |
5. 4 3 |
5. 3 |
0. 4 |
1 % |
8 8 4. 8 |
| l Ge To ta rm an y |
3 6 3, 44 6 |
6. 45 |
2.7 | 3 6. 5 |
9 0 % |
1, 5 6 4 |
| Au str ia |
2 3, 2 3 8 |
3 4. 5 |
4.4 | 2.5 | 6 % |
3 2 1, 1 |
| Sw de e n |
14 0 5 1 , |
9. 0 3 |
1. 3 |
1. 6 |
4 % |
1, 4 9 8 |
Note: In-place rents in Austria and Sweden are not fully comparable to Germany, as Sweden, for example, includes certain ancillary costs. The table above shows the rental level unadjusted to the German definition.1Fair value of the developed land excluding €1,310.7m, of which €355.6m undeveloped land and inheritable building rights granted, €269.3m assets under construction, € 436.0m development and €249.7m other.
Including all units that have been legally prepared for retail sales by way of separate land register entries.
| € m (un les s in dic d o the ise ) ate rw |
9 M 2 0 8 1 |
9 M 2 0 1 7 |
D l t e a |
/ 1 € 1 2. 7 9 sq m |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 € 0 3 / 1 1. sq m |
|||||||
| 3. 5 1 |
2. 3 5 |
||||||
| Ex fo in t p e ns e s r m a e na nc e |
2 0 2. 2 |
9 2. 2 1 |
2 % 5. |
||||
| l d C i ize in t t a p a m a e na nc e |
6. 7 5 |
2. 0 5 |
% 4 7. 1 |
9. 2 8 |
8. 6 8 |
||
| l To t a |
2 8. 7 7 |
2 2 4 4. |
0 % 1 4. |
||||
| Ma in i l iza io t t t e na nc e c a p a n io t ra |
2 7 % |
2 1 % |
9 M 2 0 1 8 fo Ex in p en se s r m a |
9 M 2 0 1 7 l d te Ca i ta ize in te na nc e p m a na nc e |
after
Key metrics – Dortmund, Töpferstraße
- € 1.1m invest (€ 554/sqm)
- Increase in living space: + 10 sqm (balcony extension)
- Gross rent
- before modernization: € 5.05/sqm
- after modernization: € 6.79/sqm
- Vacancy rate
- before modernization: 7.4%
- Rate of vacancy after modernization: 0.0%
- Yield (rent & vacancy): 5.9%
- IRR: 8.5%
Case Study Space Creation
Construction methods : modular and conventional
- Housekeeping
Moduls of steel, wood or concrete
- Business update
Current projects in Bochum, Cologne, Dresden, Bremen, etc.
Key metrics – Bochum, Kaulbachstraße
- 3 multi-family houses with 42 units
- Size of units: 49 sqm 115 sqm
- Gross rent: €9.70/sqm
- Modular steel construction
- General contractor: ALHO
- Date of completion: April 2018
- 7 months of construction
- € 6.1m invest (€2,133/sqm)
- 7.3% IRR (without land)
Example – Bochum, Kaulbachstraße
- Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
floor plan
look inside
Source: Dealogic, Bloomberg, Broker research, Deutsche Bundesbank, Verband deutscher Pfandbriefbanken (VdP), FactSet as of November 16, 2018
Quarterly Mortgage Pfandbrief issuances for 2005-2012 based on equal distribution of annual issuances based on VdP data; 2013 -3Q2018 figures based on Deutsche Bundesbank
Corporate bond issuance volume includes senior unsecured and hybrid bonds ≥ €50m, issued in EUR in Western Europe
Excludes Mortgage Pfandbriefe and CMBS for September 2018, Convertibles for 3Q18 as data not yet available
Currently used by Vonovia
| D | i i T e c s o n r e e |
S F i i n a n c n g o u |
r c e s |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Hig hlig hts |
2. Bu sin dat ess up e |
3. Ho kee ing use p |
4. Gu ida 20 19 nce |
5. Wr ap -up |
6. Ap nd ix pe |
Covenants and KPIs (September 30, 2018)
-
Business update3. Housekeeping
-
Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
| d B K P I o n s |
C t o v e n a n |
l L e v e |
3 0, 2 0 8 S 1 e p |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L T V |
6 0 % |
|||
| l b / l T t D t T t A t o a e o a s s e s |
< | 4 2 % |
||
| S d L T V e c e u r |
4 5 % < |
1 2 % |
||
| S d D b / T l A t t t e c e e o a s s e s u r |
||||
| 1 I C R |
1. 8 0 > x |
5. 4 x |
||
| / L t 1 2 M E B I T D A L t 1 2 M I t t E a s a s n e r e s x p e n s e |
||||
| U b d A t n e n c m e e s s e s u r |
1 2 5 % > |
2 1 0 % |
||
| U b d A / U d D b t t n e n c m e e s s e s n s e c e e u r u r |
| R i K P I t a n g s |
C t o e n a n v |
L l ( B B B ) + e e v |
|---|---|---|
| D b C i l t t t e o a p a |
||
| T l D b / T l E i T l D b t t t t t t + o a e o a q o a e u y |
6 0 % < |
|
| I C R |
||
| / L t 1 2 M E B I T D A L t 1 2 M I t t E a s a s n e r e s x p e n s e |
1. 8 0 > x |
| d / B R o n s a |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Hig hlig hts |
2. Bu sin dat ess up e |
3. Ho kee use |
ing p |
4. Gu ida 20 19 nce |
5. Wr ap -up |
6. Ap nd ix pe |
| Co te In tm rp or a ve s |
de in t g t en ra ra g |
as of 201 8-08 -02 |
||||
| tin Ra g a ge nc y |
tin Ra g |
tlo ok Ou |
da La st Up |
te | ||
| nd ard r's Sta & Poo |
BB B+ |
ble Sta |
02 Au 20 g |
18 |
Bond ratings
| Na me |
Te r & Co no on up |
IS IN |
as of 201 8-08 Am nt ou |
-02 Iss ice ue pr |
Co on up |
Fin al Ma tu rit y Da |
Ra tin g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo nd 00 2 ( EU R-B d) on |
6 y 3.1 25 % ea rs |
DE 00 0A 1H NW 52 |
€ 60 0m |
99 .93 5% |
3.1 25 % |
te 25 Jul 20 19 y |
BB B+ |
| Bo nd 00 4 ( US D- Bo nd ) |
10 5. 00 0% ye ars |
US 25 15 5FA B2 2 |
US D 2 50 m |
98 .99 3% |
1 4.5 80 % |
02 Oc t 2 02 3 |
BB B+ |
| Bo nd 00 5 ( EM TN ) |
8 y 3.6 25 % ea rs |
DE 00 0A 1H RV D5 |
€ 50 0m |
99 .84 3% |
3.6 25 % |
08 Oc t 2 02 1 |
BB B+ |
| Bo nd 00 6 ( Hy bri d) |
60 4. 62 5% ye ars |
XS 10 28 95 96 71 |
€ 70 0m |
99 .78 2% |
4.6 25 % |
08 Ap r 2 07 4 |
BB B |
| nd 7 ( ) Bo 00 EM TN |
8 y 2.1 25 % ea rs |
DE 00 0A 1Z LU N1 |
€ 50 0m |
99 .41 2% |
2.1 25 % |
Jul 09 20 22 y |
BB B+ |
| nd 8 ( bri d) Bo 00 Hy |
l 4 tua % pe rpe |
XS 11 17 30 08 37 |
€ 1, 00 0m |
100 .00 0% |
4.0 00 % |
l tua pe rpe |
BB B |
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Acquisition Track Record
-
Business update3. Housekeeping
-
Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
Note: Without most recent acquisitions in 2018
4+1 Strategy Has Evolved into 4+2 Strategy
9M 2018 Earnings Call
| C i t o n s e r v a v e |
l V i L t a u a o n e v e |
l s |
|||
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2. Bu sin dat ess up e |
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In-place values are still way below replacement values, in spite of accelerating valuation growth in recent years.
Note: VNA 2010 – 2014 refers to Deutsche Annington Portfolio at the time; construction costs excluding land. The land value refers to share of total fair value allocated to land.
Vonovia location
High-influx cities ("Schwarmstädte"). For more information: http://investoren.vonovia.de/websites/vonovia/English/4050/financial-reports-_-presentations.html
Source: Factset
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The number of outstanding shares is always available at http://investoren.vonovia.de/websites/vonovia/English/2010/key-share-information.html
German Residential – Safe Harbor and Low Risk 2. Business update 3. Housekeeping4. Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
Rental regulation safeguards high degree of stability
- Contrary to most other jurisdictions such as the USA, rental growth in Germany is regulated and not directly linked to CPI, GDP development etc.
- Rents are regulated via "Mietspiegel" (city-specific rent indices), which look at the asking rents of the previous four years to determine a rent growth level for existing tenants for the next two years.
Sources: Federal Statistics Office, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners), REIS, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, OECD. Note: Due to lack of q-o-q US rent growth data, the annual rent growth for a year is assumed to also be the q-o-q rent growth of that year.
German Residential – Landlords Benefit from Structural Imbalance between Supply and Demand
2. Business update 3. Housekeeping4. Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
New supply falls short of demand
- Consensus estimates see a current shortage of around 1 million apartments in urban areas. Three main constraints stand in the way of material changes in the short and even medium term:
- Building permits often take several years because city administrations lack qualified personnel.
- Severe shortage of building capacity after years of downsizing.
- Substantial gap between in-place values and market replacement costs render construction in affordablesegment economically unfeasible.
Sources: Federal Statistics Office, IW Köln, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners)
Sources: German Federal Statistics Office, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners). 2035(E) household numbers are based on trend scenario of the German Federal Statistics Office.
No Correlation between Interest Rates and Asset Yields
-
Business update3. Housekeeping
-
Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
Valuation methodology for German residential properties is primarily based on market prices for assets – not on interest rates
- While market prices are affected by general interest rate levels, there is no significant correlation.
- Other factors such as supply/demand imbalance, rental regulation, market rent growth, location of assets etc. outweigh the impact of interest rates when it comes to pricing residential real estate.
- The steep decline in interest rates (down by 760bps since 1992) is not mirrored by asset yields (down by 160bps since 1992).
Yearly asset yields vs. rolling 200d average of 10y interest ratesSources: Thomson Reuters, bulwiengesa
Three Valuation Layers with Different Volatilities 2. Business update 3. Housekeeping4. Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
High degree of stability and predictability of underlying business (layer 1) and portfolio valuation (layer 2) is not reflected in share price development (layer 3), as equity markets appear to apply valuation parameters that are substantially less material for Vonovia's operating performance.
9M 2018 Earnings Call
Total remuneration cap
Share Holding Provision
- •Mandatory share ownership
-
• 100% of annual fixed remuneration (excl. pension)(accumulation on a pro rata basis during first 4 years)
-
Bonus cap at predetermined amount
-
Cash payout
-
FFO1is key figure in the industry for managing the sustained operational earnings power of our business.
- Adj. NAV/share as standard figure for the value of our property assets (calculation according to EPRA best practice standards, after corrections for goodwill).
- EBITDA Sales: Measure of success of our sales activities.
-
Personal targets related to individual department responsibilities or overlapping targets (e.g. integration projects).
-
LTIP aims to ensure that remuneration structure focuses on sustainable corporate development.
- Relative TSR is from an investor perspective a well-established and accepted performance measure, focusing on share return, relative to a selected peer group. Hence, it is adequate for comparison with relevant competitors.
- Customer Satisfaction Index (CSI): Based on customer surveys and reflects how our services are perceived and accepted by our customers.
- Shareholder alignment safeguarded by (i) relative performance targets (FFO/share and EPRA NAV/share) as well as (ii) calculation method which takes actual share price performance into account.
Rationale
Modular Construction
-
Business update
-
Housekeeping
-
Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
9M 2018 Earnings Call
-
Business update3. Housekeeping
-
Guidance 2019 5. Wrap-up 6. Appendix
This presentation has been specifically prepared by Vonovia SE and/or its affiliates (together, "Vonovia") for internal use. Consequently, it may not be sufficient or appropriate for the purpose for which a third party might use it.
This presentation has been provided for information purposes only and is being circulated on a confidential basis. This presentation shall be used only in accordance with applicable law, e.g. regarding national and international insider dealing rules, and must not be distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part, nor may its contents be disclosed by the recipient to any other person. Receipt of this presentation constitutes an express agreement to be bound by such confidentiality and the other terms set out herein.
This presentation includes statements, estimates, opinions and projections with respect to anticipated future performance of Vonovia ("forward-looking statements") which reflect various assumptions concerning anticipated results taken from Vonovia's current business plan or from public sources which have not been independently verified or assessed by Vonovia and which may or may not prove to be correct. Any forward-looking statements reflect current expectations based on the current business plan and various other assumptions and involve significant risks and uncertainties and should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Any forward-looking statements only speak as at the date the presentation is provided to the recipient. It is up to the recipient of this presentation to make its own assessment of the validity of any forward-looking statements and assumptions and no liability is accepted by Vonovia in respect of the achievement of such forward-looking statements and assumptions.
Vonovia accepts no liability whatsoever to the extent permitted by applicable law for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or penalty arising from any use of this presentation, its contents or preparation or otherwise in connection with it.
No representation or warranty (whether express or implied) is given in respect of any information in this presentation or that this presentation is suitable for the recipient's purposes. The delivery of this presentation does not imply that the information herein is correct as at any time subsequent to the date hereof.
Vonovia has no obligation whatsoever to update or revise any of the information, forward-looking statements or the conclusions contained herein or to reflect new events or circumstances or to correct any inaccuracies which may become apparent subsequent to the date hereof.
This presentation does not, and is not intended to, constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with or act as any inducement to enter into any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever.
This presentation is neither an advertisement nor a prospectus and is made available on the express understanding that it does not contain all information that may be required to evaluate, and will not be used by the attendees/recipients in connection with, the purchase of or investment in any securities of the Company. This presentation is selective in nature and does not purport to contain all information that may be required to evaluate the Company and/or its securities. No reliance may or should be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation, or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness.
This presentation is not directed to or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction.
Neither this presentation nor the information contained in it may be taken, transmitted or distributed directly or indirectly into or within the United States, its territories or possessions. This presentation is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States. The securities of the Company have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act") or with any securities regulatory authority of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States. Consequently, the securities of the Company may not be offered, sold, resold, transferred, delivered or distributed, directly or indirectly, into or within in the United States except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and in compliance with any applicable securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States unless registered under the Securities Act.
Tables and diagrams may include rounding effects.