AI assistant
TGS ASA — Investor Presentation 2021
Feb 11, 2021
3774_rns_2021-02-11_790bd825-a9d4-483c-b347-ae9daa8bbaef.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
Leveraging core strengths to help shape the future of energy
Capital Markets Day 11 February 2021
Forward-looking Statements
All statements in this presentation other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove accurate. These factors include TGS' reliance on a cyclical industry and principal customers, TGS' ability to continue to expand markets for licensing of data, and TGS' ability to acquire and process data products at costs commensurate with profitability. Actual results may differ materially from those expected or projected in the forward-looking statements. TGS undertakes no responsibility or obligation to update or alter forward-looking statements for any reason.
Agenda
| Time CET | Presentation |
|---|---|
| 1400-1410 | Introduction |
| 1410-1430 | Presentation of Q4 2020 and 2021 guidance |
| 1430-1445 | Market outlook |
| 1445-1500 | Strategic priorities |
| 1500-1520 | New Energy Solutions |
| 1520-1535 | Sustainability strategy |
| 1535-1600 | Summary and Q&A |
Presentation Team
See the energy at TGS.com - 4 -
Introduction
Kristian Johansen, CEO
Market Volatility Since Capital Markets Day 2019
Oil price back to pre-COVID levels
Delivering on the Strategic Agenda, Despite Market Disruption
Strategic priorities as presented in CMD Feb 2019 Progress and achievements as of Feb 2021
| a at d G & O |
New technologies in mature basins | |
|---|---|---|
| Strengthening position in South Atlantic | in Latin America | |
| Further growth onshore | ||
| y g o ol |
Expand value chain through Data & Analytics | |
| n h c e T |
Imaging quality and reputation | infrastructure |
Feb 2019 Feb 2021
~11,000 km2 of modern OBN acquired in GoM and NCS
Acquisition of Spectrum and ~60,000 km2 new 3D acquired
All-time high onshore late sales in 2019 before market collapse
New analytics application added (> Million ARLAS) and instrumental in the development of unique marketplace for seismic in 2020
New management, high grading of technologies, imaging closer to
Q4 2020 Results and 2021 Guidance
Fredrik Amundsen, CFO
IFRS 15
See the energy at
- The accounting standard IFRS 15 regarding revenue recognition implemented from 1 January 2018
- Implications for TGS
- Recognition of revenues related to multi-client projects postponed until projects are delivered to customers
- No amortization until completion of the project
- No impact on sales from the library of completed surveys
• Internal reporting
- TGS will continue to use the previous percentage-of-completion-method for internal segment and management reporting (referred to as Segment Reporting)
- Provides the best picture of the performance and value creation of the business
• External reporting
- Two sets of accounts: Segment Reporting and IFRS Reporting
- Main focus in external communication will be on Segment Reporting
Highlights
• Q4 2020 net revenues of USD 120.3 million
- Late sales USD 103.2 million
- Pre-funding USD 13.3 million
• Costs and capex re-set to reflect challenging market conditions
- Personnel and Other operational costs down 58% y/y
- Forward run-rate reduced ~40-45% compared to 2019 pro-forma
• Increasing return to shareholders
- Q4 2020 Free cash flow of USD 28.4 million
- Quarterly dividend increased to USD 0.14 per share
- Launching USD 20 million in share buy-back program
• 2021 financial guidance
See the energy at
- Multi-client investments of approximately USD 200-230 million
- Continued sector outperformance on cash flow and ROACE
- Industry-leading distribution to shareholders
Net Revenues
Pro-forma including SPU
Operating Expenses, EBIT, MC Investments
Pro-forma including SPU
1. Personnel costs and other operating expenses excluding reported non-recurring items
2. Earnings before interest and taxes excluding reported non-recurring items
See the energy at TGS.com - 12 -
Income Statement
Segment reporting
| (MUSD) | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating revenues | 120.3 | 232.5 | $-48%$ | |
| Cost of goods sold | 0.9 | 1.3 | $-27%$ | |
| Personnel cost | 7.8 | 25.3 | $-69%$ | |
| Other operational costs | 6.0 | 16.8 | $-64%$ | |
| Cost of stock options | 0.0 | 0.0 | n/a | |
| EBITDA | 88% | 105.6 | 189.1 | $-44%$ |
| Amortization of multi-client library | 167.5 | 119.9 | 40% | |
| Depreciation | 4.0 | 10.3 | $-61%$ | |
| Operating result | $-55%$ | $-65.9$ | 59.0 | $-212%$ |
| Financial income | $-0.1$ | 0.4 | $-126%$ | |
| Financial expenses | 0.0 | $-1.2$ | $-96%$ | |
| Exchange gains/losses | $-1.8$ | $-1.7$ | 8% | |
| Result before taxes | $-56%$ | $-67.9$ | 56.6 | n/a |
| Tax cost | 44% | $-29.9$ | 5.2 | n/a |
| Net income | $-32%$ | $-37.9$ | 51.4 | n/a |
| EPS (USD) | $-0.28$ | 0.38 | ||
| EPS fully diluted (USD) | $-0.28$ | 0.38 |
Balance Sheet
Segment reporting
| Balance sheet | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwill | 288.4 | 288.4 | $0\%$ |
| Multi-client library | 623.9 | 830.8 | $-25%$ |
| Deferred tax asset | 55.3 | 28.0 | 98% |
| Other non-current assets | 114.1 | 75.3 | 52% |
| Total non-current assets | 1,081.7 | 1,222.4 | $-12%$ |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 195.7 | 323.4 | $-39%$ |
| Other current assets | 494.5 | 551.2 | $-10%$ |
| Total current assets | 690.3 | 874.7 | $-21%$ |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 1,772.0 | 2,097.1 | $-16%$ |
| Total equity | 1,399.0 | 1,625.6 | $-14%$ |
| Deferred taxes | 31.1 | 74.6 | $-58%$ |
| Non-current liabilities | 45.3 | 23.9 | 90% |
| Total non-current liabilities | 76.4 | 98.5 | $-22%$ |
| Taxes payable, withheld payroll tax, social security | 2.9 | 37.6 | $-92%$ |
| Other current liabilities | 293.6 | 335.4 | $-12%$ |
| Total current liabilities | 296.5 | 373.0 | $-21%$ |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 1,772.0 | 2,097.1 | $-16%$ |
Cash Flow Statement
Segment reporting
| (MUSD) | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Received payments | 115.9 | 303.4 | $-62%$ |
| Payments for operational expenses | $-35.1$ | $-67.6$ | $-48%$ |
| Paid taxes | $-22.1$ | $-14.0$ | 58% |
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 58.7 | 221.9 | $-74%$ |
| Investment in tangible fixed assets | $-2.1$ | $-3.0$ | $-30%$ |
| Investments in multi-client library | $-30.3$ | $-115.7$ | $-74%$ |
| Investments through mergers and acquisitions | 0.0 | 0.0 | n/a |
| Interest income | 0.1 | 1.0 | $-89%$ |
| Net Cash Flow from investing activities | $-32.3$ | $-117.7$ | $-73%$ |
| Net change in loans | 0.0 | $-0.1$ | $-100%$ |
| Interest expense | $-0.6$ | $-0.1$ | 321% |
| Payment of dividends | $-14.7$ | $-31.8$ | $-54%$ |
| Purchase of own shares | 0.0 | $-14.5$ | n/a |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | $-15.2$ | $-46.4$ | $-67%$ |
| Net unrealized currency gains/(losses) | 4.7 | $-0.2$ | n/a |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | 15.9 | 57.6 | $-72%$ |
2020 Operational Highlights Investment Distribution
2021 Market Outlook Impacted by Uncertainty
See the energy at TGS.com - 17 -
Backlog
1. Sales committed by customers but not yet recognized in the Segment Reporting accounts
See the energy at TGS.com - 18 -
2021 Operational Guidance
Business Model with Counter-Cyclical Qualities
- Lean and adjustable cost base
- Asset-light few capital commitments
- Allows for continued dividend payments even during down-cycles
Financial Guidance:
- Multi-client investments of between USD 200 - 230 million
- Continued sector outperformance on cash flow and ROACE
- Industry-leading distribution to shareholders
Dividends and Share Buyback
- The Board has resolved to increase the dividend to USD 0.14 per share in Q1 2021
- Ex date 18 February 2021 payment date 4 March 2021
-
In addition, the Board has authorized a USD 20 million share buyback program to be completed by May 2022 subject to renewal of the authorization given by the annual general meeting May 2020
-
Quarterly dividends defined in USD from 2016. Annual dividends defined in NOK prior to 2016, converted to USD with the FX rate at ex-dividend dates
See the energy at TGS.com - 21 -
Summary
• Q4 2020 net revenues of USD 120.3 million
- Late sales USD 103.2 million
- Pre-funding USD 13.3 million
• Costs and capex re-set to reflect challenging market conditions
- Personnel and Other operational costs down 58% y/y
- Forward run-rate reduced ~40-45% compared to 2019 pro-forma
• Increasing return to shareholders
- Q4 2020 Free cash flow of USD 28.4 million
- Quarterly dividend increased to USD 0.14 per share
- Launching USD 20 million in share buy-back program
• 2021 financial guidance
- Multi-client investments of approximately USD 200-230 million
- Continued sector outperformance on cash flow and ROACE
- Industry-leading distribution to shareholders
Market Outlook
Kristian Johansen, CEO
A Volatile Ride
Brent oil price and EBITDA
Source: EIA, TGS
Oil price back to pre-COVID levels
Supply Shortage in the Making
• High decline rates on U.S. unconventional wells
See the energy at
- TGS research indicates that returning to Jan 2020 numbers is unlikely even with aggressive ramp up of rig count and no parent/child interference
- Supply shortage in the making will drive up oil price and E&P capex
- Biden environmental agenda could exacerbate situation
TGS Well Intel
US Pausing of New Oil and Gas Leases
- Oil and gas high importance for US economy and labor market
- GoM production compares well on emission intensity compared to other basins
Source: US Department of Energy
US Pausing of New Oil and Gas Leases
• GoM exploration trends
- Shift from frontier to infrastructure-led exploration
- Licensing rounds less important
- More focus on technology
• Potential consequences of permanent ban
- More active asset transfer market
- Re-allocation of funds from US to other basins
- Positive oil price implications
• TGS exposure to US federal land and waters
- 17% of multi-client library
- Mostly Ocean Bottom Node data
- 19% of 2020 net revenues
"If conditions in the U.S. become so onerous that it really disincentivizes investment, we've got other places where we can take those dollars."
Mike Wirth, CEO, Chevron 4Q20 Earnings Conference Call 29 January 2020
NBV multi-client library
See the energy at TGS.com - 27 -
Oil and Gas to Remain Important in the Long-term
- Oil and gas to remain an important part of the energy mix in the foreseeable future
- Declining consumption of oil to be partly offset by relative stability of gas demand
- Strong growth in renewables to replace coal in the long-term
Solid curves = Sustainable Development Scenario (SDS): Designed to meet the energy-related UN's Sustainable Development Goals to achieve: universal access to affordable, reliable and modern energy services by 2030; a substantial reduction in air pollution, and effective action to combat climate change. The SDS is fully aligned with the Paris Agreement to hold the rise in global average temperature to "well below 2 °C and pursuing efforts to limit it to 1.5 °C".
Stapled curves = Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS): It incorporates IEA's assessment of stated policy ambitions, including the energy components of announced stimulus or recovery packages (as of mid-2020) and the Nationally Determined Contributions under the Paris Agreement. This scenario assumes that the pandemic is brought under control over the course of 2021.
Source: IEA
How to Cover Gap Between Supply from Onstream Fields and Future Demand?
Oil and gas
Gap to be covered by:
- Fields currently under development
- Discoveries in the pre-FID stage
- Exploration
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040
Wood Mackenzie scenario description:
- The energy transition outlook (ETO) represents Wood Mackenzie's base case view of the energy world, broadly consistent with a 3°C global warming view.
- The accelerated energy transition 2-degree scenario (AET-2) represents how the world can augment efforts towards deep decarbonization with a credible pathway to reach a 2°C global warming trajectory by 2050.
Source: Wood Mackenzie
Exploration a Competitive Alternative
- Significant share of proven undeveloped resources is unlikely to be developed
- Best resources already developed
- Increasing cost
- Environmentally challenging
- High political and regulatory risk
- Remote areas
- Exploration in prolific basins is competitive with other sources of incremental production
- Proven exploration plays
- Declining cycle time
- More and better use of technology
- Strong outlook for a viable exploration market in the long-term, even in the more optimistic energy transition scenarios
Average point-forward cost of gas supply
"[…]Exploration's costs are competitive because alternatives have higher development costs. Explorers, on average, tend to find better resources through exploration than the legacy assets that still await development."
Exploration's future in a low-cost, low-carbon world Wood Mackenzie, June 2020
Strong Growth in Renewable Energy
- Strong growth in renewable energy needed to replace energy sources with higher GHG emissions
- Average annual investments in renewables must be 20 times higher in the coming 20-year period compared to the past 5- year period to meet the SDS scenario
CCS Important Enabler for the Energy Transition
*Projects at an advanced stage of planning for 2020-30
Source: IEA
- Strong growth in Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) is a pre-requisite for meeting the goals of the Paris Agreement
- Several projects in advanced planning stage long pipeline of potential additional projects around the world
Summary: Key Energy Market Trends
- International Oil Companies (IOCs) concentrating exploration efforts on fewer basins
- National Oil Companies (NOCs) becoming more important in international exploration
- Continued focus on Infrastructure-Led Exploration (ILX)
- Digitization driving efficiency improvements in exploration and production
- Strong growth in energy transition enablers
Strategic Priorities
Kristian Johansen, CEO
Strategic Priorities
Leveraging Library to Create Exploration Upside
- International oil companies focusing exploration efforts on fewer areas – leave gaps that may be filled by smaller oil companies
- The largest subsurface data library in the world combined with leading geoscience competency puts TGS in a unique position to support exploration opportunities
- Capital light approach using existing data and competencies
- Data-for-equity swaps
- Overriding Royalty Interest deals (ORRIs)
- Direct ownership in exploration acreage but only in pre-drilling phase
- Limited use of cash
- No direct exposure towards drilling or production
Building on Core Skillsets to Support Energy Transition
- Establish business unit New Energy Solutions – to capitalize on energy transition trends through data and insights
- Leveraging existing data and core competencies to build broad offering to support decision making processes
- Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)
- Deep Sea Mineral exploration (DSM)
- Renewable energy
- Geothermal
- Wind
- Solar
Organizing to Deliver on Strategy
TGS ASA
Leveraging core strengths to help shape the future of energy
New Energy Solutions
Jan Schoolmeesters, EVP Operations & NES
New Energy Solutions From Data to Insights
- Energy transition requires massive investments in industries that contribute to removing GHG emissions
- Capital intensity combined with long pay-back requires high precision in investment decisions
- Providing a path from data to insights creates significant value
- TGS leveraging core skillsets to help shape the future of energy by facilitating for more informed and better investment decisions
Leveraging Core Strengths
- Data library
- World's largest integrated subsurface data library
- Geoscience skills
- Leading geoscience environment
- Strong understanding of the subsurface
• Digitalization
- Data processing competency
- High-performance computing capacity
- Data analytics and software development skills
- Cloud-based solutions
• Data management
• Structuring and handling of large data volumes
• Data capturing
- Collecting unique and exclusive data using different technologies
- Collecting and improving public data
• Global presence
See the energy at
• 40 years of experience working in international markets
TGS.com - 42 -
• Data covering basins across the globe
The New Energy Solutions Offering
NES ECOSYSTEM
News, Insights, Analysis
From Data to Insights - Geothermal Application Example
Assessing Geothermal Energy Potential with Analytics Ready Well Data
Site Screening and Investment Decision Support
- Assessment of O&G wells for geothermal energy co-production
- Geothermal Energy Recovery Factor
- Converting thermal energy in place to electricity generation potential
From Data to Insights – CCS Application Example
From Data to Insights – Wind Application Example
Key Attributes:
See the energy at
- Worldwide Coverage
- 12,000 windfarms
- 5,000 offshore wind turbines
- 200 active offshore windfarm areas, operator or co-operator information
- 100 potential future windfarm areas
- Key metadata integrated from TGS NES news service
- Free access to basic information
Explore relationships between wind resources and wind farm specifics, leading to an improved understanding of the energy output potential.
The NES Ecosystem – Our Delivery Platform
- An industry portal of comprehensive new energy data
- Supporting our client's digital transformation and energy transition goals
- E-commerce enables subscription services
A Path to Growth
Organic Growth
- Solid base for expanding data and insights solutions
- Recruitment of subject matter experts in renewables
Partnerships
• Building momentum with companies in all segments, including platform and application development
Inorganic Growth
- Identifying value add companies
- High potential to fast-track growth for Wind and Solar
Summary and Way Forward
Existing subsurface product offering has significant potential to accelerate in growing new energy markets
Core strengths in combining data, AI and compute power enables fast development and commercialization of products and services
On track for organic growth, to be supplemented by partnerships and M&A
Sustainability Strategy
Tanya Herwanger, EVP Staff & Support
Helping to Shape a Sustainable Future
See the energy at
We believe it is our responsibility to help our customers, shareholders and communities in which we live and work to shape a sustainable energy future.
TGS.com - 51 -
What We have Accomplished
Set targeted goals
- Carbon Emissions
- Gender Diversity
- Employee Engagement
- Human Rights
- Supplier Management
-
Integrating ESG in investment decisions
-
Executive ownership & oversight
- New ESG function
- Senior Leader assigned
-
Building a team
-
Improved reporting & transparency
- Adopted carbon neutral solutions in our data centers
- Strengthened our supplier management
- Published our commitment to Human Rights
- Advocating for industry standards to measure & report emissions from field operations
See the energy at TGS.com - 52 -
What We Plan To Do
- Climate Change
- Diversity & Inclusion
- Health & Safety
-
Reporting
-
Work toward carbon neutrality by 2030 (scope 1 & 2)
- Expand our commitment to public initiatives
-
Strengthen our policies and practices to deliver on commitments
-
Incorporate emissions analysis into project investment decisions
- Drive the advancement of ESG standards in the seismic sector
- Track, report and promote environmental efficiencies in marine and land operations
Recognition & Momentum
See the energy at TGS.com - 54 -
Summary
CEO, Kristian Johansen
Different Cycles – Different Priorities
What TGS May Look Like After 2030
TGS today:
See the energy at
- World's leading subsurface data company
- Asset light and multi-client business model
-
95% of revenues from oil & gas
- Emissions (scope 1 & 2): 23.4 kilotons of CO2e
- New strategy launched February 2021
TGS Long-term ambition
- World's leading energy data company
- Asset light and multi-client business model
- Revenues reflecting overall energy mix
- Carbon neutral
- High portion of recurring revenues
TGS.com - 57 -
Questions & Answers
Thank you
Appendix
Income Statement IFRS
| (MUSD) | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating revenues | 142.9 | 218.8 | -35% | |
| Cost of goods sold | 0.9 | 1.3 | $-27%$ | |
| Personnel cost | 7.8 | 25.3 | $-69%$ | |
| Other operational costs | 6.0 | 16.8 | -64% | |
| EBITDA | 90% | 128.1 | 175.5 | $-27%$ |
| Amortization of multi-client library | 172.7 | 95.6 | 81% | |
| Depreciation | 4.0 | 10.3 | $-61%$ | |
| Operating result | $-34%$ | $-48.5$ | 69.6 | $-170%$ |
| Financial income | 0.1 | 0.8 | -87% | |
| Financial expenses | $-0.3$ | $-0.6$ | -56% | |
| Exchange gains/losses | $-1.8$ | $-1.7$ | 8% | |
| Result before taxes | $-35%$ | $-50.4$ | 68.1 | $-174%$ |
| Tax cost | 48% | $-24.1$ | $-3.6$ | 578% |
| Net income | $-18%$ | $-26.3$ | 71.7 | $-137%$ |
| EPS (USD) | $-0.22$ | 0.60 | $-137%$ | |
| EPS fully diluted (USD) | $-0.22$ | 0.60 | $-137%$ |
Balance Sheet
IFRS
| Balance sheet | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwill | 288.4 | 292.0 | $-1%$ |
| Multi-client library | 917.5 | 1,091.3 | $-16%$ |
| Deferred tax asset | 113.5 | 33.2 | 242% |
| Other non-current assets | 114.1 | 77.8 | 47% |
| Total non-current assets | 1,433.5 | 1,494.3 | $-4%$ |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 195.7 | 323.4 | $-39%$ |
| Other current assets | 392.0 | 386.9 | 1% |
| Total current assets | 587.7 | 710.3 | $-17%$ |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 2,021.2 | 2,204.6 | -8% |
| Total equity | 1,249.6 | 1,545.8 | $-19%$ |
| Deferred taxes | 29.0 | 40.4 | $-28%$ |
| Non-current liabilities | 45.3 | 23.9 | 90% |
| Total non-current liabilities | 74.3 | 64.3 | 16% |
| Taxes payable, withheld payroll tax, social security | 2.9 | 42.5 | $-93%$ |
| Other current liabilities | 694.4 | 552.0 | 26% |
| Total current liabilities | 697.3 | 594.5 | 17% |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 2,021.2 | 2,204.6 | -8% |
Reconciliation
IFRS
| 04 2020 | 04 20 20 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| (All amounts in USD 1,000s) | As reported | Adjustments | Segment |
| Net revenues | 142,897 | $-22,575$ | 120,322 |
| Amortization and impairment of multi-client library | 172,662 | $-5.141$ | 167,521 |
| Total operating expenses | 191,373 | $-5,141$ | 186,232 |
| Taxes | $-24,148$ | $-5,776$ | $-29,923$ |
| Net income | $-26,288$ | $-11,658$ | $-37,946$ |
| $31 - Dec-20$ | $31 - Dec-20$ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| (All amounts in USD 1,000s) | As reported | Adjustments | Segment |
| Multi-client library | 917,502 | $-293,650$ | 623,852 |
| Deferred tax asset | 113,468 | $-58,120$ | 55,348 |
| Total non-current assets | 1,433,475 | $-351,770$ | 1,081,704 |
| Accrued revenues | 108,737 | 102,547 | 211,284 |
| Total current assets | 587,711 | 102,547 | 690,258 |
| Equity | 1,249,578 | 149,465 | 1,399,043 |
| Deferred taxes | 28,984 | 2,113 | 31,096 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 74,292 | 2,113 | 76,404 |
| Accounts payable and debt to partners | 140,078 | 58,514 | 198,592 |
| Other current liabilities | 551,804 | $-459,314$ | 92,489 |
| Total current liabilities | 697,316 | $-400,800$ | 296,516 |
Multi-Client Library TGS/SPU Consolidated (Q1 2018 – Q4 2019)
1. Operational multi-client seismic investments
See the energy at