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VICINITY CENTRES TRUST — Interim / Quarterly Report 2018
Apr 30, 2018
65995_rns_2018-04-30_4c1e6c06-356e-4376-bb65-8bfd80919eaa.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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Mandurah Forum, WA
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March 2018 quarterly update
1 May 2018
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Portfolio strengthened
FY18 funds from operations (FFO) earnings guidance firmed to 18.2 cents per security[1 ]
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Sustained improvement in portfolio quality
Unrivalled premium CBD retail exposure with settlement of Sydney CBD Centres[2 ]
Chadstone, Australia’s number one centre, MAT up 24% to $1.99b
DFOs, Australia’s leading Outlet Centre portfolio, MAT up 4.6%
Progressing targeted divestments of ~$300m of non-core assets, with two centres sold for a combined $109m at a 3.1% premium to book value
Retail sales showing signs of improvement
Development pipeline delivery unlocking value and demonstrating capability
Chadstone $666m[3] major development yield improved to 7.0%
Mandurah Forum opened final stage and trading strongly
The Glen opened stage two and trading strongly
Meaningful growth opportunities
Significant development pipeline
Australia’s largest shopping centre solar investment project launched
Alternative income streams continue to grow strongly
Opportunity for significant mixed-use development at many assets
FY18 FFO guidance firmed to 18.2 cps, the top end of previous guidance range[1 ]
Distribution guidance for FY18 is to payout 100% of adjusted funds from operations (AFFO)[1]
- Assuming no material deterioration to existing economic conditions. 2. Queen Victoria Building, The Galeries and The Strand Arcade. 3. 100% interest. Vicinity’s share is 50%.
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Queen Victoria Building, NSW
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Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
2
Portfolio quality and performance benefiting from ongoing active management
Specialty MAT has improved 22%[1] , and average asset value up 50%[2] , since merger
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Comparable specialty store sales
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Mar-18
11,000
10,500
Including Chadstone $10,243 [1]
10,000 Divested $930m of assets Acquired Sydney CBD Centres $9,918
Acquired Ellenbrook, Divested Toormina Gardens
9,500 Livingston and
DFO Brisbane
9,000
$8,412 Divested Acquired
$510m of assets remaining
8,500
25% of DFO
South Wharf
8,000
Divested $220m
of assets
7,500
7,000
Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17
MAT per sqm ($)
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Improvement in metrics since merger
| **Mar-183 ** | Jun-15 | Change | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of retail assets | 76 | 88 | (12) | |
| Specialty sales per sqm4 | $9,918 | $8,412 | 18% | |
| Specialty occupancy cost4 | 14.8% | 15.4% | (60 bps) | |
| Average asset value (100%) | $358m2 | $239m | 50% | |
| Weighted average capitalisation rate | 5.42% | 6.30% | (88 bps) |
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Only March 2018 includes Chadstone same-store specialty sales and the Sydney CBD Centres acquired in April 2018.
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Excludes DFO Perth, WA, which is under construction and includes Sydney CBD Centres acquired in April 2018.
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Includes Sydney CBD Centres acquired in April 2018.
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Comparable. Excludes divestments and development-impacted centres in accordance with Shopping Centre Council of Australia (SCCA) guidelines.
Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
3
Unrivalled premium retail offer across Australia’s three largest CBDs
Swap of premium Sydney assets settled
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Sydney CBD Centres
1.1b[Increase in assets under management ] $
24 225[Specialty MAT/sqm ] $ ,
5.0%[Specialty MAT growth]
16.3%[Specialty occupancy costs]
60m[Visitors annually ]
Acquired 50% interests in Queen Victoria Building, The Strand Arcade and The Galeries in exchange for a 49% interest in Chatswood Chase Sydney Presence in all three major CBDs provides unique competitive advantage in attracting best of class international and domestic retailers
Strong future potential at Sydney CBD Centres from customer growth, new transport infrastructure and opportunities to add value
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The Strand Arcade, NSW
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Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
4
Chadstone performing very strongly post development
Consumers attracted by unparalleled high quality experience and expanded luxury, dining and entertainment offer
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Annual MAT on track to achieve $2b during $1.99b the June 2018 quarter
MAT across Australia for 17[th] consecutive year[1] , #1 >60% higher than next peer
#1[Luxury precinct in Australia ]
12.8%[Annual growth in visitation to over 22m]
10.6%[Same-store specialty MAT growth ]
15.5%[Specialty occupancy costs ]
Victoria’s Secret flagship store in Australia 1st announced
7.0% Yield on $666m development[2] , exceeding feasibility expected return
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Artist’s impression
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1. Big Guns Survey 2018.
2. 100% interest. Vicinity’s share is 50%.
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Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
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DFO portfolio continues to perform strongly
Leading owner and manager of Outlet Centres in Australia
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#1[Australia’s leading Outlet Centre portfolio ]
4.6%[MAT growth]
18.7%[Average leasing spread March 2018 quarter]
15.8%[Annualised total return since acquisition ]
$9,957[Specialty MAT/sqm ]
10.9%[Specialty occupancy costs ]
DFO South Wharf, VIC
Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
6
Portfolio sales by store type
Sales have improved across the majority of categories
| Actual MAT | Actual MAT | Comparable1 growth | Comparable1 growth | Comparable1 growth | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAT Mar-182 ($m) % of portfolio sales (%) |
MAT | Quarter | |||
| Mar-182 (%) Dec-17 (%) |
Mar-182 (%) |
||||
| Specialty stores | 6,694 | 39 | 0.4 | (0.7) | 1.9 |
| Mini majors | 2,095 | 12 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 4.8 |
| Specialties and mini majors | 8,789 | 52 | 1.2 | (0.1) | 2.4 |
| Supermarkets | 4,579 | 27 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Discount department stores | 1,583 | 9 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 3.3 |
| Other retail3 | 1,226 | 7 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Department stores | 803 | 5 | (3.8) | (4.5) | 0.3 |
| Total portfolio | 16,980 | 100 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2.0 |
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Specialty stores
Including Chadstone same-store sales and excluding pre-development centres[4] , growth was 1.7% (versus 0.4%)
Mini majors
Including Chadstone same-store sales and excluding pre-development centres[4] , growth was 6.1% (versus 4.4%)
Supermarkets and discount department stores
Growth improving but performance across brands remains mixed
Note: Totals may not sum due to rounding.
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Excludes divestments and development-impacted centres in accordance with SCCA guidelines.
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Includes Sydney CBD Centres acquired in April 2018 where full sales history is available.
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Other retail includes cinemas, travel agents, auto accessories, lotteries and other entertainment.
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Pre-development centres are Bankstown Central, Chatswood Chase Sydney, Galleria, QueensPlaza and The Myer Centre Brisbane.
Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
7
Portfolio specialty store performance
Retail services, leisure and food catering showing solid growth
| Actual MAT | Actual MAT | Comparable1 growth | Comparable1 growth | Comparable1 growth | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAT Mar-182 ($m) % of portfolio sales (%) |
MAT | Quarter | |||
| Mar-182 (%) Dec-17 (%) |
Mar-182 (%) |
||||
| Apparel | 2,348 | 35 | (2.6) | (3.1) | (0.6) |
| Food catering | 1,041 | 16 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| General retail3 | 611 | 9 | 1.2 | (0.6) | 4.7 |
| Retail services | 580 | 9 | 6.5 | 7.6 | 4.0 |
| Food retail | 544 | 8 | (2.1) | (2.7) | (3.1) |
| Jewellery | 510 | 8 | 0.5 | (4.5) | 2.0 |
| Leisure | 449 | 7 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 4.4 |
| Homewares | 377 | 6 | 1.5 | (0.9) | 1.3 |
| Mobile phones | 234 | 3 | (0.4) | (5.4) | 10.0 |
| Total specialty stores | 6,694 | 100 | 0.4 | (0.7) | 1.9 |
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Apparel
Impact from tenant administrations has reduced and benefits of remixing to stronger performing brands are being realised
Men’s apparel (+3.4%) performing strongly, jeaneries & unisex and fashion accessories showing improvement
Food catering
Cafes & restaurants (+3.9%) and take-away food (+2.1%) continue to perform well as exposure to this category expands
General retail
Cosmetics (+6.1%) remains strong
Retail services
Strong sales continuing, particularly in hairdressing and beauty (+8.7%) and optometrists (+4.0%)
Food retail
Remixing high performing specialties to larger formats (>400 sqm) is impacting category performance
Leisure
Sporting goods (+11.3%) and books (+10.6%) showing strong growth
Homewares
Electrical/computers showing solid growth (+2.4%) as impact from Dick Smith administration wanes
Note: Totals may not sum due to rounding.
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Excludes divestments and development-impacted centres in accordance with SCCA guidelines.
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Includes Sydney CBD Centres acquired in April 2018 where full sales history is available.
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General retail includes giftware, pharmacy and cosmetics, pets, discount variety, tobacconists, florists and toys.
Note: Percentages above relate to MAT growth.
Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
8
Mandurah Forum – $320m[1] major development
Final stage completed and successfully opened in March 2018
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Project involved a complete centre transformation
Final stage opened 22 March 2018
Included new-format 4,000sqm David Jones store, H&M, premium fashion mall and over 100 specialty stores
Customer traffic for first five weeks up over 160% compared to corresponding period prior to development commencing
Same-store specialty sales up 8.5% for March 2018 Back-fill and tenant remixes to be completed by mid-2018
Expected to exceed project feasibility Target initial yield of >6% and IRR of >10%
Outdoor dining precinct
- 100% interest. Vicinity’s share is 50%.
Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
9
The Glen – Stage two of $430m[1] major redevelopment opened
First two stages of development successfully completed
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Stage one, fresh food precinct, exceeding expectations since opening in October 2017
Stage two casual dining precinct successfully opened in March 2018
Includes first-to-market high street casual dining offers from HuxtaGO, Capricho, Chinta Ria Soul and Omi Wagyu
Stage three to open October 2018 and includes homewares, lifestyle and apparel
Remains on program to complete in stages through to 2020
Including smaller-format David Jones, H&M, Uniqlo, premium food and casual dining
Over 500 apartments to be built by 2021
Third party developer to pay $60m for residential air rights Introduces 500 new households on-site at the centre
Expected to exceed project feasibility
Target initial yield of >6% and IRR of >10%
- 100% interest. Vicinity’s share is 50%.
Stage two – food gallery
Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
10
DFO Perth – $150m[1] development of Perth’s first DFO
Nearing completion, on track for third quarter 2018 opening
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Reinforces Vicinity’s leadership in Outlet Centres Leasing progressing well - tenants include Polo Ralph Lauren, Coach, Furla, Tommy Hilfiger, Calvin Klein and Skechers Centrally located adjacent to Perth Airport Costco to open on an adjacent site in 2020, subject to planning approvals, further enhancing visitation to the precinct
Expected to exceed target initial yield of >10% and IRR of >15%
Artist’s impression
- 100% interest. Vicinity’s share is 50%.
Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
11
Future project – Galleria
Retail expansion to reinforce centre as premier retail destination in north east Perth
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Artist’s impression
Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
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Future project – Chatswood Chase Sydney
Reinforce centre as Sydney’s dominant luxury and international retail, premium food and leisure destination
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Artist’s impression
Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
13
Future project – The Myer Centre Brisbane
Reinforce centre as Brisbane CBD’s premier retail destination
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Artist’s impression
Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
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Future project – Bankstown Central
Opportunity to create a new revitalised Bankstown CBD, capitalising on future metro line
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Land owned by Vicinity
Future metro station
Artist’s impression
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Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
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Future project – Box Hill Central
Create new town centre that leverages existing bus, tram, rail and road infrastructure, with significant residential population growth
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Box Hill Central (North)
Box Hill Central (South)
Third party development sites proposed around Vicinity’s Box Hill Central, VIC
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Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
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Intensive asset management driving tangible benefits
Significant opportunities drive operational initiatives and income growth
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Rooftop
panels
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Australia’s largest shopping centre solar investment project launched
Stage one $28m capital investment
11.2MW capacity being installed across five centres
Average yield ~14% and an IRR of ~14%
Next stage to target additional 10 centres
Driving operational improvements and growth in alternative income streams
Managed car parks – currently operating at 14 centres, 5 additional centres planned through to FY20
Electricity on sell – across 49 centres, 9 additional centres planned through to FY20
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Car park
shade panels
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Vicinity media – currently over 80 screens, 30 additional screens planned for FY19
Solar installation at Elizabeth, SA – Artist’s impression
Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
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Well positioned for the future
Sustained portfolio quality and performance improvement, with opportunities to generate additional value for securityholders
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Significantly improved portfolio since merger Australia’s # 1 retail destination, Chadstone ($18,416/sqm[1] ) Australia’s leading Outlet Centre portfolio ($9,957/sqm[1] ) Unrivalled premium retail offer across Australia’s three largest CBDs ($17,023/sqm[1] )
Pro-active leasing strategy re-weighting portfolio to higher demand categories
One of Australia’s deepest development pipelines Significant pipeline providing opportunities to further expand and enhance portfolio performance
Substantial mixed-use opportunities
Market update in mid-2018
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Chadstone, VIC – Retail, office and hotel (underway)
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- Specialty sales per sqm. Same-store sales for Chadstone.
Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
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Investor calendar
Key dates
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| Key dates | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ex-distribution date for June 2018 distribution | 28 June 2018 | ||
| Record date for June 2018 distribution | 29 June 2018 | ||
| FY18 annual results | 15 August 2018 | ||
| June 2018 distribution payment | 29 August 2018 | ||
| 2018 Annual General Meeting | 1 November 2018 |
Note: These dates are indicative only and may be subject to change.
Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
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Contact details and disclaimer
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For further information please contact:
Penny Berger Head of Investor Relations T +61 2 8229 7760 E [email protected]
Troy Dahms Senior Investor Relations Manager T +61 2 8229 7763
Disclaimer
This document is a presentation of general background information about the activities of Vicinity Centres (ASX:VCX) current at the date of lodgement of the presentation (1 May 2018). It is information in a summary form and does not purport to be complete. It is to be read in conjunction with other releases lodged with the Australian Securities Exchange by Vicinity Centres. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be considered, with or without professional advice, when deciding if an investment objective is appropriate.
This presentation contains certain forecast financial information along with forward-looking statements in relation to the financial performance and strategy of Vicinity Centres. The words ‘anticipate’, ‘believe’, ‘expect’, ‘project’, ‘forecast’, ‘estimate’, ‘outlook’, ‘upside’, ‘likely’, ‘intend’, ‘should’, ‘could’, ‘may’, ‘target’, ‘plan’ and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings, financial position, performance and distributions are also forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements included in this presentation are based on information available to Vicinity Centres as at the date of this presentation. Such forward-looking statements are not representations, assurances, predictions or guarantees of future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of Vicinity Centres. The actual results of Vicinity Centres may differ materially from the anticipated results, performance or achievements expressed, projected or implied by these forward-looking statements and you should not place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements.
Except as required by law or regulation (including the ASX Listing Rules), Vicinity Centres disclaims any obligation to update these forward-looking statements.
Vicinity Centres | March 2018 quarterly update | 1 May 2018
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