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TOFAŞ TÜRK OTOMOBİL FABRİKASI A.Ş.

Investor Presentation Feb 12, 2025

5958_rns_2025-02-12_649750b3-0a4a-4b1f-b7ca-e934208beb4c.pdf

Investor Presentation

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WEBCAST PRESENTATION

31.12.2024 Financial Results

Key Highlights

  • Production & Shipments
  • Domestic Market
  • Export
  • Financial Performance
  • Investments
  • Outlook

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Fiat brand sustained its domestic light vehicle market leadership in 2024, six years in a row, with a market share of 11.2% (-4.5pp y/y). Egea model preserved its title as the most preferred car for a nine-year streak since its launch.
  • High competition with increasing share of imports, lack of revision in SCT (special consumption tax) brackets and discontinuation of MCV (Fiorino) production impacted local market share in 2024.
  • Weak financial results in 2024 stemmed from; i. local market performance due to high competition, ii. lower capacity utilization from phase-in/phase out of production models and, iii. negative impact of IAS29.
  • Production of the new commercial vehicle model (K0) had started in 4Q24 as planned, which is set to ramp-up in 2025.
  • Export volumes slided by c.45% y/y in 2024, due to transition with phase-out/phase-in of production models; set to recover notably to be driven by the contribution of K0 model in 2025.
  • Based on Stellantis production score, Tofas paintshop is ranked#1 two years in a row among all plants under Stellantis umbrella.
  • The Competition Board approval process for the acquisition of Stellantis Otomotiv shares in local market is at final stage.

  • Key Highlights

  • Production & Shipments
  • Domestic Market
  • Export
  • Financial Performance
  • Investments
  • Outlook

PRODUCTION

Turkish Automotive Industry & Tofaş

  • Turkish motor vehicle production descended by c.7% to 1.37mn units in 2024.
  • Tofaş constituted 10.3% of the industry with a production of 140.5K units in 2024, down c.41% y/y.
  • Tofaş 2024 production mix; PC: 75%; LCV: 25% (vs. 71% PC; 29% LCV in 2023).

SHIPMENTS Tofaş Total Shipment Units

  • Total unit shipments of Tofaş declined by c.33%, reaching to 174K units in 2024.
  • 4Q24 shipments contracted by c.44% y/y mainly due to lower exports from product transition with sequential recovery in export shipments.

SHIPMENTS

Tofaş Shipment Volumes by Business

• In 2024, the share of LCV business increased by 1.6pp y/y, constituting 34.6% of total business.

  • Key Highlights
  • Production & Shipments
  • Domestic Market
  • Export
  • Financial Performance
  • Investments
  • Outlook

DOMESTIC LV MARKET

Segment Evolution

DOMESTIC LV MARKET

PC & LCV Retail Sales - Monthly

Source: ODD

  • Total domestic LV market retail sales inched up c.1% y/y, reaching to 1.24mn units in 2024.
  • i. Strong demand in 1Q driven by tax-exempt sales to disabled citizens, ii. pent-up demand from fleet customers and, iii. sales campaigns throughout the year resulted in sustained strength in demand two years in a row.

TOFAS DOMESTIC LV MARKET PERFORMANCE

Segment Evolution (Retail)

11

FIAT BRAND DOMESTIC LV MARKET PERFORMANCE

PC & LCV Combined Market Share

  • Fiat brand maintained its domestic LV market leadership, despite 4.5pp y/y retreat in market share at 11.2% in 2024.
  • The y/y slide is due to; i. high competition with increasing share of imports (+6.1pp y/y) amidst strong TRY and lessened local producer advantage due to lack of any revision in SCT brackets, ii. phaseout/phase-in of LCV production portfolio.
  • Tofaş market share including premium brands slided down by 4.6pp y/y to 11.6% in 2024.
  • LV market share of Stellantis brands contracted by 6.3pp y/y to 27.4% in 2024.

FIAT BRAND DOMESTIC LV MARKET PERFORMANCE

Light Commercial Vehicle Market Share

  • Fiat brand maintained its 2nd position with an LCV market share of 20%, down 5.7pp y/y in 2024.
  • Discontinuation of Fiorino (MCV) production at the end of 1H24 was the main driver of market share decline.
  • LCV market share of Stellantis brands slided by 3.5pp y/y, reaching to 41.3% in 2024.

FIAT BRAND DOMESTIC LV MARKET PERFORMANCE

Passenger Car Market Share

  • Fiat brand moved down to second position in local PC market with a market share of 8.9% in 2024, down 4.1pp y/y.
  • Fiat Egea preserved its title as the most preferred car in Türkiye for a nine-year streak since its launch.
  • PC market share of Stellantis brands retreated by 7.6pp y/y to 23.4% in 2024.

  • Key Highlights

  • Production & Shipments
  • Domestic Market
  • Export
  • Financial Performance
  • Investments
  • Outlook

EUROPEAN MARKET

PC & LCV Registrations

  • European (EU+EFTA+UK) PC market climbed by c.1% y/y in 2024. On the other hand, BEV (batteryelectric) registrations dropped by c.6% y/y, accounting for c.14% of PC registrations.
  • LCV registrations in European market (EU+EFTA+UK) increased by c.7% y/y in 2024, driven by positive results at all four main markets.

TOFAŞ EXPORTS Segment Evolution

  • In 2024 Tofaş export volumes declined by c.45% y/y, reaching to 33.6K units.
  • The main drivers were phase-out of MCV production and import vehicle ban at an export market in MENA region.
  • Export-oriented K0 model production started in 4Q24 and set to ramp up in 2025.

TOFAŞ EXPORTS Export Volumes - Monthly

2022 2023 2024

TOFAŞ EXPORTS

Regional Breakdown

SHIPMENTS Tofaş Shipment Volumes by Model

EXPORTS 2024 2023 Δ
Tipo 21.616 42.696 -21.080
Sedan
H/B and S/W
Cross
14.478
145
6.993
25.242
16.324
1.130
-10.764
-16.179
5.863
Scudo 2.324 - 2.324
RAM Promaster
MCV
-
9.628
1.773
16.010
-1.773
-6.382
Others - 13 -13
TOTAL 33.568 60.492 -26.924
DOMESTIC 2024 2023 Δ
Egea 83.280 125.054 -41.764
Sedan
H/B and S/W
Cross
57.610 80.850
405
43.798
-23.240
Doblo 13.836 15.448 -1.612
Fiorino 25.152 42.242 -17.090
Imported
Vehicles
17.958 18.019 -61
TOTAL 140.226 200.763 -60.637
TOTAL
SHIPMENTS
173.794 261.255 -87.461
  • Key Highlights
  • Production & Shipments
  • Domestic Market
  • Export
  • Financial Performance
  • Investments
  • Outlook

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

Financial Highlights

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

Income Statement

mn TL 2024 2023 Δ
Net Sales 120,267 184,229 -34,7%
Gross
Profit
13,372 33,437 -60,0%
Operating Profit 3,081 22,709 -86,4%
EBITDA 9,493 28,395 -66,6%
Profit Before
Tax
4,890 26,460 -81,5%
Net Profit 5,221 21,777 -76,0%
Gross
Margin
%
11.1 18.1 -7,0pp
Operating Margin
%
2.6 12.3 -9,8pp
EBITDA Margin
%
7.9 15.4 -7,5pp
PBT Margin
%
4.1 14.4 -10,3pp
Net Margin
%
4.3 11.8 -7,5pp

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

Balance Sheet - Assets & Liabilities (mn TL)

Current
Assets
31.12.24 31.12.23 Δ Current
Liabilities
31.12.24 31.12.23 Δ
Cash and Cash Equivalents 19.797 35.887 -16,090 Short-term Fin.
Liabilities
- 1.011 -1.011
Inventory 8.701 14.022 -5,706 S.T. Portion of L.T. Financial
Liabilities
10.937 8.718 2.315
Trade Receivables 20.885 26.591 -5,321
S.T. Consumer Financing
Loans
12.269 10.254 2,016 Trade Payables 11.342 34.017 -22.675
Other Current Assets 1,063 600 463 Other Current Liabilities 4.237 7.604 -3.367
Non-Current
Assets
31.12.24 31.12.23 Δ Non-Current
Liabilities
31.12.24 31.12.23 Δ
Fixed Assets 14.484 12.728 1.756 Long-term Financial Liabilities 16.964 7.353 9.611
Intangible Assets 4.163 6.154 -1.991 Other Long-term Liabilities 1.078 1.630 -552
L.T. Cons.
Fin.
Loans
4.612 3.671 941
Other Non-current Assets 5.684 3.671 2.013 Shareholders' Equity 47.102 53.246 -6.145
Total Assets 91.660 113.579 -21.919 Total
Equity
&
Liabilities
91.660 113.579 -21.919
  • Key Highlights
  • Production & Shipments
  • Domestic Market
  • Export
  • Financial Performance
  • Investments
  • Outlook

INVESTMENTS (mn EUR)

2024 2023 2022 2021
Structural 16 18 12 10
Minicargo 1 2 2 11
K0 105 8 n/a n/a
Egea/Tipo Sedan, HB & SW 17 20 29 62
TOTAL 138 49 46 100
  • Key Highlights
  • Production & Shipments
  • Domestic Market
  • Export
  • Financial Performance
  • Investments
  • Outlook
2024A 2025E
Domestic
Light
Vehicle
Market (PC+LCV)
1.24mn units 0.9–1.1mn units
Tofaş Domestic
Retail
Sales
143.7K units 110K -
130K units
Export
Shipments
33.6K units 70K -
90K units
Production
Volume
140.5K units 150K –
170K units
Investments €138M €150M
PBT Margin 4.1% >5%

SUSTAINABILITY

  • In November 2023, we published our 2022 Sustainability report, which provides insights about performance, strategy and progress in environmental, social and governance areas of Tofas. https://www.tofas.com.tr/Documents/2022-%C4%B1ntegrated-report-en.pdf
  • ESG score of Tofas stands at 82, with a ranking position of 13th out of 290 auto/auto parts companies globally.
Environment 79
Emissions 87
Resource use 93
Innovation 68
Social 90
Human rights 90
Product responsibility 83
Workforce 92
Community 93
Governance 72
Management 78
Shareholders 68
CSR Strategy 45
  • Key Highlights
  • Production & Shipments
  • Domestic Market
  • Export
  • Financial Performance
  • Investments
  • Outlook

SIGNING OF NEW MANUFACTURING CONTRACT

  • Within the scope of Heads of Agreement on March 1st , 2023; Tofaş has signed a manufacturing agreement with Stellantis Europe granting us the right to produce in Turkey the new vehicle model "K0"'s light commercial vehicle and "combi" versions in multi-energy platforms for Stellantis brands (FIAT, Opel, Citroën, Peugeot).
  • An investment of 232 million Euro (c.250 million USD) is estimated for the project with the major portion of Capex to be realized in 2024. The production will be between 2024-2032.
  • The distribution right of these vehicles produced for FIAT brand in Turkey is granted to Tofas. The distribution right of other Stellantis brands (Opel, Citroen, Peugeot) in Turkey will be transferred to Tofaş if the acquisition of Stellantis Otomotiv is executed.

HEADS of AGREEMENT with STELLANTIS

  • According to Heads of Agreement, Tofas will purchase 100% of Stellantis Turkiye Otomotiv shares from Stellantis for EUR400mn in cash; subject to cash/working capital closing adjustment and regulatory approval.
  • Commercial activities for all Stellantis brands in Türkiye will be consolidated under Tofaş.

  • Stellantis will allocate a production of the "K0" model to Tofaş.

  • The model is a mid-sized LCV, planned for multiple brands, with target commercial launch of 2025.

  • Fiat Egea/Tipo contract will be extended until the end of 2025.

  • Production of Fiorino model will end on 31 December 2024.
  • The collaboration is expected to yield notable synergies in terms of new business opportunities as well as costs.

STELLANTIS EV Strategy of Stellantis

*Forecasted LEV mix on total Stellantis passenger car and light-duty truck sales

INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR RELATIONS

Mehmet A. Ağyüz, CFA

Investor Relations and Risk Manager

  • +90 212 275 3390 / 2751
  • +90 212 216 4028
  • [email protected]
  • Büyükdere Caddesi No:145 Tofaş Han 34394 Zincirlikuyu / ISTANBUL TURKEY

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