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Stabilus SE — Investor Presentation 2020
May 4, 2020
6214_ip_2020-05-04_acf19916-5ee9-4ba9-8a69-715fa4b0c262.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q2 FY2020 RESULTS
May 4, 2020
Disclaimer
Stabilus S.A. (the "Company", later "Stabilus") has prepared this presentation solely for your information. It should not be treated as giving investment advice. Neither the Company, nor any of its directors, officers, employees, direct or indirect shareholders and advisors nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from any use of this presentation.
While the Company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external source, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate. This presentation contains forward-looking statements, which involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in, or expressed or implied by, such statements. These statements reflect the Company's current knowledge and its expectations and projections about future events and may be identified by the context of such statements or words such as "anticipate," "believe", "estimate", "expect", "intend", "plan", "project" and "target". No obligation is assumed to update any such statement.
Numbers were rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.
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- Operational update
-
- Financial results
-
- Results by operating segment
-
- Outlook
-
- Appendix
-
Operational update
Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on Stabilus operations
reliably quantified at this moment in time
| Status quo | Corporate actions |
|---|---|
| Light vehicle production in Q2 FY20 decreased by almost a quarter (-23% y/y); current LVP forecast for FY20 (Oct-Sept) expects a reduction by one fifth (c. -21% y/y) |
Top priorities: ensuring safety of our employees and business continuity (keeping the production running) as far as possible |
| Production shut-downs at major western OEMs from mid March to the beginning of May, with slow start in May |
Pandemic plan activated: strict hygiene rules, social distancing, shift crew mixing stopped, home office enabled et al. |
| All Stabilus plants have been in operation (though, at reduced capacity in March 2020) and continue to be up and running, with the exception of New Zealand (headcount < 10) due to a government order in NZ |
Cost flexibilization (EBIT recovery) program intensified Aligning/adjusting our production capacity to customer demand |
| Chinese plant is in a ramp-up phase since the end of March 2020, current capacity utilization above 90% for Powerise and above 70% for gas springs; no reduction in customer demand at our Korean plan |
by utilizing short-time work scheme, plant shut-downs for several days, selected layoffs et al. State of the balance sheet: stable net leverage ratio of 1.1x |
| Financial impact of the expected deep recession (following the coronavirus pandemic) on the Stabilus FY20 results can not be |
EBITDA, c. €120m cash as of March 2020 |
Diligent capex phasing started
1.
2. Financial results
Q2 FY2020 financial results
| Revenue | Revenue at €221.0m (vs. €239.1m in Q2 FY19), - 7.6% y/y Acquisition effect: + 1.9% y/y, currency translation effect: 0.0% y/y, organic growth: - 9.5% y/y |
|---|---|
| Adj. EBIT | Adj. EBIT at €31.1m (vs. €35.7m in Q2 FY19), - 12.9% y/y Adj. EBIT margin at 14.1% (vs. 14.9% in Q2 FY19) |
| Profit | Profit at €18.1m in Q2 FY20 (vs. €20.4m in Q2 FY19) Profit margin at 8.2% (vs. 8.5% in Q2 FY19) |
| Adj. FCF | Adj. FCF (i.e. FCF before acquisitions) = FCF adjusted by payments for acquisitions in Q2 FY20 of €1.1m Adj. FCF at €13.0m (vs. €6.6m in Q2 FY19) and FCF at €11.9m (vs. €6.6m in Q2 FY19) |
| Net leverage ratio | Net leverage ratio at 1.1x (vs. 1.1x as of end Q2 FY19 and 1.0x as of end FY19) Net financial debt at €205.1m (vs. €205.5 as of end Q2 FY19 and €189.1m as of end FY19), after €27.2m dividend payment in February 2020 |
| Outlook | On March 17, 2020, the FY2020 revenue and adj. EBIT guidance from November 2019 was withdrawn A new forecast can only be given at a later point in time |
Q2 FY2020 – Key figures
H1 FY2020 – Key figures
- Results by operating segment
Q2 FY2020 – EMEA
Adj. EBIT (€m)
- Light vehicle production in Europe, Middle East and Africa in Q2 FY20 at 5.0m units, i.e. - 19.2% vs. Q2 FY19
- EMEA's Q2 revenue down by €7.6m or 6.0% y/y, despite positive acquisition effect (+3.5% y/y); currency translation effect at - 0.3% y/y at organic growth at - 9.2% y/y
- EMEA's Automotive Gas Spring (- 13.3% y/y organically) and Automotive Powerise (- 9.4% y/y organically) revenue in Q2 FY20 impacted by weaker automotive markets, as consequence of COVID-19 pandemic
- Industrial revenue grew by 0.2% y/y, up to €63.0m (vs. 62.9m in Q2 FY19) and up to 53% share of EMEA's sales (from a share of 50% in Q2 FY19); organically the revenue decreased by 6.7% y/y
- Adj. EBIT margin decreased by 1.7pp to 13.1% due to limited short-term cost flexibility
Q2 FY2020 – AMERICAS
Revenue (€m) Comments
Adj. EBIT (€m)
- Light vehicle production in Americas in Q2 FY20 at 4.5m units, i.e. - 11.3% vs. Q2 FY19
- Americas' revenue down by €7.8m or 8.6% y/y; organically revenue was 9.4% lower than in Q2 of the previous fiscal year
- Organically, automotive Gas Spring revenue declined by 15.6% y/y (product mix impact) and Automotive Powerise revenue by 7.8% y/y
- Industrial revenue down by €0.3m or 1.1% y/y, organically - 4.2% y/y: growth in IAM was offset by lower revenues in transportation (bus, truck, rail, aerospace), agriculture and construction machinery, less business with distributors
- Americas' adj. EBIT margin improved from 17.1% in Q2 FY19 to 19.0% in Q2 FY20 due to cost and sourcing management
Q2 FY2020 – APAC
Q2 FY2020 – Revenue by business unit
- Outlook
5.
Outlook
| Guidance | Comments | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2019 Actual |
FY2020 Guidance |
Guidance from November 2019 is no longer realistic. In light of | ||||
| Revenue | €951.3m | TBD at a later point in time | the dynamics and ongoing uncertainties of the global developments in connection with COVID-19, a new forecast of revenue and adj. EBIT margin can only be given at a later point in time. |
|||
| Adj. EBIT margin | 15.0% | TBD at a later point in time | As of April 27, 2020, global light vehicle production (LVP) in FY2020 (Oct-Sept) is expected to be c. 21% below the prior year's level (i.e. c. 71m in FY20 vs. c. 90m in FY19). The return to the annual production level of c. 90m is expected for FY2024. (Source: leading forecast institutes, IHS Markit et al.) |
|||
| We continue to pursue our long-term strategy STAR 2025 focusing on sustainable, profitable growth, globalization, excellence, innovation as well as team spirit (One Stabilus).The currently significantly lower forecasts for global GDP and LVP impact our expectations for group's mid-term growth. Based on these assumptions, organic revenue CAGR 2019-25 of at least 6% appears to be uncertain. Stabilus will update its forecast at a later point in time. |
- Appendix
Revenue overview (3M ended March 31, 2020)
Revenue (€m)
| Q2 FY2019 Actual |
Q2 FY2020 Actual |
Change | % change | Acquisition effect | Currency effect | Organic growth | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Automotive Gas Spring | 38.4 | 33.3 | (5.1) | (13.3)% | - | 0.0% | (13.3)% |
| Automotive Powerise | 24.7 | 22.1 | (2.6) | (10.5)% | - | (1.1)% | (9.4)% |
| Industrial | 62.9 | 63.0 | 0.1 | 0.2% | 7.0% | (0.1)% | (6.7)% |
| EMEA | 126.0 | 118.4 | (7.6) | (6.0)% | 3.5% | (0.3)% | (9.2)% |
| Automotive Gas Spring |
30.4 | 25.8 | (4.6) | (15.1)% | - | 0.5% | (15.6)% |
| Automotive Powerise |
32.0 | 29.1 | (2.9) | (9.1)% | - | (1.3)% | (7.8)% |
| Industrial | 28.1 | 27.8 | (0.3) | (1.1)% | 0.8% | 2.3% | (4.2)% |
| AMERICAS | 90.5 | 82.7 | (7.8) | (8.6)% | 0.3% | 0.5% | (9.4)% |
| Automotive Gas Spring | 15.2 | 12.5 | (2.7) | (17.8)% | - | (0.6)% | (17.2)% |
| Automotive Powerise |
3.5 | 3.5 | - | 0.0% | - | (1.5)% | 1.5% |
| Industrial | 3.9 | 3.9 | - | 0.0% | - | (1.2)% | 1.2% |
| APAC | 22.6 | 20.0 | (2.6) | (11.5)% | - | (0.8)% | (10.7)% |
| Total Automotive Gas Spring (AGS) | 84.1 | 71.6 | (12.5) | (14.9)% | - | 0.1% | (15.0)% |
| Total Automotive Powerise (APR) |
60.1 | 54.7 | (5.4) | (9.0)% | - | (1.2)% | (7.8)% |
| Total Industrial (IND) | 94.9 | 94.7 | (0.2) | (0.2)% | 4.9% | 0.6% | (5.7)% |
| Total | 239.1 | 221.0 | (18.1) | (7.6)% | 1.9% | 0.0% | (9.5)% |
Revenue overview (H1 ended March 31, 2020)
Revenue (€m)
| H1 FY2019 Actual |
H1 FY2020 Actual |
Change | % change | Acquisition effect | Currency effect | Organic growth | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Automotive Gas Spring | 73.8 | 65.5 | (8.3) | (11.2)% | - | 0.0% | (11.2)% |
| Automotive Powerise | 49.3 | 45.9 | (3.4) | (6.9)% | - | (1.7)% | (5.2)% |
| Industrial | 115.4 | 117.1 | 1.7 | 1.5% | 8.5% | (0.1)% | (6.9)% |
| EMEA | 238.5 | 228.6 | (9.9) | (4.2)% | 4.1% | (0.4)% | (7.9)% |
| Automotive Gas Spring |
58.4 | 51.7 | (6.7) | (11.5)% | - | 1.9% | (13.4)% |
| Automotive Powerise |
64.5 | 62.1 | (2.4) | (3.7)% | - | 2.3% | (6.0)% |
| Industrial | 52.9 | 59.3 | 6.4 | 12.1% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 8.1% |
| AMERICAS | 175.8 | 173.0 | (2.8) | (1.6)% | 0.3% | 2.4% | (4.3)% |
| Automotive Gas Spring | 33.3 | 32.3 | (1.0) | (3.0)% | - | 0.5% | (3.5)% |
| Automotive Powerise |
8.4 | 10.3 | 1.9 | 22.6% | - | 0.2% | 22.4% |
| Industrial | 8.0 | 8.1 | 0.1 | 1.3% | - | (0.1)% | 1.4% |
| APAC | 49.6 | 50.7 | 1.1 | 2.2% | - | 0.3% | 1.9% |
| Total Automotive Gas Spring (AGS) | 165.5 | 149.5 | (16.0) | (9.7)% | - | 0.8% | (10.5)% |
| Total Automotive Powerise (APR) |
122.1 | 118.3 | (3.8) | (3.1)% | - | 0.6% | (3.7)% |
| Total Industrial (IND) | 176.4 | 184.5 | 8.1 | 4.6% | 5.9% | 0.8% | (2.1)% |
| Total | 464.0 | 452.3 | (11.7) | (2.5)% | 2.2% | 0.7% | (5.4)% |
P&L overview (3M ended March 30, 2020)
| P&L (€m) | |
|---|---|
| ---------- | -- |
| Q2 FY2019 Actual |
Q2 FY2020 Actual |
Change | % change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 239.1 | 221.0 | (18.1) | (7.6)% |
| Cost of sales |
(169.0) | (156.5) | 12.5 | (7.4)% |
| Gross Profit | 70.1 | 64.5 | (5.6) | (8.0)% |
| % margin | 29.3% | 29.2% | ||
| R&D expenses |
(9.8) | (10.9) | (1.1) | 11.2% |
| Selling expenses |
(21.0) | (22.0) | (1.0) | 4.8% |
| Administrative expenses |
(8.9) | (10.0) | (1.1) | 12.4% |
| Other income/expenses | 0.9 | 4.8 | 3.9 | >100.0% |
| EBIT | 31.3 | 26.5 | (4.8) | (15.3)% |
| % margin | 13.1% | 12.0% | ||
| Adjustments | 4.4 | 4.6 | 0.2 | 4.5% |
| Adj. EBIT | 35.7 | 31.1 | (4.6) | (12.9)% |
| % margin | 14.9% | 14.1% | ||
| PPA adjustments (2010 PPA) | 2.3 | 1.7 | ||
| PPA adjustments (2016 PPA) | 2.1 | 2.1 |
PPA adjustments (2019 PPA) - 0.8 Advisory costs (M&A) - - Total adjustments 4.4 4.6
Comments
IFRS 16 impact: Recognition of all leases in the balance sheet leads to depreciation (instead of leasing expenses) in the same functional costs and in similar magnitude, i.e. there is no significant impact from IFRS 16 on the functional costs; interest expense from leases amounted to €0.3m in Q2 FY20 ( = positive effect on Q2 FY20's EBIT)
P&L overview (H1 ended March 30, 2020)
| P&L (€m) | |
|---|---|
| ---------- | -- |
| H1 FY2019 Actual |
H1 FY2020 Actual |
Change | % change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 464.0 | 452.3 | (11.7) | (2.5)% |
| Cost of sales |
(330.3) | (321.1) | 9.2 | (2.8)% |
| Gross Profit | 133.8 | 131.2 | (2.6) | (1.9)% |
| % margin | 28.8% | 29.0% | ||
| R&D expenses |
(19.6) | (21.4) | (1.8) | 9.2% |
| Selling expenses |
(41.3) | (44.0) | (2.7) | 6.5% |
| Administrative expenses |
(18.0) | (18.4) | (0.4) | 2.2% |
| Other income/expenses | 2.4 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 87.5% |
| EBIT | 57.1 | 51.9 | (5.2) | (9.1)% |
| % margin | 12.3% | 11.5% | ||
| Adjustments | 9.3 | 9.2 | (0.1) | (1.1)% |
| Adj. EBIT | 66.4 | 61.1 | (5.3) | (8.0)% |
| % margin | 14.3% | 13.5% | ||
| PPA adjustments (2010 PPA) | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| Total adjustments |
9.3 | 9.2 |
|---|---|---|
| Advisory costs (M&A) |
0.5 | - |
| PPA adjustments (2019 PPA) | - | 1.5 |
| PPA adjustments (2016 PPA) | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| PPA adjustments (2010 PPA) | 4.6 | 3.5 |
Comments
Capitalized R&D expenses in H1 FY20 at €8.3m (vs. €5.9m in H1 FY19), due to expansion of Powerise product family
Increase in selling expenses results from acquired entities General Aerospace, Clevers and Piston which operate in industrial business with higher selling expenses ratio as well as comparative payroll inflation
IFRS 16 impact: Recognition of all leases in the balance sheet leads to depreciation (instead of leasing expenses) in the same functional costs and in similar magnitude, i.e. there is no significant impact from IFRS 16 on the functional costs; interest expense from leases amounted to €0.7m in H1 FY20 ( = positive effect on H1 FY20's EBIT)
Balance sheet overview
Balance sheet (€m)
| Sept 2019 Actual |
March 2020 Actual |
Change | % change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property, plant and equipm. | 199.9 | 232.4 | 32.5 | 16.3% |
| Goodwill | 214.8 | 213.3 | (1.5) | (0.7)% |
| Other intangible assets | 276.2 | 267.2 | (9.0) | (3.3)% |
| Inventories | 100.3 | 104.7 | 4.4 | 4.4% |
| Trade receivables | 130.3 | 114.4 | (15.9) | (12.2)% |
| Other assets | 38.7 | 46.9 | 8.2 | 21.2% |
| Cash | 139.0 | 122.7 | (16.3) | (11.7)% |
| Total assets | 1,099.2 | 1,101.6 | 2.4 | 0.2% |
| Equity incl. minorities | 499.6 | 493.1 | (6.5) | (1.3)% |
| Debt (incl. accrued interest) | 311.6 | 314.4 | 2.8 | 0.9% |
| Pension plans | 59.9 | 50.7 | (9.2) | (15.4)% |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 55.9 | 54.9 | (1.0) | (1.8)% |
| Trade accounts payable | 91.0 | 74.4 | (16.6) | (18.2)% |
| Other liabilities | 81.2 | 114.1 | 32.9 | 40.5% |
| Total equity and liabilities | 1,099.2 | 1,101.6 | 2.4 | 0.2% |
| Net leverage ratio | 1.0x | 1.1x |
Comments
- First time adoption of the IFRS 16 in FY2020 (from Oct 1, 2019 on, recognition of all leases in the balance sheet) led to an increase of PPE and other liabilities by €43.7m; as of March 2020, change in PPE amounts to a lower amount of €32.5m, primarily due to scheduled depreciation; change in other liabilities amounts to €32.9m (March 20 vs. Sept 19)
- Decrease in other intangible assets by €9.0m comprises scheduled amortization of €16.6m, partially offset by capitalized development costs
- Trade receivables and payables decreased due to lower business activity
- Lower cash (- €16.3m vs. end of FY19) essentially due to dividend payment of €27.2m in Feb 2020, partially offset by lower capex (see following pages for further details)
- Pension liability decreased by €9.2m as a consequence of higher discount rate (0.93% as of Sept 2019 vs. 1.88% as of March 2020)
- Net leverage ratio as of March 2020 stable at 1.1x EBITDA (vs. 1.0x as of Sept 2019 and 1.1x as of March 2019)
Cash flow overview (3M ended March 31, 2020)
| Cash Flow Statement (€m) |
|---|
| -------------------------- |
| Q2 FY2019 Actual |
Q2 FY2020 Actual |
Change | % change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operating activities | 23.5 | 23.8 | 0.3 | 1.3% |
| Cash flow from investing activities | (16.9) | (11.9) | 5.0 | (29.6)% |
| Cash flow from financing activities | (25.9) | (29.4) | (3.5) | 13.5% |
| Net increase / (decrease) in cash | (19.3) | (17.5) | 1.8 | (9.3)% |
| Effect of movements in exchange rates | 1.6 | (2.1) | (3.7) | <(100.0)% |
| Cash as of beginning of the period | 154.3 | 142.3 | (12.0) | (7.8)% |
| Cash as of end of the period | 136.5 | 122.7 | (13.8) | (10.1)% |
Adj. FCF (€m)
| Q2 FY2019 Actual |
Q2 FY2020 Actual |
Change | % change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operating activities | 23.5 | 23.8 | 0.3 | 1.3% |
| Cash flow from investing activities | (16.9) | (11.9) | 5.0 | (29.6)% |
| Free cash flow | 6.6 | 11.9 | 5.3 | 80.3% |
| Adjustments | - | 1.1 | 1.1 | n/a |
| Adj. FCF | 6.6 | 13.0 | 6.4 | 97.0% |
Comments
Capex in Q2 FY20 at €10.9m (vs. €17.3m in Q2 FY19), -37% y/y
Cash outflow for financing activities in Q2 FY20 includes €27.2m dividend payments, €20.0m redemption of senior facilities (which was performed before the coronavirus outbreak) and €21.6m receipt under senior facility agreement, i.e. utilization of the revolving credit facility (as a precautionary measure after coronavirus outbreak)
IFRS 16 impact in Q2 FY20: no impact on net cash flow, positive effect of €2.5m on cash flow from operating activities (and consequently free cash flow) and negative effect on cash flow from financing activities in the same amount
Adjustment to FCF in Q2 FY20 amounting to €1.1m relates to acquisition of assets and liabilities within business combination, net of cash acquired
Cash flow overview (H1 ended March 31, 2020)
Cash Flow Statement (€m)
| H1 FY2019 Actual |
H1 FY2020 Actual |
Change | % change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operating activities | 48.1 | 43.6 | (4.5) | (9.4)% |
| Cash flow from investing activities | (29.1) | (23.9) | 5.2 | (17.9)% |
| Cash flow from financing activities | (27.2) | (33.0) | (5.8) | 21.3% |
| Net increase / (decrease) in cash | (8.2) | (13.3) | (5.1) | 62.2% |
| Effect of movements in exchange rates | 1.7 | (3.1) | (4.8) | <(100.0)% |
| Cash as of beginning of the period | 143.0 | 139.0 | (4.0) | (2.8)% |
| Cash as of end of the period | 136.5 | 122.7 | (13.8) | (10.1)% |
Adj. FCF (€m)
| H1 FY2019 Actual |
H1 FY2020 Actual |
Change | % change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operating activities | 48.1 | 43.6 | (4.5) | (9.4)% |
| Cash flow from investing activities | (29.1) | (23.9) | 5.2 | (17.9)% |
| Free cash flow | 19.0 | 19.7 | 0.7 | 3.7% |
| Adjustments | - | 1.1 | 1.1 | n/a |
| Adj. FCF | 19.0 | 20.8 | 1.8 | 9.5% |
Comments
Capex in H1 FY20 at €23.2m (vs. €29.8m in H1 FY19), -22.1% y/y
Cash outflow for financing activities in H1 FY20 includes €27.2m dividend payments, €20.0m redemption of senior facilities (which was performed before the coronavirus outbreak) and €21.6m receipt under senior facility agreement, i.e. utilization of the revolving credit facility (as a precautionary measure after coronavirus outbreak)
IFRS 16 impact in H1 FY20: no impact on net cash flow, positive effect of €4.9m (€2.4m in Q1 FY20 and €2.5m in Q2 FY20) on cash flow from operating activities (and consequently free cash flow) and negative effect on cash flow from financing activities in the same amount
Adjustment to FCF in H1 FY20 amounting to €1.1m relates to acquisition of assets and liabilities within business combination, net of cash acquired
Currency exchange rates overview (H1 ended March 31, 2020)
| Closing and average currency exchange rates | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 EURO in | ISO code | Closing rate March 2019 |
Closing rate March 2020 |
Average rate H1 FY2019 |
Average rate H1 FY2020 |
Average rate % change |
|||
| Australian dollar | AUD | 1.5821 | 1.7967 | 1.5919 | 1.6490 | 3.6% | |||
| Argentine peso |
ARS | 48.6476 | 70.5479 | 43.3336 | 66.7026 | 53.9% | |||
| Brazilian real | BRL | 4.3865 | 5.7001 | 4.3123 | 4.7357 | 9.8% | |||
| Chinese yuan (renminbi) | CNY | 7.5397 | 7.7784 | 7.7769 | 7.7467 | (0.4)% | |||
| South Korean won |
KRW | 1,276.4600 | 1,341.0300 | 1,282.4259 | 1,308.9539 | 2.1% | |||
| Mexican peso | MXP | 21.6910 | 26.1772 | 22.2169 | 21.6844 | (2.4)% | |||
| Romanian leu |
RON | 4.7608 | 4.8283 | 4.6983 | 4.7820 | 1.8% | |||
| Turkish lira | TRY | 6.3446 | 7.2063 | 6.1947 | 6.5773 | 6.2% | |||
| United States dollar | USD | 1.1235 | 1.0956 | 1.1384 | 1.1048 | (3.0)% |
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