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Telefonica S.A. — Investor Presentation 2020
Feb 20, 2020
1889_iss_2020-02-20_358c98c1-6df0-4b9f-8bde-e1f97a5479f9.pdf
Investor Presentation
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RESULTS JANUARY | DECEMBER 2019
Disclaimer
This document and the Q&A session may contain forward-looking statements and information (hereinafter, the "Statements") relating to the Telefónica Group (hereinafter, the "Company" or "Telefónica") or otherwise. These Statements may include financial forecasts and estimates based on assumptions or statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations that make reference to different matters, such as the customer base and its evolution, growth of the different business lines and of the global business, market share, possible acquisitions, divestitures or other transactions, Company's results and other aspects related to the activity and situation of the Company.
The Statements can be identified, in certain cases, through the use of words such as "forecast", "expectation", "anticipation", "aspiration", "purpose", "belief" or similar expressions or variations of such expressions. These Statements reflect the current views of Telefónica with respect to future events, do not represent, by their own nature, any guarantee of future fulfilment, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause the final developments and results to materially differ from those expressed or implied by such Statements. These risks and uncertainties include those identified in the documents containing more comprehensive information filed by Telefónica before the different supervisory authorities of the securities markets in which its shares are listed and, in particular, the Spanish National Securities Market Commission.
Except as required by applicable law, Telefónica does not assume any obligation to publicly update the Statements to adapt them to events or circumstances taking place after the date hereof, including changes in the Company's business, in its business development strategy or any other unexpected circumstance.
This document and the Q&A session may contain summarized, non-audited or non-GAAP financial information. The information contained herein and therein should therefore be considered as a whole and in conjunction with all the public information regarding the Company available, including, if any, other documents released by the Company that may contain more detailed information. Information related to Alternative Performance Measures (APM) used in this presentation are included in our consolidated financial statements and consolidated management report for the year 2019 submitted to the Spanish National Securities Market Commission (CNMV), in Note 2, page 19 of the .pdf filed. Recipients of this document are invited to read it.
Neither this document nor the Q&A session nor any of their contents constitute an offer to purchase, sale or exchange any security, a solicitation of any offer to purchase, sale or exchange any security, or a recommendation or advice regarding any security.
2019 Highlights
Mr. José María Álvarez-Pallete Chairman & CEO
2019 Highlights
Strong starting position & attractive opportunities…
... within a changing world that requires foresight
Key Messages from 2019
- Core markets outperformance (back to OIBDA growth in SP, BRA highest mobile share since 2006, UK: 14 Qs growing in revs., strong trading momentum in GER)
- Efficiency = Profitability (SP org. OIBDA margin 40%, BRA OIBDA margin 46%; exceeding 2019 digitalisation savings by 23% (>€420m))
- Net debt decreases for 11 straight Qs
- ROCE-driven asset management
- Benchmark CapEx/Sales in the industry; CapEx peak remains behind
New Action Plan, 3 axes
- Prioritise markets where we can be relevant and deliver sustainable growth
- Promote growth opportunities; leverage value of our infrastructure
- Increase agility and improve efficiency
New Telefónica New Plan/Strategy
Mr. José María Álvarez-Pallete Chairman & CEO
New plan based on 5 key decisions; aiming at long term impact and value creation
- Cutting-edge operators
- Units at the forefront of Technology
- All options open in Hispam
- Agility to capture opportunities
- Synergy model/economies of scale
- Optimise capital allocation
Sustainable model
Long-term integrated stakeholder approach
Delivering long-term stakeholder value
Growth; digitalisation; lever for social progress & decarbonisation
- A key enabler for digital & climate transition
- Avoiding 3.2m tCO2 through our P&S: 10 tons of CO2 for every ton by 2025
- Inclusive network deployment, including remote / rural areas; 1st fiber country in the OECD list
Efficiency; a better network for the planet
- New targets aligned with 1.5 ºC scenario and TFCD compliance
- Greener supply chain: -30% emissions per euro purchased by 2025
- Circular economy: 98% waste recycled
Trust; generating Trust Capital with our stakeholders
- A more diverse company
- Strengthening our corporate governance
- Privacy and security at the top of our priorities
- Customer satisfaction
• Already 100% renewable energy (Europe + Brazil), 82% T. Group
• -72% of energy consumption per unit of data traffic (2015-2019). Target -85% in 2025
• -50% carbon emissions (2015-19); -70% in 2030E and become carbon neutral, meaning zero-net emissions in 2050
- 2019: 26% women in management positions
- 30% women in BoD
- 1st in Ranking Digital Rights
- NPS 21%
- Reptrack 56.4
Telefónica contributes through technology to reach the global UN SDGs
2019 Highlights
Mr. José María Álvarez-Pallete Chairman & CEO
Consistent growth profile; strengthening balance sheet
2019 global reach and growth
2019 proof points of business sustainability
2019 guidance achieved | Above in revenues
| 2019 guidance (organic) |
Guidance 2019E | FY 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | Around +2% |
3.2% | |
| OIBDA | Around +2% |
1.9% | |
| CapEx/Sales ex-spectrum |
Around 15% |
15.0% |
Sustainable & attractive dividend
* Closing of 14/02/2020
FY & Q4 19 Results
Mr. Ángel Vilá COO
2019 financial highlights
+3.2%
Revenues y-o-y org. €48,422m Exceeding +2% 2019 target
+1.9% OIBDA y-o-y org. €15,119m Underlying €16,982m
€3,574 Underlying Net Income EPS Underlying €0.65
+20.6% y-o-y €5,912m FCF
€37,744m
-8.1% y-o-y Net Debt
15.0% CapEx/Revenues Ex-spectrum
Financials in a nutshell
| FY 19 | Q4 19 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € in millions | Reported | Reported | Organic | Reported | Reported | Organic | |
| IFRS 16 | y-o-y | y-o-y | IFRS 16 | y-o-y | y-o-y | ||
| Revenues | 48,422 | (0.6%) | 3.2% | 12,400 | (4.0%) | 2.0% | |
| OIBDA underlying | 16,982 | 4.370 | |||||
| OIBDA | 15,119 | (2.9%) | 1.9% | 3,669 | 3.8% | 4.0% | €2.2bn restructuring provisions in FY; mainly |
| OIBDA margin | 31.2% | (0.8 p.p.) | (0.4 p.p.) | 29.6% | 2.2 p.p. | 0.6 p.p. | €1.7bn€ in Q3 Spain |
| OIBDA-CapEx (ex-spectrum) |
7,836 | (5.8%) | 0.1% | 1,579 | 16.7% | 5.6% | |
| Net Income | 1,142 | (65.7%) | (202) | c.s. | MEX DTA (-€454m in Q4) | ||
| EPS (€) | 0.17 | (70.6%) | (0.05) | c.s. | |||
| EPS underlying (€) | 0.65 | 0.18 | |||||
| FCF | 5,912 | 20.6% | 1,762 | (9.5%) | |||
| Net Financial Debt ex-leases |
37,744 | (8.1%) |
Well invested platforms
+17.1% y-o-y
Internal application
Video Cloud Security IoT
6,0%
LUCA; AI for our customers
Network Planning /offering personalisation…
Becoming 100% Digital while reaping savings
B2B | A distinctive growth engine
- ✓ Lego-like value proposition (Own + Partners ecosystem)
- ✓ +14k B2B salespeople
- ✓ Low CapEx intensity
Capturing digitalisation value
>900k O365 licenses +53% y-o-y in Saas rev.; +54% in Iaas Leader in M2M services worldwide (Gartner) – 6 th consecutive year +1.4M IoT lines in Q4
Security
11 SOCs & Telco Security Alliance Global leader as MSSP Provider
+1,800 MS professionals, +1,500 security certifications
Spain | Back to FY OIBDA growth
Growing convergent base and ARPU Increasing value and returns
Accesses (Dec y-o-y)
10th Q of service rev. growth; higher profitability Robust Cash generation in best invested Co.
Germany | Accelerating commercial momentum
Improving customer loyalty
Growing revenues Enhanced network quality
- ✓ 3x "Good" rating for the first time
- ✓ Evidencing network and customer experience
UK | 14th consecutive quarter of top-line growth
Brazil | Investing for growth bears fruit
Strengthened market leadership
Market Share (Dec-19)
Growing in most valuable segments
Sustainable growth Sound FCF growth
19
Hispam | Growth in value; focus on efficiencies
Hispam South Hispam North
Telxius | Sustained growth delivery
Sites Evolution 3
rd Party Tenants
FY & Q4 19 Results
Ms. Laura Abasolo CFCO
OIBDA & Net income | Non-recurrent factors
Q4 OIBDA -€701m Q4 Net Income -€1,188m
Q4:
- ✓ Restructuring costs: enhancing efficiency and FCF going forward
- OIBDA: -€266m mainly related to H. Sur, Other companies, H. Norte and UK
- ✓ T. Mexico operating model transformation (AT&T agreement): OIBDA: -€239m; N. Income: -€275m
- ✓ T. Mexico DTA: N. Income: -€454m
- ✓ T. Argentina goodwill impairment: OIBDA and Net income: -€206m
FY:
- ✓ Restructuring costs: -€2,170m OIBDA (o/w Spain -€1.7bn in Q3)
- ✓ Capital Gains: OIBDA: +€98m Antares, +€213m Data Centers, +€365m CAM (Panamá, Nicaragua, Guatemala)
TOTAL factors
FX impact structurally neutralised
FX headwinds
y-o-y
- ✓ Revenue (Q4: -3.0 p.p.; FY: -3.5 p.p.)
- ✓ OIBDA (Q4: -1.7 p.p.; FY: -2.9 p.p.)
- ✓ ARS; major drag in FY
2019 FX impact
€ in millions
2019 FX effect
Deleverage mainly driven by growing organic FCF
Net Financial Debt; 11 Qs in a row of reduction (-€549M in Q4)
Robust liquidity position and attractive LT financing
1.5 10.0 1.1 2.5 2.2 1.8 0.9 € Green Financing USD Bonds € Bonds Hybrids Financing at Subsidiaries Bank Financing Total *
Sources of long-term financing
Net Debt maturities
Liquidity position
2019 & 2020YTD | €bn
Strengthening debt profile
Dec-19
Active hybrid management increased average life at lower cost
TEF Hybrids Average Coupon Cost vs. Outstanding Notional
- ✓ In just 9 Qs we executed:
- €4bn replacement through Liability Management exercises, largest globally
- Issued 1 st green hybrid bond in the telco industry
- Average hybrid life increased from 3.4 years to 4.7 years
- Temporary hybrid amount increase in 2019 to €8.2bn will be reduced in Q1 20 with hybrid calls (NC Mar.20 and Telefónica Colombia)
2020 & 2022 Guidance
Mr. José María Álvarez-Pallete Chairman & CEO
New Guidance criteria|Consistent with New Telefonica
| Financial Performance (organic) |
2019 | 2019 ex-contribution to growth from ARG |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | +3.2% | +0.8% |
| OIBDA | +1.9% | +0.5% |
| CapEx/Sales | 15.1% | 15.2% |
- Ex-contribution to growth of Argentina, consistent with New Telefonica focus
- Improves visibility and reliability
- 2019 Revenues and OIBDA growth excontribution to growth from Argentina: +0.8% and +0.5% respectively…
| Core Markets (organic y-o-y) |
Revenues 2019 |
OIBDA 2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Spain | +0.5% | +0.1% |
| UK | +3.8% | +2.3% |
| Germany | +1.1% | (1.1%) |
| Brazil | +1.9% | +3.7% |
• … with business lines growing in Revenue & OIBDA
2019-2022 Financial Guidance
| Financial Targets (organic ex-contribution to growth from ARG) |
2019 | Guidance 2019-2022E |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | €47,875m | Revenue growth |
| (OIBDA-CapEx)/ Revenues | 19.9% | +2 p.p. by 2022 |
Ex Central America
2020 Guidance | We will continue to execute
2020E: Organic ex-contribution to growth from ARG
Stable Revenues, OIBDA and (OIBDA-CapEx)/Revenues
Ex Central America
2019 Basis for Guidance: Revenues (€47,875m); OIBDA (€16,762m); (OIBDA-CapEx)/Revenues 19.9%
2020 STABLE & SUSTAINABLE DIVIDEND
| 2020 DIVIDEND |
€0.40/SHARE | |
|---|---|---|
| Interim Dec-20 | 2020 calendar payments | |
| €0.20/sh. | Jun/20 €0.20/sh. |
|
| Final Jun-21 | €0.20/sh. | Dec/20 €0.20/sh. |
Long-term stakeholder approach to ensure business sustainability
2019-2022 Financial Guidance
> €2bn Revenues 2019-2022
Cybersecurity
- - Automate operations and expand SoC capacity
- Reinforce B2B sales, brand and product team
- Enter in new P&S categories (i.e. fraud, IoT security) and capture internal business
- Activate countries with high opportunity and markets outside footprint
IoT/Big Data
- Accelerate solutions beyond connectivity (B2B & B2C; in house-platforms & partner ecosystem)
- Leading IoT player; cutting-edge platforms and services (analytics & AI) to extract value from multiple sources
- Tailored offerings for specific industries: retail, mobility, utilities, industry 4.0, public or financial sector
Cloud
- New business development: Edge computing & Cloud network services
- Best-in class private/hybrid cloud portfolio and hyperscalers agreements
- Strong professional and managed services to help our clients migrate to the cloud
2019-2022 Financial Guidance
+2 p.p. (OIBDA-CapEx)/Revenues by 2022; achieve a new level of simplicity
Operational excellence; Streamline corporate center
- Refocusing key functions (focus on differential, value-adding activities for other units)
- Greater simplicity and efficiency
- Synergies & Economies of scale
Optimise use of assets
- - Mobile network sharing
- Legacy shut down in all operations
Copper decommission well advanced in Spain (>450 Cos; 100% before 2025), kicking-off in Latam
Mobile; 2G at minimum; 3G transferred to 4G; Single Grid 2G in Brasil
Sustained digitalization efforts
- Digitalisation and automation will drive commercial and back-office efficiencies
- Simplifying IT processes
- Improving commercial efficiency
- Focused on customer experience (digital channels, assistants, …)
Conclusion
Mr. José María Álvarez-Pallete Chairman & COO
Summary
The New Telefónica; A new model begins to deliver long-term value creation
Leveraged on the foundations built during transformation journey
Focus on key markets Differential value with a sustainable model
UBB massification Towards a 100% UBB based telco
Focus on opportunities Of higher potential growth
Digitalisation At the forefront in Full Stack deployments & AI
Focus on agility Accelerate the execution and improve efficiency
A sustainable model Growth; Efficiency; Trust
Portfolio management Improving capital allocation
Guidance Growing sustainably
For further information: Investor Relations Tel. +34 91 482 87 00 [email protected] www.telefonica.com/investors
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