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Telefonica S.A. Investor Presentation 2020

Jul 30, 2020

1889_iss_2020-07-30_19398cc3-d369-4e9d-adfd-2a3babba8032.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Results

January - June 2020

Disclaimer

This document and any related conference call or webcast (including any related Q&A session) may contain forward-looking statements and information (hereinafter, the "Statements") relating to the Telefónica Group (hereinafter, the "Company" or "Telefónica"). These Statements may include financial forecasts and estimates or statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations regarding matters, such as the customer base and its evolution, growth of the different business lines and of the global business, market share, possible acquisitions, divestitures or other transactions, the Company's results and other aspects related to the activity and situation of the Company.

The Statements can be identified, in certain cases, through the use of words such as "forecast", "expectation", "anticipation", "aspiration", "purpose", "belief" "may", "will", "would", "could", "plan", "project" or similar expressions or variations of such expressions. These Statements reflect the current views of Telefónica with respect to future events, do not represent, by their own nature, any guarantee of future fulfilment, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause the final developments and results to materially differ from those expressed or implied by such Statements. These risks and uncertainties include those identified in the documents containing more comprehensive information filed by Telefónica before the different supervisory authorities of the securities markets in which its shares are listed and, in particular, the Spanish National Securities Market Commission (CNMV). They also include risks relating to the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on Telefónica's business, financial condition, results of operations and/or cash flows.

Except as required by applicable law, Telefónica does not assume any obligation to publicly update the Statements to adapt them to events or circumstances taking place after the date hereof, including changes in the Company's business, changes in its business development strategy or any other circumstances.

This document and any related conference call or webcast (including any related Q&A session) may contain summarised, non-audited or non-GAAP financial information. The information contained herein and therein should therefore be considered as a whole and in conjunction with all the public information regarding the Company available, including any other documents released by the Company that may contain more detailed information. Information related to Alternative Performance Measures (APM) used in this presentation are included in in Telefónica's condensed consolidated interim financial statements and consolidated interim management report for the six-month period ended Jun 30, 2020 submitted to the CNMV, in Note 2, page 14 of the .pdf filed. Recipients of this document are invited to read it.

Neither this document nor any related conference call or webcast (including any related Q&A session) nor any of their contents constitute an offer to purchase, sale or exchange any security, a solicitation of any offer to purchase, sale or exchange any security, or a recommendation or advice regarding any security.

Key takeaways

Mr. José María Álvarez-Pallete Chairman & CEO

Accelerated delivery of our strategic priorities

1 Core markets: Spain,
Germany, UK and
Brazil

Business resilience: OIBDA-CapEx
up 1.9% y-o-y in Q2 (organic); margin up 1.3 p.p. vs. Q2 19

Increased customer satisfaction: record NPS

Enhanced position in the UK through combination of O2 UK and Virgin Media

Aiming for consolidation in Brazil:
joint binding offer for Oi mobile assets submitted
2 Reduce exposure to
Hispam

Business model optimisation: OIBDA-CapEx
up 10.2% in Q2 y-o-y organic

Reduced equity exposure and increased debt at local level. FX impact largely neutralised

Progressing in all strategic options: spin-off and inorganic alternatives. Sale of Costa Rica
3 Telefonica Tech
Double digit revenue growth
despite COVID-19: +18.0% y-o-y organic in H1

Driving digital transformation through strategic partnerships (Microsoft, Google Cloud, GE Healthcare…)

Business carve-outs well advanced
4 Telefonica Infra
Already one of the world's largest telecommunication infrastructure companies

Accelerated monetisation
of assets through Telxius €1.5Bn towers transaction with T. Deutschland

Proven track-record in managing infraCos: Telxius scale doubled to 33k towers
5 New operating model
Sustained OIBDA-CapEx
margin expansion: +1 p.p. vs Q2 19 organic

Accelerating digitalisation
processes, efficiencies, savings on headquarters…

Swift and effective action in response to COVID-19

Efficiently managing unprecedented times:

  • Absorbing a €1.8bn shock in revenues from COVID, FX & perimeter changes
  • Debt reduction improved
  • Dividend maintained

Significant efficiency improvements and CapEx savings achieved, Q2 OIBDA-CapEx flat y-o-y organic

Swift and effective action in response to COVID-19

Supporting stakeholders

Leveraging our state-of-the-art infrastructure to support economic recovery across our markets

Q2 20 performance highlights

Revenue
y-o-y organic
OIBDA-CapEx
y-o-y organic
(OIBDA-CapEx)
/Revenues
y-o-y organic
Net Debt
(3.8%)
4 core markets
+1.9%
4 core markets
(>90% of
T. Group
€2.1Bn)
+1.3 p.p.
4 core markets
(7.5%)
y-o-y
T. Group
(5.6%)
T. Group
(0.7%)
T. Group
+1.0 p.p.

Group UBB accesses
+5.0% y-o-y

Leveraging network
strength to maintain high
customer loyalty

Q2 digital service
revenues €1.7Bn

Effective operational
management during
the crisis

Strong focus on
profitability

Proven execution skills

Continued debt reduction:
down €1Bn vs Mar-20

2020 outlook and 0.4€ dividend maintained; notable recovery in commercial activity from Jun-20

2020 dividend and outlook reiterated; 2022 guidance confirmed

Stable and sustainable dividend reflects continuing resilience and strong liquidity

2020
dividend
€0.40/share
Interim Dec-20 €0.20/sh. (Voluntary
Scrip)
Final Jun-21 €0.20/sh.

June payment: 63% of shareholders opted to receive new shares further enhancing financial flexibility (€371m paid in cash)

Significant operational flexibility to navigate current environment

Financial
targets
(organic ex-contribution
to
growth
from
ARG)
2020E H1
OIBDA-CapEx Slightly
negative
to
flat
(2.3%) Strong management of OpEx
and CapEx

Q2 20 Group results

Mr. Ángel Vilá COO

Financial performance | Resilient performance in COVID-19 crisis

H1 20 Q2 20
€ in millions Reported Reported
y-o-y
Organic
y-o-y
Organic
y-o-y
aggregated 4
core markets
Reported Reported
y-o-y
Organic
y-o-y
Organic
y-o-y
aggregated 4
core markets
Revenues 21,706 (10.0%) (3.5%) (1.9%) 10,340 (14.8%) (5.6%) (3.8%)
OIBDA 7,075 (18.7%) (5.9%) (3.0%) 3,315 (25.3%) (10.0%) (6.6%)
OIBDA margin 32.6% (3.5 p.p.) (0.9 p.p.) (0.4 p.p.) 32.1% (4.5 p.p.) (1.6 p.p.) (1.1 p.p.)
OIBDA-CapEx
(ex-spectrum)
4,354 (18.4%) (2.3%) 2.6% 2,079 (20.4%) (0.7%) 1.9%
OIBDA-CapEx
/ Revenues
(ex-spectrum)
20.1% (2.1 p.p.) 0.3 p.p. 1.0 p.p. 20.1% (1.4. p.p.) 1.0 p.p. 1.3 p.p.
Net Income 831 (53.5%) 425 (50.7%)
EPS (€) 0.13 (58.1%) 0.07 (54.0%)
FCF
(incl. leases principal
payments)
1,222 (55.7%) 988 (26.6%)
Net Financial Debt
ex-
leases
37,201 (7.5%)

COVID-19 impacts (estimated and aprox.) FX impacts

€ (m) Q2 H1
Revenues (729) (806)
OIBDA (338) (371)
€ (m) Q2 H1
Revenues (791) (1,176)
OIBDA (297) (448)

Argentina goodwill impairment

€ (m) Q2
OIBDA (109)

COVID-19 | Financial and operational impacts

First full quarter of COVID-19 impact; recovery underway from Jun-20

Q2 revenue impact –(€729m) -6.1 p.p. to organic y-o-y

Q2 OIBDA –(€338m) -7.8 p.p. to organic y-o-y

Impacts and challenges

Revenues

  • Handset sales decline due to lockdown
  • Service revenue decline driven by reduced commercial activity (mobile prepaid), B2B and SMEs revenues and roaming in/ out decline

B2C: Discounted tariffs

  • Discounting for bars, other premises during La Liga football suspension (Spain)
  • B2B: lower IT projects
    • Promotions
    • Contract renegotiations
    • B2B revenue of €4.3Bn in H1 (-3.0% y-o-y organic)

Strengths and opportunities

  • Rigorous expense management
    • Reduction in direct and commercial expenses
  • Improved customer loyalty
    • Churn level improved by -0.4 p.p. y-o-y
  • Resilient network performance
  • CapEx savings
  • Digital adoption accelerated
    • Digital channel mix at 39% across 4 core markets (up 12 p.p. vs Q1)
    • Active users of on-line channels up 47% y-o-y in "Meu VIVO"
  • Sharp recovery in post-lockdown markets
    • Strong resurgence in commercial activity (stores re-opening)
  • Huge B2B opportunity
    • Underlying demand increasing for Cloud, Cyber, IoT, eHealth

Revenue | Notable improvement from June 2020

  • ✓ Clear signs of recovery in Spain from June
  • ✓ May was the worst affected month by COVID-19
  • ✓ Operating trends remain positive ex-COVID-19

COVID-19 impact on revenues

  • ✓ Gradual lifting of COVID-19 restrictions
  • ✓ Looking ahead intention to leverage our capabilities and infrastructure to capitalise on changing and accelerating trends in IoT, Big Data, ICT,…

Q2 y-o-y declines reducing from top to bottom

Demonstrate resilience of the business during the deepest economic crisis in this century

Execution skills | Moving at pace on operational management

Q2 (OIBDA-CapEx)/Revenues

Q2 20 segments results

Mr. Ángel Vilá COO

Spain | Resilient commercial activity

Growth across segments Convergent KPIs

  • Responding to employees, communities and society first
  • Clear signs of recovery; leveraging football rights
    • 100% of stores open by Jun (16% in Mar)
    • 50% consumer football downgrades recovered

  • Superior offering in both retail and wholesale
    • Combined growth in different cluster thanks to our smart segmentation
    • Ongoing migration to fibre (63% of wholesale base)
  • Resilient convergent platform
    • In Q2 20 ARPU -2.3% y-o-y on exceptional effects of COVID-19
    • Churn below FY 19 levels despite normalised activity

Spain | Resilient Cash Flow generation

Performance and COVID-19 response

  • 60% of impact on revenue offset at OIBDA level; >80% at OpCF level
    • Lower equipment, commercial and content cost
    • CapEx prioritisation maintaining investment for growth

Resilient and sustainable revenue streams

  • Very positive quarter in IT; digitalisation needs on the rise
  • Wholesale supported by largest and best managed FTTH network and new agreements
    • +3.3% y-o-y in Q2 20 accounting for 18% of service revenue
  • Cash conversion benchmark
    • OIBDA-CapEx/ Revenue at record levels

CapEx on growth

Cash generation

Germany |Solid operational performance despite COVID-19

(10.8%)

OIBDA-CapEx

Momentum at O2 - ARPU-accretive effects Key milestones

  • Gradual recovery of trading momentum, prepaid dynamics and roaming post lockdown
  • ✓ ~10,000 sites sold to Telxius for €1.5bn enhancing financial flexibility and further strengthening balance sheet
  • O2 winning further industry awards:
    • "Very good" rating in 2020 Connect Magazine Fixed Network Test
    • Best MNO in Telekom Handel´s reader's choice awards
  • ✓ COVID-19 impacts and other non-recurrent special factors:

    - Revenue ~ (-€60m)

Robust profitability and cash generation

Revenues OIBDA

UK | Resilient performance

Key financials

Performance and COVID-19 response

  • Largest UK network
  • ✓ Network voice and data resilience
  • ✓ Enhanced direct trading resulting in lower commercial costs
  • ✓ Q2 COVID-19 impacts: revenue (€130m); OIBDA (€62m)
    • ‒ Primarily related to roaming and calls (reduced prepay base and lower activity)

Profitability and cash generation

Brazil | Resilient cash generation despite COVID-19 impacts

Resilient business

  • Improved commercial trading since June; gradual opening of stores: +73% contract gross adds in June vs. April
  • Digital channels boost: Share of digital top-ups increased 6 p.p. y-o-y to 31%
  • Highest ever monthly FTTH net adds in June accelerating business transformation
  • Prepaid revenues broadly flat y-o-y in June

Infra| Telxius accelerating growth and tower expansion

Revenues and OIBDA (1)

Profitability and Cash generation (1)

Tech| Driving growth

An increasingly important growth engine

COVID-19 impact in B2B revenues largely mitigated

• Corporate (60% of H1 revs) less impacted than SMEs

Tech services essential for remote working

  • Strengthen on-line channels and productivity tools
  • Dynamic network demand
  • Increasing need for digital information and personal security
Cloud
Public Cloud Hub for Southern Europe in Spain (Microsoft,
Google, SAP)

Evolving portfolio (H1 Cloud PBX & Meetings rev. +28%
y-o-y)

H1 +62% SaaS revenue y-o-y; +20% IaaS
IoT & Big Data
Unique integrated value proposition

New post-COVID-19 solutions for sectors (retail, tourism)

Revenues impacted by project Interruptions due to
lockdown
Cybersecurity
Reinforced global alliances
(Google, Amazon, Checkpoint, Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet)

12 SOCs unified

Strong performance in PA, Financial and Energy

(0.6%) Cloud CyberSecurity IoT/Big Data

Q2 20 Results

Ms. Laura Abasolo CFCO

Hispam | Transformation to Fibre; Focus on profitability

Accesses (m) 105.6 21.3 16.5 5.4 2.9 Total Contract Fixed FBB Pay TV 9.2m FTTH homes passed (+1.4m in LTM) Co-investing with ATP & ATC in most relevant markets

Key financials

Large accesses base

Better trends since June

  • Higher COVID-19 impact vs other regions: greater exposure to handset sales and prepaid
  • Commercial recovery since June: active prepaid accesses: +12% vs. April
  • E-commerce sales increased +51% in Jun vs Feb reaching ~1/3 of total sales (x2 vs Feb)
  • Positive UBB performance (higher demand vs. pre COVID-19): 88k Q2 net adds, x2 q-o-q
  • Positive service revenue growth in COL (Q2: +1.5% y-o-y)
  • Transformation model in MEX is paying off: OIBDA continues growing (Q2: +6.1% y-o-y)

Profitability and cash generation

Foreign exchange | Managing impact on FCF

Limited FX impact on FCF through effective hedging strategy

Revenue and OIBDA affected by unfavorable foreign exchange movements

y-o-y

  • Revenue: Q2 -6.5 p.p.; H1 -4.9 p.p.
  • OIBDA: Q2 -6.7 p.p.; H1 -5.1 p.p.
  • FX effect increased in Q2 mainly due to BRL
  • ✓ -€448m OIBDA impact reduced to -€111m of FCF in H1
  • Net debt reduced by €972m in H1
  • Net debt + leases -€1,667m

H1 20 currency translation impact

20

Debt Clear focus on continuous debt reduction |

De-risked balance sheet: debt cut and termed out with lower financial payments

Total Financial Payments and Interest Cost

1. Includes the €1,000M senior bond & €500M green hybrid 2. Ex-IFRS16

De-risked balance sheet: lower HISPAM equity exposure and changed FX mix

REDUCING CAPITAL EMPLOYED AND EQUITY IN HISPAM

  • HISPAM current situation:
    • ̶ CAM assets sold
    • ̶ Current avg. CE nearly 20% of TEF Group
    • ̶ Net Financial Debt+Leases of ~€4bn in Hispam currencies (Jun-20)

Working to reduce capital employed and equity exposure via inorganic measures

GRADUALLY INCREASING LEVERAGE IN BRAZIL

  • Net Debt+ Leases of €3.1bn in Brazil (Jun-20), reduced by €0.9bn YTD due to FX impact
  • Large reductions in Brazilian nominal and real interest rates justify gradual increase in leverage in the future

23

Optimising capital allocation and increasing returns

1 Robust FCF
generation

(OIBDA-CapEx)/Revenues +2 p.p. in 2022 (vs. 2019)
while continuing to invest in long term growth

Optimising OpEx
and prioritising investments to maintain strong performance
2 Prudent financial
policy

Sustainable and balanced dividend policy (€0.40 for 2020; voluntary scrip for 2020 calendar payments)

Extended average debt maturity
(11.2 yrs) and strong liquidity (over 2 years' debt coverage)
3 Solid balance sheet
Net debt decline of €15bn since June 2016

Clear deleveraging path;
organic and inorganic
4 De-risked portfolio
Solid organic growth profile

Improving ROCE

Gradually increasing leverage at local level

Strategy update

Mr. José María Álvarez-Pallete CEO & Chairman

Strengthened "focus" on our four core markets: Spain, UK, Germany and Brazil… 1

"Focus" through building leadership positions underpinned by differentiated assets and partnerships that attract and retain the best customer bases and guarantee loyalty

SPAIN UK GERMANY BRAZIL

Largest fibre
network in Europe
(517k additional premises
deployed YTD); FTTH uptake
29%

Differentiated content (rights
for new 3 seasons of UEFA
competitions starting 2021;
own production; Disney+)

Partnerships YTD e.g. Prosegur
JV, A3 media JV, Movistar Car/
Eurotaller; Epic Games
(developer of Fortnite)

JV with Virgin Media to create
UK's connectivity champion

5G
in 60
cities and towns and
4G boosted in over 91k
postcodes and 400 tourism
hotspots

Strengthening direct
distribution

Boosting mobile coverage,
increasing urban capacity

Convergent proposition based
on agnostic fixed access

Partnerships YTD (Ericsson,
Kidomi-Kids)

New fibre
vehicle under
analysis

Largest FTTH
network (2.1m
additional HPs deployed YTD)

Offer for OI's mobile assets

Partnerships YTD
(e.g. ATC,
Netflix, …)

Network sharing agreement
with TIM approved and first
initiatives already underway

Accelerating FTTH; capturing
UBB opportunity through
partnerships and new fibre
vehicle under analysis

Further opportunity – market consolidation, co-investment…

… while reducing exposure and optimising our non-core Hispam portfolio 2

Further optionality; all options on the table including operational / financial spin off Increasing debt assignation at local level

Launching Tech to better capitalise on the digital growth opportunity 3

Further opportunity – entry of an equity partner, inorganic expansion, new verticals

Creating Infra to extract more value from existing assets while building a leading global infrastructure player 4

Further opportunity for T.Infra

Grow towers' portfolio (i.e. UK); add complementary new asset classes (i.e. Fibre, DCs); 50.01% ownership in Telxius

Rolling out a new operating model; taking advantage of digitalisation and adapting the HQ to the new portfolio 5

Business lines

Massive digitalisation

  • ✓ Digital sales up 53% vs Q2 19 in core markets
  • ✓ 1,864m Robots (x3,4 y-o-y)

Network sharing

✓ Agreements in place in the UK, Brazil, Colombia, Perú…

Legacy shut-down

✓ ~500 copper COs closed in Spain

Streamlined support functions; reducing cost

Increased customer satisfaction

HQ

HQ refitted for purpose

Further opportunity – Reskilling, centralisation, in/outsourcing, increase agility

19.9 2019 2022 Guidance +2 p.p. vs. 2019 H1 20 20.8

(OIBDA-CapEx)/Revenues

%; organic

Priorities H2; continue executing and delivering value

1 Focus on four core
markets: Spain, UK,
Germany, Brazil

Stabilise
operating cash flow generation to mitigate COVID-19 impact

Close UK deal with Liberty Global

Strengthen competitive advantages through FTTH deployment and partnerships

Consolidation optionality
2 Reduce exposure to
Hispam

Stabilise
cash flow generation to mitigate COVID-19 impact

Close Costa Rica and El Salvador deals

Continue developing strategic options
3 Launch TEF TECH
Maintain
strong growth momentum

Strengthen capabilities with focused inorganic acquisitions

Finalise
carve outs
4 Create TEF INFRA
Close German towers acquisition

Continue developing strategic options

Increase towers tenancy
ratio
5 New operational
model

Accelerate digitalisation
in the post COVID-19 world

Expand network sharing agreements

Further
simplification and streamlining

Conclusion

Mr. José María Álvarez-Pallete Chairman & CEO

Supporting sustainable economic recovery post COVID-19

The future is built on networks and digitalisation

Summary | Value creation for all stakeholders

  • Robust delivery for stakeholders in the midst of an unprecedented global crisis
    • ‒ Clarity of our mission and values sharpened by COVID-19
    • ‒ Timely actions to protect employees, support customers and communities, and preserve value for shareholders
    • ‒ Valuable lessons learned across all of the Group's operations supporting post-crisis evolution
  • Resilient financial and commercial performance despite adverse FX impacts and GDP trends
    • ‒ COVID-19 impact on financial performance partly mitigated through efficiency improvements and capex savings
    • ‒ Notable recovery in commercial activity in Jun-20
    • ‒ Continued debt reduction with a clear deleveraging path
    • ‒ Improving ROCE
  • 2020 OIBDA-CapEx outlook and dividend maintained
  • Accelerated delivery against strategic priorities
    • ‒ Executed the largest corporate transaction in our history to strengthen UK positioning
    • ‒ Driving consolidation of Brazilian telecoms market via binding joint bid for Oi
    • ‒ Accelerated monetisation of infrastructure assets via €1.5bn transaction between Telxius and Telefonica Deutschland
    • ‒ Driving digital transformation through partnerships with Google, Microsoft, GE Healthcare…
    • ‒ Progressing in all strategic options in Hispam
    • ‒ New streamlined operating model; increasing agility, efficiency and digitalisation

Well positioned to capitalise on favourable long-term trends accelerated by recent developments

Results presentation and Q&A Session

The management will host a webcast to discuss the results on 30th July at 10:00am (CET), 09:00am (BST), 04:00am (EST)

Participants from Telefónica: Jose María Alvarez-Pallete (Chairman & CEO), Ángel Vilá (COO), Laura Abasolo (CFCO), and Pablo Eguirón (Global Head of IR).

  • To access the webcast: click here
  • The webcast recording will be available on Telefónica IR's website after the event

Webcast Q&A Session

  • To participate in the Q&A session, join the call using the following link (available 15 minutes before the call): click here
  • No need to dial in(1)

(1) From any device, click the link above, then simply enter your details and phone number and the system will call you back If you have further questions, please contact the Investor Relations team at [email protected] or +34 91 482 87 00

For further information, please contact: Investor Relations Pablo Eguirón ([email protected]) Isabel Beltrán ([email protected]) Adrián Zunzunegui ([email protected]) Tel. +34 91 482 87 00 [email protected] www.telefonica.com/investors

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