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TGS ASA — Earnings Release 2018
Aug 2, 2018
3774_10-k_2018-08-02_1535485e-c9d1-4282-9150-3962b3f5a183.pdf
Earnings Release
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Q2 2018 Earnings Release
CEO CFO 2 August 2018
Kristian Johansen Sven Børre Larsen
Forward-Looking Statements
All statements in this presentation other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove accurate. These factors include TGS' reliance on a cyclical industry and principal customers, TGS' ability to continue to expand markets for licensing of data, and TGS' ability to acquire and process data products at costs commensurate with profitability. Actual results may differ materially from those expected or projected in the forward-looking statements. TGS undertakes no responsibility or obligation to update or alter forward-looking statements for any reason.
2
Q2 2018 Highlights
- Q2 net revenues of 158 MUSD, up 47% from 108 MUSD in Q2 2017
- Net late sales of 136 MUSD, up 73% from 79 MUSD Q2 2017
- Net pre-funding revenues of 21 MUSD were down from 27 MUSD in Q2 2017, funding 37% of TGS' operational multi-client investments for the quarter
- Operational multi-client investments of 56 MUSD in addition to 4 MUSD from risk sharing arrangements
- Operating profit for the quarter was 54 MUSD compared to 18 MUSD in Q2 2017
- Free cash flow was 55 MUSD compared to 12 MUSD in Q2 2017
- Cash balance of 338 MUSD at 30 June 2018 in addition to undrawn 75 MUSD Revolving Credit Facility
- Quarterly dividend maintained at USD 0.20 per share, up 33% from Q2 2017
Operational Highlights
Q2 2018 Operations
U.S. Gulf of Mexico
Q2 Activity
• Alonso 3D: 6,172 km2 multi-client 3D located in the Atwater Valley and Lloyd Ridge protraction areas
GOM Market
- License rounds in March and August
- Acreage turnover and farm-ins
- Discoveries continue (Ballymore, Whale, Dover)
- Break-even at ~\$50 or lower
- Synergies with Mexico GOM opportunities
- New technologies
Brazil
Q2 Activity
• Brazil Southern Basins SeaSeep: 200,000 km2 multi-client multibeam and seep study in the Campos and Santos Basins
Brazil Market
- License round transparency calendar out to 2021
- Seismic permitting process becoming more streamlined
- But environmental permit challenges remain
- Supermajor focus area leading to competitive bidding
- High degree of data saturation in core areas drives need for new technology
Norway/UK
Q2 Activity
- Atlantic Margin 3D: 45,500 km2 multi-client 3D located in central-southern Norwegian Sea
- Nansen 3D: 6,100 km2 multi-client 3D in partnership with PGS, located in an active APA area of the Hammerfest Basin in the Barents Sea
New Project:
• Erlend Wild West 3D: 1,000 km2 multi-client 3D in the UK West of Shetland region, tying into TGS EW12 3D data. Data being acquired during Q3 2018
Norway/UK Market
- Norwegian 24th Round awards triggered uplift bonuses in Q2
- Annual APA rounds in Norway / numbered rounds in UK
- Acreage turnover and farm-ins
- Increased number of exploration wells to be drilled
Q2 Activity – East Canada
Q2 Activity
• Tablelands 3D: 8,000 km2 multi-client 3D in partnership with PGS, located in Newfoundland area of the Flemish Pass and Orphan Basins
New Projects:
- Lewis Hill 3D: 3,400 km2 multi-client 3D in partnership with PGS in the Newfoundland area of the Flemish Pass basin to be acquired in Q3
- Harbour Deep 3D / Cape Broyle 3D: 2,700 km2 of data to be acquired to complete 2017 outlines
East Canada Market
- Scheduled Land Tenure system
- Stability and attractive fiscal regime promotes exploration
- High prospectivity (proven by high profile discoveries) in frontier geography
- E&P focus area, even through down cycle
Q2 Activity – North America Land
Q2 Activity
- Sanderson 3D (Permian): 464 km2 high-resolution 3D multi-client project along the eastern flank of Delaware Basin - TGS' third 3D Permian survey
- Hackberry Complex 3D (SCOOP/STACK): 777 km2 high-resolution 3D multi-client project in the Anadarko Basin
- Canton 3D (SCOOP/STACK): 1,166 km2 high-resolution 3D multi-client project
New Projects:
- Gloss Mountain 3D (SCOOP/STACK): Expanded to 1,500 km2, to be acquired in Q4 2018 and Q1 2019
- Canton 3D extension (SCOOP/STACK): Expanded to 1,400 km2, to be completed Q1 2019
- Dawson Phase 2 3D (Canada): Expanded by another 150 km2 to cover a total of 428 km2, to be acquired in Q4 2018
Onshore Market
- Geological complexity in some plays maximizing productivity from horizontals to minimize break even cost
- Acreage turnover and farm-ins
Library M&A - Capreolus 3D
Capreolus 3D
- Purchased from Polarcus with closing expected in August
- 22,130 km2 3D survey over underexplored Beagle and Bedout subbasin, offshore north-west Australia
- Complementary to TGS' extensive 3D database in the neighboring Carnarvon Basin
NW Australia market
• Quadrant Energy and Carnarvon Petroleum exploration success with Dorado-1 well - gross hydrocarbon package of 96.1m and a net pay thickness of 76.9m in highly porous and permeable sands.
Financials
Implementation of IFRS 15
- The accounting standard IFRS 15 regarding revenue recognition implemented from 1 January 2018
- Implications for TGS
- Recognition of revenues related to Multi-client projects postponed until projects are delivered to customers
- No amortization until completion of the project
- No impact on sales from the library of completed surveys
- Internal reporting
- TGS will continue to use the previous Percentage-of-Completion-method for internal segment and management reporting (referred to as Segment Reporting)
- Provides the best picture of the performance and value creation of the business
- External reporting
- Two sets of accounts: Segment Reporting and IFRS Reporting
- Main focus in external communication will be on Segment Reporting
Net Revenues
Segment Reporting
Prefunding revenues
Total revenues
Net Revenues Breakdown
Segment Reporting
By Technology
Operating Expenses, EBIT, Free Cash Flow Segment Reporting
1. Personnel costs and other operating expenses excluding restructuring charges and larger impairments of operating items
Amortization and impairments
Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018
EBIT2
2. Earnings before interest and taxes excludng restructuring charges and larger impairments of operating items
3. Cash flow from operations minus operational investments in multi-client projects
Multi-client Library
Segment Reporting
Operational investments and prefunding ratio
Investments and NBV by year of completion
NBV multi-client library
Income Statement
Segment Reporting
| (MUSD) | Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating revenues | 157.8 | 107.7 | 47% |
| Cost of goods sold | 0.1 | 0.3 | -64% |
| Amortization of multi-client library | 73.7 | 69.0 | 7% |
| Gross margin 53% |
84.0 | 38.4 | 119% |
| Personnel cost | 18.4 | 11.8 | 56% |
| Other operational costs | 9.2 | 6.0 | 53% |
| Cost of stock options | 0.0 | 0.1 | -100% |
| Depreciation | 2.2 | 2.4 | -7% |
| Operating result 34% |
54.2 | 18.1 | 199% |
| Net financial items | 1.6 | -1.1 | n/a |
| Result before taxes 35% |
55.9 | 17.0 | 229% |
| Tax cost 17% |
9.6 | 7.4 | 30% |
| Net income 29% |
46.3 | 9.6 | 382% |
| EPS (USD) | 0.45 | 0.09 | 380% |
| EPS fully diluted (USD) | 0.45 | 0.09 | 379% |
Cash Flow Statement
| (MUSD) | Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Received payments | 163.4 | 73.9 | 121% |
| Payments for operational expenses | -29.3 | -18.3 | 60% |
| Paid taxes | -6.1 | -2.4 | 154% |
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 127.9 | 53.1 | 141% |
| Investment in tangible fixed assets | -1.0 | -3.0 | -66% |
| Investments in multi-client library | -73.3 | -41.4 | 77% |
| Investments through mergers and acquisitions | 0.0 | -4.5 | -100% |
| Interest income | 1.2 | 0.2 | 381% |
| Net Cash Flow from investing activities | -73.1 | -48.6 | 50% |
| Net change in loans | 0.0 | 0.0 | n/a |
| Interest expense | -0.3 | -0.1 | 201% |
| Payment of dividends | -22.0 | -15.3 | 44% |
| Paid in equity | 3.2 | 2.5 | 31% |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | -19.0 | -12.9 | 47% |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | 35.8 | -8.4 | n/a |
Balance Sheet
Segment Reporting
| (MUSD) | Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | Change | Q4 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwill | 67.9 | 67.9 | 0% | 67.9 |
| Multi-client library | 735.8 | 812.2 | -9% | 799.0 |
| Deferred tax asset | 2.2 | 6.8 | -67% | 4.4 |
| Other non-current assets | 27.8 | 31.9 | -13% | 29.2 |
| Total non-current assets | 833.7 | 918.8 | -9% | 900.5 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 337.5 | 239.3 | 41% | 249.9 |
| Other current assets | 264.5 | 268.3 | -1% | 273.6 |
| Total current assets | 602.0 | 507.6 | 19% | 523.6 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 1,435.7 | 1,426.4 | 1% | 1,424.1 |
| Total equity | 1,225.7 | 1,160.9 | 6% | 1,200.1 |
| Deferred taxes | 18.2 | 32.9 | -45% | 23.7 |
| Non-current liabilities | 4.9 | 5.3 | -7% | 5.3 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 23.1 | 38.2 | -40% | 29.1 |
| Taxes payable, withheld payroll tax, social security | 45.9 | 11.4 | 302% | 0.0 |
| Other current liabilities | 141.1 | 215.9 | -35% | 194.9 |
| Total current liabilities | 187.0 | 227.3 | -18% | 194.9 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 1,435.7 | 1,426.4 | 1% | 1,424.1 |
Dividends
1. Quarterly dividends defined in USD from 2016. Annual dividends defined in NOK prior to 2016 – converted to USD with the FX rate at the ex-dividend dates
2. Yield based on share price at date of announcing the dividend. From 2016-18 yield is calulated using the average of the quarterly payments
- Quarterly dividend of USD 0.20 per share to be paid in Q3 2018
- Ex-date 9 August 2018
- Payment date 23 August 2018
- TGS aims to pay a cash dividend that is in line with its long-term underlying cash flow
- Ambition to keep a stable quarterly dividend through the year
- Actual quarterly dividend level paid will be subject to continuous evaluation of market outlook, cash flow expectations and balance sheet development
Outlook
Reserve replacement challenge
Slump in E&P spending… ….has exacerbated reserve replacement challenge
Strong alignment between TGS data and exploration activity
Increasing exploration activity in key TGS basins
High activity related to acreage turnover and farm-ins
Acreage turnover driving need for data
License Round Activity
Continued market volatility but with an upward trend
- Venezuela production continues to decline
- U.S. sanctions on Iran
- Low spare capacity among OPEC members
- Pipeline constraints in Permian
- New Permian infrastructure on-stream in mid-2019
- Record U.S. production level expected in 2018 with further growth expected in 2019
- OPEC / Russia production increase expected to balance most of Venezuela and Iran reductions
- Trade war / tariffs impact on economic growth
• Positive global demand outlook Global liquid production / consumption balance
Adding high data volumes at record low unit costs
- 1. Adjusted for mix in different data types from year to year by applying normalization factors, i.e. more advanced data types weigh more per unit than less advanced data.
-
2. Seismic acquisition investments. Excludes investments related to processing.
-
TGS has taken advantage of the market downturn to acquire large amounts of data at record low unit costs
- Positions the company well for an improved market with higher pricing for data
- 2018:
- Slight decline in marine volumes compensated by increase onshore
- Approximately 80% of guided investments committed currently
Backlog
Historical Backlog (MUSD) 2014 - 2018
2018 Projects Schedule*
NSA
EUR AMEAP
*Acquisition schedule excludes Fusion M-WAZ Reprocessing, other processing projects and GPS investments
Q2 2018 Summary
- Another strong quarter for TGS
- Net revenues of 158 MUSD
- EBIT of 54 MUSD EBIT margin of 34%
- Free cash flow of 55 MUSD cash balance of 338 MUSD
- 2018 guidance unchanged:
- New multi-client investments of approximately USD 260 million
- Pre-funding of new multi-client investments expected to be approximately 45%-50%
- Amortization expected to be approximately USD 310 million
- At the current stage of the cyclical upturn, growth is driven by cash flow and acreage turnover – next phase to be driven by budget increases and new projects
Appendix
Income Statement
IFRS Reporting
| (MUSD) | Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating revenues | 121.5 | 107.7 | 13% |
| Cost of goods sold | 0.1 | 0.3 | -64% |
| Amortization of multi-client library | 53.3 | 69.0 | -23% |
| Gross margin 56% |
68.1 | 38.4 | 78% |
| Personnel cost | 18.4 | 11.8 | 56% |
| Other operational costs | 9.2 | 6.0 | 53% |
| Cost of stock options | 0.0 | 0.1 | -100% |
| Depreciation | 2.2 | 2.4 | -7% |
| Operating result 32% |
38.3 | 18.1 | 112% |
| Net financial items | 1.7 | -1.1 | n/a |
| Result before taxes 33% |
40.0 | 17.0 | 135% |
| Tax cost 8% |
9.6 | 7.4 | 30% |
| Net income 25% |
30.4 | 9.6 | 217% |
| EPS (USD) | 0.30 | 0.09 | 216% |
| EPS fully diluted (USD) | 0.29 | 0.09 | 215% |
Balance Sheet
IFRS Reporting
| (MUSD) | Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | Change | Q4 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwill | 67.9 | 67.9 | 0% | 67.9 |
| Multi-client library | 846.3 | 812.2 | 4% | 799.0 |
| Deferred tax asset | 2.2 | 6.8 | -67% | 4.4 |
| Other non-current assets | 27.8 | 31.9 | -13% | 29.2 |
| Total non-current assets | 944.2 | 918.8 | 3% | 900.5 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 337.5 | 239.3 | 41% | 249.9 |
| Other current assets | 264.5 | 268.3 | -1% | 273.6 |
| Total current assets | 602.0 | 507.6 | 19% | 523.6 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 1,546.2 | 1,426.4 | 8% | 1,424.1 |
| Total equity | 1,138.1 | 1,160.9 | -2% | 1,200.1 |
| Deferred taxes | 6.6 | 32.9 | -80% | 23.7 |
| Non-current liabilities | 4.9 | 5.3 | -7% | 5.4 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 11.5 | 38.2 | -70% | 29.1 |
| Taxes payable, withheld payroll tax, social security | 42.2 | 11.4 | 269% | 25.2 |
| Other current liabilities | 354.4 | 215.9 | 64% | 169.7 |
| Total current liabilities | 396.6 | 227.3 | 75% | 194.9 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 1,546.2 | 1,426.4 | 8% | 1,424.1 |
Reconciliation
Segment Reporting versus IFRS Reporting
| Q2 2018 Income Statement (MUSD) | Segment Reporting |
Diff. | IFRS Reporting |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net revenues | 157.8 | -36.3 | 121.5 |
| Amortization and impairment of multi-client library | 73.7 | -20.4 | 53.3 |
| Total operating expenses | 103.6 | -20.4 | 83.2 |
| Net income | 46.3 | -15.9 | 30.4 |
| Segment | IFRS | ||
| Q2 2018 Balance sheet (MUSD) | Reporting | Diff. | Reporting |
| Multi-client library | 735.8 | 110.5 | 846.3 |
| Total non-current assets | 833.7 | 110.5 | 944.2 |
| Other equity | 1,221.7 | -87.3 | 1,134.4 |
| Total equity | 1,225.7 | -87.6 | 1,138.1 |
| Non-current liabilities | |||
| Deferred taxes | 18.2 | -11.5 | 6.6 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 21.1 | -11.6 | 9.5 |
| Accounts payable and debt to partners | 101.0 | -55.7 | 45.2 |
| Taxes payable, withheld payroll tax, social security | 45.9 | -3.7 | 42.2 |
| Other current liabilities | 40.1 | 269.1 | 309.2 |
| Total current liabilities | 187.0 | 209.6 | 396.6 |