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TGS ASA — Earnings Release 2017
Oct 26, 2017
3774_dirs_2017-10-26_73b380e6-965b-42da-9196-e7598cfdcb4b.pdf
Earnings Release
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Q3 2017 Earnings Release
CEO CFO 26 October 2017
Kristian Johansen Sven Børre Larsen
Forward-Looking Statements
All statements in this presentation other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove accurate. These factors include TGS' reliance on a cyclical industry and principal customers, TGS' ability to continue to expand markets for licensing of data, and TGS' ability to acquire and process data products at costs commensurate with profitability. Actual results may differ materially from those expected or projected in the forward-looking statements. TGS undertakes no responsibility or obligation to update or alter forward-looking statements for any reason.
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Q3 2017 Highlights
- Q3 net revenues of 142 MUSD, up 25% from Q3 2016
- Net late sales of 79 MUSD, up 18% from 67 MUSD in Q3 2016
- Net pre-funding revenues of 62 MUSD were up 58% from Q3 2016, funding 54% of TGS' operational multi-client investments for the quarter
- Operational multi-client investments of 114 MUSD in addition to 1 MUSD from risk sharing arrangements
- Operating profit for the quarter was 26 MUSD compared to 11 MUSD in Q3 2016
- Cash flow from operations at 86 MUSD compared to 91 MUSD in Q3 2016
- Cash balance of 205 MUSD in addition to undrawn 75 MUSD Revolving Credit Facility
- Quarterly dividend maintained at USD 0.15 per share
Operational Highlights
Q3 2017 Operations
Q3 Activity – U.S. Gulf of Mexico
Fusion M-WAZ reimaging program
- M-WAZ reimaging program in collaboration with Schlumberger in Mississippi Canyon, Atwater Valley and Ewing bank areas
- ~27,000 km2 (1,166 OCS blocks ) 3D M-WAZ data previously acquired by TGS and Schlumberger between 2008 and 2012
- Reimaging is >70% complete with final data delivery mid-2018
Otos multibeam and seep study
- ~289,000 km2 multibeam acquisition completed in early Q2; acquisition of 350 cores and associated advanced geochemistry analysis will complete in Q4
- Designed to mirror the successful Gigante multibeam and seep study in the Mexican GOM
Q3 Activity – East Canada
Newfoundland Labrador 2D – 2017 Season
• 22,000 km multi-client 2D survey infilling and extending existing JV* data in the region; targeting 2019 and 2020 Sectors of the Scheduled Land Tenure
Newfoundland Labrador 3D
- ~18,000 km2 multi-client 3D covering a mix of held and open acreage within the 2018 and 2019 Sectors of the Scheduled Land Tenure
- Long Range 3D
- East Flemish Pass 3D Phase II
- Harbour Deep 3D
- Cape Broyle 3D
Well positioned for future licensing rounds
• Following the most active year ever in this region, the TGS/PGS JV library will exceed 175,000 km of 2D data and 29,250 km2 of 3D data in addition to 83,700 km of TGS vintage data, an expansive well log library and advanced multi-client interpretation products
* In JV with PGS
Q3 Activity – Norway
AM17 Atlantic Margin 3D
- 40,000 km2 project in the central-southern Norwegian Sea largest 3D survey carried out by any company in Northern Europe
- Covers largely open blocks in a relatively under-explored area with limited drilling to date
- Several underlying blocks included in the 24th licensing round
- Acquisition in 2017 and 2018
Carlsen 3D
- 5,490 km2 multi-client survey located in the Southwest Barents Sea
- Open acreage with blocks included in the 24th licensing round
- Acquisition completed in Q3 2017
Q3 Activity – Ireland
Crean 3D - Ireland
- ~5,400 km2 multi-client survey located in the South Porcupine Basin between the Porcupine High and the Irish Mainland Platform
- Adding to TGS's Atlantic Margin offering building on the exploration success on the Newfoundland Labrador conjugate margin coupled with historical exploration in Atlantic Ireland
- Acquisition completed in October 2017
Q3 Activity - U.S. Land
West Kermit 3D
- 1,050 km2 high-resolution 3D multi-client project in Loving and Winkler counties, TX, in the Delaware basin
- Data acquisition expected to complete in Q4 2017
Geary 3D
- 200 km2 high-resolution 3D multi-client project in the SCOOP & STACK play in the Anadarko Basin, OK
- Data acquisition expected to complete in Q4 2017
Permian Well Database
- Comprehensive Permian well database announced to clients in Q1 2017
- Expanded to ~460,000 wells in Q3 2017 (including validated well headers and digital LAS) supported by multiple interpretive products
Financials
Net Revenues
Late sales revenues
26 15 27 58% Y/Y
Prefunding revenues
Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017
Proprietary revenues
Total revenues
Net Revenue Breakdown
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Operating Expenses, EBIT, Free Cash Flow
230 62 69 74 92 62 69 95 0 50 100 150 200 250 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 67% - rate
Amortization and impairment
* Defined as cash flow from operational activities minus operational cash investments in multi-client projects
EBIT *
Multi-Client Library
Operational investments* and prefunding ratio
*Operational investments excluding risk-sharing arrangements
Investments – year of completion
Net revenues vs net book value – year of completion
Q3 2017 Income Statement
| USD million, except EPS | Q3 2017 | Q3 2016 | Change in % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net revenues | 142 | 113 | 25% | |
| Cost of goods sold – proprietary and other | 0.2 | 5 | -97% | |
| Amortization of multi-client library | 67% | 95 | 74 | 27% |
| Gross margin | 47 | 34 | 38% | |
| Personnel costs | 13 | 12 | 10% | |
| Other operating expenses | 6 | 8 | -23% | |
| Cost of stock options | 0.1 | 0.2 | -75% | |
| Depreciation | 2 | 3 | -37% | |
| Operating profit | 18% | 26 | 11 | 140% |
| Net financial items | 1 | 2 | -48% | |
| Profit before taxes | 19% | 27 | 13 | 108% |
| Taxes | 18 | 11 | 56% | |
| Net Income | 7% | 9 | 2 | 441% |
| EPS, Undiluted | 0.09 | 0.02 | 441% | |
| EPS, Fully Diluted | 0.09 | 0.02 | 441% |
Q3 2017 Cash Flow Statement
| USD million | Q3 2017 | Q3 2016 | Change in % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Received payments from customers | 115 | 110 | 4% |
| Payments for operational expenses | (26) | (25) | -4% |
| Paid taxes | (2) | 6 | -141% |
| Operational cash flow | 86 | 91 | -6% |
| Investments in tangible and intangible assets | (1) | (2) | 15% |
| Investments in multi-client library | (105) | (62) | -69% |
| Interest received | 0.8 | 0.7 | 18% |
| Interest paid | (0.04) | (0.03) | -52% |
| Dividend payments | (15) | (17) | 9% |
| Proceeds from share issuances | - | - | N/A |
| Change in cash balance | -35 | 11 | -411% |
©2017 TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA. All rights reserved
Balance Sheet
| USD million | Q3 2017 | Q2 2017 | Change in % | Q4 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | ||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 205 | 239 | -14% | 191 |
| Other current assets | 272 | 268 | 1% | 353 |
| Total current assets | 477 | 508 | -6% | 544 |
| Intangible assets and deferred tax asset | 82 | 84 | -2% | 86 |
| Other non-current assets | 0.5 | 2 | -73% | 11 |
| Multi-client library | 838 | 812 | 3% | 812 |
| Fixed assets | 21 | 21 | -3% | 23 |
| Total Assets | 1,418 | 1,426 | -1% | 1,477 |
| Liabilities | ||||
| Current liabilities | 223 | 227 | -2% | 262 |
| Non-current liabilities | 5 | 5 | -8% | 6 |
| Deferred tax liability | 33 | 33 | -1% | 39 |
| Total Liabilities | 261 | 265 | -2% | 307 |
| Equity | 1,157 | 1,161 | 0% | 1,169 |
| Total Liabilities and Equity | 1,418 | 1,426 | -1% | 1,477 |
Dividend stable at USD 0.15 per share
- Shareholder authorization to distribute quarterly dividend payments
- Aim to keep a stable quarterly dividend through the year
- Actual quarterly dividend level paid will be subject to continuous evaluation of market outlook, cash flow expectations and balance sheet development
- Q4 2017: USD 0.15 per share to be paid on 16 November 2017
- Shares will trade ex-dividend on 2 November 2017
Outlook
Oil market uncertainty to persist in the short-term
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Early indications of modest E&P spending growth in 2018
- Most market analysts expect E&P spending growth of 0 to 10% in 2018
- Flattish development in offshore spending expected but substantial variation (i.e. uncertainty) in estimates
Current exploration activity not sustainable
©2017 TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA. All rights reserved
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Upstream cost is coming down
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Base-case estimate of Brent price required to remain cash flow neutral (accumulate no additional debt) between 2017 and 2019 for more than 50 of the world's leading oil companies, as estimated by Wood Mackenzie. Includes upstream costs and pro-rated shareholder distributions. Excludes downstream cash flow
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Year-to-date for 2017
Backlog down following busy quarter
Historical Backlog (MUSD) 2013 - 2017
2017 Projects Schedule*
EUR AMEAP NSA
*Acquisition schedule excludes Fusion M-WAZ Reprocessing, other processing projects and GPS investments
License Round Activity and TGS Positioning
North & South America
- Central & Western GOM Mar & Aug (2017-22 Plan)
- Newfoundland Labrador 2017 round delayed; call for 2018 nominations open
- Nova Scotia Dec 2017 (3-Year Rolling Plan)
- Canada Onshore at least monthly
- Brazil Pre-salt rounds Oct 2017; 15th Round H1 2018
- Mexico Round 2.4 (deep water)- Jan 2018; Round 3.1 (shallow) Mar 2018
Africa, Middle East, Asia Pacific
- Ongoing uncertainty on timing of African licensing rounds
- Australia Feb & Mar 2018 (bids due)
- New Zealand May 2018 (nominations due)
- Indonesia Nov 2017 (bids due)
Europe / Russia
- Norway APA early 2018 (awards due)
- Norway 24th Round Nov 2017 (bids due)
- UK 30th Round Nov 2017 (bids due)
- Greenland Dec 2017 & 2018 (bids due)
Summary
- Q3 net revenues of 142 MUSD
- Q3 EBIT of 26 MUSD
- Cash balance of 205 MUSD in addition to undrawn 75 MUSD Revolving Credit Facility
- Quarterly dividend maintained at USD 0.15 per share
- Oil market uncertainty to persist in short-term
- Long-term future of asset-light, focused multi-client business remains strong
- Cost control, disciplined counter-cyclical investment and balance sheet strength positions TGS to enhance its leading position
- 2017 guidance (as updated 23 May 2017):
- New multi-client investments of approximately USD 260 million
- Additional multi-client investments expected from sales of existing surveys with risk sharing arrangements
- Pre-funding of new multi-client investments expected to be approximately 40%-45%