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Tethys Oil

Earnings Release Feb 9, 2016

3117_10-k_2016-02-09_b61acffe-e539-4d49-8fee-d7c7d9c7dbc4.pdf

Earnings Release

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Fourth quarter report 2015 1

  • Production amounted to 10,956 barrels per day, up 9 per cent compared to the third quarter 2015
  • Revenue amounted to MSEK 222, down 13 per cent compared to third quarter 2015
  • Net result amounted to MSEK 27, down 65 per cent compared to the third quarter 2015
  • Earnings per share amounted to SEK 0.78 during fourth quarter 2015
  • The board of directors propose to the annual meeting a dividend of SEK 1.00 per share
  • As per 31 December 2015 audited reserves Block 3&4 Oman net to Tethys:
  • o 1P reserves 12,905 thousand barrels (11,794)
  • o 2P reserves 18,244 thousand barrels (17,779)
  • o 3P reserves 27,863 thousand barrels (25,080)
  • The increase in 2P reserves represents an internal reserve replacement ratio of 113 per cent
  • Seven new wells completed during the quarter on Blocks 3 and 4
  • New reservoir, the Lower Khufai in the Shahd field, boosts production
Fourth Third Fourth Full Full
quarter quarter quarter year year
2014 2015 2015 MSEK (unless specifically stated) 2015 2014
8,350 10,087 10,956 Net daily production before government take (bbl) 9,804 7,692
434,035 584,399 366,746 Net barrels sold, after government take (bbl) 1,805,056 1,464,228
97.09 61.77 47.90 Average selling price per barrel, USD 58.09 103.87
281 255 222 Revenue 905 1,027
181 153 113 EBITDA 496 743
-5 76 30 Operating result 194 393
-1 78 27 Result for the period 198 340
372 485 436 Net cash 436 372
101 85 79 Investments in oil and gas properties 324 259
-0.02 2.23 0.78 Earnings per share, SEK 5.66 9.56

1 Tethys Oil has made changes to its accounting principles with regard to valuation of underlift and allocation and presentation of over- and underlift compared to previous reports, which has had an effect on current as well as historic financial data. Historical financial data has been restated in accordance with the new accounting principles. Please see page 17 and section "Accounting principles" for more information.

Letter to shareholders

Dear Friends and Investors

Also in this fourth quarter report, events outside of our control - movements in the oil price - have had a large impact on our results. The oil price has fallen for 18 months and as we entered January 2016, the fall accelerated before bouncing in mid January. At the time of writing, there are signs that the week of January 15 saw the bottom of the downturn. Irrespective of whether we have seen the low of the cycle or not, I strongly believe we are close in time to the end of the down turn. Prices will bottom out and stabilize. At what level prices will stabilize and how quickly they rise again is a different matter. In any case, Tethys will be able to continue to generate a positive gross profit also at prices below 30 dollars per barrel!

Strong production growth

Now, turning to more pleasant subject, namely events that are under our control. A year ago, we believed that we had every reason to expect our production to continue to increase also in 2015. And in fact, in 2015 we produced more oil than ever before. Our oil production increased at an average pace of over seven per cent each quarter, and by the end of the year, we had produced 31 per cent more oil in the fourth quarter 2015 than we did in the last quarter 2014. And, just like the oil price but in the opposite direction, the rate of increase accelerated in January and average daily production for the year's first month surpassed 12,000 barrels!

The recent surge is primarily related to the successful bringing on stream of a new reservoir within the Shahd field, the Lower Khufai Carbonates. This new reservoir has responded very well to horizontal drilling, and is dramatically complementing the other primary producer in Shahd field, the Buah layer.

Reserves continue to increase

A year ago we were also optimistic that our reserve numbers would continue to increase also in 2015. And indeed our 2P reserve replacement ratio stands at 113 per cent. The 1P number is even better showing an increase in absolute numbers of more than one million barrels underscoring the robustness of our producing reserves. So having moved reserves from 3P into 2P and 1P we are happy to note a 3P number of 27.9 million barrels as we enter 2016, showing an increase of almost 3 million barrels for the year after taking account of the 3.5 million barrels produced in 2015.

Continued positive financial results

Our average selling price fell 22 per cent quarter on quarter down to USD 47.9 per barrel. In the fourth quarter, we report revenues of MSEK 222. Our EBITDA for the quarter amounted to MSEK 113. Our cash flow from operations amounted to MSEK 23, and our net result amounted to MSEK 27. Our net cash stood at MSEK 436 as per 31 December 2015.

Outlook

Our two Blocks onshore the desert of the Sultanate of Oman have turned into a world class asset. A few years ago we described the Blocks as a smorgasbord of opportunity – and what a buffet they have turned into. With the addition of production from the Lower Khufai, we have shown that the Blocks hold massive potential for growth. The Buah overlays the Khufai and both reservoirs are present in large parts at least of the eastern area of the Blocks.

As exploration and appraisal continues in 2016 within and close to the producing areas in all three fields, we have every reason to believe that much more oil can be found. With the successful bringing on stream of the new reservoir within the Shahd field, a water injection programme in the Buah layer showing signs of working combined with a steady production on Farha South field, we also believe that production will continue to increase during 2016. As the production from the new reservoirs is optimized, the production for individual months will fluctuate, and possibly show more volatility than during 2015. And commencing in April, planned maintenance work at first in Farha South and then in Shahd will lead to temporary production disruption. Our focus on cash flow will continue, and the work programme will be continually monitored to stay optimized in relation to oil prices.

Our balance sheet remains one of the strongest of our peer group and as the oil price has fallen further, our relative strength has increased. There is a lot of opportunity out there. We are well positioned and are

continuously evaluating new projects. We continue to be a cash dividend company, and propose a dividend of SEK 1 per share. Depending on how oil prices, production levels investments and other events unfold we will continually evaluate the sense in distributing more cash to shareholders in accordance with our long term financial goals.

So stay with us, we expect that Tethys will produce a fair amount of oil, at least in relativity terms, but most likely not enough to influence the international oil price.

Stockholm in February 2016

Magnus Nordin Managing director

FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL REVIEW2

Production and net sales

Production

Tethys Oil's core area is the Sultanate of Oman, where the company holds a 30 per cent interest in Blocks 3 and 4. Tethys Oil also has interests in three licenses onshore Lithuania and two licenses onshore France. The primary production comes from the three fields; Farha South, Shahd and Saiwan East in Oman. The production growth of around 9 per cent quarter on quarter and 31 per cent year on year has been in line with expectations and has mainly been driven by the on-going implementation of the water injection programme on Farha South and from the successful exploration and appraisal results on the Shahd oil field. Tethys Oil has additional production in Lithuania.

Tethys Oil's share of quarterly volumes,
before government take*
Q4 2015 Q3 2015 Q2 2015 Q1 2015 Q4 2014
Oman, Block 3 and 4
Production 997,904 918,474 848,939 774,315 757,730
Average daily production 10,847 9,983 9,329 8,604 8,236
Lithuania, Gargzdai
Production 10,007 9,573 9,514 9,892 10,496
Average daily production 109 104 105 110 114
Total production 1,007,782 928,047 858,453 784,207 768,226
Total average daily production 10,956 10,087 9,434 8,713 8,350

*Tethys Oil's share of production from Blocks 3 and 4 is currently 52 per cent after government take of total net production. The basis of production sharing is further explained in the Annual Report 2014.

Tethys Oil's monthly average of daily production

2 The consolidated financial statements of the Tethys Oil Group (Hereafter referred to as "Tethys Oil" "Tethys" or the "Group"), where Tethys Oil AB (publ) (the "Company") with organisational number 556615-8266 is the parent company, are hereby presented for the fourth quarter of 2015 and twelve months period ending 31 December 2015. Segments of the Group are geographical markets. The numbers in the tables in this report may not add exactly due to rounding.

The interest in the three Lithuanian licences are indirectly held through a shareholding in two Danish private companies, which in turn hold shares in Lithuanian companies holding 100 per cent of the licences. The two companies are not consolidated in Tethys Oils financial statements and are therefore only presented in the balance sheet under Investments in associates and in the income statement as Net profit/loss from associates. The above graph shows the company's growth in average daily production from 1 October 2014 to 31 December 2015.

Reserves

Oman

Tethys Oil's net working interest reserves in the Sultanate of Oman as per 31 December 2015, amounted to 12,905 thousand barrels of oil ("mbo") of proven reserves (1P), 18,244 mbo of proven and probable reserves (2P) and 27,863 mbo of proven, probable and possible reserves (3P).

Development of reserves

(Audited by DeGolyer and MacNaughton Canada Limited)
Mbo 1P 2P 3P
Total
31 Dec 2014
11,794 17,779 25,080
Production 2015 -3,540 -3,540 -3,540
Revisions 4,651 4,005 6,323
Total 31 Dec 2015 12,905 18,244 27,863

In 2015 Tethys Oil added 1P reserves of 4,651 mbo, representing an increase of 39 per cent. The company added 2P reserves 4,005 mbo, representing an increase of 23 per cent. The 3P reserves increased with 6,323 mbo, representing an increase of 25 per cent. The increase in 2P reserves represents an internal reserve replacement ratio of 113 per cent.

Reserves, 31 December 2015

(Audited by DeGolyer and MacNaughton Canada Limited)
Mbo 1P 2P 3P
Farha South Field, Oman 7,581 10,249 12,683
Shahd Oil Field, Oman 4,947 6,841 11,984
Saiwan East Field, Oman 377 1,154 3,196
Total* 12,905 18,244 27,863

*Numbers may not add up due to rounding.

The review of the reserves in Oman has been conducted by independent petroleum consultant DeGolyer and MacNaughton Canada Limited ("DMCL"). The report has been estimated using 2007 Petroleum Resources Management System (PRMS), Guidelines of the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE), World Petroleum Council (WPC), American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG) and Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers (SPEE).

Revenue*

Revenue Q4 2015 Q3 2015 Q2 2015 Q1 2015 Q4 2014
Barrels sold, bbl 366,746 584,399 545,019 308,892 434,035
Underlift (overlift) movement, bbl 152,164 (106,793) (103,571) 93,752 (40,015)
Oil price, USD/bbl 47.90 61.77 57.77 63.80 97.09
Implied SEK/USD exchange rate 8.61 8.50 8.41 8.29 7.35
Net sales, MSEK 151 307 265 163 310
Underlift (overlift), MSEK 70 -52 -42 41 -29
Revenue, MSEK 222 255 223 205 281

*Please see note 1 for information regarding change in accounting principles.

Fourth quarter revenue is down 13 per cent compared to third quarter revenue and the main reason is the decline in oil prices which are down 22 per cent between the quarters. There has been a significant anticipated reduction in overlift during the fourth quarter, as opposed to an increase in overlift during second and third quarter 2015.

During the fourth quarter 2015, Tethys Oil sold 366,746 barrels of oil from Blocks 3 and 4 in Oman, representing 37 per cent decrease in comparison with the third quarter of 2015 when 584,399 barrels of oil were sold. This resulted in net sales during the fourth quarter 2015 of MSEK 151 compared to MSEK 307 during the third quarter 2015. In addition to Net sales, there has been an adjustment for underlift amounting to MSEK 70, which together with Net sales adds up to Revenue of MSEK 222.

Sale quantities for oil sales are nominated two months in advance and are not based upon the actual production in a month; as a result, sales quantities can be above or below production quantities. Where the sales quantity exceeds the quantity of barrels produced an overlift position occurs and where it is less, an underlift position occurs. The overlift position increased during the second and third quarters, but was significantly reduced during the fourth quarter. The total underlift position as per 31 December 2015 is 22,725 barrels. The valuation of both over and underlift is based on market price as from the fourth quarter 2015. (for more information please see page 17 under section Accounting principles). The comparative periods have been restated to reflect the change in accounting principle.

Tethys Oil sells all of its oil through Mitsui Energy Trading Singapore, which is part of Mitsui & Co Ltd. All oil sales come from Blocks 3 and 4 Oman and are made on a monthly basis. The selling price is the monthly average of the two month future price for Omani blend.

The average selling price amounted to USD 47.90 per barrel during the fourth quarter 2015, 22 per cent lower than in the third quarter 2015. The average price for Dated Brent oil for the period amounted to USD 43.66 per barrel. The average exchange rate of US dollar in relation to SEK during the fourth quarter has been stable and amounted to SEK 8.56 per USD.

Result

Tethys Oil reports a net result after tax for the fourth quarter 2015 of MSEK 27, representing earnings per share of SEK 0.78. The result for the fourth quarter 2015 is down 65 per cent compared to the third quarter 2015. Net result is mainly down due to lower oil prices, which has created lower results on all levels as expenditures are in line or higher compared to the previous quarter.

Operating expenses
Operating expenses Q4 2015 Q3 2015 Q2 2015 Q1 2015 Q4 2014
Production costs, MSEK 89 84 60 81 81
Well workovers, MSEK 13 11 14 11 11
Total operating expenses, MSEK 102 95 74 92 92
Operating expenses per barrel, USD 11.9 12.1 10.3 14.4 16.9

Operating expenses during the fourth quarter 2015 amounted to MSEK 102 compared to MSEK 94 during the third quarter 2015. Operating expenses are related to oil and gas production on Block 3 and 4 in Oman, and comprise expenses for field staff, expenses related to maintenance, well workovers and interventions and administration.

Operating expenses per barrel throughout 2014 and 2015 is in the range USD 10 - 16 per barrel. Of these costs, around 50-60 per cent is field related production costs, i.e. excluding costs for work over rigs, office costs etc.

The increase in operating expenses is in line with the increased levels of production although this has resulted in the operating costs per barrel decreasing over a twelve month period. Tethys Oil expects to see operating expenses per barrels to decrease in 2016 as most operating expenses are fixed and that production is expected to continue to grow.

DD&A Q4 2015 Q3 2015 Q2 2015 Q1 2015 Q4 2014
DD&A, MSEK 83 77 70 63 50
DD&A, MUSD 10 9 8 8 8
DD&A per barrel, USD 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 10.3

Depletion, depreciation and amortisation

Depletion, depreciation and amortisation ("DD&A") for the fourth quarter 2015 amounted to MSEK 83 compared to MSEK 77 for the third quarter 2015. The DD&A charge relates to Blocks 3 and 4 Oman and the increase is explained by higher production.

Net back
Net back, USD/bbl Q4 2015 Q3 2015 Q2 2015 Q1 2015 Q4 2014
Oil price achieved (sales barrels) 47.9 61.8 57.8 63.8 97.1
Revenue (after government take) 24.9 32.1 30.0 33.2 50.5
Operating expenses 11.9 12.1 10.3 14.3 16.9
Net back 13.0 20.0 19.7 18.8 33.6

The net back per barrel has mainly been driven by the oil price development, which has continuously declined since second half of 2014.

Net profit from associated companies

Tethys Oil holds indirect interest in the three Lithuanian licences; Gargzdai, Rietavas and Raseiniai, through associated companies Jylland Olie and Odin Energi. The result from Tethys Oil's share in these associated companies during the fourth quarter 2015 amounted to MSEK 3 compared to MSEK -2 during the third quarter 2015. There has been a long term trend of declining production from Gargzdai, which is in line with expectations. Reduced revenues following the fall in oil price has led to cost reduction measures being introduced.

Administrative expenses

Administrative expenses amounted to MSEK 10 for the fourth quarter 2015 compared to MSEK 7 during the third quarter 2015. Administrative expenses are mainly salaries, rents, listing costs and external services. Administrative expenses have been relatively stable between the quarters during the year with the exception of the second quarter 2015 where costs related to the incentive programme for employees increased the administrative expenses.

Tax

In Oman, Tethys Oil's oil and gas operations are governed by an Exploration and Production Sharing Agreement (EPSA) whereby Tethys Oil receives its share of oil after government take. Under the terms of the EPSA, Tethys Oil is subject to Omani income taxes and royalties which are paid in full, on behalf of Tethys Oil, from the government share of oil. As Omani income tax is not paid directly by Tethys Oil but is taken in kind, these taxes are not presented in the income statement.

Net financial result

The result for the full year 2015 has been impacted by net foreign exchange losses and fees on long term debt. The net currency exchange effect of the group amounts to MSEK 21 and most of the effect relates to the stronger US dollar in relation to the Swedish krona. Currency translation differences recorded on loans between the parent company and subsidiaries are non-cash related items. Interest and fees related to the credit facility amounted to MSEK 8 and other financial expenditures amounted to MSEK 10. The currency exchange effect and fees on long term debt is part of net financial result amounting to MSEK 4 for the full year.

Investments and work programme

Summary of oil and gas interests (MSEK):

Book value Book value Investments
Country 31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2014 Jan-Dec 2015
Oman 1,625 1,296 348
Lithuania - - -
France - - -
New 1 - 1
ventures
Total 1,625 1,303 348

Blocks 3 and 4

During the fourth quarter 2015, total investments amounted to MSEK 79 of which almost all relate to Blocks 3 and 4. Investments during the fourth quarter have been in line with the third quarter. There has been an increased focus on development and production drilling during the year.

Investments Block 3 and 4, MSEK Q4 2015 Q3 2015 Q2 2015 Q1 2015 Q4 2014
Drilling - Exploration/Appraisal 7 7 4 30 35
Drilling – Development 50 36 38 16 17
G&G 7 9 45 21 38
Facilities 23 22 14 15 29
Pipeline 3 7 4 16 18
Other capex -12 7 -55 33 -39
Total investments Blocks 3 and 4 79 88 50 130 98

In the fourth quarter 2015, the drilling programme were focused on the Shahd oil field with four rigs in operations on the field. A total of seven wells were completed during the quarter on the Shahd Oil field, including three production wells, three water injection wells and one water source well. Horizontal legs were also drilled in one production well and one injection well. All production wells have encountered oil. The water injection programme on the Shahd field is showing signs of working, but the evaluation of the impact of the injection programme will continue.

In the end of the fourth quarter, a new reservoir within the Shahd field, the Lower Khufai Carbonates, was successfully brought on stream. This new reservoir has responded very well to horizontal drilling, and was a major reason for the production increase in December 2015 and after the reporting period in January 2016.

A new rig was put in operations in November 2015, making it a total of five rigs including a work over rig in operations on the Blocks.

The data from the seismic acquisition in the northwest corner of Block 4 has been processed and the interpretation will now start.

Associated companies

Lithuania

As per 31 December 2015 the shareholding in the two associated Danish companies holding the interest in Lithuanian licenses, amounted to MSEK 15 (MSEK 41). For more information regarding the ownership structure, please refer to Annual report 2014. The reduction in book value is an effect of the net result for the full year 2015 and more importantly the received dividend during the period, which amounted to MSEK 23. The book value related to Minijos Nafta (Gargzdai) is zero and as there are no liabilities related to Minijos Nafta Tethys Oil does not recognize any negative net result. Unrecognized net result during 2015 from Minijos Nafta amounted to MSEK -8.

The long term production testing of the exploration well Tidikas-1 on the Raseiniai licence has continued. Tidikaas-1 was successfully completed in the third quarter 2015. Cores taken from both Tidikas-1 and Bedgunis-1, the other well drilled on the licence in 2015, have been sent for analysis to further study the active petroleum systems within this license. The location of further wells on the licence will be determined after more information has been gained through the long term production test of the Tidikas-1 well and the analysis of the cores.

In the Rietavas licence, mapping of the 30 square kilometres 3D and 15 square kilometres 2D seismic surveys has been completed.

Liquidity and financing

Cash and bank and Net cash3 as per 31 December 2015 amounted to MSEK 436 compared to MSEK 372 as per 31 December 2014. During the quarter the company has repaid MSEK 85 to the company's credit facility which was temporarily utilized at the end of the third quarter 2015.

3 Net cash equals cash and bank less interest bearing debt.

Tethys Oil distributed MSEK 106 to shareholders in the form of a dividend (SEK 1 per share) and share redemption (SEK 2 per share) in line with the approval granted at the AGM 2015. Furthermore, the share repurchase programme added MSEK 42 to the distribution of capital to shareholders.

During the full year 2015, the cash flow from operations amounted to MSEK 503 and investments in oil and gas amounted to MSEK 348. Including the dividend received from Lithuanian assets, the cash flow from operations after investments amounted to MSEK 179. For the fourth quarter 2015 the cash flow from operations after investments amounted to MSEK -56 related mainly through the anticipated reduction in sales in the fourth quarter due to the reversal of the overlift position.

The Blocks 3 and 4 investment budget 2016 will continue to focus on development and appraisal. Following the oil price development, Tethys Oil's investment plans, including the capex budget, for 2016 will be closely monitored and subject to on-going revisions. The target is to fund investments on Blocks 3 and 4 from available funds and from cash flow from operations.

Tethys Oil's operations in Lithuania are expected to be self-financed from available cash in the associated Lithuanian companies.

A large part of cash and cash equivalents are held in USD which has appreciated against SEK during the full year 2015. The currency exchange effect on cash and cash equivalents amounted during the full year 2015 to MSEK 32.

Parent company

The Parent company reports a net result after tax for the fourth quarter 2015 amounting to MSEK 311 compared to MSEK 4 for the third quarter 2015. Administrative expenses amounted to MSEK 5 for the fourth quarter 2015 compared to MSEK 4 for the third quarter 2015. Administrative expenses have been stable between the quarters during the year with the exception of the second quarter 2015 where costs relating to the incentive programme for employees were included. Net financial result amounted to MSEK 311 during the fourth quarter 2015 compared to MSEK 6 for the third quarter 2015. The reason behind the strong net financial result and the equivalently strong net result is an anticipated dividend from the wholly owned subsidiary Tethys Oil Blocks 3&4 Ltd.

Share data

As per 31 December 2015, the number of outstanding shares in Tethys Oil amount to 35,543,750, with a quota value of SEK 0.17. All shares represent one vote each. The company has the same number of shares at 31 December 2015 as at 31 December 2014.

As per 31 December 2015, Tethys Oil held 1,083,669 of its own shares which have been purchased since commencement of the programme during the fourth quarter 2014. During the fourth quarter 2015 the company repurchased 219 519 shares at an average price of SEK 58.9. Repurchased shares are still part of the total number of outstanding shares but however not included in the number of weighted shares in circulation, which amount to 34,964,288 for the twelve months period ending 31 December 2015 and 34,574,539 shares for the three months period ending 31 December 2015.

There have been no further repurchase of shares after 31 December 2015.

Seasonal effects

Tethys Oil has no significant seasonal variations.

Risks and uncertainties

A statement of risk and uncertainties are presented in note 1, page 18.

Transactions with related parties

There have been no transactions with related parties during the full year 2015, nor for any comparative periods.

Dividend

The board of directors propose to the annual meeting a dividend of SEK 1.00 per share.

Subsequent events

Tethys' share of the production, before government take, from Blocks 3 and 4 onshore the Sultanate of Oman amounted in January 2016 to 391,534 barrels of oil, corresponding to 12,630 barrels of oil per day.

As per 31 December 2015 audited reserves Block 3&4 Oman net to Tethys:

  • o 1P reserves 12,905 thousand barrels (11,794)
  • o 2P reserves 18,244 thousand barrels (17,779)
  • o 3P reserves 27,863 thousand barrels (25,080)

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME IN SUMMARY

Fourth
quarter
Third
quarter
Fourth
quarter
Full
year
Full
year
2014 2015 2015 MSEK Note 2015 2014
281 255 222 Revenue 3 905 1,027
-92 -94 -102 Operating expenses -362 -255
189 161 120 Gross profit 543 772
-50 -77 -83 Depletion, depreciation and amortisation -293 -214
-1 - - Exploration costs -9 -1
-134 -2 3 Net profit/loss from associates -3 -133
-8 -7 -10 Administrative expenses 8 -44 -31
-5 76 30 Operating result 194 393
4 2 -3 Net financial result 4 4 -53
-1 78 27 Result before tax 198 340
- - - Income tax - -
-1 78 27 Result for the period 198 340
Other comprehensive result
Items that may be subsequently reclassified
to profit or loss:
131 42 11 Currency translation differences 136 245
131 42 11 Other comprehensive result for the
period
136 245
130 120 38 Total comprehensive result for the
period
334 585
35,543,750 35,543,750 35,543,750 Number of shares outstanding 35,543,750 35,543,750
35,543,750 35,543,750 35,543,750 Number of shares outstanding (after
dilution)
35,543,750 35,543,750
35,466,648 34,903,423 34 574 539 Weighted number of shares 34,964,288 35,524,316
-0.02 2.23 0.78 Earnings per share, SEK 5.66 9.56
-0.02 2.23 0.78 Earnings per share (after dilution), SEK 5.66 9.56

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET IN SUMMARY

MSEK Note 31 Dec
2015
30 Sep
2015
31 Dec
2014
ASSETS
Non current assets
Oil and gas properties 5 1,625 1,489 1,303
Office equipment 1 1 1
Investment in associates 15 11 41
Other long term receivables 3
1,644
3
1,502
-
1,345
Current assets
Other receivables 69 69 80
Prepaid expenses 16 2 19
Cash and cash equivalents 436 570 372
521 640 471
TOTAL ASSETS 2,165 2,142 1,816
SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY AND
LIABILITIES
Shareholders' equity
Share capital 6 6 6
Additional paid in capital 552 552 552
Other reserves 295 294 200
Retained earnings 1,012 986 917
Total shareholders' equity 1,864 1,838 1,675
Non current liabilities
Loan facility 6 - 70 -
Other non current liabilities 7 34 30 25
34 99 25
Current liabilities
Accounts payable 1 1 2
Accrued expenses 167 200 112
Other current liabilities 99 4 0
267 205 115
Total liabilities 300 304 141
TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
AND LIABILITIES
2,165 2,142 1,816
Pledged assets 9 1,813 1,773 1,789
Contingent liabilities 10 - - -
MSEK Share Paid in Other Retained Total
capital capital reserves earnings equity
Opening balance 1 January 2014 6 552 -27 569 1,100
Change in accounting principles (note 1) - - - 9 9
Restated opening balance 1 January 2014 6 552 -27 578 1,109
Comprehensive income
Result full year 2014 - - - 340 340
Year end result - - - 340 340
Other Comprehensive income
Currency translation differences 2014 - - 245 - 245
Total other comprehensive income - - 245 - 245
Total comprehensive income - - 219 919 1,694
Transactions with owners
Purchase of own shares - - -20 - -20
Total transactions with owners - - -20 - -20
Closing balance 31 December 2014 6 552 200 919 1,675
Opening balance 1 January 2015 6 552 200 919 1,675
Comprehensive income
Result for the first quarter 2015 - - - 63 63
Result for the second quarter 2015 - - - 30 30
Result for the third quarter 2015 - - - 78 78
Result for the fourth quarter 2015 - - - 27 27
Period result - - - 198 198
Other Comprehensive income
Currency translation differences first quarter 2015 - - 177 - 177
Currency translation differences second quarter 2015 - - -94 - -94
Currency translation differences third quarter 2015 - - 42 - 42
Currency translation differences fourth quarter 2015 - - 11 - 11
Total other comprehensive income - - 136 - 136
Total comprehensive income - - 136 1,117 1,253
Transactions with owners
Purchase of own shares - - -42 - -42
Dividends paid - - - -35 -35
Share redemption - - - -70 -70
Incentive programme - - - 3 3
Total transactions with owners - - -42 -102 -144
Closing balance 31 December 2015 6 552 295 1,012 1,864

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN EQUITY IN SUMMARY

CONSOLIDATED CASH FLOW STATEMENT IN SUMMARY

Fourth
quarter
2014
Third
quarter
2015
Fourth
quarter
2015
MSEK
Note
Full
year
2015
Full
year
2014
Cash flow from operations
14 68 30 Operating result 194 404
0 0 0 Interest received 0 0
-2 -2 -2 Interest paid
4
-8 -44
- - - Income tax - -
1 9 - Adjustment for exploration costs 9 1
158 82 54 Adjustment for depletion, depreciation and
other non cash related items
285 313
171 157 82 Total cash flow from operations before
change in working capital
480 673
35 42 1 Change in receivables 16 -16
39 68 -61 Change in liabilities 7 49
245 268 23 Cash flow from operations 503 707
Investment activity
-100 -88 -79 Investment in oil and gas properties
5
-348 -269
- - - Dividend from associated companies 23 11
-0 -1 -0 Investment in other fixed assets -2 -0
- 4 - Net assets of acquired subsidiaries net after 4 -
-101 -85 -79 cash
Cash flow from investment activity
-324 -259
Financing activity
--19 -25 -13 Purchase of own shares -42 -19
- - - Bond repayment - -400
- - - Dividends paid -35 -
- - - Share redemption -71 -
-1 85 -85 Long term credit facility - -21
14 - - Return on investment - 14
-6 59 -97 Cash flow from financing activity -147 -426
138 242 -154 Period cash flow 32 22
194 323 570 Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning
of the period
372 295
40 5 20 Exchange gains/losses on cash and cash
equivalents
32 55
372 570 436 Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the
period
436 372

KEY RATIOS

Group

Fourth Third Fourth Full Full
quarter quarter quarter year year
2014 2015 2015 2015 2014
Operational items
768,227 928,047 1,007,782 Production before government take, bbl 3,578,488 2,804,240
8,350 10,087 10,956 Production per day, bbl 9,804 7,692
434,035 584,399 366,746 Net sales after government take, bbl 1,805,056 1,464,228
97.09 61.77 47.90 Achieved oil price, USD/bbl 58.09 103.87
Income statement and balance sheet
281 255 222 Revenue, MSEK 905 1,027
181 153 113 EBITDA, MSEK 496 743
64% 60% 51% EBITDA-margin, % 55% 72%
-5 76 30 Operating result, MSEK 194 393
-24% 30% 14% Operating margin, % 21% 38%
-1 78 27 Net result, MSEK 198 340
0% 31% 12% Net margin, % 22% 33%
372 570 436 Cash and cash equivalents, MSEK 436 372
1,675 1,838 1,864 Shareholders' equity, MSEK 1,864 1,675
1,816 2,142 2,165 Balance sheet total, MSEK 2,165 1,816
Capital structure
92.26% 85.81% 86.13% Solvency, % 86.13% 92.26%
-20.68% -25.59% -21.57% Leverage ratio, % -21.57% -20.68%
101 85 79 Investments, MSEK 324 259
372 485 436 Net cash, MSEK 436 372
Profitability
0% 4.46% 1.52% Return on shareholders' equity, % 11.17% 24,43%
0% 4.80% 2.58% Return on capital employed, % 14.00% 26,30%
Other
17 17 18 Average number of employees 18 18
- - - Dividend per share, SEK 1.00* 3.00
6.90 7.67 0.66 Cash flow from operations per share, SEK 14.38 19.89
35,544 35,544 35,544 Number of shares on balance day, ´000 35,544 35,544
47.13 51.72 52.45 Shareholders' equity per share, SEK 52.45 47.13
35,467 34,903 34,575 Weighted number of shares on balance 34,964 35,524
day, ´000
-0.02 2.23 0.78 Earnings per share, SEK 5.66 9.56
-0.02 2.23 0.78 Earnings per share after dilution, SEK 5.66 9.56

*According to the board's proposal to the upcoming annual meeting 2016.

Key quarterly data

Q4 2015 Q3 2015 Q2 2015 Q1 2015 Q4 2014 Q3 2014 Q2 2014 Q1 2014
Daily production, bbl 10,956 10,087 9,434 8,713 8,350 8,399 7,232 6,762
Barrels sold, bbl 366,746 584,399 545,019 308,892 434,035 399,352 350,059 280,782
Revenue, MSEK 222 255 223 205 281 294 236 215
EBITDA, MSEK 113 153 130 99 181 230 184 148
Return on shareholders' equity 1.1% 4.5% 1.7% 3.5% -0.1% 12.5% 8.3% 6.7%
Cash flow from operations, MSEK 23 283 93 119 245 192 146 124
Earnings per share, SEK 0.78 2.23 0.86 1.79 -0.02 4.66 2.79 2.13
Share price, end of period, SEK 57.5 44.4 55.5 57.8 59.2 85.2 74.7 73.5

For definitions of key ratios please refer to the 2014 Annual Report. The abbreviation n.a. means not applicable.

Fourth
quarter
2014
Third
quarter
2015
Fourth
quarter
2015
MSEK
Note
Full
year
2015
Full
year
2014
10 3 1 Other income 11 9
-134 -2 3 Net profit/loss of associates -3 -133
-5 -4 -5 Administrative expenses -29 -20
-129 -2 -1 Operating result -22 -145
340 6 311 Net financial items 332 293
211
-
4
-
311
-
Result before tax
Income tax
310
-
148
-
211 4 311 Result for the period* 310 148

PARENT COMPANY INCOME STATEMENT IN SUMMARY

* As there are no items in the parent company's other comprehensive income, no separate report on total comprehensive income is presented.

PARENT COMPANY BALANCE SHEET IN SUMMARY

MSEK Note 31 Dec 30 Sep 31 Dec
2015 2015 2014
ASSETS
Total non current assets 148 86 88
Total current assets 368 394 224
TOTAL ASSETS 517 482 313
SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Restricted shareholders' equity 77 77 77
Unrestricted shareholders' equity 395 97 229
Total current liabilities 45 309 6
TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 517 482 313
Pledged assets 9 1 1 1
Contingent liabilities 10 - - -

NOTES

General information

Tethys Oil AB (publ) ("the Company"), organisation number 556615-8266, and its subsidiaries (together "the Group" or "Tethys Oil") are focused on exploration for and production of oil and natural gas. The Group has interests in licences in Oman, Lithuania and France.

The Company is a limited liability company incorporated and domiciled in Stockholm, Sweden. The Company is listed on NASDAQ Stockholm.

Accounting principles

The fourth quarter report 2015 of the Tethys Oil Group has been prepared in accordance with IAS 34 and the Annual Accounts Act. The fourth quarter report 2015 of the Parent company has been prepared in accordance with the Annual Accounts Act and the Recommendation RFR 2 –"Accounting for legal entities", issued by the Swedish Financial Accounting Standards Council.

The accounting principles as described in the Annual report 2014, have been used in the preparation of this report, with the exception of the valuation and presentation of overlift and underlift. The accounting principles in the Annual report 2014 state that overlift should be valued at market value and underlift valued at cost. Furthermore the accounting principles state that the overlift and underlift adjustment should be presented within the Operating expenses category in the Income statement. Following an internal review of the accounting principles used in the preparation of the financial reports, the company has decided to value both overlift and underlift at market value and furthermore introduce Revenue at the top of the Income statement which would include both the previous line item Net sales and also include overlift and underlift adjustment. The purpose of the change is to better align Revenue with production, have a more understandable Operating expenses category and thereby increase transparency and investors' understanding of the company. The change in valuation of underlift has had an effect on historic results and equity as per the below table. In this financial report all historic financial data has been recalculated with the new accounting principles. Over time, there will no change in results or equity in the company and difference from the change in valuation principles is only timing related and will only have a temporarily effect during a financial period.

MSEK Q4 2015 Q3 2015 Q2 2015 Q1 2015 Q4 2014
Revenue, old accounting principles* 151 307 265 163 310
Revenue, new accounting principles 222 255 223 205 281
EBITDA, old accounting principles 106 153 153 76 200
EBITDA, new accounting principles 113 153 130 99 181
EBIT, old accounting principles 23 76 75 13 14
EBIT, new accounting principles 30 76 52 36 -5
Net result, old accounting principles 20 78 53 39 18
Net result, new accounting principles 27 78 30 63 -1
Earnings per share, old accounting
principles, SEK per share
0.59 2.23 1.52 1.11 0.51
Earnings per share, new accounting
principles, SEK per share
0.78 2.23 0.86 1.79 -0.02
Shareholders' equity, old accounting
principles
1,857 1,838 1,744 1,888 1,675
Shareholders' equity, new accounting
principles
1,864 1,838 1,744 1,912 1,675

*Note that Revenue under old accounting principles represents Net sales.

Exchange rates

For the preparation of the financial statements for the reporting period, the following exchange rates have been used.

31 December 2015 30 September 2015 31 December 2014
Currency Average Period end Average Period end Average Period end
SEK/CHF 8.80 8.60 8.84 8.66 7.53 7.91
SEK/EUR 9.42 9.30 9.43 9.42 9.15 9.53
SEK/LTL -* -* -* -* 2.64 2.70
SEK/USD 8.45 8.51 8.42 8.45 6.88 7.77

*The associated companies in Lithuania changed the reporting currency to Euro as per 1 January 2015.

Fourth quarter 2015 comparison
with
Full year 2015
comparison with
Fourth quarter
2014
Third quarter
2015
Effect of currency exchange rates on operating result, MSEK Full year 2014
104 -11 Revenue 169
-34 4 Depreciation, depletion and amortization -55
-1 0 Exploration costs -2
0 0X Other income 0
-42 4 Operating expenses -67
0 0 Net profit/loss from associate 0
-2 0 Administrative expenses -3
26 -3 Summary of currency exchange rate effect 41
on operating result

The table above presents the currency exchange effect on operating result compared with the above comparative periods, by applying the average exchange rate of the respective comparative period on the fourth quarter and full year 2015 accounts.

Fair value

The nominal value of accounts payables, cash and bank and accounts receivables is a fair approximation of those line items.

IAS 39 valuation categories and related balance sheet items

31 December 2015 31 December 2014
MSEK Financial assets
and liabilities at
fair value through
profit or loss
Other receivables
and cash and bank
Other liabilities MSEK Financial assets
and liabilities at
fair value through
profit or loss
Other receivables
and cash and bank
Other liabilities
Other receivables - 69 - Other receivables - 80 -
Cash and bank -
436
- Cash and bank -
372
-
Accounts
payables
- - 1 Accounts
payables
- - 2
Accrued - - 266 Accrued - - 112
expenses expenses

Note 1) Risks and uncertainties

The Group's activities expose it to a number of risks and uncertainties which are continuously monitored and reviewed. The main risks and uncertainties are operational and financial risks described below.

Operational risk

At its current stage of development Tethys Oil is commercially producing oil and is furthermore exploring for and appraising undeveloped known oil and/or natural gas accumulations. The operational risk is different in these parts of Tethys Oil's operations. The main operational risk in exploration and appraisal activities is that the activities and investments made by Tethys Oil and its partners will not evolve into commercial reserves of oil and gas. The oil price is of significant importance to Tethys Oil in all parts of operations as income and profitability is and will be dependent on prices prevailing from time to time. Significantly lower oil prices will reduce current and expected cash flows and profitability in projects and can make projects sub economic. Lower oil prices could also decrease the industry interest in Tethys Oil's projects regarding farmout or sale of assets. There are no oil price hedges in place as per 31 December 2015.

Another operational risk factor is access to equipment in Tethys Oil's project. Especially in the drilling/development phase of a project the group is dependent on advanced equipment such as rigs, casing, pipes etc. A shortage of theses supplies can present difficulties for Tethys Oil to fulfil projects. Through its operations Tethys Oil is furthermore subject to political risk, environmental risk and the risk of not being able to retain key personnel.

Financial risk

By operating in several countries, Tethys Oil is exposed to fluctuations in a number of currencies. Income is and will also most likely be denominated in foreign currencies, US dollars in particular. Furthermore, Tethys Oil has since inception been equity financed through share issues and financed by asset divestment. Additional capital may be needed to finance Tethys Oil's future operations and/or for acquisition of additional licences. The main risk is that this need may occur during less favourable market conditions.

A more detailed analysis of the Group's risks and uncertainties and how the Group addresses these risks, are given in the Annual report for 2014.

Note 2) Segment reporting

The Group´s accounting principle for segments describes that operating segments are based on geographic perspective. The operating result for each segment is presented below.

MSEK Lithuania Oman Sweden Other Total
Revenue - 905 - - 905
Operating expenses - -362 - - -362
Depreciation, depletion and - -293 0 - -293
amortisation
Exploration costs - -9 - - -9
Other income - - - - -
Net profit/loss from -3 - - - -3
associates
Administrative expenses - -10 -29 -5 -44
Operating result -3 231 -29 -5 194
Total financial items 4
Result before tax 198
Income tax -
Result for the period 198

Group income statement Jan-Dec 2015

Group income statement Jan-Dec 2014
-- -- -- ------------------------------------- -- -- --
MSEK Lithuania Oman Sweden Other Total
Revenue - 1,027 - - 1,027
Operating expenses - -255 - - -255
Depreciation, depletion and - -213 - - -213
amortisation
Exploration costs - - - -1 -1
Other income - - - - -
Net profit/loss from -133 - - - -133
associates
Administrative expenses - -5 -20 -5 -31
Operating result -133 553 -20 -6 393
Total financial items -53
Result before tax 340
Income tax -
Result for the period 340

Note 3) Revenue

Fourth quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter Revenue Full year Full year
2014 2015 2015 2015 2014
310 307 151 Net sales, MSEK 886 1,046
-29 -52 70 Underlift (overlift), MSEK 18 -19
281 255 222 Revenue, MSEK 905 1,027

Tethys Oil sells all of its oil through Mitsui Energy Trading Singapore, which is part of Mitsui & Co Ltd. All oil sales come from Blocks 3 and 4 Oman and are made on a monthly basis. The selling price is the monthly average of the two month future price for Omani blend.

Note 4) Net financial result

Fourth quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter Net financial result Full year Full year
2014 2015 2015 2015 2014
Financial income:
- - - Interest income - -
4 11 15 Gain on currency exchange rates 57 7
14 - 1 Other financial income 1 14
Financial expenses:
-2 -2 -2 Interest expenses -8 -32
-9 -5 -16 Currency exchange losses -36 -26
-3 -3 -2 Other financial expenses -10 -17
4 2 4 Net financial result -3 -53

Note 5) Oil and gas properties

Partners
Licence Tethys Total area, (operator in Book value Book value Investments
Country name Phase Oil, % km2 bold) 31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2014 Jan-Dec 2015
Oman Block 3,4 Production 30% 34,610 CCED, Mitsui 1,625 1,296 347
Oman Block 15 Expired - - - - 7 1
Lithuania Gargzdai Production 25% 884 Odin,
GeoNafta
- - -
Lithuania Rietavas Exploration 30% 1,594 Odin, private
investors
- - -
Lithuania Raseiniai Exploration 30% 1,535 Odin, private
investors
- - -
France Alès Exploration 37.5 215 MouvOil - - -
France Attila Exploration 40% 1,986 Galli Coz - - -
New
ventures
1 - 0
Total 1,625 1,303 348

Note 6) Loan facility

Tethys Oil has a four-year, up to MUSD 100, senior revolving reserve based lending facility. Security for the facility is the interest in the Block 3 and 4 licence. The interest rate of the credit facility is floating between LIBOR + 3.75 per cent to LIBOR + 4.00 per cent per annum, depending on the level of utilization of the facility. As per 31 December 2015, there is no outstanding interest bearing debt from the credit facility, compared to an outstanding debt of MSEK 70 as per 30 September 2015.

Note 7) Other non current liabilities

Tethys Oil have other non current liabilities of MSEK 34 (MSEK 25), which is a provision for site restoration on Blocks 3 and 4 in Oman. A consequence of this provision is that oil and gas properties has increased.

Note 8) Incentive programme

Tethys Oil has an incentive programme as part of the remuneration package to employees. The company have issued 356,000 warrants where each warrant entitles to subscription to one new share in Tethys Oil. The warrants have been recalculated as a consequence of the share redemption carried out during the second quarter of 2015 and now each entitles to subscription to 1.03 shares in Tethys Oil. The warrants have a three year duration and the strike price of the warrants is SEK 80.40 per share. As the strike price is above the share price as per the reporting date in this report, the warrants are not included in the fully diluted number of shares.

Note 9) Pledged assets

As per 31 December 2015, pledged assets amounted to MSEK 1,813 (1,789). Pledged assets are mainly a continuing security with regard to the credit facility where Tethys Oil has entered into a pledge agreement. The pledge relates to all shares in the subsidiary Tethys Oil Block 3&4 Ltd for the benefit of the lenders in the credit facility and the value of the pledge is equal to the shareholders' equity value in Tethys Oil Block 3&4 Ltd. Of pledged assets, MSEK 1 (1) relate to a pledge in relation to office rental.

Note 10) Contingent liabilities

There are no outstanding contingent liabilities as per 31 December 2015, nor for the comparative period.

ABOUT TETHYS OIL

Tethys Oil is a Swedish energy company focused on exploration and production of oil. Tethys Oil's core area is the Sultanate of Oman, where the company is one of the largest onshore oil concession holders with a current net production of above 12,000 barrels of oil per day. Tethys Oil also has exploration and production assets onshore Lithuania and France. The shares are listed on Nasdaq Stockholm (TETY).

Strategy

Looking for oil and gas is connected with considerable uncertainty. There are a couple of different strategies to handle and limit the risk. Tethys Oil invests mainly in projects, where hydrocarbons have previously been found, but ambiguity may exist in terms of productivity and reserve sizes.

Vision and strategy

Tethys Oil shall have a well-balanced and self-financed portfolio of oil and natural gas assets. The company also aims to conduct business in an economical, socially and environmentally responsible way, to the benefit of all stakeholders.

The company's strategy is:

  • Organic growth in existing assets by taking a proactive role and by building strategic partnerships to convert acreage to reserves and reserves to production
  • Seek new growth platforms, primarily onshore appraisal projects with material impact and low entry cost
  • In the company's existing assets, a proactive role with strategic partners is key to maximizing the potential of the projects. Growth will primarily come from appraisal projects where oil has previously been discovered, but was deemed sub-commercial for various reasons.

Capital structure target

Tethys Oil's primary objective is to create shareholder value and in doing so the company will have a balanced approach to growth and shareholder distributions, with a long term capital structure target of a zero net cash position.

FINANCIAL CALENDAR:

Annual report 2015 is expected to be available during the last week in April 2016 Three month report 2016 (January – March 2016) on 3 May 2016 Annual meeting 2016 is planned to be held in Stockholm on 18 May 2016 Second quarter report 2016 (January – June 2016) on 16 August 2016 Third quarter report 2016 (January – September 2016) on 1 November 2016 Fourth quarter 2016 (January – December 2016) on 14 February 2017

Conference call Date: Tuesday, 9 February 2016 Time: 10.00 CET

To participate in the conference call you may choose one of the following options:

To participate via phone, please call:

Sweden: +46 8 505 564 74 Switzerland: +41 225 675 541 UK: +44 203 364 5374 North America: +1 855 753 2230

To participate via web:

Länk till webbsändningen:http://edge.media-server.com/m/p/gb2rhma5

For further information, please contact:

Magnus Nordin, managing director, phone: +46 8 505 947 00 Morgan Sadarangani, CFO, phone: +46 8 505 947 00

Tethys Oil AB - Hovslagargatan 5B, SE-111 48 Stockholm, Sweden - Tel. +46 8 505 947 00 - Fax +46 8 505 947 99 - E-mail: [email protected] - Website: www.tethysoil.com

Stockholm, 9 February 2016 Tethys Oil AB (publ) Org. No. 556615-8266

Magnus Nordin Managing director

This report has not been subject to review by the auditors of the company.

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