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T.S.M.C. — Investor Presentation 2020
Sep 18, 2020
51769_rns_2020-09-18_629475c6-17a8-49dd-b0a9-64b4eaa6c36f.pdf
Investor Presentation
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co. Investor Conference
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2020.09.18
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Disclaimer
This report discloses forecast on operation and revenue. The actual result might be different from today’s forecast as the company could not control the uncontrollable factors the forecast was based on.
These uncontrollable factors could come from all directions including the change of supply and demand, price adjustment, competition, global economy, supply chains and exchange rates and many other unpredictable factors.
TSMC is not responsible for updating the contents in this report shall any changes occur or would TSMC send out notifications or reminders for the same. This report does not solicit investments and should not be used as investment guide; TSMC is not responsible for any loss or damage incurred due to this report.
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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Agenda
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1 Corporate Profile
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2
Market Review & Outlook
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3
Financial Review
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4
Q & A
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
Company Highlight
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Listed on Consolidated
Founded Paid In Capital
TWSE Revenue (2019)
5,278.70 M 12,219.39 M
Nov. 16, 1979 Aug., 1987
NTD NTD
Managing Group Employee Taipei HQ Office
8F.‐1, No.6, Sec. 1, Roosevelt Rd., Taipei
+886‐2‐2396‐6007
Chairman: Wen‐Yuan Lin
188
GM : Pao Chen (by Jun. 30, 2020)
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TSMC Group
Petrochemical Materials Investment Hospitality
Development
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Kaohsiung Plant Linyuan Industrial Park No.7, Gongye 1st Rd., Kaohsiung +886‐7‐641‐4511
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
Quality Policy
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Taiwan S Monomer C tyrene orporation
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Technology
Enhance professional technologies
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Services
Provide comprehensive services
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Management
Enforce total management
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Consistency
Ensure quality consistency
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
Major Products
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|||||
|---|---|---|---|
|Capacities|2019 Sales by|
|Products|Applications|(tons/year)|Products|
|The major source material for polystyrene (PS),|
|acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS), styrene‐|340,000|
|butadiene rubber (SBR) and other polymers.|
|92.54%|
|The specialty chemical mainly used as a desorbent|
|for producing Para‐xylene in Parex process and Fluxy|7,000|
|3.35%|
|process.|
|The by‐product of the styrene production process,|
|Toluene|
|8,700|
|mainly used as an organic solvent.|
|1.61%|
|Ethyl‐|The intermediate product of the styrene production|
|380,000|
|benzene|process, used as the solvent of polystyrene.|
|0.35%|
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
SM Production Materials and Products
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ABS
Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene
EPS
Expanded Polystyrene
HIPS
Benzene High Impact Polystyrene
Ethyl‐ PS
乙苯
benzene Polystyrene
Ethylene SBR
Styrene‐Butadiene Rubber
TPE
Thermoplastics Elastomer
Others
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
SM Downstream Products and Applications
| Product | Acronym | Applications | Applications |
|---|---|---|---|
| Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene |
ABS | auto parts, household appliances, computer case, acrylic board, toys, motorcycle case, luggage case |
|
| Expanded Polystyrene | EPS | packaging, insulation, construction, artwork and floating materials, partition board, ice box, cake box |
|
| High Impact Polystyrene | HIPS | keyboard, mouse, computer case, disposable tableware |
|
| Polystyrene | PS | CD/DVD box, ballpoint pen, X'mas light | |
| Styrene‐Butadiene Rubber |
SBR (SSBR) | rubber/color soles, tire | |
| Thermoplastics Elastomer | TPE | auto, electronic & household appliances | |
| Unsaturated Polyester Resins |
UPR | thermoset composite applications, button | |
| Emulsion Styrene‐ Butadiene Rubber |
E‐SBR | mats, rubber goods and others |
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
TSMC Clients
The major SM clients are domestic PS, ABS and SBR manufacturers which includes home appliance, mechanical, automobile, electronic and packaging industries. As for PDEB, the clients are chemical plants across the world.
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Exxon Mobil Ruhr Oel GmbH Indian Oil Corporation TonenGeneral
USA Germany India Japan
Exxon Mobil ANPZ S‐Oil
Nederland Kazakhstan S. Korea
FuHaichuang Petrochemical Co
China
Formosa Chemicals & Fiber
Chinese Petroleum Co.
Turkey
Taiwan Chi Mei
Petkim Petrokimya
Taita Chemical
Taiwan Synthetic Rubber Corp.
LCY Grit Co.
Kuwait
Eternal Materials
Kuwait Paraxylene
Malaysia
Sultanate of Oman Indonesia Petroliam Nasional Berhad
Aromatics Oman Pertamina
United Arab Emirates Saudi Arabia Thailand Singapore
AquaChem SABIC Esso Jurong Aromatics Co.
SATORP Thai Paraxylene Exxon Mobil
PTTGlobal Chemical
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
Company and Production History
M1 plant debottleneck accomplished, SM capacity raised to 140 K tons.
SM1 & SM2 plants debottleneck accomplished. SM total capacity reached 340 K tons.
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SM1 plant established, SM production capacity reached 100 K tons. K tons/yr. 300 200 100 0
SM2 plant established, SM total production capacity reached 240 K tons
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PDEB2 line established. 3.5 K tons capacity built total capacity of 7.0 K tons achieved
K tons/yr. 8 PDEB1 line established. PDEB plant debottleneck accomplished 1.5 K tons capacity built PDEB capacity raised to 3.5 K tons. 6 4 2 0
Basic design for SM1 process improvement accomplished
Cogeneration plant in operation SM1 debottleneck project
Overall production cost reduction reengineering project accomplished Multi‐function distillation energy‐saving projects accomplished
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Plant set up Company founded Paid‐in capital 75M NTD
Paid‐in capital increased to ~ 4.6 Bn NTD Paid‐in capital increased to ~ 4.8 Bn NTD Paid‐in capital increased to ~ 5.3 Bn M NTD Paid‐in capital increased to ~ 5.6 Bn NTD
Capital increased to ~5.2 Bn NTD
Capital relief to ~5.0 Bn NTD Board of Directors resolved to buy back common stocks for the cancellation of shares
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
Quality, Safety and Environment Systems
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
Operational Strategy and Strategy Development
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Strengthen the core business (SM) and expand the production and
sales of specialty chemical (PDEB)
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Improvement of raw material and energy utilization efficiency
Cost Reduction Continuous process improvement
Establishment of a catalyst lab to improve catalyst performance
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Reinforcement of Fulfill and implement all ISO systems
Workplace Safety & Implementation of PSM
Environmental Protection Equipment component management & audit
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Consolidation or disposal of unprofitable business
Subsidiary & Investment
Explore & develop investment targets for new
Management
strategic and downstream products
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Retrospect and Prospect of SM Market
1. 2019 World Styrene Demand and Supply
2. Outlook of World Styrene Demand Growth for 2020~2021
3. Styrene Demand and Supply for Taiwan
4. 2020 First Half Retrospect
5. 2020 Second Half Outlook
6. Overview of Production and Sales for TSMC
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2 Market Review & Outlook
2019 Global SM Supply & Demand
2019 SM Demand by its downstream products
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Others, 7.8%
TPE, 2.2% PS, 34.1%
SBL, 4.6%
SBR, 3.5%
UPR, 6.3%
SAN, 1.7%
EPS, 21.8%
ABS, 18.0%
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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2 Market Review & Outlook
2019 Global SM Supply & Demand
2019 Worldwide SM Demand by Region
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Middle East, India, Africa,
Russia, 3.9% 2.5% 0.2%
1.7%
Others,
Central Euro.,
0.2%
1.6%
China,
W. Europe, 35.2%
14.0%
S. America,
2.6%
N. America,
13.0%
Japan,
4.9%
SE. Asia,
4.7% Taiwan, S. Korea,
6.6% 8.7%
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Global SM Supply & Demand
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40,00040,000 90.0%
89.0%
35,00035,000
88.0%
30,00030,000
87.0%
25,00025,000
86.0%
20,00020,000 85.0%
84.0%
15,000
15,000
83.0%
10,000
10,000
82.0%
5,000
5,000
81.0%
0
0 80.0%
20102010 20112011 20122012 20132013 20142014 20152015 20162016 20172017 20182018 20192019 Year
產量Production 需求Demand 總產能Total Capacity 開工率Operating rate
Kilo Metric tons
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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2 Market Review & Outlook
World SM Demand Year‐On‐Year Growth
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2,500
2,500
2,000
2,000
1,5001,500
1,0001,000
500500
0
0
-500
‐500
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Year
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
N. America北美洲 西歐W. Europe 中東Middle East 東北亞 NE. Asia 東南亞SE. Asia 其他Others 全球需求Global Demand
Kilo Metric tons
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Regional SM Net Trade
| Kilo Metric tons | ‐4,000 ‐3,000 ‐2,000 ‐1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 |
|||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Year | ||
| 北美洲 N. America |
西歐 W. Europe |
中東 Middle |
East | 東北亞 NE. Asia |
東南亞 SE. Asia |
其他 Others |
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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2 Market Review & Outlook
2019 Global SM Supply & Demand
| Unit : K Metric Tons | Unit : K Metric Tons | Unit : K Metric Tons | Unit : K Metric Tons |
|---|---|---|---|
| Region/Company | Demand | Production | Net Trade |
| Northeast Asia | 16,797 | 14,667 | 2,130 |
| Southeast Asia | 1,451 | 1,885 | ‐434 |
| North America | 3,901 | 5,222 | ‐1,321 |
| South America | 800 | 542 | 258 |
| West Europe | 4,289 | 4,403 | ‐114 |
| Central Europe | 507 | 235 | 272 |
| CIS & Baltic States | 519 | 629 | ‐110 |
| Middle East | 1,146 | 2,733 | ‐1,587 |
| India | 835 | 0 | 835 |
| Africa | 37 | 0 | 37 |
| Total | 30,282 | 30,316 |
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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2 Market Review & Outlook
China SM Supply & Demand
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12,000 85.0%
12,000 12,000 85.0%
10,000
10,000 10,000 80.0%
80.0%
8,000
8,000 8,000
75.0%
75.0%
6,000
6,000 6,000
70.0%70.0%
4,000 4,000 4,000
65.0%
65.0%
2,000 2,000
2,000
- ‐ 60.0%
- 60.0%
20102010 20112011 20122012 20132013 20142014 20152015 20162016 20172017 20182018 20192019 Year
產量Total Capacity 需求Domestic Demand 總產能Production 開工率Operating rate
Kilo metric tons
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Outlook of World SM Demand Growth for 2020~2021
-
According to IMF’s forecast on June 24 this year, the global GDP growth rate is ‐4.9% and 5.4% for 2020 and 2021 respectively.
-
Under the condition described above, the average annual growth rate of world SM demand would be around 1.0% for year 2020 and 2021.
-
The major growth of SM demand is in China. Its annual growth rate would be 4.0% for both year 2020 and 2021. (China’s growth rate was 5.4% in 2019)
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Taiwan SM Supply & Demand
| Unit : K Metric Ton | Unit : K Metric Ton | Unit : K Metric Ton | Unit : K Metric Ton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Demand | Production | Net Trade |
| 2010 | 1,995 | 1,922 | ‐73 |
| 2011 | 1,792 | 1,693 | ‐99 |
| 2012 | 1,822 | 1,790 | ‐32 |
| 2013 | 1,924 | 2,044 | 120 |
| 2014 | 1,795 | 1,974 | 179 |
| 2015 | 1,864 | 2,020 | 156 |
| 2016 | 1,886 | 2,118 | 232 |
| 2017 | 1,913 | 1,823 | ‐90 |
| 2018 | 1,880 | 2,110 | 230 |
| 2019 | 1,894 | 2,005 | 112 |
| Average | 1,877 | 1,950 | 74 |
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Styrene Demand and Supply for Taiwan Market
-
Taiwan’s SM market is basically net export.
-
In 2019, Taiwan’s SM production was 2,005,183 tons, demand was 1,893,674 tons and the net export was 111,509 tons.
In 2019, the US‐China trade war lasted and continued impacting global economy. In early 2020, IMF (International Monetary Fund) revised downward 2019 economic growth of global and China to 2.9% and 6.1% respectively. As the SM sale accounted for over 92% of TSMC’s total revenue, the company's operations were also greatly affected. Through consolidating or disposing unprofitable business and long‐term investment, and with all employees’ efforts, the overall operational performance in 2019 is considered to be fair, with annual after‐tax EPS of 1.67.
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2 Market Review & Outlook
2020 First Half Retrospect
-
Even though US and China reached their first phase trade agreement on December 13, 2019, the worsening US‐China relations has become national security concern. In addition, China’s economic growth slowdown and US presidential election lead to the uncertainty of global economic growth in 2020.
-
In addition, the global economy impact due to the coronavirus pandemic worldwide in early 2020. At the beginning of this June, IMF forecasted that the global GDP growth will be ‐4.9% for 2020. The global crude oil demand and oil price have sharply dropped from this March on. It also led to the significant decline of SM demand.
-
On the SM supply side, about 3.02 million tons of new SM production capacity in China (accounting for 9.6% of global production capacity) will be put into production in 2020. It will aggravate the oversupply of the SM market and make the SM market more severe downturn in the first half of 2020.
-
Fortunately, as China’s coronavirus outbreak was under control in time, local lockdowns were lifted since this April, SM downstream production resumed. However, as the pandemic was very much out of control in Europe and US, the SM market still descent. It led to the massive transport of SM to north east Asia, and resulted in SM price drop and non‐profitable. TSMC’s 2020 first half revenue dropped 42.85% over the same period of 。
-
last year, and net loss of NTD 166.5 M (after tax EPS = ‐0.32)
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2 Market Review & Outlook
2020 First Half Retrospect (cont.)
China SM New Production Capacity for 2020
| Company | Ann. Capacity (K MT) |
Operation Schedule |
Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zhejiang Petroleum & Chemical (Zhoushan, Zhejiang) |
1,200 | Jan., 2020 | |
| Hengli Petrochemical (Changxing, Dalian) |
720 | Feb., 2020 | |
| Baolai Group (Liaoning) | 350 | Sep., 2020 | |
| Tangshan Xuyang Chemical (Hebei) |
300 | Oct., 2020 | Construction stared in 2018/H2, benzene self produced through coal chemical process, Ethylenepurchase from other sources. |
| Sinochem Quanzhou Petrochemical |
450 | Y/E, 2020 | 2018/7 started construction. |
| Total | 3,020 |
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2 Market Review & Outlook
2020 Second Half Outlook
Even though the central banks around the world have adopted vast quantitative easing plans, it still results in the global economic downturn in 2020 as facing the coming challenges like the second wave of Covid‐19 outbreaks worldwide, escalation of US‐China trade tensions to national security issue, and the effects of Brexit.
- According to epidemic experts, the Covid‐19 vaccine will not be available in the short term (at least in 12 months), the decline of global SM demand will unlikely to be recovered in 2020 2H and 2021 1H. Thus SM market will be much less optimistic for this second half.
In addition, China’s SM new production capacity is estimated to reach 5.57 million tons (accounting for 14.8% of global production capacity) from 2021 to 2022. The SM market will be less optimistic in the future with the sluggish demand and the sudden increase in supply.
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2 Market Review & Outlook
2020 Second Half Outlook (cont.)
China SM New Production Ca acit for 2021 ~ 2022 p y
| Year | Company | Ann. Capacity (K MT) |
Operation Schedule |
Note | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Huatai Wealthy Polymer Material (Ningbo) |
300 | 2021/Q1 | ||
| CSPC (Huizhou, Guangdong) | 700 | 2021/Q1 | |||
| Tianjing Dagu Chemical | 450 | 2021/Q1 | Integrated MTO process plant, Repsol POSM license granted in 2016/10, Approved. |
||
| Anhui Jiaxi New Materials | 350 | 2021/Q1 | chemical processing of coal. | ||
| Wanhua Chemical (Yantai, Shandong) |
650 | 2021/07 | PO/SM=30/65, LPG cracker, 1 M MT, commence production in 2020/10. |
||
| USI (Gulei, Fujian) | 600 | 2021/08 | Construction started in 2017/12, the cracker is slated to commence production in 2021. |
||
| Lihuayi (Tianjin) | 500 | 2021 | |||
| Shenghong Honggang Petrochemical (Jiangsu) |
600 | 2021 | |||
| 2021 Total | 4,150 | ||||
| 2022 | Baofeng Energy (Ningxia) | 200 | 2022/H1 | ||
| Hengyi Petrochemical (Brunei) | 620 | ||||
| Ningbo ZRCC Lyondell Chemical |
600 | PO/SM=300/600 K MT, Construction started in early 2020. |
|||
| 2022 Total | 1,420 | ||||
| Total of 2021 & 2022 | 5,570 |
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Overview of TSMC Production and Sales
2014~2019 SM Production vs Sales Volume
2019 Sales by Products
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Ton
400,000
350,000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Year
Production Sales
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Ethyl
Toluene Hydrogen
benzene
1.61% 0.95% Steam
0.35%
1.20%
PDEB
3.35%
Styrene
Monomer
92.54%
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3 Financial Review
TSMC Consolidated Income Statement
| TSMC Consolidated Income Statement | TSMC Consolidated Income Statement | TSMC Consolidated Income Statement | TSMC Consolidated Income Statement | TSMC Consolidated Income Statement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unit:M NTD | ||||
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 1Q | 2020 2Q | |
| Revenue | 15,383 | 12,219 | 1,700 | 1,875 |
| Cost | 13,406 | 10,827 | 2,000 | 1,772 |
| Grossprofit | 1,977 | 1,392 | ‐300 | 104 |
| Grossprofit rate | 13% | 11% | ‐18% | 6% |
| Operatingexpenses | 442 | 321 | 48 | 52 |
| Netprofit | 1,535 | 1,071 | ‐348 | 52 |
| Netprofit rate | 10% | 9% | ‐21% | 3% |
| Non‐operatingincome | 13 | ‐36 | ‐20 | 148 |
| Profit before tax | 1,548 | 1,035 | ‐368 | 200 |
| Tax | ‐361 | ‐153 | 57 | ‐56 |
| Netprofit of the term | 1,187 | 882 | ‐311 | 144 |
| Profit rate | 8% | 8% | ‐19% | 8% |
| Net Income Attributed to | ||||
| ‐ Stockholders of the company | 1,216 | 882 | ‐311 | 145 |
| ‐ Non‐controllingInterest | ‐30 | ‐0.3 | 0.6 | ‐0.8 |
| EPS(NTD) | 2.30 | 1.67 | ‐0.59 | 0.28 |
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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3 Financial Review
TSMC Consolidated Financial Analysis
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 1H | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debts ratio(%) | 30.69 | 26.57 | 22.30 | 21.88 | |
| Current ratio(%) | 176.39 | 172.55 | 178.02 | 149.39 | |
| Quick ratio(%) | 112.99 | 135.71 | 140.31 | 108.44 | |
| Average collection turnover(times) | 12.45 | 13.48 | 13.56 | 9.48 | |
| Average collection days | 29.31 | 27.08 | 26.92 | 38.52 | |
| Average inventory turnover(times) | 21.18 | 19.35 | 18.94 | 17.84 | |
| Average inventory turnover days | 17.23 | 18.86 | 19.27 | 20.46 | |
| Return on total equity(%) | 13.02 | 15.52 | 11.80 | ‐4.87 | |
| ‐10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 |
13.02 15.52 11.8 |
||||
| ROE (%) ‐4.87 |
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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3 Financial Review
TSMC EPS & Dividend
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS(NTD) | 1.31 | 2.67 | 2.00 | 2.30 | 1.67 |
| Cash dividend(NTD) | 1.00 | 2.20 | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Stock Dividend from Retained Earnings (NTD) |
‐ | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ |
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2.67
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1.00 1.31
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EPS
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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4
Q & A
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司 Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.