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TOMRA Systems — Investor Presentation 2021
Feb 23, 2021
3775_rns_2021-02-23_f31348a9-a357-4ac7-b1b2-1d77f75f361e.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Investor Presentation
TOMRA Systems ASA 23.02.2021 © TOMRA
We live in an age with the highest level of consumption our planet has ever seen
Using more resources than ever before. More than our planet can continue to sustain.
TOMRA is well-positioned towards megatrends
3 Solutions for optimal resource productivity
4 Strong financial performance, people & culture
Revenues
DID YOU KNOW?
- By 2025 solid waste generation will increase by 70% compared to 2010 levels
- 32% of all plastic packaging made ends up in nature every year
- 20% of plastic packaging could be profitably re-used and 50% could be profitably recycled if designed for after use systems
- Continuing current practices there will be more plastic than fish in the ocean by 2050
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Only 2% of the planet's annual plastic packaging production is reused for the same/similar products
Significant untapped potential in reusing materials
With a volume yield of 72% and a weighted average price of 1,100–1,600 USD/t, the total value proposition is in the range of USD 50-80 bn. Please note that this is a conservative estimate based on a narrow definition of total annual plastic packaging volume. Applying a wider definition can increase the value proposition up to USD 170-190 bn.
lost. Assuming ~90% yield in process with market price of ~500 USD/t equals USD 70-220 bn, so conservative range USD 70-150 bn 90 mln tonnes are lost. If this is recovered and goes into the paper recycling process there will be between 10-30% fiber loss, assuming on average 20%. The value of newsprint paper is ~400- 600 USD/t, let´s assume 500 USD/t = ~90 mln t/a x 80% x 500 USD/t = USD36 bn
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Circular economy – redefining value creation
DID YOU KNOW?
- By 2050, a global population of 9.8 billion will require 70% more food than is consumed today
- We are currently wasting 33% of global food production
- The food industry accounts for around 10% of global GDP
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• Agriculture accounts for 20% of global greenhouse gas emissions
Sources: Wrap, WEF, Accenture (Future of Food), McKinsey
New ways of feeding a fast-growing DEMANDING population…
…AUTOMATE…CONTROL…AND INNOVATE
TOMRA plays an integral part in the food value chain
At TOMRA, our company vision is Leading the Resource Revolution
It is our belief that businesses have the power, responsibility, and vested interest to help manage our planet's precious resources—today and tomorrow.
Some of the biggest global challenges are TOMRA's business opportunities
Stefan Ranstrand President and CEO Tomra Group
TOMRA AT A GLANCE
Creating value through three strong business areas
Food Recycling Mining Collection
Food Recycling Mining Collection
The TOMRA transformation journey
Helping the world recycle
Strong revenue growth in Recycling, Mining and Food
- Average annual organic growth for the same period was ~15%
- Technology base and segment/application knowledge expanded both through acquisitions and in-house ventures
TOMRA's three business areas
| TOMRA COLLECTION SOLUTIONS | TOMRA RECYCLING MINING | TOMRA FOOD | |
|---|---|---|---|
| REVERSE VENDING | RECYCLING | PROCESSED FOOD | |
| Share of '20 sales | ~40% | ~14% | ~19% |
| Employees | 1,705 | 487 | 800 |
| Customers | Grocery retailers | Material recovery plants, scrap dealers, metal shredder operators | Food growers, packers and processors |
| Market share | Over 70% | ~55-60% | ~30% |
| MATERIAL RECOVERY | MINING | FRESH FOOD | |
| Share of '20 sales | ~10% | ~3% | ~14% |
| Employees | 599 | 78 | 611 |
| Customers | Grocery retailers and beverage manufacturers | Mining companies | Food growers, packers and processors |
| Market share | ~60% in USA (markets served) | ~40-50% | ~25% |
| TOMRA GROUP FUNCTIONS | |||
| Employees | 27 |
Strengthened presence in China
TOMRA COLLECTION SOLUTIONS
DID YOU KNOW?
- 1 million plastic bottles are bought around the world every minute
- Less than half of all purchased plastic bottles are collected for recycling
- More than 40bn beverage containers are captured by TOMRA every year…
- …representing only less than 3% of all beverage containers sold in 2018
But the tides are shifting. There is a desire for change
Consumer demand for responsible plastic use options
Legislative push for new plastic waste strategies
Market pull from large brand owners and beverage companies
An overview of current deposit markets*
* In addition, some markets have refillable deposit systems such as: Austria, Belgium, Chile, Czech Republic, France, Hungary, Poland and South Korea
Upcoming deposit markets on the move
North America: Possible expansion of existing deposit systems
Scotland: Container Deposit Scheme to planned to start July 2022
England:
Announced plans for a deposit scheme to reduce plastic pollution. Ongoing consultation
Latvia: Deposit Return System to be implemented February 2022
Slovakia: Deposit Return System to be implemented January 2022
Australia:
NSW introduced deposit from December 2017 QLD introduced deposit from November 2018 WA introduced deposit from October 2020
Collection target for plastic bottles:
- 77% by 2025
- 90% by 2029
Recycled content in product design:
- 25% by 2025 in PET bottles
- 30% by 2030 in all plastic bottles
EU Single-Use Plastic Directive: Targets on recycled content and collection target for plastic bottles. Deposit scheme mentioned as a mean to reach those targets.
Deposit return systems are extremely effective at capturing items for recycling
Compiled from deposit System Operators and "PET Market in Europe: State of Play," Eunomia. 2020. Data available upon request.
1 Aluminum, Glass, Plastic.. "Beverage Market Data Analysis 2017," Container Recycling Institute. 2020.
2 Michigan and Oregon. Bottlebill.org. 2021
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High collection rates achieved in two years' time
27
The centralized DRS model: How it works
system for reaching the legislated return-rate target.
Reinvestment of unredeemed deposits and material revenue within the system
In Norway over 80% of the system's costs are covered by unredeemed deposits and material revenue
Profit and loss overview of Norway's Central System Administrator (2019)
Recycled content requirements complement deposit return systems
Market values for recycled material are volatile, making investment in collection/recycling risky
Lack of a stable market leads to a lack of supply for high-quality recycled material
Content requirements raise and stabilize a key funding stream for the DRS: commodity value
DRSs ensure containers consumed in a region are collected for recycling
Recycled content requirements ensure new bottles are made from recycled material
The four principles of high-performing deposit return systems
A collection target for a broad scope of beverage packaging plus a meaningful deposit delivers strong results.
The redemption system is easy, accessible and fair for everyone.
PERFORMANCE CONVENIENCE PRODUCER RESPONSIBILITY SYSTEM INTEGRITY
Producers manage, finance and invest in the system with use of unredeemed deposits and commodity revenues.
Trust is built into the system's processes through transparent management, a data-driven clearinghouse, and reliable redemption technology.
Reverse vending technology in a high performing DRS
User communication
Recognition system
Business model expertise across deposit systems
A "split-responsibility" model is when a network operator provides redemption points and ensures recycling
Cash flow profiles of the two business models
Illustrative cash flow profiles per machine
Flexibility and scalability to enable new business models and new market entry
CONTAINER VOLUME
Advanced digital platform leveraged across stakeholder groups
Market leader in reverse vending solutions
Source: TOMRA estimates and analysis
TOMRA RECYCLING MINING
How does sensor-based separation work?
High-speed processing of information (material, shape, size, color, defect, damage and location of objects)
Automation with TOMRA Sorting units
A common sensor-based technology portfolio
| RECYCLING | MINING | FOOD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELECTROMAGNETIC SENSOR (EM) Electro-magnetic properties like conductivity and permeability |
X | X | X | |
| LED SPECTOMETRY (LED) Color and spectral properties based on multiple LED light sources in very high optical resolution |
X | X | X | |
| NEAR-INFRARED SPECTROSCOPY (NIR) Specific and unique spectral properties of reflected light in the near-infrared spectrum |
X | X | X | |
| VISIBLE LIGHT SPECTROMETRY (VIS) Specific and unique spectral properties of reflected light in the visible spectrum |
X | X | X | |
| X-RAY TRANSMISSION (XRT) Atomic density irrespective of surface properties and thickness |
X | X | X | |
| LASER INDUCED BREAKDOWN SPECTROSCOPY (LIBS) Elemental composition |
X | |||
| X-RAY FLUORESCENCE (XRF) Elemental composition |
X | X | ||
| INFRARED TRANSMISSION (IRT) Density and shape properties by light absorption |
X | |||
| IR CAMERA (IR) Heat conductivity and heat dissipation |
X | |||
| COLOR CAMERA (COLOR) Color properties measured in very high optical resolution |
X | X | X | |
| LASER REFLECTION/FLUORESCENCE (LASER) Structural, elemental and biological properties by reflection, absorption and fluorescence of laser light |
X | X | X |
Recycling: applications and sensor technology
MUNICIPAL SOLID WASTE
Hard plastics, plastic film, mixed paper, RDF, metals, organics/biomass
NIR, VIS, XRT, LASER
NF metal, stainless steel, copper cables, copper, brass, aluminum
NIR, VIS, XRT, XRF, EM, COLOR
Plastics, plastic film, cardboard, mixed paper, deinking paper, metal
NIR, VIS, EM
POST-SHREDDER ELECTRONIC SCRAP PAPER
Printed circuit boards, non-ferrous metal concentrates, cables, copper, brass, stainless steel
XRT, XRF, EM, NIR, COLOR
PACKAGING UPGRADING PLASTICS
PET, PE, PP, flakes
NIR, VIS, EM
Deinking, cardboard, carton
NIR, VIS, EM
Mining: applications and sensor technology
INDUSTRIAL MINERALS DIAMONDS FERROUS METALS
Phosphate-silica removal, limestone-silica removal, quartz upgrade, MgO2 -silica removal, fluorite pre-conc., talc pre-conc., lithium pre-conc., barite pre-conc.,
COLOR, XRT, NIR
NON-FERROUS METALS FUEL SLAG
Copper, zinc, gold, nickel, tungsten, silver, platinum group metals
XRT, COLOR, EM, NIR
Kimberlite-waste removal, diamond ROM conc., diamonds final recovery, emeralds ROM conc., rubies ROM conc.
COLOR, XRT, NIR
Coal waste dumps
XRT
Iron ore grading, hematite preconc., manganese pre-conc., chromite pre-conc.
XRT, EM, NIR
Stainless steel slag, ferro silica slag, ferro chrome slag
XRT, EM
FIRST-CLASS CUSTOMER SERVICE WORLDWIDE
for highest sorting performance for lowest downtime for plannable costs
Having the best systems in the world is not enough without a dedicated service team to keep them running in top condition.
Watch the video
TOMRA INSIGHT
TOMRA Insight wants to unlock the value of data being generated by our sorters, allowing our customers to:
Maximize throughput/ yield
Better utilization of the sorters, e.g. material distribution
Sort to target qualities
Better understand your product going through the machines, e.g. continuous sampling vs. manual samples, different accuracy of course
Reduce downtime Faster maintenance, less unplanned stops
Reduce operational cost
Simplifying spare part ordering, access to documentation, …
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Recycling: competitive landscape
TOMRA competitive positioning
- Largest installed base
- Highest revenues
- Broadest technology platform on WR
- Highest number of applications and markets served
- Leading brand
- Market share: 55-60%
Mining: competitive landscape
RESOURCES ARE FINITE
- Today: we are paying to get rid of our waste through landfill fees and incineration
- We are wasting perfectly good materials that can be reused
- Tomorrow: The Circular Economy is a driver for change
- Creating value out of waste
- That is what the Circular Economy is all about
The circular economy drives a legislative push…
Continued ambitious EU regulations and recycling targets: Attract capital and drives investments
"A common EU target for recycling 70% of packaging waste by 2030"
The Strategy also highlights the need for specific measures, possibly a legislative instrument, to reduce the impact of single-use plastics, particularly in our seas and oceans
• From Green Fence to National Sword: Short-term demand for recycling solutions in waste exporting countries
- Limits the import of contaminated recyclable commodities and increases inspections of recyclable commodity imports
- Purity level set to 99.5%
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…promoting recycling
| Description | Targets and measures | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Framework Directive |
• Rules on how waste should be managed in the EU. It provides general principles for doing so, such as the Waste Hierarchy, Polluter Pays Principle and Extended Producer Responsibility. |
• A common EU target for recycling 60% of municipal waste by 2030 • A common EU target for recycling 70% of all packaging waste by 2030 |
||
| E G A K C A P Y M |
Packaging and Packaging Waste Directive |
• Rules on the production, marketing, use, recycling and refilling of containers of liquids for human consumption and on the disposal of used containers • 2015 revision includes lightweight plastic carrier bags |
• A common EU target for recycling 55% of all plastics by 2030 • A binding landfill target to reduce landfill to maximum of 10% of |
|
| O N O C E R A L |
Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment (WEEE) Directive |
• Collection, recycling and recovery targets for all types of electrical goods • 10 categories: Large household appliances, Small household appliances, IT and telco equipment, Consumer equipment, Lighting equipment, Electrical and electronic tools, Toys, Leisure and sports equipment, Medical devices, Monitoring and control instruments, Automatic dispensers |
municipal waste by 2030 • Minimum requirements are established for extended producer responsibility schemes • Simplified and improved definitions |
|
| U C R CI 8 1 0 2 |
Landfill Directive |
• The objective of the Directive is to prevent or reduce as far as possible negative effects on the environment from the landfilling of waste • In particular: impact on surface water, groundwater, soil, air, and on human health by introducing stringent technical requirements for waste and landfills. |
and harmonized calculation methods for recycling rates • Concrete measures to promote re use and stimulate industrial symbiosis |
|
| End of Life Vehicle (ELV) Directive |
• Aims at reduction of waste arising from end-of-life vehicles • The scope of the directive is limited to passenger cars and light commercial vehicles |
• Economic incentives for producers to put greener products on the market and support recovery and recycling schemes |
…and a market pull
Large companies committing to use recycled raw materials = increased demand for recycled offtake
Recycling: market growth expectations
MARKET DEFINITION RECYLING
Sensor-based sorting equipment
- excluding cullet glass sorting
- excluding peripheral equipment and turn-key solutions
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INTELLIGENT MINE
- Mining is an old industry. But chances are that it will it look very different in 10 years time
- Energy intensity and water stress are major drivers…
- …for disruptive technology forces to reshape the industry
- Commodity prices and capex impact the investment sentiment
The concept of sensor-based sorting in mining
Mining process: Industrial minerals
- 15% to 50% of the ROM can be rejected in an early stage of the process (application dependent)
- These low grade waste rocks don't need to be transported, crushed, grinded or further treated
Mining process: Metal mining
Current segment Potential new segment
Mining: market growth expectations
Total annual market size
MARKET DEFINITION MINING
Sensor-based sorting equipment
- is still a technology to be accepted
- growth is conditional on new applications and technologies being developed
TOMRA FOOD
FOOD FOR THOUGHT
- We will need more food in the next 40 years than all the harvests in history combined
- But farmland is constant – at best
- The food you eat will have travelled more than you have
Automation continues on a strong growth trajectory
Creating value in various parts of the food process
Food: applications and sensor technology
Chips, French fries, peeled, specialty products, sweet potatoes, unpeeled, washed
LASER, CAMERA, BSI, PULSED LED
corn, cucumbers, industrial spinach, IQF vegetables, jalapenos/peppers, onions, peas, pickles
LASER, CAMERA, BSI, PULSED LED
Beans, beets, broccoli, carrots,
Almonds, cashews, hazelnuts, macadamias, peanuts, pecans, pistachios, walnuts
LASER, CAMERA, X-RAY
Apricots, cranberries, dates, figs, prunes, raisins
LASER, CAMERA, BSI, X-RAY
SEEDS & GRAINS
Barley, coffee, corn, dry beans, lentils, oat, pulses, pumpkin, sunflower and watermelon seeds, wheat
LASER, CAMERA, BSI, X-RAY
Apples, blackberries, blueberries, cherries, cranberries, peaches & pears, raspberries, strawberries, tomatoes
LASER, CAMERA, BSI, PULSED LED
Baby leaves, iceberg lettuce, spinach, spring mix
LASER, CAMERA
Mussels, scallops, seaweed, shrimps, tuna, pet food
LASER, CAMERA, BSI, X-RAY, INTERACTANCE SPECTROSCOPY
PROTEIN
Bacon bits, beef, chicken breasts, hot dogs, IQF meat, pork, pork rind, sausages, pet food
LASER, CAMERA, BSI, INTERACTANCE SPECTROSCOPY
Gummies, Tobacco
LASER, CAMERA
Our products are detecting a wide range of parameters
Shape & Size
Biometric Characteristics Sort based on water content and removal of mycotoxin contaminations
broken-piece recognition, …
Sort on length, width, diameter, area,
Color Removal of discolorations in monoand mixed-color material
Blemishes
Objects with spots or other (small) blemishes are removed
Defects Removal of visible and invisible small and substantial defects
Structure Removal of soft, molded or rotten food
Density Detection of density differences
Damage Broken, split and damaged objects are detected and removed
Detox Removal of produce contaminated with aflatoxin
Foreign Material Removal of foreign material in a material stream, e.g. insects, worms, snails or plastics in food applications
X-RAY
Fluo
Analysis of objects based on their density and shape
Visible Invisible Both
New sensor technologies will unlock new opportunities…
• From measuring visual appearance...
Top Food Categories
Three ways of sorting within the Food segment
| Free fall (Channel / Chute) | |
|---|---|
| Application | Seeds, rice, grains |
| Sensor tech. | Camera (simple) |
| Revenue share* | Approx. 60% |
| Belt | |
|---|---|
| Application | Prepared /preserved veg. and fruit |
| Sensor tech. | Several (complex) |
| Revenue share | Approx. 20% |
Application Fresh produce
Revenue share Approx. 20%
Sensor tech. Several (medium)
On belt inspection
Lane grading
| TOMRA | |
|---|---|
| -------------- | -- |
Lane
TOMRA has established the broadest footprint within food sorting
Food competitive landscape
Belt
TOMRA competitive positioning
- Size (revenues)
- Widest range of applications (150+)
- Broadest technology base
- Geographic reach (~80 countries)
Global Leader
Our food sorting customers
PROCESSED FOOD INDUSTRY FRESH PRODUCE INDUSTRY
TOMRA Food Locations
Market growth expectations – food
HISTORICAL GROUP FINANCIALS AND TARGETS
Group financials development – solid track record
EBITA and margin
Gross contribution and margin
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Currency risk and hedging policy
Revenues and expenses per currency:
| EUR¹ | USD | NOK | OTHER² | TOTAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 45 % | 35 % | 0 % | 20 % | 100 % |
| Expenses | 40 % | 25 % | 5 % | 30 % | 100 % |
Assets and liabilities per currency:
| EUR¹ | USD | NOK | OTHER² | TOTAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | 45 % | 15 % | 10 % | 30 % | 100 % |
| Liabilities | 55 % | 15 % | 10 % | 20 % | 100 % |
| ¹ EUR includes DKK | ² Most important: AUD, NZD, RMB, CAD, SEK, GBP and JPY | NOTE: Estimated and rounded figures |
10% change in NOK towards other currencies will impact:
| Revenues | Expenses | EBITA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EUR* | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% |
| USD | 3.5% | 2.5% | 8.0% |
| OTHER** | 2.0% | 3.0% | -4.0% |
| ALL | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% |
HEDGING POLICY
CASHFLOW AND P/L
• TOMRA can hedge up to one year of future predicted cash flows. Gains and losses on these hedges are recorded at the finance line, not influencing EBITA
B/S
• TOMRA only hedges B/S items where exchange rate fluctuations could have P/L impact. Gains and losses on B/S hedging are recorded in accordance with IAS 21 and will normally not have P/L impact
Financial highlights | Balance sheet and cash flow
| 31 December | ||
|---|---|---|
| Amounts in NOK million | 2020 | 2019 |
| ASSETS | 10,977 | 10,868 |
| Intangible non-current assets | 3,846 | 3,788 |
| Tangible non-current assets | 2,371 | 2,330 |
| Financial non-current assets | 353 | 406 |
| Inventory | 1,492 | 1,596 |
| Receivables | 2,383 | 2,288 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 532 | 460 |
| LIABILITIES AND EQUITY | 10,977 | 10,868 |
| Equity | 5,591 | 5,247 |
| Lease liabilities | 1,104 | 1,102 |
| Interest-bearing liabilities | 1,414 | 1,880 |
| Non interest-bearing liabilities | 2,868 | 2,639 |
Cashflow from operations
• All time high cash flow of 890 MNOK in the fourth quarter (600 MNOK in fourth quarter 2019)
Solidity and gearing
- 51% equity ratio
- NIBD/EBITDA (Rolling 12 months)
- o 0.5x without IFRS 16 / 0.9x including IFRS 16
Dividend
o The Board proposes an ordinary dividend of NOK 3.00 per share, up from NOK 2.75 last year
TOMRA Collection Solutions – segment financials
Gross contribution and margin
EBITA and margin
TOMRA Recycling Mining – segment financials
TOMRA Food – segment financials
Our ambitions 2018 - 2023
Circular Economy
Future of Food
Shareholder structure
| Top 10 shareholders as of 31 December 2020 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Investment AB Latour | 31 200 000 | 21,1 % | |
| 2 | State Street Bank and Trust Comp | 11 972 532 | 8,1 % | (NOM) |
| 3 | Folketrygdfondet | 11 598 748 | 7,8 % | |
| 4 | The Bank of New York Mellon SA/NV | 11 083 074 | 7,5 % | (NOM) |
| 5 | J.P. Morgan Bank Luxembourg S.A. | 6 255 214 | 4,2 % | (NOM) |
| 6 | Clearstream Banking S.A. | 6 221 421 | 4,2 % | (NOM) |
| 7 | CACEIS Bank | 5 840 350 | 3,9 % | (NOM) |
| 8 | Citibank, N.A. | 5 224 284 | 3,5 % | (NOM) |
| 9 | JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., London | 5 021 273 | 3,4 % | (NOM) |
| 10 | The Bank of New York Mellon | 4 475 270 | 3,0 % | (NOM) |
| Sum Top 10 | 98 892 166 | 66.8% | ||
| Other shareholders | 49 127 912 | 33.2% | ||
| TOTAL (10.380 shareholders) | 148 020 078 | 100.0% |
Copyright
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Disclaimer
This Document (which may be a presentation, video, brochure or other material), hereafter called Document, may include and be based on, inter alia, forward -looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. The content of this Document may be based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, including the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for TOMRA Systems ASA and its subsidiaries and affiliates. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions, if not part of what could be clearly characterized as a demonstration case. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, changes in economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for TOMRA Systems ASA. Although TOMRA Systems ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document. TOMRA Systems ASA does not guarantee the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and TOMRA Systems ASA (including its directors, officers and employees) accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this Document or its contents. TOMRA Systems ASA consists of many legally independent entities, constituting their own separate identities. TOMRA is used as the common brand or trademark for most of these entities. In this Document we may sometimes use "TOMRA", "TOMRA Systems", "we" or "us" when we refer to TOMRA Systems ASA companies in general or where no useful purpose is served by identifying any particular TOMRA Company