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Volue ASA — Investor Presentation 2020
Feb 12, 2021
3783_rns_2021-02-12_f74effce-da8d-4146-ac58-a482f8f702ac.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Fourth-quarter 2020 financial results
12 February 2021
Disclaimer
This presentation has been produced by Volue AS (the "Company" or "Volue") exclusively for information purposes. This presentation is confidential and may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, or disclosed by any recipient, to any other person. To the best of the knowledge of the Company and its board of directors, the information contained in this presentation is in all material respect in accordance with the facts as of the date hereof, and contains no material omissions likely to affect its import.
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and its subsidiaries and/or the industry in which the Company operates. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes", "expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development. Neither the Company nor any of its subsidiaries or any such person's officers or employees provides any assurance that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor does any of them accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. The Company assumes no obligation, except as required by law, to update any forward-looking statements or to conform these forward-looking statements to any actual results.
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Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this presentation.
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This presentation has been prepared for information purposes only, and does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer, invitation or recommendation to purchase, sell or subscribe for any securities in any jurisdiction and neither the issue of the information nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into, any investment activity.
This presentation is subject to Norwegian law and any dispute arising in respect of this presentation is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of Norwegian courts with Oslo district court as legal venue.
Q4 Highlights
Financial results
Revenues
NOK 240 million 17 % growth from Q4 2019*
Adjusted EBITDA
NOK 54 million
23 % margin, improved from Q4 2019
Recurring revenues
NOK 170 million
17 % growth from Q4 2019
Cash balance
NOK 411 million**
Improved from operational activities
Operations and sales
- Listed on Euronext Growth, gross proceeds of NOK 500 million raised in private placement
- Acquired leading algorithmic trading provider Likron GmbH
- Purchased minority shares in subsidiaries of Volue AS
- Sales closed above target for the period
- Reiterating solid market outlook for 2021
- Limited operational impact by COVID-19 pandemic
Subsequent events
- Launched Volue as one brand in January
- On-track for OSE listing in H1 2021
- Additional contract win in the US with the Insight portfolio
*The 2019 figures have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and is based on continuity and not the proforma figures, which was reported in the Q3 report.
** Cash balance, ex restricted cash
Volue – Realising the future of energy
https://vimeo.com/455734115?ref=em-v-share
Volue in brief: A leading supplier of software and technology solutions for the energy, power grid and infrastructure markets
Brief overview of Volue
Volue in numbers
- 2,000 customers in 44 countries
- 50 years in green-tech
- One of the largest software companies in Norway
- NOK 892m in revenues (2020)
- 22% adjusted EBITDA margin (2020)
- More than 30 offices in 9 countries
- A strong team of 600 engaged employees
Key target markets
Energy production and trading
Water and wastewater
Construction
Industrial IoT
Volue in brief: A leading supplier of software and technology solutions for the energy, power grid and infrastructure markets
What Volue offers
Software suite built on deep domain knowledge for the entire clean energy valuechain
Market-leading access to data required to optimise operations and trading in the complex future energy markets
Strong and trusted relationship with > 2,000 customers in the Nordics and Europe
Volue is active in three segments
Help customers master the energy transition by enabling end-to-end optimisation of the green energy value-chain
| 2020 sales (% of total) |
NOK 454m (51%) |
|---|---|
| Recurring revenue share (2020) |
66% |
| Degree of EU Taxonomy alignment |
HIGH |
Enable power distributors to support electrification of society by unlocking flexibility and digital management of the power grid
| 2020 sales (% of total) |
NOK 236m (26%) |
|---|---|
| Recurring revenue share (2020) |
60% |
| Degree of EU Taxonomy alignment |
HIGH |
Energy Power Grid Infrastructure
Deliver flexible capabilities for digital water management and help automate processes and machines for the construction industry
| 2020 sales (% of total) |
NOK 202m (23%) |
|---|---|
| Recurring revenue share (2020) |
63% |
| Degree of EU Taxonomy alignment |
HIGH |
Key developments
On track to list on OSE in H1 2021
1 Listing on Euronext Growth was important milestone to accelerate structural and organic
growth
Attracting a broader investor market base is important for Volue over time. The company has the right metrics for being listed on OSE
2
3
Company prepares for OSE listing in H1 2021
Key developments in Q4
Intraday trading transformation
- Significant contract wins full digitalisation of intraday trading process
- Partnership programme with customers from Nordics and continental Europe
- Promising development in the US market with Insight portfolio
- Increasing market actitivies
Sales transformation
- Reinvented sales from field sales to digital channels
- Digital infrastructure conference with record-high attendence
4
1
2
3
Completion of Likron GmbH acquisition
- Adding a highly skilled and experienced team
- Forming new Centre of Excellence for Power trading solutions
Likron: A pioneer in automated energy trading
About Likron
Founded in 2010
- First Independent Software Vendor (ISV) for the European power exchange EPEX SPOT to develop an algorithmic machine for electrical power intraday trading
- Brings deep trading expertise, state of the art IT and quantitative analysis to the short-term energy markets
Milestones
- First EPEX SPOT ISV 2014 (Germany)
- Nord Pool ISV 2016 (Nordics)
- ICS / Catrina 2018 (Cross border capacity trading)
- Trayport / Pegas 2018 (European Natural Gas)
- HUPX 2019 (Hungary)
Core services & products
- Cloud born SaaS offering, 65% of total revenue
- 24/7 algo energy trading
- Quant trading strategies
- Portfolio optimisation
Likron in numbers
| > 6 years of Algo trading | ~ 45 GWh/day with algos |
|---|---|
| > 30 employees | ~ 22k trades / day |
| > 40 TWh traded |
~20% of EPEX Trades |
| > 30 production accounts | 2/3 market share of ISV trading volume |
Selected customers and projects
Likron – Strategic rationale for acquisition
Creating an algorithmic trading powerhouse
Acquisition further strengthens Value's offering within algorithmic power trading solutions in Europe
Volue takes active role in a muchneeded consolidation of energy technology market, with a goal of helping customers accelerate shift to renewable energy
Accelerating growth and innovation in areas relevant to the green energy transition
Transition to carbon-free energy production depends on a successful digitalisation of the entire green energy value-chain
One company, one culture, one brand, one go-to-market channel
Financial results for the fourth quarter 2020
Financial highlights
Financial highlights Comments
| Financial highlights (NOKm) | Q4 2020 | Q4 20191 | 31.12.2020 | 31.12.20191 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 240 | 206 | 892 | 798 |
| Gross margin | 81 % | 87 % | 83 % | 87 % |
| Adjusted EBITDA2 | 54 | 32 | 197 | 134 |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin | 23 % | 16 % | 22 % | 17 % |
| EBITDA | 30 | 19 | 149 | 100 |
| EBITDA margin | 13 % | 9 % | 17 % | 13 % |
| Cash balance at the end of the period3 | 453 | 233 | 453 | 280 |
| Recurring revenue growth (%) | 17 % | NA | 12 % | NA |
| Recurring revenue (% of revenue) | 70 % | 69 % | 64 % | 64 % |
| SaaS revenue growth (%) | 34 % | NA | 31 % | NA |
| Saas revenue (% of revenue) |
20 % | 17 % | 16 % | 14 % |
| R&D CAPEX (NOKm) | 27 | 9 | 86 | 33 |
| R&D CAPEX (% of revenue) | 11 % | 5 % | 10 % | 4 % |
1 The 2019 figures have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and is based on continuity and not the proforma figures, which was reported in the Q3 report.
- Strong revenue growth in Q4 2020 on 17 % driven by European expansion
- Strong contribution from the Energy segment with 18 % growth in Q4
- Infrastructure area with a growth rate on 29 % growth in Q4
- Limited impact from Covid-19 with good order intake and growth in Q4 2020
- Growth in recurring revenues through sales closing above targets
- Overall Growth rates significantly improved compared to 2019
- Adjusted EBITDA margin in Q4 improved
- Personnel + other OPEX growing lower than revenue, scale advantages will increase margin levels going forward
- Cost related to IPO partly included in Q4 results
- Improved EBITDA margins for all segments
- R&D capitalisation stable around ~10-11%
2 EBITDA adjusted for non-recurring items
3 Including restricted cash
16
Step change in revenue growth and highly sticky customer base
Step change in revenue growth expected ~0 customer relations lost due to replacement
Value increases being addressed gradually to maintain customers
Accelerating shift towards SaaS and recurring revenue
Double-digit recurring revenue growth
SaaS growth: >30%
1 Recurring revenues is defined as revenue from subscriptions and maintenance over a year
2 SaaS revenue is defined as revenue from software hosted by Volue and distributed through web applications
Industry developments and strategy
Cleaner energy pressuring the infrastructure
Software spending from the power sector to reach USD 5bn by 2025 (up 60% vs. today), fuelled by the green energy shift
Growth drivers
Increased renewable capacity and shifting wholesale market dynamics, resulting in increased power market complexity
Solutions within advanced analytics, artificial intelligence and optimisation growing the most
Expected growth in power software spending, requires additional hardware, implementation and services, driving total digitalisation costs to 2x power software spending
Europe is at the forefront of power digitalisation, with 25% share of global spending
Growing share of green, non-controllable power sources increases the complexity in the European energy markets
Non-controllable power will represent more than 50% of European power capacity…
…making the process to optimise production and trading exponentially more complex
Increase in non-controllable production sources,
with production changing in seconds Real-time decision making requires new software tools Few and expensive storage or switch-off alternatives
Example from the new reality: Penalties paid in the balancing market can be extreme if failing to re-position in the intraday market
Volue enabling customer success
Software, markets insights and IoT technology covering entire value-chain
| ANALYSE | PLAN & OPERATE | MONETISE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPTURE > AGGREGATE > |
FORECAST | > OPTIMISE |
> SCHEDULE > |
TRADE > SETTLE |
||
| IIoT - Sensor data Market data & forecasts on capacity, fundamentals and prices: Long- and short-term |
||||||
| capturing & aggregation Hydrology Meteorology Environment |
Forecasting Inflow & Demand |
Long & short-term production planning & optimisation Multi-purpose technologies |
Trading Intraday algo trading |
(power & gas) Spot auction bidding (on the roadmap) Ancillary service bidding & activation request |
Settlement Nordic Balance Settlement |
|
| Position mgmt | & scheduling (power and gas) |
Volue offers a comprehensive product and service portfolio, covering the entire clean energy value-chain
Significantly simplifying access and interaction for all stakeholders
Services are mainly delivered on a cloud platform, underlining fact that the SaaS transformation is well underway
Addressing the shared customer segment across Volue's business units opens significant cross-sales opportunities
Large international client base a testament to Volue's high-quality offering
Recent significant strategic contract wins
Multinational Italian electric utility company serving over 70 million customers
Q4 2019
German electric utility company serving more than 5 million costumers Q3 2020
Significant value-creation potential demonstrated for customers adopting business-critical solutions from Volue
Integrated SaaS offering covering the whole value-chain
Real-life example – Volue trading platform
Volue's successful Gemini SaaS platform illustrates the potential of the transition towards a cloud-based model
2021 - Outlook and priorities
Summary: Solid position for profitable growth and expansion
1
The shift towards green, non-controllable energy sources drives increased volatility and complexity for customers, requiring dynamic and cloud-based software solutions
Volue offers wall-to-wall SaaS solutions and has built up a customer base comprising the leading European energy companies
2
3
Ongoing SaaStransformation with solid growth in recurring revenues and an uptick in EBITDA margins
Ambitions to create a NOK 2 billion revenue company by 2025
Highly fragmented market – Volue aims to pursue consolidation
Ambitions to act as a consolidator and engage in bolt-on transactions on a recurring basis as well as pursue larger strategic options in a more opportunistic manner
Priorities and ambitions for 2021
Reach NOK 1 billion in run-rate sales
Exceed 20% in EBITDA margin
Accelerate growth in ARR through SaaS transformation
Structural growth – Take lead position in market consolidation
Utilise synergies in Volue group to increase operational efficiency
6
List on Oslo Stock Exchange in H1 2021
Appendix
Financial and operational information
Group P&L and KPIs
Group financial performance Comments
| Key metrics (NOKm) | Q4 2020 | Q3 2020 | Q4 2019 | 31.12.2020 | 31.12.2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 240 | 209 | 206 | 892 | 798 |
| COGS | 45 | 40 | 26 | 153 | 107 |
| Gross profit | 195 | 169 | 179 | 739 | 691 |
| Gross margin % | 81 % | 81 % | 87 % | 83 % | 87 % |
| Personnel expenses (excl. capitalised R&D) |
129 | 93 | 120 | 437 | 436 |
| Other OPEX | 11 | 26 | 27 | 105 | 122 |
| Adj EBITDA | 54 | 50 | 32 | 197 | 134 |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin % | 23 % | 24 % | 16 % | 22 % | 17 % |
| Non-recurring items | 24 | 11 | 13 | 48 | 34 |
| EBITDA | 30 | 40 | 19 | 149 | 100 |
| EBITDA margin % | 13 % | 19 % | 9 % | 17 % | 13 % |
| Depreciation and amortization | 18 | 17 | 15 | 66 | 60 |
| EBIT | 12 | 23 | 4 | 83 | 40 |
| EBIT margin % | 5 % | 11 % | 2 % | 9 % | 5 % |
| Net Finance | (4) | (4) | 1 | (9) | (6) |
| EBT | 8 | 19 | 5 | 74 | 34 |
| Tax | (13) | 14 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| Profit (loss) continued operations | 21 | 5 | 1 | 67 | 25 |
| Profit/loss from discontinued operations1 | 0 | 33 | (20) | 39 | (45) |
| Net profit/loss | 21 | 38 | -20 | 106 | -20 |
- Strong revenue growth in Q4 2020 on 17 % driven by European expansion
- Strong contribution from the Energy segment with 18 % growth in Q4
- Infrastructure area with a growth rate on 29 % growth in Q4
- Limited impact from Covid-19 with good order intake and growth in Q4 2020
- Growth in recurring revenues through sales closing above targets
- Overall Growth rates significantly improved compared to 2019
- Adjusted EBITDA margin in Q4 improved
- Personnel + other OPEX growing lower than revenue, scale advantages will increase margin levels going forward
- Cost related to IPO partly included in Q4 results
- Improved EBITDA margins for all segments
- R&D capitalisation stable around ~10-11%
Balance sheet
Balance sheet
| Balance sheet (NOKm) | Q4 2020 | Q3 2020 | Q4 2019 | Balance sheet (NOKm) | Q4 2020 | Q3 2020 | Q4 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | LIABILITIES AND EQUITY | ||||||
| Deferred tax asset | 12 | 8 | 5 | Equity | 807 | 417 | 362 |
| Other intangible assets | 212 | 129 | 92 | Total Equity | 807 | 417 | 362 |
| Goodwill | 248 | 147 | 146 | ||||
| Tangible fixed assets | 163 | 150 | 109 | Deferred tax liabilities | 37 | 17 | 5 |
| Pension assets | 15 | 13 | 19 | Leasing obligations | 130 | 105 | 74 |
| Other receivables | 0 | 0 | 1 | Other long-term debt | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| Total non -current assets | 650 | 449 | 370 | Total non - current liabilities |
176 | 132 | 87 |
| Inventory | 13 | 16 | 9 | ||||
| Contract assets | 40 | 52 | 54 | Loans | 24 | 3 | 64 |
| Accounts receivable and other receivables | 327 | 220 | 270 | Accounts payable | 205 | 92 | 114 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 453 | 280 | 233 | Tax payable | 8 | 18 | 9 |
| Financial assets held for trading | 10 | 10 | 10 | Other current liabilities | 274 | 364 | 339 |
| Held for sale operations | 0 | 0 | 142 | Obligations discontinued business | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| Total current assets | 843 | 578 | 718 | Total current liabilities | 510 | 478 | 639 |
| Total assets | 1,493 | 1,027 | 1,088 | Total liabilities and equity | 1,493 | 1,027 | 1,088 |
Cash flow statement
39
| Cash flow statement (NOKm) | 31.12.2020 | 31.12.2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Profit before tax from continuing operations | 67 | 25 |
| Depreciations | 66 | 68 |
| Net finance | 9 | 6 |
| Tax expense | 6 | 9 |
| Change in inventory, accounts receivable, contract assets and | ||
| accounts payable | -57 | -27 |
| Change in net other current assets and other operating items | 16 | 111 |
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 108 | 191 |
| Interest received | 7 | 8 |
| Purchase of property, plant and intangible assets | -102 | -32 |
| Purchase of other investments | - | -10 |
| Acquisition of non-controlling interests | -240 | 18 |
| Acquisition of a subsidiary | -61 | 0 |
| Proceeds from the sale of shares in subsidiaries | 59 | 1 |
| Net cash flow from investing activities | -336 | -15 |
| Payment of share capital | 511 | - |
| Dividends paid | -41 | -7 |
| Change in other financing activities | -20 | -121 |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | 449 | -128 |
| Change in cash and cash equivalents | 220 | 48 |
| Cash and cash equivalents opening balance | 233 | 185 |
| Cash and cash equivalents closing balance | 453 | 233 |
Energy
Key financials and KPIs Comments
Growth
- Growth rates primarily driven SaaS-offerings and large ongoing projects 18 % growth in Q4
- Growth through recurring revenues strong performance on SaaS offering through analytics and forecasting platform
- Solid backlog from several major customer wins
Profitability
- Increase in margins 2020 due to strong revenue growth
- Turnaround in 2018 with impact on margins in 2019 further uplift in EBITDA level throughout 2020. Large increase in capacity in 2020 for further investments in new product and services
CAPEX
- CAPEX level at ~12 % of sales, mainly constituted by R&D investments
- Significant investments into new products related to optimisation and trading solutions
- Investment plan established in 2018 for analytics and forecasting pure SaaS business and delivery model
Power Grid
Key financials and KPIs Comments
Growth
- Positive development in growth rates in 2020 compared to 2019.
- Change in strategic focus areas in 2018 gives growth rates
- Growth in Sweden and Denmark, as well as in the Norwegian home market, with large ongoing projects
Profitability
- EBITDA margin improved from Q4 2019
- Negative contribution from one large project impacting development in 2018, 2019 and 2020 – no negative impact expected for 2021
- Investments in market expansions in 2020
CAPEX
- CAPEX at ~8 % of sales
- Ongoing investments in flexibility products
- CAPEX level expected to increase over the next 12 months
Infrastructure
Key financials and KPIs Comments
Growth
- Strong growth in Q4 2020 with 29 % growth.
- Growth rates driven by strong performance in home markets from the Construction market
- Ongoing market expansions in Sweden gives uplift in revenue growth outside Norway
- Construction market with solid growth rates due to increasing need for digitalisation
- Deliveries through software and SaaS deliveries, with strong uplift in recurring revenue levels
Profitability
- Strong margins following several years with high growth in recurring revenues, mainly through SaaS offerings
- Profitability supported by scalable business models and easy onboarding processes
- Investments in market expansions in 2020
CAPEX
- CAPEX level at ~11 % of sales, expected to stay at same levels near-term
- Ongoing investments to increase offerings on Gemini platform and additions to the current product range
- All investments directed towards SaaS offerings
Alternative performance measures
Basis for preparation
This presentation provides financial highlights for the quarter for Volue. The financial information is not reported according to the requirements in IAS 34 and the figures are not audited.
The 2019 figures have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and is based on continuity and not the proforma figures, which was reported in the Q3 report. The difference for revenues in 2019 proforma versus continuity figures is related to sales between Scanmatic AS and Scanmatic Electro AS. All figures related Scanmatic Electro AS has been classified as discontinued operation in 2019 and 2020 figures.
Alternative performance measures
Alternative performance measures
Volue AS presents alternative performance measures as a supplement to measures regulated by IFRS. The alternative performance measures are presented to provide better insight and understanding of operations, financial position and the basis for future developments.
The definitions of these measures are as follows:
EBITDA - Profit/loss before tax, net finance cost, depreciation, amortization and impairment.
EBITDA adjusted - In order to give a better representation of underlying performance, the following adjustments are made to EBITDA:
• Special items: items that are not part of the ordinary business, such as IPO related costs
EBIT - Profit/loss before tax and net finance cost.
Net interest-bearing debt - Total interest-bearing debt, less interest-bearing receivables and cash.
Equity ratio - Total equity divided by total assets.