Earnings Release • Nov 10, 2016
Earnings Release
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Oslo 10 November 2016 Baard Schumann, CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO
Eyvind Lyckes vei 10, Bærum
HIGHLIGHTS
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership in joint ventures. * Includes 95 student residences with an average value of NOK 0.7 million (dotted area)
Units
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership share in joint ventures.
Sales value, units under construction
Expected completions for 2016 as of Q3 16: 836 units Expected completions for 2016 as of Q2 16: 836 units 183 (Q1 16), 295 (Q2 16), 103 (Q3 16), 255 (Q4 16) 98% of 2016 completions sold by Q3 2016
129 units delivered (202) Revenues NOK 387m (778) Units delivered NOK 365m (763) Other revenues NOK 23m, mainly lease income Project costs NOK 283m (624) Of which NOK 9m are interests Other costs NOK 61m (59) Salaries, sales and marketing key components Adjusted EBITDA NOK 92m (134) Adjusted for financial expenses included in project costs Including NOK 32m land sale EBITDA NOK 84m (111) EPS in the quarter NOK 0.63, YTD NOK 1.98 NOKm 778 882 17% 15% 15% 15%
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP)
Note: Numbers under NOK 5m are excluded from the cash flow overview
| | Book value stable, NOK 27.5 per share | Balance sheet composition | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity ratio 41.7% |
NOKm | ||
| | Changes from Q2 2016: | 7 000 | |
| 6 000 | Non-current assets | ||
| Inventories increased by NOK 104m due to land acquisition and high construction activity |
5 000 | ||
| 4 000 | |||
| Trade receivables decreased by NOK 84m due to fewer deliveries in process – non-risk |
3 000 | Current assets | |
| Cash decreased by NOK 137m |
2 000 | ||
| 1 000 | |||
| | Prepayments from customers accounts | Cash | |
| for NOK 416m of other current non interest-bearing liabilities |
0 |
Land (undeveloped) Work in progress Finished projects
| Q3'16 vs Q2'16 | Inventory value development | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOKm | ||||
| Land value down NOK 108m |
5 000 207 378 359 4 000 |
|||
| Due to construction starts and sale of Kaldnes Brygge* Work in progress up NOK 283m |
2 369 2 642 3 000 2 630 |
|||
| Due to high construction activity |
2 000 1 000 |
|||
| Finished goods down NOK 71m |
- |
*Sold 50% of shares, but as the company is deconsolidated, all inventory values are disposed in the group financial statements
FINANCIAL UPDATE
| Drawn per 30 Sep. (NOKm) |
Interest rate margin |
|---|---|
| 500 | 4.75% |
| 0 | 2.00% |
| 0 | 2.00% |
| 945 | 2.00% - 2.65% |
| 1 006 | 1.75% - 2.95% |
Total Q2 2016 net interesting bearing debt NOK 1 454 million
Note: Top-up loan of NOK 500m in the table differs form the summed up top up loan in the pie chart (NOK 496m). The difference is due to NOK -4m in amortized cost which is not actual debt.
Highlights Operational update Financial update
Market
Outlook and summary
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
October 2016 Oslo sum-up
SECOND HAND – AVERAGE
NEW HOMES (NOT BUILT)
Units available for sale (31.10): ~350
MARKET
Source: www.numbero.com
Selected European cities
20
Total: 430-500 units | 1-4 rooms | 35-119 m2 138 of 148 units sold per 03 November 2016 Time from acquisition to sales start: 11 months
21
Total: 430-500 units | 1-4 rooms | 35-119 m2 138 of 148 units sold per 03 November 2016 Time from acquisition to sales start: 11 months
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
SECOND HAND (STAVANGER ONLY) – AVERAGE
NEW HOMES (NOT BUILT)
Second hand market: Stavanger, Sola, Randaberg and Sandnes New homes market: Stavanger
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Eyvind Lyckes vei 10, Bærum
Kaldnes Brygge, Tønsberg
Reduced ownership in Kaldnes Brygge
Lørenporten, Oslo
Eyvind Lyckes vei 10, Bærum
SHARE INFORMATION
Source: Oslo Børs
| $%$ share | |
|---|---|
| -- | ----------- |
| 53.5% |
|---|
| 5.6% |
| 2.9% |
| $2.8\%$ |
| $2.2\%$ |
| 1.7% |
| $1.5\%$ |
| 1.3% |
| 1.3% |
| 1.0% |
| 1.0% |
| $0.9\%$ |
| $0.9\%$ |
| $0.8\%$ |
| $0.7\%$ |
| $0.7\%$ |
| $0.7\%$ |
| $0.6\%$ |
| $0.6\%$ |
| $0.6\%$ |
| 81.3% |
| 18.7% |
| 100.0% |
| Shareholder | # of shares | % share |
|---|---|---|
| SELVAAG GRUPPEN AS | 50 180 087 | 53.5% |
| SKANDINAVISKA ENSKILDA BANKEN AB *) | 5 271 003 | 5.6% |
| MORGAN STANLEY & CO. INTERNATIONAL *) | 2 750 778 | 2.9% |
| FLPS - ALL SECTOR SUB |
2 590 700 | 2.8% |
| PARETO AS | 2 065 624 | 2.2% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT | 1 596 000 | 1.7% |
| MP PENSJON PK | 1 426 221 | 1.5% |
| THE BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON *) | 1 209 817 | 1.3% |
| HOLTA INVEST AS | 1 200 000 | 1.3% |
| STOREBRAND NORGE I | 983 944 | 1.0% |
| US BK EVERMORE GLO VAL FUND | 892 805 | 1.0% |
| J.P. MORGAN CHASE BANK N.A. LONDON *) | 859 229 | 0.9% |
| JPMORGAN CLEARING CORP. *) | 809 029 | 0.9% |
| JPMORGAN CHASE BANK NA, LONDON *) | 769 073 | 0.8% |
| FIDELITY SELECT PORTFOLIOS: FIDELI | 702 900 | 0.7% |
| UTHALDEN A/S | 637 306 | 0.7% |
| STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST CO. *) | 635 185 | 0.7% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA | 598 102 | 0.6% |
| BANAN II AS | 555 190 | 0.6% |
| HOLBERG NORDEN | 523 705 | 0.6% |
| Total 20 largest shareholders | 76 256 698 | 81.3% |
| Other shareholders | 17 508 990 | 18.7% |
| Total number of shares | 93 765 688 | 100.0% |
*) Updated shareholder list and further information regarding nominee accounts is presented at: http://sboasa.no/en/Aksjeinformasjon/Aksjonarer.aspx
34
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 30. September 2016. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. These have a development potential of ~4 400 residential units, whereof the company has purchasing obligations for ~3 800 and purchasing options for ~600 units
*Sales update November 2016
Construction costs financed
Target 100% sale at delivery
Selvaag Bolig ASA is a Norwegian residential property developer with no in-house construction arm, which controls the entire value chain from the acquisition of land to the sale of homes.
Purchase and payment of land takes place after zoning plan approval. If this is not obtained, the purchase is cancelled
SBO is in charge of the zoning process
Purchase price is decided by a land appraisal made by three external consultants at the time of zoning approval
The median valuation is used as purchase price
Pre-sales of minimum 60% secures the majority of revenue before construction
10% of purchase price paid by the buyer at point of sale, and proof of financing for the remaining amount is required
Construction contracts with solid counterparties are made with fixed price
Project costs are secured before construction starts
90% of units in production are sold at end Q3'16
| NOK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dividend policy | 2.00 | ||
| Up to 50 percent of net profit |
1.75 | |||
| Dividend pay-out twice a year from H1 2015 |
1.50 | |||
| 1.25 | ||||
| | 1H'16 dividend of NOK 0.65 per share | 1.00 | ||
| 0.75 | ||||
| 48% of EPS |
0.50 | 0.50 | ||
| | 1H'16 EPS NOK 1.35 | 0.25 | ||
| 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
| (figures in NOK million) | Q3 2016 | Q3 2015 | 9M 2016 | 9M 2015 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues | 387.3 | 778.4 | 2 114.8 | 2 364.1 | 3 246.0 |
| Project expenses | (282.7) | (623.9) | (1 702.7) | (1 892.5) | (2 608.5) |
| Other operating expenses | (54.9) | (53.1) | (162.1) | (158.3) | (217.4) |
| Other gains (loss) | 31.6 | - | 31.6 | - | - |
| Associated companies and joint ventures | 2.3 | 9.4 | (1.8) | 19.7 | 8.3 |
| EBITDA | 83.5 | 110.9 | 279.8 | 333.0 | 428.4 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (6.1) | (6.1) | (18.2) | (17.9) | (24.1) |
| EBIT | 77.5 | 104.7 | 261.5 | 315.1 | 404.3 |
| Net financial expenses | (9.8) | (9.4) | (24.4) | (24.5) | (33.1) |
| Profit/(loss) before taxes | 67.7 | 95.4 | 237.1 | 290.6 | 371.2 |
| Income taxes | (8.5) | (25.9) | (52.0) | (78.8) | (91.8) |
| Net income | 59.2 | 69.5 | 185.1 | 211.8 | 279.4 |
| Net income for the period attributable to: | |||||
| Non-controlling interests | 0.0 | (1.4) | (0.4) | (1.7) | (1.8) |
| Shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA |
59.1 | 70.9 | 185.5 | 213.5 | 281.1 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Q3 2016 | Q3 2015 | 9M 2016 | 9M 2015 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operating activities | (223.8) | 279.7 | 363.2 | 316.6 | 465.9 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | 6.8 | 28.7 | (3.7) | (20.8) | (15.5) |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | 79.8 | 26.0 | (288.5) | (57.1) | (344.1) |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at start of period Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
(137.2) 880.5 743.3 |
334.4 470.2 804.6 |
71.0 672.3 743.3 |
238.7 565.9 804.6 |
106.4 565.9 672.3 |
45
| (figures in NOK million) |
Q3 2016 | Q2 2016 | Q3 2015 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 383.4 | 388.0 | 401.8 | 397.2 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 11.8 | 17.4 | 21.4 | 20.3 |
| Investments in associated companies and joint ventures | 279.5 | 180.1 | 192.3 | 183.4 |
| Other non-current assets | 259.4 | 126.8 | 122.2 | 114.6 |
| Total non-current assets | 934.1 | 712.2 | 737.8 | 715.5 |
| Inventories (property) | 4 390.4 | 4 286.6 | 4 663.3 | 4 715.4 |
| - Land |
1 434.7 | 1 542.9 | 1 814.1 | 1 968.8 |
| - Work in progress |
2 653.5 | 2 370.6 | 2 641.9 | 2 368.5 |
| - Finished goods |
302.3 | 373.1 | 207.4 | 378.1 |
| Other current receivables | 139.7 | 232.9 | 280.3 | 147.9 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 743.3 | 880.5 | 804.6 | 672.3 |
| Total current assets | 5 273.5 | 5 400.1 | 5 748.2 | 5 535.5 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 6 207.6 | 6 112.3 | 6 486.0 | 6 251.1 |
| Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA | 2 577.6 | 2 590.5 | 2 547.1 | 2 539.6 |
| Non-controlling interests | 9.2 | 9.2 | 13.1 | 9.6 |
| Total equity | 2 586.8 | 2 599.7 | 2 560.2 | 2 549.2 |
| Non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 2 145.4 | 1 648.6 | 2 470.1 | 1 846.7 |
| Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities | 202.9 | 260.2 | 309.1 | 262.2 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 2 348.2 | 1 908.8 | 2 779.2 | 2 108.9 |
| Current interest-bearing liabilities | 301.7 | 686.2 | 340.4 | 771.3 |
| Other current non interest-bearing liabilities | 970.8 | 917.6 | 806.2 | 821.7 |
| Total current liabilities | 1 272.5 | 1 603.8 | 1 146.6 | 1 593.0 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 6 207.6 | 6 112.3 | 6 486.0 | 6 251.1 |
* Corresponding to a book value of NOK 27.5 per share
Units
Land purchases in core markets only
Bergen and Trondheim key markets
Construction starts, scheduled completion and expected revenue Quarterly, expected revenues (IFRS) in NOK million
| Kaldnes Dockside D (Modular) |
52 apartments | NOK 118m |
|---|---|---|
| Lørenporten (Onsite) |
148 apartments | NOK 599m |
| Kaldnes Signaturen (Onsite) |
23 apartments | NOK 214m |
| Q3 15 | Q4 15 | Q1 15 | Q2 16 | Q3 16 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of units sold | 208 | 209 | 280 | 326 | 277 |
| Number of construction starts | 204 | 171 | 230 | 253 | 223 |
| Number of units completed | 172 | 258 | 183 | 295 | 103 |
| Number of units delivered | 202 | 235 | 179 | 307 | 129 |
| Number of units under construction | 1 426 | 1 339 | 1 386 | 1 344 | 1 464 |
| Proportion of sold units under construction | 78% | 79% | 80% | 83% | 90% |
| Number of completed unsold units | 25 | 65 | 58 | 54 | 48 |
| Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) | 5 077 | 4 740 | 5 031 | 5 075 | 5 775 |
| Number of employees | 99 | 99 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| 387.4 |
|---|
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 376.9 | 10.5 | 387.4 |
| Project expenses | (283.6) | 0.8 | (282.8) |
| Other operating expenses | (13.5) | (41.4) | (54.9) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies and joint ventures | 2.3 | - | 2.3 |
| Other gain (loss), net |
31.6 | - | 31.6 |
| EBITDA | 113.6 | (30.1) | 83.5 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 930.4 | 10.5 | 940.9 |
| Project expenses | (683.8) | 0.8 | (683.0) |
| Other operating expenses | (13.5) | (41.4) | (54.9) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 233.0 | (30.1) | 203.0 |
Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting.
NOKm
Source: IMF, Statistics Norway, Statistics Sweden, Statistics France, Statistics Germany, Statistics UK, Eurostat
Source: 1993- 2013 Eff, Pöyry. 2014-2015 NyAnalyse. Interest payments on new home loans with the home as collateral is considered
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