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Siltronic AG — Earnings Release 2015
Mar 16, 2016
392_ip_2016-03-16_9c5e211a-cf94-41f4-95d3-e9fda2026ac2.pdf
Earnings Release
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Siltronic – a leading producer of silicon wafers
Full Year Results 2015
© Siltronic AG 2016
Highlights 2015: Financials
| Sales | EUR (2014: adjusted1 Sales of 931.3 mn 853.4 mn EUR) Growth of 9.1% |
|---|---|
| EBITDA | EUR (2014: adjusted1 124.0 mn 117.7 mn EUR), Without negative FX effects2 EBITDA would have been 169.7 mn EUR |
| Margin | EBITDA margin of 13.3% (2014: adjusted1 13.8%) Without negative FX effects2 EBITDA margin would have been 18.2% |
| EBIT | EUR (2014: adjusted1 positive at 2.7 mn -31.6 mn EUR) |
| Cost Savings | around 45 mn EUR realised |
| CapEx | EUR (2014: adjusted1 75.0 mn 40.7 mn EUR), mainly in enhanced capabilities |
| Free Cash Flow | EUR (2014 adjusted1 37.4 mn : 86.3 mn EUR) |
| Net Cash | 155.9 mn EUR (2014: net debt of 24.5 mn EUR) |
| * 1 adjusted for consolidation 2 other operating income and |
effects resulting from acquisition of Siltronic Silicon Wafer Pte.Ltd., Singapur expenses influenced by FX effects, mainly due to hedging In 2015, These effects added up to expenses of 45.7 mn EUR. |
Agenda
Market Overview
Financials
Outlook
Appendix
(
What happened in 2015? - GDP growth slowed, electronics revenue went down, and semiconductor revenue stayed flat.
Worldwide GDP
grew 3.1% in 2015 (0.3% pts. less than in 2014), according to IMF
Electronic revenue
- Electronics revenue was USD 1,423 bn in 2015 (2.1% down from 2014), according to IC Insights
- Overall key electronic categories weakened throughout 2015 as purchasing power declined (in some regions) due to strong dollar
Worldwide semiconductor market
- Semiconductor market equals around 25% of the electronics industry
- Semiconductor unit sales grew 2.7% YoY in 2015, while revenue was flat (-0.2% YoY), according to WSTS
Silicon area demand continues to grow
Silicon wafer demand, in bn in2
Source: SEMI SMG Silicon Area until 2015, IHS Semiconductor Silicon Demand Forecast Tool Q1 2016 (growth rates from 2016 onwards)
Agenda
- Market Overview
- Financials
- Outlook
- Appendix
(
Financials improved strongly
| Adjusted1 financial figures (EUR mn) | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 931.3 | 853.4 | 875.5 | 1030.0 |
| EBIT | 2.7 | (31.6) | (87.3) | (75.5) |
| EBIT margin in % | 0.3 | (3.7) | (10.0) | (7.3) |
| EBITDA | 124.0 | 117.7 | 112.6 | 122.5 |
| EBITDA margin in % | 13.3 | 13.8 | 12.9 | 11.9 |
| CapEx | (75.0) | (40.7) | (39.7) | (144.3) |
| Free cash flow | 37.4 | 86.3 | 64.7 | (134.4) |
1figures 2014 adjusted for consolidation effects resulting from acquisition of SSW and restructuring
Sales development driven by higher wafer volumes and strong USD
- Volumes FY 2015 up y-o-y
- Volumes Q4 decreased yo-y as well as compared to previous quarters
- Prices decreased q-o-q in contract currency
- ASP y-o-y up in EUR due to stronger USD
Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
1 adjustments are based on the assumption that SSW would have been consolidated prior to January 1, 2014. Initial consolidation of SSW was made as of January 24, 2014. The adjustments are not in compliance with IFRS
EBITDA 2015 increased by 5%
1 adjustments are based on the assumption that SSW would have been consolidated prior to January 1, 2014. Initial consolidation of SSW was made as of January 24, 2014. The adjustments are not in compliance with IFRS
2 other operating income and expenses influenced by FX effects, mainly due to hedging . In FY 2015, these effects added up to expenses of 45.7 mn EUR.
EBITDA excluding FX and hedging improved by >50%
Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
EBITDA w/o FX & hedging EBITDA margin 1 adjustments are based on the assumption that SSW would have been consolidated prior to January 1, 2014. Initial consolidation of SSW was made as of January 24, 2014. The adjustments are not in compliance with IFRS
2 other operating income and expenses influenced by FX effects, mainly due to hedging . In FY 2015, these effects added up to expenses of 45.7 mn EUR.
.
USD sales significantly higher than USD/SGD costs
Equity ratio of 48% and strong net cash position of EUR 156 mn
Balance sheet, in EUR mn
| Assets | Dec 31, 2015 | Comments | Equity and liabilities |
Dec 31, 2015 | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non-current | 579.1 | Equity | 497.3 | ||
| PP&E | 542.9 | Siltronic | 500.5 | ||
| Other fixed | 36.2 | 30 intangible (related to SSW) |
Other shareholders |
-3.2 | Samsung's 22% in SSW |
| Current | 461.7 | Liabilities | 543.5 | ||
| Inventories | 142.7 | Pension provision |
299.4 | Germany and US | |
| Trade receivables |
100.4 | Other provisions |
36.4 | 33 personnel related (e.g. early retirement) |
|
| Other current |
24.2 | Financial debt |
38.6 | Samsung | |
| Trade liabilities |
72.1 | ||||
| Cash and fixed term deposit |
194.4 | Other | 97.0 | 46 prepayments 19 hedging 19 employee related |
|
| Total | 1,040.8 | Total | 1,040.8 |
Capital discipline supports positive free cash flow
2015 20141 Cash flow from operating activities 96.1 123.7 Payments for CapEx (58.7) (37.4) Free cash flow 37.4 86.3
Comments
2014
• Prepayments of EUR 56 mn received
2015
- Repayment of around EUR 21 mn of prepayments
- closed some FX forwards prematurely with cash impact in 2015; P&L impact in 2016
1 adjustments are based on the assumption that SSW would have been consolidated prior to January 1, 2014. Initial consolidation of SSW was made as of January 24, 2014. The adjustments are not in compliance with IFRS
Cash flow, in EUR mn
Pension provision decreased considerably
Pension provision, in EUR mn
Comments
- decrease in Q2/2015 due to changes in interest rates
- stable since that time
- changes shown in equity
CapEx: spending mostly for capability and cost reductions
CapEx focus on
- Capability improvement
- New design rules
- New generation crystal pullers
- Cost reduction (e.g. automation)
- Debottlenecking
No extensions planned
- Empty shell capacity would allow for fast and cost efficient extension
- Extensions not considered at current price levels
1 adjustments are based on the assumption that SSW would have been consolidated prior to January 1, 2014. Initial consolidation of SSW was made as of January 24, 2014. The adjustments are not in compliance with IFRS
Siltronic continued successful track record of cost reduction
Cost reduction, in EUR mn1
Additional Savings Levers:
- Cost reduction roadmap defined for 2016 and beyond
- Investing in automation in Germany
- up to 500 employees to be transferred to WACKER between 2014 and 2019 (~200 already transferred)
- Investing in new pullers to improve yields and capabilities
- Poly cost optimization ongoing
- Further productivity increases through various initiatives
1 Based on the prior year cost basis to current year volumes and adjustments to certain current year costs to reflect prior year contractual and economic parameters (e.g. prior year unit labor cost).
2 excluding SSW
Agenda
- Market Overview
- Financials
- Outlook
- Appendix
(
2016 is expected to bring slightly better GDP growth, driving moderate growth outlook for electronics and semiconductors.
Worldwide GDP
- IMF is projecting 3.4% growth in 2016 (0.3% pts higher than in 2015)
- The importance of the Chinese economy will grow for consumer markets like personal computers, digital TVs, smartphones and automobiles. China's economy is forecasted to grow 6.3% in 2016, compared to 6.9% in 2015
Electronics revenue
IC Insights predicts 2.4% revenue growth, to USD 1.457 bn in 2016
Worldwide semiconductor market
Most analysts predict moderate growth for semiconductor revenue in 2016, but the individual forecasts cover a wider range (from -1% to +6%)
Silicon Area
- IHS Technology is forecasting 3.3% with SSDs, the industrial sector and automotive as the biggest silicon market drivers
- SEMI (+1.4%) predicts small, but positive growth for silicon
Source: IMF, IC Insights, IHS Technology, WSTS, SEMI SMG
IHS expects silicon area demand to grow 3.3% in 2016. Main drivers are SSDs, industrial sector and automotive
Source: IHS Technology, Semiconductor Silicon Demand Forecast Tool (Q1'16 Update)
Wafer demand for key applications 2015, in bn in2
Silicon demand for Automotive is outgrowing the semiconductor market, with the highest growth for 300 mm wafers.
- Silicon area consumption in the automotive sector is outgrowing the market.
- 300 mm demand for automotive is growing strongest. Key drivers are advanced driver assistance systems and infotainment applications.
Source: IHS Q1 2016
Industrial and automotive with higher growth rates in next years compared to computing and mobile
Silicon industry will experience challenges and opportunities in 2016
- Inventory adjustments which occurred in 2nd half of 2015 in the value chain seem to be done
- Usual post-Chinese New Year increase in market activities has not happened yet
- Some economic uncertainties due to recent market rumors on significant slow-down in Apple's demand
- Sequentially slightly higher volumes expected in Q1 2016 vs. Q4 2015 due to moderate demand growth
- Currently demand curve for 2016 expected to follow the usual pattern with sequentially higher demands in Q2 vs Q1
- Ongoing price pressure in contract currency expected for H1 2016 for some products with lower market utilization rates
Siltronic will continue to focus on topics under its control
- Stay ahead of the markets in technology development
- Ongoing strengthening of cost position
- Further improve manufacturing and logistics excellence
- Further strengthening customer service and support
Siltronic Outlook 2016
| EBITDA margin | slight improvement |
|---|---|
| ROCE | in the mid single-digit percentage range |
| Free Cash Flow | clearly positive, but below the 2015 figure |
| Sales | slight year-on-year decrease |
| R&D | unchanged at approx. 7% of sales |
| Cost Position | potential savings of around EUR 30-35 mn |
| Hedging Losses | substantially lower at around EUR 10-15 mn |
| Depreciation | slight reduction |
| Tax | roughly EUR 10 mn |
| Financial Result | roughly EUR 10 mn |
| Earnings per Share | presumably slightly positive |
| CapEx | around EUR 80 mn |
Appendix
(
Strong #3 Wafer Supplier
Market Share by Wafer Revenues (Top 5 Suppliers only), USD basis
Sources: Companies' revenue reports until Q3 2015, converted to USD using annual foreign exchange rates;
Shareholder structure
Freefloat by regions1
Major shareholdings included in freefloat2
| Baupost Securities Group |
8.7% |
|---|---|
| MainFirst Sicav |
5.1% |
| Wellington Management Co. | 2.8% |
| Morgan Stanley | 1.8% |
Siltronic Strategy: Improving returns and stay ahead in technology
Investment Highlights – Siltronic Strengths
Strong track record in efficiency improvement and cost reduction
Strategic supply of high-quality polysilicon at competitive cost
Experienced management team and highly skilled workforce
Contact and Additional Information
| Issuer and Contact |
Additional Information | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siltronic AG Hanns-Seidel-Platz 4 D-81737 München |
ISIN: WKN: Deutsche Börse: |
DE000WAF3001 WAF300 WAF |
||
| Investor Relations: Petra Mueller Tel. +49 89 8564-3133 |
Listing: | Frankfurt Stock Exchange Prime Standard |
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| Financial Calendar | ||||
| Full Year 2015 Results: |
March 16, 2016 | |||
| Q1 2016 Results: | April 28, 2016 | |||
| Annual Shareholder Meeting: May 12, 2016 |
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| Q2 2016 Results: | July 28, 2016 |
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| Q3 2016 Results | October 27, 2016 |
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Disclaimer
The information contained in this presentation is for background purposes only and is subject to amendment, revision and updating. Certain statements contained in this presentation may be statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. In addition to statements which are forward-looking by reason of context, including without limitation, statements referring to risk limitations, operational profitability, financial strength, performance targets, profitable growth opportunities, and risk adequate pricing, as well as the words "may, will, should, expects, plans, intends, anticipates, believes, estimates, predicts, or continue", "potential, future, or further", and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These include, among other factors, changing business or other market conditions and the prospects for growth anticipated by Siltronic AG's management. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Statements contained in this presentation regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. Siltronic AG does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any statements contained in this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. In particular, you should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation.