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Siltronic AG — Call Transcript 2023
Oct 26, 2023
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Siltronic AG
Q3 2023 Conference Call Presentation
In line with expectations
October 26, 2023
Development in Q3 in line with expectations
Q3 2023 still impacted by industry weakness, but on a solid level
28.4 EBITDA Margin in % Q2 2023: 29.4
Stable Pricing environment
-215 Net Cash Flow in EUR mn Q2 2023: -310
318 Capex in EUR mn Q2 2023: 366
Nov 30 Capital Markets Day London
Siltronic AG – Q3 2023 Conference Call October 26, 2023 3
Financials Q3 2023
Sound and expected performance in a still challenging environment
Q3 in line with expectations, pricing sentiment stable
Profit & Loss, in EUR million Comments
| Q3 2023 | Q2 2023 | Q1-Q3 2023 |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 349.1 | 403.7 | 1,157.2 |
| Gross profit |
75.7 | 101.1 | 293.0 |
| Gross margin, in % | 21.7 | 25.0 | 25.3 |
| EBITDA | 99.1 | 118.6 | 342.8 |
| EBITDA margin, in % | 28.4 | 29.4 | 29.6 |
| EBIT | 46.4 | 70.3 | 194.5 |
| EBIT margin, in % | 13.3 | 17.4 | 16.8 |
| Net Income | 35.1 | 61.4 | 169.0 |
| EPS, in EUR | 1.10 | 1.83 | 5.13 |
Sales: -14% qoq
- Lower wafer area sold
- Stable prices and FX
EBITDA: -16% qoq, solid margin
- Stable unit cost for materials and energy
- Lower fixed cost dilution, but no negative inventory effects (like in Q2)
- Positive FX result of EUR 10 mn
EBIT: -34% qoq
Expected increase in depreciation
Net income: -43% qoq
- Reduced interest income due to lower cash position
- Increase in tax rate due to shift in site mix
Some insights into our FX effects
FX Exposure 2023, in % FX Impacts
USD Sensitivity, based on 2023 exposure (EUR/USD 1.10)
Change EUR/USD ± 1 USD-ct
- EUR 10 mn in Sales
- EUR 7 mn in EBITDA, unhedged (including highly correlated SGD-effect)
USD Hedging strategy
- Operational hedging
- Strategic hedging: gradual hedging up to 18 months ahead, based on net FX exposure
FX result (in other operating income/expenses)
- Mostly FX hedging
- Other valuation effects (trade receivables, payables)
Strong balance sheet – expected shift between cash & securities and fixed assets
Balance Sheet Composition Comments
| Sep 30, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Assets, in EUR mn | 4,326 | 4,051 |
| Fixed Assets | 73% | 58% |
| Inventories | 7% | 7% |
| Receivables | 8% | 9% |
| Cash & Securities | 12% | 26% |
| Liabilities, in EUR mn | 4,326 | 4,051 |
| Equity | 49% | 51% |
| Provisions | 5% | 5% |
| Financial Liabilities | 21% | 19% |
| Liabilites & Prepayments |
25% | 25% |
Fixed assets: + EUR 795 mn vs. Dec 31, 22
Increase to EUR 3.2 bn due to high capex
Cash & Securities: - EUR 543 mn vs. Dec 31, 22
- Decline to EUR 506 mn
- Operating cash flow < payments for capex and dividend
Equity Ratio: 49%
Healthy level
Financial Liabilities
Last drawdown of Singapore Dollar loan in Q3 23
Liabilities/Prepayments
- Customer prepayments received: EUR 79 mn
- Provisions for pensions: slight decline to a historically low level
Major Capex in 2023 (mostly for FabNext) will fuel future growth
Capex
- Capex 2023 for FabNext, extension of crystal pulling hall in Freiberg (inaugurated in September) and capability enhancement
- Capex 2024 will be reduced by more than half
Conservative Financing Approach
- Existing cash and future operating cash flows
- Customer prepayments
High Capex covered by strong financing base
Net Financial Debt, in EUR mn
Comments
Four financing instruments in place
- Fully drawn
- ESG linked promissory note loan
- Singapore Dollar bilateral loan
- European Investment Bank loan
- Not drawn
- Syndicated loan (term loan and RCF) EUR 380 mn
Net financial assets Dec 31, 2022, turning into net financial debt Sep 30, 2023
- Solid operating cash flow
- Peak invest outflow, mainly for FabNext
- Dividend payment
- Change in net financial position EUR -689 mn
Outlook 2023 and beyond
We are consistently preparing for the next profitable growth phase
Market environment still challenging nevertheless stable pricing and solid profitability
End markets are expected to stagnate in 2023 (before inventory effects)
Growth in demand for wafer area 2023 vs. 2022, in %
Source: Siltronic estimates, ¹ Infrastructure Telecommunications, game consoles, consumer electronics such as televisions, white goods such as refrigerators
Siltronic AG – Q3 2023 Conference Call October 26, 2023 12
Consumption of wafers
Wafer demand in 2023 will be down around 15% due to inventory reductions; soft demand trailing into 2024
Zusammensetzung der Wachstumstreiber für S vs. TAM, Composition of growth drivers for wafer market 2023 vs. 2022, in %
The crystal ball has not cleared yet!
Inventory status:
Memory peaked but still elevated, DRAM and NAND prices stabilizing
Logic close to normal levels
Power increasing, Auto forecast positive has to be watched
Economic and geopolitical uncertainties persist:
- Consumer sentiment in China
- Persistant inflation
- Geopolitical risks
Typical time-lag for wafer industry to turnaround: 6 months
Source: nigel-tadyanehondo/unsplash.com
FabNext first wafers to be produced soon - Freiberg pulling hall inaugurated in September
- First wafers to be produced soon
- Focus on qualifying customers
- High share of LTA, 80% during ramp phase
- Ramp speed for 2024 and 2025 slightly adjusted as communicated in Q2
-
EBITDA-Margin above 50% mid-term with growing impact on Group Margin during ramp
-
Extension of crystal pulling hall inaugurated
- Several hundred million euros invested
- Product mix improvement
Source: Siltronic
Outlook 2023 confirmed and substantiated on the upper range of the bandwidths
FY 2023
Sales 15% 17% below 2022
EBITDA Margin 28% 30%
Depreciation around EUR 200 mn
Capex around EUR 1.3 bn
Net Cash Flow significantly below 2022
Tax Rate around 15%
Based on FX assumption EUR/USD at 1.10
Next highlight: Capital Markets Day in London on November 30, 2023
Venue: Andaz Hotel, 40 Liverpool Street, London Time: Start 9 am until around 3 pm CMT
Main Topics:
- Strategy update and mid-term outlook
- Industry and technology deep-dives
Presenters:
- Dr. Michael Heckmeier, CEO
- Claudia Schmitt, CFO
- Head of Marketing & Sales
- Head of Application Technology
- Head of Marketing & Global Power Business
Further Information:
https://www.siltronic.com/en/investors/capit al-markets-day.html
Contact and Additional Information
Issuer and Contact
Siltronic AG Einsteinstraße 172 D-81677 München
Investor Relations:
Verena Stütze E-mail: [email protected] Tel: +49 89 8564-3133
Additional Information
| WAF300 |
|---|
| WAF |
ISIN: DE000WAF3001 Listing: Frankfurt Stock Exchange Prime Standard
Financial Calendar 2024
- March 12 FY 2023 results May 2 Q1 2024 results
- July 25 Q2 2024 interim results
- October 24 Q3 2024 results
Disclaimer
The information contained in this presentation is for background purposes only and is subject to amendment, revision and updating. Certain statements contained in this presentation may be statements of future expectations, future financial performance and other forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. In addition to statements which are forward-looking by reason of context, including without limitation, statements referring to risk limitations, operational profitability, financial strength, performance targets, profitable growth opportunities and risk adequate pricing, words such as "may", "will", "should", "expects", "plans", "intends", "anticipates", "believes", "estimates", "predicts", "continue", "projects" or "seeks", "potential", "future", or "further" and similar expressions may identify forwardlooking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These include, among other factors, changing business or other market conditions, currency and interest fluctuations, introduction of competitive products, poor acceptance of new products and services, change of the corporate strategy and the prospects for growth anticipated by the management. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Statements contained in this presentation regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. Siltronic AG does not undertake and does not intent to undertake any obligation to update or revise any statements contained in this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. In particular, you should not place any reliance on forwardlooking statements which speak only as of the date of this presentation.
SILTRONIC AG | Einsteinstrasse 172
81677 Munich Germany