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Storebrand ASA — Earnings Release 2015
Feb 17, 2016
3766_rns_2016-02-17_2b9c8421-917e-4f47-8a08-0b5001350796.pdf
Earnings Release
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Storebrand 4Q 2015
17 February 2016
Odd Arild Grefstad – CEO Lars Aa. Løddesøl – CFO
Highlights 2015
1Result before amortisation, write-downs and longevity provision.
- 2 Adjusted for business in run off (corporate banking and public sector) and FX. Y/Y.
- 3 Growth figures are Y/Y.
2
- 4 Based on current estimates. As of Q4 2015, 83 % of the total longevity strengthening is completed.
- 5 Including transitional rules. Estimated Solvency II ratio excluding transitional rules is 124 %.
The Board proposes that no dividend is paid for 2015, but plan to pay dividend for 2016
Dividend policy: "Dividend is intended to give shareholders a competitive return. Dividends to shareholders will normally be over 35 percent of full-year result after tax, but before amortization costs. Dividends shall be adjusted to ensure that the group has a proper capital structure."
Storebrand has successfully entered Solvency II without raising new equity, and has a strong solvency position of 168 percent, and 124 percent without transitional rules. The solvency margin without transitional rules is expected to increase further in 2016 due to profits, active risk management, and other measures. After several years of Solvency II implementation and reserve strengthening for longevity, it is the opinion of the Board that the company is in a normalised situation. At the same time, falling interest rates and volatile financial markets negatively affect the solvency margin and increase the risk of managing guaranteed reserves. There is approximately NOK 2 bn left of longevity reserve strengthening, to be covered from excess investment return. After an overall assessment, the Board proposes that no dividend is paid for 2015, but plan to pay dividend for 2016.
Transformation of the business model continues
We work hard to reach our vision: Recommended by our customers
Longevity - direct result contribution completed
2Buffers that are available to cover the longevity reserve strengthening. Some buffers may not be available if they
belong to contracts without reserve strengthening need or are used to cover interest rate guarantee.
3 Including charge to convert from paid-up policies to paid-up policies with investment choice.
5
Paid up policies is the main challenge in a low interest scenario and under SII…
…But still manageable both short and long term
Expected return paid up polices without use of buffers 2016-20201
…including reinvestment due and expected issuance of new paid up polices
1Expected return paid up polices, including reinvestment and issuance of new paid up polices, without the use of buffers. Illustration is based on normal risk premiums and interest rate level as of December 31, 2015.
- 2015: Built NOK 16bn in new A rated HTM investments at over 3% yield and 13 years average life
- 2016-2020: Longevity reserve strengthening and interest rate guarantee to be covered by expected return, buffers and planned company contribution2
- 2020-2025: Prolonged low interest rate environment will have limited impact on results2
2Based on current interest rates and point estimate based on normal risk premiums. Market shocks could lead to higher use of buffers and reduced results .
Estimated SII position Storebrand Group
Key takeaways
- Improvement in underlying Solvency II ratio from including risk absorbing capacity of tax in SCR calculation
- Reduced sensitivities due to improved tax modelling
- Risk mitigating actions will still be prioritised in 2016
1The estimated Economic solvency position of Storebrand Group is calculated using the current Storebrand implementation of the Solvency II Standard model with the company's interpretation of the transition rules from the NFSA. Output is sensitive to changes in financial markets, development of reserves, changes in assumptions and improvements of the calculation framework in the economic capital model as well as changes in the Solvency II legislation and national interpretation of transition rules.
Cost control
8 1Adjusted for restructuring costs and disability reserve strengthening. 2FTE figures for 2015 pro forma after transfer of FTEs to Cognizant in 1Q 2016.
Growth in Savings and Insurance continues
Strong sales and continued growth in Unit Linked premiums
Major new customers confirms strong market leadership…
Fee and administration income shifts from Guaranteed to Savings
Income growth of 8.2% adjusted for business in run-off1
Key figures
1Result before amortisation, write-downs and longevity provisions
2Earnings per share after tax adjusted for amortisation of intangible assets
3 Customer buffers in Benco of NOK 2.9 bn not included
4Solidity capital/customer buffers does not include provisions for future longevity reservations
Storebrand Group - adjusted
| Profit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4Q | Full year | |||
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 |
| Fee and administration income | 1 160 | 1 116 | 4 317 | 4 160 |
| Risk result life & pensions | -23 | 99 | 80 | 256 |
| Insurance premiums f.o.a. | 934 | 802 | 3 642 | 3 115 |
| Claims f.o.a. | -691 | -613 | -2 722 | -2 226 |
| Operational cost | -815 | -778 | -3 171 | -3 017 |
| Financial result | 7 | -21 | 73 | 349 |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 573 | 605 | 2 219 | 2 636 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | -6 | -34 | -166 | 314 |
| Result before amortisation, write-downs and longevity provision (adjusted) | 566 | 571 | 2 053 | 2 950 |
| Special Items | -291 | 473 | -291 | 473 |
| Risk results and risk reserves | -100 | 224 | -100 | 224 |
| Operational cost | -97 | 571 | -97 | 571 |
| Financial result minority share of result | 171 | - | 171 | - |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses SPP result | -265 | -322 | -265 | -322 |
| Result before amortisation, write-downs and longevity provision | 275 | 1 044 | 1 762 | 3 423 |
| Provision longevity | -1 362 | -121 | -1 764 | -391 |
Storebrand Group
| Profit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4Q | Full year | |||
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 |
| Fee and administration income | 1 160 | 1 116 | 4 317 | 4 160 |
| Risk result life & pensions | -23 | 323 | 80 | 480 |
| Insurance premiums f.o.a. | 934 | 802 | 3 642 | 3 115 |
| Claims f.o.a. | -791 | -613 | -2 822 | -2 226 |
| Operational cost | -912 | -207 | -3 268 | -2 446 |
| Financial result | 178 | -21 | 244 | 349 |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 547 | 1 400 | 2 193 | 3 431 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | -271 | -356 | -431 | -8 |
| Result before amortisation, write-downs and longevity provision | 275 | 1 044 | 1 762 | 3 423 |
| Provision longevity | -1 362 | -121 | -1 764 | -391 |
| Amortisation and write-downs of intangible assets | -120 | -105 | -437 | -431 |
| Result before tax | -1 207 | 818 | -438 | 2 601 |
| Tax | 2 008 | -115 | 1 821 | -516 |
| Sold/liquidated business | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 |
| Profit after tax | 801 | 703 | 1 382 | 2 085 |
Storebrand Group
| 2015 | 2014 | Full year | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 4Q | 4Q | 2015 | 2014 |
| Fee and administration income | 1 160 | 1 116 | 4 317 | 4 160 |
| Risk result life & pensions | -23 | 323 | 80 | 480 |
| Insurance premiums f.o.a. | 934 | 802 | 3 642 | 3 115 |
| Claims f.o.a. | -791 | -613 | -2 822 | -2 226 |
| Operational cost | -912 | -207 | -3 268 | -2 446 |
| Financial result | 178 | -21 | 244 | 349 |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 547 | 1 400 | 2 193 | 3 431 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | -271 | -356 | -431 | -8 |
| Result before amortisation, write-downs and longevity provisions | 275 | 1 044 | 1 762 | 3 423 |
Profit per line of business
| 2015 | 2014 | Full year | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 4Q | 4Q | 2015 | 2014 |
| Savings - non-guaranteed |
301 | 469 | 1 020 | 1 091 |
| Insurance | 17 | 159 | 488 | 675 |
| Guaranteed pension | -110 | 348 | 329 | 1 465 |
| Other result | 68 | 68 | -75 | 193 |
| Result before amortisation, write-downs and longevity provisions | 275 | 1 044 | 1 762 | 3 423 |
Savings (non-guaranteed) - strong underlying results growth
| Profit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4Q | Full year | |||
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 |
| Fee and administration income | 761 | 679 | 2 662 | 2 375 |
| Risk result life & pensions | 1 | -10 | -3 | -11 |
| Operational cost1 | -455 | -214 | -1 638 | -1 289 |
| Financial result | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 307 | 455 | 1 022 | 1 075 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | -6 | 14 | -1 | 16 |
| Result before amortisation | 301 | 469 | 1 020 | 1 091 |
Profit per product line
| 4Q | Full year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 |
| Unit Linked Storebrand | 38 | 74 | 201 | 205 |
| Unit Linked SPP | 26 | 25 | 139 | 99 |
| Asset Management segment | 179 | 273 | 485 | 513 |
| Retail Banking | 57 | 97 | 195 | 274 |
| Result before amortisation | 301 | 469 | 1 020 | 1 091 |
1 Includes positive effect of change in own occupational pension scheme of 187 NOK mil (Q4 2014) and restructuring costs of -28 NOK mill. (Q4 2015)
Savings (non-guaranteed) - strong growth in UL premiums
1 Growth figures show development from 4Q 2014 to 4Q 2015. 2 Excluding transfers.
17
Insurance - continued P&C growth
| Profit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4Q | Full year | |||
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 |
| Insurance premiums f.o.a. | 934 | 802 | 3 642 | 3 115 |
| Claims f.o.a.1) | -791 | -613 | -2 822 | -2 226 |
| Operational cost 2) | -151 | -9 | -538 | -387 |
| Financial result | 25 | -22 | 206 | 173 |
| Result before amortisation | 17 | 159 | 488 | 675 |
Profit per product line
| 4Q | Full year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 |
| P&C & Individual life 3) | 72 | 106 | 327 | 340 |
| Health & Group life 4) | 17 | 78 | 165 | 190 |
| Pension related disability insurance Nordic 5) | -72 | -25 | -3 | 144 |
| Result before amortisation | 17 | 159 | 488 | 675 |
1 Includes disability reserve strengthening of NOK 100 mill. (Q4 2015)
2 Includes positive effect of change in own occupational pension scheme of 120 NOK mil (Q4 2014) and restructuring costs
of -15 NOK mill. (Q4 2015)
3 Individual life and disability, property and casualty insurance
4Group life, workers comp and 50% of result in Storebrand Health insurance
5DC disability risk result Norwegian line of business and disability risk result from SPP
Insurance - strong top line development
1Combined- and cost ratios adjusted for special items. In 4Q 2014, unadjusted cost ratio was 1% and unadjusted combined ratio was 78%. 2 Growth figures show development from 4Q 2014 to 4Q 2015.
19
Guaranteed pension - solidity prioritised over IFRS profitability
| Profit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4Q | Full year | |||
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 |
| Fee and administration income | 460 | 457 | 1 777 | 1 842 |
| Risk result life & pensions1 | 7 | 331 | 89 | 483 |
| Operational cost2 | -333 | -84 | -1 156 | -921 |
| Financial result | - | - | - | - |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 134 | 705 | 711 | 1 404 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses3 | -244 | -357 | -382 | 61 |
| Result before amortisation and longevity provision |
-110 | 348 | 329 | 1 465 |
| Longevity provision | -1 362 | -121 | -1 764 | -391 |
Profit per product line
| 4Q | Full year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 |
| Defined benefit (fee based) | 124 | 271 | 512 | 822 |
| Paid-up policies, Norway | -27 | 15 | 1 | 44 |
| Individual life and pension, Norway | 40 | - | 45 | - |
| Guaranteed products, Sweden | -248 | 62 | -230 | 599 |
| Result before amortisation and longevity provision |
-110 | 348 | 329 | 1 465 |
1 Risk result life & pensions includes positive effect from dissolved risk reserves SPP of 322 NOK mill. and negative effect from longevity strengthening w/use of risk equalisation fund of -98 NOK mill., in total 224 NOK mill. (Q4 2014).
2 Operational cost includes positive effect of change in own occupational pension scheme of 210 NOK mill. (Q4 2014) and negative effect of restructuring costs of -43 NOK mill. (Q4 2015).
3 Net profit sharing and loan losses includes negative effect from changed assumptions SPP of -322 NOK mill. (Q4 2014), and negative effects from changed interest rate curve and other assumption changes of -265 NOK mill. (Q4 2015).
Guaranteed pension - proportion of guaranteed reserves reduced
| 2015 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 4Q | 3Q | Change |
| Market value adjustment reserve | 4 520 | 4 352 | 168 |
| Excess value of bonds at amortised cost | 10 581 | 11 122 | -541 |
| Additional statutory reserve | 5 160 | 4 479 | 680 |
| Provisions for new mortality tables | 4 872 | 2 474 | 2 313 |
| Unallocated results | 382 | 1 905 | -1 523 |
| Provisions for new mortality tables, shareholders direct contribution |
988 | 393 | 595 |
| Conditional bonuses Sweden | 6 457 | 9 065 | -2 608 |
| Total | 32 959 | 33 790 | -916 |
Comments
- Expected direct result contribution for longevity strengthening completed
- Valuation of insurance liabilities adapted to Solvency II
Other1
| Profit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4Q | Full year | |||
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 |
| Fee and administration income | 17 | 59 | 129 | 233 |
| Risk result life & pensions | -31 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
| Operational cost2 | -50 | 20 | -188 | -138 |
| Financial result3 | 153 | 0 | 38 | 175 |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 89 | 81 | -27 | 278 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | -21 | -13 | -48 | -85 |
| Result before amortisation | 68 | 68 | -75 | 193 |
Profit per product line
| 4Q | Full year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 |
| Corporate Banking | -32 | -1 | -84 | -47 |
| BenCo | -26 | 51 | 34 | 94 |
| Holding company costs and net financial results in company portfolios | 127 | 18 | -26 | 145 |
| Result before amortisation | 68 | 68 | -75 | 193 |
1Excluding eliminations. For more information on eliminations, see Supplementary Information.
2 Operational cost includes positive effect of change in own occupational pension scheme of 55 NOK mill. in Q4 2014
and negative effect from restructuring costs of -12 NOK mill. in Q4 2015.
3 Financial result includes minority share of result from real estate sale of 171 NOK mill. (Q4 2015).
Highlights 2015
1Result before amortisation, write-downs and longevity provision.
2 Adjusted for business in run off (corporate banking and public sector) and FX. Y/Y.
3 Growth figures are Y/Y.
23
4 Based on current estimates. As of Q4 2015, 83 % of the total longevity strengthening is completed.
5 Including transitional rules. Estimated Solvency II ratio excluding transitional rules is 124 %.
Appendix
Storebrand Life Insurance asset allocation
1The graph shows the asset allocation for all products with an interest rate guarantee in Storebrand Life Insurance Norwegian operations.
SPP asset allocation
1The graph shows the asset allocation for all products with an interest rate guarantee in SPP.
Investor Relations contacts
Lars Aa Løddesøl Sigbjørn Birkeland Kjetil R. Krøkje Group CFO Finance Director Head of IR
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
+47 9348 0151 +47 9348 0893 +47 9341 2155