Annual Report • Feb 6, 2017
Annual Report
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Non-deal Asia Roadshow February 7-10, 2017
Sources: Federal Statistics Office, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners), REIS, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research; BIP USA: IMF, Statista Note: Due to lack of q-o-q US rent growth data, the annual rent growth for a year is assumed to also be the q-o-q rent growth of that year
Sources: Federal Statistics Office, IW Köln, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners)
Home ownership rate 2015 in %
Rent as % of disposable household income
Sources: Federal Statistics Office, Eurostat
Ownership structure (million units)
Listed sector represents ~4% of total rental market.
Sources: Federal Statistics Office, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners)
1 Yearly asset yields vs. rolling 200d average of 10y interest rates Sources: Thomson Reuters, bulwiengesa
Vonovia Location Strategic Portfolio
Schwarmstädte
Munich Karlsruhe Dortmund
Residential real estate company with B-to-C characteristics.
1Guidance 2016
Illustration of Germany at Night
Illustration of Germany at Night
*other shared services: Internal Audit, Communications, Central Procurement, Insurances, Investor Relations, Accounting
as of September 30, 2016
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017
High degree of stability and predictability of underlying business (layer 1) and portfolio valuation (layer 2) is not reflected in share price development (layer 3), as equity markets appear to apply valuation parameters that are substantially less material for Vonovia's operating performance.
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017
1 Rental income + EBITDA Extension and Other; excluding sales effects *Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information. 2017(E): effects from conwert takeover not yet taken into account
(effects from conwert takeover not yet taken into account)
| 2015 Actuals |
2016 Guidance |
2017 Guidance |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L-f-l rental growth (eop) | 2.9% | 3.0-3.2% | 3.5%-3.7% | Rent growth expected to continue to accelerate |
| Occupancy (eop) | 97.3% | ~97.5% | >97.5% | |
| Rental Income (€m) | 1,415 | 1,530-1,550 | 1,530-1,550 | Stable top line on smaller portfolio |
| FFO1 (€m) | 608 | ~760 | 830-850 | Double-digit organic growth (mid-point) |
| FFO1/share* (eop NOSH) |
€1.30 | ~€1.63 | €1.78-€1.82 | |
| NAV/share* (eop) EPRA |
€30.02 | ~€36 | €37-€38* | Including valuation impact from |
| EPRA NAV/share* (eop) Adj. |
€24.19 | ~€30 | €31-€32 | improved performance and investments (~4% NAV growth); excluding any assumptions for yield compression. |
| Dividend/share | €0.94 | €1.12 | 70% of FFO 1 | Every 1% value uplift from yield compression results in ~€0.60 NAV growth per share. |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
| EUR | USD | JPY | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
| Actuals | Guidance | Guidance | Actuals | Guidance | Guidance | Actuals | Guidance | Guidance | |
| L-f-l rental growth (eop) | 2.9% | 3.0% - 3.2% | 3.5% - 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% - 3.2% | 3.5% - 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% - 3.2% |
3.5% - 3.7% |
| Occupancy (eop) | 97.3% | ~97.5% | >97.5% | 97.3% | ~97.5% | >97.5% | 97.3% | ~97.5% | >97.5% |
| Rental Income (m) | 1,415 | 1,530 - 1,550 | 1,530 - 1,550 | 1,514 | 1,637 - 1,658 | 1,637 - 1,658 | 173,182 | 187,257 - 189,705 | 187,257 - 189,705 |
| FFO1 (m) | 608 | ~760 | 830 - 850 |
650 | ~813 | 888 - 909 |
74,413 | ~93,016 | 101,584 - 104,032 |
| FFO1/share* (eop NOSH) |
1.30 | ~1.63 | 1.78 - 1.82 |
1.39 | ~1.74 | 1.90 - 1.95 |
159 | ~199 | 218 - 223 |
| EPRA NAV/share* (eop) |
30.02 | ~36 | 38* 37 - |
32.11 | ~39 | 40 - 41 |
3,674 | ~4,406 | 4,528 - 4,651 |
| Adj. EPRA NAV/share* (eop) |
24.19 | ~30 | 31 - 32 |
25.88 | ~32 | 33 - 34 |
2,961 | ~3,672 | 3,794 - 3,916 |
| Dividend/share | 0.94 | ~1.12 | 70% of FFO 1 | 1.01 | ~1.20 | 70% of FFO 1 | 115 | ~137 | 70% of FFO 1 |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information. Exchange rates as of Jan 31, 2017 (EUR1.00 : JPY122.39)
| EUR | USD | KWR | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
| Actuals | Guidance | Guidance | Actuals | Guidance | Guidance | Actuals | Guidance | Guidance | |
| L-f-l rental growth (eop) | 2.9% | 3.0% - 3.2% | 3.5% - 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% - 3.2% | 3.5% - 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% - 3.2% |
3.5% - 3.7% |
| Occupancy (eop) | 97.3% | ~97.5% | >97.5% | 97.3% | ~97.5% | >97.5% | 97.3% | ~97.5% | >97.5% |
| Rental Income (m) | 1,415 | 1,530 - 1,550 | 1,530 - 1,550 | 1,514 | 1,637 - 1,658 | 1,637 - 1,658 | 1,776,405 | 1,920,777 - 1,945,886 1,920,777 - 1,945,886 | |
| FFO1 (m) | 608 | ~760 | 830 - 850 |
650 | ~813 | 888 - 909 |
763,289 | ~954,112 | 1,041,990 - 1,067,099 |
| FFO1/share* (eop NOSH) |
1.30 | ~1.63 | 1.78 - 1.82 |
1.39 | ~1.74 | 1.90 - 1.95 |
1,632 | ~2,046 | 2,235 - 2,285 |
| EPRA NAV/share* (eop) |
30.02 | ~36 | 38* 37 - |
32.11 | ~39 | 40 - 41 |
37,687 | ~45,195 | 46,450 - 47,706 |
| Adj. EPRA NAV/share* (eop) |
24.19 | ~30 | 31 - 32 |
25.88 | ~32 | 33 - 34 |
30,368 | ~37,662 | 38,918 - 40,173 |
| Dividend/share | 0.94 | ~1.12 | 70% of FFO 1 | 1.01 | ~1.20 | 70% of FFO 1 | 1,180 | ~1,406 | 70% of FFO 1 |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information. Exchange rates as of Jan 31, 2017 (EUR1.00 : KWR1,255.41)
| EUR | USD | HKD | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
| Actuals | Guidance | Guidance | Actuals | Guidance | Guidance | Actuals | Guidance | Guidance | |
| L-f-l rental growth (eop) | 2.9% | 3.0% - 3.2% | 3.5% - 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% - 3.2% | 3.5% - 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% - 3.2% |
3.5% - 3.7% |
| Occupancy (eop) | 97.3% | ~97.5% | >97.5% | 97.3% | ~97.5% | >97.5% | 97.3% | ~97.5% | >97.5% |
| Rental Income (m) | 1,415 | 1,530 - 1,550 | 1,530 - 1,550 | 1,514 | 1,637 - 1,658 | 1,637 - 1,658 | 11,743 | 12,698 - 12,864 |
12,698 - 12,864 |
| FFO1 (m) | 608 | ~760 | 830 - 850 |
650 | ~813 | 888 - 909 |
5,046 | ~6,307 | 6,888 - 7,054 |
| FFO1/share* (eop NOSH) |
1.30 | ~1.63 | 1.78 - 1.82 |
1.39 | ~1.74 | 1.90 - 1.95 |
10.8 | ~13.5 | 14.8 - 15.1 |
| EPRA NAV/share* (eop) |
30.02 | ~36 | 38* 37 - |
32.11 | ~39 | 40 - 41 |
249 | ~299 | 307.1 - 315.4 |
| Adj. EPRA NAV/share* (eop) |
24.19 | ~30 | 31 - 32 |
25.88 | ~32 | 33 - 34 |
201 | ~249 | 257.3 - 265.6 |
| Dividend/share | 0.94 | ~1.12 | 70% of FFO 1 | 1.01 | ~1.20 | 70% of FFO 1 | ~7.80 | ~9.30 | 70% of FFO 1 |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information. Exchange rates as of Jan 31, 2017 (EUR1.00 : HKD8.29922)
| EUR | USD | SGD | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
| Actuals | Guidance | Guidance | Actuals | Guidance | Guidance | Actuals | Guidance | Guidance | |
| L-f-l rental growth (eop) | 2.9% | 3.0% - 3.2% | 3.5% - 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% - 3.2% | 3.5% - 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% - 3.2% |
3.5% - 3.7% |
| Occupancy (eop) | 97.3% | ~97.5% | >97.5% | 97.3% | ~97.5% | >97.5% | 97.3% | ~97.5% | >97.5% |
| Rental Income (m) | 1,415 | 1,530 - 1,550 | 1,530 - 1,550 | 1,514 | 1,637 - 1,658 | 1,637 - 1,658 | 2,157 | 2,332 - 2,363 |
2,332 - 2,363 |
| FFO1 (m) | 608 | ~760 | 830 - 850 |
650 | ~813 | 888 - 909 |
927 | ~1,159 | 1,265 - 1,296 |
| FFO1/share* (eop NOSH) |
1.30 | ~1.63 | 1.78 - 1.82 |
1.39 | ~1.74 | 1.90 - 1.95 |
2.0 | ~2.5 | 2.7 - 2.8 |
| EPRA NAV/share* (eop) |
30.02 | ~36 | 38* 37 - |
32.11 | ~39 | 40 - 41 |
45.8 | ~55 | 56.4 - 57.9 |
| Adj. EPRA NAV/share* (eop) |
24.19 | ~30 | 31 - 32 |
25.88 | ~32 | 33 - 34 |
36.9 | ~46 | 47.3 - 48.8 |
| Dividend/share | 0.94 | ~1.12 | 70% of FFO 1 | 1.01 | ~1.20 | 70% of FFO 1 | ~1.43 | ~1.71 | 70% of FFO 1 |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information. Exchange rates as of Jan 31, 2017 (EUR1.00 : SGD1.52449)
| Reputation & Customer Satisfaction | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| al n o diti Tra |
Property Management 1 |
Systematic optimization of operating performance and core business productivity through leveraging scaling effects High degree of standardization and industrialization throughout the entire organization |
|
| Financing 2 |
Ensure well-balanced financing mix and maturity profile with low financing costs, investment grade credit rating and adequate liquidity at all times Fast and unfettered access to equity and debt capital markets at all times |
Mergers & 5 Acquisitions Continuous review of on- and |
|
| Portfolio Management 3 |
Portfolio optimization by way of tactical acquisitions and non-core/non-strategic disposals to ensure exposure to strong local markets Pro-active development of the portfolio through investments to offer the right products in the right markets and on a long-term basis |
off-market opportunities to lever economies of scale and apply strategic pillars 1-4 to a growing portfolio All acquisitions must meet the stringent acquisition criteria |
|
| e v ati v o n n I |
4 Extension |
Expansion of core business to extend the value chain by offering additional services and products that are directly linked to our customers and/or the properties Insourcing of services to ensure maximum process management and cost control |
| VONOVIA |
|---|
| al n o diti Tra |
Property Management 1 |
Systematic optimization of operating performance and core business productivity through leveraging scaling effects High degree of standardization and industrialization throughout the entire organization |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Financing 2 |
Ensure well-balanced financing mix and maturity profile with low financing costs, investment grade credit rating and adequate liquidity at all times Fast and unfettered access to equity and debt capital markets at all times |
Mergers & 5 Acquisitions |
|
| Portfolio Management 3 |
Portfolio optimization by way of tactical acquisitions and non-core/non-strategic disposals to ensure exposure to strong local markets Pro-active development of the portfolio through |
Continuous review of on- and off-market opportunities to lever economies of scale and apply strategic pillars 1-4 to a growing portfolio All acquisitions must meet the stringent acquisition criteria |
|
| e v ati v o n n I |
4 Extension |
investments to offer the right products in the right markets and on a long-term basis Expansion of core business to extend the value chain by offering additional services and products that are directly linked to our customers and/or the properties Insourcing of services to ensure maximum process management and cost control |
Reputation & Customer Satisfaction
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017
| Reputation & Customer Satisfaction | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| al n o diti Tra |
Property Management 1 |
Systematic optimization of operating performance and core business productivity through leveraging scaling effects High degree of standardization and industrialization throughout the entire organization |
|
| Financing 2 |
Ensure well-balanced financing mix and maturity profile with low financing costs, investment grade credit rating and adequate liquidity at all times |
Mergers & 5 Acquisitions |
|
| Fast and unfettered access to equity and debt capital markets at all times |
|||
| Continuous review of on- and off-market opportunities to lever |
|||
| Portfolio optimization by way of tactical acquisitions and non-core/non-strategic disposals to ensure exposure to strong local |
economies of scale and apply strategic pillars 1-4 to a growing portfolio |
||
| Portfolio Management 3 |
markets Pro-active development of the portfolio through investments to offer the right products in the |
All acquisitions must meet the stringent acquisition criteria |
|
| right markets and on a long-term basis | |||
| e v ati v o |
4 Extension |
Expansion of core business to extend the value chain by offering additional services and products that are directly linked to our customers and/or the properties |
|
| n n I |
Insourcing of services to ensure maximum process management and cost control |
Current debt maturity profile1 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 from 2031 Mortgages Structured Loans Bond Debt Hybrid Equity Hybrid
Maturity profile as of Dec. 31, 2016 and adjusted for repayment of Taurus CMBS and January 2017 bond issuance (€1bn)
| KPIs (Sep 30, 2016) | |
|---|---|
| LTV | ~ 47.1% (42% pro forma YE2016 incl. yield compression) |
| Debt/EBITDA* | 10.6x |
| Unencumbered assets* in % |
56% |
| Fixed/hedged debt ratio | 99% |
| Global ICR* (YTD) |
3.6x |
| Financing cost | 2.3% |
| Weighted avg. maturity |
~ 7 years |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
1 Maturity profile as of Dec. 31, 2016 and adjusted for repayment of Taurus CMBS (scheduled for Feb. 2017) and €1bn bond issuance (Jan. 2017)
| Reputation & Customer Satisfaction | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| al n o diti Tra |
Property Management 1 |
Systematic optimization of operating performance and core business productivity through leveraging scaling effects High degree of standardization and industrialization throughout the entire organization |
|
| Financing 2 |
Ensure well-balanced financing mix and maturity 5 profile with low financing costs, investment grade credit rating and adequate liquidity at all times |
Mergers & Acquisitions |
|
| Fast and unfettered access to equity and debt capital markets at all times |
|||
| Continuous review of on- and off-market opportunities to lever |
|||
| Portfolio optimization by way of tactical acquisitions and non-core/non-strategic disposals to ensure exposure to strong local |
economies of scale and apply strategic pillars 1-4 to a growing portfolio |
||
| Portfolio Management 3 |
markets Pro-active development of the portfolio through investments to offer the right products in the |
All acquisitions must meet the stringent acquisition criteria |
|
| right markets and on a long-term basis | |||
| e v ati v o |
4 Extension |
Expansion of core business to extend the value chain by offering additional services and products that are directly linked to our customers and/or the properties |
|
| n n I |
Insourcing of services to ensure maximum process management and cost control |
Portfolio Management 3
1 The word "Schwarmstadt" is a combination of the German words for "flock" and "city," trying to capture the migration movement of large parts of the (especially younger) generations into certain cities. Please see appendix for more details.
2 Please see appendix for more details
Note: Strategic Portfolio includes privatization assets in strategic locations. The chart does not account for asset quality or micro location; the chart is a zoomed view of the full Total Return Matrix.
| Sep 30, 2016 (unless indicated otherwise) |
Residential Units In-place rent Vacancy rate (€/sqm) |
Fair value Fair value (%) Fair value (%) (€bn) at IPO in 20131 |
|---|---|---|
| Acquisition* | Acquisition of more than 200k units (2013- 2016 ytd) in attractive regions and complementary to the existing portfolio. |
from strong underlying fundamentals of entire German residential market. |
| Well-positioned to benefit | ||
| Disposal* | Sale of ~42k Non-core and Non-strategic assets (2013-2016) with below-average quality, location and/or potential. |
locations. |
| quality of assets and | ||
| material improvements in | ||
| Modernization* | More than €1bn invested in value-enhancing modernization between 2013 and 2016. |
management results in |
| Pro-active portfolio |
| Sep 30, 2016 (unless indicated otherwise) |
Residential Units | In-place rent (€/sqm) |
Vacancy rate | Fair value (€bn) |
Fair value (%) at IPO in 20131 |
Fair value (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operate | 125,566 | 5.98 | 2.3% | 8.8 | 38% | 37% |
| Upgrade Buildings | 102,781 | 5.90 | 2.5% | 7.1 | 22% | 30% |
| Optimize Apartments | 73,440 | 6.22 | 2.2% | 5.7 | 13% | 24% |
| Subtotal Strategic Clusters | 301,787 | 6.01 | 2.3% | 21.6 | 73% | 91% |
| Privatize | 17,582 | 5.91 | 4.8% | 1.4 | 14% | 6% |
| Non-strategic | 12,159 | 4.81 | 7.4% | 0.5 | 8% | 2% |
| Non-core | 6,192 | 4.65 | 9.4% | 0.2 | 5% | 1% |
| Total | 337,720 | 5.94 | 2.8% | 23.7 | 100% | 100% |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
1 The cluster "Non-strategic" was introduced after the IPO. For comparison purposes, locations considered Non-strategic as of Sep 30, 2016, were defined as Non-strategic as of the IPO date as well.
| Value driver | Uplift FV (€m) |
|---|---|
| Performance (rent development, redemption of rent control, etc.) |
750 – 950 |
| Investments | 450 – 470 |
| Yield compression | 2,300 – 2,500 |
| Total | 3,500 - 3,900 |
Based on recent forecast of Vonovia calculations. Valuation results are subject to change during the ongoing valuation process.
Portfolio Management 3
In-place valuations are still only half of replacement values, in spite of accelerating valuation growth in recent years.
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information. Note: VNA 2010 – 2014 refers to Deutsche Annington Portfolio at the time
| Reputation & Customer Satisfaction | ||
|---|---|---|
| al n o diti Tra |
Property Management 1 |
Systematic optimization of operating performance and core business productivity through leveraging scaling effects High degree of standardization and industrialization throughout the entire organization |
| Financing 2 |
Ensure well-balanced financing mix and maturity Mergers & 5 profile with low financing costs, investment Acquisitions grade credit rating and adequate liquidity at all times Fast and unfettered access to equity and debt capital markets at all times |
|
| Portfolio Management 3 |
Continuous review of on- and off-market opportunities to lever economies of scale and apply Portfolio optimization by way of tactical strategic pillars 1-4 to a growing acquisitions and non-core/non-strategic portfolio disposals to ensure exposure to strong local markets All acquisitions must meet the stringent acquisition criteria Pro-active development of the portfolio through investments to offer the right products in the right markets and on a long-term basis |
|
| e v ati v o n n I |
4 Extension |
Expansion of core business to extend the value chain by offering additional services and products that are directly linked to our customers and/or the properties Insourcing of services to ensure maximum process management and cost control |
Continuous flow of innovative projects that are all immediately linked to the apartment or customer/rental contract.
4 Extension
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
| Reputation & Customer Satisfaction | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| al n o diti Tra |
Property Management 1 |
Systematic optimization of operating performance and core business productivity through leveraging scaling effects High degree of standardization and industrialization throughout the entire organization |
|
| Financing 2 |
Ensure well-balanced financing mix and maturity profile with low financing costs, investment grade credit rating and adequate liquidity at all times Fast and unfettered access to equity and debt capital markets at all times |
Mergers & 5 Acquisitions |
|
| Portfolio Management 3 |
Portfolio optimization by way of tactical acquisitions and non-core/non-strategic disposals to ensure exposure to strong local markets Pro-active development of the portfolio through investments to offer the right products in the right markets and on a long-term basis |
Continuous review of on- and off-market opportunities to lever economies of scale and apply strategic pillars 1-4 to a growing portfolio All acquisitions must meet the stringent acquisition criteria |
|
| e v ati v o n n I |
4 Extension |
Expansion of core business to extend the value chain by offering additional services and products that are directly linked to our customers and/or the properties Insourcing of services to ensure maximum process management and cost control |
| Smooth transaction |
• One of the largest European RE deals with €2.8bn transaction volume After failed attempts by Haselsteiner, DWN, Sagi and Adler, • Vonovia successfully completed the transaction within only four months (plus mandatory 2nd offer period) Terms communicated upon announcement in September were never • changed even when optionality value on share component jeopardized the transaction Flawless execution from preparation to the announcement and all • the way to the settlement; no leakage, no delays, no interloper, no changes to deal structure or timing |
|---|---|
| Economic homerun |
Back-of-an envelope calculation shows • FFO accretion in the higher single-digit % range LTV neutral in combination with expected 2016YE valuation uplift • Cash offer with virtually no premium; €0.01 above last closing • price before announcement • Cash offer price of €16.16 is below expected 2016 year-end NAV, making the acquisition NAV accretive from day 1 |
| Strategic fit | 84% of conwert portfolio in top 25 locations of combined entity • with majority in Dresden, Leipzig, Berlin and Potsdam • 2,400 units in Vienna allow Vonovia to test its platform and processes in a non-German environment at very low risk (<1% of combined portfolio) |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
conwert Immobilien SE transaction closed in Q1 2017.
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017
Rene Hoffmann Head of Investor Relations Vonovia SE Philippstraße 3 44803 Bochum Germany
+49 234 314 1629 [email protected] www.vonovia.de
| Feb 7-10 | Management Roadshow, Asia (excl. China) |
|---|---|
| Mar 7 | FY 2016 results |
| Mar 8-10 | Roadshow London, Frankfurt, Amsterdam |
| Mar 13 | Roadshow Paris |
| Mar 22 | Commerzbank Resi Property Forum, London (IR only) |
| Mar 23 | HSBC Real Estate Conference, Frankfurt (IR only) |
| Mar 28-30 | Management Roadshow, China |
| Mar 29 | BofAML European Real Estate Conference (IR only) |
| Mar 30 | Bankhaus Lampe Deutschlandkonferenz, Baden Baden (IR only) |
| May 9 | Estimated record day for dividend entitlement |
| May 16 | Annual General Meeting |
| May 241 | Interim results 3M 2017 |
| May 24 | Berenberg European Conference, USA |
| June 1 | German Property Day, Paris |
| June 8 | Kempen European Property Seminar, Amsterdam |
| ~ June 12 | Estimated dividend payment date |
| June 19-20 | Capital Markets Day (Bochum) |
| June 22 | dBAccess Berlin Conference, Berlin |
| Aug 2 | Interim results 6M 2017 |
| Nov 8 | Interim results 9M 2017 |
Now available for iOS and Android
1 Dates are indicative and subject to change depending on conwert integration
Appendix
1 Recent forecast of Vonovia calculations. The value is subject to change during the ongoing valuation process.
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017
| Higher overall in place rent growth as |
9M 2016 | 9M 2015 | Delta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| a result of successful action-driven |
In-place rent (eop) | €/month/sqm | 5.94 | 5.69 | +4.4% |
| portfolio | In-place rent l-f-l (eop) | €/month/sqm | 5.94 | 5.77 | +2.8% |
| management and acquisitions |
Vacancy rate (eop) | % | 2.8 | 3.4 | -60 bps |
| Rental income | €m | 1,156.1 | 1,019.4 | 13.4% | |
| +8.4% | average unit* Cost per |
€ | 402 | 481 | -16.4% |
| per avg. unit* | Adj. EBITDA Operations* | €m | 832.3 | 699.4 | +19.0% |
| (€2,394 vs. €2,208) | Rental* | €m | 794.1 | 677.5 | +17.2% |
| Extension* | €m | 45.1 | 24.4 | +84.8% | |
| Other (i.e. consolidation) | €m | -6.9 | -2.5 | n/a | |
| +18.3% | FFO 1 | €m | 571.6 | 440.4 | 29.8% |
| per avg. unit* | FFO 1 per share* (eop NOSH) |
€ | 1.23 | 0.95 | +29.8% |
| (€1,644 vs. €1,390) | FFO 1 per share* (avg. NOSH) |
€ | 1.23 | 1.15 | +6.7% |
| AFFO* | €m | 524.3 | 359.7 | +45.8% | |
| Adj. EBITDA Sales* | €m | 65.5 | 34.1 | +92.1% | |
| Adj. EBITDA (Total) | €m | 897.8 | 733.5 | +22.4% | |
| FFO 2 | €m | 604.0 | 466.3 | +29.5% | |
| +11.6% per sqm |
Sep. 30, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Delta | ||
| (€1,095 vs. €981) | Fair value of real estate portfolio |
€m | 23,851.1 | 24,157.7 | -1.3% |
| EPRA NAV* | €/share | 29.48 | 30.02 | -1.8% | |
| Adj. EPRA NAV* | €/share | 23.64 | 24.19 | -2.3% | |
| LTV | % | 47.1% | 46.9% | +20bps | |
| Dividend paid | €m | 438.0 | 276.2 | €161.8m | |
| * Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information. |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
Property Management 1
| 9M 2016 | 9M 2015 | Delta | €/sqm | 9M 2016 | 9M 2015 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184.1 | 167.8 | +9.7% | Expenses for maintenance |
8.49 | 8.49 | 0% |
| 48.0 | 81.3 | -41.0% | Capitalized maintenance |
2.21 | 4.11 | -46.2% |
| 232.1 | 249.1 | -6.8% | Total | 10.70 | 12.60 | -15.1% |
| 21% | 33% | Maintenance capitalization * ratio |
21% | 33% | ||
| Investments (modernization, new initiatives, space creation) |
284.6 | 219.0 | +30.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | Sep. 30, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-derivative financial liabilities | 13,000.0 | 14,939.9 | -13.0% |
| Foreign exchange rate effects | -155.5 | -179.4 | -13.3% |
| Cash and cash equivalents | -1,118.1 | -3,107.9 | -64.0% |
| Net debt | 11,726.4 | 11,652.6 | +0.6% |
| Sales receivables | -233.1 | -330.0 | -29.4% |
| Additional loan amount for outstanding acquisitions | --- | 134.9 | --- |
| Adj. net debt | 11,493.3 | 11,457.5 | +0.3% |
| Fair value of real estate portfolio | 23,851.1 | 24,157.7 | -1.3% |
| Fair value of outstanding acquisitions | --- | 240.0 | --- |
| Shares in other real estate companies | 545.4 | 13.7 | >100% |
| Adj. fair value of real estate portfolio | 24,396.5 | 24,411.4 | -0.1% |
| LTV | 47.1% | 46.9% | +20bps |
| Pro forma LTV* | as of Dec. 31, 2016 |
|---|---|
| Net debt (€bn) | 11.6 |
|---|---|
| Adj. fair value of real estate portfolio1 (€bn) |
27.6 |
| LTV | ~42% |
1 Assuming mid-point of current valuation uplift expectation for year-end. * Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
2 Financing
| Rating agency | Rating | Outlook | Last Update |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard & Poor's | BBB+ | Stable | 06 September 2016 |
| Name | Tenor & Coupon | ISIN | Amount | Issue price | Coupon | Final Maturity Date | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bond 002 (EUR-Bond) | 6 years 3.125% | DE000A1HNW52 | € 600m |
99.935% | 3.125% | 25 July 2019 | BBB+ |
| Bond 003 (USD-Bond) | 4 years 3.200% | US25155FAA49 | USD 750m | 100.000% | 2.970%* | 02 Oct 2017 | BBB+ |
| Bond 004 (USD-Bond) | 10 years 5.000% | US25155FAB22 | USD 250m | 98.993% | 4.580%* | 02 Oct 2023 | BBB+ |
| Bond 005 (EMTN) | 8 years 3.625% | DE000A1HRVD5 | € 500m |
99.843% | 3.625% | 08 Oct 2021 | BBB+ |
| Bond 006 (Hybrid) | 60 years 4.625% | XS1028959671 | € 700m |
99.782% | 4.625% | 08 Apr 2074 | BBB |
| Bond 007 (EMTN) | 8 years 2.125% | DE000A1ZLUN1 | € 500m |
99.412% | 2.125% | 09 July 2022 | BBB+ |
| Bond 008 (Hybrid) | perpetual 4% | XS1117300837 | € 1,000m |
100.000% | 4.000% | perpetual | BBB |
| Bond 009A (EMTN) | 5 years 0.875% | DE000A1ZY971 | € 500m |
99.263% | 0.875% | 30 Mar 2020 | BBB+ |
| Bond 009B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.500% | DE000A1ZY989 | € 500m |
98.455% | 1.5000% | 31 Mar 2025 | BBB+ |
| Bond 010A (EMTN) | 2 years 0.950%+3M EURIBOR | DE000A18V120 | € 750m |
100.000% | 0.835% hedged | 15 Dec 2017 | BBB+ |
| Bond 010B (EMTN) | 5 years 1.625% | DE000A18V138 | € 1,250m |
99.852% | 1.625% | 15 Dec 2020 | BBB+ |
| Bond 010C (EMTN) | 8 years 2.250% | DE000A18V146 | € 1,000m |
99.085% | 2.2500% | 15 Dec 2023 | BBB+ |
| Bond 011A (EMTN) | 6 years 0.875% | DE000A182VS4 | € 500m |
99.530% | 0.875% | 10 Jun 2022 | BBB+ |
| Bond 011B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.500% | DE000A182VT2 | € 500m |
99.165% | 1.5000% | 10 Jun 2026 | BBB+ |
| Bond 012 (EMTN) | 2 years 0.380%+3M EURIBOR | DE000A185WC9 | € 500m |
100.000% | 0.140% hedged | 13 Sep 2018 | BBB+ |
| Bond 013 (EMTN) | 8 years 1.250% | DE000A189ZX0 | € 1,000m |
99.037% | 1.250% | 06 Dec 2024 | BBB+ |
| Bond 14A (EMTN) | 5 years 0.750% | DE000A19B8D4 | € 500m |
99.863% | 0.750% | 25 Jan 2022 | BBB+ |
| Bond 14B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.750% | DE000A19B8E2 | € 500m |
99.266% | 1.750% | 25 Jan 2027 | BBB+ |
* EUR-equivalent Coupon
| Cost per €100m (1) | €m |
|---|---|
| April 2014 Hybrid | 1.21 |
| December 2014 Hybrid | 1.00 |
| EMTN 2013 |
0.79 |
| Yankee | 0.78 |
| Eurobond 2013 | 0.63 |
| EMTN 2014 | 0.56 |
| EMTN March 2015 | 0.46 |
| EMTN December 2015 | 0.46 |
| EMTN June 2016 | 0.39 |
| EMTN September 2016 |
0.14 |
| EMTN December 2016 | 0.34 |
| EMTN January 2017 | 0.36 |
(1) Excluding contingency; including some cost estimates for the most recent transactions as not all bills have been fully settled yet.
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
| Bond KPIs | Covenants* | Level | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| LTV Total Debt / Total Assets |
<60% | 45% | |
| Secured LTV Secured Debt / Total Assets |
<45% | 15% | |
| ICR Last 12 months EBITDA / Last 12 months Interest Expense |
>1.80x | 3.54x | |
| Unencumbered Assets Unencumbered Assets / Unsecured Debt |
>125% | 215% | |
| Rating KPIs | Covenant | Level (BBB+) |
|---|---|---|
| Debt to Capital | ||
| Total Debt / Total Equity + Total Debt |
<60% | |
| ICR | ||
| Last 12 months EBITDA / LTM Interest Expense |
>1.80x |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information
2 Financing
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) |
9M 2016 | 9M 2015 | 9M 2016 | 9M 2015 | 9M 2016 | 9M 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Privatization | Non-core/Non-strategic | Total | ||||
| No. of units sold | 2,150 | 1,748 | 19,772 | 3,574 | 21,922 | 5,322 |
| Income from disposal | 205.5 | 183.2 | 782.7 | 132.4 | 988.2 | 315.6 |
| Fair value of disposal* |
-151.8 | -133.6 | -753.0 | -130.3 | -904.8 | -263.9 |
| Adj. profit from disposal |
53.7 | 49.6 | 29.7 | 2.1 | 83.4 | 51.7 |
| Fair value step-up* (%) |
35.4% | 37.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Selling costs | -17.9 | -17.6 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adj. EBITDA Sales* | 65.5 | 34.1 |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
| State | City |
|---|---|
| ≠ Dresden ≠ Saxony Chemnitz |
Berlin ≈ Potsdam |
| NRW ≠ | Essen ≈ |
| Cologne ≠ | Bochum ≈ |
| Gelsenkirchen | Dortmund |
| ≠ | ≈ |
| ≠ | Munich |
| Lower | locations |
| Saxony | connected |
| Hanover | via local |
| Salzgitter | train |
1 Excluding non-core and non-strategic locations and including privatization assets in strategic locations
Portfolio Management 3
| Regional Market | Fair value (€m) |
Fair value (€/sqm) |
Multiple (in-place rent) |
Residential units |
Annua lized in place rent (€m) |
In-place rent (€/sqm) |
L-f-l rent growth (y-o-y) |
Re-letting rent growth (y-o-y) * |
Avg. rent growth forecast CBRE (5yrs) * |
Schwarm stadt? |
Prognos ranking |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | 2,716 | 1,296 | 18.1 | 32,272 | 150 | 5.96 | 3.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | yes | 4.0 |
| Rhineland (Cologne, Düsseldorf, Bonn) | 2,515 | 1,273 | 16.4 | 28,434 | 153 | 6.47 | 2.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | yes | 2.9 |
| Rhine Main Area (Frankfurt, Darmstadt, Wiesbaden) |
2,303 | 1,578 | 17.4 | 22,500 | 133 | 7.57 | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | yes | 1.8 |
| Southern Ruhr Area (Dortmund, Essen, Bochum) |
2,172 | 829 | 13.0 | 42,149 | 167 | 5.38 | 3.0% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 5.0 | |
| Dresden | 2,136 | 931 | 14.5 | 38,192 | 147 | 5.40 | 2.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% | yes | 2.0 |
| Stuttgart | 1,821 | 1,432 | 16.9 | 19,418 | 108 | 7.11 | 2.5% | 0.1% | 3.0% | yes | 2.2 |
| Hamburg | 1,468 | 1,359 | 17.2 | 16,544 | 85 | 6.50 | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | yes | 2.7 |
| Munich | 1,374 | 2,071 | 22.5 | 9,800 | 61 | 7.43 | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | yes | 1.5 |
| Northern Ruhr Area (Duisburg, Gelsenkirchen) |
1,210 | 734 | 12.3 | 26,127 | 99 | 5.10 | 2.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 6.3 | |
| Hanover | 912 | 1,014 | 14.5 | 13,892 | 63 | 5.83 | 2.1% | 6.7% | 2.2% | yes | 2.8 |
| Kiel | 726 | 859 | 13.1 | 13,995 | 55 | 5.46 | 2.5% | 7.0% | 2.3% | yes | 5.1 |
| Bremen | 652 | 922 | 14.7 | 11,212 | 44 | 5.29 | 3.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 5.0 | |
| Westphalia (Münster, Osnabrück) | 515 | 826 | 13.0 | 9,501 | 40 | 5.37 | 3.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | yes | 4.2 |
| Freiburg | 393 | 1,399 | 17.4 | 4,071 | 23 | 6.67 | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | yes | 3.1 |
| Leipzig | 234 | 905 | 13.8 | 4,094 | 17 | 5.60 | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | yes | 4.2 |
| Other Strategic Locations | 1,771 | 1,071 | 15.2 | 25,668 | 117 | 5.97 | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5 | 3.6 |
| Total | 22,920 | 1,125 | 15.7 | 317,869 | 1,462 | 6.01 | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 28 | 3.3 |
Excluding non-core and non-strategic locations and including privatization assets in strategic locations. * Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
1 If more than 50% of the fair value of a regional market is in a Schwarmstadt, all of the fair value of that regional market is counted towards the Schwarmstadt; if less than 50% of the fair value of a regional market is in a Schwarmstadt, none of the fair value of that regional market is counted towards the Schwarmstadt 2 Above average = ranking 1-4
Portfolio weighting based on fair value; average for Germany based on number of units
| Illustrative Flow of Funds | |
|---|---|
| Rental Income | |
| - | Maintenance Expense |
| - | Operating expenses ("Platform costs") |
| + | adj. EBITDA Extension and Other |
| = | Adj. EBITDA Operations |
| - | Interest |
| - | Current Income Tax Rental |
| = | FFO 1 |
| - | Capitalized Maintenance |
| = | AFFO |
Portfolio
| Change 2008-2013 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cohort-growth rate 15-34 |
Total Population |
Age 20-34 | Age 30-34 | ||||
| Munich | 336 | 7.1% | 11.7% | 19.5% | |||
| Leipzig | 325 | 7.6% | 14.6% | 31.9% | |||
| Frankfurt/M. | 325 | 7.8% | 11.3% | 15.6% | |||
| Heidelberg | 287 | 4.3% | 6.7% | 22.9% | |||
| Darmstadt | 287 | 5.7% | 16.3% | 16.2% | |||
| Regensburg | 277 | 5.2% | 11.8% | 18.7% | |||
| Dresden | 271 | 6.1% | 6.6% | 22.8% | |||
| Karlsruhe | 271 | 4.9% | 15.1% | 17.2% | |||
| Freiburg | 258 | 6.7% | 10.3% | 18.2% | |||
| Stuttgart | 247 | 4.4% | 9.1% | 15.2% | |||
| Düsseldorf | 242 | 3.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | |||
| Münster | 241 | 5.4% | 8.9% | 18.2% | |||
| Cologne | 236 | 4.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | |||
| Mainz | 235 | 3.4% | 6.1% | 14.6% | |||
| Offenbach | 232 | 7.0% | 15.0% | 15.7% | |||
| Kiel | 231 | 3.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | |||
| Jena | 231 | 3.2% | 3.2% | 27.5% | |||
| Berlin | 223 | 5.0% | 11.1% | 22.9% | |||
| Braunschweig | 218 | 3.3% | 12.4% | 17.1% | |||
| Mannheim | 213 | 2.9% | 12.4% | 15.8% | |||
| Nuremberg | 211 | 3.2% | 8.9% | 15.5% | |||
| Bonn | 210 | 3.7% | 10.2% | 15.2% | |||
| Erlangen | 209 | 2.4% | 8.8% | 19.7% | |||
| Hamburg | 209 | 3.2% | 4.5% | 10.6% | |||
| Rostock | 207 | 2.4% | 4.5% | 30.3% | |||
| Landshut | 206 | 5.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | |||
| Koblenz | 206 | 2.3% | 13.7% | 15.9% | |||
| Augsburg | 205 | 3.9% | 11.2% | 15.1% | |||
| Halle | 205 | 0.8% | 5.1% | 20.0% | |||
| Trier | 203 | 1.9% | 6.9% | 17.8% | |||
| Germany (total) | 118 | 0.3% | 3.4% | 9.6% |
Schwarmstädte with stronger growth of young generation and stronger overall population growth
Portfolio
Frankfurt, Odenwaldstr. 2-4b
Frankfurt, Am Lindenbaum 15-85A
Frankfurt, Friedlebenstr. 32
Essen, Meistersingerstrasse 20-24C
Dresden, Niederseidewitzer Weg, 32-40
Dortmund, Binsengarten 8-24 A Dresden, Kipsdorfer Strasse, 123-139
Dresden, Berzdorfer Str. 20-24
Essen, Feldwiese 16-30 Dortmund, Doerwerstr, 68-70
Dortmund, Lippmannstr. 2-14 Essen, Bonnekampstr. 18-43 B
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017 page 73
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017 page 74
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017 page 75
Addition of new floor plus modernization investment - Before Addition of new floor plus modernization investment - After
Upgrade Building - Before Upgrade Building - After
Portfolio
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017
Portfolio Management 3
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017
| 2015 actuals |
Initial Guidance for 2016 (in Nov. '15) |
Updated Guidance for 2016 (in Aug. '16) |
Final Guidance for 2016 |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L-f-l rental growth (eop) | 2.9% | 2.8-3.0% | 3.0-3.2% | 3.0-3.2% | |
| Vacancy (eop) | 2.7% | ~3% | ~2.5% | ~2.5% | |
| Rental Income (€m) | 1,415 | 1,500-1,520 | 1,530-1,550 | 1,530-1,550 | Upper end of the |
| FFO1 (€m) | 608 | 690-710 | 740-760 | ~760 | guidance range; ~25% per-share |
| FFO1/share* (eop NOSH) |
€1.30 | €1.48-1.52 | €1.59-1.63 | ~€1.63 | growth y-o-y |
| EPRA NAV/share* (eop) |
€30.02 | €30-311 | €30-311 | ~€36 | Final 2016 guidance |
| Adj. EPRA NAV/share* (eop) |
€24.19 | €24-25 | €24-25 | ~€30 | includes current expectations for year |
| Maintenance (€m) | 331 | ~330 | ~340 | ~340 | end portfolio valuation uplift (mid-point) |
| Modernization (€m) | 356 | 430-500 | 470-500 | 470-500 | |
| Privatization (#) | 2,979 | ~2,400 | ~2,400 | ~2,500 | |
| FMV step-up (Privatization) | 30.5% | ~30% | >35% | >35% | |
| Non-core (#) | 12,195 | opportunistic | opportunistic | 24,000 Up to continuously opportunistic |
|
| FMV step-up (Non-Core) | 9.2% | ~0% | ~5% | ~5% | 19% increase y-o-y; |
| Dividend/share | €0.94 | ~70% of FFO1 | €1.05 | €1.122 | not subject to acceptance level in conwert tender |
1 Excluding assumptions for year-end valuation gains.
2 Intended to be proposed to the 2017 Annual General Meeting.
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | 9M 2016 | 9M 2015 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adj. EBITDA Operations* | 832.3 | 699.4 | +19.0% |
| FFO interest expense | -249.1 | -251.4 | -0.9% |
| Current income tax (Operations) | -11.6 | -7.6 | +52.6% |
| FFO 1 | 571.6 | 440.4 | +29.8% |
| of which attributable to Vonovia's shareholders |
536.2 | 402.9 | +33.1% |
| of which attributable to Vonovia's hybrid capital investors |
30.0 | 22.9 | +31.0% |
| of which attributable to non-controlling interests | 5.4 | 14.6 | -63.0% |
| Capitalized maintenance | -47.3 | -80.7 | -41.4% |
| AFFO* | 524.3 | 359.7 | +45.8% |
| Current income tax (Sales) | -33.1 | -8.2 | >100% |
| Adjusted EBITDA Sales* | 65.5 | 34.1 | +92.1% |
| FFO 2 | 604.0 | 466.3 | +29.5% |
| / share* FFO 1 € (eop NOSH) |
1.23 | 0.95 | +29.8% |
| / share* FFO 1 € (avg. NOSH) |
1.23 | 1.15 | +6.7% |
| / share* AFFO € (eop NOSH) |
1.13 | 0.77 | +45.7% |
| / share* AFFO € (avg. NOSH) |
1.13 | 0.94 | +19.5% |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | Sep. 30, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity attributable to Vonovia's shareholders |
10,356.5 | 10,620.5 | -2.5% |
| Deferred taxes on investment properties and assets held for sale |
3,293.5 | 3,241.2 | +1.6% |
| Fair value of derivative financial instruments1 | 114.2 | 169.9 | -32.8% |
| Deferred taxes on derivative financial instruments | -28.4 | -43.4 | -34.6% |
| EPRA NAV* | 13,735.8 | 13,988.2 | -1.8% |
| Goodwill | -2,718.9 | -2,714.7 | +0.2% |
| Adj. EPRA NAV* | 11,016.9 | 11,273.5 | -2.3% |
| EPRA NAV €/share* | 29.48 | 30.02 | -1.8% |
| Adj. EPRA NAV €/share* | 23.64 | 24.19 | -2.3% |
1 Adjusted for effects from cross currency swaps
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | 9M 2016 | 9M 2015 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 PROFIT FOR THE PERIOD |
278.3 | 193.5 | 43.8% |
| Financial result | 354.1 | 297.8 | 18.9% |
| Income taxes | 177.1 | 131.1 | 35.1% |
| Depreciation | 16.4 | 7.3 | >100% |
| Income from fair value adjustments of investment properties | --- | --- | --- |
| = EBITDA IFRS | 825.9 | 629.7 | 31.2% |
| Non-recurring items | 70.3 | 103.6 | -32.1% |
| Total period adjustments from assets held for sale | 11.2 | 0.6 | >100% |
| Income from invetsments in other real estate companies |
-9.6 | -0.4 | >100% |
| = ADJUSTED EBITDA | 897.8 | 733.5 | 22.4% |
| Adjusted EBITDA Sales* | -65.5 | -34.1 | 92.1% |
| Adjusted EBITDA Other | 6.9 | 2.5 | >100% |
| Adjusted EBITDA Extension* | -45.1 | -24.4 | 84.8% |
| = ADJUSTED EBITDA RENTAL* | 794.1 | 677.5 | 17.2% |
| Adjusted EBITDA Extension* | 45.1 | 24.4 | 84.8% |
| Adjusted EBITDA Other | -6.9 | -2.5 | >100% |
| Interest expense FFO | -249.1 | -251.4 | -0.9% |
| Current income taxes FFO 1 | -11.6 | -7.6 | 52.6% |
| = FFO 1 | 571.6 | 440.4 | 29.8% |
| Capitalised maintenance |
-47.3 | -80.7 | -41.4% |
| = AFFO | 524.3 | 359.7 | 45.8% |
| Current income taxes Sales | -33.1 | -8.2 | >100% |
| FFO 2 (FFO 1 incl. Adjusted EBITDA Sales*/current income taxes Sales) | 604.0 | 466.3 | 29.5% |
| NOSH)* FFO 1 per share in € (eop |
1.23 | 0.95 | 29.8% |
| * AFFO per share in € (eop NOSH) |
1.13 | 0.77 | 45.7% |
| Number of shares (million) | 466 | 466 | --- |
EBITDA increase mainly driven by rental business
Increase of adjusted EBITDA Sales* mainly due to higher Non-core sales volume, higher Non-core step-ups
Increase of adjusted EBITDA Extension* (+85%) reflects expansion strategy to the extent it is not accounted for under rental business
Adjusted EBITDA Rental* reflects operational performance as well as acquisitions
Note: 9M 2016 includes 9 months of GAGFAH and SÜDEWO contributions, while 9M 2015 only includes 7 months of GAGFAH, 6 months of Franconia and 3 months of SÜDEWO contributions * Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
P&L
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | 9M 2016 | 9M 2015 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Income from property letting |
1,640.3 | 1,470.3 | 11.6% |
| Other income from property management | 29.1 | 21.3 | 36.6% |
| Income from property management | 1,669.4 | 1,491.6 | 11.9% |
| Income from disposal of properties | 988.2 | 315.6 | >100% |
| Carrying amount of properties sold | -953.9 | -288.9 | >100% |
| Revaluation of assets held for sale | 37.9 | 24.4 | 55.3% |
| Profit on disposal of properties | 72.2 | 51.1 | 41.3% |
| Net income from fair value adjustments of investment properties |
--- | --- | --- |
| Capitalized internal expenses | 227.7 | 115.1 | 97.8% |
| Cost of materials | -790.6 | -683.0 | 15.8% |
| Personnel expenses | -267.1 | -234.5 | 13.9% |
| Depreciation and amortization | -16.4 | -7.3 | >100% |
| Other operating income | 70.5 | 60.1 | 17.3% |
| Other operating expenses | -166.7 | -171.8 | -3.0% |
| Financial income | 22.4 | 3.5 | >100% |
| Financial expenses | -366.0 | -300.2 | 21.9% |
| Earnings before tax | 455.4 | 324.6 | 40.3% |
| Income taxes | -177.1 | -131.1 | 35.1% |
| Profit for the period | 278.3 | 193.5 | 43.8% |
| Attributable to: | |||
| Vonovia's shareholders | 182.7 | 159.3 | 14.7% |
| Vonovia's hybrid capital investors |
22.4 | 22.4 | 0.0% |
| Non-controlling interests | 73.2 | 11.8 | >100% |
| Earnings per share (basic and diluted) in € | 0.39 | 0.42 | -5.7% |
Increase mainly acquisitionrelated; additionally in-place rent on a like-for-like basis increased by 2.8%; additionally vacancy rate decreased by 0.6pp
Increase mainly due to higher Non-core sales volume in 9M 2016 19,772 units vs. 3,574 in 9M 2015
Increase due to in-sourcing effect of craftsmen organization and larger volume of maintenance and modernization work
Ramp-up from 6,125 to 7,074 employees leads to increased personnel expenses which primarily result from TGS growth
Increase mainly driven by issuing EMTN Bond of €3.0bn in December 2015; higher prepayment fees and commitment interest
Note: 9M 2016 includes 9 months of GAGFAH and SÜDEWO contributions, while 9M 2015 only includes 7 months of GAGFAH, 6 months of Franconia and 3 months of SÜDEWO contributions
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | Sep. 30, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Delta | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | ||||
| Intangible assets | 2,741.0 | 2,724.0 | 0.6% | |
| Property, plant and equipment | 87.5 | 70.7 | 23.8% | Increase mainly due to |
| Investment properties | 23,696.9 | 23,431.3 | 1.1% | the acquisition and valuation of Deutsche |
| Financial assets | 729.7 | 221.7 | >100% | Wohnen shares |
| Other assets | 16.5 | 158.5 | -89.6% | |
| Income tax receivables | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0% | 2015 including advance payments |
| Deferred tax assets | 72.3 | 72.3 | 0.0% | made on acquisitions of companies and real |
| Total non-current assets | 27,344.0 | 26,678.6 | 2.5% | estate |
| Inventories | 4.6 | 3.8 | 21.1% | |
| Trade receivables | 257.9 | 352.2 | -26.8% | Decrease mainly due to scheduled and |
| Financial assets | - | 2.0 | -100% | unscheduled loan |
| Other assets | 114.0 | 113.4 | 0.5% | repayments, mainly GRF 1 and 3-yr 2013 |
| Income tax receivables | 20.6 | 23.1 | -10.8% | bond |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1,118.1 | 3,107.9 | -64.0% | |
| Assets held for sale | 102.8 | 678.1 | -84.8% | 2015 including 13,570 units sale to LEG |
| Total current assets | 1,618.0 | 4,280.5 | -62.2% | |
| Total assets | 28,962.0 | 30,959.1 | -6.5% |
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | Sep. 30, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Delta | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity and liabilities | Increase mainly | |||
| Subscribed capital | 466.0 | 466.0 | 0.0% | results from the |
| Capital reserves | 5,891.4 | 5,892.5 | 0.0% | valuation of the |
| Retained earnings | 3,961.2 | 4,309.9 | -8.1% | Deutsche Wohnen |
| Other reserves | 37.9 | -47.9 | >100% | shares |
| Total equity attributable to Vonovia's shareholders |
10,356.5 | 10,620.5 | -2.5% | |
| Equity attributable to hybrid capital investors | 1,031.5 | 1,001.6 | 3.0% | |
| Total equity attributable to Vonovia's shareholders and hybrid capital investors |
11,388.0 | 11,622.1 | -2.0% | |
| Non-controlling interests | 319.4 | 244.8 | 30.5% | |
| Total equity | 11,707.4 | 11,866.9 | -1.3% | Mainly repayment |
| Provisions | 661.4 | 612.9 | 7.9% | of GRF 1, and |
| Trade payables | 0.8 | 0.9 | -11.1% | repayments of |
| Non derivative financial liabilities | 12,737.4 | 13,951.3 | -8.7% | portfolio loans |
| Derivatives | 87.4 | 144.5 | -39.5% | |
| Liabilities from finance leases | 94.3 | 94.9 | -0.6% | |
| Liabilities to non-controlling interests | 8.0 | 46.3 | -82.7% | |
| Other liabilities | 88.6 | 25.9 | >100% | |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 2,633.9 | 2,528.3 | 4.2% | |
| Total non-current liabilities | 16,311.8 | 17,405.0 | -6.3% | |
| Provisions | 386.0 | 429.5 | -10.1% | Bond repayment |
| Trade payables | 113.8 | 91.6 | 24.2% | €700m |
| Non derivative financial liabilities | 262.6 | 988.6 | -73.4% | |
| Derivatives | 56.0 | 58.8 | -4.8% | |
| Liabilities from finance leases | 4.9 | 4.4 | 11.4% | |
| Liabilities to non-controlling interests | --- | 9.8 | -100% | |
| Other liabilities | 119.5 | 104.5 | 14.4% | |
| Total current liabilities | 942.8 | 1,687.2 | -44.1% | |
| Total liabilities | 17,254.6 | 19,092.2 | -9.6% | |
| Total equity and liabilities | 28,962.0 | 30,959.1 | -6.5% |
Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017
| 2015 Actuals |
2016 Guidance |
2017 Guidance |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L-f-l rental growth (eop) | 2.9% | 3.0-3.2% | 3.5%-3.7% | Rent growth expected to continue to accelerate |
| Vacancy (eop) | 2.7% | ~2.5% | <2.5% | |
| Rental Income (€m) | 1,415 | 1,530-1,550 | 1,530-1,550 | Stable top line on smaller portfolio |
| FFO1 (€m) | 608 | ~760 | 830-850 | |
| FFO1/share* (eop NOSH) |
€1.30 | ~€1.63 | €1.78-€1.82 | Double-digit organic growth (mid-point) |
| EPRA NAV/share* (eop) |
€30.02 | ~€36 | €37-€38* | Including valuation impact from |
| Adj. EPRA NAV/share* (eop) |
€24.19 | ~€30 | €31-€32 | improved performance and investments (~4% NAV growth); excluding any assumptions for yield compression. |
| Maintenance (€m) | 331 | ~340 | ~340 | Every 1% value uplift from yield |
| Modernization (€m) | 356 | 470-500 | 700-730 | compression results in ~€0.60 NAV growth per share. |
| Privatization (#) | 2,979 | ~2,500 | ~2,300 | Expect to initiate €1bn investment program for modernization and space creation in 2017, of which €700m-€730m are expected to be completed and accounted for within the 2017 financial year. |
| FMV step-up (Privatization) | 30.5% | >35% | ~35% | |
| Non-core (#) | 12,195 | 24,000 Up to continuously opportunistic |
opportunistic | |
| FMV step-up (Non-Core) | 9.2% | ~5% | >0% | |
| Dividend/share | €0.94 | €1.12 | 70% of FFO 1 |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
| 9M 2016 / | 9M 2015 / | |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2016 | Sep 30, 2015 | |
| Headcount (eop) | 7,074 | 6,125 |
| EPRA vacancy rate (eop) | 2.6% | 3.2% |
| IFRS profit for the period | 278.3 | 193.5 |
| Number of units acquired | 2,440 | 168,632 |
| Number of units sold | 21,922 | 5,322 |
| Total residential sqm ('000; eop) |
21,064 | 22,863 |
| Item | Comment / Description / Source |
|---|---|
| Acquisition | 200k units include the acquisition of Vitus (30k), Dewag (11k), Franconia (5k), Südewo (20k), and Gagfah (140k) |
| Acquisition pipeline: "Analyzed in more detail" | Generally interesting and reviewed by central Acquisitions Department |
| Acquisition pipeline: "Bids" | Submission of indicative or binding offer following a due diligence |
| Acquisition pipeline: "Due Diligence" | Thorough review of promising transactions of "Analyzed in more detail" category, including support from respective Vonovia Regions |
| Acquisition pipeline: "Examined" | Offers received (duplicates excluded) |
| Acquisition pipeline: "Signed" | Signed purchase agreement after successful bid |
| Adj. EBITDA Extension | (Income not related to EBITDA Rental or EBITDA Sales) - (Operating expenses not related to EBITDA Rental or EBITDA Sales); 2016E and 2017E estimates are based on the Internal Management Report |
| Adj. EBITDA Operations | Adj. EBITDA - Adj. EBITDA Sales |
| Adj. EBITDA Operations margin | Adj. EBITDA Operations / Total rental income |
| Adj. EBITDA Operations margin (excl. Maintenance) | (Adj. EBITDA Operations + Maintenance expenses) / Total rental income |
| Adj. EBITDA Operations per average unit | Adj. EBITDA Operations / average number of own apartments in the reporting period |
| Adj. EBITDA Rental | Rental income - Maintenance expenses - Operating expenses |
| Adj. EBITDA Sales | IFRS profit on disposal of properties - revaluation (realized) of assets held for sale + revaluation from disposal of assets held for sale - Selling costs |
| Adj. EPRA NAV | Net Asset Value as defined by the European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA) minus goodwill amount |
| Adj. EPRA NAV per share | Net Asset Value as defined by the European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA) minus goodwill amount divided by the number of shares at the end of the reporting period |
| AFFO | FFO 1 - Capitalized Maintenance |
| AFFO per share (avg. NOSH) | AFFO / average number of shares in the reporting period (9M 2016: 466.0m; 9M 2015: 383.0m) |
| AFFO per share (eop NOSH) | AFFO / number of shares at the end of the reporting period (466m shares for both Sep. 30, 2016 and Sep. 30, 2015) |
| Avg. rent growth forecast CBRE (5yrs) | Average rent growth CAGR 5 years forecast in the current CBRE market valuation. |
| Cost per €100m (bond issuance) | Legal fees, bookrunner fees, rating agency fee, others |
| Cost per average unit | (Operating expenses of the Rental segment + Adj. EBITDA Extension/Other) / average number of own apartments in the reporting period |
| Covenant: ICR | Adj. EBITDA (total) / FFO interest expense (each calculated for the last twelve months) |
| Covenant: LTV | Total non derivative financial liabilities / total assets (as shown in the balance sheet) |
| Item | Comment / Description / Source |
|---|---|
| Covenant: Secured LTV | Total secured non derivative financial liabilities / total assets (as shown in the balance sheet) |
| Covenant: Unencumbered assets | Total unencumbered assets / total unsecured non derivative financial liabilities |
| Debt/EBITDA | Net Debt/EBITDA operations; based on internal forecast for 2016 on the basis of 9M actuals |
| Disposal | 42k units sold includes reported sales of 4.1k in 2013, 1.8k in 2014, 12.2k in 2015 and the estimate of around 24k for 2016 |
| EPRA NAV | Net Asset Value as defined by the European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA) |
| EPRA NAV per share | Net Asset Value as defined by the European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA) divided by the number of shares at the end of the reporting period (466m shares for both Sep. 30, 2016 and Sep. 30, 2015) |
| EPRA NAV per share 2017 guidance | Based on current EPRA NAV per share forecast for 2016 and then adjusted for estimates: (i) 2017 FFO 1, (ii) disposals, (iii) fair value gain through rent growth, (iv) dividend payout; does not include any impact from yield compression |
| Fair value of disposal | Carrying amount of properties sold + Revaluation from sale of assets held for sale |
| Fair value step-up | Income from disposal / fair value of disposal |
| FFO1 per average unit |
FFO 1 / average number of own apartments in the reporting period (9M 2015: 316.7k; 9M 2015: 347.7k) |
| FFO1 per share | Unless indicated otherwise, FFO per share is calculated on the basis of the number of shares as of the end of the reporting period (466m shares for both Sep. 30, 2016 and Sep. 30, 2015) |
| FFO1 per share (avg. NOSH) | FFO1 / average number of shares in the reporting period (9M 2016: 466.0m; 9M 2015: 383.0m) |
| FFO1 per share (eop NOSH) | FFO1 / number of shares at the end of the reporting period (466m shares for both Sep. 30, 2016 and Sep. 30, 2015) |
| ICR | Adj. EBITDA (total) / FFO interest expense (each calculated for the last twelve months) |
| Maintenance capitalization ratio | Capitalized maintenance / (Expenses for maintenance + Capitalized maintenance) |
| Market costs for new constructions | Average market costs for building German multifamily houses |
| Modernization | Reported investment amounts for 2013 (€65m), 2014 (€172m) and 2015 (€356m) + estimated volume for 2016 of €470m-€500m |
| Multimedia Service Contracts 270k at YE 2016 | Source: Internal Management Report |
| Number of months until costs are earned by rental income | Based on Forecast 3+9 2016 |
| Pro forma LTV | Source: Internal Management Report |
| Re-letting rent growth (y-o-y) | (Re-letting rent current period - Re-letting rent prior period) / Re-letting rent prior period |
| Third party and condo management with 77k units | Includes 3rd-party owned and Vonovia owned condos plus 3rd-party managed units that were acquired in the context of buying 3rd-party management companies IVV, Haase and MVG; Source: Internal Management Report |
| Unencumbered assets | Total unencumbered assets / total unsecured non derivative financial liabilities |
| VNA modular construction costs | Actual costs for pilot project for modular construction in Bochum |
| Non-deal Asia Roadshow, February 7-10, 2017 | page 96 |
This presentation has been specifically prepared by Vonovia SE and/or its affiliates (together, "Vonovia") for internal use. Consequently, it may not be sufficient or appropriate for the purpose for which a third party might use it.
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This presentation includes statements, estimates, opinions and projections with respect to anticipated future performance of Vonovia ("forward-looking statements") which reflect various assumptions concerning anticipated results taken from DA's current business plan or from public sources which have not been independently verified or assessed by Vonovia and which may or may not prove to be correct. Any forward-looking statements reflect current expectations based on the current business plan and various other assumptions and involve significant risks and uncertainties and should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Any forward-looking statements only speak as at the date the presentation is provided to the recipient. It is up to the recipient of this presentation to make its own assessment of the validity of any forward-looking statements and assumptions and no liability is accepted by Vonovia in respect of the achievement of such forward-looking statements and assumptions.
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Tables and diagrams may include rounding effects.
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