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Stabilus SE

Earnings Release May 6, 2019

6214_ip_2019-05-06_91143255-ff8c-4d93-91ff-9f26a8c26d03.pdf

Earnings Release

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Q2 FY2019 RESULTS

May 6, 2019

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Disclaimer

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Stabilus S.A. (the "Company", later "Stabilus") has prepared this presentation solely for your information. It should not be treated as giving investment advice. Neither the Company, nor any of its directors, officers, employees, direct or indirect shareholders and advisors nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from any use of this presentation.

While the Company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external source, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate. This presentation contains forward-looking statements, which involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in, or expressed or implied by, such statements. These statements reflect the Company's current knowledge and its expectations and projections about future events and may be identified by the context of such statements or words such as "anticipate," "believe", "estimate", "expect", "intend", "plan", "project" and "target". No obligation is assumed to update any such statement.

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Agenda

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    1. Financial highlights
    1. Results by region
    1. Results by market
    1. Outlook
    1. Appendix

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Agenda

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  1. Financial highlights

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Q2 FY2019 highlights

Fiscal year-end September

Revenue Revenue at €239.1m (-
€11.9m or -4.7% vs. Q2 FY18); revenue change w/o FX: -
7.4% y/y
Europe -
4.7% y/y, NAFTA -
1.0% y/y, and Asia / Pacific and RoW -
16.3% y/y
Automotive Gas Spring -
4.0% y/y, Automotive Powerise -
11.4% y/y, Capital Goods -
0.9% y/y and Vibration &
Velocity Control -
0.7% y/y
Adj. EBIT Adj. EBIT1
at €35.7m (vs. €39.3m in Q2 FY18)
Adj. EBIT margin at 14.9% (vs. 15.7% in Q2 FY18)
Profit Profit at €20.4m in Q2 FY19 (vs. €25.6m in Q2 FY18)
Profit margin at 8.5% (vs. 10.2% in Q2 FY18)
Net leverage ratio Net leverage ratio1 at 1.1x (vs. 1.4x as of end Q2 FY18 and 1.1x as of end FY18)
Net financial debt1
at €205.5m
Outlook FY2019 revenue expected to be on prior year's level, i.e. at c. €960m, ~0% y/y (incl. c. +1% FX and c. -
1%
organic), assuming US\$/€
rate in FY2019 of 1.14 and before acquisition effects
FY2019 adj. EBIT margin forecast: c. 15%

Note:

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1 For definition/calculation of KPIs like adj. EBIT, net leverage ratio etc. refer to appendix and/or our financial reports and quarterly statements under www.ir.stabilus.com.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q2 FY19 versus 1.23\$/€ in Q2 FY18.

Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

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Q2 FY2019 impacted by softer markets in Europe (WLTP) and China

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Capital expenditure: €17.3 in Q2 FY19 versus €8.6m in Q2 FY18, i.e. +€8.7m or +101.2% y/y.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q2 FY19 versus 1.23\$/€ in Q2 FY18.

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H1 FY2019 impacted by softer markets in Europe (WLTP) and China

Note:

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Capital expenditure: €29.8m in H1 FY19 versus €18.9m in H1 FY18, i.e. +€10.9m or +57.7% y/y.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in H1 FY19 versus 1.20\$/€ in H1 FY18.

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1.

Agenda

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  1. Results by region

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Q2 FY2019 revenue and adj. EBIT growth – by region (y-o-y)

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided. FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q2 FY19 versus 1.23\$/€ in Q2 FY18. 1 Billed-from view, without intersegment revenue.

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H1 FY2019 revenue and adj. EBIT growth – by region (y-o-y)

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided. FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in H1 FY19 versus 1.20\$/€ in H1 FY18. 1 Billed-from view, without intersegment revenue.

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Q2 FY2019 – Europe

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September. 1 External revenue only.

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  • Europe's light vehicle production in Q2 FY19 at 5.6m units, i.e. - 4.9% vs. Q2 FY18
  • Europe's revenue decreased by €6.2m or 4.7% y/y
  • Europe's automotive revenue impacted by weak market in Germany: Automotive Gas Spring - €3.1m or - 7.5% y/y (thereof -€1.4m for diesel engine and steering dampers); Automotive Powerise - €3.1m or - 11.2% y/y
  • Industrial revenue about on prior year's level: Capital Goods at €48.0m (vs. €48.0m in Q2 FY18); Vibration & Velocity Control at €14.9m (vs. €14.8m in Q2 FY18)
  • Adj. EBIT margin at 14.8% (vs. 17.0% in Q2 FY18)

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Q2 FY2019 – NAFTA

  • NAFTA's light vehicle production in Q2 FY19 at 4.3m units, i.e. - 2.5% vs. Q2 FY18
  • NAFTA's revenue 1.0% y/y (- 8.5% y/y excluding the \$/€ currency translation effect)
  • NAFTA's revenue development in Q2 FY19: Automotive Gas Spring + 5.9% y/y (- 2.2% excl. currency effect); Automotive Powerise - 8.0% y/y (- 15.2% y/y excl. currency effect); Capital Goods - 3.4% y/y (- 10.1% y/y excl. currency effect); Vibration & Velocity Control + 9.5% (+ 1.1% y/y excl. currency effect)
  • Adj. EBIT margin at 17.2% (vs. 14.0% in Q2 FY8)

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September. 1 External revenue only.

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FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q2 FY19 versus 1.23\$/€ in Q2 FY18.

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Q2 FY2019 – Asia / Pacific and RoW

  • Asia/Pacific and RoW's light vehicle production in Q2 FY19 at 12.8m units, i.e. - 8.7% vs. Q2 FY18 (China - 13.5%, Japan/Korea + 0.3%, South America - 4.7%)
  • Asia/Pacific and RoW's revenue decreased by 16.3% or €4.8m y/y
  • Revenue development impacted by weak markets in China: Automotive Gas Spring - €2.0m or - 10.6% y/y; Automotive Powerise - €1.8m or - 34.6% y/y; Capital Goods - €0.1m or - 3.3%; Vibration & Velocity Control - €1.1m or - 45.8% y/y
  • Adj. EBIT margin decreased from 15.0% in Q2 FY18 to 7.7% in Q2 FY19, as Chinese plant overhead structure continue to be being maintained, in order to increase the likelihood of further contract wins

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September. 1 External revenue only.

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Agenda

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  1. 1.

4.

5.

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  1. Results by market

Q2 FY2019 revenue growth – by market / business (y-o-y)

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September.

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1Industrial including Capital Goods and Vibration & Velocity Control revenue.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q2 FY19 versus 1.23\$/€ in Q2 FY18. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

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H1 FY2019 revenue growth – by market / business (y-o-y)

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September.

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1Industrial including Capital Goods and Vibration & Velocity Control revenue.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in H1 FY19 versus 1.20\$/€ in H1 FY18. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

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Q2 FY2019 revenue growth – Automotive business (y-o-y)

  • Global light vehicle production in Q2 FY19 at 22.7m units, i.e. - 6.7% vs. Q2 FY18
  • Automotive revenue 7.2% y/y (- 10.2% without \$/€ currency translation effect) due to weak production in Europe and China
  • Automotive Gas Spring revenue 4.0% y/y (- 6.5% without \$/€ currency translation effect): lower sales of diesel engine and steering dampers (c. - €1.4m or -70% y/y)
  • Powerise revenue 11.4% y/y (- 15.0% y/y without \$/€ currency translation effect): higher share of single- vs. dual-drive Powerise platforms in 2019

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September.

235.185.052

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149.154.162

083.086.090

021.067.132

025.057.106

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q2 FY19 versus 1.23\$/€ in Q2 FY18. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

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Q2 FY2019 revenue growth – Industrial business (y-o-y)

  • From Oct 1, 2018 Commercial Furniture is part of Capital Goods business unit to better reflect customer demand for a broad product portfolio and to further increase overhead efficiency
  • Industrial revenue decreased by 0.8% (2.9% excluding \$/€ currency translation effect)
  • Capital Goods 0.9% (- 2.6% without \$/€ currency translation effect), Vibration & Velocity Control - 0.7% (- 3.7% without \$/€ currency translation effect)
  • Growth in the segments construction machinery, production technology and office furniture was insufficient to completely offset weaker business with distributors and lower revenues in the segments independent aftermarket and transportation

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September.

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FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q2 FY19 versus 1.23\$/€ in Q2 FY18. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

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Agenda

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  1. Outlook

5.

Outlook

FY2018 Actual FY2019 Guidance

million
percent
Revenue €962.6m
(@ 1.19 \$/€)
~ €960m ~ 0% y/y (thereof + 1% FX, -
1% organic)
% Adj. EBIT margin 15.5% ~ 15%

Comments

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  • FY2019 revenue expected to be on prior year's level, i.e. at c. €960m, ~ 0% y/y (incl. c. + 1% FX and c. 1% organic), assuming avg. US\$/€ rate in FY2019 of 1.14 and before acquisition effects
  • Decrease of US\$/€ avg. fx rate by 0.10 \$/€ leads to a revenue increase by approx. €30m and vice versa
  • FY2019 adj. EBIT margin forecast at c. 15%
  • STAR 2025 mid- and long-term guidance for average annual revenue growth of at least 6% by 2025 confirmed

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Agenda

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  1. Appendix

Revenue by region and customer market (3M ended March 31, 2019)

External revenue (€m)
Q2 FY2018
Actual
Q2 FY2019
Actual
Change % change
Automotive Gas Spring 41.5 38.4 (3.1) (7.5)%
Automotive Powerise 27.8 24.7 (3.1) (11.2)%
Industrial / Capital Goods 48.0 48.0 - 0.0%
Vibration & Velocity Control 14.8 14.9 0.1 0.7%
Europe 132.2 126.0 (6.2) (4.7)%
Automotive
Gas Spring
FX effect: 7.6% y/y 27.2 28.8 1.6 5.9%
Automotive
Powerise
Q2 FY18: 1.2289\$/€ 34.8 32.0 (2.8) (8.0)%
Industrial / Capital
Goods
Q2 FY19: 1.1356\$/€ 17.9 17.3 (0.6) (3.4)%
Vibration
& Velocity Control
9.5 10.4 0.9 9.5%
NAFTA1 89.4 88.5 (0.9) (1.0)%
Automotive Gas Spring 18.9 16.9 (2.0) (10.6)%
Automotive
Powerise
5.2 3.4 (1.8) (34.6)%
Industrial / Capital Goods 3.0 2.9 (0.1) (3.3)%
Vibration
& Velocity Control
2.4 1.3 (1.1) (45.8)%
Asia
/ Pacific and RoW
29.4 24.6 (4.8) (16.3)%
Total Automotive Gas Spring 87.6 84.1 (3.5) (4.0)%
Total
Automotive Powerise
67.8 60.1 (7.7) (11.4)%
Total Industrial / Capital Goods 68.9 68.3 (0.6) (0.9)%
Total Vibration & Velocity
Control
26.7 26.5 (0.2) (0.7)%
Total 251.0 239.1 (11.9) (4.7)%

Note: 1 NAFTA Q2 FY19 revenue includes currency effect of €6.7m, resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q2 FY19 versus 1.23\$/€ in Q2 FY18.

Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

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Revenue by region and customer market (6M ended March 31, 2019)

External revenue (€m)
H1 FY2018
Actual
H1 FY2019
Actual
Change % change
Automotive Gas Spring 78.9 73.8 (5.1) (6.5)%
Automotive Powerise 54.3 49.3 (5.0) (9.2)%
Industrial / Capital Goods 87.6 88.7 1.1 1.3%
Vibration & Velocity Control 27.3 26.7 (0.6) (2.2)%
Europe 248.1 238.5 (9.6) (3.9)%
Automotive
Gas Spring
FX effect: 5.4% y/y
51.7 55.3 3.6 7.0%
Automotive
Powerise
H1 FY18: 1.2036\$/€
68.1 64.5 (3.6) (5.3)%
Industrial / Capital
Goods
H1 FY19: 1.1384\$/€
33.6 32.1 (1.5) (4.5)%
Vibration
& Velocity Control
19.6 20.2 0.6 3.1%
NAFTA1 173.0 172.1 (0.9) (0.5)%
Automotive Gas Spring 40.1 36.4 (3.7) (9.2)%
Automotive
Powerise
9.8 8.4 (1.4) (14.3)%
Industrial / Capital Goods 6.0 5.6 (0.4) (6.7)%
Vibration
& Velocity Control
4.6 3.0 (1.6) (34.8)%
Asia
/ Pacific and RoW
60.4 53.3 (7.1) (11.8)%
Total Automotive Gas Spring 170.7 165.5 (5.2) (3.0)%
Total
Automotive Powerise
132.3 122.1 (10.2) (7.7)%
Total Industrial / Capital Goods 127.0 126.4 (0.6) (0.5)%
Total Vibration & Velocity
Control
51.5 50.0 (1.5) (2.9)%
Total 481.5 464.0 (17.5) (3.6)%

Note: 1 NAFTA H1 FY19 revenue includes currency effect of €9.3m, resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in H1 FY19 versus 1.20\$/€ in H1 FY18.

Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

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P&L overview (3M ended March 31, 2019)

P&L (€m)
Q2 FY2018
Actual
Q2 FY2019
Actual
Change % change
Revenue 251.0 239.1 (11.9) (4.7)%
COGS (172.8) (169.0) 3.8 (2.2)%
Gross Profit 78.2 70.1 (8.1) (10.4)%
% margin 31.2% 29.3%
R&D (11.6) (9.8) 1.8 (15.5)%
S&M (20.3) (21.0) (0.7) 3.4%
G&A (10.4) (8.9) 1.5 (14.4)%
Other income/expenses (0.9) 0.9 1.8 <(100.0)%
EBIT 35.0 31.3 (3.7) (10.6)%
% margin 13.9% 13.1%
Adjustments1 4.3 4.4 0.1 2.3%
Adj. EBIT1 39.3 35.7 (3.6) (9.2)%
% margin 15.7% 14.9%
Total
adjustments1
4.3 4.4
Advisory
(acquisition related)
- -
PPA adjustments (2016 PPA) 2.0 2.1
PPA adjustments (2010 PPA) 2.3 2.3

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Note: 1 Adjusted EBIT represents profit from operating activities (EBIT), adjusted for exceptional non-recurring items (e.g. restructuring or one-time advisory costs) and depreciation/amortization of fair value adjustments from purchase price allocations (PPA).

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P&L overview (6M ended March 31, 2019)

P&L (€m)
H1 FY2018
Actual
H1 FY2019
Actual
Change % change
Revenue 481.5 464.0 (17.5) (3.6)%
COGS (335.7) (330.3) 5.4 (1.6)%
Gross Profit 145.8 133.8 (12.0) (8.2)%
% margin 30.3% 28.8%
R&D (21.7) (19.6) 2.1 (9.7)%
S&M (40.8) (41.3) (0.5) 1.2%
G&A (19.4) (18.0) 1.4 (7.2)%
Other income/expenses 0.6 2.4 1.8 >100.0%
EBIT 64.5 57.1 (7.4) (11.5)%
% margin 13.4% 12.3%
Adjustments1 8.7 9.3 0.6 6.9%
Adj. EBIT1 73.2 66.4 (6.8) (9.3)%
% margin 15.2% 14.3%
PPA adjustments (2010 PPA)
4.6
4.6
PPA adjustments (2016 PPA)
4.1
4.2
Advisory
(acquisition related)
-
0.5
Total
adjustments1
8.7

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Note: 1 Adjusted EBIT represents profit from operating activities (EBIT), adjusted for exceptional non-recurring items (e.g. restructuring or one-time advisory costs) and depreciation/amortization of fair value adjustments from purchase price allocations (PPA).

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Balance sheet overview

Balance sheet (€m)
Sept 2018
Actual
March 2019
Actual
Change % change
Property, plant and equipment 179.2 191.4 12.2 6.8%
Goodwill 195.2 197.3 2.1 1.1%
Other intangible assets2 247.2 239.6 (7.6) (3.1)%
Inventories 90.8 95.2 4.4 4.8%
Trade receivables 111.3 117.9 6.6 5.9%
Other assets 43.7 43.6 (0.1) (0.2)%
Cash 143.0 136.5 (6.5) (4.5)%
Total assets 1,010.4 1,021.5 11.1 1.1%
Equity incl. minorities 426.5 447.8 21.3 5.0%
Debt (incl. accrued interest) 320.0 322.1 2.1 0.7%
Pension plans and similar obligations 52.2 52.1 (0.1) (0.2)%
Deferred tax liabilities 47.8 46.0 (1.8) (3.8)%
Trade accounts payable 83.2 76.3 (6.9) (8.3)%
Other liabilities 80.7 77.2 (3.5) (4.3)%
Total equity and liabilities 1,010.4 1,021.5 11.1 1.1%
Net leverage ratio1 1.1x 1.1x

Note:

235.185.052

227.230.232

149.154.162

083.086.090

021.067.132

025.057.106

1 Net leverage ratio = net financial debt / adj. EBITDA LTM. Net financial debt defined as principal amount of financial debt less cash. Adj. EBITDA LTM = last-twelve-month adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. Refer also to our financial reports and quarterly statements at www.ir.stabilus.com for further details. 2 Change in other intangible assets mainly due to the amortization of fair value adjustments from purchase price allocations (PPA) in 2010 and 2016.

Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

051.102.204

153.204.255 000.102.204

036.083.161

255.153.000

150.150.150

000.204.153

Cash flow overview and free cash flow (3M ended March 31, 2019)

Cash Flow Statement (€m)
Q2 FY2018
Actual
Q2 FY2019
Actual
Change % change
Cash flow from operating activities 25.7 23.5 (2.2) (8.6)%
Cash flow from investing activities (8.9) (16.9) (8.0) 89.9%
Cash flow from financing activities (21.8) (25.9) (4.1) 18.8%
Net increase / (decrease) in cash (5.0) (19.3) (14.3) >100.0%
Effect of movements in exchange rates 0.4 1.6 1.2 >100.0%
Cash as of beginning of the period 80.3 154.3 74.0 92.2%
Cash as of end of the period 75.8 136.5 60.7 80.1%

Free Cash Flow (€m)

Q2 FY2018
Actual
Q2 FY2019
Actual
Change % change
Cash flow from operating activities 25.7 23.5 (2.2) (8.6)%
Cash flow from investing activities (8.9) (16.9) (8.0) 89.9%
Free cash flow 16.8 6.6 (10.2) (60.7)%

Comments

235.185.052

227.230.232

149.154.162

083.086.090

021.067.132

025.057.106

  • Cash flow from investing activities in Q2 FY19 includes €4.2m payment for an additional Hahn building (FCF before payment for Hahn building at €10.8m in Q2 FY19 vs. €16.8m in Q2 FY18, -35.7% y/y)
  • Cash flow from financing activities in Q2 FY19 includes €24.7m dividend payment (vs. €19.8m in Q2 FY18)

051.102.204

153.204.255 000.102.204

036.083.161

255.153.000

150.150.150

000.204.153

Cash flow overview and free cash flow (6M ended March 31, 2019)

Cash Flow Statement (€m)
H1 FY2018
Actual
H1 FY2019
Actual
Change % change
Cash flow from operating activities 50.3 48.1 (2.2) (4.4)%
Cash flow from investing activities (18.8) (29.1) (10.3) 54.8%
Cash flow from financing activities (23.0) (27.2) (4.2) 18.3%
Net increase / (decrease) in cash 8.5 (8.2) (16.7) <(100.0)%
Effect of movements in exchange rates (0.9) 1.7 2.6 <(100.0)%
Cash as of beginning of the period 68.1 143.0 74.9 >100.0%
Cash as of end of the period 75.8 136.5 60.7 80.1%

Free Cash Flow (€m)

H1 FY2018
Actual
H1 FY2019
Actual
Change % change
Cash flow from operating activities 50.3 48.1 (2.2) (4.4)%
Cash flow from investing activities (18.8) (29.1) (10.3) 54.8%
Free cash flow 31.5 19.0 (12.5) (39.7)%

Comments

235.185.052

227.230.232

149.154.162

083.086.090

021.067.132

025.057.106

  • Cash flow from investing activities in H1 FY19 includes €4.2m payment for the additional Hahn building (FCF before payment for Hahn building at €23.2m in H1 FY19 vs. €31.5m in H1 FY18, -26.3% y/y)
  • Cash flow from financing activities in H1 FY19 includes €24.7m dividend payment (vs. €19.8m in H1 FY18)

051.102.204

153.204.255 000.102.204

036.083.161

255.153.000

150.150.150

000.204.153

Notes re IFRS 16 (leasing)

235.185.052

227.230.232

149.154.162

083.086.090

021.067.132

025.057.106

Notes
Leases
IFRS 16 is applicable for fiscal years beginning on or after January 1, 2019; Stabilus is planning to apply
the new method from October 1, 2019
Recognition of all leases in the balance sheet –
non-current assets and financial debt will increase
In the income statement: currently –
operating expenses, in the future –
depreciation and interest
expenses
In FY2018 operating lease expense amounted to c. €9m; as of September 30, 2018, the amount of future
operating lease payments (during the basic rental period when they cannot be terminated) was at c. €23m
and the balance sheet total at c. €1bn
No impact on EBIT margin, approx. 1
pp higher EBITDA margin expected, following the introduction of the
new method (from Oct 1, 2019 onwards)

051.102.204

153.204.255 000.102.204

036.083.161

255.153.000

150.150.150

000.204.153

051.102.204

153.204.255 000.102.204

036.083.161

255.153.000

150.150.150

000.204.153

255.204.000

www.stabilus.com

235.185.052

227.230.232

149.154.162

083.086.090

021.067.132

025.057.106

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