Investor Presentation • May 26, 2021
Investor Presentation
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2
Operational update
Financial update
Market
Outlook and summary
* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs. ** EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies.
Highlights Operational update Financial update Market Outlook and summary
The City of Oslo imposed an infrastructure contribution in connection with a Selvaag Bolig project. However, the measure bore no relationship to the development. Selvaag Bolig won its case in the supreme court against the government, represented by the Ministry of Local Government and Modernisation.
DPS of minimum 60 per cent of net annual profit. No
DPS of minimum 40 per cent of net annual profit.
• Increased ownership at Sandsli 360 in Bergen from
50% to 100% (200 apartments in total).
• Cooperation matured and according to plan.
Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures.
Units sold are sales contracts entered into with customers pursuant to the Norwegian Housing Construction Act. In accordance with the IFRS, they are recognised as income on delivery.
Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures.
*Total columns show Selvaag Bolig's gross sales. **Columns excluding dotted areas show Selvaag Bolig's net sales.
Sales value 12 months rolling Units sold 12 months rolling
Units sold are sales contracts entered into with customers pursuant to the Norwegian Housing Construction Act. In accordance with the IFRS, they are recognised as income on delivery.
Units
Note: Number of units are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures.
· Q1 2021: 92% of construction volume in Greater Oslo Area*
· Expected completions for the full year 2021: 867 units
Note: Sales value and number of units are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. * Includes: Oslo, Lørenskog, Follo, Tønsberg, Asker.
Highlights Operational update Financial update Market Outlook and summary
** EPS adjusted for other gains of NOK 11.01.
* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding *Q1 2020 adjusted EBITDA margins of 56.1% excluding other gains of NOK 1 029m. financial expenses included in project costs.
* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is *Q1 2020 adjusted EBITDA margin of 26.0% excluding other gains of NOK 1 029m. excluding financial expenses included in project costs. The difference compared to reported EBITDA is due to interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization in JVs.
13 ** EPS adjusted for other gains of NOK 11.01.
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP). Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies.
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP).
NOK million
** Project margins are exclusive of overhead costs.
NOK million
Note: Amounts < NOK -20m < NOK 20m are excluded from the cash flow overview.
698
92
Net change in borrowings
Cash and cash equivalents at 31 March 2021
| NOK million | ||
|---|---|---|
| · Book value of equity NOK 26.7 per share |
7 000 | |
| - Equity ratio 41.4% |
||
| · Changes from Q4 2020: |
6 000 | Non-current assets |
| - Inventories increased by NOK 232m |
5 000 | |
| - Trade and Other receivables increased by |
4 000 | |
| NOK 19m | 3 000 | Current assets |
| - Cash decreased by NOK 187m |
||
| · Prepayments from customers represents |
2 000 | |
| NOK 276m of other current non-interest | 1 000 | |
| bearing liabilities | 0 | Cash |
· Land value up NOK 99m - Mainly due to consolidation of former JV · Work in progress up NOK 72m - Mainly due to construction starts · Finished goods up NOK 61m - Due to completions not delivered
Note: UP transaction completed in Q12020. Land bank reduction of NOK 657 million booked
NOK million
| Drawn at 31.3.21 |
Interest rate |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| Loan facility | (NOKm) | margin* | |
| 1 | Construction loan facilities from a range of Nordic credit institutions |
1 534 | 1.75% - 2.60% |
| 2 | Land loans Urban Property** | 661 | 3.75%*** |
| 3 | Land loan facilities from a range of Nordic credit institutions |
249 | 2.00% - 2.50% |
| 4 | NOK 150 million revolving credit facility from DNB maturing in 2023 |
0 | 2.90% - 3.40% |
| 5 | NOK 150 million working capital facility from DNB with annual renewal |
0 | 2.10% |
| 6 | NOK 300 million infrastructure facility maturing in 2024 |
0 | 2.70% |
Total Q1 2021 net interest-bearing debt NOK 1 746 million Total Q4 2020 net interest-bearing debt NOK 1 583 million
NOK million
* Margin to 3m NIBOR.
** Repurchase agreements portfolio B.
*** + 2.00% fee at property repurchase.
* Repurchase agreements portfolio B.
* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA.
** Based on equity at the start of the period (attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA).
Q1 2020 Net income excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m
Highlights Operational update Financial update Market Outlook and summary
Sources: Historic data: Statistics Norway (SSB), Forecasted housing completions: SA – Econ Nye Boliger, Forecasted housing need: Prognosesenteret. Note: Number of persons per household in Oslo: 1.90.
Note: Housing demand calculated on parameters such as number of persons per household, lag on housing development, housing demolition. Note: Completions exclusive of student- and senior housing.
* Estimates based on actual start and time of construction.
** Uncertainty due to project lead-time. Expected to increase as new projects come to market through 2021/2022.
Sources: Historic data: Statistics Norway (SSB), Forecasted housing completions: SA – Econ Nye Boliger, Forecasted housing need: Prognosesenteret. Note: Number of persons per household in Oslo: 1.90.
Note: Housing demand calculated on parameters such as number of persons per household, lag on housing development, housing demolition. Note: Completions exclusive of student- and senior housing.
* Estimates based on actual start and time of construction.
** Uncertainty due to project lead-time. Expected to increase as new projects come to market through 2021/2022.
Source: SA - ECON Nye Boliger.
* Adjusted for temporary withdrawals or cancellations during the period.
Source: SA - ECON Nye Boliger.
* Adjusted for temporary withdrawals or cancellations during the period.
Source: Eiendomsverdi.
Source: Eiendomsverdi.
Source: Eiendomsverdi.
Source: Eiendomsverdi.
* Includes Stavanger, Sola, Sandnes, Randaberg.
Source: Eiendom Norge.
* Nominal price change.
** Includes Stavanger, Sola, Sandnes, Randaberg.
Stavanger area**
Source: Statistics Norway.
* Estimated annual growth for the 2020-25 period.
** Number of persons per household in Norway.
• Service offerings and good neighbourliness, make every day living easier
3 000 Pluss units under development
Skårerbyen | Greater Oslo
· Expected sales start: 2021/22
· ~ 600 units total
Highlights Operational update Financial update Market Outlook and summary
· Targeting new areas for future growth
· Record high Q1 sales value
Next event: 2 nd quarter 2021 18 August 2021
* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA.
** Based on equity at the start of the period (attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA).
Q1 2020 Net income excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m Q1 2020 Net income including Other gains of NOK 1 029m
** Includes EPS of NOK 11.02 and DPS of NOK 22 from UP transaction.
Proposed dividend for H2 2020 NOK 3.00 per share.
* Excluding earnings and dividend from UP transaction.
The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 60 per cent of net annual profit, paid in two instalments over the year. However, the size of the dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital adequacy.
The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 40 per cent of net annual profit, paid in two instalments over the year. However, the size of the dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital adequacy.
The company will maintain an equity ratio of minimum 30 per cent.
Source: Oslo Børs.
* All numbers in brackets from previous quarter.
* Further information regarding shareholders is presented at: http://sboasa.no/en.
| Shareholder | # of shares | % share |
|---|---|---|
| SELVAAG AS | 50 180 087 | 53.5% |
| Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB * | 6 231 726 | 6.6% |
| PARETO INVEST AS | 2 731 676 | 2.9% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA | 2 717 700 | 2.9% |
| Morgan Stanley & Co. Int. Plc. * | 2 281 825 | 2.4% |
| JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., London * | 1 950 674 | 2.1% |
| State Street Bank and Trust Comp * | 1 553 061 | 1.7% |
| MUSTAD INDUSTRIER AS | 770 000 | 0.8% |
| J.P. Morgan Bank Luxembourg S.A. * | 749 829 | 0.8% |
| Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB * | 700 000 | 0.7% |
| Landkreditt Utbytte | 650 000 | 0.7% |
| SANDEN AS | 635 000 | 0.7% |
| BANAN II AS | 600 000 | 0.6% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET EIKA SPAR | 578 441 | 0.6% |
| SPARHANS AS | 550 000 | 0.6% |
| Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. * | 521 780 | 0.6% |
| Morgan Stanley & Co. International | 438 610 | 0.5% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET EIKA NORGE | 437 374 | 0.5% |
| Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. * | 427 048 | 0.5% |
| HOLTA INVEST AS | 410 000 | 0.4% |
| Total 20 largest shareholders | 75 114 831 | 80.1% |
| Other shareholders | 18 650 857 | 19.9% |
| Total number of shares | 93 765 688 | 100.0% |
Trondheim 460 units
8 994 units
Trondheim 460 units
Geographical spread
Greater-Oslo 8 994 units
Stavanger 752 units
Bergen 854 units
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 31 March 2021. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. The portfolio has a development potential of ~5 900 residential units.
48
Fee structure:
Eliminates need for equity when purchasing land, as SBO pay 50% of purchasing price at construction start and 50%
Benefits for Selvaag Bolig:
land plots
(break fee)
More efficient and predictable funding of existing and new
Increases competitiveness when making land purchases - Down-side risk for SBO limited to 48 months option premium
Selvaag Bolig sold most of its land bank to Urban Property in January 2020, entering a long-term and strategic partnership. Urban Property is a financially sound, well capitalized and predictable partner.
Residential development value chain: cooperation between Selvaag Bolig and Urban Property
| Lilleakerveien 47 Oslo |
Årstadfältet Stockholm |
|
|---|---|---|
| · Western part of Oslo |
· Söderort transformation district |
|
| · Up to 150 units |
· 120 units |
· Söderort transformation district
· 150 units
Lørenskog 1 976 units Lørenskog Stasjonsby 625 units Skårer bolig 746 units LSV 300 units
Pallplassen 305 units
1 976 units
Oslo South 315 units Gjertsrud Stensrud 315 units
Follo/Østfold 1 471 units Langhus 191 units Solberg 122 units Ski 88 units Grenseveien 340 units Fredrikstad 730 units
Lillestrøm
Bjerke 1 025 units
*The numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures.
*The numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures.
Units
1 491
* Part of SBO land bank not included in the UP transaction.
(Nov 2020)
NOK million
NOK million
Units
| (figures in NOK million) | Q1 2021 | Q1 2020 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues | 567.9 | 209.1 | 2 698.0 |
| Project expenses | (401.2) | (133.9) | (1 967.6) |
| Other operating expenses | (54.7) | (51.6) | (256.8) |
| Associated companies and joint ventures | 6.0 | 86.7 | 135.0 |
| EBITDA | 117.865 | 110.250 | 608.481 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (2.6) | (2.5) | (9.8) |
| Other gains (loss) | - | 1 028.7 | 1 045.1 |
| EBIT | 115.3 | 1 136.4 | 1 643.8 |
| Net financial expenses | (4.0) | 0.1 | 9.7 |
| Profit/(loss) before taxes | 111.3 | 1 136.5 | 1 653.5 |
| Income taxes | (34.7) | (7.5) | (129.9) |
| Net income | 76.6 | 1 129.0 | 1 523.6 |
| (figures in NOK million) | Q1 2021 | Q1 2020 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 383.4 | 383.4 | 383.4 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 7.1 | 5.5 | 7.3 |
| Investments in associated companies and joint ventures | 407.9 | 512.2 | 406.9 |
| Other non-current assets | 255.9 | 249.7 | 228.1 |
| Total non-current assets | 1 054.3 | 1 150.8 | 1 025.7 |
| Inventories (property) | 4 172.4 | 4 053.9 | 3 940.8 |
| - Land | 1 008.0 | 1 062.5 | 909.3 |
| - Land held for sale | |||
| - Work in progress | 2 982.5 | 2 855.1 | 2 911.0 |
| - Finished goods | 182.0 | 136.4 | 120.5 |
| Other current receivables | 137.9 | 126.5 | 119.0 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 697.9 | 771.3 | 885.3 |
| Assets held for sale | - | - | - |
| Total current assets | 5 008.3 | 4 951.8 | 4 945.1 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 6 062.6 | 6 102.5 | 5 970.8 |
| Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA* | 2 502.1 | 2 459.4 | 2 430.0 |
| Non-controlling interests Total equity |
7.8 2 509.9 |
7.9 2 467.2 |
7.8 2 437.8 |
| Non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 1 074.8 | 1 171.5 | 1 100.3 |
| Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities | 279.7 | 148.1 | 136.5 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 1 354.5 | 1 319.6 | 1 236.8 |
| Current interest-bearing liabilities | 1 368.9 | 1 345.8 | 1 368.1 |
| Other current non interest-bearing liabilities | 829.2 | 969.9 | 928.1 |
| Total current liabilities | 2 198.2 | 2 315.7 | 2 296.2 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 6 062.6 | 6 102.5 | 5 970.8 |
* Corresponding to a book value of NOK per share 26.68
| (figures in NOK million) | Q1 2021 | Q1 2020 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operating activities | (87.8) | 1 182.6 | 1 615.7 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | (5.6) | 220.2 | 413.8 |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | (94.0) | (1 810.1) (2 322.9) | |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | (187.4) | (407.3) | (293.4) |
| Cash and cash equivalents at start of period | 885.3 | 1 178.7 | 1 178.7 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of period | 697.9 | 771.3 | 885.3 |
| Q1 20 | Q2 20 | Q3 20 | Q4 20 | Q1 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Units sold | 164 | 142 | 178 | 199 | 248 |
| Construction starts | 15 | 31 | 196 | 254 | 134 |
| Units completed | 89 | 104 | 212 | 286 | 95 |
| Units delivered | 114 | 122 | 212 | 272 | 124 |
| Units under construction | 1 431 | 1 357 | 1 342 | 1 310 | 1 349 |
| Proportion of sold units under construction | 76 % | 78 % | 77 % | 74 % | 82 % |
| Completed unsold units | 37 | 25 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
| Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) | 6 742 | 6 327 | 6 660 | 6 413 | 6 627 |
| Number of employees | 87 | 87 | 85 | 85 | 85 |
Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies.
| Property | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (figures in NOK million) | development | Other | Total |
| Operating revenues | 843.3 | 14.6 | 857.9 |
| Project expenses | (653.1) | (0.1) | (653.2) |
| Other operating expenses | (13.9) | (43.4) | (57.3) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 176.2 | (28.9) | 147.4 |
| Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting. | |||
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 553.3 | 14.6 | 567.9 |
| Project expenses | (401.1) | (0.1) | (401.2) |
| Other operating expenses | (13.9) | (40.8) | (54.7) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies | |||
| and joint ventures Other gain (loss), net |
6.0 - |
- | 6.0 |
| EBITDA | 144.2 | (26.3) | 117.9 |
| Units in production | 1 349 | N/A | N/A |
| Units delivered | 124 | N/A | N/A |
Source: Selvaag Bolig and Eurostat.
Source: OECD, Statista.
Source: Eiendomsverdi.
* Stavanger area includes: Randaberg, Sandnes, Sola, Stavanger.
Share of total population in Oslo and Akershus Share of total population growth in Oslo and Akershus
Source: Statistics Norway.
Homeownership rate among immigrants in Norway (per year living in Norway)
Source: Statistics Norway.
Source: Bloomberg, UN.
* Central bank rates
Source: Monetary Policy Report 1|21, Central Bank of Norway.
Example apply a land ownership period in Urban Property of 3-4 years, and a finance cost of 4% on all capital employed in the project.
| PROJECT CALCULATIONS 1 BEFORE URBAN PROPERTY |
PROJECT CALCULATIONS 2 AFTER URBAN PROPERTY |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figures for illustration purposes only | MNOK | % | MNOK | % |
| Sales revenue | 348.5 | 100.0% | 348.5 | 100.0% |
| Construction cost | 195.8 | 56.2% | 195.8 | 56.2% |
| Land cost | 69.7 | 20.0% | 85.2 | 24.4% |
| Other costs | 24.5 | 7.0% | 24.5 | 7.0% |
| Project cost | 290.0 | 83.2% | 305.5 | 87.7% |
| Net finance (excluding Urban Property) | 16.8 | 4.8% | 5.3 | 1.5% |
| TOTAL REVENUE | 348.5 | 100.0% | 348.5 | 100.0% |
| TOTAL COST | 306.8 | 88.0% | 310.9 | 89.2% |
| PROFIT | 41.7 | 12.0 % | 37.7 | 10.8% |
| Internal rate of return (IRR) | 12.2% | 28.0% | ||
1
2
In total marginal lower project margins, but significantly increased IRR and RoE
* Assuming flat market development.
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