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Storebrand ASA — Investor Presentation 2016
Jul 14, 2016
3766_rns_2016-07-14_d24343b7-94ff-440e-9311-09543f6e7214.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Storebrand 2Q 2016
14 July 2016
Odd Arild Grefstad – CEO Lars Aa. Løddesøl – CFO
Highlights 2Q 2016
1Result before amortisation and write-downs.
2 Change from 1H 2015 to 1H 2016, adjusted for FX.
3 Growth figures are from 1H 2015 to 1H 2016.
2
4 Including transitional rules. Estimated Solvency II ratio excluding transitional rules is 122%.
Transformation of the business model continues
We work hard to reach our vision: Recommended by our customers
Limited Brexit effect on results and solvency
Impact of Brexit - June 23 to July 12
- Positive mark to market return effects on company portfolios and for Guaranteed portfolios in Norway and Sweden
- Limited negative effect on solvency
Paid up policies book is the main challenge in a low interest scenario and under SII…
…But still manageable both short and long term
Expected return paid up polices without use of buffers 2016-20201
…including reinvestment due and expected issuance of new paid up polices
1Expected return paid up polices, including reinvestment and issuance of new paid up polices, without the use of buffers. Illustration is based on normal risk premiums and interest rate level as of June 30, 2016.
- Q2 2016: Built NOK 3.1 bn in new A rated HTM investments at 3.1% yield and 11.3 years average life
- 2016-2020: Longevity reserve strengthening and interest rate guarantee to be covered by expected return, buffers and planned company contribution2
- 2020-2025: Prolonged low interest rate environment will have limited impact on results2
2Based on current interest rates and point estimate based on normal risk premiums. Market shocks could lead to higher use of buffers and reduced results.
Estimated SII position Storebrand Group
Key takeaways
- Reduction in reported Solvency II figures due to amortization of transitional measures
- Strong results and investment returns improve Solvency ratio excluding transitionals
- Change in asset allocation and reduced stress from equities improve the Solvency ratio
1The estimated Economic solvency position of Storebrand Group is calculated using the current Storebrand implementation of the Solvency II Standard model with the company's interpretation of the transition rules from the NFSA. Output is sensitive to changes in financial markets, development of reserves, changes in assumptions and improvements of the calculation framework in the economic capital model as well as changes in the Solvency II legislation and national interpretation of transition rules.
Solvency II movement from Q1 2016 to Q2 2016
1 Solvency II margin excluding transitional rules.
Growth in Savings and Insurance continues
Fee and administration income shifts from Guaranteed to Savings
Income decline of 5% adjusted for FX
Storebrand Group income development 2Q 2016 compared to 2Q 2015 (NOK mill.) 8 74 6 Guaranteed pension Q2 2015 Savings 1.065 -5,6% Q2 2016 1.005 Other 2,700 2,600 2,500 2,400 2,300 2,200 2,800 1,500 2,100 2,000 1,900 1,800 1,700 1,600 Guaranteed pension Savings 2Q 14 2Q 15 2Q 16 Fee- and admin income 12 months rolling Savings and Guaranteed pension (NOK mill.)
Key figures
1Result before amortisation, write-downs and longevity provisions
2Earnings per share after tax adjusted for amortisation of intangible assets
3 Customer buffers in Benco of NOK 1.0 bn not included
4Solidity capital/customer buffers does not include provisions for future longevity reservations
Storebrand Group
| Profit | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Q | 01.01 - | 30.06 | Full year | ||
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Fee and administration income | 1 005 | 1 065 | 2 058 | 2 111 | 4 317 |
| Risk result life & pensions | -6 | 54 | 18 | 63 | 80 |
| Insurance premiums f.o.a. | 962 | 947 | 1 909 | 1 813 | 3 642 |
| Claims f.o.a. | -726 | -683 | -1 453 | -1 334 | -2 822 |
| Operational cost1 |
-698 | -799 | -1 501 | -1 602 | -3 268 |
| Financial result | 200 | 76 | 387 | 156 | 244 |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 739 | 661 | 1 417 | 1 207 | 2 193 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | 60 | -51 | -73 | 8 | -431 |
| Result before amortisation and longevity | 798 | 610 | 1 344 | 1 215 | 1 762 |
| Provision longevity | - | -151 | - | -306 | -1 764 |
| Amortisation and write-downs of intangible assets | -114 | -103 | -230 | -208 | -437 |
| Result before tax | 684 | 356 | 1 114 | 701 | -438 |
| Tax | 31 | -97 | -89 | -184 | 1 821 |
| Sold/liquidated business | - | -0 | - | -0 | -0 |
| Profit after tax | 715 | 258 | 1 025 | 517 | 1 382 |
1 2Q 2016: Includes 98 NOK mill. in positive effect from change in own disability pension scheme. For a complete overview of special items in previous quarters, please visit storebrand.com/ir.
New and simplified reporting format from 3rd quarter 2016
Consolidating insurance premiums and claims into a single result line
a. Consolidating life risk and financial items into a single result line b. This allows for a pure 'operating profit' line
| 2Q | New reporting format: |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | ||
| Fee and administration income | 1 005 | NOK million | |
| Risk result life & pensions | -6 | Fee and administration income | |
| Insurance premiums f.o.a. | 962 | Insurance result | |
| Claims f.o.a. | -726 | Operational cost | |
| Operational cost | -698 | ||
| Financial result | 200 | Operating profit | |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 739 | Financial items and risk result life | |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | 60 | Profit before amortisation and longevity | |
| Result before amortisation and longevity | 798 | Provision longevity | |
| Provision longevity | - | Amortisation and write-downs of intangible assets | |
| Amortisation and write-downs of intangible assets | -114 | Result before tax | |
| Result before tax | 684 | Tax | |
| 31 | Sold/liquidated business | ||
| Sold/liquidated business | - | Profit after tax | |
| Profit after tax |
715 |
New reporting format:
1 1
2
1
2
Storebrand Group - new simplified reporting format from 3Q 2016
| Profit | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Q | 01.01 - 30.06 |
||||
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Fee and administration income | 1 005 | 1 065 | 2 058 | 2 111 | 4 317 |
| Insurance result | 237 | 264 | 455 | 479 | 820 |
| Operational cost1 |
-698 | -799 | -1 501 | -1 602 | -3 268 |
| Operating profit | 544 | 530 | 1 012 | 988 | 1 869 |
| Financial items and risk result life | 254 | 80 | 332 | 227 | -107 |
| Profit before amortisation and longevity | 798 | 610 | 1 344 | 1 215 | 1 762 |
| Provision longevity | - | -151 | - | -306 | -1 764 |
| Amortisation and write-downs of intangible assets | -114 | -103 | -230 | -208 | -437 |
| Result before tax | 684 | 356 | 1 114 | 701 | -438 |
| Tax | 31 | -97 | -89 | -184 | 1 821 |
| Sold/liquidated business | - | -0 | - | -0 | -0 |
| Profit after tax | 715 | 258 | 1 025 | 517 | 1 382 |
1 2Q 2016: Includes 98 NOK mill. in positive effect from change in own disability pension scheme. For a complete overview of special items in previous quarters, please visit storebrand.com/ir.
Storebrand Group
| 2Q | 01.01 - 30.06 |
Full year | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 | |
| Fee and administration income | 1 005 | 1 065 | 2 058 | 2 111 | 4 317 | |
| Risk result life & pensions | -6 | 54 | 18 | 63 | 80 | |
| Insurance premiums f.o.a. | 962 | 947 | 1 909 | 1 813 | 3 642 | |
| Claims f.o.a. | -726 | -683 | -1 453 | -1 334 | -2 822 | |
| Operational cost1 |
-698 | -799 | -1 501 | -1 602 | -3 268 | |
| Financial result | 200 | 76 | 387 | 156 | 244 | |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 739 | 661 | 1 417 | 1 207 | 2 193 | |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | 60 | -51 | -73 | 8 | -431 | |
| Result before amortisation and longevity | 798 | 610 | 1 344 | 1 215 | 1 762 |
| 2Q | 01.01 - 30.06 |
Full year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Savings - non-guaranteed |
241 | 237 | 520 | 455 | 1 020 |
| Insurance | 153 | 192 | 275 | 351 | 488 |
| Guaranteed pension | 237 | 183 | 252 | 419 | 329 |
| Other result | 167 | -3 | 297 | -10 | -75 |
| Result before amortisation and longevity | 798 | 610 | 1 344 | 1 215 | 1 762 |
1 2Q 2016: Includes 98 NOK mill. in positive effect from change in own disability pension scheme. For a complete overview of special items in previous quarters, please visit storebrand.com/ir.
Savings (non-guaranteed) - underlying results growth
| 2Q | 01.01 - 30.06 |
Full year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Fee and administration income | 636 | 627 | 1 333 | 1 255 | 2 662 |
| Risk result life & pensions | 8 | 4 | 6 | 0 | -3 |
| Operational cost1 |
-407 | -394 | -819 | -802 | -1 638 |
| Financial result | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 238 | 238 | 521 | 453 | 1 022 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | 3 | -0 | -1 | 2 | -1 |
| Provision longevity | - | - | - | - | - |
| Result before amortisation | 241 | 237 | 520 | 455 | 1 020 |
Profit per product line
| 2Q | 01.01 - 30.06 |
Full year | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 | |
| Unit linked Norway | 38 | 40 | 122 | 93 | 201 | |
| Unit linked Sweden | 49 | 48 | 77 | 72 | 139 | |
| Asset Management segment | 109 | 101 | 240 | 190 | 485 | |
| Retail banking | 44 | 49 | 82 | 101 | 195 | |
| Result before amortisation | 241 | 237 | 520 | 455 | 1 020 |
1 2Q 2016: Includes 34 NOK mill. in positive effect from change in own disability pension scheme. FY 2015: Includes restructuring costs of -28 NOK mill.
Savings (non-guaranteed) - strong growth in retail lending
1 Growth figures compare 1H 2016 with 1H 2015. 2Excluding transfers. 3Adjusted for FX.
Insurance - reduced growth
| Profit | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Q | 01.01 - | Full year | ||||||
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 | |||
| Insurance premiums f.o.a. | 962 | 947 | 1 909 | 1 813 | 3 642 | |||
| Claims f.o.a.1 |
-726 | -683 | -1 453 | -1 334 | -2 822 | |||
| Operational cost2 |
-135 | -136 | -279 | -264 | -538 | |||
| Financial result | 52 | 64 | 99 | 136 | 206 | |||
| Result before amortisation | 153 | 192 | 275 | 351 | 488 |
Profit per product line
| 2Q | 01.01 - | 30.06 | Full year | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 |
| P&C & Individual life3 |
80 | 115 | 185 | 193 | 327 |
| Health & Group life4 | 16 | 88 | 56 | 107 | 165 |
| Pension related disability insurance Nordic5 |
58 | -11 | 34 | 51 | -3 |
| Result before amortisation | 153 | 192 | 275 | 351 | 488 |
1 FY 2015: Includes disability reserve strengthening of NOK 100 mill.
2 2Q 2016: Includes NOK 23 mill. in positive effect from change in own disability pension scheme. FY 2015: Includes restructuring costs of -15 NOK mill.
3 Individual life and disability, property and casualty insurance.
4Group life, workers comp and 50% of result in Storebrand Health insurance.
17 5DC disability risk result Norwegian line of business and disability risk result from SPP.
Insurance - combined ratio on target level
Comments Combined ratio and results
- Combined Ratio 90%, 92% adjusted for special items
- On-going shift to more cost-effective distribution gives temporary lower growth
Comments premiums and growth1
- 7% premium growth within P&C & Individual life
- 1% premium growth within Health & Group life
- 14% premium growth in Pension related disability Nordic
1 Growth figures show development from 2Q 2015 to 2Q 2016.
Guaranteed pension - strong financial result SPP
| Profit | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Q | 01.01 - 30.06 |
Full year | ||||
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 | |
| Fee and administration income | 383 | 457 | 787 | 889 | 1 777 | |
| Risk result life & pensions | -10 | 47 | -6 | 63 | 89 | |
| Operational cost1 |
-192 | -281 | -464 | -558 | -1 156 | |
| Financial result | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 180 | 223 | 317 | 394 | 711 | |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses2 | 57 | -40 | -65 | 24 | -382 | |
| Result before amortisation and longevity | 237 | 183 | 252 | 419 | 329 | |
| Provision longevity | - | -151 | - | -306 | -1 764 |
Profit per product line
| 2Q | 01.01 - 30.06 |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 | |
| Defined benefit (fee based) |
107 | 148 | 196 | 282 | 512 | |
| Paid-up policies, Norway | 30 | -6 | 24 | -2 | 1 | |
| Individual life and pension, Norway | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 45 | |
| Guaranteed products, Sweden | 98 | 37 | 28 | 135 | -230 | |
| Result before amortisation and longevity | 237 | 183 | 252 | 419 | 329 |
1 2Q 2016: Includes NOK 39 mill. in positive effect from change in own disability pension scheme. FY 2015: Includes restructuring costs of -43 NOK mill.
2 FY 2015: Includes negative effects from changed interest rate curve and other assumption changes of -265 NOK mill.
Guaranteed pension - conversion to DC schemes continues
| 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2Q | 1Q | Change | ||
| Market value adjustment reserve | 5 244 | 4 713 | 531 | ||
| Excess value of bonds at amortised cost | 12 420 | 12 004 | 416 | ||
| Additional statutory reserve | 5 198 | 5 090 | 108 | ||
| Unallocated results | 1 481 | 964 | 517 | ||
| Provisions for new mortality tables, shareholders direct contribution |
- | - | - | ||
| Conditional bonuses Sweden | 5 300 | 5 622 | -322 | ||
| Total | 29 644 | 28 393 | 1 250 |
Comments
- As companies convert to DC schemes, the migration from DB to lower-margin paid up policies continues to reduce fee income in Guaranteed pensions
- Strong credit and real estate returns contribute to good financial result SPP
Other1
| 2Q | 01.01 - 30.06 |
Full year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Fee and administration income | 53 | 35 | 70 | 80 | 129 |
| Risk result life & pensions |
-4 | 3 | 18 | -0 | -6 |
| Operational cost2 |
-30 | -43 | -72 | -91 | -188 |
| Financial result3 | 148 | 12 | 288 | 20 | 38 |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 167 | 8 | 305 | 8 | -27 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | -0 | -11 | -7 | -19 | -48 |
| Result before amortisation | 167 | -3 | 297 | -10 | -75 |
Profit per product line
| 2Q | 01.01 - | 30.06 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Corporate Banking | 48 | -10 | 36 | -17 | -84 |
| BenCo Holding company costs and net financial results in company |
6 | 14 | 36 | 27 | 34 |
| portfolios | 112 | -7 | 225 | -21 | -26 |
| Result before amortisation | 167 | -3 | 297 | -10 | -75 |
1Excluding eliminations. For more information on eliminations, see Supplementary Information.
2 FY 2015: Includes negative effect from restructuring costs of -12 NOK mill.
3 FY 2015: Includes minority share of result from real estate sale of 171 NOK mill.
Highlights 2Q 2016
1Result before amortisation and write-downs.
2 Change from 1H 2015 to 1H 2016, adjusted for FX.
3 Growth figures are from 1H 2015 to 1H 2016.
4 Including transitional rules. Estimated Solvency II ratio excluding transitional rules is 122%.
Appendix
Storebrand Life Insurance asset allocation
1The graph shows the asset allocation for all products with an interest rate guarantee in Storebrand Life Insurance Norwegian operations.
SPP asset allocation
1The graph shows the asset allocation for all products with an interest rate guarantee in SPP.
Investor Relations contacts
Lars Aa Løddesøl Sigbjørn Birkeland Kjetil R. Krøkje Group CFO Finance Director Head of IR
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
+47 9348 0151 +47 9348 0893 +47 9341 2155