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Selvaag Bolig ASA

Investor Presentation Feb 13, 2019

3741_rns_2019-02-13_4ba896c3-db29-4a69-9cc4-947a4be9e234.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Oslo 13 February 2019 Olav H. Selvaag, acting CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • Operational update
  • Financial update
  • Land bank development
  • Market
  • Summary

Highlights Q4 2018 HIGHLIGHTS

  • Record high deliveries yielding strong quarterly and annual IFRS results
  • Dividend proposal of NOK 2.50 per share for H2'18 - NOK 4.50 for FY 2018
  • External land bank valuation of NOK 3.2bn vs. book value of NOK 1.6bn 0.70 0.65

1.20 2.00 0.80 0.95 1.80 2.50 1.50 1.60 3.00 4.50 3.21 4.35 6.14 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Earnings per share Dividend per share

Key financials HIGHLIGHTS

Q4 2018 Full year 2018

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • Operational update
  • Financial update
  • Land bank development
  • Market
  • Summary

Sales value and units sold

OPERATIONAL UPDATE

NOK million

Units

Total and average sales value Number of units sold per quarter

Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures

Rolling sales value and units sold

OPERATIONAL UPDATE

Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures

Construction starts and completions

OPERATIONAL UPDATE

Units

Construction starts and completions per quarter

Units under construction and completions

OPERATIONAL UPDATE

  • Q4 2018: 66% of units under construction sold by Q4 2018
  • Q4 2018: 79% of construction volume in Oslo Metropolitan Area
  • 70% of 2019 completions sold by Q4 2018

▪ Expected completions for 2019 as of Q4 18: 767 units

Flexibility to optimize value creation

  • Pre-sale condition: 60 % sold within 6-9 moths
  • Sales price adjustments at construction start
  • Sales price adjustment during construction period according to market development
  • Target: Last unit sold at project completion Price adjustments

OPERATIONAL UPDATE

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • Operational update
  • Financial update
  • Land bank development
  • Market
  • Summary

Income statement highlights Q4 2018 (IFRS)

  • 421 units delivered (355)
  • Revenues NOK 1 625m (1 259)
  • Units delivered NOK 1 596m (1 239)
  • Other revenues NOK 29m (20)
  • Project costs NOK 1 127m (983)
  • Of which NOK 42m is interest (28)
  • Other costs NOK 83m (66)
  • Salaries, sales and marketing
  • Adjusted EBITDA NOK 513m (242)
  • Adjusted for financial expenses included in project costs
  • EBITDA NOK 472m (214)
  • EPS in the quarter NOK 3.93 (1.78)

FINANCIAL UPDATE

Note: EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs

Income statement highlights FY 2018 (IFRS)

  • Delivery of 849 units (737)
  • Revenues NOK 3 342m (3 229)
  • EBITDA adjusted 827m (626)
  • Adjusted for financial expenses included in project cost
  • EBITDA NOK 754m (548)
  • Earnings per share full year NOK 6.14 (4.35)

FINANCIAL UPDATE

NOK million

Revenues and adjusted EBITDA margin (IFRS)

Operating revenues Adjusted EBITDA margin

Income statement highlights Q4 2018 (NGAAP)

FINANCIAL UPDATE

* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP) Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies

Cash flow development Q4 2018

  • Cash flow from operations positive at NOK 675m mainly explained by high amount of units delivered
  • Cash flow from investment activities negative at NOK 59m mainly due to investments in associated companies
  • Cash flow from financing activities negative at NOK 381m mainly due to net decrease in loans

Note: Amounts below NOK 15m are excluded from the cash flow overview

CF from investment

Net change in

borrowings

Cash and cash equivalents at 31 December 2018

FINANCIAL UPDATE

Balance sheet highlights Q4 2018

FINANCIAL UPDATE

Balance sheet composition

Book value of equity increased by
NOK million
NOK 4.20 to NOK 33.20 per share 7 000
Equity ratio 48.0%
6 000 Non-current assets
Changes from Q3 2018:
5 000
Inventories decreased by NOK 638m

Trade receivables decreased by NOK 14m
4 000
Cash increased by NOK 235m
3 000 Current assets
Prepayments from customer's accounts
2 000
for NOK 201m of other current non
interest-bearing liabilities
1 000
0 Cash

Assets Equity and Liabilities

Current liabilities

Non-current liabilities

Inventories (property) Q4 2018

FINANCIAL UPDATE

NOK million

  • Land value down NOK 306m
  • Due to construction starts
  • Work in progress down NOK 403m
  • Mainly due to units delivered
  • Finished goods up NOK 70m
  • Due to units completed

Interest-bearing debt as at 31 December 2018

Loan facility Drawn
at
31 Dec. (NOKm)
Interest
rate
margin
1 NOK 500 million revolving credit
facility from DNB maturing in
2022
0 3.40%
2 NOK 150 million working capital
facility from DNB maturing in
2019
0 2.00%
3 Land loan facilities from a range
of Nordic credit institutions
1
356
2.00% -
2.50%
4 Construction loan facilities
from a range of Nordic credit
institutions
960 1.75% -
2.60%

Total Q4 2018 net interest-bearing debt NOK 1 659 million

Total Q3 2018 net interest-bearing debt NOK 2 273 million

Debt structure FINANCIAL UPDATE

NOK million

Return on equity (IFRS)

FINANCIAL UPDATE

12 months rolling net income (IFRS)* and return on equity**

NOK million

* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA

** Based on equity at the start of the period (attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA)

Earnings and dividend per share

  • FY'18 EPS NOK 6.14 (4.35)
  • FY'18 dividend of NOK 4.50
  • H1'18 dividend of NOK 2.00 per share
  • Proposed H2'18 dividend of NOK 2.50 per share 0.70 0.65

1.20 2.00 0.80 0.95 1.80 2.50 3.00 4.50 3.00 3.21 4.35 6.14

Earnings per share Dividend per share

FINANCIAL UPDATE

21

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • Operational update
  • Financial update
  • Land bank development

  • Market

  • Summary

Land bank book value vs. external valuation

LAND BANK DEVELOPMENT

Note: Joint ventures and land options not included in the valuation

Margin development through project stages*

▪ Delivery in accordance with expectations

Delivery to customers

LAND BANK DEVELOPMENT

LAND BANK DEVELOPMENT Project margin development

2 725 2 423 2 631 2 975 29% 30% 28% 28% 26% 26% 26%

* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP)

** Project margins are exclusive of overhead costs

Substantial land bank in Norway's four largest growing urban areas

LAND BANK DEVELOPMENT

  • Acquire the right mix of zoned and unzoned land in suitable locations
  • Land acquisitions in defined core areas
  • High degree of site utilization and strategic land development
  • Substantial land bank to accommodate targets/growth in core areas
  • Good infrastructure and public transport
  • Joint ventures (JVs)

Land bank exposure

Geographical spread

Stockholm 40 units

Land-bank strategy

Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 31 December 2018. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. The portfolio has a development potential of ~5 600 residential units, whereof the company has purchasing obligations for ~5 100 and purchasing options for ~500 units.

LAND BANK DEVELOPMENT Large upcoming projects

Selected upcoming projects in Oslo Metropolitan Area

27

LØRENSKOG STASJONSBY

  • Oslo Metropolitan Area
  • Total 2 000 units
  • ~ 1 500 units remaining • First sales start: 2013

LANDÅS ASKER

• Oslo Metropolitan Area • ~ 1 000 units • Sales start: Q1 2019

SKÅRERBYEN

• Oslo Metropolitan Area • ~ 1 200 units • Sales start: Q4 2018

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • Operational update
  • Financial update
  • Land bank development
  • Market
  • Summary

31

Now 1,3 million people living in Greater Oslo

Source: Statistics Norway

Stable population growth in Greater Oslo…

*Greater Oslo = Oslo and Akershus Source: Statistics Norway (medium alternative)

MARKET

Share of total population in Oslo and Akershus Share of population growth in Oslo and Akershus

MARKET

Increasing share of population growth in Oslo and Akershus

MARKET

Source: Ny Analyse, Oslo kommune, Statistics Norway (SSB), Prognosesenteret (Forecasted housing need)

34 Note: Housing demand calculated on parameters such as number of persons per household, lag on housing development, housing demolition Note: Completions exclusive of student- and senior housing

Note: Number of persons per household in Oslo: 1.90

* Only 800 units zoned for housing in 2018

Number of units completed in Oslo, 2006-2018

Forecasted housing need of 4 500 units per year until 2023 (medium alternative)

Expected completions lower than forecasted housing demand in Oslo

Second-hand market update Oslo

MARKET

Oslo, January* Price change Oslo, January 2014-2019

*Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 6 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge, Ny Analyse and Selvaag Bolig

Newbuild market update

MARKET

Source: Røisland

Status at 12 February 2019

New homes (not built) available for sale

  • Oslo: ~ 1 700 units
  • 55% of total inventory
  • Bergen: ~ 1 100 65% of total inventory
  • Trondheim: ~ 1 050 60% of total inventory
  • Stavanger: ~ 400
  • 39% of total inventory

Source: Finn.no

Second-hand market update other core markets

MARKET

* Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 6 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi and Eiendom Norge

Price increase of 2.8% year to date Price increase of 5.3% year to date Price increase of 3.9% year to date

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • Operational update
  • Financial update
  • Land bank development
  • Market
  • Summary

Summary

▪ Record high deliveries yielding strong quarterly and annual IFRS results

▪ Dividend proposal of NOK 2.50 per share for H2'18 - NOK 4.50 for FY 2018

▪ External land bank valuation of NOK 3.2bn vs. book value of NOK 1.6bn

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Next event: 1 st quarter 2019 15 May 2019

Appendix

Peers

Housing types Selvaag Bolig: flats, semi-detached and terraced homes Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig

Selvaag Bolig's ambition is to pay high and stable dividends to its owners.

The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 40 per cent of net annual profit, paid in two instalments over the year. However, the size of the dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital adequacy.

The company will maintain an equity ratio of minimum 30 per cent

Dividend policy APPENDIX

Earnings and dividend per share since IPO

APPENDIX

Accumulated dividend per share since IPO in June 2012

Share performance since IPO in June 2012 APPENDIX

Source: Oslo Børs

Largest shareholders at 31 December 2018

APPENDIX

* Further information regarding shareholders is presented at: http://sboasa.no/en

** The shares were purchased for the company's share programmes for employees

Shareholder # of shares % share
SELVAAG GRUPPEN AS 50 180 087 53.5%
LANDSFORSAKRINGAR FASTIGHETSFOND 5 653 788 6.0%
Morgan Stanley & Co. Int. Plc. *) 2 744 671 2.9%
PARETO INVEST AS 2 065 624 2.2%
SEB PRIME SOLUTIONS SISSENER CANOP 1 600 000 1.7%
VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT 1 596 366 1.7%
State Street Bank and Trust Comp *) 1 006 629 1.1%
JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., London *) 966 761 1.0%
FLPS - GL S-M SUB 940 800 1.0%
HOLBERG NORGE 936 553 1.0%
HOLTA INVEST AS 846 619 0.9%
SELVAAG BOLIG ASA **) 837 068 0.9%
Baard Schumann 777 127 0.8%
J.P. Morgan Bank Luxembourg S.A. *) 774 862 0.8%
BANAN II AS 600 000 0.6%
State Street Bank and Trust Comp *) 590 520 0.6%
STOREBRAND NORGE I VERDIPAPIRFOND 581 069 0.6%
Morgan Stanley & Co. International 579 538 0.6%
SPARHANS AS 476 221 0.5%
GEMSCO AS 460 400 0.5%
Total 20 largest shareholders 74 214 703 79.1%
Other shareholders 19 550 985 20.9%
Total number of shares 93 765 688 100.0%

Land bank in Oslo Metropolitan Area

Land bank in Stavanger area APPENDIX

Land bank in Bergen, Trondheim and Stockholm APPENDIX

Efficient and flexible value chain

▪ Target 100% sale at delivery

Delivery to customers

Margin development through project stages*

▪ Delivery in accordance with expectations

Delivery to customers

Norwegian housing market

  • Low risk for housebuilders
  • Advance sales: banks require that 50-70% of homes are sold before construction starts
  • Binding offers: offer to purchase is a binding sales contract, and requires a minimum 10% cash deposit
  • High level of home ownership
  • 85% (one of the world's highest)
  • Economic benefits for home owners
  • 23% of mortgage loan interest payments are tax deductible
  • Transfer stamp duty for new houses is lower than for second-hand homes
  • Strong population growth
  • Norway's urban areas are among the fastest growing in Europe
  • Good demand for new homes

Low-risk business model

Risk profile at start of a MNOK 550 project De-risking in key stages of projects

  • Selvaag's equity investment in a project and project margin bring the remaining project cost down to 74%-78%
  • With minimum 60% pre-sale there is limited remaining project risk. For the the remaining 40% a price reduction of 35% would recover equity
  • 74% of units in production are sold at end Q3'18

▪ Purchase and payment of land takes place after zoning plan approval. If this is not obtained, the purchase is cancelled

▪ SBO is in charge of the zoning process

▪ Purchase price is decided by a land appraisal made by three external consultants at the time of zoning approval

▪ The median valuation is used as purchase price

▪ Pre-sales of minimum 60% secures the majority of revenue before construction

▪ 10% of purchase price paid by the buyer at point of sale, and proof of financing for the remaining amount is required

▪ Construction contracts with solid counterparties are made with fixed price

▪ Project costs are secured before construction starts

Low-risk business model creates healthy profits

APPENDIX

Competitive housing offering, targeting growth regions

Efficient and flexible cost structure

Capital-efficient business model backed by strong balance sheet

Large, actively-managed land bank

  • Presence in fast-growing urban regions with high demand and large market depth ▪ Competitive prices, addressing large customer base
  • Defined housing concepts, aimed at wide range of consumers
  • Value appreciation through refinement of land for housing development
  • Flexibility to develop thousands of homes in growing urban regions
  • Active asset management
  • No in-house construction arm; improves flexibility and cost optimisation
  • Project-based business model improves flexibility and reduces risk
  • Economies of scale through large projects
  • Lean organisation reduces overhead
  • 60% pre-sale before construction start lowers project financing need and inventory risk
  • Sound debt structure and financial flexibility

Strategy Value drivers

Income statement IFRS

APPENDIX

(figures in NOK million) Q4 2018 Q4 2017 2018 2017
Total operating revenues 1 624.7 1 258.8 3 342.1 3 228.8
Project expenses (1 127.4) (982.9) (2 421.6) (2 432.8)
Other operating expenses (82.1) (65.1) (268.1) (234.7)
Associated companies and joint ventures 56.8 3.7 101.8 (13.6)
EBITDA 471.992 214.486 754.187 547.737
Depreciation and amortisation (0.9) (1.0) (3.7) (4.1)
EBIT 471.1 213.5 750.5 543.7
Net financial expenses (2.1) (2.6) (18.0) (39.9)
Profit/(loss) before taxes 469.0 210.9 732.5 503.8
Income taxes (105.7) (48.7) (165.6) (102.7)
Net income 363.2 162.2 566.8 401.1

Net income for the period attributable to:

Non-controlling interests (0.0) (0.0) (0.1) 0.1
Shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA 363.3 162.2 566.9 401.0

Cash flow statement APPENDIX

(figures in NOK million) Q4 2018 Q4 2017 2018 2017
Net cash flow from operating activities 675.1 506.3 427.0 303.2
Net cash flow from investment activities (59.2) 29.6 20.6 (114.1)
Net cash flow from financing activities (381.0) (289.5) (276.1) (589.8)
Net change in cash and cash equivalents 234.9 246.4 171.5 (400.6)
Cash and cash equivalents at start of period 422.1 239.1 485.6 886.2
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period 657.0 485.6 657.0 485.6

Balance sheet

* Corresponding to a book value of NOK 33.1 per share

(figures in NOK million) Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q3 2017
Intangible assets 383.4 383.4 383.4
Property, plant and equipment 8.6 9.4 8.5
Investments in associated companies and joint ventures 415.3 305.2 307.6
Other non-current assets 445.4 348.3 372.1
Total non-current assets 1 252.6 1 046.3 1 071.5
Inventories (property) 4 306.3 4 944.8 4 778.8
- Land 1 600.3 1 905.9 1 682.4
- Work in progress 2 539.8 2 942.4 2 866.5
- Finished goods 166.2 96.5 229.9
Other current receivables 275.2 257.6 247.9
Cash and cash equivalents 657.0 422.1 239.1
Total current assets 5 238.5 5 624.5 5 265.8
TOTAL ASSETS 6 491.1 6 670.8 6 337.4
Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA 3 106.8 2 722.3 2 679.2
Non-controlling interests 9.4 9.3 9.4
Total equity 3 116.1 2 731.7 2 688.7
Non-current interest-bearing liabilities 1 795.8 1 897.1 1 923.0
Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities 148.2 147.2 167.5
Total non-current liabilities 1 944.0 2 044.3 2 090.4
Current interest-bearing liabilities 520.5 797.9 573.7
Other current non interest-bearing liabilities 910.4 1 097.0 984.6
Total current liabilities 1 430.9 1 894.9 1 558.3
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 6 491.1 6 670.8 6 337.4

Substantial portfolio for development APPENDIX

Total land bank portfolio at 31 December 2018

Units

Operational highlights – key operating figures

Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18
Number of units sold 168 185 181 182 148
Number of construction starts 217 102 234 102 402
Number of units completed 336 54 242 117 441
Number of units delivered 355 59 243 126 421
Number of units under construction 1 463 1 511 1 503 1 488 1 449
Proportion of sold units under construction 73 % 73 % 72 % 74 % 66 %
Number of completed unsold units 23 19 18 12 26
Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) 6 994 7 032 7 076 6 908 6 712
Number of employees 100 100 95 91 91

EBITDA Q4 2018 APPENDIX

Property
(figures in NOK million) development Other Total
Operating revenues 1 018.4 14.4 1 032.8
Project expenses (754.9) (0.3) (755.2)
Other operating expenses (23.3) (58.7) (82.1)
EBITDA (percentage of completion) 240.1 (44.6) 195.5
Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting.
IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment
Operating revenues 1 610.2 14.4 1 624.7
Project expenses (1 127.0) (0.3) (1 127.4)
Other operating expenses (23.3) (58.7) (82.1)
Share of income (losses) from associated companies
and joint ventures 56.8 - 56.8
EBITDA 516.6 (44.6) 472.0
Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated
companies

EBITDA FY 2018 APPENDIX

Property
(figures in NOK million) development Other Total
Operating revenues 2 928.7 46.1 2 974.8
Project expenses (2 093.6) (0.7) (2 094.3)
Other operating expenses (64.4) (203.7) (268.1)
EBITDA (percentage of completion) 770.7 (158.3) 612.4
Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting.
IFRS EBITDA full year per segment
Operating revenues 3 296.0 46.1 3 342.1
Project expenses (2 421.0) (0.7) (2 421.6)
Other operating expenses (64.4) (203.7) (268.1)
Share of income (losses) from associated companies
and joint ventures 101.8 - 101.8
EBITDA 912.5 (158.3) 754.2
Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated
companies

Share of sales from joint ventures

APPENDIX

Sales value of units sold

Sales value of sold units (net) Sales value of sold units (gross)

Share of sales from joint ventures

APPENDIX

Number of units sold

Untis sold net Units sold gross

Immigration increases demand over time APPENDIX

of years in Norway

Homeownership rate among immigrants in Norway (per year living in Norway)

Norway – robust economic conditions

Population growth 2015 - 2030e and 2040e Interest rates 2010 - 2018e

GDP growth 2010 - 2019e Unemployment 2010 - 2019e 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018e 2019e Norway Sweden Germany UK France -1.0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018e Norway Sweden EU UK

Low share of income spent on housing in Norway APPENDIX

Total household debt and homeownership APPENDIX

Household debt in % of net disposable income (2015) Homeownership rate (2016)

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