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Unipol Investor Presentation 2022

Feb 11, 2022

4405_ip_2022-02-11_623e1156-ec42-4d2a-bc41-50b00d8a9285.pdf

Investor Presentation

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This document has been prepared by Unipol Gruppo S.p.A. and by UnipolSai Assicurazioni S.p.A. solely for information purposes in the context of the presentation of its FY21 preliminary results.

The FY21 data contained herein are preliminary in nature and refer to the date hereof and, therefore, may be subject to further variations.

Please note that these preliminary data are subject to review by the Independent Auditors that still have to complete the necessary analysis in order to release their report.

The FY21 final results will be approved by the Board of Directors scheduled on 24 March 2022 and will be disclosed to the market according to, and in the terms set forth by, the applicable laws and regulations.

Maurizio Castellina, Senior Executive responsible for drawing up the corporate accounts of Unipol Gruppo S.p.A. and UnipolSai Assicurazioni S.p.A., declares, in accordance with Article 154-bis, para 2, of the 'Consolidated Finance Act', that the accounting information reported in this document corresponds to the document contents, books and accounting records.

The content of this document does not constitute a recommendation in relation to any financial instruments issued by the companies or by other companies of the Group, nor it constitutes or forms part of any offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation to purchase any financial instruments issued by the companies or by other companies of the Group, nor it may be relied upon for any investment decision by its addressees.

Unless otherwise specified, all figures reported in this presentation refer to the Unipol Group.

2019-2021 Strategic Plan Results

€m

FY21
actual
2019-2021
actual
2019-2021
target
Consolidated
net result
796 2,326
a
cumulated
2,000
a
cumulated
Dividends 215 617
cumulated
600
cumulated
Solvency
2 ratio (cons. PIM)
216% 153%-216% b 140-160%

UNIPOL UNIPOLSAI

FY21 2019-2021 2019-2021
actual actual target
Consolidated 723 2,231 2,000
net result cumulated cumulated
Dividends 538 1,528
cumulated
1,300
cumulated
Solvency
2 ratio (cons. EC)
286% 200%-290% b 170-200%

5

aExcluding the positive impact of the first consolidation of BPER (in 2019)

b Min. and max. quarterly ratios in the three-year plan period

€m

FY19 a FY20 FY21
Consolidated
pre-tax
result
867 1,026 951
Non-Life 725 1,104 821
Life 226 71 213
Holding and other -84 -149 -83
Consolidated
net result
666 864 796
Group net result 515 707 627

UNIPOL UNIPOLSAI

FY19 FY20 FY21
Consolidated
pre-tax
result
873 1,119 895
Non-Life 698 1,105 752
Life 228 73 218
Other -52 -60 -75
Consolidated
net result
655 853 723
Group net result 628 820 688

a Excluding the positive impact of the first consolidation of BPER

€m

FY21 Preliminary Consolidated Results

Premiums
7,882 7,943 +0.8%
3,985 3,838 -3.7%
3,896 4,105 +5.3%
FY20 FY21
Premiums
by Business Line
Premiums
by Company
€m % var%
Mobility 4,164 52 -3.2
Motor 3,838 48 -3.7
Other 326 4 +2.4
Welfare 1,486 19 +5.9
Health 794 10 +10.3
Accident 692 9 +1.4
Property 2,293 29 +5.4
Fire&Other
dam. to prop.
1,277 16 +5.6
General TPL 723 9 +2.6
Other 293 4 +11.8
Total 7,943 100 +0.8
€m % var%
UnipolSai 6,721 85 -0.7
UniSalute 519 7 +7.5
Linear 185 2 +0.1
Arca Assicurazioni 190 2 +35.4
Siat 126 2 -2.4
Incontra 109 1 +29.5
DDOR 92 1 +4.3
Total 7,943 100 +0.8

Breakdown by Distribution Channel

Motor Non-Motor Tot. Non-Life
Agents 89% 71% 80%
Brokers/Head Off. 5% 21% 13%
Bancassurance 1% 6% 4%
Direct and other 5% 2% 4%
Total 100% 100% 100%

Motor Non-Motor

Breakdown by Market Segment
----------------------------- -- -- --
Total Mobility Welfare Property
Retail & SMEs 82% 47% 11% 24%
Corporate 18% 6% 8% 4%
Total 100%

Operating figures

Combined ratio net of reinsurance: operating expenses/earned premiums after reinsurance + claims charges (incl. OTI) /earned premiums after reinsurance Combined ratio direct business: operating expenses/written premiums direct business (before reinsurance) + claims charges (incl. OTI) /earned premiums direct business (before reinsurance) Operating figures

€m

Direct business, operating figures

€m

Key Figures

Motor TPL var. vs FY20
Portfolio average premium -2.8%
N. of claims reported a +11.6%
Frequency +0.5 p.p.
Bodily injuries/Tot.
followed-up
claims
-0.3 p.p.
Motor and General TPL FY21
savings on settled claims b
%
Motor TPL 49.6%
General TPL 69.1%

aFollowed-up managed claims

b Savings on settled claims of previous years / amount provisioned Operating figures

Motor TPL Combined Ratio Direct Business

Motor TPL Run-off Claims Reserves

€m

KPIs

FY20 FY21
Total revenues 329 368
a
Gross
operating
margin
51 58
EBIT 24 19
Net result 15 15

Registered Vehicles

Target achieved: 1,000 contracts per month managed by agents

a Net of vehicles' depreciation Operating figures

13

FY21 Preliminary Consolidated Results

€m

Direct Premium Income

Premiums by Company

€m % var%
UnipolSai 2,870 53 -7.4
Arca Vita
+ AVI
2,423 45 +112.6
Other
companies
93 2 +3.9
Total 5,386 100 +24.4

Premiums by Line of Business

€m % var%
Traditional 3,457 64 +26.3
Unit linked 1,119 21 +114.6
Pension
funds
585 11 -17.2
Capitalization 224 4 -38.0
Total 5,386 100 +24.4

Premiums by Distribution Channel

€m % var%
Agents 1,666 31 -0.4
Bancassurance 2,498 46 +106.0
Head office 1,001 19 -19.6
Other 221 4 +11.7
Total 5,386 100 +24.4

Operating figures

Life Yields

aTechnical reserves of segregated funds in the existing portfolio

b Calculated at cost basis

c Gross financial margin on annual basis

Operating figures

Technical Reserves by Minimum Guarantee a

FY20 FY21
Min. guar. yield €bn % €bn %
0% 12.1 36 15.4 44
0%-1% 8.0 24 7.8 22
1%-2% 6.5 19 5.6 16
2%-3% 5.0 15 4.6 13
>3% 2.1 6 2.0 6
Total 33.7 100 35.3 100

15

FY21 Preliminary Consolidated Results

€m

Line of business NBV PVNBP NB
Margin
on
PVNBP
Insurance
with
profit participation
43 1,966 2.2%
Index/Unit-linked
insurance
25 800 3.1%
Other
life insurance
20 116 17.4%
Total FY21 88 2,882 3.0%
Total FY20 66 2,143 3.1%
Total FY19 70 2,622 2.7%
Total FY18 45 2,010 2.2%

Operating figures

Total
Investments
FY20 FY21
€bn % €bn %
Total Bonds 54.0 86.8 50.5 82.7
o/w
Italian Govies
26.2 42.2 23.9 39.1
o/w Non-Italian Govies 10.0 16.2 8.9 14.6
o/w Corporate 17.7 28.5 17.7 29.0
Cash 1.0 1.6 2.0 3.2
Equity
and Funds
1.5 2.5 2.4 3.9
Real Assets, P.E., H.F. 1.2 1.9 1.7 2.8
Real Estate 4.5 7.2 4.5 7.3
Total 62.2 100 61.1 100
Duration
(years)
FY20 FY21
Total Non-Life Life Total Non-Life Life
Assets 6.8 3.5 8.4 6.1 3.0 7.5
Liabilities 7.7 2.8 9.6 7.2 2.8 8.9
Mismatch -0.2 1.4 -0.6 -0.5 1.0 -0.8

Market value – Operating figures

€m

FY20

Total Non-Life Life
Coupons and dividends 1,470 344 1,116
Yield 3.0% 2.8% 3.2%
Realized/unrealized gains/losses -44 -24 -23
Yield -0.1% -0.2% -0.1%
Total 1,425 320 1,093
Yield 2.9% 2.6% 3.1%

FY21

Total Non-Life Life
Coupons
and dividends
1,477 389 1,075
Yield 2.9% 2.9% 3.0%
Realized/unrealized gains/losses 69 31 16
Yield 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Total 1,547 420 1,091
Yield 3.1% 3.2% 3.1%

17

Investment yields on a yearly basis Operating figures

RE Investment Portfolio (2,839 €m) Details

a Extraordinary yields include gains, losses, net write-downs and Covid-19 impacts Operating figures, book value

€m

Bad Loans Stock

FY20 FY21
Gross
loans
3,046 2,689
Net loans 423 357
Coverage
ratio
86% 87%

Bad Loans Collection

FY20 FY21
Collections 116 82 404 €m collections
2018-2021
Bad
Loans
reduction
(GBV)
419 356 1,452 €m GBV reduction
2018-2021
Collections/GBV 28% 23%

Balance Sheet Highlights

FY20 FY21
Net Financial Position -27 38 from -268 €m upon
the start of the
company to +38 €m in FY21
Tax
Assets
55 52
Total Equity 440 441 a

2018-2021 Portfolio Development

aTangible equity 441 €m b Acquisition of 1.2 €bn of bad loans from BPER

€m

FY21 Local GAAP Net
result
(est.)
335
Pay-out ratio 64%

20

538 538 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 Total dividends

FY21 Local GAAP Net
result
(est.)
648
Pay-out
ratio
83%

a 2019 dividend was distributed in 2021 according to the indications of the Supervisory Authorities

€bn

UNIPOL (consolidated) Partial Internal Model

UNIPOLSAI (consolidated) Economic Capital

UNIPOLSAI (solo) Partial Internal Model

Figures net of dividend distribution proposal

aEligible Own Funds in excess of Solvency Capital Requirements

22

FY21 Preliminary Consolidated Results

€m

a Eligible Own Funds in excess of Solvency Capital Requirements

Bancassurance

24

aIncluding the shares held by Unipol Investment, UnipolPart I and Unipol Finance

Appendix

€m

FY20 FY21
a
Premium income
12,210 13,329
Non-Life 7,882 7,943
Life 4,328 5,386
Ratio b
Combined
87.0% 95.0%
Consolid. Net Result
reported
864 796
Group Net Result
reported
707 627
EPS (€) c 0.99 0.87
Dividends 201 215
DPS (€) 0.28 0.30
FY20 FY21
Total Equity 9,525 9,722
Shareholders' Equity 7,614 7,780
BVPS (€) c 10.61 10.84
Solvency
2 ratio (cons. PIM)
216% 216%

UNIPOL UNIPOLSAI

FY20 FY21
12,210 13,329
7,882 7,943
4,328 5,386
87.0% 95.0%
853 723
820 688
0.29 0.23
538 538
0.19 0.19
FY20 FY21
Total Equity 8,144 8,234
Shareholders' Equity 7,881 7,964
BVPS (€) c 2.61 2.64
Solvency
2 ratio (cons. EC)
281% 286%

aDirect business b Net of reinsurance c Calculated on the total number of ordinary shares d Calculated excluding the RT1 impact

Appendix

€m

As at 31 December 2021

Issuer Listed a Nominal
amount
Sub./Sen./
Hyb.
Tier Maturity Coupon
UnipolSai 160 Hyb. Tier
I
Jul, 2023 Eur6M+1.8% b
UnipolSai 500 Sub. Tier
II
Mar, 2028 3.88%
UnipolSai 750 Hyb. Tier
I
c
Perpetual
5.75%
UnipolSai 500 Hyb. Tier
I
d
Perpetual
6.38%
Total UnipolSai S.p.A. 1,910 4.83%
f
Unipol 1,000 Sen. -- Mar, 2025 3.00%
Unipol 500 Sen. -- Nov, 2027 3.50%
Unipol (Green Bond) 1,000 Sen. -- Sep, 2030 3.25%
Total Unipol S.p.A. 2,500 3.22% f
Total UnipolSai S.p.A. + Unipol S.p.A.e 4,410

26

aListed on the Luxembourg Stock Exchange

b Additional spreads 0.715bps on 30 Jun and 31 Dec each year

  • c 1 st call date Jun, 2024
  • d 1 st call date Apr, 2030

eExcluding intercompany debt

f Average coupon, calculated on the basis of FY21 average stock

Appendix

€m

As at 31 December 2021

Assets Liabilities
a
Liquid financial
assets
1,353 Financial
debt
to UnipolSai
300
Loan
to UnipolRental
150 Senior
debt
2025
1,000
Senior
debt
2027
500
Senior green bond 2030 1,000
Liquid financial
assets
1,503 b
Financial liabilities
2,800
Net balance -1,297
-- ------------- --------

aIncluding liquid financial assets of Unipol S.p.A. and its 100% directly controlled subsidiaries

b Nominal value

As at 31 December 2021

Notes
UnipolSai shareholding 84.92% ref. slide 24
UnipolReC
shareholding
85.24% ref. slide 24
UnipolReC
tangible
book value
441 €m ref. slide 19
BPER direct
shareholding
9.55% ref. slide 24
Net
financial
assets/liabilities
-1,297 €m ref. slide 27
Net operating
costs
27 €m Figure adjusted
excl. non recurring
costs
DTA 302 €m Deferred
Tax
Assets
relating
to goodwill
realignment
-
local
GAAP

Operating figures

Adriano Donati Head of Investor Relations

[email protected] [email protected]

Giancarlo Lana Tel +39 011 654 2088 Eleonora Roncuzzi Tel +39 051 507 7063 Carlo Latini Tel +39 051 507 6333 Giuseppe Giuliani Tel +39 051 507 7218 Silvia Tonioli Tel +39 051 507 2371

13 May 2022 1Q22 Results Reporting