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Stabilus SE

Earnings Release Nov 16, 2018

6214_ip_2018-11-16_21145fcc-7761-48e6-bac3-af170bbcedda.pdf

Earnings Release

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FY2018 PRELIMINARY RESULTS

November 16, 2018

Disclaimer

Stabilus S.A. (the "Company", later "Stabilus") has prepared this presentation solely for your information. It should not be treated as giving investment advice. Neither the Company, nor any of its directors, officers, employees, direct or indirect shareholders and advisors nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from any use of this presentation.

While the Company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external source, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate. This presentation contains forward-looking statements, which involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in, or expressed or implied by, such statements. These statements reflect the Company's current knowledge and its expectations and projections about future events and may be identified by the context of such statements or words such as "anticipate," "believe", "estimate", "expect", "intend", "plan", "project" and "target". No obligation is assumed to update any such statement.

Agenda

    1. Financial highlights
    1. Results by region
    1. Results by market
    1. Outlook
    1. Appendix

Agenda

  1. Financial highlights

FY2018 highlights

Fiscal year-end September

Revenue Revenue up by 5.8% to €962.6m (+€52.6m vs. FY17); revenue growth w/o FX: +8.8% y/y
Asia / Pacific and RoW up by 19.5% y/y, Europe up by 7.7% y/y, NAFTA -
0.7% y/y (+ 7.0% y/y w/o FX)
Automotive Powerise + 10.3% y/y, Commercial Furniture + 8.6% y/y, Vibration & Velocity Control + 8.2% y/y,
Capital Goods + 7.6% y/y and Automotive Gas Spring + 0.5% y/y
Adj. EBIT Adj. EBIT1
up by 8.5% to €149.3m (vs. €137.6m in FY17)
Adj. EBIT margin at 15.5% (vs. 15.1% in FY17)
Profit Profit at €105.4m in FY18 (vs. €79.2m in FY17)
Profit margin at 10.9% (vs. 8.7% in FY17)
Earnings per share at €4.27 (vs. €3.21 in FY17)
Net leverage ratio Net leverage ratio1 at 1.1x (vs. 1.5x as of end FY17)
Net financial debt1
at €199.2m
Outlook FY2019 revenue outlook: c. 5% y/y at constant \$/€
rate vs. FY18 of 1.19; STAR 2025 mid-
and long-term
guidance for average annual growth of at least 6% confirmed
FY2019 adj. EBIT margin forecasted at c. 15.5%

Note:

1 For definition/calculation of KPIs like adj. EBIT, net leverage ratio etc. refer to appendix and/or our financial reports and quarterly statements under www.ir.stabilus.com. FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.16\$/€ in Q4 FY18 versus 1.18\$/€ in Q4 FY17. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

Stabilus shows strong operating performance in Q4 FY2018 (y-o-y)

Note: FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.16\$/€ in Q4 FY18 versus 1.18\$/€ in Q4 FY17.

Stabilus shows strong operating performance in FY2018 (y-o-y)

Note: FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.19\$/€ in FY18 versus 1.10\$/€ in FY17.

1.

Agenda

  1. Results by region

Q4 FY2018 revenue and adj. EBIT growth – by region (y-o-y)

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.16\$/€ in Q4 FY18 versus 1.18\$/€ in Q4 FY17.

1 Billed-from view, without intersegment revenue.

FY2018 revenue and adj. EBIT growth – by region (y-o-y)

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.19\$/€ in FY18 versus 1.10\$/€ in FY17.

FXe = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA's adj. EBIT from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.19\$/€ in FY18 versus 1.10\$/€ in FY17.

1 Billed-from view, without intersegment revenue.

FY2018 – Europe

1 External revenue only.

  • Europe car production in FY18 at 22.4m units, i.e. + 2.2% vs. FY17
  • Europe's revenue increased by 7.7% or €35.0m y/y
  • The increase was primarily driven by our Capital Goods and Powerise business units: Capital Goods revenue grew by 12.2% or €15.9m to €146.6m (vs. €130.7m in FY17), Powerise revenue increased by 8.9% or €8.9m to €109.0m (vs. €100.1m in FY17)
  • Stronger growth in Capital Goods supported adj. EBIT margin improvement to 15.8% in FY18 (vs. 14.9% in FY17)

FY2018 – NAFTA

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September. 1 External revenue only.

  • NAFTA car production in FY18 at 16.9m units, i.e. - 2.1% vs. FY17
  • NAFTA's revenue 0.7% y/y due to weaker US dollar in FY18 (+7.0% y/y excluding the \$/€ currency translation effect)
  • NAFTA's development in FY18 was primarily driven by our Vibration & Velocity Control and Automotive Powerise business: Vibration & Velocity Control revenue +5.7% y/y (+ 14.1% y/y excl. currency effect), Automotive Powerise revenue - 0.4% y/y (+ 7.4% y/y excl. currency effect)
  • Adj. EBIT margin at 14.9% (vs. 15.7% in FY7), - 80bp due to higher expenses in Q2 FY18, in Capital Goods – for subsequent product amendments (cf. Q2 FY18 results presentation, p. 11)

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.19\$/€ in FY18 versus 1.10\$/€ in FY17. FXe = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA's adj. EBIT from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.19\$/€ in FY18 versus 1.10\$/€ in FY17.

FY2018 – Asia / Pacific and RoW

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September. 1 External revenue only.

  • Asia/Pacific and RoW car production in FY18 at 56.7m units, i.e. + 1.5% vs. FY17 (China: + 1.0%, Japan/Korea: - 3.1%, South America: + 11.0%)
  • Asia/Pacific and RoW's revenue increased by 19.5%
  • The increase was primarily driven by our Powerise business: Powerise revenue grew from €5.8m in FY17 to €22.4m in FY18 reflecting increased shipments to VW, GM, Chrysler as well as local Chinese OEMs
  • Adj. EBIT margin improved from 14.1% in FY17 to 16.2% in FY18 primarily due to higher capacity utilization of the Powerise line in China

Agenda

  1. 1.

4.

5.

  1. Results by market

Q4 FY2018 revenue growth – by market / business (y-o-y)

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September.

1Industrial including Capital Goods, Vibration & Velocity Control and Commercial Furniture revenue.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.16\$/€ in Q4 FY18 versus 1.18\$/€ in Q4 FY17.

Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

FY2018 revenue growth – by market / business (y-o-y)

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September.

1Industrial including Capital Goods, Vibration & Velocity Control and Commercial Furniture revenue.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.19\$/€ in FY18 versus 1.10\$/€ in FY17.

Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

FY2018 revenue growth – Automotive business (y-o-y)

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.19\$/€ in FY18 versus 1.10\$/€ in FY17. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

FY2018 revenue growth – Industrial business (y-o-y)

  • Industrial revenue increased by 7.9% (10.4% excluding \$/€ currency translation effect)
  • Excluding \$/€ currency translation effect Capital Goods grew by 9.9%, Vibration & Velocity Control by 11.5%, and Commercial Furniture by 10.0%
  • Continuing strong growth e.g. in the following segments: construction machinery, bus/truck/transportation, medical technology
  • From October 1, 2018 onwards, Commercial Furniture business unit will be integrated into Capital Goods business unit

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.19\$/€ in FY18 versus 1.10\$/€ in FY17. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

Agenda

  1. Outlook

5.

Outlook

FY2018 Actual FY2019 Guidance

million
percent
Revenue €962.6m
(@ 1.19 \$/€)
~ €1,010m (@ 1.19 \$/€) ~ 5% y/y (at constant \$/€
rate)
% Adj. EBIT margin 15.5% ~ 15.5%

Comments

  • Revenue outlook for FY2019: c. 5% y/y at constant avg. \$/€ rate vs. FY18 of 1.19 to approx. €1,010m; STAR 2025 mid- and long-term guidance for average annual growth of at least 6% confirmed
  • Decrease of US\$/€ avg. fx rate by 0.10 \$/€ leads to a revenue increase by approx. €30m and vice versa.
  • FY2019 adj. EBIT margin estimated at c. 15.5%

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September.

Agenda

  1. Appendix

Revenue by region and customer market (3M ended Sept 30, 2018)

External revenue (€m)
Q4 FY2017
Actual
Q4 FY2018
Preliminary
Change % change
Automotive Gas Spring 37.4 35.2 (2.2) (5.9)%
Automotive Powerise 25.0 25.5 0.5 2.0%
Industrial / Capital Goods 30.3 33.4 3.1 10.2%
Vibration & Velocity Control 13.1 14.0 0.9 6.9%
Commercial
Furniture
5.1 6.3 1.2 23.5%
Europe 110.9 114.3 3.4 3.1%
Automotive
Gas Spring
24.2 27.2 3.0 12.4%
Automotive
Powerise
FX effect: 1.1% y/y 32.3 33.6 1.3 4.0%
Industrial / Capital
Goods
FY17: 1.1752\$/€ 16.2 14.8 (1.4) (8.6)%
Vibration
& Velocity Control
FY18: 1.1626\$/€ 9.2 9.3 0.1 1.1%
Commercial
Furniture
1.2 1.3 0.1 8.3%
NAFTA1 83.1 86.2 3.1 3.7%
Automotive Gas Spring 19.0 19.9 0.9 4.7%
Automotive
Powerise
3.4 5.5 2.1 61.8%
Industrial / Capital Goods 3.3 3.6 0.3 9.1%
Vibration
& Velocity Control
1.2 1.3 0.1 8.3%
Commercial
Furniture
- 0.1 0.1 n/a
Asia
/ Pacific and RoW
27.0 30.2 3.2 11.9%
Total Automotive Gas Spring 80.7 82.5 1.8 2.2%
Total
Automotive Powerise
60.6 64.4 3.8 6.3%
Total Industrial / Capital Goods 49.7 51.8 2.1 4.2%
Total Vibration & Velocity
Control
23.6 24.5 0.9 3.8%
Total Commercial
Furniture
6.3 7.6 1.3 20.6%
Total 220.9 230.8 9.9 4.5%

Note: 1 NAFTA Q4 FY18 revenue includes currency effect of €1.6m, resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.16\$/€ in Q4 FY18 versus 1.18\$/€ in Q4 FY17. Since there were no changes in the scope of consolidation in FY18, we don't use the term 'organic growth' in this presentation. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

Revenue by region and customer market (year ended Sept 30, 2018)

External revenue (€m)
FY2017
Actual
FY2018
Preliminary
Change % change
Automotive Gas Spring 150.2 154.9 4.7 3.1%
Automotive Powerise 100.1 109.0 8.9 8.9%
Industrial / Capital Goods 130.7 146.6 15.9 12.2%
Vibration & Velocity Control 52.2 55.3 3.1 5.9%
Commercial
Furniture
23.1 25.5 2.4 10.4%
Europe 456.3 491.3 35.0 7.7%
Automotive
Gas Spring
108.8 106.6 (2.2) (2.0)%
Automotive
Powerise
FX effect: (7.8)% y/y 137.4 136.9 (0.5) (0.4)%
Industrial / Capital
Goods
FY17: 1.1041\$/€ 62.7 60.6 (2.1) (3.3)%
Vibration
& Velocity Control
FY18: 1.1906\$/€ 37.0 39.1 2.1 5.7%
Commercial
Furniture
4.8 4.7 (0.1) (2.1)%
NAFTA1 350.7 348.1 (2.6) (0.7)%
Automotive Gas Spring 81.4 80.7 (0.7) (0.9)%
Automotive
Powerise
5.8 22.4 16.6 >100.0%
Industrial / Capital Goods 11.0 12.8 1.8 16.4%
Vibration
& Velocity Control
4.7 7.2 2.5 53.2%
Commercial
Furniture
0.1 0.1 - 0.0%
Asia
/ Pacific and RoW
103.0 123.1 20.1 19.5%
Total Automotive Gas Spring 340.5 342.3 1.8 0.5%
Total
Automotive Powerise
243.2 268.3 25.1 10.3%
Total Industrial / Capital Goods 204.4 220.0 15.6 7.6%
Total Vibration & Velocity
Control
93.9 101.6 7.7 8.2%
Total Commercial
Furniture
28.0 30.4 2.4 8.6%
Total 910.0 962.6 52.6 5.8%

Note: 1 NAFTA FY18 revenue includes currency effect of €(27.3)m, resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.19\$/€ in FY18 versus 1.10\$/€ in FY17.

Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

P&L overview (3M ended Sept 30, 2018)

P&L (€m)
Q4 FY2017
Actual
Q4 FY2018
Preliminary
Change % change
Revenue 220.9 230.8 9.9 4.5%
COGS (149.2) (158.8) (9.6) 6.4%
Gross Profit 71.7 72.0 0.3 0.4%
% margin 32.5% 31.2%
R&D (10.6) (10.0) 0.6 (5.7)%
S&M (24.0) (20.1) 3.9 (16.3)%
G&A (8.3) (9.6) (1.3) 15.7%
Other income/expenses 1.0 0.2 (0.8) (80.0)%
EBIT 29.9 32.3 2.4 8.0%
% margin 13.5% 14.0%
Adjustments1 4.4 4.4 - 0.0%
Adj. EBIT1 34.2 36.6 2.4 7.0%
% margin 15.5% 15.9%

Note: 1 Adjusted EBIT represents profit from operating activities (EBIT), adjusted for exceptional non-recurring items (e.g. restructuring or one-time advisory costs) and depreciation/amortization of fair value adjustments from purchase price allocations (PPA).

P&L overview (year ended Sept 30, 2018)

P&L (€m)
FY2017
Actual
FY2018
Preliminary
Change % change
Revenue 910.0 962.6 52.6 5.8%
COGS (637.2) (671.4) (34.2) 5.4%
Gross Profit 272.9 291.2 18.3 6.7%
% margin 30.0% 30.3%
R&D (38.2) (42.0) (3.8) 9.9%
S&M (80.4) (81.3) (0.9) 1.1%
G&A (35.3) (38.5) (3.2) 9.1%
Other income/expenses (0.5) 2.6 3.1 <(100.0)%
EBIT 118.4 131.9 13.5 11.4%
% margin 13.0% 13.7%
Adjustments1 19.2 17.5 (1.7) (8.9)%
Adj. EBIT1 137.6 149.3 11.7 8.5%
% margin 15.1% 15.5%

Note: 1 Adjusted EBIT represents profit from operating activities (EBIT), adjusted for exceptional non-recurring items (e.g. restructuring or one-time advisory costs) and depreciation/amortization of fair value adjustments from purchase price allocations (PPA).

Balance sheet overview

Balance sheet (€m)
Sept 2017
Actual
Sept 2018
Preliminary
Change % change
Property, plant and equipment 169.7 179.2 9.5 5.6%
Goodwill 194.2 195.2 1.0 0.5%
Other intangible assets2 268.9 247.2 (21.7) (8.1)%
Inventories 85.3 90.8 5.5 6.4%
Trade receivables 105.1 111.3 6.2 5.9%
Other assets 38.7 43.7 5.0 12.9%
Cash 68.1 143.0 74.9 >100.0%
Total assets 930.0 1,010.4 80.4 8.6%
Equity incl. minorities 336.4 426.5 90.1 26.8%
Debt (incl. accrued interest) 322.0 320.0 (2.0) (0.6)%
Pension plans and similar obligations 53.2 52.2 (1.0) (1.9)%
Deferred tax liabilities 60.0 47.8 (12.2) (20.3)%
Trade accounts payable 79.1 83.2 4.1 5.2%
Other liabilities 79.3 80.7 1.4 1.8%
Total equity and liabilities 930.0 1,010.4 80.4 8.6%
Net leverage ratio1 1.5x 1.1x

Note:

1 Net leverage ratio = net financial debt / adj. EBITDA LTM. Net financial debt defined as principal amount of financial debt less cash. Adj. EBITDA LTM = last-twelve-month adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. Refer also to our financial reports and quarterly statements at www.ir.stabilus.com for further details. 2 Change in other intangible assets mainly due to the amortization of fair value adjustments from purchase price allocations (PPA) in 2010 and 2016.

Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

Cash flow overview and free cash flow (3M ended Sept 30, 2018)

Cash Flow Statement (€m)
Q4 FY2017
Actual
Q4 FY2018
Preliminary
Change % change
Cash flow from operating activities 36.5 46.6 10.1 27.7%
Cash flow from investing activities (11.3) (18.3) (7.0) 61.9%
Cash flow from financing activities (51.9) (1.5) 50.4 (97.1)%
Net increase / (decrease) in cash (26.7) 26.8 53.5 <(100.0)%
Effect of movements in exchange rates (0.5) 0.3 0.8 <(100.0)%
Cash as of beginning of the period 95.3 115.8 20.5 21.5%
Cash as of end of the period 68.1 143.0 74.9 >100.0%

Free Cash Flow (€m)

Q4 FY2017
Actual
Q4 FY2018
Preliminary
Change % change
Cash flow from operating activities 36.5 46.6 10.1 27.7%
Cash flow from investing activities (11.3) (18.3) (7.0) 61.9%
Free cash flow 25.2 28.3 3.1 12.3%

Note:

Free Cash Flow (FCF) = cash flow from operating activities + cash flow from investing activities. It is presented because we believe it is a relevant measure for the assessment of the group's ability to generate cash which can be used for further investments, debt service and distributions to shareholders. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

Cash flow overview and free cash flow (year ended Sept 30, 2018)

Cash Flow Statement (€m)
FY2017
Actual
FY2018
Preliminary
Change % change
Cash flow from operating activities 121.9 145.5 23.6 19.4%
Cash flow from investing activities (44.1) (45.3) (1.2) 2.7%
Cash flow from financing activities (83.7) (25.5) 58.2 (69.5)%
Net increase / (decrease) in cash (5.9) 74.7 80.6 <(100.0)%
Effect of movements in exchange rates (1.0) 0.2 1.2 <(100.0)%
Cash as of beginning of the period 75.0 68.1 (6.9) (9.2)%
Cash as of end of the period 68.1 143.0 74.9 >100.0%

Free Cash Flow (€m)

FY2017
Actual
FY2018
Preliminary
Change % change
Cash flow from operating activities 121.9 145.5 23.6 19.4%
Cash flow from investing activities (44.1) (45.3) (1.2) 2.7%
Free cash flow 77.8 100.2 22.4 28.8%

Note:

Free Cash Flow (FCF) = cash flow from operating activities + cash flow from investing activities. It is presented because we believe it is a relevant measure for the assessment of the group's ability to generate cash which can be used for further investments, debt service and distributions to shareholders. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

Notes re pensions and leasing

Notes
Pensions and similar obligations
In FY2018 new demographic tables were issued in Germany (Heubeck
Mortality Table 2018G)
Changed assumptions for the calculation of pension obligations as of Sept 30, 2018: discount rate of
2.00% in FY18 (vs. 1.87% in FY17), Heubeck
Mortality Table 2018G in FY18 (vs. Heubeck
Mortality Table
2005G in FY17)
As a consequence, liability for pension plans and similar obligations has decreased by €1m in FY18 from
€53.2m as of Sept 30, 2017 to €52.2m as of Sept 30, 2018
Leases
IFRS 16 is applicable for fiscal years beginning on or after January 1, 2019; Stabilus is planning to apply
the new method from October 1, 2019
Recognition of all leases in the balance sheet –
non-current assets and financial debt will increase
In the income statement: currently –
operating expenses, in the future –
depreciation and interest
expenses
Insignificant volume –
no material impact on consolidated financial statements of Stabilus S.A.

www.stabilus.com

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