AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Vår Energi ASA

Investor Presentation Apr 24, 2023

3780_rns_2023-04-24_ca9baf7f-61a2-4850-9b9f-5cc348ea7f6f.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

First quarter 2023

Results presentation | 24 April 2023

Disclaimer

The Materials speak only as of their date, and the views expressed are subject to change based on a number of factors, including, without limitation, macroeconomic and equity market conditions, investor attitude and demand, the business prospects of the Group and other specific issues. The Materials and the conclusions contained herein are necessarily based on economic, market and other conditions, as in effect on, and the information available to the Company as of, their date. The Materials do not purport to contain all information required to evaluate the Company, the Group and/or their respective financial position. The Materials should be reviewed together with the Company's Annual Report 2022. The Materials contain certain financial information, including financial figures for and as of 31 March 2023 that is preliminary and unaudited, and that has been rounded according to established commercial standards. Further, certain financial data included in the Materials consists of financial measures which may not be defined under IFRS or Norwegian GAAP. These financial measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies, nor should they be construed as an alternative to other financial measures determined in accordance with IFRS or Norwegian GAAP.

The Company strongly suggests that each Recipient seeks its own independent advice in relation to any financial, legal, tax, accounting or other specialist advice; no such advice is given by the Materials. Nothing herein shall be taken as constituting the giving of investment advice and the Materials are not intended to provide, and must not be taken as, the exclusive basis of any investment decision or other valuation and should not be considered as a recommendation by the Company (or any of its affiliates) that any Recipient enters into any transaction. The Materials comprise a general summary of certain matters in connection with the Group. The Materials do not purport to contain all the information that any Recipient may require to make a decision with regards to any transaction. Any decision as to whether to enter into any transaction should be taken solely by the relevant Recipient. Before entering into such transaction, each Recipient should take steps to ensure that it fully understands such transaction and has made an independent assessment of the appropriateness of such transaction in the light of its own objectives and circumstances, including the possible risks and benefits of entering into such transaction.

The Materials may constitute or include forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts and may be identified by words such as "plans", "targets", "aims", "believes", "expects", "projects", "anticipates", "intends", "estimates", "will", "may", "continues", "should" and similar expressions. Any statement, estimate or projections included in the Materials (or upon which any of the conclusion contained herein are based) with respect to anticipated future performance (including, without limitation, any statement, estimate or projection with respect to the condition (financial or otherwise), prospects, business strategy, plans or objectives of the Group and/or any of its affiliates) reflect, at the time made, the Company's beliefs, intentions and current targets /aims and may prove not to be correct. Although the Company believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. The Company does not intend or assume any obligation to update these forward-looking statements since they are based solely on the circumstances at the date of publication.

To the extent available, the industry, market and competitive position data contained in the Materials come from official or third-party sources. Third-party industry publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of the accuracy or completeness of such data. While the Company believes that each of these publications, studies and surveys has been prepared by a reputable source, none of the Company, its affiliates or any of its or their respective representatives has independently verified the data contained therein. In addition, certain of the industry, market and competitive position data contained in the Materials come from the Company's own internal research and estimates based on the knowledge and experience of the Company in the markets in which it has knowledge and experience. While the Company believes that such research and estimates are reasonable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions, have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or completeness and are subject to change and correction without notice. Accordingly, reliance should not be placed on any of the industry, market or competitive position data contained in the Materials.

The Materials are not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation of such jurisdiction or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of the laws of any such jurisdiction. The Company's securities have not been registered and the Company does not intend to register any securities referred to herein under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 (as amended) or the laws of any state of the United States. This document is also not for publication, release or distribution in any other jurisdiction where to do so would constitute a violation of the relevant laws of such jurisdiction nor should it be taken or transmitted into such jurisdiction and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions.

Today's Vår Energi presenters

Torger Rød CEO

Stefano Pujatti

Ida Marie Fjellheim Head of Investor Relations

First quarter 2023 highlights

Safe and stable production

  • Production of 214 kboepd, full-year production guidance of 210-230 kboepd maintained
  • Gas share of 38% in the quarter
  • Frosk, Hyme and Bauge successfully on stream, with Fenja expected in Q2

Strong gas price realisation

  • Gas sales strategy realising gas price of USD 176 per boe
  • Strong CFFO and free cash flow
  • Continued strong balance sheet with leverage ratio of 0.3x at end-Q1 2023
  • Dividend guidance of USD 270 million for Q2 2023

Main development projects progressing per plan

  • Project milestones reached as planned
  • On track for >50% production growth by end-2025

Continued exploration success with high potential

  • Confirmed discovery in the operated Countach well
  • Assessing more Barents Sea prospects

Key performance indicators

Q1 2023 vs. Q4 2022

Actual serious incidents frequency1

0.0 (0.1) (214) (443)

Production 214 kboepd

Cash flow from operations

USD 1 358m

CO
emissions intensity
2
Production cost per boe Dividend for the quarter
13.0 kg/boe USD 13.1 USD 270m
(10.2) (14.1) (300)

Operational review

Safe and responsible operations at the core

  • No serious incidents in the quarter
  • Positive trend on SIF reflecting continuous implementation of safety initiatives and strengthened safety culture
  • Increasing trend on TRIF related to higher yard activity

SIF1 and TRIF2 CO2 emission intensity for operated assets kg CO2/boe

Increase in emission intensity mainly reflects high exploration activity and rig-supported well interventions at Goliat during the quarter

  1. Total serious incident frequency per million hours worked, 12 months rolling average

  2. Total recordable injury frequency per million hours worked, 12 months rolling average

7

  1. Q4 2022 emission intensity revised from 10.5 kg CO2 per boe following EU ETS verification for 2022 numbers

Maintained stable production with material gas share

Production, production efficiency1 and product mix kboepd

  • Developments coming on stream
    • Frosk started-up in March
    • Hyme and Bauge on stream in April, Fenja expected later in Q2
  • Mixed operational performance
    • Strong delivery from Sleipner and Fram
    • Improved production efficiency
    • Impact from operational issues and start-up of developments somewhat later than planned
    • Shut-in wells at Statfjord and Snorre
  • Continued to reduce NGL recovery to increase gas sales

0,0

0,1

0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

0,8

0,9

1,0

2023 production guidance of 210-230 kboepd maintained

North Sea

Production efficiency improved for operated assets

Goliat

  • Production efficiency increased to 97%, second consecutive quarter above 95% - following improvement program
  • Positive contribution from Q1 well intervention program mitigating natural decline

Balder/Ringhorne

  • Production efficiency of 80%, up from 73% in Q4
  • Riser shut-down and operational issues expected to impact production by ~5 kboepd in Q2 and Q3
  • High activity period planned in Q2 for Balder FPU to improve uptime and add robustness

Lower unit production cost, guidance for 2023 maintained

Production cost per boe produced1

USD per boe

  • Production cost improved on less maintenance and in the quarter
  • Full-year 2023 opex per boe guidance maintained at USD 14.5 to 15.5
  • Medium-term ambition of ~8 USD2 per driven by sanctioned projects coming on stream and cost improvement programs

Project portfolio progressing according to plan

Existing production and sanctioned developments

11

Balder X

  • Progressing on plan with improved safety performance
  • Focus on high construction volume and optimising execution sequence of remaining work
  • Reached the milestone "Ready for re-float" as planned, with physical re-float planned in Q3

Breidablikk

  • High Activity Period at Grane topside ongoing
  • Drilling operations remain ahead of plan

Johan Castberg

Construction activities progressing on plan

Other

Bauge and Hyme fields successfully on stream in April with Fenja expected later in Q2, combined representing ~10 kboepd for 2023

Continued exploration success with high potential

Oil discovery in the operated Countach well

3-13 mmboe

23 mmboe

estimated recoverable resources

total undrilled potential in the prospect

Countach and Lupa discoveries confirm the Barents Sea hub exploration strategy

High potential to explore significant resources

  • Infrastructure-led exploration
  • High-risk / high-reward wells

Vår Energi awarded Exploration Revived Award 2023

Financial review

Key financials

USD million Q1 2023 Q4 2022 Q1 2022
Petroleum revenues 2 089 2 354 2 483
EBIT 1 432 1 531 1 750
Profit before taxes 1 276 1 793 1 727
Production cost (USD/boe) 13.1 14.1 12.1
Operating CF before tax 1 935 2 094 2 384
CFFO 1 358 443 2 201
CAPEX 642 800 621
NIBD / EBITDAX 0.3x 0.3x 0.5x
Available liquidity1 3 769 4 045 3 799

Strong gas price realisation

Total petroleum revenues

Oil Gas NGL

USD million

Realised prices

USD per boe

Q1 2023 gas revenues

  • Month and day ahead sales weighted towards France and Germany with ~24% of volumes exposed to high Month ahead prices
  • Fixed price sales included contracts with Gas Year Ahead pricing starting 1 Oct 2022 and forward sale contracts entered into during 4Q 2022.

Indicative gas sales portfolio – current year1

CFFO positively impacted by lower tax payments

CFFO CAPEX

Income tax paid

USD million

3.0

2.5

3.5

2.0

0.0

-2 000

-1 500

-1 000

-500

0

500

1 000

0.5

1.0

1.5

CFFO and CAPEX

USD million

Continued strong cash generation

Leverage ratio below target

Net interest-bearing debt and leverage ratio1 USD billion

Leverage ratio at 0.3x, well below over-the-cycle target of 1.3x

Committed to maintaining an Investment Grade rating

1.0

0.8

0.6

-0.2

-0.8 -0.6

0.2

0.4

0.0

-2.4

-2.6

-2.2

-2.0 -1.8

-1.6

-1.4 -1.2 -1.0

Solid debt financing structure with diversification of maturities, currencies and instruments

6

5

4

1

2

3

0

7

13

12

10

9

11

Attractive and resilient distributions

USD million

Declared Planned

  • Dividend guiding for Q2 2023 of USD 270 million (~0.11 USD per share)
  • Expected dividend for 2023 of approximately 30% of CFFO after tax
  • Dividend for Q1 2023 of USD ~0.11 per share to be paid 10 May 2023
    • Paid in NOK at exchange rate of USD/NOK 10.6126

2023 outlook

Production 210-230 kboepd
Production cost USD 14.5-15.5 per boe
Capex USD 2.4-2.7 billion excl. exploration and abandonment
Exploration USD ~200 million
USD ~50 million
Abandonment
Other Cash tax payments of USD ~1.2¹
billion in Q2 2023
Leverage Through-the-cycle leverage target of 1.3x net interest
bearing debt / EBITDAX
Dividends Q2 dividend of USD 270 million (USD ~0.11 per share)
For 2023, the plan is to distribute approximately
30% of CFFO after tax

Summary

21

Safe and stable production

Strong gas price realisation

Main development projects progressing on plan

Continued exploration success with high potential

First quarter 2023

Results presentation | 24 April 2023

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.