Earnings Release • May 19, 2016
Earnings Release
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Oslo 19 May 2016 Baard Schumann, CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO
HIGHLIGHTS
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership in joint ventures. * Includes 95 student residences with an average value of NOK 0.7 million (dotted area)
Expected revenue NOK 891 million
Expected completions for 2016 as of Q1 16: 805 units Expected completions for 2016 as of Q4 15: 754 units 183 (Q1 16), 280 (Q2 16), 118 (Q3 16), 173 (Q4 16)
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP)
827 858 826 718 815 17% 15% 15% 15% 16% Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Operating revenues EBITDA margin
FINANCIAL UPDATE
| | Book value NOK 27.6 per share | NOKm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOK 27.1 per share at YE 2015 |
7 000 | ||
| Equity ratio 42.5%, up from 39.8% in Q1 2015 |
6 000 | Non-current assets Non-current assets Non |
|
| | Changes from Q4 2015: | 5 000 | Non-current assets |
| Inventories decreased by NOK 73m |
4 000 | ||
| Trade receivables decreased by NOK 16m |
3 000 | Current assets Current assets Current assets |
|
| Cash decreased by NOK 65m |
2 000 | ||
| | Prepayments from customers account | 1 000 | |
| for NOK 309m of other current non | 0 | Cash Cash Cash |
|
| interest-bearing liabilities |
Sound debt structure FINANCIAL UPDATE
| Drawn per 31 March (NOKm) |
Interest rate margin |
|---|---|
| 500 | 4.75% |
| 0 | 2.00% |
| 0 | 2.00% |
| 1 027 | 2.00% - 2.65% |
| 927 | 1.90% - 2.95% |
Total Q4 2015 net interesting bearing debt NOK 1 946 million
Note: Top-up loan of NOK 500m in the table differs form the summed up top up loan in the pie chart (NOK 495m). The difference is due to NOK -5m in amortized cost which is not actual debt.
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Price increase last 12 months:
18
Total: 403 units | 2-4 rooms | 41-127 m2 237 of 316 units sold per 17 May 2016
Time from acquisition to sales start: 9 months
NOK 195m acquisition January '14 Sales start Oct. '14
Total: ~380-400 units | 2-4 rooms | ~40-100 m2 Sales start phase 1 April 2016: 158 units
Tiedemannsbyen (JV) – Oslo
Total: ~375 units | 2-4 rooms | ~40-100 m2 Sales start phase 1 October 2015: 49 units Sales start phase 2 May 2016: 64 units
Time from acquisition to sales start: 8 months
NOK 220m acquisition in Feb. '15 Sales start Oct. '15
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
NEW HOMES (NOT BUILT)
Units available for sale: ~600
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Price decrease last 12 months:
NEW HOMES (NOT BUILT)
Units available for sale: ~700
Second hand market: Stavanger, Sola, Randaberg and Sandnes New homes market: Stavanger
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Sales activity vs. peers last 4 quarters
Housing types Selvaag Bolig: flats, semi-detached and terraced homes
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Heimdal Stasjonsby, Trondheim
31
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 31. March 2016. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. These have a development potential of ~4 400 residential units, whereof the company has purchasing obligations for ~3 800 and purchasing options for ~600 units
Construction costs financed
Target 100% sale at delivery
Selvaag Bolig ASA is a Norwegian residential property developer with no in-house construction arm, which controls the entire value chain from the acquisition of land to the sale of homes.
Purchase and payment of land takes place after zoning plan approval. If this is not obtained, the purchase is cancelled
SBO is in charge of the zoning process
Purchase price is decided by a land appraisal made by three external consultants at the time of zoning approval
The median valuation is used as purchase price
Pre-sales of minimum 60% secures the majority of revenue before construction
10% of purchase price paid by the buyer at point of sale, and proof of financing for the remaining amount is required
Construction contracts with solid counterparties are made with fixed price
Project costs are secured before construction starts
80% of units in production are sold at end Q1'16
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
| 2016 | Q1 2015 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|
| 523.5 | 755.6 | 3 2 4 6 .0 |
| 01.1) | (609.5) | (2,608.5) |
| 52.0 | (54.4) | (217.4) |
| (1.3) | 6.9 | 8.3 |
| 69.1 | 98.6 | 428.4 |
| (6.2) | (5.8) | (24.1) |
| 62.9 | 92.8 | 404.3 |
| (6.9) | (8.0) | (33.1) |
| 56.0 | 84.9 | 371.2 |
| 14.2) | (23.0) | (91.8) |
| 41.8 | 61.9 | 279.4 |
| 0.0 | (0.0) | (1.8) |
| 40.6 | 61.9 | 284.2 |
| (figures in NOK million) | Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues | 623.5 | 755.6 | 3 246.0 |
| Project expenses | (501.1) | (609.5) | (2 608.5) |
| Other operating expenses | (52.0) | (54.4) | (217.4) |
| Other gains (loss) | - | - | - |
| Associated companies and joint ventures | (1.3) | 6.9 | 8.3 |
| EBITDA | 69.1 | 98.6 | 428.4 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (6.2) | (5.8) | (24.1) |
| EBIT | 62.9 | 92.8 | 404.3 |
| Net financial expenses | (6.9) | (8.0) | (33.1) |
| Profit/(loss) before taxes | 56.0 | 84.9 | 371.2 |
| Income taxes | (14.2) | (23.0) | (91.8) |
| Net income | 41.8 | 61.9 | 279.4 |
| Net income for the period attributable to: | |||
| Non-controlling interests | 0.0 | (0.0) | (1.8) |
| Shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA | 40.6 | 61.9 | 284.2 |
| 2015 | Q1 2015 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|
| 465.9 | 97.7 | 118.6 |
| (15.5) | (37.7) | (3.0) |
| (344.1) | 37.4 | 80.2 |
| 106.4 | 97.3 | 64.5 |
| 565.9 | 565.9 | 572.3 |
| 672.3 | 663.3 | 507.7 |
| (figures in NOK million) | Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 118.6 | 97.7 | 465.9 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | (3.0) | (37.7) | (15.5) |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | (180.2) | 37.4 | (344.1) |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at start of period Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
(64.5) 672.3 607.7 |
97.3 565.9 663.3 |
106.4 565.9 672.3 |
| (figures in NOK million) | Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 392.6 | 411.0 | 397.2 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 19.1 | 17.3 | 20.3 |
| Investments in associated companies and joint ventures | 180.4 | 200.2 | 183.4 |
| Other non-current assets | 120.3 | 123.0 | 114.6 |
| Total non-current assets | 712.3 | 751.5 | 715.5 |
| Inventories (property) | 4 642.8 | 4 563.1 | 4 715.4 |
| - Land |
1 653.3 | 1 845.1 | 1 968.8 |
| - Work in progress |
2 630.3 | 2 358.8 | 2 368.5 |
| - Finished goods |
359.3 | 359.2 | 378.1 |
| Other current receivables | 140.8 | 350.3 | 147.9 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 607.7 | 663.3 | 672.3 |
| Total current assets | 5 391.3 | 5 576.7 | 5 535.5 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 6 103.7 | 6 328.2 | 6 251.1 |
| Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA |
2 584.6 | 2 504.5 | 2 539.6 |
| Non-controlling interests | 9.6 | 14.7 | 9.6 |
| Total equity | 2 594.2 | 2 519.2 | 2 549.2 |
| Non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 1 478.3 | 1 685.6 | 1 846.7 |
| Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities | 260.3 | 308.3 | 262.2 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 1 738.6 | 1 993.9 | 2 108.9 |
| Current interest-bearing liabilities | 970.3 | 1 075.4 | 771.3 |
| Other current non interest-bearing liabilities | 800.6 | 739.7 | 821.7 |
| Total current liabilities | 1 770.8 | 1 815.1 | 1 593.0 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 6 103.7 | 6 328.2 | 6 251.1 |
* Corresponding to a book value of NOK 27.6 per share
Units
Land purchases in core markets only
Bergen and Trondheim key markets
Construction starts, scheduled completion and expected revenue
Quarterly, expected revenues (IFRS) in NOK million
| Lørenskog Stasjonsby (Modular) |
28 apartments | NOK 108m |
|---|---|---|
| Frøyatun (Modular) |
22 terraced | NOK 87m |
| Moss (Onsite) |
33 apartments | NOK 95m NOK 197m |
| Kilenkollen (Onsite) |
99 apartments | NOK 399m |
| Løren Stasjon (Onsite) |
48 apartments | NOK 202m |
| Q1 16 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280 | ||||
| 230 | ||||
| 183 | ||||
| 179 | ||||
| 1 386 | ||||
| 80% | ||||
| 58 | ||||
| 4 968 | 4 909 | 5 077 |
4 740 | 5 031 |
| 99 | 99 | 99 | 99 | 100 |
| Q1 15 308 284 208 224 1 384 81% 40 |
Q2 15 210 199 190 232 1 394 80% 31 |
Q3 15 208 204 172 202 1 426 78% 25 |
Q4 15 209 171 258 235 1 339 79% 65 |
| (32.7) | 69.1 |
|---|---|
| (1.3) | |
| (37.7) | (52.0) |
| (1.1) | (501.1) |
| 6.0 | 623.5 |
| Other | Total |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 617.5 | 6.0 | 623.5 |
| Project expenses | (500.0) | (1.1) | (501.1) |
| Other operating expenses | (14.4) | (37.7) | (52.0) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies and joint ventures | (1.3) | - | (1.3) |
| Other gain (loss), net |
- | - | - |
| EBITDA | 101.8 | (32.7) | 69.1 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 809.1 | 6.0 | 815.1 |
| Project expenses | (630.4) | (1.1) | (631.5) |
| Other operating expenses | (14.4) | (37.7) | (52.0) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 164.3 | (32.7) | 131.6 |
Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting.
NOKm
Source: IMF, Statistics Norway, Statistics Sweden, Statistics France, Statistics Germany, Statistics UK, Eurostat
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