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TAG Immobilien AG — Call Transcript 2016
Aug 11, 2016
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Conference call presentation Q2 2016
Content
| I. | TAG highlights Q2 2016 | 3 | T N E T |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| II. | TAG financials Q2 2016 | 6 | N O C |
|
| III. | TAG portfolio Q2 2016 | 12 | ||
| IV. | TAG revised guidance 2016 | 17 | ||
| V. | Appendix | 19 | ||
| | Acquisitions and disposals 2015 | |||
| | Portfolio valuation 2015 | |||
| | Capex and maintenance | |||
| | Capital markets heads-up | |||
| | Bonds and convertibles | |||
| | Management Board | |||
| TAG Immobilien AG August 2016 |
TAG highlights Q2 2016
| Q2 2016 | Q1 2016 | FY 2015 | Q2 2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vacancy (residential units) |
7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5%/7.7%* | 8.7% | |
| L-f-L rental growth Y-o-Y |
1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | |
| Operational | L-f-L rental growth Y-o-Y incl. vacancy reduction |
3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| performance | Net in-place rents (EUR/sqm) |
5.05 | 5.02 | 5.04/ 5.00* | 5.00 |
| FFO I (EUR/m) |
23.3 | 21.6 | 76.3 | 18.6 | |
| FFO I (EUR/share) |
0.18 | 0.17 | 0.62 | 0.15 | |
| * : incl. acquisitions and disposals 2015 |
| NAV and | |
|---|---|
| LTV |
| 30 Jun-2016 |
31 Mar-2016 |
31 Dec-2015 |
30 Jun-2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPRA NAV (EUR/share) |
10.40 | 10.76 | 10.64 | 9.78 |
| LTV |
60.4% | 59.0% | 60.7% | 63.2% |
| LTV (incl. convertibles) |
62.4% | 61.0% | 62.7% | 65.7% |
| L-f-L rental growth Y-o-Y |
1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operational | L-f-L rental growth |
Y-o-Y incl. vacancy reduction | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| performance | Net in-place rents (EUR/sqm) |
5.05 | 5.02 | 5.04/ 5.00* | 5.00 | |
| FFO I (EUR/m) |
23.3 | 21.6 | 76.3 | 18.6 | ||
| FFO I (EUR/share) |
0.18 | 0.17 | 0.62 | 0.15 | ||
| * : incl. acquisitions and disposals 2015 | ||||||
| 30 Jun-2016 |
31 Mar-2016 |
31 Dec-2015 |
30 Jun-2015 | |||
| EPRA NAV (EUR/share) |
10.40 | 10.76 | 10.64 | 9.78 | ||
| NAV and LTV |
LTV |
60.4% | 59.0% | 60.7% | 63.2% | |
| LTV (incl. convertibles) |
62.4% | 61.0% | 62.7% | 65.7% | ||
| Acquisitions and disposals |
Acquisitions |
Closing of acquisition signed in Dec-2015 EUR 39.5m purchase price (equals 11.8x actual net cold rent of EUR 3.36m p.a.). Vacancy at 3.8%. |
in Saxony (972 residential units) at 31 Jan-2016. | |||
| Disposals |
330 residential units signed in H1 2016 (Q2: 212 units). Total selling price of EUR 16.5m (Q2: EUR 10m). Book profit of EUR 1.8m (Q2: EUR 1.1m). Net cash proceeds of approx. EUR 7.2m (Q2: EUR 1.7m). |
|||||
| TAG Immobilien AG August 2016 |
TAG highlights Q2 2016 – early conversion
Facts regarding the subject convertible bond
| Convertible bond 2019 | ISIN DE000A1PGZM3 |
|---|---|
| Outstanding volume (EURm) | 74.5 |
| Maturity | 28 Jun 2019 |
| Interest rate | 5.5% |
| Current conversion price (EUR / share) |
7.4729 |
| Underlying shares (#m) |
9.97 |
Facts regarding the offer
| Convertible bond 2019 | ISIN DE000A1PGZM3 |
|---|---|
| Cash premium offered | 12.75% |
| Implicit premium (beginning of the offer) |
c. 2.5% |
| Total cash expenditure (EURm) | 8.9 |
| Interest savings p.a. pre tax (EURm) |
4.1 |
| LTV pre transaction (30 Jun-2016) |
62.4% |
| LTV post transaction (pro forma) | 60.7% |
Transaction rationale
- Share price performance in recent years has made the convertible bond 2019 trade up deep into the money, which enables TAG to propose an incentivized conversion to the benefit of all stakeholders: bondholders, existing shareholders as well as the company
- In line with its strategy on the asset side, TAG is committed to continuously optimize its liabilities, i.e. its capital and financing structure
- The transaction will result in a reduction of LTV from 62.4% to 60.7% (pro forma calculation based on the IFRS consolidated financial statements as of 30 June 2016)
- Given the high coupon of the convertible bond 2019, the transaction will strengthen total FFO and will result in a nearly neutral impact on FFO per share
- Cash premium offered is lower than the present value of the scheduled coupon payments until conversion at maturity
- Acceptance quota 94% (volume of EUR 70.1m), total cash payments amounts to EUR 8.9m
- Transaction completed in July 2016; Clean up call for the remaining convertibles (volume of EUR 4.4m) in August 2016
- Innovative transaction, never successfully completed in German capital markets before
TAG income statement (IFRS)
| (in EUR millions) | Q2 2016 | Q1 2016 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | FY 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rental revenues | 68.3 | 67.7 | 136.0 | 128.9 | 259.3 |
| Expenses from property management |
-13.0 | -14.6 | -27.6 | -27.8 | -54.0 |
| Net rental income | 55.3 | 53.1 | 108.4 | 101.1 | 205.3 |
| Margin | 80.9% | 78.5% | 79.7% | 78.5% | 79.2% |
| Net revenues from sales |
1.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 11.3 | 20.1 |
| Other operating income | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 7.6 |
| Net fair value gains and losses | 3.6 | 0.8 | 4.4 | 20.8 | 98.9 |
| Personnel expenses | -9.4 | -9.3 | -18.7 | -17.3 | -35.2 |
| Depreciation | -0.7 | -0.7 | -1.4 | -1.6 | -3.1 |
| Other operating expenses | -4.4 | -4.4 | -8.8 | -10.3 | -22.5 |
| EBIT | 47.1 | 41.6 | 88.7 | 106.8 | 271.1 |
| Net financial result | -21.4 | -21.9 | -43.3 | -48.5 | -96.0 |
| EBT | 25.7 | 19.7 | 45.4 | 58.3 | 175.1 |
| Income tax | -3.6 | -1.7 | -5.3 | -10.1 | -27.8 |
| Net income | 22.1 | 18.0 | 40.1 | 48.3 | 147.3 |
- Rental revenues in Q2 increased due to portfolio acquisitions effective as of Feb. 2016 and through rental growth and vacancy reduction
- Lower property management costs in Q2 2016 compared to Q1 2016 (increased level in Q1 because of higher impairments on rent receivables and higher non recoverable service charges)
- Net revenues from sales in H1 2016 due to single unit sales; in H1 2015 portfolio sale in Berlin
- Valuation gain in Q2 2016 result of revaluation of parts of the commercial objects; annual portfolio valuation (residential portfolio) will follow in Q3 2016
- Lower other operating expenses in H1 2016; H1 2015 affected by one-off transaction costs from ERP software project
- Improved net financial result in Q2 2016 due to reduced interest expenses on bank loans; net financial result (cash, after one-offs) reduced by EUR 3.5m in H1 2016 compared to H1 2015
- Income taxes nearly completely relate to deferred taxes; current cash taxes in H1 2016 of EUR 0.2m (EUR 0.1m in H1 2015)
TAG FFO calculation
| (in EUR millions) | Q2 2016 | Q1 2016 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | FY 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 22.1 | 18.0 | 40.1 | 48.3 | 147.3 |
| + Taxes | 3.6 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 10.1 | 27.8 |
| + Net financial result | 21.4 | 21.9 | 43.3 | 48.5 | 96.0 |
| EBIT | 47.1 | 41.6 | 88.7 | 106.9 | 271.1 |
| - Net financial result (cash, after one off's) |
-19.7 | -20.1 | -39.8 | -43.7 | -84.0 |
| - Cash taxes + Adjustments |
-0.3 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.4 |
| Valuation result | -3.6 | -0.8 | -4.4 | -20.8 | -98.9 |
| Depreciation | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3.1 |
| Impairment losses on real estate inventory |
0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| One off's personnel-costs and project costs |
0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 5.3 |
| Net revenue from sales | -1.0 | -0.7 | -1.7 | -11.3 | -20.1 |
| = FFO I | 23.3 | 21.6 | 44.9 | 36.7 | 76.3 |
| CAPEX | -11.7 | -9.6 | -21.3 | -16.7 | -40.1 |
| = AFFO | 11.6 | 12.0 | 23.6 | 20.0 | 36.2 |
| Net revenue from sales | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 11.3 | 20.1 |
| = FFO II (FFO I + net revenue from sales) |
24.3 | 22.3 | 46.6 | 48.0 | 96.4 |
| Weighted average number of | |||||
| shares outstanding (in '000) | 132,501 | 126,834 | 129,668 | 121,046 | 123,118 |
| FFO I per share (EUR) | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.35 | 0.30 | 0.62 |
| AFFO per share (EUR) | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| Weighted average number of | |||||
| shares, fully diluted (in '000) | 142,072 | 136,351 | 139,212 | 132,278 | 134,531 |
| FFO I per share (EUR), fully | |||||
| diluted | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.34 | 0.29 | 0.60 |
| AFFO per share (EUR), fully | |||||
| diluted | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| O F F |
|
|---|---|
| FFO I increased by EUR 1.7m in comparison to previous quarter and by EUR 8.3m in H1 2016 compared to H1 2015 |
|
| Number of shares outstanding increased in Q1 2016 by 7.0m from 125.5m to 132.5m: placement of treasury shares (5.0m) and use of treasury shares (2.0m) in exchange for Colonia shares |
|
| Further increase in number of shares from 132.5m by 9.4m to 141.9m in July-2016 due to early conversion offer for convertible bonds; total number of shares after clean-up call in Aug-2016 at (estimated) 142.5m |
|
| 4.1m treasury shares remaining from share buyback in Sep/Oct-2014 |
|
| TAG Immobilien AG August 2016 |
TAG balance sheet (IFRS)
| (in EUR millions) | 30 Jun-2016 | 31 Dec-2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Non-current assets |
3,659.3 | 3,605.4 |
| Investment property | 3,586.6 | 3,531.1 |
| Deferred tax assets | 42.6 | 43.6 |
| Other non-current assets | 30.1 | 30.7 |
| Current assets | 146.3 | 165.1 |
| Real estate inventory | 11.1 | 12.8 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 101.7 | 103.8 |
| Other current assets | 33.5 | 48.5 |
| Non-current assets held-for-sale |
1.9 | 23.7 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 3,807.5 | 3,794,2 |
| Equity (including minority interest) |
1,147.9 | 1,120.6 |
| Minority interest | 21.5 | 35.4 |
| Non-current liabilities | 2,467.0 | 2,379.0 |
| Financial debt | 2,220.6 | 2,136.7 |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 236.3 | 231.6 |
| Other non-current liabilities | 10.1 | 10.7 |
| Current liabilities | 192.6 | 294.6 |
| Financial debt | 132.8 | 212.9 |
| Other current liabilities | 59.8 | 81.7 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 3,807.5 | 3,794.2 |
| LTV (excl. convertible bonds) | 60.4% | 60.7 % |
| LTV | 62.4% | 62.7 % |
TAG Immobilien AG | August 2016BALANCE SHEET Cash inflows from refinancing of latest acquisitions (bank loans of approx. EUR 25m) not included Increase in stake of Colonia to 93.9% at 30 Jun-2016 (87.2% at 31 Dec-2015) Long-term refinancing of bank loans of EUR 100m in June 2016 leads to increased non-current financial debt (while reducing current financial debt)
LTV reduction by 30 bps even after dividend payment of EUR 72.9m in June 2016 (leading to increase in LTV of 200 bps)
TAG NAV calculation
| (in EUR millions) | 30 Jun-2016 | 31 Dec-2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Equity (without minorities) | 1,126.4 | 1,085.1 |
| + Deferred taxes on investment properties and financial derivatives |
249.7 | 245.1 |
| + Fair value of financial derivatives | 2.5 | 5.4 |
| = EPRA NAV | 1,378.6 | 1,335.6 |
| - Standardized transaction costs |
-210.3 | -207.6 |
| = EPRA NAV (incl. standardized transaction costs) |
1,168.3 | 1,128.0 |
| Number of shares (outstanding) (in '000) | 132,501 | 125,469 |
| EPRA NAV per share (EUR) | 10.40 | 10.64 |
| EPRA NAV per share (EUR) (incl. standardized transaction costs) |
8.82 | 8.99 |
| Number of shares, fully diluted (in '000) | 142,470 | 134,986 |
| EPRA NAV per share (EUR) fully diluted |
10.20 | 10.45 |
| EPRA NAV per share (EUR) fully diluted (incl. standardized transaction costs) |
8.72 | 8.91 |
NAV per share development 30 Jun-2016 compared to 31 Dec-2015:
- NAV reduction of EUR 0.55 due to dividend payment in June 2016
- EUR 0.27 increase due to net income in H1 2016
- EUR 0.04 increase due to placement of 5m treasury shares in March 2016
- TAG Immobilien AG | August 2016NAV Total change in NAV ex dividend payment of EUR of 0.31 in H1 2016 and before annual portfolio valuation in Q3 2016
TAG debt financing structure
Debt maturity profile as of 30 Jun-2016 in EUR millions
Interest rates and maturities (1)
Upcoming refinancing in the short- to medium-term
- TAG is currently financing new mortgage bank loans at all-in interest cost at approx. 1.3%-1.4% p.a. for a 10 year term
- Until 31 Dec-2018, a total of EUR 611m of bank loans (2016: EUR 59m; 2017: EUR 128m; 2018; EUR 424m) will mature or can be refinanced at no breakage fees at expiration; interest rates of these bank loans on average at 3.53% p.a.
Cost of debt and LTV development
- Total cost of debt in Jun-2016 (pro forma after early conversion of convertible bond) at 3.2% (3.45% in Dec-2015 and 3.6% in Jun-2015)
- LTV in Jun-2016 (pro forma after early conversion of convertible bond) at 60.7% (62.7% in Dec-2015 and 65.7% in Jun-2014)
| (in EUR millions) | Q2 2016 | Q1 2016 | FY 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| + Interest income | 0.7 | 0.8 | 3.6 |
| - Interest expenses |
-22.2 | -22.8 | -99.4 |
| + net profit from investments/ associates |
0.1 | 0.1 | -0.2 |
| = Net financial result |
-21.4 | -21.9 | -96.0 |
| thereof non-cash financial result related to convertible bonds |
-0.3 | -0.3 | -1.6 |
| thereof non-cash financial result related to corporate bonds |
-0.2 | -0.2 | -0.7 |
| thereof non-cash related to derivatives |
0.2 | -0.7 | -2.5 |
| thereof other non-cash financial result and one-offs(2) |
-1.4 | -0.6 | -7.2 |
| = Net financial result (cash, after one-offs) |
-19.7 | -20.1 | -84.0 |
TAG Immobilien AG | August 2016 (1) Pro forma after early conversion of convertible bond; numbers in brackets show refinancing volumes and interest rates until 31 Dec-2018
(2) Includes other non cash financial income, other expenses and one-offs from refinancing
TAG portfolio in total as of 30 Jun-2016
- Geographic regions in accordance with decentralized management clusters and strategic relevance
- Change in 2016: split of region "Dresden" into two regions ("Dresden" and "Chemnitz") in accordance with new internal management and reporting structure
| Portfolio as of | 30 Jun-2016 | 31 Dec-2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Units | 78,377 | 78,015 |
| Rentable area in sqm | 4,796,999 | 4,765,897 |
| Real estate volume in TEUR |
3,609,833 | 3,577,899 |
| Actual net cold rent in EUR/ sqm/month (total) |
5.18 | 5.19 |
| Actual net cold rent in EUR/ sqm/month (residential units) |
5.05 | 5.04 |
| Annualized actual net cold rent in TEUR (total) |
276,228 | 269,722 |
| Vacancy in % (total) | 7.4 | 8.2 |
| Vacancy in % (residential units) |
7.1 | 7.5 |
TAG portfolio in total – H1 2016 by region
| Region | Units # |
Rentable area sqm |
IFRS BV TEUR |
In place yield % |
Vacancy June 2016 % |
Vacancy Dec. 2015 % |
Actual net cold rent EUR/ sqm |
Re letting rent EUR/ sqm |
L-f-l rental growth y-o-y % |
L-f-l rental growth y-o-y incl. vacancy reduction % |
Mainte nance EUR/ sqm |
Capex EUR/ sqm |
Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | 9,906 | 572,404 | 491,118 | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.18 | 5.88 | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.56 | 5.88 | Increase in vacancy due to acquisitions |
| Chemnitz | 6,537 | 374,596 | 221,259 | 8.2% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 4.70 | 4.95 | 2.5% | 5.8% | 1.58 | 9.22 | Split of "Dresden" region into "Chemnitz" and "Dresden" in 2016 |
| Dresden | 6,192 | 402,091 | 347,819 | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 5.37 | 5.71 | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.96 | 2.42 | Increase in vacancy due to acquisitions |
| Erfurt | 8,320 | 469,009 | 385,596 | 7.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.01 | 5.42 | 1.6% | 4.0% | 1.51 | 5.10 | Higher investments to reduce vacancy |
| Gera | 9,624 | 561,318 | 374,194 | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 4.70 | 5.03 | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.48 | 2.94 | |
| Hamburg | 7,277 | 444,443 | 370,048 | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.29 | 5.64 | 1.1% | 3.3% | 3.90 | 5.88 | |
| Leipzig | 8,503 | 504,088 | 360,432 | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.91 | 5.21 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.41 | 2.21 | |
| Rhine-Ruhr | 4,931 | 318,859 | 282,028 | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 5.29 | 5.48 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 5.65 | 2.43 | Increase in vacancy due to acquisitions |
| Rostock | 5,471 | 325,096 | 262,094 | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.25 | 5.58 | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.10 | 5.80 | Higher investments to reduce vacancy |
| Salzgitter | 9,174 | 562,945 | 378,245 | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 4.98 | 5.24 | 2.7% | 8.7% | 4.70 | 5.33 | |
| Total residential units |
75,935 | 4,534,849 | 3,472,835 | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.05 | 5.40 | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.87 | 4.68 | Further reduction of vacancy to 7.0% in July-2016 from 7.7% (including acquisitions 2015) in Jan-2016 |
| Acquisitions 2016 |
953 | 55,445 | 42,050 | 7.7% | 3.8% | 10.6% | 5.03 | 5.03 | --- | --- | 2.10 | 0.66 | |
| Commercial units within resi. portfolio |
1,256 | 160,978 | --- | --- | 17.1% | 17.7% | 7.48 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| Total residential portfolio |
78,144 | 4,751,272 | 3,514,885 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.13 | 5.39 | --- | --- | 2.76 | 4.47 | |
| Other | 233 | 45,727 | 94,948 | 5.7% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.41 | 0.00 | --- | --- | 2.61 | 1.67 | Comprises commercial objects and serviced apartments |
| Grand total | 78,377 | 4,796,999 | 3,609,833 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.18 | 5.39 | --- | --- | 2.76 | 4.45 | Vacancy total portfolio in July-2016 at 7.4% (8.2% in Jan-2016) TAG Immobilien AG August 2016 |
TAG vacancy reduction development
- Realisation of development potential from newly acquired portfolios
- Proof of successful asset and property management over the last three years
- Increases in vacancy due to new acquisitions with higher vacancy and sales with lower vacancy (e.g. Berlin)
Salzgitter region 2013 - 2016
- Continued strong vacancy reduction in the Salzgitter region with currently c.300bps per annum
- Adjust residential units to the market requirements (for students, singles, families, elderly people)
- Targeted modernisation programs i.e. for elderly people, bathroom conversions etc.
- Reduction of service charges; better quality of service for tenants
TAG rental growth development
TAG Immobilien AG | August 2016PORTFOLIO / PLATFORM Rental growth and vacancy reduction are the two main drivers to further improve the rental income profile of TAG
- TAG invests in regions with rather stable rent profile and is able to acquire properties with above average vacancy level
- By way of targeted modernizations and smart property managment, TAG is able to reduce these vacancy levels over time
- Vacancy reduction and rental growth have to be considered as two sides of the same medal
TAG revised guidance 2016
| FFO |
EUR 92-93m after EUR 84-85m (EUR 76.3 in FY 2015) | |
|---|---|---|
| Increased FFO Guidance |
FFO/share |
EUR 0.68 after EUR 0.67 (EUR 0.62 in FY 2015) based on current weighted average NOSH |
| FY 2016 | Dividend |
EUR 0.57 per share (unchanged; EUR 0.55 for FY 2015) |
FFO per share in EUR
Dividend per share in EUR
Gera Stralsund Chemnitz
TAG acquisitions 2015
| Signing | Saxony/Saxony Anhalt May-2015 |
Brandenburg Jun-2015 |
Rügen Jul-2015 |
Brandenburg Nov-2015 |
NRW/ Lower Saxony Nov-2015 |
Saxony Dec-2015 |
Saxony-Anhalt Dec-2015 |
Total FY2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Units | 860 | 134 | 180 | 1,776 | 1,304 | 972 | 96 | 5,322 |
| Rentable area in sqm |
49,900 | 11,400 | 11,500 | 97,200 | 84,600 | 57,059 | 8,365 | 320,024 |
| Actual net cold rent EUR/sqm/month |
4.64 | 5.49 | 5.37 | 4.30 | 4.42 | 5.05 | 5.08 | 4.68 |
| Vacancy | 14.8% | 1.3% | 6.2% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 12.1% |
| Purchase price EURm |
18.6 | 8.8 | 8.2 | 41.5 | 36.8 | 39.5 | 5.3 | 158.7 |
| Actual net cold rent EURm p.a. |
2.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 15.8 |
| Location | Leipzig, Dresden, Magdeburg, etc. |
Brandenburg | Rügen | Brandenburg | Bochum, Eschweiler, Goslar, etc. |
Chemnitz, Riesa, etc. |
Bitterfeld | |
| Closing | Aug-2015 | Aug-2015 | Aug-2015 | Dec-2015 | Dec-2015 | Jan-2016 | Dec-2015 | |
| Multiples | 7.9x | 11.1x | 11.9x | 10.1x | 9.2x | 11.8x | 10.6x | 10.0x |
approx. 5,300 units acquired in 2015; EUR 158.7m purchase price and EUR 15.8m rent p.a. leads to average buying multiple of 10.0x or 10.0% gross yield (based on actual net cold rent)
APPENDIX
TAG disposals 2015
| Signing | Berlin (Marzahn/ Hellersdorf) Apr-2015 |
Stuttgart (Commercial) Oct-2015 |
Hamburg (Wedel) Dec-2015 |
Privatisation and ongoing disposals 2015 |
Total FY 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Units | 972 | 182 | 100 | 679 | 1,933 |
| Actual net cold rent EUR/sqm/month |
5.26 | 13.64 | 6.60 | --- | |
| Actual net cold rent p.a. EURm |
3.5 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 11.4 |
| Vacancy | 1.7% | 0.6% | 5.0% | --- | |
| Selling price EURm |
59.8 | 87.5 | 9.0 | 64.6 | 220.9 |
| Net cash proceeds EURm |
34.6 | 40.3 | 6.3 | 35.3 | 116.5 |
| Book profit (IFRS) EURm after revaluation |
10.7 | 7.3 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 23.7 |
| Location | Berlin (Marzahn, Hellersdorf) |
Stuttgart | Wedel | Various locations (e.g. Berlin, Dresden, Leipzig, Erfurt, Frankfurt) |
|
| Closing | Jun-2015 | Dec-2015 | Dec-2015 | 2015 | |
| Multiples | 17.0x | 21.3x | 22.0x | 19.0x | 19.4x |
Stuttgart
Wedel
approx. 1,900 units sold in 2015; EUR 220.9m selling price and EUR 11.4m rent p.a. leads to average selling multiple of 19.4x or 5.2% gross yield (based on actual net cold rent)
APPENDIX
21
TAG portfolio valuation 2015
| Region (in EUR millions) |
2015 Fair Value (IFRS) |
2015 Fair Value (EUR/sqm) |
2015 Implied multiple |
Revaluation gain / loss |
Capex | Net acquisitions and other movements |
2014 Fair Value (IFRS) |
2014 Fair Value (EUR/sqm) |
2014 Implied multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | 441.1 | 884.5 | 14.95 | 19.9 | 3.90 | -47.6 | 464.9 | 819.1 | 14.23 |
| Chemnitz | 214.5 | 581.2 | 12.41 | -5.9 | 5.19 | 57.9 | 157.3 | 618.7 | 13.26 |
| Dresden | 300.9 | 978.7 | 14.91 | 3.2 | 1.12 | 9.6 | 287.0 | 973.4 | 15.23 |
| Erfurt | 360.2 | 838.3 | 14.61 | 8.7 | 6.25 | 22.8 | 322.4 | 831.5 | 15.39 |
| Gera | 372.0 | 662.1 | 13.27 | -3.0 | 5.45 | 72.5 | 297.1 | 685.4 | 14.12 |
| Hamburg | 308.5 | 828.9 | 14.01 | 7.3 | 1.97 | -16.4 | 315.5 | 818.8 | 14.09 |
| Leipzig | 331.1 | 712.5 | 12.87 | 1.9 | 2.12 | 27.8 | 299.4 | 710.5 | 13.12 |
| Rhine-Ruhr | 241.8 | 999.0 | 15.49 | 7.5 | 1.13 | 4.3 | 228.9 | 959.8 | 15.09 |
| Rostock | 250.5 | 797.8 | 13.52 | 5.3 | 4.47 | 17.5 | 223.2 | 769.9 | 13.57 |
| Salzgitter | 375.2 | 666.4 | 12.91 | 7.0 | 7.39 | -0.1 | 360.9 | 641.2 | 13.07 |
| Total residential units |
3,195.8 | 775.2 | 13.86 | 51.9 | 38.99 | 148.4 | 2,956.5 | 770.8 | 14.09 |
| Acquisitions | 279.8 | 639.9 | 12.26 | 37.9 | 0.60 | 12.2 | 229.1 | 609.9 | 12.12 |
| Total residential portfolio |
3,475.6 | 735.0 | 13.08 | 89.8 | 39.59 | 160.6 | 3,185.6 | 728.2 | 13.02 |
| Other | 79.2 | 2,130.6 | 19.74 | 9.1 | 0.50 | -76.4 | 146.0 | 2,345.4 | 19.28 |
| Grand total* | 3,554.8 | 745.9 | 13.18 | 98.9 | 40.09 | 84.2 | 3,331.6 | 750.9 | 13.21 |
* Real estate inventory and real estate within property, plant and equipment not included in valuation
TAG capex and maintenance
| 2015 | 2016 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in EUR millions |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Total FY |
Q1 | Q2 | Total H1 |
|
| Maintenance | Residential | 6.45 | 7.09 | 5.38 | 5.77 | 24.69 | 6.60 | 6.54 | 13.14 |
| Commercial | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 0.52 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 0.12 | |
| Capex | Residential | 6.80 | 9.88 | 13.56 | 9.35 | 39.59 | 9.60 | 11.66 | 21.26 |
| Commercial | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 0.50 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.07 | |
| Total | 13.39 | 16.98 | 19.34 | 15.59 | 65.30 | 16.25 | 18.34 | 34.59 |
TAG capital markets heads-up
| High/Low (H1 2016) |
EUR 12.36/EUR 9.85 |
|---|---|
| Number of shares (issued) |
136.6m |
| Number of shares (outstanding) |
132.5m |
| Market capitalisation (30 Jun-2016) |
EUR 1,610m |
| Stock indices |
MDAX/EPRA |
| Free Float * |
97% |
| * Deutsche Börse definition including institutional investors, repurchased TAG own shares not included |
Share price development 2015 and 2016 YTD
| Institution | Analyst | Recommen dation |
Price Target in EUR |
Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deutsche Bank | Markus Scheufler | Hold | 12.00 | 08-Aug-16 |
| Bankhaus Lampe |
Georg Kanders | Buy | 13.00 | 05-Aug-16 |
| MM Warburg | Moritz Rieser |
Hold | 12.10 | 4-Aug-16 |
| Nord/LB | Michael Seufert | Hold | 11.50 | 25-Jul-16 |
| VICTORIAPARTNERS | Bernd Janssen |
N/A | 11.60-13.00 | 21-Jul-16 |
| Berenberg | Kai Klose | Buy | 15.00 | 18-Jul-16 |
| HSBC | Thomas Martin | Buy | 20.70 | 15-Jul-16 |
| Oddo Seydler | Manuel Martin |
Neutral | 12.50 | 30-Jun-16 |
| Commerzbank | Thomas Rothaeusler | Hold | 11.80 | 29-Jun-16 |
| Kepler Cheuvreux |
Thomas Neuhold |
Buy | 14.00 | 22-Jun-16 |
| Baader Bank | André Remke | Hold | 12.40 | 25-May-16 |
| Kempen&Co. | Bernd Stahli |
Sell | 11.20 | 10-May-16 |
| Morgan Stanley | Bianca Riemer | Underweight | 9.20 | 04-Apr-16 |
| Merrill Lynch |
Mike Bessell |
Underperform | 10.40 | 03-Mar-16 |
| Barclays | David Prescott | Underweight | 9.80 | 20-Jan-16 |
| S&P Capital IQ |
William Howlett | Buy | 13.00 | 06-Nov-15 |
| Citigroup | Aaron Guy | Neutral | 12.20 | 21-Jul-15 |
| Median | 12.20 |
Shareholder structure as of 30 Jun-2016
TAG bonds
- Two corporate bonds outstanding until 2018/ 2020 (issued in 2013 and 2014)
- Bonds are included in the Open Market, Entry Standard of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange with participation in the Prime Standard for corporate bonds
Aug 2013/Feb-2014 – Aug-2018 Jun-2014 – Jun-2020
| WKN A1TNFU | WKN A12T10 |
|---|---|
| Volume: EUR 310m | Volume: EUR 125m |
| Division into shares: EUR 1,000.00 per share | Division into shares: EUR 1,000.00 per share |
| Nominal value per bond: EUR 1,000.00 | Nominal value per bond: EUR 1,000.00 |
| Maturity: 5 years until 08/07/2018 | Maturity: 6 years until 06/25/2020 |
| Interest rate (effective): 5.125% (200m)/4.3% (110m) | Interest rate: 3.75% |
| Issue price: at par (200 m in Aug-2013)/ to 103% (110m in Feb-2014) |
Issue price: at par |
2525
Erfurt
Freiberg
Dessau
TAG convertibles
Incentivized conversion in July 2016 for 5.5% convertible bond 2012/2019
- Acceptance quota 94%, equals nominal value of EUR 70.1m
- Clean up call in August 2016 for remaining nominal value of EUR 4.4m
5.5% convertible bond 2012/2019
| Issued volume: EUR 85.3m |
|---|
| Outstanding volume: EUR 4.4 m |
| Number of shares: 853 |
| Nominal value per bond: EUR 100,000.00 |
| Maturity: 06/25/2019 |
| Interest rate: $5.5\%$ |
| Conversion price: EUR 7.47 |
TAG management board
- Key responsibilities: Property and Asset Management, Acquisitions and Disposals, Shared Service Center
- Age 44
- Joined TAG as a member of the management board in July 2012
- Business degree, member of the board of DKB Immobilien AG from 2010 to 2012, more than 15 years of experience in residential real estate and property management
COO CFO CLO
- Key responsibilities: Controlling, Accounting, Financing, Taxes, Corporate Finance and Investor Relations
- Age 44
- Joined TAG as CFO in April 2014
- Business degree, CPA, CVA, over 15 years of experience as Auditor and Tax consultant with real estate clients
Claudia Hoyer Martin Thiel Dr. Harboe Vaagt
- Key responsibilities: Legal, Human Resources and Transactions
- Age 60
- With TAG for more than 15 years, has been a member of the management board since April 2011
- Law degree, over 25 years of experience in real estate legal affairs
APPENDIX