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Vestas Wind Systems Earnings Release 2019

Feb 5, 2020

3390_10-k_2020-02-05_f2703501-60dc-4ae4-83d7-f78f6ee06439.pdf

Earnings Release

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Company announcement from Vestas Wind Systems A/S

Aarhus, 5 February 2020 Company announcement No. 01/2020 Page 1 of 8

Annual report 2019 – Delivered best-in-class results and record high order intake

Summary: For full year 2019, revenue amounted to EUR 12.1bn, the EBIT margin before special items was 8.3 percent, and total investments* were EUR 729m, all in line with the expectations. Compared to 2018, revenue and earnings increased while free cash flow decreased. Order intake increased in 2019 compared to 2018, and the value of the combined order backlog increased to EUR 34bn.

The wind turbine order intake increased year-on-year by 3,663 MW to 17,877 MW in 2019 and the value of the service order backlog increased by EUR 3.5bn to EUR 17.8bn.

For 2020, Vestas expects revenue to range between EUR 14bn and 15bn, including service revenue, which is expected to grow by approx. 7 percent. Vestas expects to achieve an EBIT margin before special items of 7-9 percent, with a service EBIT margin of approx. 25 percent. Total investments** are expected to amount to approx. EUR 700m in 2020.

As a result of the performance during the year, the Board of Directors of Vestas Wind Systems A/S proposes to the Annual General Meeting that a dividend of DKK 7.93 per share be distributed to the shareholders, compared to DKK 7.44 last year, and equivalent to 30.0 percent of the net profit for the year.

"Wind energy manifested its position as a leading global energy source in 2019, driving Vestas' order intake to a record 17.9 GW, 20 percent growth in revenue and expected high activity levels in the coming years. In an extraordinarily busy year, Vestas extended its industry leadership, met its guidance on all parameters and scaled the company to deliver on our highest-ever order backlog of EUR 34bn. Once again, our Service business delivered year-on-year growth and improved profitability, underlining its strategic importance in a tough market. In 2019, the industry thus faced challenges from trade wars and tariffs, causing execution costs to increase, which we expect to continue in an even busier 2020. Together with our customers and partners, everyone at Vestas worked vigorously to create the momentum to finish 2019 strongly, and we must continue this momentum to achieve our goals for 2020. As we continue to lead the transition towards a world powered by sustainable energy, we remain focused on executing our strategy and pushing the industry to higher levels on technology, profitability and sustainability," says Henrik Andersen, Group President & CEO.

*) Excl. the acquisition of SoWiTec Group GmbH, any investments in marketable securities, and short-term financial investments. **) Excl. any investments in marketable securities and short-term financial investments.

Information meeting (audiocast)

On Wednesday 5 February 2020 at 10 am CET (9 am GMT), Vestas will host an information meeting via an audiocast. The audiocast will be accessible via vestas.com/en/investor.

The meeting will be held in English and questions may be asked through a conference call. The telephone numbers for the conference call are:

Europe: +44 3333 000 804
USA: +1 6319 131 422
Denmark: +45 3544 5577

PIN code: 42794799#

Further details at vestas.com/en/investor.

The presentation used at the information meeting will be available approx. one hour before the meeting at the corporate website.

Contact details Vestas Wind Systems A/S

Investors/analysts: Patrik Setterberg, Vice President Investor Relations Tel: +45 6122 1913

Media: Anders Riis, Director Communications Tel: +45 4181 3922

Highlights, fourth quarter 2019

mEUR Q4 2019 Q4 2018 Change
Financial figures
Revenue 4,650 3,369 38%
- of which service revenue 529 481 10%
Gross profit 610 499 22%
Gross margin (%) 13.1 14.8 (1.7) pp
EBITDA before special items 561 414 36%
EBITDA margin (%) before special items 12.1 12.3 (0.2) pp
Operating profit (EBIT) before special items 404 298 36%
EBIT margin (%) before special items 8.7 8.8 (0.1) pp
Profit before tax 366 290 26%
Total net investments* 232 205 13%
Net working capital (1,583) (2,040) (22)%
Free cash flow* 840 1,401 (40)%
Operational figures (onshore)
Order intake (bnEUR) 3.5 4.2 (17)%
Order intake (MW) 4,439 5,517 (20)%
Produced and shipped – wind turbines (MW) 2,100 2,478 (15)%
Produced and shipped – wind turbines (number) 744 862 (14)%
Deliveries (MW) 5,064 4,593 10%
Social and environmental figures
Employees at the end of the period (number) 25,541 24,648 4%
Incidence of total recordable injuries per one million working hours 3.6 3.2 12.5%
Renewable energy (%) 39 33 6 pp

Vestas generated revenue of EUR 4,650m – an increase of 38 percent

  • As expected, the fourth quarter was characterised by high levels of activity, and with revenue of EUR 4,650m, the quarter proved to be the largest ever in terms of revenue in the history of Vestas. The high activity levels were a result of higher delivery volumes driven by the strong order intake observed in recent years and further supplemented by growth in the service business.

Gross profit amounted to EUR 610m – an increase of EUR 111m

  • The gross profit increase was mainly driven by higher volumes in the Power solutions segment due to increased activity. The increase was also supported by improved profitability within the Service segment.

EBIT margin before special items amounted to 8.7 percent – a decrease of 0.1 percentage points

  • The decreased EBIT margin in the quarter was mainly driven by lower gross margins and higher depreciations. EBIT margin for the Service segment ended at 20.8 percent in fourth quarter.

Total net investments* amounted to EUR 232m – an increase of EUR 27m

  • Investments in the quarter were mainly driven by capitalised research and development projects as well as tangible investments related to blades and transport equipment.

Vestas reported a free cash flow* of EUR 840m – a decrease of EUR 561m

  • The decrease in the free cash flow was mainly driven by net working capital movements.

*) Excl. the acquisition of SoWiTec Group GmbH, any investments in marketable securities, and short-term financial investments.

Highlights, full year 2019

mEUR 2019 2018 Change
Financial figures
Revenue 12,147 10,134 20%
- of which service revenue 1,871 1,669 12%
Gross profit 1,761 1,631 8%
Gross margin (%) 14.5 16.1 (1.6) pp
EBITDA before special items 1,550 1,394 11%
EBITDA margin (%) before special items 12.8 13.8 (1.0) pp
Operating profit (EBIT) before special items 1,004 959 5%
EBIT margin (%) before special items 8.3 9.5 (1.2) pp
Profit before tax 909 910 (0)%
Total net investments* 729 603 21%
Net working capital (1,583) (2,040) (22)%
Free cash flow* 94 418 (78)%
Operational figures
Order intake (bnEUR) 13.8 10.6 30%
Order intake (MW) 17,877 14,214 26%
Order backlog – wind turbines (MW) 20,974 15,646 34%
Order backlog – wind turbines (bnEUR) 16.0 11.9 34%
Order backlog – service (bnEUR) 17.8 14.3 24%
Produced and shipped – wind turbines (MW) 12,618 10,676 18%
Deliveries (MW) 12,884 10,847 19%
Social and environmental figures
Employees at the end of the period (number) 25,541 24,648 4%
Incidence of total recordable injuries per one million working hours 3.9 4.0 (3)%
Renewable energy (%) 40 34 6 pp

Vestas generated revenue of EUR 12,147m – an increase of 20 percent

  • Revenue for the full year was realised within the outlook interval of EUR 11.0bn-12.25bn. Power solutions and Service both contributed to the increase.

Gross profit amounted to EUR 1.761m – an increase of EUR 130m

  • The gross profit increase was mainly driven by improved profitability within the Service segment as well as a reversal of write-downs on inventory related to the sale of assets in Romania.

EBIT margin before special items amounted to 8.3 percent – a decrease of 1.2 percentage points

  • The decreased EBIT margin was mainly driven by lower gross profit margins as well as higher capacity costs.

Total net investments* amounted to EUR 729m – an increase of EUR 126m

  • Total net investments were in line with the outlook of approx. EUR 800m. Investments were mainly driven by capitalised research and development projects as well as tangible investments related to blades and transport equipment.

Vestas reported a free cash flow* of EUR 94m – a decrease of EUR 324m

  • The decrease in the free cash flow was mainly driven by net working capital movements. At the end of 2019, the net interest-bearing position was positive of EUR 2,452m, a decline of EUR 594m compared to the end of 2018.

The order intake was 17,877 MW – an increase of 3,663 MW

  • A record-breaking onshore order intake in 2019, corresponding to a value of EUR 13.8bn.

The incidence of total recordable injuries per one million working hours was 3.9

  • A 3 percent reduction compared to 2018, but above the target rate of max. 3.6 in 2019.

*) Excl. the acquisition of SoWiTec Group GmbH, any investments in marketable securities, and short-term financial investments.

Vestas Wind Systems A/S
-- ------------------------- --

Outlook

Outlook 2020

Revenue is expected to range between EUR 14bn and 15bn, including service revenue, which is expected to grow by approx. 7 percent. Vestas expects to achieve an EBIT margin before special items of 7-9 percent with a service EBIT margin of approx. 25 percent.

Total investments* are expected to amount to approx. EUR 700m in 2020.

It should be emphasised that Vestas' accounting policies only allow the recognition of revenue when the control has passed to the customer, either at a point in time or over time. Disruptions in production and challenges in relation to shipment of wind turbines and installation hereof, for example bad weather, lack of grid connections, and similar matters, may thus cause delays that could affect Vestas' financial results for 2020. Further, movements in exchange rates from current levels may also impact Vestas' financial results for 2020.

Outlook 2020

Revenue (bnEUR) 14-15
EBIT margin (%) before special items 7-9
Total investments* (mEUR) approx. 700

*) Excl. any investments in marketable securities and short-term financial investments.

Long-term financial ambitions

The wind power industry is maturing into a commercially viable, unsubsidised industry. On the global agenda is now an acute call for renewable energy to replace fossil fuels in the energy mix, and hence the growth potential is immense. There is furthermore a strong demand for technology that can improve energy efficiency and displace CO2 emissions created by conventional sources of electricity. With its global reach, scale, and leading technology, Vestas is well positioned to explore the unprecedented opportunities that the great growth potential and demand for innovation create.

The company observes an industry, that despite moving towards the end of the transition period, still is highly competitive and impacted from current trade restrictions.

Vestas' long-term financial ambitions reflect the projected market conditions as well as the company's strategy and priorities.

In the coming years, revenue in the Service segment is expected to grow faster than the market with an EBIT margin of approx. 24 percent.

Long-term financial ambitions

Grow faster than the market and be market leader in revenue
At least 10 percent
Positive each year
Minimum 20 percent over the cycle

Highlights

mEUR 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
INCOME STATEMENT
Revenue 12,147 10,134 9,953 10,237 8,423
Gross profit 1,761 1,631 1,963 2,126 1,505
Operating profit before amortisation, depreciation and impairment
losses (EBITDA) before special items
1,550 1,394 1,651 1,826 1,212
Operating profit (EBIT) before special items 1,004 959 1,230 1,421 860
Operating profit before amortisation, depreciation and impairment
losses (EBITDA)
1,550 1,379 1,651 1,826 1,258
Operating profit (EBIT) 1,004 921 1,230 1,421 906
Operating profit (EBIT) before special items adjusted for tax 773 719 923 1,066 636
Net financial items (98) (51) 2 (33) (15)
Profit before tax 909 910 1,192 1,287 925
Profit for the year 700 683 894 965 685
BALANCE SHEET
Balance sheet total 14,331 11,899 10,871 9,931 8,587
Equity 3,345 3,104 3,112 3,190 2,899
Investments in property, plant and equipment 451 312 268 304 220
Net working capital (1,583) (2,040) (1,984) (1,941) (1,383)
Capital employed 4,165 3,602 3,609 3,686 3,394
Interest-bearing position (net), at the end of the period 2,452 3,046 3,359 3,255 2,270
Interest-bearing debt, at the end of the period 820 498 497 496 495
CASH FLOW STATEMENT
Cash flow from operating activities 823 1,021 1,625 2,181 1,472
Cash flow from investing activities before acquisitions of subsidiaries
and financial investments (729) (603) (407) (617) (425)
Free cash flow before acquisitions of subsidiaries and financial investments 94 418 1,218 1,564 1,047
Free cash flow 332 (69) 1,218 1,364 1,047
FINANCIAL RATIOS1)
FINANCIAL RATIOS
Gross margin (%) 14.5 16.1 19.7 20.8 17.9
EBITDA margin (%) before special items 12.8 13.8 16.6 17.8 14.4
EBIT margin (%) before special items 8.3 9.5 12.4 13.9 10.2
EBITDA margin (%) 12.8 13.6 16.6 17.8 14.9
EBIT margin (%) 8.3 9.1 12.4 13.9 10.8
Return of capital employed (ROCE) (%) 19.7 20.4 25.1 30.8 20.3
Net interest-bearing debt/EBITDA before special items (1.6) (2.2) (2.0) (1.8) (1.9)
Solvency ratio (%) 23.3 26.1 28.6 32.1 33.8
Return on equity (%) 22.1 22.6 28.1 32.6 26.2
SHARE RATIOS
Earnings per share (EUR) 3.6 3.4 4.2 4.4 3.1
Book value per share (EUR) 16.8 15.1 14.4 14.4 12.9
P/E ratio 25.4 19.3 13.6 14.0 21.2
Dividend per share (EUR) 1.062) 1.00 1.24 1.31 0.91
Payout ratio (%) 30.02) 30.0 29.9 30.0 29.9
Share price at the end of the period (EUR) 90.1 65.9 57.6 61.7 64.8
Number of shares at the end of the period 198,901,963 205,696,003 215,496,947 221,544,727 224,074,513
OPERATIONAL KEY FIGURES (ONSHORE)
Order intake (bnEUR) 13.8 10.6 8.9 9.5 8.2
Order intake (MW) 17,877 14,214 11,176 10,494 8,943
Order backlog – wind turbines (bnEUR) 16.0 11.9 8.8 8.5 7.9
Order backlog – wind turbines (MW) 20,974 15,646 11,492 9,530 8,732
Order backlog – service (bnEUR) 17.8 14.3 12.1 10.7 8.9
Produced and shipped wind turbines (MW) 12,618 10,676 11,237 9,957 7,948
Produced and shipped wind turbines (number) 4,185 3,729 4,241 4,264 3,330
Deliveries (MW) 12,884 10,847 8,779 9,654 7,486

1) The ratios have been calculated in accordance with the guidelines from "Finansforeningen" (The Danish Finance Society) (Recommendations and Financial ratios).

2) Based on proposed dividend.

2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL KEY FIGURES
OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH & SAFETY
Total recordable injuries (number) 213 210 243 303 335
– of which lost time injuries (number) 67 80 92 82 56
– of which fatal injuries (number) 1 0 1 0 1
CONSUMPTION OF RESOURCES
Consumption of energy (GWh) 638 614 569 567 516
– of which renewable energy (GWh) 1) 258 211 204 215 199
– of which renewable electricity (GWh) 1) 227 178 175 186 173
Consumption of fresh water (1,000 m3) 473 470 454 428 427
WASTE DISPOSAL
Volume of waste (1,000 tonnes) 85 81 71 75 67
– of which collected for recycling (1,000 tonnes) 43 42 39 37 33
EMISSIONS
Direct emissions of CO2 (1,000 tonnes) 71 69 60 58 49
Indirect emissions of CO2 (1,000 tonnes) 1) 38 61 70 66 67
LOCAL COMMUNITY
Environmental accidents (number) 0 0 0 0 0
Breaches of internal inspection conditions (number) 0 0 0 1 0
EMPLOYEES
Average number of employees 24,964 24,221 22,504 21,625 18,986
Number of employees at the end of the period 25,542 24,648 23,303 21,824 20,507
SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL INDICATORS
OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH & SAFETY
Incidence of total recordable injuries per one million working hours 3.9 4.0 5.3 6.9 8.7
Incidence of lost time injuries per one million working hours 1.2 1.5 2.0 1.9 1.5
Absence due to illness among hourly-paid employees (%) 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.2 1.9
Absence due to illness among salaried employees (%) 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1
PRODUCTS
CO2 savings over the lifetime of the MW produced and shipped
(million tonnes of CO2)
322 275 317 281 224
UTILISATION OF RESOURCES
Renewable energy (%) 1) 40 34 36 38 39
Renewable electricity for own activities (%) 1) 82 68 66 70 68
EMPLOYEES
Women in Board of Directors 2) and Executive Management at the end of
the period (%) 23 15 23 23 23
Women in leadership positions at the end of the period (%) 3) 19 19 19 19 18

1) Calculation changed to the effect that non-renewable electricity is no longer compensated with Vestas-owned wind power plants.

2) Only Board members elected by the general meeting are included.

3) Employees in leadership positions comprise managers, specialists, project managers, and above.

Disclaimer and cautionary statement

This document contains forward-looking statements concerning Vestas' financial condition, results of operations and business. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management's current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance, or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements.

Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning Vestas' potential exposure to market risks and statements expressing management's expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. A number of factors that affect Vestas' future operations and could cause Vestas' results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this document, include (without limitation): (a) changes in demand for Vestas' products; (b) currency and interest rate fluctuations; (c) loss of market share and industry competition; (d) environmental and physical risks, including adverse weather conditions; (e) legislative, fiscal, and regulatory developments, including changes in tax or accounting policies; (f) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (g) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, and delays or advancements in the approval of projects; (h) ability to enforce patents; (i) product development risks; (j) cost of commodities; (k) customer credit risks; (l) supply of components; and (m) customer-created delays affecting product installation, grid connections and other revenue-recognition factors.

All forward-looking statements contained in this document are expressly qualified by the cautionary statements contained or referenced to in this statement. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Vestas' annual report for the year ended 31 December 2019 (available at www.vestas.com/en/investor) and these factors also should be considered. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this document. Vestas does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information or future events other than as required by Danish law. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this document.