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TXC — Investor Presentation 2020
Sep 11, 2020
52274_rns_2020-09-11_33b0853d-1c4d-4b50-a3ae-869222eb77f4.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Investor Conference September, 2020
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
Disclaimer
-
Except for statements in respect of historical matters, the statements in this release are forwardlooking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual performance, financial condition or results of operations of TXC to be materially different form what may be implied by such forwardlooking statements.
-
The financial forecasts and forward-looking statements in the release reflect the current belief of TXC as of the date of this release and TXC undertakes no obligation to update these forecasts and forward-looking statements for events or circumstances that occur subsequent to such date.
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The statements in respect of historical matters may contain unaudited information, which may have certain deficiency or weakness so as not to fairly present financial condition or the results of operations of TXC.
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
1
Financial Performance P&L, EPS, DPS, CAPEX
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
2
Sales & Shipping Records Steady and Organic Volume Growth
Unit: USD M
Unit: Billion PCS
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REVENUE SHIPPING QUANTITY
US$350 6.0
US$323
US$310
US$302
US$294
US$300 US$272 US$281 5.0 2020
FCST shipment :
US$250
4.0 > 4.0 billion pcs
3.4
3.3 3.3
US$200 3.1
2.8
3.0
2.6
US$150
2.0
US$100
1.0
US$50
US$0 -
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
3
Quarterly Performance
Sales Revenues
Sales Revenues (NT$ Million)
| es Reve NT$ Milli |
2017 NT$ 8,782M (yoy -8.9%) 2018 NT$ 8,156M (yoy -7.1%) nues on) 2019 NT$ 8,431M (yoy +3.4%) |
2020’H1 NT$ 4,675M (yoy +31.0%) |
|---|---|---|
| 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 |
2,133 2,114 2,267 2,269 1,869 1,862 2,267 2,158 1,623 1,945 2,428 2,434 |
2,151 2,524 20.Q1 20.Q2 |
| 17.Q1 17.Q2 17.Q3 17.Q4 18.Q1 18.Q2 18.Q3 18.Q4 19.Q1 19.Q2 19.Q3 19.Q4 |
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
4
Quarterly Performance
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Gross Margin
29.9%
Gross Margin 29.8%
(%) 28.3%
25.2%
24.3% 24.6%
23.6% 23.6% 22.6% 23.4%
22.5%
22.2% 22.3%
20.9%
17.Q1 17.Q2 17.Q3 17.Q4 18.Q1 18.Q2 18.Q3 18.Q4 19.Q1 19.Q2 19.Q3 19.Q4 20.Q1 20.Q2
2017 2018 2019 2020’H1
NT$ 2,186M NT$ 1,828M NT$ 2,007M NT$ 1,396M
Gross Profit (yoy -14.4%) (yoy -16.4%) (yoy +9.8%) (yoy +75.5%)
(NT$ Million) 800 755
641
603 597 615
600 535 534
513 513
486
456
415 415
400 339
200
0
17.Q1 17.Q2 17.Q3 17.Q4 18.Q1 18.Q2 18.Q3 18.Q4 19.Q1 19.Q2 19.Q3 19.Q4 20.Q1 20.Q2
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
5
Net Margin (%)
Net Income (NT$ Million)
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Quarterly Performance
Net Margin
15.1%
14.6%
11.9%
10.8%
10.7%
10.0%
9.4% 9.7% 9.1%
8.0%
7.0%
6.2%
4.8%
4.5%
17.Q1 17.Q2 17.Q3 17.Q4 18.Q1 18.Q2 18.Q3 18.Q4 19.Q1 19.Q2 19.Q3 19.Q4 20.Q1 20.Q2
2017 2018 2019 2020’H1
NT$ 963M NT$ 644M NT$ 672M NT$ 626M
(yoy -5.3%) (yoy -33.1%) (yoy +4.3%) (yoy +192.1%)
400
369
321
300
257
246 242
227 234 221
203
200 169
137
116
84 78
100
0
17.Q1 17.Q2 17.Q3 17.Q4 18.Q1 18.Q2 18.Q3 18.Q4 19.Q1 19.Q2 19.Q3 19.Q4 20.Q1 20.Q2
TXC Confidential and Proprietary 6
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Statements of Comprehensive Income
| Unit:NT$ in Million 2017 2018 2019 |
2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 H1 |
|---|---|
| Net Revenue 8,782 8,156 8,431 Gross Profit 2,186 1,828 2,007 Operating Profit 802 533 632 Non-Operating Items 273 200 132 Income before Tax 1,075 733 765 Net Income to Shareholders of the Parent Company 963 644 672 Basic EPS (NT$) 3.11 2.08 2.17 |
2,151 2,524 4,675 641 755 1,396 276 357 633 22 56 77 298 412 710 257 369 626 0.83 1.19 2.02 |
| Gross Margin(%) 24.9% 22.4% 23.8% OPEX(%) 15.8% 15.9% 16.3% Operating Margin(%) 9.1% 6.5% 7.5% Income before Tax Margin(%) 12.2% 9.0% 9.1% Net Profit Margin(%) 11.0% 7.9% 8.0% |
29.8% 29.9% 29.9% 16.9% 15.8% 16.3% 12.8% 14.1% 13.5% 13.9% 16.3% 15.2% 11.9% 14.6% 13.4% |
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
7
Balance Sheet
| Unit:NT$ Million 2017 2018 2019 |
2020 Mar. 2020 Jun. |
|---|---|
| Cash & Marketable Securities 2,331 1,305 1,986 NR+AR 2,651 2,726 2,889 Inventories 1,504 1,817 2,039 Current Assets 7,983 7,117 7,945 PP&E 4,370 4,111 4,054 Total Assets 13,403 12,562 13,369 Current Liabilities 2,277 2,089 2,797 Non-current Liabilities 1,961 1,722 1,875 Total Liabilities 4,238 3,811 4,671 Total Shareholders' Equity 9,165 8,751 8,698 A/R Turnover Days 119 120 122 Inventory Turnover Days 84 96 110 Current Ratio(%) 350.6% 340.7% 284.1% Debt Ratio(%) 31.6% 30.3% 34.9% Book Value Per Share(NT$) 29.59 28.25 28.08 |
2,059 1,981 2,704 2,868 2,400 2,580 8,229 8,672 4,070 4,315 13,817 14,556 2,753 4,318 2,104 1,819 4,857 6,137 8,960 8,419 119 112 134 129 298.9% 200.8% 35.2% 42.2% 28.93 27.18 |
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
8
EPS and DPS
High Dividends payout
| YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.8 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 ~~2011~~ ~~2012~~ ~~2013~~ ~~2014~~ ~~2015~~ ~~2016~~ Unit: $NT |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.8 |
2.5 2.0 2.5 Earnings Per Share Cash Dividends Per Share |
|||||||||||||||||||||||
| .2 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.5 |
2.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 ~~2011~~ ~~2012~~ ~~2013~~ ~~2014~~ ~~2015~~ ~~2016~~ |
2017 ~~2017~~ |
2018 2019 ~~2018~~ ~~2019~~ |
||||||||||||||||||||||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.48 |
3.79 |
3.02 |
3.21 |
3.03 |
3.28 |
3.11 |
2.08 |
2.17 |
|||||||||||||||
| Cash Dividends Per Share |
2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | |||||||||||||||
| Stock Price(Apr.) | 43.6 | 46.0 | 43.6 | 39.9 | 41.1 | 44.5 | 39.0 | 36.0 | 44.0 | |||||||||||||||
| Payout Ratio(%) | 63.2 | 58.0 | 72.8 | 77.9 | 82.5 | 85.4 | 80.4 | **96.2 ** | 115.2 | |||||||||||||||
| Yields(%) | 5.1 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 5.7 |
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
9
2020 Capital Expenditure Expand the Economy of Scale Capacity expansion for new products, and to satisfy market demands
Amount: NT$550M
-
MEMS
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Miniature SMD Crystal
-
Amount: NT$300M Facility Miniature SMD Crystal
Amount: NT$350M Miniature SMD Crystal SMD Oscillator
Total Amount: NT$1,200M
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
10
Market Outlook TAM, Ranking, Sales segment breakdown
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
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WW Timing Market Summary
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Overall, the total market for Crystals and Oscillators decreased 2.6% in CY2019 to $3.04 billion usd.
-
The semiconductor forecasts for 2020 are all over the place. No one quite knows what the real impact of COVID-19 will be on the full year. However, we still can expect the market will gain business potential back with positive growth.
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4,000 8.0%
▆ Revenue (Millions of Dollars) [▂] Revenue YoY (%)
3,500 3,271 6.0%
3,122
3,041
2,921
3,000 2,829 2,870 4.0%
2,500 2.0%
4.0%
2,000 0.0%
1.4% 1.8%
-2.6%
1,500 -4.5% -2.0%
1,000 -4.0%
-6.9%
500 -6.0%
0 -8.0%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
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Source: 2019-20 WORLDWIDE WW CRYSTAL & OSCILLATORS Report, CS&A, June 2020, TXC Estimation
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
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WW Timing Market Summary
Forecasting Stable growth during 2020-2022
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▂
▆ Shipment (Millions of Units) Units YoY (%)
19,000 6.0%
18,500 4.0%
18,276 18,290
18,068
17,932
18,000 5.5% 2.0%
0.1%
17,539
2.2%
17,500 0.0%
-1.2% 17,279
1.5%
17,000 -2.0%
-4.4%
16,500 -4.0%
16,000 -6.0%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
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Source: 2019-20 WORLDWIDE WW CRYSTAL & OSCILLATORS Report, CS&A, June 2020, TXC Estimation
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
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WW Timing Market Shares Strong Market Penetration
Source: CS&A 2020
| Revenue( M_USD ) | Revenue( M_USD ) | Revenue( M_USD ) | Market Share(%) | Market Share(%) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Rank | 2019 Rank | Company Name | 2018 | 2019 | Percent Change | 2018 | 2019 | |
| 1 1 Seiko Epson $365 $355 -2.8% 11.7% 11.7% |
||||||||
| 2 2 NDK $358 $336 -6.5% 11.5% 11.0% |
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| 4 | 3 | $272 | $281 | 3.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | ||
| 3 4 KCD $285 $257 -10.9% 9.1% 8.5% |
||||||||
| 5 5 KDS $191 $192 0.5% 6.1% 6.3% |
||||||||
| 6 6 Microchip (Vectron) $176 $171 -2.9% 5.6% 5.6% |
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| 7 7 Murata $94 $89 -5.6% 3.0% 2.9% |
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| 9 8 Harmony $92 $88 -4.5% 2.9% 2.9% |
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| 8 9 Hosonic $94 $86 -9.3% 3.0% 2.8% |
||||||||
| 11 10 SiTime $85 $84 -1.2% 2.7% 2.8% |
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| Other Companies $1,110 $1,102 -0.7% 35.6% 36.2% |
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| Total Revenue $3,122 $3,041 -2.7% 100.0% 100.0% |
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
14
TXC’s Revenue by Market Segments Actual and Forecast (F)
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IoT OTHERS
Crystal, TCXO
11% 8%
AUTOMOTIVE
4%
AUTOMOTIVE
OTHERS 5%
9% IoT
10%
2020
MOBILE
MOBILE
NETWORKING COMMUNICATION
COMMUNICATION
31% 2019 (F) 30%
27%
NETWORKING
31% Crystal, TSX , TCXO
Stratum 3 TCXO
HF VCXO
OCXO, Crystal
MOBILE
MOBILE
COMPUTING
COMPUTING
16%
18%
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
15
Growth Potential
- The development of new product lines
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
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From 4G to 5G
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QORVO, 2017
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(1M units / km [2] ) (Latency <1ms)
(~10Gbps)
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5G Use Cases – Drivers
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eMBB (增强移動寬帶)
-
Enhanced Mobile Broadband
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mMTC (大規模裝置互聯)
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Massive Machine Type. Communications
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uRLLC (超可靠低延遲)
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Ultra-Reliable and Low Latency Communications
Ericsson, 2017 TPE 5G Summit
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
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5G Complete Infrastructure & Device Ecosystem Development
Comprehensive Ecosystem
Network Infrastructure
Internet Data Center
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AIoT Device
Mobile Phone AAU 5GC
(Core Network)
CU
25/50/100G 100/200/400G 200/400G Cloud
Multiple Automotive
Usage NR
Equipment
Small Cell DU
Optical Module Server/Storage/Security
CPE
Mobile Computing
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
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TXC 5G Applications Product Trends
Device Interconnection Infrastructure
Intelligence Platform
Mobile Phone
(5G NR, GPS, Wi-Fi 6/6E, BT, NFC, etc.)
Mobile Computing
- (NB, Tablet, Mobile Device, Server, etc.)
CPE
(5G NR, Wi-Fi 6, NB-IoT, LoRA, etc.)
Macro Base Station
(AAU, DU/CU, Transport & Core) Small Cell
(Micro, Pico, Femto, etc.)
Optical Module
(100/200/400G PAM4 & Coherent Solution)
Smart Device
(Home, City, Industry, Logistic, Medical, etc.)
Edge Computing
(Server, CPU/GPU, MCU, etc.) Automotive
(V2X & ADAS)
Support Roles in Timing Solution
-
5G NR • LTE • GPS • LoRA
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NB-IoT • Wi-Fi • BT • NFC
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Clock Synchronizer (SyncE & IEEE1588) • DSP
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Clock Generator • Jitter Attenuator • Ethernet
Crystal & Oscillator Specification Development Trend
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Miniature • Low Hysteresis
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High Frequency Accuracy & Stability
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High Temperature Operating
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Miniature • Ultra High Frequency Accuracy & Stability
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Reliability • Ultra Low Phase Noise
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Anti-Air Flow • Ultra Low Jitter
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G-Sensitivity • High Temperature Operating
Crystal & Oscillator Type Demand
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XTAL/HF XTAL
-
TSX
-
XTAL/HF XTAL
-
XO/Differential XO/VCXO
-
XO • TCXO/S3TCXO • TCXO/S3TCXO • OCXO
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5G to Drive Smart Phone shipments explosion
5G infrastructure deployment accelerates the 5G smart phone market. 50% of Total Market TAM China & USA expects to be over
2019-2023 Estimate 5G Smart Phone Total Volume: ~1.9billion CAGR: ~180%
In 2023Y 5G Smart Phone estimates accounts for 51.4% Which will surpass 4G Smart Phone shipments.
Million (sets)
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Global Smart Phone Forecast By Portion
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━ 3G ━ 4G ━ 5G
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Source: Canalys forecasts, smartphone, Analysis, July 2019
TXC Confidential and Proprietary
20
4G to 5G Smart Phone FCP Usage Overview
Miniature Size & Higher Frequency Product will be key growth driver to Smart Phone Market in the future, due to stricter space limitation for product design.
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4G 5G
New Evolution Phone
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
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Wi-Fi 6 enables New Era of IoT Ecosystem
With adoption of Wi-Fi 6, it provides significant capacity, performance, and latency improvements to the entire Wi-Fi ecosystem. CPE devices will booth the home connected devices (Higher Frequency with Higher ASP)
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Source : Strategy Analytics’ Intelligent Home Group
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
Comprehensive Devices Ecosystem Growth Engine
Rich Devices Ecosystem will require plenty of Miniature size XTAL to fit in various kinds of application scenarios
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4G Mobile Devices/Wearable/IoT 5G/6G AIoT Devices Ecosystem
5,008
3,885
Global Miniature Size XTAL Forecast (Million pcs)
2,777
▄ 1612 ▄ 1210 ▄ 1008 ▄ 0806 (2020~30, CAGR: 41%)
▄ 0604, Smaller Size 1,574 1,985
1,021 1,185
683
2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Source: 1. CS&A, Combined WW SEMI-Timing Industry Report & Analysis, June 2019
Source: 2. Smart Phone Supplier Shipment & Forecast, 2016~2020
TXC Confidential and Proprietary 23
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TXC Total Solutions for 5G Application
Solution Size Ke Parameters 5G Main A lication y pp AAU 5G New Core OCXO 9775/1409 Stability, ±10 ppb CU S3TCXO 5032/7050 Stability, ±0.28 ppm NR Small Cell Infrastructure DU (AAU, DU/CU, Core, Optical) 1612 – 2520 Phase Noise@100kHz, -166dBc/Hz TCXO Optical Module VCXO 2520 – 7050 Phase Jitter@12k - 20MHz, 0.05 ps Intelligence Platform Diff XO 2520 – 7050 Phase Jitter@12k - 20MHz, 0.05 ps (Smart Device, Edge Computing, Automotive) PLL XO 2520 – 7050 Frequency, 10MHz - 2.1GHz Mobile/Multi Access Edge Computing XO 1612 – 2520 Phase Jiter@12k - 20MHz, 0.3 ps Device Interconnection NR TSX 1210 – 2520 Frequency, 19.2 – 76.8MHz (Mobile Phone, Mobile, Computing, CPE) CPE 1008 – 5032 Frequency, 8 – 320MHz Crystal
Intelligence Platform (Smart Device, Edge Computing, Automotive) Mobile/Multi Access Edge Computing
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
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TXC Automotive Development Overview
Quality Assurance
Zero Risk Approach
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(Lowest DPPM Target per Management System) IATF 16949 Certified & VDA 6.3 Management
(HQ PCF, Taiwan & NGB, China)
Reliability (AEC-Q100, AEC-Q200 & Other Specifies Compliant) Product Robustness
(Design by Application, ASIL & Board Matching)
Application Focus
Infotainment & Telematics
(IVI System & Car Connectivity Related, Included V2X & UWB) Security Electronic
(Interior/Door & Remote Control Units)
Advanced Driver Assistance (ADAS)
(Camera, Radar & System Integrated)
Safety Electronic (Included EV Related)
[(BMS, OBC, Inverter, TPMS, ABS, ECU , Airbag & Power Steering) ]
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Automotive Key Application – Product Requirement
Vehicle to Anything Advanced Driver Assisted System
Electric Vehicle
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Vehicle-to-Pedestrian Vehicle-to-Network
(V2P) (V2N)
802.11p
LTE-V2X
Vehicle-to-Vehicle Vehicle-to-Infrastructure
(V2V) (V2V)
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Charging
Station
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Reliabilit y AEC-Q100 & AEC-Q200 + Custom Special Requirement
| Specification | Specification | Specification |
|---|---|---|
| • TCXO | • Crystal & Oscillator | • Crystal & Oscillator |
| • G2, -40 to 105 °C | • G2/G1, -40 to 105/125 °C | • G1/G0, -40 to125/150 °C |
| **• Frequency Stability ±0.5ppm ** | • Frequency Stability ±30/50ppm (G2/G1) | • Frequency Stability ±50/150ppm (G1/G0) |
| • Low Phase Noise | •Low EMI Solution(Oscillator) | • Low Frequency (4~12MHz) Support |
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
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TXC Competitive Advantages
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No. 1 Largest Suppler in MHz Crystal for 7 Consecutive Years and Leading Edge Technology in Crystal Miniaturization.
Out of Top 5 Ranking Suppliers TXC is the only Profitable and Financially Healthy with Organic Growth without acquisitions.
TXC Manufactures MHz Crystal in all three manufacturing facilities to offset potential impacts caused by natural disasters. The expansion of miniaturization capacity by more than 20% in 2020.
Quick response and fulfillment to customer requirements
No. 1
Largest Supplier in MHz Crystals
TXC is Currently the No. 1 Largest Suppliers in the World for MHz Crystal alone.
No. 1
Largest Supplier Outside Japan
TXC is Currently No. 1 Largest Supplier in Frequency Control Products outside of Japan and introduced healthy competition into the Frequency market.
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary
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No.4, Kung Yeh 6[th] Rd., Ping Cheng Industrial District Ping Cheng District 32459, Tao Yuan City, Taiwan TEL: +886-3-4698121 FAX: +886-3-4696954 www.txccorp.com
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TXC Confidential and Proprietary