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Siltronic AG — Investor Presentation 2016
Mar 14, 2017
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Investor Presentation
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Siltronic – a leading producer of silicon wafers
Full Year Results 2016
March 14, 2017
© Siltronic AG 2017
Financial Year 2016: Highlights
| Sales | Sales of EUR 933.4mn (2015: EUR 931.3mn) |
|---|---|
| EBITDA | EUR 146.0mn (2015: EUR 124.0mn), Without negative FX effects* EBITDA would have been EUR 166.9mn |
| Margin | EBITDA margin 15.6% (2015: 13.3%) Without negative FX effects* EBITDA margin would have been 17.9% |
| EBIT | positive at EUR 27.0mn (2015: EUR 2.7mn) |
| Cost Savings | around EUR 30mn |
| Investments** | EUR 88.8mn (2015: EUR 75.0mn), mainly in enhanced capabilities |
| Free Cash Flow | EUR 19.0mn (2015: EUR 37.4mn), despite EUR 11.1mn one-time payment to pension fund and EUR 20.5mn repayment of customer prepayments |
| Net Cash | EUR 175.0mn (2015: EUR 155.9mn) |
*other operating income and expenses influenced by FX effects, mainly due to hedging . In 2016, FX effects added up to expenses of EUR 20.9mn. ** without investment in financial assets
Agenda
Market Overview
Financials
Outlook
Appendix
Market Update
Macro
- Q4'16 GDP growth in China, Japan and the U.S was slightly higher than in Q3'16.
- Unemployment stays low in the U.S. and Japan; Eurozone continues to recover slowly.
- Consumer confidence was relatively stable in most regions; Eurozone improved.
- Global PMI is positive, improving further in the U.S., Europe and Japan.
Silicon market
- Wafer market reached a new all-time high in Q4 (~5.9bn cm²/mo, 10.4% up y-o-y)
- 300mm market was ~5.3mn w/mo in Q4, 1.3% up from Q3 and 7.6% up y-o-y
- Silicon wafer area demand grew 2.9% in 2016 and is expected to grow 4.9% in 2017
- 2017 growth expected to occur in multiple areas: besides SSD, industrial applications and network infrastructure are forecast as major growth drivers.
Competition
All wafer suppliers report strong 200mm and 300mm wafer demand, customer orders on allocation and increasing prices
Source: Moody´s Economy.com (Feb 2017), SEMI up to Dec 2016, IHS Markit Technology (Semiconductor Silicon Demand Forecast Tool, Q1'17 Update)
Industrial and automotive are expected to grow strong in the next years, while silicon demand growth for mobile phones slowing
Note: Mobile phones: Smart & Feature phones; Computing: Desktop, Notebook & Server PC & periphery, Tablets, SSD & DRAM
Silicon demand for NAND driven by growing demand for solid state drives and increasing storage in smartphones
NAND silicon area demand by applications, bn cm² p.a.
Source: IHS Markit Q1 2017
Within a car, most silicon is used for powertrain, infotainment and safety
Source: IHS Markit Q1 2017
300mm demand is expected above industry capacity, after almost a decade of over-supply
300mm effective capacity vs. demand, kpcs per month
Comments
- Extension not considered at current price levels
- ~30% to 35% overall empty shell capacity estimated to be available
- Would allow for costefficient brownfield extension according to demand growth without need of creating overcapacity
- Takes around 12-18 months to bring brownfield capacity online
Sources: SEMI, IHS, Siltronic
Agenda
- Market Overview
- Financials
- Outlook
- Appendix
Q4 sales development driven by positive mix, increased spot prices and tailwind from JPY
Positive development of EBITDA and EBITDA margin due to cost reductions and decreasing hedging expenses
EBITDA margin and EBITDA in EUR mn
Comments
Positive
- Higher ASP in Q4 q-o-q due to mix and increased spot prices
- Cost reduction on track
- Hedging losses* for FY 2016 decreased to EUR 20.9mn y-o-y
- Positive effects of strong JPY on sales and gross profit outweigh negative effects on other operating income and expense
*Other operating income and expenses influenced by FX effects, mainly due to hedging
Positive development of net result
Result and income tax, in EUR mn
Comments
- Net profit of EUR 8.7mn in 2016
- Successful continuation of cost reduction program contributed to positive development
- EUR 7.2mn effective taxes
- Potential future tax advantages based on tax losses carried forward not capitalized (accounting policies)
- Expect tax rate to come down to 20% to 25%
Equity ratio of 40.2% Net financial assets of EUR 175mn
Balance sheet, in EUR mn
| Assets | Dec 31, 2016 |
Dec 31, 2015 |
Comments Dec 31, 2016 |
Equity and liabilities |
Dec 31, 2016 |
Dec 31, 2015 |
Comments Dec 31, 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non-current | 554.1 | 579.1 | Equity | 425.3 | 497.3 | ||
| PP&E | 519.8 | 542.9 | Siltronic | 431.9 | 500.5 | ||
| Other fixed | 34.3 | 36.2 | 25 intangibles (related to SSW) |
Other shareholders |
-6.6 | -3.2 | Samsung's 22% in SSW |
| Current | 502.7 | 461.7 | Liabilities | 631.5 | 543.5 | ||
| Inventories | 140.9 | 142.7 | Pension provision |
395.1 | 299.4 | Germany and US | |
| Trade receivables |
118.2 | 100.4 | Other provisions |
51.1 | 41.7 | 40 personnel related (e.g. early retirement) |
|
| Other current |
28.2 | 24.1 | 3 hedging | Financial debt |
40.4 | 38.6 | Samsung |
| Trade liabilities |
81.6 | 72.1 | |||||
| Cash and fixed term deposits |
215.4 | 194.5 | Other | 63.3 | 91.7 | 26 prepayments 21 employee related 10 hedging |
|
| Total | 1,056.8 | 1,040.8 | Total | 1,056.8 | 1,040.8 |
Pension provision increased y-o-y due to lower interest rates; however down q-o-q
Comments
- Changes in interest rates influence evaluation of pension provision
- Change in interest rates directly reflected in equity (OCI)
- One-time payment into pension fund of EUR 11.1mn in Q4 2016 had an impact on cash flow, not on financial result
CapEx: spending mostly for capability and cost reductions
Adjusted1 CapEx and D&A, in EUR mn CapEx 2015 and 2016
- New crystal pulling hall in Freiberg
- Exhange of old crystal pullers vs. state-of-the-art equipment
- Automation projects in Germany
2017 focus on
- Capability improvement
- New design rules
- New generation crystal pullers
- Cost reduction (e.g. further automation)
- Debottlenecking
1 adjustments are based on the assumption that SSW would have been consolidated prior to January 1, 2014. Initial consolidation of SSW was made as of January 24, 2014. The adjustments are not in compliance with IFRS.
Payments for CapEx above average in 2016
Cash flow, in EUR mn
| 2015 | 2016 | |
|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operating activities | 96.1 | 115.6 |
| thereof repayment of prepayments | 23.3 | 20.5 |
| thereof one-time payment to pension fund | 0 | 11.1 |
| Proceeds/payments for CapEx | -58.7 | -96.6 |
| Free cash flow | 37.4 | 19.0 |
Comments
- CapEx for investments in state-of-the-art crystal pullers and further automation of production sites
- Free cash flow still burdened by repayment of prepayments. These will be settled by mid-2018
- In 2016 one-time payment to pension fund of EUR 11.1mn
Successful cost reduction programs continue
Cost savings, in EUR mn1
Additional savings levers:
- Investing in automation in Germany
- Investing in new pullers to improve yields and capabilities
- Poly cost optimization ongoing
- Further productivity increases through various initiatives
1 Based on prior year cost basis to current year volumes and adjustments to certain current year costs to reflect prior year contractual and economic parameters (e.g. prior year unit labor cost).
Agenda
- Market Overview
- Financials
- Outlook
- Appendix
Siltronic Outlook 2017 (as per March 14, 2017)
| EBITDA margin | at least 20% |
|---|---|
| ROCE | substantially higher than in 2016, approximately at WACC |
| Free Cash Flow | clearly positive; by far above 2016 |
| Sales | at least EUR 1bn |
| R&D | unchanged at approx. 7% of sales |
| Cost Position | potential savings of around EUR 20mn to EUR 25mn |
| Hedging Expenses | substantially lower around EUR 10mn (at EUR/USD = 1.05; EUR/JPY = 120) |
| Depreciation | on the level of 2016 |
| Tax | between 20% and 25% |
| Financial Result | roughly EUR 10mn interest expense |
| Earnings per Share | significantly higher than in 2016 |
| CapEx | around EUR 100mn, partly financed by USD 20mn customer prepayments |
Appendix
Siltronic is a strong wafer supplier with leading-edge technology
Sources: Companies' revenue reports 2016, converted to USD mn
Financials improved strongly over the last years
| Adjusted1 financial figures (EUR mn) |
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1030.0 | 875.5 | 853.4 | 931.3 | 933.4 |
| EBIT | (75.5) | (87.3) | (31.6) | 2.7 | 27.0 |
| EBIT margin in % | (7.3) | (10.0) | (3.7) | 0.3 | 2.9 |
| EBITDA | 122.5 | 112.6 | 117.7 | 124.0 | 146.0 |
| EBITDA margin in % | 11.9 | 12.9 | 13.8 | 13.3 | 15.6 |
| CapEx | 144.3 | 39.7 | 40.7 | 75.0 | 88.8 |
| Free cash flow | (134.4) | 64.7 | 86.3 | 37.4 | 19.0 |
1figures 2012-2014 adjusted for consolidation effects resulting from acquisition of SSW and restructuring
FY sales development driven by higher wafer volumes and strong JPY, off-setting lower ASP y-o-y
in mn EUR
| Sales | 2015 | 2016 | Change | Change in % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 238.7 | 220.6 | -18.1 | -7.6 |
| Q2 | 246.7 | 229.6 | -17.1 | -6.9 |
| Q3 | 230.6 | 237.0 | +6.4 | +2.8 |
| Q4 | 215.3 | 246.3 | +31.0 | +14.4 |
| FY | 931.3 | 933.4 | +2.1 | +0.2 |
Positive EBITDA development driven by cost reductions and lower hedging expenses
in mn EUR
| 2015 | 2016 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA reported 2015 |
Hedging 2015 |
EBITDA w/o hedging 2015 |
EBITDA reported 2016 |
Hedging 2016 |
EBITDA w/o hedging 2016 |
||
| Q1 | 40.1 | 2.1 | 42.2 | 23.6 | 9.7 | 33.3 | |
| Q2 | 31.4 | 17.6 | 49.0 | 35.1 | 2.7 | 37.8 | |
| Q3 | 29.3 | 15.5 | 44.8 | 36.8 | 7.0 | 43.8 | |
| Q4 | 23.2 | 10.5 | 33.7 | 50.5 | 1.5 | 52.0 | |
| FY | 124.0 | 45.7 | 169.7 | 146.0 | 20.9 | 166.9 |
EBITDA development since 2014
Adjusted1 EBITDA margin and EBITDA in EUR mn
1 adjustments are based on the assumption that SSW would have been consolidated prior to January 1, 2014. Initial consolidation of SSW was made as of January 24, 2014. The adjustments are not in compliance with IFRS
EBITDA development excluding FX and hedging since 2014
Adjusted1 EBITDA margin and EBITDA in EUR mn, excl. FX effects2
1 adjustments are based on the assumption that SSW would have been consolidated prior to January 1, 2014. Initial consolidation of SSW was made as of January 24, 2014. The adjustments are not in compliance with IFRS
2 other operating income and expenses influenced by FX effects, mainly due to hedging .
Historically low discount rates inflate DBO; expected asset returns significantly higher
DBO and pension reserve as of Dec 31, 2016, in EUR mn
After a decade of low utilization market finally back to positive momentum
Profit drivers
| Capacity utilization 300mm | Capacity expansion | Depreciation | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ~60% capacity utilization in 2008 Slowly increased over the years Fully loaded since Q3 2016 |
~1.5% p.a. expansion due to OEE (Overall Equipment Effectiveness) Investment in additional capacity only at substantially higher prices |
Declining in 2014, 2015 and 2018 due to lower Capex levels |
|
| ASP | FX | Hedging | |
| Overcapacity drove prices down |
Most revenue in USD and JPY |
~46mn EUR net expenses in 2015 |
|
| Stable in Q3 and Q4/2016 with some price increases for spot orders in Q4 |
Strong USD and JPY implies tailwind for Siltronic's profitability |
~21mn EUR net expenses in 2016 |
Based on technology leadership Siltronic is well positioned to improve returns
1 Strong market position in semiconductor silicon wafer manufacturing
2 Technology and quality leader
Supplier to all top 20 silicon wafer consumers with well-established relationships
4 Strong track record in efficiency improvement and cost reduction
5 Experienced management team and highly skilled workforce
Silicon area demand continues to grow
Silicon wafer demand, in bn in2
Source: SEMI (Silicon Area until 2016), IHS Markit Technology (Semiconductor Silicon Demand Forecast Tool, Q1'17 Update, Estimate 2017)
SSDs and industrial applications remain the main drivers for silicon demand. Turnaround in PC and tablet market also helps.
Computing
- Servers, mobile PCs and PC upgrades drive demand for SSDs.
- Mobile PC units will decline in 2017 but at the slowest rate in 10 years.
Mobile Phones
- Smartphone shipments are expected to grow.
- Technology migrations and content are key for silicon demand.
Industrial
Industrial automation, smart homes and medical electronics will increase silicon demand for industrial applications in 2017.
Automotive
- Semiconductor content in new cars grows, driven by electrification, automated driving and connectivity.
- Vehicle production also rises slowly.
Source: IHS Markit Technology (Semiconductor Silicon Demand Forecast Tool, Q1'17 Update)
NAND is the growth engine in the memory sector. Silicon area for DRAM only shows moderate growth.
Split of memory silicon area market by DRAM and NAND, bn cm²
Source: IHS Markit Q1 2017
Bit growth is expected to exceed bit density growth in the foreseeable future. This will result in growing wafer demand.
2016-2019 NAND market growth bit density growth: ~33% (technological progress) bit demand growth: ~40% (enabled by lower cost) wafer demand growth: ~7%
- New NAND technology helps increase bit density and reduce costs.
- This opens up new applications, and spurs demand growth.
- As a result, bit demand grows faster, and more silicon is consumed.
300mm NAND silicon market, k/m
Source: IHS Markit Q3 2016
Contact and Additional Information
| Issuer and Contact |
Additional Information | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siltronic AG Hanns-Seidel-Platz 4 D-81737 München |
ISIN: WKN: Deutsche Börse: |
DE000WAF3001 WAF300 WAF |
|||
| Investor Relations: Petra Mueller email: [email protected] Tel. +49 89 8564-3133 |
Listing: | Frankfurt Stock Exchange Prime Standard |
|||
| Financial Calendar | |||||
| Q1 2017 Results | April 27, 2017 | ||||
| Annual General Meeting | May 9, 2017 | ||||
| Q2 2017 Results | July 28, 2017 |
||||
| Q3 2017 Results | October 26, 2017 |
Disclaimer
The information contained in this presentation is for background purposes only and is subject to amendment, revision and updating. Certain statements contained in this presentation may be statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. In addition to statements which are forward-looking by reason of context, including without limitation, statements referring to risk limitations, operational profitability, financial strength, performance targets, profitable growth opportunities, and risk adequate pricing, as well as the words "may, will, should, expects, plans, intends, anticipates, believes, estimates, predicts, or continue", "potential, future, or further", and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These include, among other factors, changing business or other market conditions and the prospects for growth anticipated by Siltronic AG's management. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Statements contained in this presentation regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. Siltronic AG does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any statements contained in this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. In particular, you should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation.