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STOCKLAND Earnings Release 2011

May 2, 2011

65781_rns_2011-05-02_be90c3b9-52af-4e7d-ae73-05822b895977.pdf

Earnings Release

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133 Castlereagh Street T 02 9035 2552 Sydney NSW 2000 F 02 8988 2552

www.stockland.com.au

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3 May 2011 ASX/Media Release

STOCKLAND ON TRACK TO ACHIEVE FY11 EPS GUIDANCE

Stockland announced today that it is on track to achieve its upgraded FY11 Earnings Per Security (EPS) guidance of 31.6c, representing growth of 8.5% on FY10.

Stockland Managing Director Matthew Quinn told investors at an update in Sydney today that the Residential Communities business is seeing strong customer enquiry levels in all States, but that buyers remain cautious.

After a very strong 1H11, net deposits slowed in 3Q11, due largely to a significant fall in south east Queensland. A total of 1,112 net deposits were achieved in the quarter and April has shown a slightly improved run rate.

Total FY11 lot settlements are now expected to be slightly higher than the FY10 figure of 5,236. FY11 key operating metrics for the Residential Communities business are all expected to show positive movements versus FY10, with the average lot size expected to be down around 6 per cent; average price per sqm up around 12 per cent; average price per lot around 5 per cent higher; and Operating Profit and EBIT margins both up around 1-2 per cent.

Mr Quinn said that while Stockland is seeing increased numbers of enquiries, buyers are cautious - particularly in Queensland - and are taking longer to make a purchase decision.

“Our lead volumes, one of the most accurate lead indicators for sales, were up in 3Q11, with growth coming from a varied customer mix of first home buyers, upgraders and investors in line with long-term targets.

“Overall we are seeing good customer traffic and strong enquiry levels from potential buyers, but they are feeling their way carefully because of the short-term uncertainty over cost of living pressures, and rising utility and petrol prices,” he said.

Mr Quinn said that market conditions varied across states. Buyer sentiment is strong for affordable homes in New South Wales and the market is trending upwards. Victoria is returning to its long term average level of housing approvals as the State first home buyers boost comes to an end. Western Australia has been impacted by an overhang in the established market, but is starting to show more positive signs.

While the direct impact of Queensland‟s January natural disasters on Stockland was minimal, the broader impact on consumer sentiment has been significant with potential customers actively looking, but not buying. While it is too early to predict the timing of a recovery in buyer activity, the long-term fundamentals for the State remain strong.

“Queensland is underpinned by strong population growth with six of Australia‟s 15 fastest growing municipalities.

“The economic and employment impact of billions of dollars worth of new infrastructure projects is yet to be felt and the recent infrastructure charge cap of up to $28,000 per lot provides greater certainty for residential developers.

“Overall, we are encouraged by the long-term sentiment, underpinned by population growth and strong employment,” he said.

Turning to the Commercial Property business, Mr Quinn said the Retail business had experienced solid sales in 3Q11 with 3 per cent comparable sales growth and no material impact from recent retailer administrations.

Retail is on track for similar comparable NOI growth in 2H11 to 1H11, which was up 4.3 per cent. Comparable Office and Industrial NOI growth is expected in to be higher in 2H11 than in the first half.

Stockland also provided investors with a detailed update on its Retirement Living business, and confirmed that the Aevum acquisition is on track to achieve all targets.

„We have a sound and well-articulated 3-R growth strategy, based on Residential Communities, Retail development and Retirement Living, as well as a conservative and disciplined approach to capital management. Overall, our business is in good shape,” Mr Quinn said.

For media enquiries contact For investor enquiries contact
Karyn Munsie Sally-ann Parker Karyn Munsie Linda Assatoury
EGM – Corporate Affairs Senior Manager, Communications
EGM – Corporate Affairs
Senior Manager Investor Relations
Stockland Stockland Stockland Stockland
T+61 (0)2 9035 2180 T+61 (0)2 9035 2552 T+61 (0)2 9035 2180 T+61 (0)2 9035 2553
M+61 (0)421 050 430 M+61 (0)406 316 907 M+61 (0)421 050 430 M+61 (0)402 283 769

Stockland Corporation Ltd ACN 000 181 733 Stockland Trust Management Ltd ACN 001 900 741 AFSL 241190 As Responsible Entity for Stockland Trust ARSN 092 897 348.

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Group Update Matthew Quinn, Managing Director

www.stockland.com

Stockland’s integrated model

3-R growth strategy - Residential Communities, Retail development and Retirement Living

Office and Industrial UK and Apartments $3.5b funds employed $0.5b funds employed

Creating vibrant communities by leveraging 3-R integrated model and partnering with others (public and private) to provide social infrastructure, transport, education and employment

Disciplined assessment of opportunities within strategic weightings (60-80% recurring, 20-40% trading)

Growth fully funded - low gearing, $365m net cash flow from trade-out of Apartments, $184m from exit of UK, sale of noncore office and industrial assets, and retained earnings

- 1 -

All figures as at 31 December 2010

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Business update – on track to achieve FY11 EPS guidance

FY11 group earnings

  • On track to achieve upgraded EPS of 31.6c per security; 8.5% growth on FY10

Residential market conditions

• Varied market conditions across the country: NSW buyer sentiment strong for affordable product, market trending upwards VIC returning to average approval numbers as State first home owners boost comes to an end WA impacted by overhang in established market but showing positive signs

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QLD sentiment very subdued, yet to see recovery from impact of natural disasters in 3Q11

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Private detached house approvals [1]
3,800
3,300
2,800
2,300
1,800
1,300
800
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
VIC QLD WA NSW
VIC average QLD average WA average NSW average
Monthly approvals
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- 2 -

  1. Source: ABS Cat. No. 8731.0 (Trend Series), Stockland Research to Feb-11

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Residential Communities – strong enquiry but buyers are cautious

  • Strong 3Q11 Stockland customer traffic:

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Reflects strategy to deliver affordable packages relative to established market

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Solid enquiry from 3Q11 “Make your Move Now” marketing campaign, even in QLD

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Customer mix between first home buyers, upgraders and investors in line with long-term targets

  • Despite strong enquiry levels, buyers are cautious:

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Stockland customer lead volumes remain strong [1]
Seasonality due to Christmas2
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11
VIC QLD WA NSW
Total lead volumes
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Mixed sentiment for time to buy a dwelling[2]

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Short-term uncertainty over cost of living pressures, rising utility and petrol prices

  • Long-term demand underpinned by population growth and strong employment

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180
160
140
120
100 Long-term average
80
60
40
Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11
QLD NSW WA VIC
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  1. Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Survey, Time to buy a dwelling index, April 2011

- 3 -

  1. A potential purchaser who has made a direct enquiry at one or more Stockland Residential project

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Residential Communities – QLD conditions remain subdued post-floods

Sales run rate in SE QLD slowed in 3Q11

  • Even though the direct impact of the floods on Stockland was minimal, the broader impact on sentiment

  • has been quite significant

  • Potential customers are actively looking, but not yet buying

  • Too early to predict timing of recovery in buyer activity

  • Strong conditions continue in some regional areas of north QLD

- Long term fundamentals in QLD remain positive

  • Underpinned by strong population growth; six of Australia’s top 15 fastest growing municipalities are in

  • QLD

  • Economic and employment impact of billions of dollars of new infrastructure projects yet to be felt

  • Infrastructure charge cap of up to $28,000 provides greater certainty for residential developers

- 4 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Residential Communities – slower 3Q11 but strong contracts on hand

  • FY11 lot settlements expected to be slightly higher than 5,236 lots settled[1] in FY10:

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Very strong 1H11

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Deposits slowed in 3Q11

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April numbers showed a slight improvement

  • Positive movement in key operating metrics expected in FY11:
Expected FY11 result vs FY10
Average lot size Down ~6%
Average price per sqm Up ~12%
Average price per lot Up ~5%
Operating Profit and EBIT margins Up ~1–2%

QLD subdued while other states at long-term averages

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3,500
3,101 3,169 3,134
2,975
3,000 428 405 302
351
2,500
2,000 1,870 866 1,173 1,212 1,276 3 months
226
291
1,500
587 277 383 541 1,112
1,000 197 153
1,467 430
500 860 1,223 1,169 1,015 276
253
0
1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 3Q11
QLD NSW VIC WA
Net deposits
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  • Subject to market conditions, settlement volumes

should grow further in FY12:

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Strong contracts on hand – expect to carry >2,000 contracts into FY12

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First settlements at 8 new projects[2]

- 5 -

  1. Includes part-share lots

  2. Brooks Reach (NSW), The Ridge (QLD), Stoneridge (QLD), Sovereign Pocket (QLD), Wungong Reach (WA), Eglinton (WA), The Point (VIC) and Truganina (VIC)

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Commercial Property – solid 3Q11 retail sales and rental growth

  • Continuing to re-weight capital to retail in line with 3-R growth strategy:

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All major developments on program and budget

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Acquisition of Hervey Bay shopping centre at 7.5% initial yield with development potential to more than double the existing centre to 35,000sqm over next 2 years ($100m - $130m cost)

  • No material impact from recent retailer administrations

  • Solid 3Q11 retail sales from Stockland centres

31 March 2011 % 3mth Comparable Growth % Annual Comparable Growth
Supermarkets 4.6 4.5
Discount Department Stores (6.6) (2.2)
Specialties 7.7 0.7
Mini Majors/Cinemas/Other (3.0) 1.5
Total 3.0 1.9

• 2H11 comparable NOI growth:

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Retail on track for similar comparable NOI growth to 1H11 (+4.3% in 1H11)

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Office and industrial will outperform 1H11 (+1.5% office and +3.7% industrial in 1H11)

- 6 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Our agenda

  • Retirement Living investor briefing

Morning Tea

  • Development briefing

• Operations briefing

  • Q&A

• Asset tours:

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The Willows

Macarthur Gardens

Well established and successful 189 unit retirement village featuring a mix of older style and newly developed independent living units and serviced apartments

New 238 unit greenfield retirement living village currently under construction

- 7 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

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Retirement Living Investor Briefing David Pitman – CEO, Retirement Living

www.stockland.com

Agenda

1. A robust and attractive business model

2. Strong, low risk investment returns

3. Strategy for success

4. Recap of key points

- 9 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

A robust and attractive business well suited to Stockland

Compelling demand drivers:

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Ageing population demographics well understood; easy to predict

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Expect demand for new developments of circa $35b over next 20 years

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Industry will struggle to meet demand because of fragmented structure

  • Strong competitive advantage reflecting our history in residential development and commercial property operations:

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Retirement Living combines skills honed in these two asset classes

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Balance sheet provides financial resources to fund development projects to capture demand

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  • Masterplan our communities around the 3-Rs, giving added market appeal

Retirement Living delivers attractive long-run investment returns:

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Based on „ground up‟ fundamentals, the business is expected to deliver an overall unlevered IRR, post overheads, of circa 12%pa

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Upside potential with increased scale

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  • Stockland has outperformed relative to this benchmark over last 4 years

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Turnover cash lags accounting profits - model designed to ease cashflows for residents

It is sustainable:

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Residents attracted by lifestyle, financial model works for them

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Industry is fragmented; larger operators can create national platforms for advantage

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  • Government supports retirement living as an important element in the broader community Clear strategy to grow our earnings

- 10 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Retirement Living means active communities, not A ed Care or Nursin Homes g g

  • Retirement villages are active communities of 65-85 year old independent residents

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  • Retirement villages offer only basic nursing services

  • Stockland‟s Aged Care/Nursing Homes were part of the 2010 Aevum acquisition:

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  • Circa 3% Retirement Living net assets; circa 0.3% SGP overall net assets

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Currently looking to outsource or sell these operations

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- 11 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Compelling demand fundamentals, even without an increase in take-u rates to international benchmarks p

Australian population aged 65+

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2.7% pa CAGR
Millions of people
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Implied demand for units
4.1% pa CAGR 129
108
82
253
213
162
115
2010 2020 2030 2040
Thousands of units
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65+ population expected to more than double in next 30 years

Baseline demand @ current 5% take-up @ 8% take-up (reflects international benchmarks)

$35b worth of new property required to meet demand (at today‟s prices and take-up rates)

- 12 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Stockland‟s integrated model combines proven capabilities to achieve reater market share g

Case Study of Highlands, VIC

  • Masterplanned community creation

  • Retail amenity supports increased sales volume and drives whole of project returns

  • Drives local demand

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Retail
Residential
• Asset management • Development capabilities
• Frontline operations • Zoning and approvals
• Procurement savings • Builder relationships

• Recurring income Co-operative marketing

Cross-sell
• Enhances lifestyle value
Retirement •
proposition for residents Leverage brand
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  • Higher land bank turnover

- 13 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Leveraging group strengths – Stockland‟s competitive advantage

Residential Communities
Commercial
Residential Communities
Commercial
Residential Communities
Commercial
Residential Communities
Commercial
Commercial
Retirement
is
similar
• Population growth and projected
undersupply
• Development profit
• Locations driven by local demand
and amenity
• Development processes
• Lease-like income stream
• Resident (tenant) management
• On-going asset management
• Revaluations below the line
Retirement
is
different
• On-going income stream
• Profits from built-form (construction
outsourced to partner builders)
• More infrastructure - recovered
through the DMF structure
• Gross cash yield higher than
Commercial:
- Unrecovered overheads also higher as
% of asset value
- Scale required to spread overheads
and achieve appropriate net cash yield
• Relatively low risk - underwritten by
demographic demand and undersupply

Retirement helps maintain Stockland‟s strategic income weightings[1] Combines stable recurring income with exposure to development profits

- 14 - 1. 20-40% of Operating Profit from trading, 60-80% of Operating Profit from recurring

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

The business model delivers trading and recurring income

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Development Established
Target 30% of income Target 70% of income
Benchmark IRR = 20% (pre-overhead) Benchmark IRR = ~15% (pre-overhead)
1 2 3 4 5 6
7
Choose Acquire Masterplan Initial Resident makes ingoing
Build
corridors land & design „sale‟ contribution and moves in
Resident enjoys
lifestyle
11
8
Platform
Asset creation cycle
• Same drivers and activities as Residential
Resident is
12 Village
• re-paid Resident
Community facilities are more extensive Management
and DMF moves out
crystallised 13 Services
Turnover cycle
Deferred Management Fee (DMF):
10
Achieved on re-sale of unit Unit is 9
Based on resident tenure and capital gain Unit re-sold refurbished /
upgraded as
needed
----- End of picture text -----

  • Deferred Management Fee (DMF): Achieved on re-sale of unit Based on resident tenure and capital gain

  • Resident receives the re-sale price, less the DMF

  • Outgoing resident pays for basic refurbishment (new carpet, paint and curtains)

  • Stockland pays for upgrades (kitchen, bathroom etc) – usually every second turnover

- 15 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Agenda

1. A robust and attractive business model

2. Strong, low risk investment returns

3. Strategy for success

4. Recap of key points

- 16 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Favourable risk-adjusted returns vs other property asset classes

  • Historic returns for various asset classes analysed by Atchison Consultants (independent asset consultant):

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Retirement villages show highest total returns (IRR; pre-overheads) on a „buy and hold‟ basis: circa 15% pa

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Although above volatility of other direct property sectors, retirement village volatility below listed general equities, and listed property

  • Compared to a single village, a portfolio of villages has reduced volatility because of reduced variation in turnovers (refer slide 27)

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  • Means volatility may be lower than shown in chart

  • Analysis confirms Australian retirement villages offer attractive risk-adjusted returns

Total returns and volatilities[1]

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20%
15% Australian Retirement
Villages (proxy)
Australian Residential Property
Australian Direct Property
10% Australian
Shares
Overseas Fixed Interest
Australian Fixed Interest
Cash Australian Listed Property
5%
Overseas Shares
0%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Total Returns (% pa)
----- End of picture text -----

Volatility of Return (% pa)

- 17 - 1. Source: Atchison Consultants; 15 years to December 2010; pre-overheads and pre-tax

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

ARC established villages have delivered a 24%pa total return in the 4 ears since ac uisition y q

• ARC acquired in March 2007: Established villages purchased for $148m, including $43m goodwill

• Since acquisition, established villages delivered a total return of 24%pa before overheads: Returns would have been 14%pa even without valuation uplift Excluding goodwill from initial and current values, returns would have been 33%pa

ARC Investment cashflows - established villages

Value of
villages
1H11:
$228m
FY07 (3
months)
FY08
turnover
FY09
turnover
FY10
turnover
1H11
turnover cash cash cash
turnover
cash $6m $22m $21m $22m
cash
$10m

Paid $148m for 15 established villages March 2007

IRR = 24% pa before overheads

54% of initial investment recouped in turnover cash

- 18 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Retirement Living is expected to deliver net cash returns of ~12%pa

Pre-overhead unlevered IRR

Less: Overheads = Net unlevered IRR

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Development
• Investment hurdle rate for new village developments
20% • Investment in development is ~35% of total cash funds
Wtd Avg
employed
~17%
• Expected average FY12-13 turnover
Established ~10%
cash yield on cash invested
~15%

Capital growth rate of underlying property
~5%
• Valuation assumes 3.7%pa
• Historical actual ~9%pa (refer slide 23)

~$50m Overheads at expected FY12-13 run rate
(5%)
~$950m • Estimated average FY12-13 cash funds employed in
established villages, development WIP and stock
• After all overheads and before benefits of tax and gearing
~12%
• Further scale efficiencies will reduce overhead cost and provide IRR upside
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  • Capital growth rate of underlying property

- 19 -

Note: Excludes Aged Care

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

An efficient, low risk, funding model … and affordable for customers

  • The loan-lease DMF structure enhances resident affordability:

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  • Typically asset rich, income poor

  • Average Stockland customer purchases an Independent Living Unit (ILU) for 80% of previous home‟s value:

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  • Enables circa 20% to be retained for money to live on, travel etc

  • Loan-lease is stamp duty efficient

  • Resident loans fund underlying property:

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  • If held on SGP balance sheet without offsetting loan, rent would exceed most residents‟ ability to service from cash flows

Components of funds employed in Retirement Living[1]

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(at 31 December 2010, $m)
2,949 Cash investment is
earning a weighted
average ~17%pa
(pre-overhead; slide 19)
1,929
1,020
114
122
174
62 Stock
610
548
3
R/L Funds Funded Funded Goodwill DMF Development Cash
Employed By By 2 Revaluation WIP 3,4 investment
Residents Shareholders & Creation in Established
3 Villages 5
Loans from Cost of Zero Target Earning
current industry cash 20%pa IRR ~15%pa IRR
residents entry invested
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  1. Excludes Aged Care net funds employed of $32m

  2. Refer note 22 of 1H11 accounts (existing Retirement Living resident obligations - Gross existing resident loans)

  3. 20 -

  4. Refer page 20 1H11 Results presentation dated 9 February 2011

  5. Includes $10m of undeveloped land held for sale (refer Note 9 1H11 accounts)

  6. Includes $62m of stock (~$50m acquired with Aevum); balance is acquired DMF at cost plus cumulative capex on common facilities

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Within the next 12 months, accrued DMF is ex ected to exceed cash investment p

  • Stockland‟s cash investment in established villages comprises:

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  • DMFs acquired through M&A (ARC, Rylands and Aevum)

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  • Ongoing capital invested in maintaining and upgrading common areas in villages

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Legal title to resident units for all loanlease/license units (remaining strata units being converted over time - currently 11% of portfolio)

  • Accrued DMF represents fees due to Stockland at any given point in time: Contractually owed by residents

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Reflects current residents at current ILU prices

DMF investment vs accrual

($m) 650 Accrued DMF is expected to exceed the cash invested in DMFs during the second half of FY12

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600
Cash investment in
established village DMFs
550
500 Accrued DMF
(Owed to Stockland under
current resident contracts)
450
400
Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12
----- End of picture text -----

- 21 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Strong, low risk investment returns in the established portfolio

Value drivers - established portfolio

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----- Start of picture text -----

Demand
Price growth Product supply
Capabilities
Portfolio maturity
Strong risk-
Profitability
adjusted returns
Economies of scale
Low volatility
Risk Recoverable investment
Sustainable business model
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Refer detailed slides

- 22 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Price growth supported by strength in residential markets and ro ected su l shortfall in retirement p j pp y

Price Growth

Historical price growth comparison

10% 9% 7.6% 5% 3.7% Average 9-year growth Average 9-year ABS index of house Growth rate Growth rate rate of the median growth rate of prices past 25 years adopted for IRR adopted for house price where Stockland[1] village across Australia (wtd modelling statutory reporting Stockland[1] had villages unit prices avg of capital cities) (refer slide 19) (mostly Melbourne)

Historical experience

Conservative relative to historical experience

  • Does not rely on sustained high residential price growth

- 23 - 1. Ex-Aevum

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Profitability will further improve as the portfolio matures

Portfolio Maturity

  • Typical retirement village reaches maturity after 10-12 years

% of existing ILU portfolio over 10 years old[1]

  • At maturity:

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  • Turnover frequency is 8-10%pa

  • Stockland weighted average portfolio maturity: Before Aevum 14.5 years After Aevum 17.0 years

  • 63% of existing ILUs are now in villages of 10+ years maturity:

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  • Will be >80% in 2015 for existing ILUs Excluding new developments

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----- Start of picture text -----

100%
80%
60%
40%
FY10 FY12 FY14 FY16 FY18 FY20
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- 24 - 1. Excluding new developments

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Turnover cash from existing villages to increase as villages mature

Portfolio Maturity

  • DMF turnover cash forecast to grow at a rate marginally above the price growth rate of the underlying units[1]

  • Turnover cash lags DMF accrual:

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  • Lag is greater if portfolio is younger, or capital growth higher

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  • At a growth rate of 3.7%, ratio of DMF turnover cash / DMF accrual matures at circa 80%

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  • Excluding price growth, turnover cash will equal DMF accrual within 10 years

  • Turnover cash forecasts predictable based on: Our database of historic turnovers Actuarial projections

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----- Start of picture text -----

Forecast DMF cashflows: FY12-22 [2]
($m)
100 90%
DMF turnover cash @ 5.0% growth in unit prices
(LHS, $m); CAGR = 5.4%
DMF turnover cash / DMF accrual
@ 3.7% growth in unit prices (RHS, %)
80 80%
60 70%
DMF turnover cash, @ 3.7% growth
In unit prices (LHS, $m); C AGR = 4.0%
40 60%
FY12 FY14 FY16 FY18 FY20 FY22
----- End of picture text -----

  1. Based on pre-overheads, capex, funding costs and tax impacts/benefits. Forecast turnovers, subject to variation in resident turnovers

  2. Established villages only as of December 2010; excludes new developments; based on new residents entering on Stockland standard contract - 5.5% of exit price in the first year, then 3% of exit price pa to a cap of 32.5% of exit price after 10 years

- 25 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Scale means we are adding income faster than overheads and will continue to do so ,

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----- Start of picture text -----

Scale
----- End of picture text -----

  • Aevum acquisition moved Stockland down scale curve

Retirement Living scale curve

(Fixed costs per living unit - established business only)

  • FY12 fixed costs per unit in the Established business are expected to be ~20% below the pre-Aevum level

  • Further benefits available from expansion of the Established portfolio:

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  • Development pipeline will add significant scale over time

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Selective acquisitions

==> picture [352 x 221] intentionally omitted <==

----- Start of picture text -----

$ Per
Unit p.a.
Pre-Aevum
Post-Aevum:
~20% lower
Post-completion of
current development
pipeline
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000
# Units
----- End of picture text -----

Ability to spread fixed costs over larger base

- 26 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Risk

Low risk business model

Low volatility of earnings

  • Larger portfolios deliver steadier recurring DMF cash flow, especially as maturity increases:

==> picture [17 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

Less susceptible to low turnover years

  • Development is a repeatable, scalable process leveraging our tested Residential capabilities

Sustainable demand

  • Underwritten by strong demographic demand

  • Projected supply shortfall will support continued price growth:

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  • However, viability of model not reliant on sustained high residential price growth

  • Affordable for residents

Recoverable investment

  • Within the next 12 months, the accrued DMF owed by current residents is expected to pay back 100% of Stockland‟s cash investment in acquired DMFs

Turnover volatility and portfolio size

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----- Start of picture text -----

Turnover
Portfolio
Variation
(% p.a.) 100 units
8% 7000 units
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
-8%
----- End of picture text -----

Time in years

- 27 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Sustainable value proposition

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----- Start of picture text -----

Risk
----- End of picture text -----

  • Residents see Retirement Village living as a lifestyle choice:

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  • Loan-lease DMF model is affordable; enables assetrich, income-poor customers to buy now, pay later

  • The DMF contracts offered by major industry participants deliver positive capital gain, even after DMFs are deducted on exit (refer chart):

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  • Assuming 5%pa capital growth and a 12-year stay

  • A solid defence against potential regulatory change

  • Overall, Stockland DMF contract terms are positioned well relative to key competitors:

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  • Our most commonly offered contract accrues at 5.5% of exit price in the first year, then 3% of exit price pa to a cap of 32.5% of exit price after 10 years This contract has been in use for 8+ years, is well accepted and portfolio has minimal vacancies

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----- Start of picture text -----

% of initial loan returned to resident [1]
125%
Most common
121% Stockland DMF
contract on offer
Competitor 1,2,3 120%
115%
Competitor 4 111%
Competitor 5 110%
----- End of picture text -----

  • 28 - 1. Compares the percentage of initial purchase price returned to the resident after deferred management fees are deducted on exit. Competitor contracts illustrated are the most common currently on offer from each company. Examples are based on DMF contracts currently available in the market. Assumes 5%pa unit price growth and 12 year tenure on exit. Highlighted Stockland contract accrues at 5.5% of exit price in the first year, then 3% of exit price pa to a cap of 32.5% of exit price after 10 years. Source: JLL; Stockland analysis

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Agenda

1. A robust and attractive business model

2. Strong, low risk investment returns

3. Strategy for success

4. Recap of key points

- 29 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Good progress being made: actively leveraging Group capabilities, focused on creatin further value g

The journey from cottage industry to institutional-grade asset class

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----- Start of picture text -----

Aevum acquisition has
Build the foundation
made a significant
contribution to this phase
50-60% complete
Leverage group capabilities
20-30% complete
Innovate for advantage
10% complete
Now ~2013
----- End of picture text -----

Aevum acquisition has made a significant contribution to this phase

- 30 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Building the foundation

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----- Start of picture text -----


Aevum successfully acquired and integrated

Growth corridors identified and pipeline defined
What has been

Processes redesigned
achieved •
CRM and other information systems developed and refined

Scalable organisational structure established

Internalise village management (former ARC villages)

Still to do Village manager skills development

Continue to refine and improve systems and processes

Competitively robust national platform

Outcomes Improved scale economics

Professionalised institutional systems and processes
(6 months)

Benefits for residents from a nationally consistent operating model
----- End of picture text -----

- 31 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Aevum successfully acquired and integrated

Portfolio size1
National
ranking
Market share /
geographic
diversity
Existing units
turnover
Village age
Development
Pipeline
Before
After
Change

3,881 units
7,027 units
+81%
Nearly doubled portfolio
28 villages
58 villages
+30 villages
#4
#3
+1 ranking
Clear #3 in the market
~5%
(2 states)
~9%
(5 states)
+4%
(+3 states)
National platform; critical
mass in key states
c250 units p.a.
>500 units p.a.
> +105%
Strong turnover from
more mature portfolio
14.5 years
17.0 years
+17%
More mature villages
enhance cash yield
~2,900 units
~3,400 units
+29%
Strong organic growth

- 32 - 1. Excludes aged care / nursing homes

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Aevum acquisition on track to achieve targets

Target Previous guidance Update
EPS accretion - FY11 ~0.6% accretive in FY11 On track
EPS accretion - FY12 ~2.5% accretive in FY12 On track
Cash coverage Expect to achieve ~45% cash coverage in FY12 On track
Synergies Estimated savings of ~15% of combined costs per
annum by end of FY12
On track

- 33 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Leveraging group capabilities

  • Transferred development skills and best practices from Residential

  • What has been • Now building on land bank sites (e.g. Highlands, Arilla, Settlers East)

  • achieved Commenced masterplanning and detailed design at land bank sites at Selandra Rise, Mernda; others in early stages

    • Leverage builder partner capabilities as in Residential
  • Invest in raising asset management to Commercial Property

  • Still to do standards

    • Further collaboration with other Business Units on master-planned communities, especially on major land bank sites (e.g. Caloundra)
  • Faster and lower cost-to-construct built form

  • Outcomes • Enhanced long term asset values

  • (12-18 months) • Improved resident satisfaction, driving referral

- 34 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Innovating for advantage

  • Proprietary ILU and Community Centre designs

  • What has been Customer insight and analytics; leading CRM capability •

  • achieved Resident feedback process (Residents‟ Voice Survey) • Sales professional training

  • Evolve DMF structure to continue to meet customers‟ needs

  • • Middle-ring, medium density development solutions

  • Still to do Partnering to offer personal care and lifestyle services • Continue to evolve ILU and common facility designs

  • • Online customer experience

  • Enhanced customer choice in DMF options

  • • Maintain relevance to incoming generations of residents

  • Outcomes • Wider and more flexible set of growth options

  • (2-3 years) • Broader customer appeal

  • • Market share gains

- 35 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Agenda

1. A robust and attractive business model

2. Strong, low risk investment returns

3. Strategy for success

4. Recap of key points

- 36 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Recap of key points

Retirement Living is a strong fit with Stockland‟s wellestablished property skills and capabilities:

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  • Combination of Residential development and Commercial asset / operational management

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  • Helps maintain balanced earnings mix between trading and recurring

  • The asset class is a sound long term investment:

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Strong underlying demand

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  • Overall IRR after overheads of ~12% with relatively low risk and upside potential

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  • Have outperformed relative to this benchmark over last 4 years

  • Strategic focus is on continuous improvement and organic growth through development:

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

Realise economies of scale

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  • Continue to develop and upgrade capabilities

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  • Innovation in product and choice of DMF options Develop new villages to meet demand, drawing extensively from Stockland land bank

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Selective acquisitions

==> picture [304 x 390] intentionally omitted <==

Rylands Kew Village, VIC

- 37 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

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Development Overview Barry Mann – General Manager, Development

www.stockland.com

Agenda

1. Process Well defined and leveraging our corporate expertise

2. Product Development

Continually improving to produce a better result

3. Pipeline Strong growth from our land bank

- 39 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Residential development for the older generation

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----- Start of picture text -----

Choose Acquire Masterplan
Build Initial „sale‟
corridors land & design
Strategy • Residential • Demographics – • Community centre • Incorporate • Strong database
corridors for large high over 65 and facilities retirement features •
Early display units
sites (8-12ha) population • into homes
Density •
• High population • Close to: benchmarks • Staged construction: Qualify interested
parties
areas for medium density sites Retail • Increase density in 2 to 4 civil stages • On site sales staff
(3-8ha) Advanced care later stages ILU stages of and customer team
• Average residential Medical facilities • Theme precincts of 25 to 35
value $350,000+ 30 to 40 ILUs • Community Centre
Public transport
opens with Stage 1
Skill Set • Aligns with already • Strong market • Internal architect for • Development, project • Internal sales team
strong research knowledge and masterplan and construction are seen as friends
and business research • Internal cost management to our customers
development in • Research from planning • Project home and
Stockland
Retail and medium scale
• Supported by 3-R Residential builders
growth strategy
----- End of picture text -----

Skill Set

- 40 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Choose corridors

Acquire Masterplan Build land & design

Initial „sale‟

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Clear site selection criteria

  • Proximity adds value

  • High population areas

  • High over 65 population

  • Residential values over

  • $350,000

  • Align with Residential land bank

- 41 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Choose Acquire Masterplan Build corridors land & design

Initial „sale‟

==> picture [684 x 418] intentionally omitted <==

----- Start of picture text -----

Sydney
Macarthur
60 Km
Railway Station
Stockland
Macarthur Macarthur
Gardens Square
Residential Shopping
Development Centre
Macarthur
Gardens
Retirement
Aged Care
Village
1km
Campbelltown
Private
Hospital
Campbelltown
Golf Club
Campbelltown
Public
Hospital
9km 5km
----- End of picture text -----

Example: Macarthur Gardens, NSW

- 42 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Choose Acquire Masterplan Build Initial „sale‟ corridors land & design

Nine Stages of 25 to 30 ILUs per stage Example: Macarthur Gardens, NSW Gated access RV & caravan parking to public park

Central Walking access to community regional shopping centre centre Pocket park High impact chess theme and secure entry

- 43 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Choose Acquire Masterplan Build corridors land & design

Initial „sale‟

Community facilities

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Health & Wellbeing

  • Medical Suites, Nurses Room, Podiatrists

  • Hair Salon and beautician

  • Pool and gym – movement and flexibility

Community Lifestyle

  • Security

  • Café, club lounge, bar, library, media

  • Town hall for functions, meetings and activities

  • Bowling green and alfresco spaces

Homes

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Features

  • Mobility and dexterity

  • Facilities for grabrails

  • Easy to use:

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  • Door handles

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  • Kitchen drawers

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  • Oven and microwave heights Taps

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Large format light & power switches

  • Nurse call system

  • Pocket parks – chess, bocce, rose gardens

- 44 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Choose Acquire Masterplan corridors land & design

Build

Initial „sale‟

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New development customers

  • Around 70 years old in new developments

  • 30% singles, 70% couples

  • Majority come from within 10km radius

  • Move for:

==> picture [17 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

  • lifestyle

==> picture [17 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

  • downsize

==> picture [17 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

follow the kids

“We already downsized our property four years ago, but as we‟ve gotten older, it‟s become more important to us to live in a community of like minded people”

“The village has got all the facilities and design features we wanted, at the right price. We‟re looking forward to enjoying a different pace of life and relaxing a lot more”

- 45 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Agenda

1. Process Well defined and leveraging our corporate expertise

2. Product Development

Continually improving to produce a better result

3. Pipeline

Strong growth from our land bank

- 46 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Homes - continually enhancing our product

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Recent past

  • Custom built

  • Wide frontage

  • Monotonous streetscapes

  • Monotone colour palette

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Current designs

  • Custom designed

  • Narrow frontage

  • Varied streetscapes

  • Varied palette

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----- Start of picture text -----

Use this and a picture of
Henley Home at Selandra Rise
----- End of picture text -----

==> picture [201 x 108] intentionally omitted <==

Near future

  • Project homes - modified for retirees

  • Narrow frontage

  • Ongoing builder product development

  • Procurement efficiencies

  • Varied facades and streetscapes

- 47 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Community centre - a community within communities

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  • Health and wellbeing / community lifestyle

  • Activity hub with a club atmosphere

  • Open within 6 months of first residents

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- 48 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Product development – innovation to enhance affordability

==> picture [705 x 374] intentionally omitted <==

----- Start of picture text -----

What Why How
• Customers need to preserve • Reduce land m [2] per ILU
capital • Reduce building size

Improve Increase customer pool • Increase services provision
• Increase accessible outside ILU
affordability
corridors • Align with partner builder
product
• Land cost is amortised over • Efficient masterplanning
Increase ILU quantity • Narrow lot and ILUs
• Increase product range • Medium density e.g.
site yield •
Lower operating cost per Gowanbrae, Willows
ILU
• Improve efficiency of land • Density Low 22 - 25 ILU per Ha
Benchmarks use Medium 50 ILU per Ha
• Provide consistent village • Community facilities 6 - 7 m [2] per ILU
experience to customers • Village size 170 to 250 ILUs
----- End of picture text -----

- 49 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Agenda

1. Process Well defined and leveraging our corporate expertise

2. Product Development

Continually improving to produce a better result

3. Pipeline

Strong growth from our land bank

- 50 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Identified development pipeline: ~3,400 ILUs (as at 1 May 2011)

Identified development pipeline: ~3,400 ILUs(as at 1 May 2011) Identified development pipeline: ~3,400 ILUs(as at 1 May 2011) Identified development pipeline: ~3,400 ILUs(as at 1 May 2011) Identified development pipeline: ~3,400 ILUs(as at 1 May 2011) Identified development pipeline: ~3,400 ILUs(as at 1 May 2011) Identified development pipeline: ~3,400 ILUs(as at 1 May 2011) Identified development pipeline: ~3,400 ILUs(as at 1 May 2011)
- 51 -
State
Project
Anticipated Settlements
Total
Units
(approx)
Remaining
Units
(approx)
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
Current Active Projects
VIC
Gowanbrae
190
40
QLD
Fig Tree
190
100
VIC
Highlands
200
170
QLD
North Lakes Extension
100
70
VIC
Arilla (South Morang)
200
200
NSW
Macarthur Gardens
240
240
NSW
Waratah Highlands
170
60
VIC
Tarneit Skies
160
40
WA
Settlers East
220
220
Village Extensions
NSW
The Willows
70
NSW
Lourdes
10
NSW
Golden Ponds
40
NSW
Maybrook
20
NSW
Cardinal Freeman
220
NSW
The Cove
60
Landbank - Not Yet Committed
VIC
Selandra Rise
200
VIC
Mernda
240
QLD
Northshore (Townsville)
180
QLD
Pallara
170
VIC
Eucalypt
190
VIC
Highlands II
200
WA
Banjup
200
QLD
Caloundra
460
3,400
500 - 600
1,100 – 1,200
1,100 – 1,200
NSW
QLD
VIC
WA
Total over two years
Current Active Projects
VIC
Gowanbrae
190
40
QLD
Fig Tree
190
100
VIC
Highlands
200
170
QLD
North Lakes Extension
100
70
VIC
Arilla (South Morang)
200
200
NSW
Macarthur Gardens
240
240
NSW
Waratah Highlands
170
60
VIC
Tarneit Skies
160
40
WA
Settlers East
220
220
Village Extensions
NSW
The Willows
70
NSW
Lourdes
10
NSW
Golden Ponds
40
NSW
Maybrook
20
NSW
Cardinal Freeman
220
NSW
The Cove
60
Landbank - Not Yet Committed
VIC
Selandra Rise
200
VIC
Mernda
240
QLD
Northshore (Townsville)
180
QLD
Pallara
170
VIC
Eucalypt
190
VIC
Highlands II
200
WA
Banjup
200
QLD
Caloundra
460
- 51 -
3,400
500 - 600 1,100 – 1,200 1,100 – 1,200
- 51 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Strong growth and profit coverage from existing land bank

Annual volume of new unit settlements expected to triple over next 3 years:

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

Improved geographic diversity in 4 states

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

  • Strong lead database

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

Early establishment of community centre

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

Leveraging Residential communities development progress

  • Funds employed in development expected to increase by only 50% over the same period: Accelerated development of land bank

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

Funds recycled from settlements

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

  • Develop in stages

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

Benefits of scale and diversification

  • Active developments provide substantial profit coverage in next 2 years:

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

FY12: 100% FY13: 90%

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

15-20% development margin before overheads

  • Growth in next 5 years covered by village extensions and projects identified in the land bank (circa 3,400 ILU pipeline):

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

Active projects – circa 1,140 remaining ILUs

==> picture [16 x 19] intentionally omitted <==

Village extensions and land bank – circa 2,260 ILUs

- 52 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Summary

  • Process:

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

Residential development for the older generation

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

Development processes leverage our skill base and corporate expertise

  • Product development:

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

Continue to improve based on deep customer insight

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

Innovate to enhance affordability

  • Pipeline:

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

Strong growth delivered from our diversified land bank

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

Strong profit coverage from active developments

==> picture [16 x 18] intentionally omitted <==

All growth in next 5 years covered by village extensions and land bank

- 53 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

==> picture [676 x 407] intentionally omitted <==

==> picture [90 x 86] intentionally omitted <==

Operations Overview Kate Mathewson – General Manager, Operations

www.stockland.com

Retirement Living Operations

1. Large and scalable platform

2. Stockland management expertise is leveraged across our Retirement Living portfolio

3. Knowing our residents well allows us to run better communities

4. We understand the critical steps in operating a successful village

- 55 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Large and scalable platform

ILUs and Serviced Apartments

Age of village profile

==> picture [627 x 196] intentionally omitted <==

----- Start of picture text -----

3%
4%
8%
18%
11%
VIC 28% 57% 57%
NSW
14%
0-5 Years
QLD
5-10 Years
SA
10-20 Years
WA
Over 20 Years
----- End of picture text -----

Total units
Independent Living Units (ILUs) 6,441
Serviced Apartments (SAs) 586
Total1 7,027

- 56 - 1. Excludes aged care

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Retirement Living Operations

1. Large and scalable platform

2. Stockland management expertise is leveraged across our Retirement Living portfolio

3. Knowing our residents well allows us to run better communities

4. We understand the critical steps in operating a successful village

- 57 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Retirement Living: a critical and growing need in the community

Residential accommodation by customer segment

Customer
Segment & Age
Customer
financial strength
Physical product
Supporting
Financial Product
Operator
Services
First Home Buyers
20-35 yrs
Upgraders
35-50 yrs
Upgraders
35-50 yrs
Upgraders
35-50 yrs
Downsizers
50-70 yrs
Downsizers
50-70 yrs
Retirees
70-85 yrs
Aged Care
85+ yrs
Limited; Leveraged Building Life peak In decline or flat Winding down
Residential Communities Retirement Living Villages Nursing homes
Mortgage DMF Aged care bonds /
pension
Individual households Stockland Specialists
(Partnership)
Self-serviced 3rd party health care and
Personal care service providers
Specialists
(Partnership)

- 58 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

We are continuing to develop and leverage group capabilities

==> picture [696 x 189] intentionally omitted <==

----- Start of picture text -----

Asset Care and Redevelopment
Sales and Operations
management lifestyle design and
marketing
services approval
----- End of picture text -----

Provide our residents
with effective retirement
living solutions
Manage our villages to
ensure quality of
customer offering
Maintain our Villages to
ensure consistently high
quality product
Co-ordinate access to
care and lifestyle
services for our
residents
Design and obtain
approval to add on to or
redevelop existing
villages to create larger
more vibrant villages
• Strong customer insight
• Empathetic sales team
• Refined resident
database
• Cross-group sales
practices and training
• Aevum acquisition has
built on capabilities and
business processes
• Developing a village
manager training and
village accreditation
program
• Leveraging best practice
asset management
across the business
• Asset management plans
• Refining and
standardising our service
offering
• Building on partnering
capabilities
• Dedicated design team
with solid master
planning capabilities
• Development and project
management best
practice shared across
Stockland

- 59 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Retirement Living Operations

1. Large and scalable platform

2. Stockland management expertise is leveraged across our Retirement Living portfolio

3. Knowing our residents well allows us to run better communities

4. We understand the critical steps in operating a successful village

- 60 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Two segments – „Active and Engaged‟ and „Winding Down‟

  • Still very active both physically & socially

  • New retirees

  • Usually couples

  • Feel young and independent

  • Undertaking leisure activities, like travel

  • Enjoy the „lock up and leave‟ aspect of a

  • „Active and villageFreedom from home maintenanceLooking to the future

  • Engaged‟

  • Reacting to an event (e.g. death of a spouse or serious illness) or planning for an event they believe to be inevitable

  • Unable to remain in family home

  • Been retired for longer

  • Less engaged & less social

  • Want the security of 24 hour medical assistance

  • Cherish the sense of community of village life

  • Often single females

  • Enjoy low maintenance lifestyle

  • Like the security of a gated community

„Winding Down‟

Often an event triggers the „Winding Down‟ segment

Some will possess features of both segments, however one segment profile will be dominant[1]

- 61 -

  1. Source: Qualitative segmentation research, Forethought, 2009

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Lifestyle is the primary driver for purchase

Main reasons for moving to a retirement village

==> picture [475 x 332] intentionally omitted <==

----- Start of picture text -----

Health
Other
24/7
Stay
Emergency
11%
independent
support
21%
7%
New
home 7%
More 16% Quality
9%
of life
security
Lifestyle
13%
Less 16%
maintenance
Downsizing
----- End of picture text -----

- 62 - 1. Sources: Stockland Resident Survey and Choice modelling

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Understanding the drivers of satisfaction leads to better communities

Residents Voice survey

The drivers of resident satisfaction

  • Annual survey to all residents – 63% completed in 2010

  • Results reflect high level of customer satisfaction:

  • 88% of residents report being satisfied or extremely satisfied with their life in a Stockland village

  • 68% of new residents say their quality of life improved once they moved into a Stockland village

  • 56% of residents have referred at least 1 person to a Stockland village

  • Detailed feedback drives continual improvements in our product and service offerings

Overall Satisfaction 9/10

The home Social activities

The village manager

Group participation The residents‟ committee

==> picture [253 x 170] intentionally omitted <==

The village nurse Stockland

- 63 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Resident testimonials

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- 64 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Retirement Living Operations

1. Large and scalable platform

2. Stockland management expertise is leveraged across our Retirement Living portfolio

3. Knowing our residents well allows us to run better communities

4. We understand the critical steps in operating a successful village

- 65 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Operations and asset management

  • Assist residents on arrival

and departure

  • Sales and • Conveyancing team key marketing liaison with residents and their families

  • At turnover DMF contract between Stockland and resident is settled

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----- Start of picture text -----

Contracts
----- End of picture text -----

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  • Residents have access to village facilities at effectively no upfront cost

  • • The cost is deferred to the end of their stay (DMF)

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----- Start of picture text -----

Day to day
village
operations
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  • The cost of the day to day running of the village is funded by the monthly resident levy

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----- Start of picture text -----

Refurbishment
and upgrade
Capital
expenditure
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  • Refurbishments: minor / cosmetic make good works such as paint / carpet – funded by outgoing resident

  • Upgrades: mainly kitchen / bathroom renovations, does not occur every turnover. Capital reinvestment by Stockland; results in significant price uplift

- 66 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Retirement village operations vs retail shopping centre operations

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----- Start of picture text -----

There are similarities between Commercial Property and Retirement Living
Tenant signs
Retail commercial lease and
takes possession
Tenant trades
Resident makes ingoing
Retirement contribution and moves in Resident enjoys
lifestyle Operating budgets are
funded via monthly
levies and administered
by facility management
Platform
Resident is Village management
Resident
services
re-paid moves out
and DMF Resident is
crystallised Centre re-paid Tenant
management& MF vacates
crystallised
Settling with
outgoing party Unit re-sold Unit is refurbished / Refurbishment/refit
allows process to upgraded as needed
funded by outgoing
commence again
party
Tenancy is re-leased
and refitted
Tenancy is defitted and
Have specialised sales
staff to cater for the refitted as appropriate
specific needs of their
respective customer
group
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- 67 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Village services - determined by residents

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  • Dining room

  • Library

  • Happy hours

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  • Exercise classes

  • Sporting activities e.g. bowls, petanque

  • Pool

  • Gardens

  • Internet

  • Bus - organised day trips and shopping

  • Gym equipment tailored for seniors

  • Personal care services e.g. hairdresser, podiatrist, beautician

  • Social services - clubs and groups e.g. cards, movies, craft, men‟s shed, gardening, dominoes

  • Community programs

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  • Nurse

  • Pharmacy delivery

  • Grocery store

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- 68 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

In summary…

• National business in relevant growth areas

  • Leveraging the Stockland Residential and Commercial Property capabilities for the Retirement Living

business

  • 88% satisfaction levels drive low vacancy and referrals

  • Creating community is important

  • 29% of new residents spoke with current residents prior to making the decision to move

• 56% of residents recommended a Stockland village to at least one other person

  • 34% of new residents wished they had moved in earlier

• Retirement Living is a lifestyle choice

- 69 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Appendix

Portfolio composition

Step-by-step guide to P&L composition

DMF Valuation

Implications of Productivity Commission

- 70 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Portfolio profile[1]

Ownership contracts

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11%
Strata/Freehold
8%
Loan-License
Loan-Lease
81%
Village age
18%
0-5 Years
5-10 Years
10-20 Years
11%
20+ Years
57%
14%
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Portfolio

Accommodation types

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3%
9%
Independent
Living
Apartments
Serviced
Apartments
Independent
Living Units
88%
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Unit price point

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7% 11%
16%
<$200k
$200 to $300k
27%
$300 to $400k
$400 to $500k
> $500k
39%
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- 71 -

  1. Figures as at 31 March 2011

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Portfolio

Geographically diversified portfolio

Geographic diversification – Before and After Aevum

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4% 2% South Australia
3% 10%
8% Western Australia
18%
23%
26%
45% Victoria
55%
31%
65%
89%
29%
17% Queensland
11%
38%
28% 28% 22% 28% New South Wales
11%
8%
3%
Before After Before After Before After
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Established Development
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Combined
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- 72 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Guide to the P&L

The revenue model and cash flow profile

  • On taking up occupancy, resident makes an entry payment equal to the market value of the unit; this is recorded as a loan

($,000s)

Example cash flow profile - typical individual unit[1]

  • During residency, a Deferred Management Fee (DMF) is accrued as income based on the contract terms

  • The actual DMF paid on exit is calculated on the property value at either the time of entry or time of exit. In the case of entry, Stockland participates in the capital appreciation of the property at between 0% and 100% depending on the contract arrangements

  • In addition to the DMF, residents pay a regular service fee which is used to fund the day-to-day operation of the village (i.e. cost recovery model)

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----- Start of picture text -----

800
Paid to Resident
Paid to/by Operator
600
525
400
352
200
350
253
170
0
-300
-200
-400
Initial Cost Year 1 Year 11 Year 22
to Construct sales proceeds DMF and DMF and
(Incl. Community from 1st repayment repayment
Facilities) resident to 1st resident to 2nd resident
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  • When resident vacates, the loan is repaid less the accrued DMF

- 73 - 1.

Assumes: $350k unit price; DMF = 5.5% in Year 1, and 3%pa each year thereafter up to max 32.5%; DMF calculated on re-sale price; capital growth 3.7%pa

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Guide to the P&L

P&L structure reflects key value drivers

Illustration using actual data for 1H11

(Actual 6 months to 31 December 2010 - excluding Aevum)

(Actual 6 months to 31 December 2010 - excluding Aevum)
Illustration using actual data for 1H11
Components of RL Operating Profit
(excluding Aevum)
1H11
($m)
Development profit – Settled
4
Development profit–Unsettled
2
Total Development profit
6
Conversion profit
5
DMF Accrual
23
Overheads
(15)
Operating profit
19
Less accrued DMF
(23)
Plus Turnover cash
6
Cash earnings
2
Cash coverage 9%
# Units Settled
x Avg Selling Price
x Development Margin
# Units Occupied
x Avg Market Value
x Avg Rate of Accrual
Over the next few years, an annual Conversion profit of circa $10m is
expected, depending on turnover rate and mix of products turning over
Will grow slower than revenues as economies of scale are achieved
# Turnovers
x Avg Re-sale Value
x Avg DMF Margin
Progressive recognition of profit for assets under development, as required
by AASB140
• Rule-of-thumb: 15-20% of the following year‟s settled profit + 5-
10% of the settled profit in the year after
Cash earnings / Operating profit
Slide 75
Slide 77
Slide 78
Slide 76
Total Development profit
Conversion profit
DMF Accrual
Overheads
Operating profit
Less accrued DMF
Plus Turnover cash
Cash earnings
Cash coverage

- 74 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Guide to the P&L

Unsettled development profit

Recording unsettled profit through a development

Stage of Development Accounting Profit DMF Creation
DA Approval 5% Nil
Under Construction

Stage 10% complete
Based on %
completion - further
55%
Discount rate of
17.55% applied to
DMF creation until
sold

Stage 25% complete

Stage 50% complete

Stage 75% complete

Stage 100% complete
Complete

Unsold
60%

Sold
100% 12.55%

Simple rule-of-thumb for modelling purposes

15-20% of development profit for the next year

+

5-10% of the expected development profit for the year after

- 75 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Guide to the P&L

Conversion Profit

  • Deferred Repayment (DR) contracts represent approximately 20% of our current DMF contract portfolio:

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  • A legacy of our ARC acquisition, no longer offered to residents

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  • Under DR contract, resident originally purchased their unit for a price at or near the cost to construct (wholesale price) and pays a greater share on exit

  • When a resident on a DR contract turns-over, there are 2 sources of profit:

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  • DMF

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  • Conversion Profit

  • Conversion profit relates to the transition in ILU price from wholesale price (i.e. the cost to construct) to retail price

  • Conversion profits will decrease as these residents exit and the ILUs are transitioned to standard contracts

  • Our conversion profit is forecast to be circa $10m pa for the next 10 years, then tapering to zero over the subsequent 10 years:

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  • Subject to variance in resident turnovers

- 76 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Guide to the P&L

DMF accrual

  • DMF Accrual is the total amount of DMF payments owed by residents to Stockland at a particular balance date:

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  • Residents lend Stockland an amount equivalent to the market value of the ILU

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  • DMF Accrual refers to reduction in the liability owed to the resident (i.e. reduction of loan repayment)

  • Simplified our accounting of DMF accrual in 1H11 - now accrues as per each individual contract: DMF owed by each ILU changes over time in alignment with contract terms and as capital value of ILU grows

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  • Change in DMF owed by residents is calculated on a „bottom-up‟ basis each period

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  • Methodology caters for mix of contract terms, better reflecting value creation in diverse, post Aevum DMF portfolio

- 77 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Guide to the P&L

Achieved circa 12% gross turnover cash yield in FY10

Drivers of turnover cash yield - FY10 actual results

Impact of Aevum

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----- Start of picture text -----

Conversion profit
+ $12m
Avg. portfolio size
 Almost doubled size of
No. of turnovers 3,626 units portfolio
253 x
Turnover rate
Turnover cash yield 
More mature villages drives
Turnover cash 7.0% higher turnover
12%
+ $14m x
Re-sale value/unit
 No material change
DMF / turnover $240,000
$55,000 x
DMF at cost DMF margin  Increased due to higher share
of capital gain in contracts
23%
$217m
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- 78 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

DMF Valuation

Portfolio valuation

Stockland‟s policy is to revalue the DMF asset portfolio every 3 years

  • Last done in June 2009; next due date June 2012

  • Key valuation metrics have remained unchanged since June 2009:

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  • Discount rate 12.55%

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Long term capital growth rate 3.7%pa

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Turnover rate 12 years

Aevum acquisition means it is prudent to undertake a valuation review for June 2011 balance date

  • Currently underway

  • Internal valuation model and assumptions being validated by independent expert (E&Y)

Any changes to DMF asset value will not affect Underlying Profit

  • Since 1H10, Stockland has excluded DMF revaluations from Underlying Profit

  • However, as required by AASB 140, DMF revaluations included in Statutory Profit given classification as an Investment Property asset

- 79 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

DMF Valuation

Components of a simple DMF model

DMF Creation (below the line)

  • Addition of new contracts to the balance sheet that have been sold through development activity (PV of expected DMF, all residents through the end of the model term)

  • Typically 20 to 30% of the gross sale value of a unit, but depends on key assumptions: price growth, discount rate, turnover and tenure on exit assumptions

DMF Revaluation (below the line)

  • Movements in the Balance Sheet value (PV of the current and future established DMFs)
Assumptions
DMF Creation as % of Gross Sale Value (%)
DMF Creation
Actual Price Growth (%)
Reval for Assumed Price Growth of 3.7% ($/unit)
Reval for Price Growth greater than assumed ($)
DMF Reval
Book Value of DMF(see next slide)
V
X * Y * V
C
D
E =ƒ(C,D)
A * D + E
NPV of Turnover
Profit
  • Depends on price growth, discount rate, turnover, and tenure on exit assumptions

  • Contract terms will also influence this calculation

- 80 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Simple DMF Cash-Flow Model of a Mature Portfolio

DMF Valuation

Assumptions
Forecasted Cash-Flow
Standard Contract: maximum DMF of 32.5% of exit price after
10 years
Now
Yr +1
Yr +2
Yr +3
……
Yr +29
Yr +30
Yr + 31
(1)
Units
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
(2)
Average Unit Price ($000s)
300
300
311
323
334
859
891
924
Annual Price Growth Rate (%)
3.70%
(3)
Turnover (% of units)
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
Tenure on Exit (years)
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
(4)
DMF per turnover (% of unit price)
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
Discount Rate
12.55%
Modelled Cash-Flows
DMF Cash Flow ($millions)
-
8.4
8.7
9.1
……
23.2
24.1
25.0
Terminal Value ($millions)
-
-
-
-
…...
-
282.5
-
Total Cash Flow (future value)
-
8.4
8.7
9.1
……
23.2
306.6
25.0
Total Cash Flow (present value)
-
7.5
6.9
6.4
……
0.8
8.8
Present Value of 30 Year Cash Flows
$95m
In this example, this would be the fair value of the current and future DMF contracts on
existing units only
(1)x(2)x(3)x(4)
ILLUSTRATIVE
(1)
Note: Figures used in this illustrative example do not reflect Stockland’s actual portfolio or valuation
Assumptions
Forecasted Cash-Flow
Standard Contract: maximum DMF of 32.5% of exit price after
10 years
Now
Yr +1
Yr +2
Yr +3
……
Yr +29
Yr +30
Yr + 31
(1)
Units
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
(2)
Average Unit Price ($000s)
300
300
311
323
334
859
891
924
Annual Price Growth Rate (%)
3.70%
(3)
Turnover (% of units)
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
Tenure on Exit (years)
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
(4)
DMF per turnover (% of unit price)
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
Discount Rate
12.55%
Modelled Cash-Flows
DMF Cash Flow ($millions)
-
8.4
8.7
9.1
……
23.2
24.1
25.0
Terminal Value ($millions)
-
-
-
-
…...
-
282.5
-
Total Cash Flow (future value)
-
8.4
8.7
9.1
……
23.2
306.6
25.0
Total Cash Flow (present value)
-
7.5
6.9
6.4
……
0.8
8.8
Present Value of 30 Year Cash Flows
$95m
In this example, this would be the fair value of the current and future DMF contracts on
existing units only
(1)x(2)x(3)x(4)
ILLUSTRATIVE
(1)
Note: Figures used in this illustrative example do not reflect Stockland’s actual portfolio or valuation
Assumptions
Forecasted Cash-Flow
Standard Contract: maximum DMF of 32.5% of exit price after
10 years
Now
Yr +1
Yr +2
Yr +3
……
Yr +29
Yr +30
Yr + 31
(1)
Units
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
(2)
Average Unit Price ($000s)
300
300
311
323
334
859
891
924
Annual Price Growth Rate (%)
3.70%
(3)
Turnover (% of units)
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
Tenure on Exit (years)
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
(4)
DMF per turnover (% of unit price)
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
Discount Rate
12.55%
Modelled Cash-Flows
DMF Cash Flow ($millions)
-
8.4
8.7
9.1
……
23.2
24.1
25.0
Terminal Value ($millions)
-
-
-
-
…...
-
282.5
-
Total Cash Flow (future value)
-
8.4
8.7
9.1
……
23.2
306.6
25.0
Total Cash Flow (present value)
-
7.5
6.9
6.4
……
0.8
8.8
Present Value of 30 Year Cash Flows
$95m
In this example, this would be the fair value of the current and future DMF contracts on
existing units only
(1)x(2)x(3)x(4)
ILLUSTRATIVE
(1)
Note: Figures used in this illustrative example do not reflect Stockland’s actual portfolio or valuation
ILLUSTRATIVE
Now
Yr +1
Yr +2
Yr +3
……
Yr +29
Yr +30
Yr + 31
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
300
311
323
334
859
891
924
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
8.33%
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
32.50%
-
8.4
8.7
9.1
……
23.2
24.1
25.0
-
-
-
-
…...
-
282.5
-
(1)
Total Cash Flow (future value)
Total Cash Flow (present value)
Present Value of 30 Year Cash Flows
-
8.4
8.7
9.1
……
23.2
306.6
25.0
-
7.5
6.9
6.4
……
0.8
8.8
$95m
In this example, this would be the fair value of the current and future DMF contracts on
existing units only

Additional considerations

  • Each fiscal year, the model‟s start and end points are shifted forward such that the model period is always 30 years

  • The NPV of the DMF cash flows + development works-in-progress + Goodwill equals the Net Funds Employed. At 31 December 2010, Stockland Retirement Living‟s NFE was $1,020m

  • The NPV of the DMF cash flows + the capital value of operational retirement living communities is Stockland Retirement Living‟s Investment Property value. At 31 December 2010, the capital value of Stockland‟s operational retirement living communities was $1,929m. The capital value of retirement living communities is offset by the existing retirement living resident obligations. In Stockland‟s case, the capital value of operational retirement living communities and existing resident obligations are excluded from debt covenant calculations

Forecasted cash-flow is driven by growth rate, discount rate and turnover assumptions

- 81 -

  1. The terminal value is calculated by assuming the next year‟s cash flow continues to perpetuity: CF+1/(R-G) where R is the discount rate and G is the growth rate defined in the assumptions above

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

Productivity Commission

Impact of recent Productivity Commission review into A ed Care g

Potential implications should all draft recommendations be adopted and implemented[1]

  • The Productivity Commission recommended no changes to legislation that directly affects Retirement villages: Retirement Living sector would continue to be regulated through state-based Acts Productivity Commission urges greater harmonisation of regulations between states; increased standardisation of contracts – which Stockland supports in principle

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  • No further details available at this time; Productivity Commission believes COAG should take responsibility

  • The Productivity Commission recognises the importance of ensuring capacity exists to serve people with the most significant care needs:

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  • Uncouples accommodation from care, whereas the current system bundles these two aspects

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  • Government funding would be allocated to individuals rather than institutions (e.g. bed licences)

  • A key focus is addressing issues surrounding the provision of “high care”:

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  • High care = “The care which is provided for people who have been assessed by an ACAT (or Aged Care Assessment Services in Victoria) and need almost complete assistance with most daily living activities. It includes accommodation services as well as personal care. Medical needs are managed by a nursing staff.”

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  • Nationally, 4% of current 65+ population reside in high care

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  • Some of the industry‟s capacity which is currently being used for low care could be redeployed to high care in order to cope with demographic wave

  • One potential outcome is that low care could be increasingly absorbed into retirement living villages and homes in the broader community:

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Ageing-in-place would become more important

  • Potential implications for the retirement sector include:

  • More efficient utilisation of serviced apartment stock and ILUs to accommodate people with the lowest care needs

  • Greater demand for personal care services (low care) and other ageing-in-place service and product initiatives

- 82 - 1. “Caring for Older Australians” - report by the Productivity Commission, released January 2011; preliminary recommendations pending industry feedback and final report.

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

- 83 -

Retirement Living Investor Day 3 May 2011

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PROJECT DESCRIPTION

The Willows Retirement Village is currently a 141 ILU and 48 serviced apartments Village set on 6 hectares of landscaped grounds. The village has development approval for an additional 75 ILUs and a 92 bed aged care facility, bringing total ILU numbers to 216.

LOCATION

The Village is located at 226-236 Windsor Road, Winston Hills between Parramatta and Baulkham Hills and is approximately 30kms west of the Sydney CBD.

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DEVELOPMENT UPDATE

The new dwellings have been designed to work sympathetically within the context of the older existing Village which was first established in the mid 1980s. The new accommodation is a mix of 1, 2 and 3 bed product and has been designed as apartment, townhouse and villa style housing. Stage 6 comprises 2 apartment style buildings known as Buildings A & B. These buildings are located in the north-east section of the site and each contain 2 levels of residential accommodation, a basement carpark, lifted access and 24 ILUs.

KEY ASSET INFORMATION

Existing Village

ILUs: 141 Serviced Apartments (SA): 48 Ownership: Leasehold/Strata Resident interest: ILU - 31 leasehold/110 strata SA - 22 leasehold/26 strata Service Fees: ILU - strata levies SA - strata levies/ service fee Occupancy: 98%

Occupancy: 98% Number of residents: 196 Average resident entry age: 78 years Average age 81 years Average tenure: 10.5 years

New Developments (DA approved) Stage 6 ILUs: 24 (58% sold[1] ) Stage 8 ILUs : 28 Stage 10 ILUs : 23

KEY DATES

• Stage 6 completed: April 2011 • Stage 8 commenced[2] : June 2011

  • Stage 10 commenced[2] : December 2011

  • Reserved or settled

  • Commencement of construction and marketing for sales

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Summary price information : Existing village
Independent Living Units (ILU) Unit
Size
Configuration
Price range
1
56 sqm
Balcony, car space
$170,000 - $240,000
1.5
76 sqm
Balcony, car space
$295,000 - $335,000
2
86 sqm
Balcony, car space , garage
$310,000 - $365,000
Summary price information : New development (Stage 6)
Independent Living Units (ILU) Unit
Size
Configuration
Price range
1
95-112 sqm
Open plan, Balcony, car space
$375,000 - $465,000
2
121-134 sqm
Open plan, Balcony, car space
$485,000 - $545,000
3
148-158 sqm
Open plan, Balcony, car space
$550,000 - $610,000

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Village benefits

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AuditoriumLounge AreasDance FloorBilliards RoomLibrary24 hour assistanceCafeDining RoomHair SalonConsult RoomSwimming PoolVillage BusPodiatristPharmacy Service

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The Willlows Retirement Village 226 Windsor Road Winston Hills 2153 NSW Phone: (02) 9035 2000 or email [email protected]

Disclaimer of liability

While every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, Stockland does not warrant or represent that the information in this brochure is free from errors or omissions or is suitable for your intended use. Subject to any terms implied by law and which cannot be excluded, Stockland accepts no responsibility for any loss, damage, cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) incurred by you as a result of any error, omission or misrepresentation in information. Note: all figures are in Australian dollars unless otherwise indicated. Information current as 1 May 2011

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PROJECT DESCRIPTION

Macarthur Gardens Retirement Village will provide residents with everything they need to enjoy a social, free and independent life within close proximity to local shopping, transport and health

services. KEY ASSET INFORMATION Total Future Units: 238 Stage 1 sales: 68%[1]

KEY DATES

  • Project Launched: February 2011

  • Stage 1 completed: July 2011

  • Stage 2 commenced: July 2011

  • Clubhouse opening: January 2012

LOCATION

60km south west of the Sydney CBD

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  1. Reserved or settled

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LOCAL AREA BENEFITS

  • Shopping Centre

  • Public transport

  • Golf course

  • Medical facilities

  • Freeway to Sydney

  • Catholic Club

Summary price information:
Independent Living Units (ILU) Villa
Size
Configuration
Starting price
Sienna
102sqm
$289,000
2
1
1
Banksia
101sqm
$305,000
2
1
1
Dahlia
130sqm
$342,000
2
1.5
1
Gardenia
146sqm
$399,000
2+S
2
1
Magnolia
184sqm
$422,000
2+S
2
2
Nandina
170sqm
$479,000
2+S
2
2

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Outdoor spaces

  • Bowling Green

  • Golf Driving Net

  • Putting Green

Health & wellbeing

  • Swimming Pool & Gym

  • Health Consultant Suites

Salon

  • BBQ

  • Outdoor Chessboard

  • Community Garden

  • Landscaping and walking paths

Social

Town Hall & Media Room

  • Café & Lounge with Open Fire

  • Bar & Billiards Room

 Library & Craft Room

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Macarthur Gardens Retirement Village 100 Gilchrist Drive Campbelltown, NSW 2560 Phone: (02) 9035 2000 or email [email protected]

Disclaimer of liability

While every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, Stockland does not warrant or represent that the information in this brochure is free from errors or omissions or is suitable for your intended use. Subject to any terms implied by law and which cannot be excluded, Stockland accepts no responsibility for any loss, damage, cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) incurred by you as a result of any error, omission or misrepresentation in information. Note: all figures are in Australian dollars unless otherwise indicated. Information current as 1 May 2011