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UPC Investor Presentation 2019

Dec 3, 2019

51771_rns_2019-12-03_3b14f376-0f24-41d3-a4de-488b5a448b6c.pdf

Investor Presentation

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聯成法人說明會 2019年12月03日

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免責聲明

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  • 本簡報所提供資訊均基於本公司目前可得知之資訊所推測、評估及規劃,所有訊息包 含業務展望或前瞻性的看法,皆可能因未知風險、不確定因素及其他因素影響而導致 改變或發生重大差異。

  • 本簡報所提供之資訊不代表本公司、產業狀況或後續重大發展之完整論述。

  • 除法令規定者外,本公司不因任何新事件或新資訊的發生而負有更新或修正之義務。

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CONTENT

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1. 公司介紹

2. 未來展望

3. 經營績效

4. Q & A

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  • 成立時間:1976年8月

  • 董事長:苗豐強

  • 總經理:柯衣紹

  • 2018年合併營業額:新台幣 613億元

  • 員工總人數: 約1950人

  • 1989年台灣證券交易所股票上市 (代號: 1313)

市場涵蓋臺灣、中國大陸、東南亞、東北亞、 南亞、美加、中東及紐澳地區 全球範圍服務超過10,000 個客戶

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聯成在亞洲地區的佈局

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特 化 事 業 Specialty Chemicals

特殊可塑劑

(Specialty Plasticizer)

  • ®

  • 氫化可塑劑 (UniHydro UN899)

  • 聚酯可塑劑 (UN600系列)

  • 線性醇可塑劑 (UN200/UN291/UN380/TNOTM)

  • 混合可塑劑 (Mixed)

  • 己二酸酯可塑劑 (DOA/DINA)

  • 偏苯三酸酯可塑劑 (TOTM/UN399)

  • 生質可塑劑

    • 環氧可塑劑 (ESBO)

    • 癸二酸酯可塑劑 (DOS)

  • 其他特殊可塑劑

  • 不飽和聚酯樹脂 (UPR)

產品及服務範疇

核 心 事 業 Core Chemicals

泛用可塑劑 (General Plasticizer)

  • 鄰苯二甲酸二異辛酯 (DEHP)

  • 鄰苯二甲酸二正辛酯 (DNOP)

  • 鄰苯二甲酸二異壬酯 (DINP)

  • 鄰苯二甲酸二丙基庚酯 (DPHP)

  • 對苯二甲酸二異辛酯 (UN488/DOTP)

  • 鄰苯二甲酸二丁酯 (DBP)

  • 聚氯乙烯粉 (PVC)

  • 苯酐 (PA)

  • 馬林酐 (MA)

  • 富馬酸 (FA)

物流與服務事業 Logistics Service

  • 散裝化學品碼頭裝卸

  • 普通與危險化學品 貨物道路運輸

  • 化學品儲槽儲存

  • 各類貨物倉庫儲存

  • 桶袋裝化學品灌裝服務

  • 代理報關

  • 貿易銷售

  • 建廠工程

  • 能源服務

  • 聚酯多元醇 (Polyester Polyol)

  • 脂肪酸酯 (Fatty Ester)

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主要產品上下游供應鏈

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全球最大苯酐及增塑劑產品供應商

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註:1. Plasticizer的產能是以生產DEHP為基礎之設算產能

  1. Plasticizer與PA的產能計算包含PA與DINP之部分自用產能

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2. 未來展望

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China : PVC Production

PVC 未來展望

資料來源:IHS Markit / 聯成公司整理(2019/11)

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PVC 未來展望

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  • 參考IHS與聯成資料,中國PVC需求量約1880 萬噸,預期未來10年以每年 ,

  • 3.2-3.4%的趨勢持續成長。然而,中國PVC的產能成長率預測為每年2% 無法追上需求的成長。

  • 中國國內的人均PVC消費量偏低 (表觀消費量<<10 kg),需求仍有成長空間。

  • 中國限制了高能耗、高汙染的電石法 PVC 的生產,規模小於20萬噸/年的工 廠遭到淘汰,並且限制了氯鹼工廠的興建。

  • 除了中國,印度市場也持續成長中,需求增加。

  • 聯成將持續在中國擴建 PVC 產能及規劃逆向垂直整合,增加長期競爭優勢。

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PVC 相關法規限制

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 乙烯法PVC:

  • 限制燒鹼產新增;僅可以符合政策要求之先進工藝或提升項目實行等量(或減量) 產能置換。

  • 中國長三角地區,禁止新建乙烯法PVC工廠。

  • 僅審批產能≧30萬噸/年之工廠。

 電石法PVC:

  • 全面禁止生產使用高汞觸媒之電石法PVC。

  • 2020年後,全面停關產能小於 20萬噸/年之電石法PVC工廠。

  • 不審批任何新建之電石法PVC產能。

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增塑劑未來展望

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2018年
全球增塑劑消耗
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全球總和:約900萬噸/年

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資料來源:聯成公司整理(2019/11)

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增塑劑未來展望

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  • 全球PVC需求持續成長(亞洲地區尤其是中國及印度地區成長顯著),帶動增塑劑 需求持續增加。

  • 全球增塑劑的需求量以大約每年3%的趨勢持續成長。其中,亞洲及中國成長約 。

  • 每年5%

  • 2018全中國市場需求 500萬噸,約佔全球市場 55%(2018),2018年的需求 。

  • 成長率約8.7%

  • 鄰苯系增塑劑需求成長放緩(占目前增塑劑市場約52%,較去年減少3%)。 同時,非鄰苯系增塑劑需求增加:

  • UniHydro[®] UN899

  • 生質增塑劑 (ESBO/EFAME…等)

  • 對苯系增塑劑 (以DOTP為主要產品)…等

  • 非鄰苯系增塑劑需求量持續增加中。

  • 聯成持續研發非鄰苯系增塑劑及擴充非鄰苯系增塑劑產能,開拓市場,持續領導 市場。

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3. 經 營 績 效

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2014年~2019 Q3 聯成集團合併營收

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2014年 2015年 2016年 2017年 2018年 2019Q3YTD
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2014年~2019 Q3 聯成集團產銷量

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2019年前三季產品銷售額占比

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2014年~2019 Q3 稅後純益及EPS

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2014年~ 2019年資本支出

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www.upc.com.tw

謝謝

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