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T.S.M.C. — Investor Presentation 2018
Sep 19, 2018
51769_rns_2018-09-19_5da3ae1f-d583-4af8-9216-e1e1dd77e60f.pdf
Investor Presentation
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co. Investor Conference
2018.09.19
1
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Disclaimer
This report discloses forecast on operation and revenue. The actual result might be different from today’s forecast as the company could not control the uncontrollable factors the forecast was based on.
These uncontrollable factors could come from all directions including the change of supply and demand, price adjustment, competition, global economy, supply chains and exchange rates and many other unpredictable factors.
TSMC is not responsible for updating the contents in this report shall any changes occur or would TSMC send out notifications or reminders for the same. This report does not solicit investments and should not be used as investment guide; TSMC is not responsible for any loss or damage incurred due to this report.
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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Agenda
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Corporate Profile
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Market Review & Outlook
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Financial Review
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Q & A
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
Company Highlight
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Listed on Consolidated
Founded Paid In Capital
TWSE Revenue (2017)
Nov. 16, 1979 Aug., 1987 173.3 M USD 484.3 M USD
Managing Group Employee Taipei HQ Office
8F.-1, No.6, Sec. 1, Roosevelt Rd., Taipei
+886-2-2396-6007
Chairman : YC Wu
201
GM : CD Wu (by May 31, 2018)
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Kaohsiung Plant Linyuan Industrial Park No.7, Gongye 1st Rd., Kaohsiung +886-7-641-4511
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TSMC Group
Petrochemical Materials Electronics Environmental Investment Hospitality
& Construction Development
Engineering
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
Quality Policy
Taiwan Styrene Monomer Corporation
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Technology
Enhance professional technologies
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Services
Provide comprehensive services
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M
C
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Consistency
Ensure quality consistency
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
Major Products
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|||||
|---|---|---|---|
|Capacities|2017 Sales by|
|Products|Applications|(tons/year)|Products|
|The major source material for polystyrene (PS),|
|acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS), styrene-|340,000|
|butadiene rubber (SBR) and other polymers.|
|95.4%|
|The specialty chemical mainly used as a desorbent|
|for producing Para-xylene in Parex process and Fluxy|7,000|
|1.8%|
|process.|
|The by-product of the styrene production process,|
|Toluene|
|8,700|
|mainly used as an organic solvent.|
|1.3%|
|Ethyl-|The intermediate product of the styrene production|
|380,000|
|benzene|process, used as the solvent of polystyrene.|
|0.1%|
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
SM Production Materials and Products
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ABS
Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene
EPS
Expanded Polystyrene
HIPS
Benzene High Impact Polystyrene
Ethyl- PS
乙苯
benzene Polystyrene
Ethylene SBR
Styrene-Butadiene Rubber
TPE
Thermoplastics Elastomer
Others
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
SM Downstream Products and Applications
| Name | Acronym | Products and Applications | Products and Applications | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traditional materials | Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene |
ABS | auto parts, household appliances, computer case, acrylic board, toys, motorcycle case, luggage case |
|
| Expanded Polystyrene |
EPS | packaging, insulation, construction, artwork and floating materials, partition board, ice box, cake box |
||
| High Impact Polystyrene |
HIPS | keyboard, mouse, computer case, disposable tableware |
||
| Polystyrene | PS | CD/DVD box, ballpoint pen, X'mas light | ||
| Styrene-Butadiene Rubber |
SBR (SSBR) | rubber/color soles, tire | ||
| Thermoplastics Elastomer |
TPE | auto, electronic & household appliances | ||
| Unsaturated Polyester Resins |
UPR | thermoset composite applications, button | ||
| Emulsion Styrene- Butadiene Rubber |
E-SBR | mats, rubber goods and others | ||
| Innovative materials |
MPPE | Modified polypheylene ether |
Excellent mechanical and physical properties, low density, easy processing, good dimensional stability. Appropriate for use in manufacturing office equipment, household appliances, medical equipment, computers and other cabinet, chassis and precision components. To be as packaging materials for organic electrolyte in lithium-ion battery |
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
TSMC Clients
The major SM clients are domestic PS, ABS and SBR manufacturers which includes home appliance, mechanical, automobile, electronic and packaging industries. As for PDEB, the clients are chemical plants across the world.
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Exxon Mobil Ruhr Oel GmbH Indian Oil Corporation TonenGeneral
USA Germany India Japan
Exxon Mobil OJSC NAFTAN ANPZ S-Oil
Nederland Belarus Kazakhstan S. Korea
FuHaichuang Petrochemical Co
China
Formosa Chemicals & Fiber
Chinese Petroleum Co.
Turkey
Taiwan Chi Mei
Petkim Petrokimya
Taita Chemical
Iran Taiwan Synthetic Rubber Corp.
Bandar Imam Petrochemical Co.
LCY Chemical Industry
Esfahan Petrochemical Co.
Eternal Materials
Kuwait
Kuwait Paraxylene Malaysia
Sultanate of Oman Indonesia Petroliam Nasional Berhad
Aromatics Oman Pertamina
United Arab Emirates Saudi Arabia Thailand Singapore
AquaChem SABIC Esso Jurong Aromatics Co.
SATORP Thai Paraxylene Exxon Mobil
PTT Global Chemical
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1
Corporate Profile
Company and Production History
M1 plant debottleneck accomplished, SM capacity raised to 140 K tons.
SM1 & SM2 plants debottleneck accomplished. SM total capacity reached 340 K tons.
SM Production
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SM2 plant established, SM total production capacity reached 240 K tons
SM1 plant established, SM production capacity reached 100 K tons. K tons/yr. 300 200 100 0
PDEB2 line established. 3.5 K tons capacity built total capacity of 7.0 K tons achieved
PDEB Production
K tons/yr. PDEB1 line established. PDEB plant debottleneck accomplished 8 1.5 K tons capacity built PDEB capacity raised to 3.5 K tons. 6 4 2 0 Basic design for SM1 process improvement accomplished
Cogeneration plant in operation Energy & Carbon Reduction Project
Overall production cost reduction reengineering project accomplished Multi-function distillation energy-saving projects accomplished
Energy Saving
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Plant set up Paid-in capital increased to ~ 4.6 Bn NTD Paid-in capital increased to ~ 4.8 Bn NTD Paid-in capital increased to ~ 5.3 Bn M NTD Paid-in capital increased to ~ 5.6 Bn NTD
Capital
Capital increased to ~5.2 Bn NTD Capital relief to ~5.0 Bn NTD Board of Directors resolved to buy back common stocks for the cancellation of shares
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
Quality, Safety and Environment Systems
Since 1995
ISO-9000 quality management system implemented in 1995 and certified in Nov. of the same year.
Since 1997 Since 1998 ISO-14001 Environmental Joined TRCA (Taiwan Responsibility Care Management System Association) since 1998 and pledge the implemented and certified in health & safety for employees, clients, Dec. 1997. public and environment.
Since 2009 Since 2009 Since 2014 Since 2016 OHSAS-18001 CNS-15506 ISO-14064-1 (CNS Implementation of TOSHMS Occupational Health Occupational Health & 14064-1) Organization (Taiwan Occupational Safety &Safety Management Safety management Quantification & & Health Management) Systems implemented and systems implemented Reporting of Green according to Ministry of Labor certified in Dec. 2009. and certified in Dec. House Gases System and certified for 2009. implemented and Performance Recognition of certified in Jan. 2014. the Occupational Safety and Health Management Systems.
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
Operational Strategy and Strategy Development
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Multiple sources of raw materials and
flexible distribution
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Development of high value of new products
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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1 Corporate Profile
Performance of Environmental Protection
Sox/Nox Emissions of Cogeneration Units (Coal Fired) in Kaohsiung City
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Sox
TSMC
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Company
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Nox
TSMC Company
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Source : Environmental Protection Bureau, Kaohsiung City Government
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Retrospect and Prospect of SM Market
1. 2017 World Styrene Demand and Supply
2. Outlook of World Styrene Demand Growth for 2018~2021
3. Styrene Demand and Supply for Taiwan
4. Impact of Anti-Dumping Duty (ADD) by China
5. Overview of Production and Sales for TSMC
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2 Market Review & Outlook
2017 Global SM Supply & Demand
SM Demand by its downstream products
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Others
TPE
8%
SBL 2%
5%
SBR PS
4% 36%
UPR
5%
SAN
2%
ABS
17%
EPS
21%
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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2 Market Review & Outlook
2017 Global SM Supply & Demand
SM Demand by Region
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Taiwan SE. Asia
7% 4% N. America
Japan 14%
5%
S. Korea
9%
S. America
3%
W. Europe
15%
Central Euro.
2%
China Russia
34% 2%
Middle East
India
Others Africa 3%
2%
0.2% 0.2%
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Global SM Supply & Demand
| 0 10 20 30 40 50 Million Metric tons |
Demand Total Capacity Operating rate 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Production Operating rate |
|
|---|---|---|
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2 Market Review & Outlook
World SM Demand Year-On-Year Growth
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2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
-0.50
-1.00
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
N. America W. Europe Middle East Others NE. Asia SE. Asia Global Demand
Million Metric tons
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Regional SM Net Trade
| -5.00 -4.00 -3.00 -2.00 -1.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 Million Metric tons |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| N. America W. Europe Middle East Others SE. Asia NE. Asia 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 |
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2 Market Review & Outlook
2017 SM Supply & Demand
| 2017 SM Supply & Demand | 2017 SM Supply & Demand | 2017 SM Supply & Demand | 2017 SM Supply & Demand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unit : K Metric Tons | |||
| Region/Company | Demand | Production | Net Trade |
| NE Asia | 15,765 | 13,506 | 2,259 |
| China | 9,804 | 6,499 | 3,305 |
| S. Korea | 2,568 | 3,048 | -480 |
| Japan | 1,440 | 2,025 | -585 |
| Taiwan | 1,953 | 1,935 | 18 |
| SE Asia | 1,308 | 1,779 | -471 |
| N. America | 3,909 | 5,121 | -1,212 |
| S. America | 812 | 504 | 308 |
| W. Europe | 4,357 | 4,374 | -17 |
| Central Europe | 497 | 236 | 261 |
| Russia | 454 | 599 | -145 |
| Middle East | 956 | 2,755 | -1,799 |
| India | 662 | 0 | 662 |
| Africa | 54 | 0 | 54 |
| Others | 101 | 0 | 101 |
| Total | 28,875 | 28,875 | 0 |
| Source : IHS |
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2 Market Review & Outlook
China SM Supply & Demand
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12.0 80.0%
70.0%
10.0
60.0%
8.0
50.0%
6.0 40.0%
30.0%
4.0
20.0%
2.0
10.0%
0.0 0.0%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Production Domestic Demand Total Capacity Operating rate
Operating rate
Million metric tons
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Outlook of World SM Demand Growth for 2018~2021
According to IHS, the global GDP growth rate is forecasted 3.7~3.9% for 2018~2021.
-
Under above condition, the annual growth rate of world styrene demand would be 2.2~2.3%.
-
The major growth of SM demand is in Mainland China. Its annual growth rate would be 3.5~3.9%. (The growth rate is 4.5% in 2017)
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Taiwan SM Supply & Demand
2008~2017 Taiwan SM Supply & Demand
Unit : Metric Ton
| Year | Production | Demand | Net Trade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 1,679,391 | 1,534,171 | 145,220 |
| 2009 | 1,906,015 | 1,777,333 | 128,682 |
| 2010 | 1,921,722 | 1,995,012 | - 73,290 |
| 2011 | 1,692,832 | 1,791,740 | - 98,908 |
| 2012 | 1,790,376 | 1,822,088 | - 31,712 |
| 2013 | 2,044,325 | 1,924,233 | 120,092 |
| 2014 | 1,974,323 | 1,794,666 | 179,657 |
| 2015 | 2,020,355 | 1,863,540 | 156,815 |
| 2016 | 2,117,966 | 1,885,985 | 231,981 |
| 2017 | 1,823,222 | 1,912,993 | - 89,771 |
| Average | 1,897,053 | 1,830,176 | 66,877 |
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Styrene Demand and Supply for Taiwan Market
-
Taiwan styrene market is basically net export.
-
However, in 2017, it only produced 1,823,222 tons but the demand reached to 1,912,993 tons.
It’s due to the production reduction caused by the mechanical problem of Formosa’s SM plant. The SM export was greatly decreased to 244,740 tons last year (517,353 tons in 2016). Therefore, Taiwan became net import of 89,771 tons in 2017, in comparison with net export of 231,981 tons in 2016. (Taiwan imported 334,511 tons SM in 2017 and 285,372 tons in 2016).
-
From 2018 on, China taxes 3.8%~4.2% ADD on Taiwan’s SM import. Thus Formosa turns its partial SM sales volume to domestic instead of exporting to China. In consequence, the quantity of SM import is foreseen to be greatly decreased since this year.
-
Currently Taiwan’s SM downstream customers maintain ~ 20,000 tons SM import per month.
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Impact of Anti-Dumping Duty (ADD) by China
Impact to USA/South Korea/Taiwan
TSMC’s SM is for domestic market only. Therefore, it has no impact to TSMC directly. However, the ADD actually widens SM spread for NE Asia based on the observation of 2018 1H sales.
- Q3 is the traditional peak season for SM, thus TSMC is optimistic about the market. As for Q4, it is conservative due to the uncertain impact from China-US trade war.
Impact of SM New Capacity Expansion in China
-
Many new SM plants are built along with refinery/cracker addition projects. Thus the source of raw material for these SM plants will not be the concern, and their products will be more competitive.
-
The SM expansion will gradually led to reduction of its import quantity in China.
-
If all new SM plants expand and produce according to their schedules, the NE Asia SM market will eventually be turned into net export region. And certain elimination through competition will be inevitable.
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2 Market Review & Outlook
ADD Imposed on SM by China
| Country | Company |
Capacity (KMT) |
Levy | Levy | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Initial decision(%) |
Final decision(%) |
|||||
| Taiwan | FC & FC | 1,320 | 5.0 |
3.8 |
-1.2 |
|
| GPPC | 370 | 5.0 |
4.2 |
-0.8 |
||
| TSMC | 340 | 5.0 |
4.2 |
-0.8 |
||
| S. Korea | Lotte Chemical | 580 | 8.4 |
7.5 |
-0.9 |
|
| LG Chemical | 670 | 8.0 |
6.6 |
-1.4 |
||
| SKGC | 350 | 8.0 |
6.6 |
-1.4 |
||
| Hanwha Total | 1,050 | 7.8 |
6.2 |
-1.6 |
||
| YNCC | 290 | 7.8 |
6.2 |
-1.6 |
||
| Others(SKC) | 405 | 8.4 |
7.5 |
-0.9 |
||
| USA | LyondellBasell | 1,259 | 9.2 |
13.9 |
4.7 |
|
| Americas Styrenics | 953 | 9.6 |
13.9 |
4.3 |
||
| Styrolution | 1,271 | 9.6 |
13.9 |
4.3 |
||
| Westlake | 261 | 10.7 |
13.7 |
3.0 |
||
| Others(Cosmar) | 1,150 | 10.7 |
55.7 |
45.0 |
||
| * Starting from June 23, 2018, with a period of 5 years |
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2 Market Review & Outlook
Production and Sales
SM Production vs Sales Volume
2017 Sales by Products
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Ton
400,000 Ethyl-benzene Hydrogen
0.1% 0.5%
Toluene Steam
350,000 1.3% 0.9%
PDEB
1.8%
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
95.4%
50,000
Styrene Monomer
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Year
production sales
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3 Financial Review
TSMC Consolidated Income Statement
| TSMC Consolidated Income Statement | TSMC Consolidated Income Statement | TSMC Consolidated Income Statement | TSMC Consolidated Income Statement | TSMC Consolidated Income Statement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unit:M NTD | ||||
| 2016 | 2017 | 2017 1H | 2018 1H | |
| Revenue | 14,073 | 14,751 |
7,100 |
8,076 |
| Cost | 11,859 | 13,062 |
6,303 |
6,908 |
| Grossprofit | 2,215 | 1,689 |
797 |
1,168 |
| Grossprofit rate | 16% | 12% | 11% | 14% |
| Operating expenses | 415 | 406 |
208 |
249 |
| Netprofit | 1,800 | 1,283 |
589 |
920 |
| Netprofit rate | 13% | 9% | 8% | 11% |
| Non-operating income | (134) | (37) | 73 | 20 |
| Profit before tax | 1,666 | 1,246 |
662 |
940 |
| Tax | (337) | (262) | (144) | (226) |
| Netprofit of the term | 1,329 | 985 |
518 |
714 |
| Profit rate | 9% | 7% | 7% | 9% |
| Net Income Attributed to | ||||
| - Stockholders of the company | 1,411 | 1,056 |
538 |
738 |
| - Non-controlling Interest | (83) | (71) | (20) | (23) |
| EPS(NTD) | 2.67 | 2.00 |
1.02 |
1.40 |
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3 Financial Review
TSMC Consolidated Financial Analysis
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 1H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debts ratio (%) | 44.64 | 35.95 |
30.69 |
33.26 |
| Current ratio (%) | 134.92 | 158.92 |
176.39 |
144.97 |
| Quick ratio (%) | 103.78 | 112.51 |
112.99 |
97.64 |
| Average collection turnover (times) | 19.17 | 16.01 | 12.45 | 11.59 |
| Average collection days | 19.04 | 22.79 |
29.31 |
31.49 |
| Average inventory turnover (times) | 18.30 | 17.62 |
21.18 |
20.52 |
| Average inventory turnover days | 19.94 | 20.71 | 17.23 | 17.79 |
| Return on total equity (%) | 9.37 | 18.80 | 13.02 | 19.11 |
| 0 5 10 15 20 25 |
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25
20
15
10
5
0
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ROE (%)
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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3 Financial Review
TSMC EPS & Dividend
| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS (NTD) | 2.05 | (0.07) | 1.31 | 2.67 | 2.00 | ||
| Cash dividend (NTD) | 0.50 | - | 1.00 | 2.20 | 1.60 | ||
| Stock Dividend from Retained Earnings (NTD) |
0.50 | - | - | - | - | ||
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EPS
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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4
Q & A
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司
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Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.
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台灣苯乙烯工業股份有限公司 Taiwan Styrene Monomer Co.