Earnings Release • May 22, 2017
Earnings Release
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Oslo 22 May 2017 Baard Schumann, CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO
HIGHLIGHTS
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership in joint ventures
Units
Note: Sales values are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership in joint ventures *Total columns include Selvaag Bolig's gross sales
**Total columns minus dotted areas includes Selvaag Bolig's net sales
Tiedemannsfabrikken, Oslo
Units
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership share in joint ventures.
Sales value, units under construction
Expected completions for 2017 as of Q1 17: 690 units
Units 210 81
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP)
NOK million
Note: Numbers under NOK 5m are excluded from the cash flow overview
NOK million
Assets Equity and Liabilities
| | Book value increased by NOK 0.5 to | Balance sheet composition | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOK 29.2 per share | |||
| NOK million | |||
| Equity ratio 43.0% |
7 000 | ||
| | Changes from Q4 2016: | 6 000 | Non-current assets |
| Inventories increased by NOK 468m and cash decreased by NOK 512m mainly due |
5 000 | ||
| to land acquisitions and construction activity |
4 000 | ||
| Current liabilities increased mainly due to |
3 000 | Current assets | |
| exercise of call option for early redemption of NOK 500m bond |
2 000 | ||
| | Prepayments from customers accounts | 1 000 | |
| for NOK 528m of other current non | 0 | Cash | |
| interest-bearing liabilities |
Land (undeveloped) Work in progress Finished projects
FINANCIAL UPDATE
| Drawn per 31 Mar. (NOKm) |
Interest rate margin |
|---|---|
| 500 | 4.75% |
| 0 | 2.00% |
| 0 | 2.00% |
| 844 | 2.00% - 2.50% |
| 1 300 | 1.75% - 2.70% |
Total Q4 2016 net interesting bearing debt NOK 1 687 million
Note: Top-up loan of NOK 500m in the table differs form the summed up top up loan in the pie chart (NOK 498m). The difference is due to NOK -2m in amortized cost which is not actual debt. 1Selvaag Bolig has elected to exercise its call option for early redemption in full of its NOK 500 million senior unsecured callable bond, maturing on 27 June 2018, at 102% of par value. The early redemption of the bond will occur on 27 June 2017.
NOK million
* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA
** Based on equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA
The new regulation applies until 30 June 2018 Source: Ministry of Finance, Norway
Instalment required for loans exceeding 60% of housing value
Challenging in Oslo due to high housing prices
Continued price pressure in regions around Oslo where house prices are lower and purchase power is high
60% loan cap has had little or no effect in Oslo
Source: Statistics Norway, NRK
Source: OECD, Prognosesenteret
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Units available for sale (30.04): ~1 200
*April 2017 numbers include Easter (Easter 2016 in March)
Source: Eiendomsverdi
24
NOK 56 200 per m2
Jun. 2016
NOK 59 100 per m2
Aug. 2016
NOK 62 400 per m2
Total: 430-500 units | 1-4 rooms | 35-119 m2
Time from acquisition to sales start: 11 months
Apr. 2017
NOK 74 400 per m2
Source: Oslo kommune, Statistics Norway (SSB)
Average of ~2 800 units completed from 2001-2016
Annual housing demand of >5 000 units until 2025 (Statistics Norway
Low demand alternative: 5 000 units
Medium demand alternative: 6 600 units
2016 population in Oslo: 658 400
In 1999 Statistics Norway forecasted a 2016 population of 542 000
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Second hand (Stavanger only) – average Sales price: NOK 38 661 per m2 Apr. 16: NOK 35 839 per m2 Turnover time: 40 days Price increase April: 0.1% Price decrease last 12 months: 1.2% Units available for sale (30.04): ~550 30.04.16: ~1 500
New homes (not built)
Units available for sale (30.04): ~290
Second hand market: Stavanger, Sola, Randaberg and Sandnes New homes market: Stavanger
*April 2017 numbers include Easter (Easter 2016 in March)
27
Total: 61 units | 1-3 bedrooms | 50-120 m2 15 of 61 units sold per 19 May 2017
Lervig Brygge vest Sales start 10 May 2017
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Second hand – average
New homes (not built)
Units available for sale (30.04): ~825
*April 2017 numbers include Easter (Easter 2016 in March)
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Second hand – average
New homes (not built)
Units available for sale (30.04): ~625
*April 2017 numbers include Easter (Easter 2016 in March)
30
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 31. March 2017. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. These have a development potential of ~5 600 residential units, whereof the company has purchasing obligations for ~5 100 and purchasing options for ~500 units
Kaldnes Brygge, Tønsberg
SHARE INFORMATION
| 5.6% |
|---|
| 3.0% |
| 2.7% |
| 2.2% |
| $1.7\%$ |
| 1.3% |
| $1.3\%$ |
| 1.3% |
| 1.1% |
| $1.1\%$ |
| 1.0% |
| $0.9\%$ |
| $0.8\%$ |
| $0.8\%$ |
| 0.7% |
| $0.7\%$ |
| $0.6\%$ |
| $0.6\%$ |
| $0.5\%$ |
| $\pmb{81.5\%}$ |
| 18.5% |
| 00.0% |
| Shareholder | # of shares | % share |
|---|---|---|
| SELVAAG GRUPPEN AS | 50 180 087 | 53.5% |
| SKANDINAVISKA ENSKILDA BANKEN AB *) | 5 268 003 | 5.6% |
| MORGAN STANLEY & CO. INT. PLC. *) | 2 774 433 | 3.0% |
| FLPS - ALL SECTOR SUB |
2 577 000 | 2.7% |
| PARETO AS | 2 065 624 | 2.2% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT | 1 596 000 | 1.7% |
| HOLBERG NORGE | 1 243 439 | 1.3% |
| SELVAAG BOLIG ASA **) | 1 232 989 | 1.3% |
| HOLTA INVEST AS | 1 200 000 | 1.3% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA | 1 061 201 | 1.1% |
| REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHI | 1 045 000 | 1.1% |
| EVERMORE GLOBAL VALUE FUND | 892 805 | 1.0% |
| JPMORGAN CHASE BANK, N.A., LONDON *) | 862 364 | 0.9% |
| MP PENSJON PK | 762 872 | 0.8% |
| SEB PRIME SOLUTIONS SISSENER CANOP | 760 000 | 0.8% |
| STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST COMP *) | 681 053 | 0.7% |
| STOREBRAND NORGE I VERDIPAPIRFOND | 638 778 | 0.7% |
| BANAN II AS | 555 190 | 0.6% |
| JPMORGAN CHASE BANK, N.A., LONDON *) | 534 073 | 0.6% |
| J.P. MORGAN SECURITIES LLC *) | 502 403 | 0.5% |
| Total 20 largest shareholders | 76 433 314 | 81.5% |
| Other shareholders | 17 332 374 | 18.5% |
| Total number of shares | 93 765 688 | 100.0% |
*) Updated shareholder list and further information regarding nominee accounts is presented at: http://sboasa.no/en/Aksjeinformasjon/Aksjonarer.aspx **) The shares were purchased for the company's share programmes for employees
| Dividend per share | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dividend policy | NOK | ||
| Up to 50 percent of net profit |
2.00 | |||
| Dividend pay-out twice a year from H1 2015 |
1.75 | |||
| | FY'16 EPS NOK 3.21 |
1.50 | ||
| 1.25 | ||||
| | FY'16 dividend of NOK 1.60 per share | 1.00 | ||
| 50% of EPS |
0.75 0.50 |
0.50 | ||
| 1H'16 dividend of NOK 0.65 per share |
0.25 | 0.00 | ||
| distributed | 0.00 | |||
| 2H'16 dividend of NOK 0.95 per share distributed |
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
*The numbers are not adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
Construction costs financed
Target 100% sale at delivery
Selvaag Bolig ASA is a Norwegian residential property developer with no in-house construction arm, which controls the entire value chain from the acquisition of land to the sale of homes.
Purchase and payment of land takes place after zoning plan approval. If this is not obtained, the purchase is cancelled
SBO is in charge of the zoning process
Purchase price is decided by a land appraisal made by three external consultants at the time of zoning approval
The median valuation is used as purchase price
Pre-sales of minimum 60% secures the majority of revenue before construction
10% of purchase price paid by the buyer at point of sale, and proof of financing for the remaining amount is required
Construction contracts with solid counterparties are made with fixed price
Project costs are secured before construction starts
86% of units in production are sold at end Q1'17
| (figures in NOK million) | Q1 2017 | Q1 2016 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues | 456.1 | 623.5 | 3 000.3 |
| Project expenses | (312.0) | (501.1) | (2 379.7) |
| Other operating expenses | (58.0) | (52.0) | (231.2) |
| Other gains (loss) | - | - | 31.7 |
| Associated companies and joint ventures | (4.2) | (1.3) | (7.1) |
| EBITDA | 81.8 | 69.1 | 414.0 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (1.1) | (6.2) | (20.1) |
| EBIT | 80.7 | 62.9 | 393.9 |
| Net financial expenses | (9.2) | (6.9) | (29.3) |
| Profit/(loss) before taxes | 71.4 | 56.0 | 364.6 |
| Income taxes | 4.8 | (14.2) | (63.7) |
| Net income | 76.2 | 41.8 | 300.9 |
| Net income for the period attributable to: | |||
| Non-controlling interests | 0.2 | 0.0 | (0.3) |
| Shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA |
76.1 | 41.8 | 301.2 |
| 2016 | Q1 2016 |
|---|---|
| 440.3 | 118.6 |
| (14.8) | (3.0) |
| (211.5) | (180.2) |
| 213.9 672.3 886.2 |
(64.5) 672.3 607.7 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Q1 2017 | Q1 2016 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operating activities | (579.2) | 118.6 | 440.3 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | (25.8) | (3.0) | (14.8) |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | 93.3 | (180.2) | (211.5) |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at start of period Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
(511.7) 886.2 374.5 |
(64.5) 672.3 607.7 |
213.9 672.3 886.2 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Q1 2017 | Q1 2016 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 383.4 | 392.6 | 383.4 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 9.9 | 19.1 | 10.9 |
| Investments in associated companies and joint ventures | 285.6 | 180.4 | 289.8 |
| Other non-current assets | 288.8 | 120.3 | 261.1 |
| Total non-current assets | 967.7 | 712.3 | 945.1 |
| Inventories (property) | 4 751.5 | 4 642.8 | 4 284.0 |
| - Land |
1 685.7 | 1 653.3 | 1 437.3 |
| - Work in progress |
2 816.3 | 2 630.3 | 2 579.7 |
| - Finished goods |
249.5 | 359.3 | 267.1 |
| Other current receivables | 303.0 | 140.8 | 293.3 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 374.5 | 607.7 | 886.2 |
| Total current assets | 5 429.0 | 5 391.3 | 5 463.5 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 6 396.7 | 6 103.7 | 6 408.7 |
| Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA | 2 741.1 | 2 584.6 | 2 689.9 |
| Non-controlling interests | 9.5 | 9.6 | 9.3 |
| Total equity | 2 750.6 | 2 594.2 | 2 699.2 |
| Non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 1 795.7 | 1 478.3 | 2 038.7 |
| Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities | 167.2 | 260.3 | 167.1 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 1 962.9 | 1 738.6 | 2 205.8 |
| Current interest-bearing liabilities | 845.9 | 970.3 | 534.7 |
| Other current non interest-bearing liabilities | 837.3 | 800.6 | 969.1 |
| Total current liabilities | 1 683.2 | 1 770.8 | 1 503.7 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 6 396.7 | 6 103.7 | 6 408.7 |
Units
Construction starts, scheduled completion and expected revenue
Quarterly, expected revenues (IFRS) in NOK million
| Q1 16 | Q2 16 | Q3 16 | Q4 16 | Q1 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of units sold | 280 | 326 | 277 | 161 | 190 |
| Number of construction starts | 230 | 253 | 223 | 196 | 186 |
| Number of units completed | 183 | 295 | 103 | 255 | 63 |
| Number of units delivered | 179 | 307 | 129 | 254 | 85 |
| Number of units under construction | 1 386 | 1 344 | 1 464 | 1 356 | 1 479 |
| Proportion of sold units under construction | 80% | 83% | 90% | 85% | 86% |
| Number of completed unsold units | 58 | 54 | 48 | 43 | 32 |
| Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) | 5 031 | 5 075 | 5 775 | 5 709 | 6 340 |
| Number of employees | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| (37.5) | 81.8 |
|---|---|
| (4.2) | |
| (44.9) | (58.0) |
| (0.4) | (312.0) |
| 7.8 | 456.1 |
| Other | Total |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development Other |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | ||||
| Operating revenues | 448.2 | 7.8 | 456.1 | |
| Project expenses | (311.6) | (0.4) | (312.0) | |
| Other operating expenses |
(13.1) | (44.9) | (58.0) | |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies and joint ventures | (4.2) | - | (4.2) | |
| Other gain (loss), net |
- | - | - | |
| EBITDA | 119.3 | (37.5) | 81.8 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 809.7 | 7.8 | 817.5 |
| Project expenses | (556.5) | (0.4) | (556.9) |
| Other operating expenses | (13.1) | (44.9) | (58.0) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 240.1 | (37.5) | 202.6 |
Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting.
Source: Plansamarbeidet Oslo-Akershus, Selvaag Bolig Note: The numbers are not adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
Source: Ny Analyse, Global Property Guide, Eiendom Norge, Svensk Mäklarstatistik, OECD Selected European cities
Source: Statistics Norway Greater Oslo municipalities include: Ski, Ås, Oppegård, Bærum, Asker, Lørenskog, Skedsmo, Ullensaker
Source: IMF, Statistics Norway, Statistics Sweden, Statistics France, Statistics Germany, Statistics UK, Eurostat
of disposable income
Source: 1993- 2013 Eff, Pöyry. 2014-2015 NyAnalyse. Interest payments on new home loans with the home as collateral is considered
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