Earnings Release • Oct 26, 2023
Earnings Release
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OCTOBER 26, 2023
Kristian Johansen, CEO / Sven Børre Larsen, CFO OSLO, NORWAY
All statements in this presentation other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove accurate. These factors include volatile market conditions, investment opportunities in new and existing markets, demand for licensing of data within the energy industry, operational challenges, and reliance on a cyclical industry and principal customers. Actual results may differ materially from those expected or projected in the forward-looking statements. TGS undertakes no responsibility or obligation to update or alter forward-looking statements for any reason.
Continued strong Early Sales momentum 129% y/y
Late sales recovery
11% y/y
Acquisition best quarter ever 27% y/y
DES continuing progress
41% y/y
Strong operational performance and cost control EBIT 23%
Solid cash flow
FCF \$45 million
Total POC revenues of USD 293 million compared to USD 119 million in Q3 2022
Positive momentum in POC revenues driven by strong growth in both multi-client sales and Acquisition contract revenues
Solid contract inflow with USD 355 million of new contracts signed in the quarter
POC backlog including Acquisition of USD 475 million
* Including Magseis Fairfield
EARNINGS RELEASE
Q3 2023
7
High data acquisition activity level during Q3 2023
Preliminary synergy estimate
EARNINGS RELEASE
Q3 2023
Proprietary Sales Revenue Total Revenue
Other Operating Costs POC EBITDA
| (MUSD) | Q3 2023 | Q3 2022 | Change | YTD 2023 | YTD 2022 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early Sales | 21.0 | 55.3 | -62% | 94.1 | 234.4 | -60% |
| Late Sales | 71.9 | 64.5 | 11% | 179.9 | 237.5 | -24% |
| Proprietary Sales | 132.5 | 15.5 | 755% | 330.9 | 25.7 | 1190% |
| Total revenues | 225.4 | 135.3 | 67% | 604.9 | 497.6 | 22% |
| Cost of goods sold | 71.5 | 7.7 | 826% | 192.8 | 10.5 | 1741% |
| Personnel cost | 34.4 | 17.9 | 93% | 99.4 | 56.5 | 76% |
| Other operational costs | 17.0 | 12.7 | 33% | 49.5 | 35.4 | 40% |
| EBITDA | 102.6 | 97.0 | 6% | 263.2 | 395.3 | -33% |
| Straight-line amortization | 41.4 | 39.0 | 6% | 120.6 | 114.8 | 5% |
| Accelerated amortization | 9.3 | 42.0 | -78% | 35.3 | 187.8 | -81% |
| Impairments | 4.7 | 8.8 | -47% | 6.3 | 10.2 | -39% |
| Depreciation | 20.9 | 6.1 | 245% | 58.6 | 16.4 | 258% |
| Operating result | 26.2 | 1.1 | 2187% | 42.3 | 66.1 | -36% |
| Financial income | 1.6 | 0.7 | 130% | 5.1 | 1.8 | 190% |
| Financial expenses | -2.0 | -0.8 | 149% | -11.9 | -5.3 | 124% |
| Exchange gains/losses | 1.0 | -3.3 | -131% | 0.3 | -3.1 | -110% |
| Gains/(losses) from JV | 1.8 | 0.0 | n/a | 0.5 | 0.0 | n/a |
| Result before taxes | 28.5 | -2.3 | -1331% | 36.3 | 59.5 | -39% |
| Tax cost | 11.7 | -0.6 | -2127% | 5.6 | 14.9 | -62% |
| Net income | 16.8 | -1.7 | -1066% | 30.7 | 44.6 | -31% |
| EPS (USD) | 0.13 | -0.02 | 0.25 | 0.38 | ||
| EPS fully diluted (USD) | 0.13 | -0.02 | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| (MUSD) | Q3 2023 | Q2 2023 | Q2 2023 | Q4 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwill | 384.6 | 384.6 | 0% | 384.6 |
| Multi-client library | 745.0 | 687.3 | 8% | 575.3 |
| Deferred tax asset | 90.1 | 92.7 | -3% | 82.2 |
| Right-of-use assets | 54.7 | 66.7 | -18% | 59.6 |
| Other non-current assets | 226.9 | 229.5 | -1% | 223.3 |
| Total non-current assets | 1,501.3 | 1,460.9 | 3% | 1,325.1 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 200.2 | 143.9 | 39% | 188.5 |
| Accounts receivable and accrued revenues | 256.5 | 246.6 | 4% | 240.3 |
| Other current assets | 106.1 | 100.5 | 6% | 85.0 |
| Total current assets | 562.8 | 491.0 | 15% | 562.8 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 2,064.1 | 1,951.9 | 6% | 2,064.1 |
| Total equity | 1,301.8 | 1,215.1 | 7% | 1,239.8 |
| Deferred tax liability | 21.7 | 21.7 | 0% | 23.1 |
| Lease liability | 30.9 | 34.6 | -10% | 28.6 |
| Non-current liabilities | 45.1 | 91.9 | -51% | 42.4 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 97.8 | 148.2 | -34% | |
| Taxes payable, withheld payroll tax, social security and VAT | 72.0 | 69.7 | 3% | 77.2 |
| Lease liability | 30.5 | 39.3 | -22% | 38.3 |
| Deferred revenue | 279.6 | 180.6 | 55% | 126.5 |
| Other current liabilities | 282.5 | 299.0 | -6% | 263.0 |
| Total current liabilities | 664.5 | 588.6 | 13% | 505.0 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 2,064.1 | 1,951.9 | 6% | 1,838.9 |
| (MUSD) | Q3 2023 | Q3 2022 | Change | YTD 2023 | YTD 2022 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operating activities: | ||||||
| Profit before taxes | 28.5 | -2.3 | -1331% | 36.3 | 59.5 | -39% |
| Depreciation/amortization/impairment | 76.4 | 95.9 | -20% | 220.8 | 329.2 | -33% |
| Changes in accounts receivable and accrued | ||||||
| revenues | -9.9 | 19.1 | -152% | -16.1 | -19.0 | -15% |
| Changes in other receivables | -7.2 | 0.1 | -6976% | -15.3 | 37.1 | -141% |
| Changes in other balance sheet items | 122.7 | -66.3 | -285% | 234.4 | -169.9 | -238% |
| Paid taxes | -8.1 | -5.0 | 60% | -23.0 | -13.0 | 77% |
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 202.5 | 41.4 | 389% | 437.1 | 223.9 | 95% |
| Cash flow from investing activities: | ||||||
| Investments in tangible and intangible assets | -12.3 | -5.0 | 146% | -37.1 | -14.8 | 151% |
| Investments in multi-client library | -146.7 | -30.9 | 375% | -288.3 | -123.0 | 134% |
| Investments through mergers and acquisitions | 0.0 | -41.1 | -100% | 0.0 | -41.1 | -100% |
| Interest received | 1.3 | 0.7 | 86% | 4.5 | 1.8 | 154% |
| Net cash flow from investing activities | -157.7 | -76.4 | 107% | -320.9 | -177.2 | 81% |
| Cash flow from financing activities activities: | ||||||
| Net change in short term loans | -45.0 | 0.0 | n/a | -44.7 | 0.0 | n/a |
| Interest paid | -1.6 | -0.8 | 94% | -5.4 | -2.4 | 126% |
| Dividend payments | -17.4 | -16.0 | 9% | -52.5 | -48.7 | 8% |
| Repayment of lease liabilities | -11.5 | -3.1 | 271% | -33.6 | -8.9 | 278% |
| Acquisition of shares | 0.0 | 0.0 | n/a | -54.4 | 0.0 | n/a |
| Paid in equity | 86.6 | 0.0 | n/a | 86.6 | 0.0 | n/a |
| Repurchase of shares | 0.0 | -4.5 | -100% | 0.0 | -7.0 | -100% |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | 11.1 | -24.4 | -145% | -104.1 | -67.0 | 55% |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | 55.9 | -59.4 | -194% | 12.1 | -20.3 | -160% |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of period | 143.9 | 254.7 | -43% | 188.5 | 215.3 | -12% |
| Net unrealized currency gains/(losses) | 0.4 | -3.0 | -114% | -0.3 | -2.8 | -87% |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the end of period | 200.2 | 192.3 | 4% | 200.2 | 192.3 | 4% |
• Ex date 2 November 2023 – payment date 16 November 2023
TGS has returned more than USD 1.4 bn to shareholders through dividends and buybacks since 2010
Quarterly dividends defined in USD from 2016. Annual dividends defined in NOK prior to 2016, converted to USD with the FX rate at ex-dividend dates
Average yield at the time of announcement of dividends
EARNINGS RELEASE
Q3 2023
Estimated 2050 oil and gas share of primary energy demand
-3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21 Q2 21 Q3 21 Q4 21 Q1 22 Q2 22 Q3 22 Q4 22 Q1 23 Q2 23 Q3 23 Q4 23E Q1 24E Q2 24E Q3 24E Q4 24E Change mbbl/day
World liquid fules stock build/(draw)
US commercial crude oil stocks
Shaded area indicate high and low in the period from 2018 to 2022
Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 H2 2024+
Early Sales backlog accounts for USD 475 million of the total backlog
• Lease Sale 261 – Q4 2023 (close)
• Permanent Offer 4 – Q4 2023 (close)
• Shallow Water – H1 2024 (close)
• Offshore – Q3 2023 (close)
• Offshore – H2 2024 (close)
• Shallow Water Round – Q4 23 (open)
• Open Round – May and Nov (annual)
• Offshore Round 2 – 2024 (open)
• 2023 APA Round – Q1 2024 (award) • 2024 APA Round – Q2 2024 (open)
Overview is showing scheduled rounds only and is not exhaustive. Several countries, particularly in Africa and Latin America, are planning rounds over the next couple of years
• Open Door for available blocks and farm-in
Nigeria: • Licensing round schedule being planned
• Open Door – LR after elections - Feb 2024
• Announced but now rescinded – LR in 2024.
• Bid Round IX ongoing
• 2023 2nd round – Nov 2023 (close)
• Offshore round - expected Q1 2024
Total POC revenues of USD 293 million compared to USD 119 million in Q3 2022
POC EBITDA of USD 170 million compared to USD 80 million in Q3 2022
Positive momentum in POC revenues driven by strong growth in both multi-client sales and Acquisition contract revenues
Merger agreement with PGS signed – closing expected late Q1 or early Q2 2024
Continued growth in exploration spending expected
TGS well positioned to benefit with leading position in all segments
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