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Storebrand ASA — Earnings Release 2015
Oct 28, 2015
3766_rns_2015-10-28_ad989736-d0ed-4de2-bda2-4617bde95ea9.pdf
Earnings Release
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Storebrand 3Q 2015
28 October 2015
Odd Arild Grefstad – CEO Lars Aa. Løddesøl – CFO
Highlights 3Q 2015
Group result
Q3 2015
Result before profit sharing and loan losses Net profit sharing and loan losses/Longevity provision
- 8,5 % growth in fee and admin income1
- Results impacted by weak financial markets during the quarter
17% Insurance written premium growth2
27% Unit Linked premium growth2
67% of longevity strengthening completed
146% Estimated Solvency II ratio3
2 Growth figures are 3Q2014-3Q2015.
2
Transformation of the business model continues
We work hard to reach our vision: Recommended by our customers
Estimated SII position Storebrand Group
Key takeaways
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- Falling interest rates between Q2 and Q3 o 45bps in Norway and 23bps in Sweden
- Reduced stress on equities o From 42% per Q2 to 36% per Q3
- On track to improve underlying Solvency II ratio with 10% points during 2015
1The estimated Economic solvency position of Storebrand Life Group is calculated using the current Storebrand implementation of the Solvency II Standard model with the company's interpretation of the suggested transition rules from the NFSA. Output is sensitive to changes in financial markets, development of reserves, changes in assumptions and improvements of the calculation framework in the economic capital model as well as changes in the Solvency II legislation and national interpretation of transition rules.
2Indicative sensitivities after the implementation of Solvency II in 2016. Market movements in 2015 and until the introduction of Solvency II in 2016 will have a smaller effect than stated in the sensitivities because of the mitigating effects of the transition rules.
Fee and administration income shifts from Guaranteed to Savings
Income growth of 8.5% adjusted for business in run-off1
Customer centricity, innovation and efficiency
Growth in Savings and Insurance continues
Competitive retail bank offering
Note: All figures are nominal interest rates p.a. Floating rate of 2,1% represents best interest rate in Storebrand's "BLU40" offering.
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Key figures
12.5%
1Earnings per share after tax adjusted for amortisation of intangible assets
2 Customer buffers in Benco of NOK 2.0 bn not included
3Solidity capital/customer buffers does not include provisions for future longevity reservations
Q3 2015
5.4%
11.1%
% of customer funds2
Q2 2015
12.4%
Storebrand Group
| 3Q | 01.01 - 30.09 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 | Full year 2014 |
| Fee and administration income | 1 046 | 1 045 | 3 155 | 3 044 | 4 160 |
| Risk result life & pensions | 40 | 37 | 103 | 157 | 480 |
| Insurance premiums f.o.a. | 894 | 773 | 2 708 | 2 313 | 3 115 |
| Claims f.o.a. | -697 | -564 | -2 031 | -1 614 | -2 226 |
| Operational cost | -755 | -732 | -2 357 | -2 238 | -2 446 |
| Financial result | -90 | 95 | 68 | 370 | 349 |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 440 | 655 | 1 646 | 2 032 | 3 431 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | -167 | 67 | -159 | 348 | -8 |
| Provision longevity | -96 | -90 | -402 | -270 | -391 |
| Result before amortisation and write-downs |
176 | 632 | 1 085 | 2 110 | 3 032 |
| Amortisation and write-downs of intangible assets |
-108 | -108 | -316 | -326 | -431 |
| Result before tax | 67 | 524 | 768 | 1 783 | 2 601 |
| Tax | -3 | -147 | -187 | -401 | -516 |
| Sold/liquidated business | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 |
| Profit after tax | 64 | 376 | 581 | 1 382 | 2 085 |
Storebrand Group
| Profit | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Q | 01.01 - | 30.09 | Full year | ||
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Fee and administration income | 1 046 | 1 045 | 3 155 | 3 044 | 4 160 |
| Risk result life & pensions | 40 | 37 | 103 | 157 | 480 |
| Insurance premiums f.o.a. | 894 | 773 | 2 708 | 2 313 | 3 115 |
| Claims f.o.a. | -697 | -564 | -2 031 | -1 614 | -2 226 |
| Operational cost | -755 | -732 | -2 357 | -2 238 | -2 446 |
| Financial result | -90 | 95 | 68 | 370 | 349 |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 440 | 655 | 1 646 | 2 032 | 3 431 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses/Provision longevity | -264 | -23 | -561 | 78 | -399 |
| Profit before amortisation | 176 | 632 | 1 085 | 2 110 | 3 032 |
| Profit per line of business | |||||
| 3Q | 01.01 - | 30.09 | Full year | ||
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Savings - non-guaranteed |
264 | 240 | 720 | 622 | 1 091 |
| Insurance | 120 | 135 | 471 | 516 | 675 |
Guaranteed pension -76 233 37 847 1 074 Other result -133 24 -143 124 193 Profit before amortisation 176 632 1 085 2 110 3 032
Savings (non-guaranteed) - strong results growth
| Profit | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Q | 01.01 - 30.09 |
||||
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Fee and administration income | 646 | 588 | 1 902 | 1 696 | 2 375 |
| Risk result life & pensions | -5 | 7 | -4 | -1 | -11 |
| Operational cost | -381 | -354 | -1 183 | -1 075 | -1 289 |
| Financial result | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 261 | 240 | 715 | 620 | 1 075 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | 3 | -1 | 5 | 2 | 16 |
| Provision longevity | - | - | - | - | - |
| Result before amortisation | 264 | 240 | 720 | 622 | 1 091 |
Profit per product line
| 3Q | 01.01 - 30.09 |
Full year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Unit Linked Storebrand | 71 | 63 | 163 | 131 | 205 |
| Unit Linked SPP | 41 | 32 | 113 | 74 | 99 |
| Asset Management segment | 116 | 87 | 306 | 240 | 513 |
| Retail Banking | 36 | 57 | 137 | 177 | 274 |
| Result before amortisation | 264 | 240 | 720 | 622 | 1 091 |
Savings (non-guaranteed) - strong growth in UL premiums
1 Growth figures show development from 3Q 2014 to 3Q 2015. 3 Growth figures show development from 3Q 2014 to 3Q 2015 2 Excluding transfers.
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Insurance - continued P&C growth
| 3Q | 01.01 - 30.09 |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 | 2014 | |
| Insurance premiums f.o.a. | 894 | 773 | 2 708 | 2 313 | 3 115 | |
| Claims f.o.a. | -697 | -564 | -2 031 | -1 614 | -2 226 | |
| Operational cost | -122 | -122 | -387 | -378 | -387 | |
| Financial result | 45 | 48 | 181 | 195 | 173 | |
| Result before amortisation | 120 | 135 | 471 | 516 | 675 |
Profit per product line
| 3Q | 01.01 - 30.09 |
Full year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 | 2014 |
| P&C & Individual life 1) | 62 | 89 | 255 | 234 | 340 |
| Health & Group life 2) | 41 | 40 | 148 | 112 | 190 |
| Pension related disability insurance Nordic 3) | 18 | 7 | 69 | 169 | 144 |
| Result before amortisation | 120 | 135 | 471 | 516 | 675 |
1 Individual life and disability, property and casualty insurance
2 Group life, workers comp and 50% of result in Storebrand Health insurance
3 DC disability risk result Norwegian line of business and disability risk result from SPP
Insurance - strong top line development
1Combined- and cost ratios adjusted for special items. In 4Q 2014, unadjusted cost ratio was 1% and unadjusted combined ratio was 78%.
2 Growth figures show development from 3Q 2014 to 3Q 2015
Guaranteed pension - negative results due to weak financial markets
| 3Q | 30.09 | Full year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Fee and administration income | 428 | 471 | 1 317 | 1 384 | 1 842 |
| Risk result life & pensions | 20 | 26 | 83 | 152 | 483 |
| Operational cost | -266 | -275 | -824 | -837 | -921 |
| Financial result | - | - | - | - | - |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | 182 | 222 | 576 | 699 | 1 404 |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | -162 | 101 | -137 | 418 | 61 |
| Provision longevity | -96 | -90 | -402 | -270 | -391 |
| Result before amortisation | -76 | 233 | 37 | 847 | 1 074 |
Profit per product line
| 3Q | 01.01 - 30.09 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Defined benefit (fee based) | 74 | 148 | 241 | 431 | 592 |
| Paid-up policies, Norway | -35 | -66 | -227 | -121 | -117 |
| Individual life and pension, Norway | 2 | - | 5 | - | - |
| Guaranteed products, Sweden | -117 | 151 | 18 | 537 | 599 |
| Result before amortisation | -76 | 233 | 37 | 847 | 1 074 |
Guaranteed pension - Key figures
| 2015 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 3Q | 2Q | Change | |||
| Market value adjustment reserve | 4 352 | 4 930 | -578 | |||
| Excess value of bonds at amortised cost |
11 122 | 9 695 | 1 427 | |||
| Additional statutory reserve | 4 479 | 4 505 | -26 | |||
| Provisions for new mortality tables1 | 3 833 | 3 850 | -17 | |||
| Unallocated results | 1 905 | 1 964 | -59 | |||
| Provisions for new mortality tables, shareholders direct contribution |
245 | 180 | 65 | |||
| Conditional bonuses Sweden | 9 065 | 9 335 | -270 | |||
| Total | 35 001 | 34 460 | 541 |
Comments
- Excess value in bonds at amortised cost increased
- Negative profit sharing result in SPP due to low interest rates and weak equity and credit markets
1Life insurance reserves 17
Longevity - 2/3 of reserve strengthening completed
2Buffers that are available to cover the longevity reserve strengthening. Some buffers may not be available if they
belong to contracts without reserve strengthening need or are used to cover interest rate guarantee.
3 Including charge to convert from paid-up policies to paid-up policies with investment choice.
Estimated IFRS result impact from longevity reserve strengthening revised down MNOK 500
Longevity strengthening need - sources of funding
2015 4Q - 2020 4.1 1.1 0.4 2.6 Portfolio return above interest guarantee Risk Equalisation Fund Direct equity contribution 200 200 200 200 2016e 2017e 2018e 2019e 2020e 406 2015 562 Total remaining reserve strengthening (BNOK) Estimated annual IFRS result impact (MNOK) Q4e 160 YTD 402 Estimated direct IFRS result impact reduced from 90MNOK to 65MNOK pr. quarter
Paid up policies is the main challenge in a low interest scenario and under SII…
…But still manageable both short and long term
Expected return paid up polices without use of buffers 2015-20201
…including reinvestment due and expected issuance of new paid up polices
- 2015-2020: Longevity reserve strengthening and interest rate guarantee to be covered by expected return, buffers and planned company contribution2
- 2020-2025: Prolonged low interest rate environment will have limited impact on results2
1Expected return paid up polices, including reinvestment and issuance of new paid up polices, without the use of buffers. Illustration is based on normal risk premiums and interest rate level as of September 30, 2015.
2Based on current interest rates and point estimate based on normal risk premiums. Market shocks could lead to higher use of buffers and reduced results
Other1 - Financial results affected by increased credit spreads Other
| Profit | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Q | 01.01 - 30.09 |
Full year | ||||
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 | 2014 | |
| Fee and administration income | 31 | 57 | 111 | 174 | 233 | |
| Risk result life & pensions | 25 | 4 | 25 | 6 | 8 | |
| Operational cost | -46 | -51 | -137 | -158 | -138 | |
| Financial result | -135 | 48 | -115 | 175 | 175 | |
| Result before profit sharing and loan losses | -125 | 57 | -116 | 197 | 278 | |
| Net profit sharing and loan losses | -8 | -33 | -27 | -72 | -85 | |
| Profit before amortisation | -133 | 24 | -143 | 124 | 193 |
Profit per product line
| 3Q | 01.01 - 30.09 |
Full year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | 2015 | 2014 | 2015 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Corporate Banking | -34 | -29 | -51 | -46 | -47 |
| BenCo | 33 | 20 | 60 | 43 | 94 |
| Holding company costs and net financial results in company portfolios | -131 | 33 | -152 | 127 | 145 |
| Profit before amortisation | -133 | 24 | -143 | 124 | 193 |
1Figures shown exclude eliminations, except elimination in financial result. For full disclosure on eliminations, see Table 46b in Supplementary Information.
Highlights 3Q 2015
Group result
Q3 2015
Result before profit sharing and loan losses Net profit sharing and loan losses/Longevity provision
- 8,5 % growth in fee and admin income1
- Results impacted by weak financial markets during the quarter
17% Insurance written premium growth2
27% Unit Linked premium growth2
67% of longevity strengthening completed
146% Estimated Solvency II ratio3
1 Adjusted for business in run off (corporate banking and public sector) and FX. YTD/YTD
2 Growth figures are 3Q2014-3Q2015.
3 Including transitional rules.
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Appendix
Storebrand Life Insurance asset allocation
1The graph shows the asset allocation for all products with an interest rate guarantee in Storebrand Life Insurance Norwegian operations.
SPP asset allocation
1The graph shows the asset allocation for all products with an interest rate guarantee in SPP.
Investor Relations contacts
Lars Aa Løddesøl Sigbjørn Birkeland Kjetil R. Krøkje Group CFO Finance Director Head of IR
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
+47 9348 0151 +47 9348 0893 +47 9341 2155