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Unipol Investor Presentation 2019

Aug 2, 2019

4405_ip_2019-08-02_95e3251c-474e-43ea-b194-82a401ba7c8e.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Unless otherwise specified, all figures reported in this presentation refer to the Unipol Group.

1H18, FY18, 1H19 figures and variations are reported on the basis of the current perimeter, unless otherwise specified.

€m

1H18
Consolidated
net result
Group
net result
1H18 actual 644 482
gain on Pop. Vita sale -309 -247
a
perimeter
normalisation
-24 -20
1H18 normalised 311 214
1H19
Consolidated
net result
Group
net result
1H19 actual 740 627
BPER 1st
consolid. impact
-388 -357
1H19 normalised 353 270

a Normalisations refer to Popolare Vita, Arca and Unipol Banca results

UNIPOL UNIPOLSAI

1H18
Consolidated
net result
Group
net result
1H18 actual 647 618
gain on Pop. Vita sale -309 -309
a
perimeter
normalisation
+13 +9
1H18 normalised 351 318
1H19
Consolidated
net result
Group
net result
1H19 actual 377 364
-- --
1H19 normalised 377 364

€m

1H18 1H19 Var%
Consolidated
pre-tax
result
426 473 +11.0%
Non-life 326 386
Life 200 139
Holding and other -100 -51
Consolidated
net result
311 353 +13.3%
Group net result 214 270 +25.9%

UNIPOL UNIPOLSAI

1H18 1H19 a Var%
Consolidated
pre-tax
result
479 501 +4.6%
Non-life 328 387
Life 201 140
Other -50 -25
Consolidated
net result
351 377 +7.4%
Group net result 318 364 +14.6%

a Normalised and actual results are the same at UnipolSai level

€m

1H19 Consolidated results

Direct premium income
4,007 4,109 +2.6%
2,157 2,151 -0.3%
1,850 1,958 +5.8%
1H18 1H19
MV Non-MV
€m % Var%
Mobility 2,314 56% +0.8%
Motor TPL 1,770 43% -1.6%
M.O.D. 382 9% +6.5%
Other 163 4% +16.9%
Welfare a 715 17% +10.4%
Health 380 9% +17.6%
Accident 335 8% +3.3%
Property 1,079 26% +1.6%
Property 578 14% -0.4%
General TPL 347 8% +2.5%
Other 155 4% +7.6%
Total 4,109 100% +2.6%

Premiums by business line Premiums by company

€m % Var%
UnipolSai S.p.A. 3,480 85% +0.5%
UniSalute 238 6% +5.4%
Linear 96 2% +3.7%
Incontra 102 2% +101.1%
Arca Assicurazioni 69 2% +13.6%
Siat,
DDOR & PA
122 3% +9.6%
Total 4,109 100% +2.6%

Premiums by distribution channel

€m % Var%
Agents 3,296 80% +0.2%
Brokers/head office 495 12% +6.3%
Bancassurance 171 4% +53.3%
Direct and other 146 4% +4.9%
Total 4,109 100% +2.6%

a The whole Welfare ecosystem also includes Life business for a total of 3.9 €bn Operating figures

Net of reinsurance Direct business

Combined ratio net of reinsurance: operating expenses/earned premiums after reinsurance + claims charges/earned premiums after reinsurance

Combined ratio direct business: operating expenses/written premiums from direct business (before reinsurance) + claims charges /earned premiums from direct business (after reinsurance). Operating figures

Motor TPL combined ratio

1H18 1H19
Direct business 97.9% 97.9%
ratio a
Expense
21.3% 21.8%
ratio b
Loss
76.6% 76.0%

Other Motor TPL indicators

var. vs FY18
Total portfolio +0.4%
Retail (95% of tot. ptf) +0.2%
Fleets
(5% of tot. ptf)
+4.2%
Portfolio average
premium
-1.0%
var. vs 1H18
N. of claims
reported
(followed-up managed
claims)
-0.9%
Frequency -0.10pp

No. of black boxes 4 million (44% of the tot. portfolio)

a Operating expenses / written premiums from direct business (before reinsurance) b Claims charges / earned premiums from direct business (before reinsurance) Operating figures

€m

Direct premium income

Premiums by line of business

€m % var%
Traditional 1,785 56% +38.1%
Unit linked 152 5% -46.8%
Pension
funds
956 30% +180.6%
Capitalization 291 9% +28.4%
Total 3,185 100% +48.4%

Premiums by company

€m % var%
UnipolSai S.p.A. 2,327 73% +51.8%
Arca Vita
+ AVI
811 25% +42.2%
Other
companies
47 1% +7.3%
Total 3,185 100% +48.4%

Premiums by distribution channel

€m % var%
Agents 871 27% +23.0%
Bancassurance/Fin. advisors 965 30% +36.2%
Pension
funds
921 29% +199.3%
Brokers/Head office 419 13% +3.4%
Other 8 0% -50.2%
Total 3,185 100% +48.4%

Operating figures

€m

Segregated accounts and minimum guaranteed yields

Technical reserves by minimum guaranteed a

FY18 1H19
Min. guar. yield €bn % €bn %
0%-1% 14.2 45% 16.0 51%
1%-2% 9.2 29% 7.7 25%
2%-3% 6.0 19% 5.6 18%
>3% 2.3 7% 2.3 7%
Total 31.7 100% 31.6 100%

aClass 1 and Class 5 technical reserves Operating figures

€ mln

Total investments 56.3 €bn

Total bonds 85.4%

Financial investment yields

1H19
Non-life Life Total
€m Yield €m Yield €m Yield
Coupons and dividends 196 3.2% 584 3.4% 787 3.3%
Realized and unrealized
gains/losses
0 0.0% 36 0.2% 42 0.2%
Total 195 3.2% 620 3.6% 829 3.5%

Total investments duration

(Years) Assets Liabilities Mismatch
Non-Life 3.5 2.8 1.2
Life 7.5 8.8 -0.9
Total portfolio 6.2 6.9 -0.3

Total portfolio 4.0 €bn

Development of RE portfolio Breakdown by cluster Breakdown by sector

5%

aN. 72 deeds as at 30 June 2019

bIncluding exchange variation and operations on RE funds and associated SPV Operating figures

€m

NPEs stock

FY18 1H19
Gross
loans
2,590 2,399
Net loans 490 451
Coverage
ratio
81% 81%

NPEs collection

1H18 1H19
Collections 49 59
NPEs
reduction
(GBV)
198 191
Collections/GBV 25% 31%

Net result

1H18 1H19
Net result 2 10

€bn

UNIPOL (consolidated) – Partial internal model UNIPOLSAI (consolidated) – Economic capital

a Preliminary evaluation that might be subject to updates

NPL portfolio Unipol Banca Car Server Acquisition by UnipolReC of a portfolio of NPL from BPER Closing 31 July 2019 Price 102 €m GBV 1.2 €bn • 32% secured • 68% unsecured Sale of Unipol Banca to BPER Closing 31 July 2019 Price 220 €m No effect on Unipol and UnipolSai P&L in 1H19 Acquisition of 100% of Car Server, one of the leading long-term car rental players in Italy Closing 1 August 2019 Price 96 €m N. of cars >45,000 Total revenues 302 €m

Appendix

€m

1H18 1H19
a
Premium income
6,153 7,294
Non-Life 4,007 4,109
Life 2,147 3,185
Ratio b
Combined
95.1% 94.6%
Consolid. net result 644 740
Group net result 482 627
(norm.) c
Cons. net result
311 353
(norm.) c
Group net result
214 270
FY18 1H19
Total equity 6,327 7,547
Shareholders' equity 5,032 6,092

aDirect business

b Net of reinsurance

c Ref. p. 5 for details on normalisation

UNIPOL UNIPOLSAI

1H18 1H19
a
Premium income
6,153 7,294
Non-Life 4,007 4,109
Life 2,147 3,185
Ratio b
Combined
95.1% 94.6%
Consolid. net result 647 377
Group net result 618 364
(norm.) c
Cons. net result
351 377
(norm.) c
Group net result
318 364
FY18 1H19
Total equity 5,697 6,294
Shareholders' equity 5,448 6,039

On 7 February 2019 the BoD of Unipol and UnipolSai approved the sale of Unipol Banca to BPER Banca, which was completed on 31 July 2019

aIncluding the shares held by Unipol Investment and UnipolPart I b As at 30 June 2019

Appendix

€ mln

Total investments 54.7 €bn

Total bonds 86.5%

Financial investment yields

1H19
Non-life Life Total
€m Yield €m Yield €m Yield
Coupons and dividends 196 3.2% 584 3.4% 779 3.4%
Realized and unrealized
gains/losses 0 0.0% 36 0.2% 35 0.2%
Total 195 3.2% 620 3.6% 815 3.5%

Duration

(Years) Assets Liabilities
Non-Life 3.5 2.8 1.2
Life 7.5 8.8 -0.9
Total portfolio 6.2 7.1 -0.2

Appendix

Total portfolio 4.0 €bn

Development of RE portfolio Breakdown by cluster Breakdown by sector

5%

Other RE investm. Offices Residential Hotel Land Commercial Condos and ind. Health centres Breakdown by use Breakdown by area 52% 17% 9% 9% 5% 4% 2% 2%

aN. 72 deeds as at 30 June 2019

bIncluding exchange variation and operations on RE funds and associated SPV Operating figures

Maurizio Castellina, Senior Executive responsible for drawing up the corporate accounts of Unipol Gruppo S.p.A. and UnipolSai Assicurazioni S.p.A., declares, in accordance with Article 154-bis, para 2, of the 'Consolidated Finance Act', that the accounting information reported in this document corresponds to the document contents, books and accounting records.

This document has been prepared by Unipol Gruppo S.p.A. and by UnipolSai Assicurazioni S.p.A. solely for information purposes in the context of the presentation of their 1H19 results. The content of this document does not constitute a recommendation in relation to any financial instruments issued by the companies of the Unipol Group, nor constitutes or forms it part of any offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation to purchase any financial instruments issued by the companies of the Unipol Group, nor may it be relied upon for any investment decision by its addressees. Unless otherwise specified, all the figures reported in this presentation are on a consolidated basis.

Adriano Donati Head of Investor Relations Tel +39 051 507 7933

[email protected] [email protected]

Giancarlo Lana Tel +39 011 665 7088 Eleonora Roncuzzi Tel +39 051 507 7063 Carlo Latini Tel +39 051 507 6333 Giuseppe Giuliani Tel +39 051 507 7218 Silvia Tonioli Tel +39 051 507 2371