Investor Presentation • Oct 31, 2024
Investor Presentation
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Earnings Presentation
3Q-24 Bank-only Results
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| Continuous Earnings Growth, Steady NIM evolution |
• Best-in-class ROE • Robust FX Loan Spread • Core NIM expansion · Diversified fee income performance |
|---|---|
| Strong FX Funding | • New DFI agreements and USD 350 mn Eurobond issue • USD 1,1 bn Unwithdrawn DFI funding • FX LCR: 369% |
| Solid growth performance | •9M24 fx adjusted loan growth reached 11.5%, • Sustainable development focus • USD 1.6 bn of cash loan disbursements for 9M24 |
| Distinguished solvency supporting growth |
$\cdot$ CAR: 20.2% • Tier-I: $19.0\%$ *Excluding BRSA's measures |
| Highly provisioned, intact asset quality |
• Sustained coverage ratios for Stage-2 loans at 34.5% and Stage-3 loans at 84% • Superior total coverage ratio in the sector: 5.2%, Net CoR: -39 bps •TL100 mn free provision reversal • TL1.65 bn of free provision stock to be supportive going forward |
| Financial Guidance | 9M24 Figures | Previous YE24 Guidance Revised YE24 Guidance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| (Bank Only) | % | % | % |
| Growth | |||
| FX Adjusted Loan Growth | 11.5 | Low Teens | ۰ |
| Profitability | |||
| Net Interest Margin | 6.1 | $~\sim 6$ | ۰ |
| Fees & Commissions Growth | 44 | > avg. CPI | ۰ |
| Return On Equity | 37.4 | ~40 | |
| Efficiency | |||
| OPEX Growth | 84 | > avg. CPI | ٠ |
| Solvency* | |||
| Capital Adequacy Ratio | 20.2 | $^{\sim}18.0$ | $^{\sim}20.0$ 4 |
| Tier I Ratio | 19.0 | $^{\sim}$ 17.0 | $^{\sim}19.0$ |
| Asset Quality | |||
| NPL Ratio | 2.2 | $3$ | $\equiv$ |
| Net Cost of Risk (excluding currency impact) | $-39$ bps | $\approx$ 50 bps | $<$ 50 bps $\bigoplus$ |
*Excluding BRSA's measures
ROE
TSKB
| TL mn | 9M-23 | 9M-24 | YoY | 2Q-24 | 3Q-24 | QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Interest Income | 6,518 | 8,500 | 30% | 2,760 | 3,198 | 16% |
| Trading Income | 1,893 | 879 | $-54%$ | 226 | 195 | $-14%$ |
| Net Commissions | 287 | 413 | 44% | 164 | 119 | $-28%$ |
| Other Income (Inc. Dividend) | 124 | 551 | 345% | 114 | 376 | 229% |
| Banking Income | 8,822 | 10,343 | 17% | 3,265 | 3,888 | 19% |
| $OPEX (-)$ | 847 | 1,563 | 84% | 505 | 552 | 9% |
| Net Banking Income | 7,975 | 8,780 | 10% | 2,759 | 3,336 | 21% |
| Provisions (-) | 2,258 | 601 | $-73%$ | 270 | $-50$ | N.M. |
| Income From Participations | 1,077 | 1,263 | 17% | 719 | 226 | $-69%$ |
| Tax Provisions (-) | 1,766 | 2,406 | 36% | 739 | 979 | 32% |
| Net Profit | 5,028 | 7,036 | 40% | 2,469 | 2,633 | 7% |
Based on MIS data
Interest expense of long and short term swaps, valuations of hedge positions for Eurobonds issued and exchange differences arising from rediscounts are adjusted under NII ×
Provisions include Expected Credit Losses in the audited P&L excluding impairment expenses of marketable securities
exposure
✓
✓
✓
Climate and Environment focused SDG-linked Loans account for ~60% of the portfolio.
8
* Hard collateral & provisions are taken into consideration
Total Securities Portfolio Breakdown
Oct.-Oct. CPI assumption is 44.9 percent.
TSKB
TL Securities Portfolio Breakdown*
Fixed
28%
CPI
53%
Float
19%
$3Q-24$
48,4%
45,0%
$3Q-24$
1.5 years
3.9 years
1.6 years
72%
Floating
$10$
$\sum_{i=1}^{n}$
16% gog surge in NII inc. swap costs $\checkmark$
$\checkmark$ NIM evolution is in line with 2024YE expectations
Evolution of RWA and Equity-TL bn
TSKB
Stakeholder Workshop Financial, Impact - Double and Dynamic Materiality Analysis External and Internal Stakeholders Positive and Negative Impacts Risks and Opportunities
6-month training with Turkish Fls and experts
CDP Disclosure Successfully submitted in October Dependencies, Impacts, Risks and Opportunities Climate Change Water Forest Biodiversity
Disclosing data, driving action. TYCDP DISCLOSER CORPORATE
COP29 Baku Azerbaijan
Enhance Ambition & Enable Action Expect Türkiye's long-term climate strategy to be announced We will actively participate in the COP29
TSKB Sustainable Finance Frameworl July 2024
Investments Transition Finance
| 31.03.2023 TL mn |
30.06.2024 | 30.09.2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TL | FX | TOTAL | TL | FX | TOTAL | TL | FX | TOTAL | |
| Cash and Banks | 10,236 | 5,554 | 15,789 | 6,203 | 6,599 | 12,802 | 2,179 | 5,977 | 8,156 |
| Securities | 16,208 | 17,707 | 33,915 | 18,343 | 19,056 | 37,399 | 21,092 | 19,137 | 40,230 |
| Loans (Gross) | 11,051 | 133,311 | 144,362 | 11,816 | 139,373 | 151,189 | 10,971 | 155,937 | 166,908 |
| Provisions | $-4,178$ | $-4,522$ | $-8,700$ | $-4,294$ | $-4,599$ | $-8,893$ | $-3,468$ | $-5,186$ | $-8,654$ |
| Subsidiaries | 6,906 | 813 | 7,719 | 8,320 | 832 | 9,151 | 8,417 | 919 | 9,336 |
| Other | 3,498 | 2,109 | 5,607 | 3,440 | 2,095 | 5,535 | 3,579 | 1,410 | 4,990 |
| Total | 43,721 | 154,972 | 198,693 | 43,828 | 163,357 | 207,185 | 42,770 | 178,194 | 220,964 |
| ST Funds | $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ | 5,574 | 5,574 | $\sim$ | 6,146 | 6,146 | $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ | 9,058 | 9,058 |
| LT Funds | $\sim$ | 108,132 | 108,132 | $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ | 104,716 | 104,716 | $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ | 113,177 | 113,177 |
| Securities Issued | 36,296 | 36,296 | 37,464 | 37,464 | $\overline{\phantom{0}}$ | 40,045 | 40,045 | ||
| Repo & MM | 2,433 | 4,128 | 6,562 | 7,570 | 6,683 | 14,254 | 4,711 | 6,843 | 11,554 |
| Other | 4,213 | 4,986 | 9,200 | 3,785 | 4,222 | 8,006 | 3,645 | 4,054 | 7,699 |
| Subordinated Debt | 9,686 | 9,686 | 10,073 | 10,073 | 10,214 | 10,214 | |||
| Shareholders' Equity | 23,199 | 44 | 23,243 | 26,471 | 55 | 26,526 | 28,959 | 257 | 29,217 |
| Total | 29,845 | 168,847 | 198,693 | 37,826 | 169,359 | 207,185 | 37,315 | 183,649 | 220,964 |
| TL mn | 9M-23 | 9M-24 | Yoy | $2Q-24$ | 3Q-24 | QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Interest Income inc. Swap Cost | 6,518 | 8,500 | 30% | 2,760 | 3,198 | 16% |
| Net Interest Income | 6,482 | 11,135 | 72% | 3,747 | 3,623 | $-3%$ |
| CPI Linkers | 2,515 | 2,882 | 15% | 874 | 1,171 | 34% |
| Swap Costs | 36 | $-2,635$ | n.m. | $-987$ | $-425$ | $-57%$ |
| Net Fees & Commissions | 287 | 413 | 44% | 164 | 119 | $-28%$ |
| Other Income | 124 | 551 | 345% | 114 | 377 | 229% |
| Dividends | 10 | 7 | $-34%$ | $\overline{2}$ | 5 | 231% |
| Other | 114 | 544 | 379% | 113 | 371 | 229% |
| Trading & FX gains/losses | 1,893 | 879 | $-54%$ | 226 | 195 | $-14%$ |
| FX gains/losses | 1,677 | 668 | $-60%$ | 145 | 129 | $-11%$ |
| Trading & MtM gain/loss | 216 | 211 | $-2%$ | 81 | 66 | $-18%$ |
| Banking Income | 8,822 | 10,343 | 17% | 3,265 | 3,888 | 19% |
| OPEX (-) | 847 | 1,563 | 84% | 506 | 553 | 9% |
| Net Banking Income | 7,975 | 8,780 | 10% | 2,759 | 3,335 | 21% |
| $ECL$ $(-)$ | 2,258 | 601 | $-73%$ | 270 | $-50$ | $-118%$ |
| Stage I | 282 | $-268$ | $-195%$ | 62 | $-309$ | $-597%$ |
| Stage II | 987 | 598 | $-39%$ | 43 | 284 | 555% |
| Stage III | $-2$ | 271 | n.m. | 165 | $-25$ | $-115%$ |
| Other Provisions | 992 | n.m. | n.m. | |||
| Income From Subsidiaries | 1,077 | 1,263 | 17% | 719 | 226 | $-69%$ |
| Pre-Tax Income | 6,794 | 9,442 | 39% | 3,208 | 3,612 | 13% |
| Tax $(-)$ | 1,766 | 2,406 | 36% | 739 | 979 | 32% |
| Net Income | 5,028 | 7,036 | 40% | 2,469 | 2,633 | 7% |
16
SUSTAINALYTICS
Sustainalytics ESG Risk Rating
$0 - 40 +$
6.9
Range
Score
Negligible risk category
First place in Türkiye
9th place among global development banks
HCDP
CDP Climate Change Score $A/D A -$ Leadership
Moody's
Moody's ESG Credit Impact Score $1 - 5$ $\overline{2}$ Neutral-to-low
FitchRatings Fitch ESG Credit Relevance Score $1 - 5$ $\overline{\mathbf{3}}$
Neutral-to-minimal
Sustainable Fitch ESG Entity Score $1-5(0-100)$
$3(61/100)$
Above global average
$\begin{array}{|l|} \hline \textbf{Sustainable}\ \hline \textbf{Fitch} \end{array}$
$A+/D-$
BIST Sustainability Index BIST Sustainability 25 Index
LSEG
ESG Score
$\mathbf{A}$
| Stage 2 Loans | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sector | % | Coverage (%) | |||
| Tourism | 49 | 41 | |||
| Electricity/Gas Distribution | 18 | 42 | |||
| Electricity Generation | 12 | 13 | |||
| Non-residential Real Estate | 8 | 29 | |||
| Metal and Machinery | 6 | 32 | |||
| Telecom/Logistics | 4 | 9 | |||
| Automotive Supply Industry | 3 | 20 | |||
| TOTAL | 100 | 34 |
• Hard collateral & provisions are taken into consideration
• Renewable and non renewable percentages in electricity generation loans are as 94% and 6% respectively
| Provisions (TL mn) | 9M24 |
|---|---|
| Stage 1* | $-268$ |
| Stage 2** | 598 |
| Stage 3 | 271 |
| Reversals*** (TL mn) | $-280$ |
| Net CoR | 29 bps |
| Currency Impact | 67 bps |
| Net CoR excl. Currency Impact | $-39$ bps |
*Stage 1 provision costs are adjusted with TL 42.7 mn provisions set aside for securities.
**Stage 1&2 provisions are shown netted off by Stage1&2 reversals. ***Reversals depicted in the table are attributable to Stage 3 Loans.
This presentation document is prepared for informational purposes only and contains certain forward-looking comments, opinions, and forecasts. These reflect the views of Türkiye Sınai Kalkınma Bankası A.Ş. ("TSKB") as of the date of this presentation and contain certain assumptions. Although the information and data used in this presentation have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, TSKB does not guarantee their accuracy, completeness, or truthfulness and does not make any representation or warranties in this respect. The realization of the comments, opinions, and estimates in the presentation may differ according to any changes that may occur in the data, variables, or assumptions that constitute them. Therefore, TSKB may change its opinions and estimates without prior notice. However, under no circumstances can this be considered as a commitment by TSKB to update its comments, opinions, and forecasts under any circumstances. The comments, opinions, and forecasts contained herein should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell of any capital market instrument or as a promise of return. TSKB expressly declares that it does not assume any responsibility for the results of investment decisions taken on the basis of this document and for any direct or indirect losses that may arise. The presentation document may not be copied or distributed by third parties other than those to whom a copy has been delivered by TSKB.
TSKB Financial Institutions & Investor Relations
[email protected] www.tskb.com
Meclisi Mebusan Cad. 81 Findikli 34427 İstanbul
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