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Storebrand ASA — Investor Presentation 2016
Apr 27, 2016
3766_rns_2016-04-27_a7373d6e-7c74-4843-b14d-fd61063f034d.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Storebrand 1Q 2016
27 April 2016
Odd Arild Grefstad – CEO Lars Aa. Løddesøl – CFO
Highlights 1Q 2016
1Result before amortisation, write-downs and longevity provision.
2 Adjusted for business in run off (corporate banking and public sector) and FX. Q/Q.
3 Growth figures are from Q1 2015 to Q1 2016.
2
4 Including transitional rules. Estimated Solvency II ratio excluding transitional rules is 117 %.
Transformation of the business model continues
We work hard to reach our vision: Recommended by our customers
Paid up policies book is the main challenge in a low interest scenario and under SII…
…But still manageable both short and long term
Expected return paid up polices without use of buffers 2016-20201
…including reinvestment due and expected issuance of new paid up polices
1Expected return paid up polices, including reinvestment and issuance of new paid up polices, without the use of buffers. Illustration is based on normal risk premiums and interest rate level as of March 31, 2016.
- Q1 2016: Built NOK 3bn in new A rated HTM investments at 3.2% yield and 14 years average life
- 2016-2020: Longevity reserve strengthening and interest rate guarantee to be covered by expected return, buffers and planned company contribution2
- 2020-2025: Prolonged low interest rate environment will have limited impact on results2
2Based on current interest rates and point estimate based on normal risk premiums. Market shocks could lead to higher use of buffers and reduced results .
Estimated SII position Storebrand Group
Key takeaways
- Negative effect from reduced interest rates partly offset by risk reducing measures
- Improvement in underlying SII ratio from portfolio de-risking, asset allocation and results generation
** In addition to NOK 7 bn included in the projection for the rest of 2016.
1The estimated Economic solvency position of Storebrand Group is calculated using the current Storebrand implementation of the Solvency II Standard model with the company's interpretation of the transition rules from the NFSA. Output is sensitive to changes in financial markets, development of reserves, changes in assumptions and improvements of the calculation framework in the economic capital model as well as changes in the Solvency II legislation and national interpretation of transition rules.
Solvency II movement from Q4 2015 to Q1 2016
Growth in Savings and Insurance continues
Strong development in Storebrand Asset Management in the quarter
1Revenues are excluding performance fees. Costs are adjusted for non-recurring items and excludes amortization and FM bonus.
8
Fee and administration income shifts from Guaranteed to Savings
Income growth of 1.8% adjusted for business in run-off1
Storebrand Group income development 1Q 2016 compared to 1Q 2015 (NOK mill.) 0,6% Q1 2016 1.052 Other 21 Corporate banking 14 Public sector 4 Guaranteed pension excl public sector 24 Savings 70 Q1 2015 1.046 2,800 2,700 2,600 2,500 2,400 2,300 2,200 2,100 2,000 1,900 1,800 1,700 1,600 1,500 Guaranteed pension Savings 1Q 14 1Q 15 1Q 16 Fee- and admin income 12 months rolling Savings and Guaranteed pension (NOK mill.)
Key figures
1Result before amortisation, write-downs and longevity provisions
2Earnings per share after tax adjusted for amortisation of intangible assets
3 Customer buffers in Benco of NOK 2.9 bn not included
4Solidity capital/customer buffers does not include provisions for future longevity reservations
Storebrand Group
| Profit | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Q | Full year | ||
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Fee and administration income | 1 052 | 1 046 | 4 317 |
| Risk result life & pensions | 24 | 9 | 80 |
| Insurance premiums f.o.a. | 947 | 867 | 3 642 |
| Claims f.o.a. | -728 | -652 | -2 822 |
| Operational cost | -803 | -803 | -3 268 |
| Financial result | 187 | 79 | 244 |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 678 | 546 | 2 193 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | -133 | 59 | -431 |
| Result before amortisation and longevity |
546 | 605 | 1 762 |
| Provision longevity | - | -154 | -1 764 |
| Amortisation and write-downs of intangible assets | -115 | -105 | -437 |
| Result before tax | 430 | 346 | -438 |
| Tax | -120 | -87 | 1 821 |
| Sold/liquidated business | - | -0 | -0 |
| Profit after tax |
311 | 258 | 1 382 |
Storebrand Group
| Profit | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Q | Full year | ||
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Fee and administration income | 1 052 | 1 046 | 4 317 |
| Risk result life & pensions | 24 | 9 | 80 |
| Insurance premiums f.o.a. |
947 | 867 | 3 642 |
| Claims f.o.a. | -728 | -652 | -2 822 |
| Operational cost | -803 | -803 | -3 268 |
| Financial result | 187 | 79 | 244 |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 678 | 546 | 2 193 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | -133 | 59 | -431 |
| Result before amortisation and longevity |
546 | 605 | 1 762 |
| Profit per line of business | |||
| 1Q | Full year | ||
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Savings - non-guaranteed |
279 | 218 | 1 020 |
| Insurance | 122 | 159 | 488 |
| Guaranteed pension | 15 | 236 | 329 |
| Other result | 130 | -8 | -75 |
| Result before amortisation and longevity | 546 | 605 | 1 762 |
Savings (non-guaranteed) - strong underlying results growth
| 1Q | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | Full year 2015 |
| Fee and administration income | 697 | 628 | 2 662 |
| Risk result life & pensions | -2 | -4 | -3 |
| Operational cost | -412 | -408 | -1 638 |
| Financial result | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 283 | 216 | 1 022 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | -4 | 2 | -1 |
| Provision longevity | - | - | - |
| Result before amortisation | 279 | 218 | 1 020 |
Profit per product line
| 1Q | Full year | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Unit linked Norway | 84 | 53 | 201 |
| Unit linked Sweden | 27 | 24 | 139 |
| Asset Management segment | 130 | 89 | 485 |
| Retail banking | 38 | 52 | 195 |
| Result before amortisation | 279 | 218 | 1 020 |
1 Includes restructuring costs of -28 NOK mill. in full year 2015 numbers.
Savings (non-guaranteed) - strong growth in UL premiums
1 Growth figures show development from 1Q 2015 to 1Q 2016.
2 Excluding transfers.
3 Adjusted for FX.
14
Insurance - results affected by increased disability rate
Profit per product line
| 1Q | Full year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 | |
| P&C & Individual life 1) | 106 | 78 | 327 | |
| Health & Group life 2) | 39 | 19 | 165 | |
| Pension related disability insurance Nordic 3) | -23 | 62 | -3 | |
| Result before amortisation | 122 | 159 | 488 |
1 Includes disability reserve strengthening of NOK 100 mill. in full year 2015 numbers.
2 Includes restructuring costs of -15 NOK mill. in full year 2015 numbers.
3 Individual life and disability, property and casualty insurance
4Group life, workers comp and 50% of result in Storebrand Health insurance
5DC disability risk result Norwegian line of business and disability risk result from SPP 15
Insurance
Insurance - reduced growth
1 Growth figures show development from 1Q 2015 to 1Q 2016. 16
Guaranteed pension - results affected by weak financial markets
| 1Q | Full year | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Fee and administration income | 404 | 432 | 1 777 |
| Risk result life & pensions | 4 | 16 | 89 |
| Operational cost1 | -271 | -277 | -1 156 |
| Financial result | - | - | - |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 137 | 171 | 711 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses2 | -122 | 64 | -382 |
| Result before amortisation and longevity | 15 | 236 | 329 |
| Provision longevity | - | -154 | -1 764 |
Profit per product line
| 1Q | Full year | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Defined benefit (fee based) | 89 | 134 | 512 |
| Paid-up policies, Norway | -6 | 4 | 1 |
| Individual life and pension, Norway | 2 | - | 45 |
| Guaranteed products, Sweden | -70 | 98 | -230 |
| Result before amortisation and longevity | 15 | 236 | 329 |
1 Operational cost includes negative effect of restructuring costs of -43 NOK mill. in full year 2015 numbers.
2 Net profit sharing and loan losses includes negative effects from changed interest rate curve and other assumption changes of -265 NOK mill. in 2015.
Guaranteed pension - conversion to DC schemes continues
| 2016 | 2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 1Q | 4Q Change |
|
| Market value adjustment reserve | 4 713 | 4 520 | 193 |
| Excess value of bonds at amortised cost | 12 004 | 10 581 1 424 |
|
| Additional statutory reserve | 5 090 | 5 160 | -70 |
| Provisions for new mortality tables | 4 008 | 4 872 -864 |
|
| Unallocated results | 964 | 382 | 582 |
| Provisions for new mortality tables, shareholders direct contribution |
- | 988 -988 |
|
| Conditional bonuses Sweden | 5 622 | 6 457 -835 |
|
| Total | 32 401 | 32 959 -558 |
Comments
- Weak equity markets and lower interest rates negatively affect SPP financial result
- As companies convert to DC schemes, the migration from DB to lower-margin paid up policies continues to reduce fee income in Guaranteed pensions
1Life insurance reserves 18
Other1
| NOK million Fee and administration income Risk result life & pensions Operational cost Financial result |
1Q 2016 17 22 |
2015 45 |
Full year 2015 129 |
|---|---|---|---|
| -4 | -6 | ||
| -42 | -48 | -188 | |
| 140 | 7 | 38 | |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 137 | 0 | -27 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | -7 | -8 | -48 |
| Result before amortisation | 130 | -8 | -75 |
Profit per product line
| 1Q | Full year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 | |
| Corporate Banking |
-13 | -8 | -84 | |
| BenCo | 30 | 14 | 34 | |
| Holding company costs and net financial results in company portfolios | 113 | -14 | -26 | |
| Result before amortisation | 130 | -8 | -75 |
1Excluding eliminations. For more information on eliminations, see Supplementary Information.
2 Operational cost includes negative effect from restructuring costs of -12 NOK mill. in full year 2015 numbers.
3 Financial result includes minority share of result from real estate sale of 171 NOK mill. in full year 2015 numbers.
Highlights 1Q 2016
1Result before amortisation, write-downs and longevity provision.
2 Adjusted for business in run off (corporate banking and public sector) and FX. Q/Q.
3 Growth figures are from Q1 2015 to Q1 2016.
20
4 Including transitional rules. Estimated Solvency II ratio excluding transitional rules is 117 %.
Appendix
Storebrand Life Insurance asset allocation
1The graph shows the asset allocation for all products with an interest rate guarantee in Storebrand Life Insurance Norwegian operations.
SPP asset allocation
1The graph shows the asset allocation for all products with an interest rate guarantee in SPP.
Investor Relations contacts
Lars Aa Løddesøl Sigbjørn Birkeland Kjetil R. Krøkje Group CFO Finance Director Head of IR
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
+47 9348 0151 +47 9348 0893 +47 9341 2155