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Telefonica S.A. — Investor Presentation 2013
May 8, 2013
1889_ip_2013-05-08_f6cdbeab-ae0c-4bfc-9979-e2f58b39deae.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Results
January – March 2013
Telefónica, S.A. Investor Relations
Disclaimer
This document contains statements that constitute forward looking statements about Telefónica Group (going forward, "the Company" or Telefónica) including financial projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations which may refer, among others, to the intent, belief or current prospects of the customer base, estimates regarding, among others, future growth in the different business lines and the global business, market share, financial results and other aspects of the activity and situation relating to the Company.
The forward-looking statements in this document can be identified, in some instances, by the use of words such as "expects", "anticipates", "intends", "believes", and similar language or the negative thereof or by forward-looking nature of discussions of strategy, plans or intentions. Such forward-looking statements, by their nature, are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and other important factors that could cause actual developments or results to differ from those expressed in our forward looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include those discussed or identified in fuller disclosure documents filed by Telefónica with the relevant Securities Markets Regulators, and in particular, with the Spanish Market Regulator.
Analysts and investors, and any other person or entity that may need to take decisions, or prepare or release opinions about the securities issued by the Company, are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation.
Except as required by applicable law, Telefónica undertakes no obligation to release publicly the results of any revisions to these forward looking statements which may be made to reflect events and circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in Telefónica's business or acquisition strategy or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
This document may contain summarized information or information that has not been audited. In this sense, this information is subject to, and must be read in conjunction with, all other publicly available information, including if it is necessary, any fuller disclosure document published by Telefónica.
Finally, it is stated that neither this presentation nor any of the information contained herein constitutes an offer of purchase, sale or exchange, nor a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities, or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities.
Q1 13 Results highlights
• Stabilising the business
- Revenues -1.6% y-o-y in organic terms (-0.1% ex-regulation)
- Organic OIBDA stabilisation (-0.1% y-o-y) on improving margin
- High single digit organic growth in OpCF (+9.6% y-o-y)
• Progressing on transformation
- Movistar Fusión keeps strong momentum; 47% OIBDA margin in Spain (+5.1 p.p. organic y-o-y)
- Superior quality base: increasing mix of smartphones and UBB
• Advancing in diversification
- Latam generates 51% of group revenues
- Brazil becomes the largest business by revenues
• Reducing debt
- Non-recurrent factors & seasonality driving Q1 13 net debt to €51.8bn
- Net Debt reduced to €51.2bn considering post-closing events
• EPS +22.2% y-o-y
Executing our transformation strategy for a sustainable growth model
Key financials
| € in millions |
Reported Q1 13 |
Reported y-o-y |
Organic y-o-y |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 14,141 | (8.8%) | (1.6%) |
| OIBDA | 4,567 | (10.1%) | (0.1%) |
| OIBDA Margin | 32.3% | (0.5 p.p.) |
0.5 p.p. |
| OpCF (ex-spectrum) |
3,321 | (1.6%) | 9.6% |
| Underlying y-o-y |
|||
| Net income | 902 | 20.6% | (7.9%) |
| EPS | 0.20 | 22.2% | (6.7%) |
- Forex effects (Venezuelan devaluation)
- Changes in the perimeter (Atento)
- Telco adjustment of the value of TI investment in Q1 12
Quarterly performance consistent with Company's expectations
Full year guidance reiterated
Commercial progress; towards higher value & more sustainable customer base
Smartphone penetration
UBB Penetration
T. Europe: Tariff innovation & subsidy reduction
- Spain: "Movistar Fusión" October 2012
- Germany: "O2 Blue all in" March 2013
- Czech Republic: "O2 FREE" April 2013
- UK: "O2 Refresh" April 2013
Continued focus on high quality clients
- Mobile contract base up 8% (+1 p.p. q-o-q)
- Contract mix improved to 33% (+2 p.p. y-o-y)
- Mobile contract net adds surpass 1.4 m in Q1
- Steady growth of FBB accesses (+2% y-o-y)
- UBB connected customers: 1.1 m (x1.8 vs. Mar-12)
- Progressive LTE deployment in key markets
T. Latinoamérica: Best quality base
- Leading contract in the region
- Contract +13% y-o-y
- Smartphones +78% y-o-y
- Best positioned to capture mobile data opportunity
Revenues benefiting from unmatched diversification
Q1 13 organic revenue
Stable revenue performance ex-seasonality
- Q1 13 organic revenues -0.1% y-o-y ex-regulation
- Main growth drivers: T. Latam (51% of revenues) and mobile data (37% of MSR)
- Brazil becomes the largest market by revenues
- Organic growth slowed down sequentially mainly due to T. Europe on the back of calendar effects, handsets sales and regulation
Non-SMS revenues/ Data Revenues
Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13
+7 p.p.
Maintained transformation of revenue mix
- Data revenues over MSR increased 3 p.p. y-o-y to 37%
- Non-SMS revenues (+21.9% organic y-o-y) drive data revenue growth (+9.5% y-o-y organic)
- Creating value through tiered pricing and bundling
Transformation for a more profitable business
Focus on efficiencies lead to sustained savings
- Delivering on cost control execution
- Third consecutive quarter of OpEx y-o-y decline
- New commercial model progressively reducing subsidies
Cost cutting efforts in Q1 more than offset weaker revenues
- Commercial costs: -11.1% y-o-y organic mainly due to subsidies reduction despite higher smartphone sales
- Continue progress on simplification (process and products), increasing effectiveness
- Resources optimisation, eliminating redundancies
- Data centric business increasing network costs
Benefits of scale achieved through TGR
Global Resources: Delivering OpEx & CapEx savings
Strong focus in a limited set of priority projects to drive transformation
Network and Operations:
- Going forward to ensure smooth implementation of Network Sharing agreements in Europe and extend the scope to Latam (e.g. MoU with AMX in Brazil)
- Deployment of a standardised technical support model for all Group operations
IT:
- Deployment of a new model for Application Maintenance in Latam
- Infrastructure consolidation progress: closed 2 rented Data Centres in Latam
Devices:
• Consolidation of operational model, with global negotiations leading to simplified portfolio. 80% of Q1 13 value in 30 references
Procurement:
• Commissioned an ad-hoc specialised unit, "E2E Sourcing Transformation Unit", to tackle the e2e Sourcing model for most relevant global categories
MNCs:
• Maintain MNCs commercial momentum leveraging enhanced portfolio (Managed Mobility & WAN and Managed videoconference)
TELEFÓNICA
Digital: Progressing in the digital world
Accomplishments in Q1 13
Firefox handsets to be launched in Q3
- 1st devices in Spain, Colombia and Venezuela in Q3. 5 additional countries in Q4 including Brazil
- Vendors to launch will be ZTE and Alcatel followed by LG, Huawei and Sony
- Content partnerships with Facebook, Twitter, Nokia HERE, MTV
Bolstering M2M capabilities by launching new platforms and products
- Launch "Smart M2M Solution" platform
- Launch a pioneering motor insurance policy, "Pay As You Drive", with Generali in Spain
- Partnership with Sascar to develop fleet management solutions in Brazil
- Telefónica named Top Tier M2M Operator by Machina Research
Launch of TU Go in UK
• A new free-to-download app that allows customers to use their mobile phone number to make calls or send messages from a wide variety of devices, fully integrated into their subscription bundle
Launched WEVE in the UK, VIVO Media in Brazil and signed partnership with Sprint
- Creating scale for advertisers and agencies across markets in UK, Brazil and US
- Together with Sprint, providing easier access to over 370 million customers worldwide
Improving position to capture eHealth growth
• Acquisition of Axismed, leading chronic patient management Company in Brazil
Taskhub, the first investment by Telefónica's VC team in a Wayra start-up
• Taskhub, an online marketplace for jobs and small tasks, to be accelerated through O2 in the UK
T. Latam: Healthy growth on sound basis
Brazil: Widening mobile competitive advantage
FBB/Fixed
Unparalleled service quality leveraged on differential infrastructure
- Contract net adds share of 42% in Q1 with lower SAC
- Delivering the best service: complaints c40% lower than competitors average
- Incremental top-ups (+8.7% y-o-y in lc) despite lower prepay customer base (-2.9% y-o-y)
Enlarging gap in high value customers
- Mobile contract +17% y-o-y to 26% of mobile accesses (+3 p.p.)
- Smartphones with data plan +88% y-o-y to 14% of mobile accesses (+7 p.p.)
- New innovative multi-device plans launched in April to keep strengthening our position
Action plan implemented to keep improving fixed quality
- Enhanced mix of broadband speeds (+12 p.p. accesses with >= 4Mbps vs. Mar-12)
- Vivo Fiber target: 1.8 m homes passed by Dec-13 (Mar-13: 1.1m)
- Positive performance in Corporates & SMEs: accesses +9% y-o-y
Brazil: Solid revenue and OIBDA growth
Revenue growth (organic y-o-y)
Mobile Service Revenue (y-o-y)
OIBDA growth (organic y-o-y)
OIBDA and Margin expansion y Consistent revenue growth improvement -o-y
- Regulation negatively affecting y-o-y growth by 1.3 p.p.
- MSR improvement led by higher usage & data. Non-SMS revenues y-o-y growth accelerated to +23.2% in Q1
- Leading MSR market growth
OIBDA and margin expansion y-o-y
- Improved profitability y-o-y driven by synergies
- Strong contract net adds (Q1 13: +42% y-o-; Q4 12:+12% y-oy), main impact behind y-o-y margin deceleration
- Ongoing integration efforts to continue improving efficiency and customer satisfaction
- Leading OIBDA market share, reinforced leadership in Q1
T. Latam: Key Metrics (I)
T. Latam: Key Metrics (II)
T. Europe: Refreshed commercial approach, focused on value
Enhanced portfolio across markets
- Tariff refreshment balanced customer needs and key strategic priorities:
- Data-centric
- Simplicity
- No-subsidy
- LTE monetisation
- Offering tailored to market conditions
- Reinforced competitiveness amid an aggressive competitive landscape and challenging macro environment
- Building on a more sustainable commercial model moving away from handset subsidies
Continued improvement in profitability despite top line pressure
- Revenue evolution impacted by calendar effects, handsets sales and regulation
- Further efficiency gains and restructuring costs in Q1:
- Leaner operation drives non-commercial costs (-8.6% y-o-y)
- Lower subsidies reducing commercial costs (-19.1% y-o-y)
- OIBDA margin improvement
- Stable OpCF y-o-y
Financials y-o-y change are organic Q4 12 margin y-o-y in organic terms and excluding positive impact of the change of scheme in the UK pension plan
Spain: Recovering commercial strength with Movistar Fusión
Movistar Fusión
FBB & Fiber net adds ('000)
Mobile contract net adds ('000)
Fusion maintains market momentum; keeps improving customer mix
- Convergence has become the key market trend
- Revenue break-even in Q1 due to new revenue stream from new customers & upselling
- Increased mobile add-ons
- Improved customer satisfaction
- Increased Fiber uptake
- Fixed telephony losses (-136 k in Q1): -33% y-o-y
Convergent offers impacting mobile performance
- Convergent offers gaining traction
- Total market shrinking
- Competition remains intense
- Contract portability net loss (181 k in Q1)
- 82% of net loss to MVNOs, mainly integrated offers
- Improved trend throughout the quarter
Renewed commercial offers in April to reinforce competitive position
Spain: Further progress towards business stabilisation
Q1 13 (y-o-y organic)
Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13
Revenue ex-handset sales stabilises its y-o-y trend in Q1 13
- Positive impact of lower upgrades (loyalty program) on MSR
- Mobile handset sales -67% y-o-y (subsidies removal in Mar-12)
Sustained high OIBDA margin: visible benefits of transformation
- Transformed business model
- Allowing to better manage tough macro and competitive environment
- Ongoing cost cutting initiatives across the board
- New commercial model (net commercial savings in line with Q4 12)
- Redundancy program (€ 40 m savings in Q1)
- Simplification (portfolio and processes)
- Increased customer satisfaction (lower churn & higher quality)
• Further efficiencies to come on deeper transformation
- Personnel: bargaining agreement renewed limiting wages to 1% till 2014, temporal suspension of Co. contribution to pension plan
- Insourcing (more than 100 activities insourced in commercial, technical and support areas)
- Deepening on simplification (IT, services, product portfolio…)
Stable organic OpCF vs. Q1 12, totalling €1.3Bn
- Focused CapEx in fiber leveraging investment efficiencies
- Fiber: 2.3 m households passed (x1.8 y-o-y)
UK: Back to OIBDA growth on sustained commercial traction
Sustained performance in contract net adds ('000)
MSR (ex-regulation y-o-y)
OIBDA (y-o-y)
Strong traction in the contract segment drives mobile growth
- Record low contract churn at 0.95% (-0.1 p.p. y-o-y)
- Mobile base up 3%, with contract mix at 53% (+3 p.p. y-o-y) despite aggressive competition
-
Smartphone penetration at 47% (+6 p.p. y-o-y)
-
"O2 Refresh" launched in April to reinforce position
- Simple and transparent "all in" price scheme: service and handset clearly separated
- Innovative and flexible approach: value for money
- Maintained data centric strategy
Maintained momentum leads to revenue performance
- MSR trend improved for the second consecutive quarter
- Non-SMS revenues: main growth driver (+16.4% y-o-y)
- RPI increase and disposal of fixed business to impact from Q2 13
OIBDA reflects revenue trends and efficiency efforts
- OIBDA margin expansion: contained commercial expenses, network sharing and scale benefits
- OIBDA was negatively impacted by restructuring charges (Q1 13: € 8 m)
- OpCF up 25% y-o-y to € 166 m (excluding spectrum investment of € 671 m)
Germany: Solid progress in mobile data
Q1 13 mobile service revenues (y-o-y)
OIBDA Margin
Mobile business (Q1 13) Delivering on clear strategic priorities
- Contract growth leads to mix improvement of 2 p.p. to 53%
- Accelerating smartphone penetration to 28% (+7 p.p. y-o-y)
- New "O2 Blue all in" portfolio: Encouraging trends in terms of mix, best value for money proposition, clear progress in upselling
- Opening of new LTE high speed areas
• MoU signed with DT for a long-term cooperation for the future development of fixed NGA
MSR performance reflects customer base transformation
- Pressure in ARPU due to contract renewals and decreasing incoming SMS revenues in a high competitive environment
- Non-SMS revenues/data revenues at 63% (+9 p.p. y-o-y)
- Handset revenues (+23.5% y-o-y) on better mix of smartphones
Stable OIBDA y-o-y on focused acquisition and retention
• OIBDA margin expansion due to improved customer mix and additional efficiencies
TELEFÓNICA
Debt reduction absorbing bolivar devaluation and seasonal effects
Net Financial Debt evolution
Strengthening liquidity and reducing financial expenses
Increased average debt life on 2013 YTD financing
• €7bn long term diversified financing 2013 YTD
- Average debt life 6.75 years
- Ample geographic split by bank financing: Europe 48%, Asia 18%, Spain 18%, North America 12% & Latam 4%
€21.4bn liquidity: increasing vs. Dic-12 Decreasing effective interest cost (12 month rolling)
€ in billions
- +€0.4bn liquidity cushion increase vs. Dec-12
- €0.8bn bonds buy-back reducing debt maturities in the next 3 years
Investor Relations Telefónica, S.A.
Conclusion
- Solid start to year, in line with Company expectations
- Commercial push focus on quality an innovation
- Stable organic OIBDA with margin improvement, and solid OpCF increase
- Strong EPS growth
- Decisive actions taken to further reduce debt
- 2013 outlook reiterated
Executing our transformation strategy for a sustainable growth model
Organic growth / 2013 guidance: Assumes constant exchange rates as of 2012 (average Fx in 2012), excludes hyperinflationary accounting in Venezuela and considers constant perimeter of consolidation. In OIBDA and OI terms excludes write-downs, capital gains/losses from companies' disposals, tower sales and material non-recurring impacts. CapEx excludes spectrum acquisition. 2012 adjusted bases exclude: capital gains/losses from companies' disposals (capital gains/losses from China Unicom, Atento, Hispasat and Rumbo), impairment of T. Ireland, homogeneous perimeter (2012 adjusted figures exclude results of Atento, Rumbo and small changes in T. Digital perimeter and homogeneous accounting treatment of Joint Ventures) tower sales and change in contractual commercial model for contract handsets in Chile.
Mobile net additions exclude the disconnection of inactive customers in Spain (Q1 12) and C. Republic (Q1 13).