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Telefonica S.A. — Investor Presentation 2018
Mar 31, 2018
1889_ip_2018-03-31_30e9c86d-2924-49c8-aa72-4e284daca26a.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Disclaimer
This document and the Q&A session may contain forward-looking statements and information (hereinafter, the "Statements") relating to the Telefónica Group (hereinafter, the "Company" or "Telefónica") or otherwise. These Statements may include financial forecasts and estimates based on assumptions or statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations that make reference to different matters, such as the customer base and its evolution, growth of the different business lines and of the global business, market share, possible acquisitions, divestitures or other transactions, Company's results and other aspects related to the activity and situation of the Company.
The Statements can be identified, in certain cases, through the use of words such as "forecast", "expectation", "anticipation", "aspiration", "purpose", "belief" or similar expressions or variations of such expressions. These Statements reflect the current views of Telefónica with respect to future events, do not represent, by their own nature, any guarantee of future fulfilment, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause the final developments and results to materially differ from those expressed or implied by such Statements. These risks and uncertainties include those identified in the documents containing more comprehensive information filed by Telefónica before the different supervisory authorities of the securities markets in which its shares are listed and, in particular, the Spanish National Securities Market Commission.
Except as required by applicable law, Telefónica does not assume any obligation to publicly update the Statements to adapt them to events or circumstances taking place after the date hereof, including changes in the Company's business or business development strategy or any other unexpected circumstance.
This document and the Q&A session may contain summarized, non-audited or non-GAAP financial information. The information contained herein and therein should therefore be considered as a whole and in conjunction with all the public information regarding the Company available, including any other documents released by the Company that may contain more detailed information.
In October 2015, the European Securities Markets Authority (ESMA) published guidelines on Alternative Performance Measures (APM), applicable to regulated information published from July 3, 2016. Information related to APM used in this presentation are included in the our consolidated financial statements and consolidated management report for the year 2017 submitted to the Spanish National Securities Market Commission (CNMV), in Note 2, page 283 of the .pdf filed. Recipients of this document are invited to read it.
Neither this document nor the Q&A session nor any of their contents constitute an offer to purchase, sale or exchange any security, a solicitation of any offer to purchase, sale or exchange any security, or a recommendation or advice regarding any security
Q1 18 Highlights
Mr. Ángel Vilá COO
Highlights | Execution of strategic priorities
Enable people with the power of connectivity
- 357m accesses; +36% LTE; +7% smartphones; +20% FFTx/Cable; +5% Pay TV
- Extending leadership in FTTx/Cable: 45.8m premises passed (+5.9m y-o-y)
- More services, more usage; more ARPU
Operate in markets where we can have an impact & create value
| All business units growing in Revenues & OIBDA ex-regulation |
|---|
- Spain: Accelerating revenue and OIBDA growth
- Brazil: Growth and margin expansion
- Germany: MSR ex-reg. continued to grow
- UK: Robust financial performance; new spectrum to further strengthen operations
- South Hispam: Solid growth rates
- North Hispam: Impacted by new regulation in MEX
| Optimise our capabilities for a sustainable digital future |
• Strengthened our differential platforms • Solid advance in customer-centric digitalisation & data monetisation • Launch of AURA in 6 countries |
|---|---|
| Deliver on our financial targets |
• Revs, OIBDA, OpCF org. growth in Q1 • Further net debt reduction • Q1 results in line with expectations • Reiterating guidance |
Key financials Q1 18
| Q1 18 (€m) | Reported IFRS 15 & 9 |
Reported y-o-y |
Organic y-o-y |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 12,190 | (7.2%) | 1.9% |
| Service revenues | 11,040 | (9.4%) | 0.8% |
| OIBDA | 3,864 | (3.9%) | 3.3% |
| Underlying OIBDA | 3,863 | (5.6%) | |
| OIBDA margin | 31.7% | 1.1 p.p. | 0.4 p.p. |
| OpCF (ex-spectrum) |
2,381 | (1.0%) | 4.4% |
| Net Income | 837 | 7.4% | |
| EPS (€) |
0.12 | (13.2%) | |
| Underlying EPS (€) |
0.17 | (3.0%) | |
| FCF | 550 | (8.7%) | |
| Net Financial Debt | 43,975 | (9.8%) |
Reported figures y-o-y affected by
- Negative FX evolution
- Regulation
- Restructuring costs, tower sales
- Different accounting standards (2018 IFRS 15 & 9; 2017 IAS18)
IFRS 15 impacts Q1 18 -€10m in Revenues +€11m in OIBDA
Guidance confirmed
| Operating 2018 guidance organic |
Guidance 2018E (IAS 18) | Q1 18 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | Growth of around 1% (despite regulation dragging: -0.9 p.p.) |
+1.9 % |
| OIBDA Margin | Continues expanding around 0.5 p.p. (despite regulation dragging -1.6 p.p. on OIBDA growth) |
+0.4 p.p. |
| CAPEX ex-spectrum/Sales |
Around 15% | 12.3 % |
Solid balance sheet Additional deleveraging Improved ROCE Attractive, stable & sustainable dividend
Dividends to be paid in 2018 calendar yr. €0.40/sh.
Cash: 15/Jun/18 €0.20/sh.
Cash: 20/Dec/18 €0.20/sh.
Final Jun-19 €0.20/sh.
Sustained free cash flow generation
Strong Q1 FCF, operational leverage
Q1 q-o-q change in Net Debt
ND decrease in Q1, changing trends vs. previous years ND -9.8% y-o-y; (-€4.8bn y-o-y)
Q1 FCF affected by WC seasonality and extraordinary minority payment...
...FCF to improve throughout the year
FX impact structurally neutralised
- Q1: BRL and ARS explain 80% of negative FX impact in OIBDA
- FX spot rates explain Q1 increase in Net Debt
- At current FX, weaker H1 18 y-o-y comps than in H2 18
- Strong organic contribution
- Q1 y-o-y: +€250m to revenues; +€134m to OIBDA
FX impact in Q1 FCF
Positive delivery on Revenues, OIBDA & OpCF
Growth acceleration Q1 18
- Revenue mix transformation
- Service Revenue growth +0.8%, despite regulation (-1.2 p.p.)
- Margin expansion; continued focus on efficiencies & synergies; increasing relevance of digitalisation
- All regions contributing to OIBDA growth (ex. N. Hispam)
- Reported OpCF stable despite FX
- Holistic and efficient CapEx (+1.5% y-o-y)
- Covering more with less investments
Q1 18 Robust profitability
Monetisation focus enhanced
Attracting, bundling and upselling Capturing more usage with improved capabilities
- M4M evolution to add more value
- Revamped mobile in Latam
- ‣ "Movistar Series" launch (Feb-18)
- ‣ "Movistar Play" (OTT video) in 13 countries
- New bundle with TV at the core
- ‣ " Fusion+ Ocio Total" (300 Mbps + series&films +2 mobiles) (Feb-18)
- Enhanced prepaid portfolio in mid-high tiers
- ‣ More data and digital services ("GoRead", "NBA", "Vivo Bem")
- Continued to develop recurrent data plans in prepaid Latam
• Enriched prepaid mid-level plans (Mar-18)
We are a platform Co. to better serve customer needs
Aura, the new customer relationship model
Leading the integration of AI in networks & customer care
10
Digitalisation, a leap forward in our bold transformation
Enhancing Customer Experience and Operational Efficiency
…initiatives already onboard to capture impact along 2018
Digitalisation drives cost savings…. ...higher CSI and digital engagement
Increased customer satisfaction, loyalty and usage
Q1 18 Results
Ms. Laura Abasolo CFCO
Spain | Solid trading in a rational market
Improving churn
- "M4M", main strategy in the market in Q1
- Increasingly competitive offering: solid Mobile, Fiber (retail & wholesale) and TV
- "Fusión" growing base and ARPU
- Improved value mix: 27% in high-value (+6 p.p. y-o-y)
- Churn reduction across services
- "Fusión", FBB, TV, Mobile: -0.1 p.p. q-o-q
Unmatchable platforms in quality and scale
- Largest Fiber, LTE and TV coverage
- Wholesale upside (just 24% accesses on Fiber)
- Fiber wholesale agreements with main players
+2.2m 19.7m FTTH p. passed Q1 17 52% 10% 59% 24% o/FBB Retail o/Wholesale accesses Q1 18 y-o-y
Spain | Improving revenue and OIBDA trend
Sustained growth
- Serv. Revs. growth improved to +0.8%; +1.8% ex-MTR/MásMóvil
- Acceleration in "Consumer": +2.9% in Q1 (+1.6 q-o-q)
- Improvement in "Business": -0.6% in Q1 (+2.0 q-o-q)
- Decline in "Wholesale & Other": -3.5% in Q1 (-7.7 q-o-q)
- Negative impacts at Wholesale revs. line start to kick-in
- Wholesale/MVNO loss and MTR cut
- Partially offset by fiber wholesale growth
Cash conversion
- OpEx increase eased (+0.6% y-o-y; -0.1 p.p. q-o-q)
- Lower commercial cost q-o-q
- Upside in savings (personnel, digitalisation…)
- Margin impacted by revenue mix
- +0.2 p.p. y-o-y excluding Wholesale/MVNO loss
- CapEx (+3.9%) & OpCF (-0.7%) on different CapEx phasing
Service Revenues & OIBDA
Strong margins
Germany | Positive financial performance
Continuous market momentum
- Solid Q1 mobile contract net adds (+157K)
- -Strong Partner trading on 4G offers
- -LTE cust. (+15% y-o-y); penetration 39% (+7 p.p.)
- O2 Free ARPU accretive
- O2 Ranked #2 in Connect Mobile Hotline-Test
Strong OpCF
- Revenue trend improving
- -MSR ex-regulation (+0.3% y-o-y); handset sales (+10.5%)
- Sustained OIBDA growth and margin expansion
- -Regulatory drag (-€14m vs. -€7m in Q1 17)
- Incremental synergy savings on-track (OIBDA: €35m; CapEx: ~€15m)
- CapEx (-5.6% y-o-y): efficient network consolidation & LTE rollout
Financials (y-o-y organic)
UK | Solid financials, capability enhanced
Largest customer base & trusted network
- Leading network: 32.0m customers (incl. MVNO partners)
- Continued contract base expansion, despite seasonally slower Q
- Market-leading churn: 1.0% (broadly stable y-o-y and q-o-q)
- Network quality assured with latest spectrum auction results
- 40 MHz of 2.3 GHz and 40 MHz of 3.4 GHz
- Av. data usage per smartphone +36% vs. Q1 17
Robust financials
- Revenue growth (ex-reg.): +4.2% y-o-y (vs. +4.5% in Q4)
- Growing subscriptions, handsets, MVNO & non-mobile revenues
- Consistent OIBDA growth
- Ongoing impact from RLAH (-€23m in Q1; -€25m in Q4)
- Supported by reduced annual licence fee payment
- Strong OpCF growth +32.9% y-o-y on CapEx phasing
MSR ex-regulation
Q1 18
Brazil | Growth and value
Unique assets
- M4M strategy is paying off
- New hybrid portfolio launched in February
- Largest and most reliable 3G and 4G network
- Sustainable leadership: 41.4% contract market share
- 1.6% contract churn (stable y-o-y); unrivaled value proposition
- Strong growth opportunity; LTE penetration 55%
- ‣ 364 cities with 4G+ (+250 in Q1 18)
- Fiber as growth engine
- 88 cities already covered with FTTH
- ‣ 4.6M already connected
- TV: Best value proposition with cutting-edge technology
- ‣ IPTV available in 65 new cities
Brazil | Delivering profitable growth
Sustained revenue growth
- MSR : +3.5% (+3.9% in Q4 17)
- Boosted by data growth (+17.1%) and price upgrades
- Outgoing postpaid revenue improved to +9.2% (Q4 17: +9.3%)
- Fixed: -4.0% (-3.8% in Q4 17)
- Affected by voice decrease, fixed to mobile substitution & DTH
Digital initiatives drive margins upward
- OIBDA and margin growth
- OpEx continue declining (-1.9%; 9 consecutive Qs of cost reduction)
- Best Q1 margin since 2009
- Digitalisation and efficiency as main levers
- CapEx (+16.5%; on different phasing)
- Solid investment over the years to create a unique combination of network, IT and service platforms
- OpCF (-2.2%; different CapEx phasing); 22.0% margin
South Hispam | Healthy and consistent growth
('000)
Commercial recovery & margin expansion
- Strong improvement in contract net adds
- Better performance in Chile and Peru
- FTTx/Cable: 1.8M connected (1.2M FTTH/cable connected)
- ARGENTINA (Revs. €755m; OIBDA €245m)
- Growth in value: (contract +5%; LTE +61%; FTTx: x4)
- Solid Revenues and OIBDA growth
- CHILE (Revs. €526m; OIBDA €153m)
- Positive contract net adds for the 3rd consecutive quarter
- Accelerating FTTx net adds (x4 y-o-y)
- Better y-o-y OIBDA trend: -4.3% (vs -14.5% in Q4 17)
- PERU (Revs. €501m; OIBDA €98m)
- Positive contract net adds for the first time in 7 Qs
- Continued solid performance in fixed business
- Revenues and OIBDA declined affected by commercial intensity, competition and regulation
North Hispam | Commercial success overshadowed by regulation
Telxius | New "MAREA" cable now in service
Sustained commercial momentum
- New state-of-the-art cables progressed according to plan
- MAREA (US-Europe) in service since the end of March
- BRUSA (Brazil-US) to come into service later this year
Solid financials across business
- Revenue increase explained by towers; cable impacted by tougher comps in Q1 17
- Operating efficiency sustained high OIBDA margin
- CapEx intensity reflects deployment efforts in MAREA and BRUSA
- To be reduced during H2 18
Net debt reduction despite seasonal Q1 effects
Focused on attractive long-term financing
lines & synd.…
Net Debt maturities
Interest payments cost
Conclusion
Mr. Ángel Vilá COO
Q1 summary | Delivering robust financials
Our mission Let our customers choose it all
For further information: Investor Relations Tel. +34 94 482 87 00 [email protected] www.telefonica.com/investors