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SELECT HARVESTS LIMITED Investor Presentation 2015

Oct 20, 2015

65792_rns_2015-10-20_a87a6067-76d5-47b4-9252-228acbd4dd9b.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Select Harvests Limited (“SHV”) Investing in Productivity & Growth Morgans Queensland Conference Presentation 21 October 2015

Disclaimer & Basis of Preparation

This presentation is provided for information purposes only and has been prepared using information provided by the company. The information contained in this presentation is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. Investors should consider their own individual investment and financial circumstances in relation to any investment decision.

Certain statements contained in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements or statements about future matters that are based upon information known and assumptions made as of the date of this presentation. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from any future results or performance expressed, predicted or implied by the statements contained in this presentation.

2

2

Agenda

1. 2015 Highlights

2. Strategy – Objectives & Activities Overview

3. Almond Division

4. Food Division

5. 2016 Business Objectives & Outlook

6. Appendices

3

3

FY15 Financial Highlights

Financial Result
Restated FY14
($m)
FY15
($m)





Reported Result
EBIT - Reported
31.3
85.9
Interest
(4.5)
(5.3)
NPBT
26.8
80.6
Tax Expense
(5.2)
(23.8)
NPAT - Reported
21.6
56.8
Underlying Result
EBIT – Underlying
31.3
89.6
Interest
(4.5)
(5.3)
NPBT
26.8
84.3
Tax Expense
(5.2)
(24.9)
NPAT - Underlying
21.6
59.4

Reported FY15 Net Profit after Tax (NPAT) of $56.8m is a record - up 163%

  • (Note: Restated FY14 Reported NPAT* of $21.6m)

Reported EBIT $85.9m (FY14 EBIT $31.3m) - up 174%*

Operating cash flow $34.2m (FY14 $23.1m) - up 32%

Net Debt $109.7m - Gearing (Net Debt to Equity) down to 38%

Reported Earnings per Share (EPS) - 82.9 cents per share (FY14 37.5 cps) - up 121%*

Dividend - Final Dividend (unfranked) 35 cents per share - total FY15 dividend 50 cents per share (FY14 20cps)

  • FY14 & FY15 Financials have been impacted by changes to the Accounting standards

Strong performance across the business

4

4

FY15 Business Highlights

  • Record almond crop 14,500 tonnes & pool price A$11.45/kg

  • Acquisition of 2 orchards

  • Amaroo

  • Mullroo

  • Funding initiatives

  • Equity Raising $65m

  • Sale and Leaseback with First State Super

  • Food Business bottom line growth – FY15 EBIT $6.8M v FY14 $5.6M

  • Improve productivity of processing facilities

Significant progress in implementing growth strategy – delivering performance

5

5

SHV Strategy - Objectives & Activities Overview

FY13 INITIATIVES FY13 INITIATIVES FY14 INITIATIVES FY14 INITIATIVES FY15 INITIATIVES FY 15 +
1.
CONTROL CRITICAL
MASS OF
ALMONDS
Secure the critical mass of
nuts needed to maximize
profitability and leverage
the global almond
opportunity.

Acquired 521 Ha (1,286 acres)
almond orchard

Ceased WA investment
~~15%~~

Acquired 1,004 Ha (2,481 acres)
planted orchard

Acquired 1,808 Ha (4,465 acres)
unplanted

Acquired 6,215 ML high security
water

Replanted 207 Ha (512 acres) @
higher densities

Acquire mature orchards

Planting 384 Ha (948 acres)
Allinga

Develop 2,024+ Ha (5,000+
acres) of greenfield almonds
Acquired 521 Ha (1,286 acres)
almond orchard

Acquired 275 Ha (680
planted orchard
acres)

Acquired 1,00
planted orcha

Acquired 405Ha (1,000 acres)
unplanted
2.
IMPROVE YIELD &
CROP VALUE
Improve yield and overall
crop value by perfecting
on-farm and farm to
factory practices.

Restructured Horticulture
Division

Investments in
Benchmarking/Tech.

Improve efficiency/protect
yield

$500K frost fans

Total review of Horticultural
assets

Further $500K frost fans

Additional harvest equipment
ROCE

Additional harvest equipment

Bio-stimulants trial

Trial catch & shake harvest
technology

Increase Hort. program to
target 3.2T/Ha (1.3T/acre)
yield

On farm drying

Irrigation management
3.
BE BEST IN CLASS
SUPPLY CHAIN
Continuously improve our
supply chain, achieving
high quality, low cost and
optimum capital
utilisation.
.

Restructured Operations
Division
7-

Evaluate operational
improvements & refine
proposals

New Optical Sorter at
Thomastown

High voltage network (H2E)

Reduce cost (Parboil)

Refrigerated storage

Biomass (H2E)
ne
Cogen Plant

Carina West Dryer


Ref

Bio
EPS
10% pa
4.
INVEST IN
INDUSTRIAL &
TRADING DIVISION
Allocate resources to
leverage our trading skills
and grow sales in the
industrial channel

Grew Industrial Division 40%

Grew Industrial Division 24%
through local and SE Asia
customer base

Innovations assisted growth

Expanding business with food
processors in local and SE Asian
markets

Increase value adding
capacity (Parboil)
5.
TURN AROUND
PACKAGED FOOD
BUSINESS
Develop a new model for
the packaged food
category that will deliver
sustainable returns above
the cost of capital.

Exited unprofitable Retail
Brand business

Product Research/Collect
Insights


Product Development -
Innovation/Renovation/Reform
ulation/Repackaging

Brand relaunch - Sunsol & Lucky
Smart Snax
10%
EBIT pa

Multiple relaunches & new
products

Range rationalisation

New distributors - Thailand &
Malaysia

Relaunch key brands

Accelerate NPD rate of
branded business

Again distribution in SE Asia
6.
FIX OUR SYSTEMS
& PROCESSES
Develop the business
systems and processes
required to be a global
industry leader.

OHS improvement - LTI’s
dropped 60%

OHS improvement - LTI’s
dropped 73%

New risk management
framework

New OHS policies/procedures

IT upgrade

Single Company ERP

Reduce LTIs by 25% Y on Y
7.
ENGAGE WITH OUR
PEOPLE & OUR
STAKEHOLDERS
Engage with investors and
our industry while
developing the team
required to be a global
industry leader.

Investor engagement –
conferences, site tours and
road shows

Hort. 3 training for Farm
Management

Refreshed company website

Introduction of employee
newsletters/intranet

Further development of
Performance Review process

Diversity Committee
6
6

Improve skill levels on farm
& processing QA

Employee diversity

Almond Division

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Allinga Farm Greenfield Development (384Ha/948 acres)
– October 2015
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Strategy to move from manager to farmer is working

7

7

Almond Supply - Geographic Diversity & Scale

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Geographic diversity limits exposure to:

  • Weather

  • − Disease spread

  • − Insect infestation

Amaroo to Robinvale

Distance: 225 km Drive Time: 2.5 hours

Mullroo to Robinvale

Distance: 140 km Drive Time: 1.8 hours

Mendook to Robinvale

Distance: 40km Drive Time: 0.5 hours

Australia’s 2[nd] largest and most geographically diverse almond producer

8

8

- Orchard Profile Almond Supply

Age Profile of SHV Almond Orchard Portfolio

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20%
18%
15% 14% 66% 5%
16%962 Ha (2,376 acres) 926 Ha (2,286 acres) 4,361 Ha (10,772 acres) 310 Ha (766 acres)
Currently announced Planted orchards are Planted orchards in econmic sweetspot - Planted orchards post
14% future years planting immature low capex & high cash generation economic maturity
program
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
Tree Age (Years)
Plant 2020 Plant 2019 Plant 2018 Plant 2017 Plant 2016 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32
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Source: Company Data
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Select Harvests almond orchards have an average age of 10.7 years (basis: 2016 almond harvest)
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9

9

Almond Orchard Expansion

Strategic Objective:

[Grow the critical mass of almonds to 20,000 tonnes by FY24/25 ]

Key Projects:

  • Organic Growth

  • Develop existing infrastructure at Amaroo

  • Mullroo and Mendook to support existing orchards and growth

  • Improve on farm water management

  • Increase Hort. programs to promote nut size and tree growth

 Investment Growth

  • Develop existing greenfield areas and replace older orchards: Allinga, Wemen, Kyndalyn Park

  • Develop First State Super relationship with Amaroo, Mullroo and Mendook

  • Secure additional acquisitions of mature orchards and greenfield opportunities

Building a supply platform for growth

10

10

Innovation – Almond Business

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Allinga Farm, Greenfield Development
– October 2015
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Objective:

  • [Reduce orchard development costs by 5%]

Key Projects:

  • [Efficiency]

[Use GPS technology to maximise land use]

  • [Cost]

[Automated tree planting to reduce ] manual handling

  • [Replace tree staking with trellis]

Low cost without compromising quality

11

11

Innovation – Hull to Energy

Strategic Objective:

[Substantially improve the almond processing plant’s competitiveness and ongoing viability by reducing its cost base by 20%]

Key Projects:

Stage 1

  • Bundle Carina West Processing and 2 nearby dams by laying connecting cable into one meter point thereby lowering the maximum demand charge between the 3 - Complete

  • Convert all Victorian low voltage transformers greater than 1MW to high voltage, thereby realising significant network supply cost reductions - Complete

  • Install electronic monitoring equipment to control usage patterns to maximise off-peak usage

Stage 2

  • Install a biomass boiler/turbine power plant to directly supply electricity and steam to Carina West Processing Plant and 2 nearby dams and indirectly off-set costs across SHV (other farms) with remaining generated power.

Key Outcomes:

  • Reduce processing plant’s cost base by 20%

  • Reduce Select Harvests carbon footprint by 23,645 tonnes annually

  • Employ 8 additional skilled full time employees

  • Waste from biomass boiler will be used for agricultural products

  • Consumes Almond waste product (hull & Shell) and orchard pruning's

Key Facts:

  • Capital Investment $12.0M

  • Fuel consumed: 30,000MT p.a.

  • Operational hours: 24 hrs x 7 days x 48 weeks

  • Operators employed: 8

  • Excess power delivered into local grid

  • • Commissioning Dec 2016

  • Improves Select Harvests CSR

Building a sustainable globally competitive low cost facility

12

12

2015 Crop Update

Belvedere Farm – August 2015

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Wemen Farm – October 2015
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  • Sufficient chill hours between seasons

  • Good bloom in NSW & SA, whilst Vic solid

  • Between now and Dec, nut size and 2016 growth to be determined

  • Weather outlook remains favourable

  • Crop estimate will be undertaken during November

Next Update AGM – 26 November 2015

13

13

Global Market Update

Demand

  • 2014/15 Global supply has been absorbed by demand, with US carryover stock between seasons remaining flat

  • US and Indian demand remains strongest

  • Many markets have shown short term resistance to higher prices

  • 212 Products with almond ingredients were launched in Australian supermarkets

Supply

  • US Market 2015/16 crop estimate - 1.80 Bn pounds (down 4% v last year)

  • US Harvest nearly finished - estimated crop more likely 1.75 Bn pounds

  • Australia and Spanish crops up & large, but insufficient to make up shortfall

  • Trees take 3 years to totally recover from drought

Little inventory held by customers, Australian or Spanish growers and processors

14

14

Difficult to substitute Supply –

Global Tree Nut Production 2006-2014

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1,200,000
Almond Share of Global Tree Nut Production
2006 2014 Increase
1,000,000 Volume - Tree Nuts 2.77MT 3.49MT 0.71MT
Volume - Almonds 0.67MT 1.08MT 0.41MT
% of Global Tree Nut Production - Almonds 24% 31%
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
-
Almonds Walnuts Cashews Pistachios Hazelnuts Pecans Pine Nuts Macadamias Brazil Nuts
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Tonnes
----- End of picture text -----

Source: International Nut & Dried Fruit Council Foundation (INC)

Almonds are the most versatile and highest volume nut - substitution is difficult

15

15

Demand = Protein Affordability – October 2015

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Source: Protein Data - Australian Institute of Sport (AIS) . Pricing based on company survey (on-line Australian retail pricing, October 2015).

Almonds are one of the most affordable protein sources across all food types

16

16

Almond Price

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Note: this chart is for indicative purposes only – it represents one premium almond grade (of the many that Select Harvests produce and sell) and its sole reason for inclusion is to give the reader an understanding of the historical relativity of the current almond price and the trend which is generally common across almond grades. It should not be construed as the average price that Select Harvests sells at.

Source: Company Data

Price has remained strong despite substantial production increases and A$ appreciation

17

17

El Nino Impacts

Increased rain in California

  • Experience shows it takes 3 years for almond trees to recover from drought

  • US government determined to introduce water regulation similar to Australia

  • Normal year - 50% of California’s water is sourced from snow & 30% from aquifer (60% in drought years)

  • Cailfornian aquifers unlikely to recover without tougher regulations

  • Drought lost acreage is unknown

  • Urban & environmental pressure will continue to increase

  • Tougher growing conditions

Drier conditions in Australia

  • Australia has regulated water market, protecting both assets and industry

  • Horticultural crops generate the highest return per ML

  • No increase from urban pressure as population is flat in the connected network

  • Environmental requirements have been largely met

  • Urban utilities can return water due to desalination capabilities

  • Higher cost but more predictable growing conditions

Significant difference between Australian & US water markets

18

18

US Ground Water

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  • Current forecast is El Nino will be a similar event to 1983

  • 75%+ of almond industry is in Tulare & Central valleys

  • Industry shift North, due to better water availability, but at a cost

Regulation, not nature, solves this situation

19

19

NSW (Narrandera) Groundwater levels

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Source : NSW DPI live data
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Significant difference between Australian & US water management – regulation ensures aquifer recharge

20

20

Total Return per ML (Riverina NSW)

Many crops have insufficient profitability to withstand over $200/ML increase

21

21

Water

SHV Strategy

  • Own & Long term lease* 33%, 3-5 year term lease 33% and 33% spot

  • To have access to least 15%-20% more water than required

  • Own or long term leases* when sourcing from aquifer - no short term exposure

  • Own high quality surface entitlements with reliable allocations

  • Trade and use carryover facility to deliver best spot price outcome

SHV Water

  • Water represents 8% of Horticultural cost

  • SHV average water cost FY15 was A$110/ML

  • Assume spot price moves to A$250/ML in FY16 & all spot purchases are made at this price, impact approx. A$2m

  • 20 YEAR+ LEASES

SHV have a strategy to manage the impact of water cost

22

22

Food Division

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Turn around has commenced

23

23

Innovation – Food Business (Industrial)

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Strategic Objective:

  • [Increase sales in global food processing market]

Key Objectives:

  • [Increase offshore presence with multi-national and Asian ] confectionery manufacturers

  • [Identify food manufacturers looking to increase protein ] content, generally reducing sugar and looking to increase health credentials

This capability to innovate is essential - industrial export sales over $12.5m per annum

24

24

Project Parboil – Almond Value Add

Strategic Objectives:

  • [Address the current capacity shortfall of “value add” almond products]

  • [Open sales opportunities from customers demanding peanut-free processing environments]

Key Projects:

  • Establish a new state-of-the-art ‘value add’ almond processing facility, adjacent to the existing almond hulling & shelling plant at Carina West

  • Install new highly efficient almond blancher, roaster, slicers, grinders and packing lines

  • Lower overall supply chain cost

Key Outcomes

  • Consolidates all almond assets close to the almond trees

  • Facilitates almonds sales to customers that require peanut free facility

  • Allows direct shipping to customers

  • New equipment has higher throughput and efficiencies

  • Higher yields will be achieved with new equipment

  • Provides capacity to meet current blanching shortfall & growth opps.

  • Cost benefits from steam and electricity supplied by new Co-gen plant

Key Facts:

  • Capital Investment $10.0M

  • Operational hours: 8 hrs/5 days/48 weeks

  • Single integrated Almond blanching/roasting line

  • Operators employed: 12

  • Commissioning Q3 2016

  • Employ 12 additional skilled full time employees

  • Address almond kernel warehousing shortfall

  • Replaces need to upgrade existing equipment at Thomastown facility

Delivers cost out, capacity and innovation

25

25

Innovation – Food Business (Packaged Food)

Strategic Objective:

[Increase sales in value added categories]

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Transformation has commenced despite tough domestic environment

26

26

SHV 2016 Business Objectives

  1. Roll out Zero Harm OH&S strategy – deliver 25% y.o.y. reduction in LTI’s

  2. Improve average mature tree yield equal to or greater than 1.3 tonnes/acre (3.2 tonnes/ha)

  3. Select Harvests FY15 average yield 1.26 tonnes/acre (3.1 tonnes/ha)

  4. Acquire orchards at the right price

  5. Implement greenfield program

  6. Implement Biomass/Cogen plant

  7. Implement Parboil

  8. Continue strategic plan to turn around Food Business

  9. Implement consolidation of One Select ERP platform

Continuing to drive our successful strategy

27

27

Business Outlook

  • Demand in both Divisions will increase as the benefits of healthy eating are promoted

  • High prices will continue to test the market

  • US almond supply will be constrained

  • SHV volume growth will be driven by organic improvements, greenfield development and prudent acquisitions

  • Projects & volume to protect and grow bottom-line

  • Balance Sheet strength will be used to grow, with almonds continuing to be our backbone

  • Asia will become more important with the impact of food security, wealth, population growth and FTA

28

28

Thank you

Join us on Instagram for regular snaps on Orchards, Food Business & Products

Please direct any queries to:

Paul Thompson Managing Director +61 3 9474 3544

Paul Chambers Andrew Angus Chief Financial Officer Investor Relations +61 3 9474 3544 +61 402 823 757

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29

29

Select Harvests Financial history

2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
SHV Historical Summary
Units*
Total Sales (A$M) 217.9 229.5 224.7 248.6 238.4 248.3 251.3 191.1 188.1 223.5
EBIT (A$M) 38.4 40.5 27.1 26.8 26.0 22.6 19.6 37.7 31.3 89.6
EBIT Margin(EBIT/Sales - %) (%) 17.6% 17.6% 12.1% 10.8% 10.9% 9.1% 7.8% 19.7% 16.6% 40.1%
PBT (A$M) 37.9 40.0 25.4 23.0 23.6 18.5 13.4 32.7 26.8 84.3
NPAT (A$M) 26.5 28.1 18.1 16.7 17.3 17.7 9.5 22.9 21.6 56.8
Issued Shares No. of Shares 39.7 38.7 39.0 39.5 39.8 56.2 56.8 57.5 58.0 71.4
Earnings Per Share
(AUD Centsper Share) 67.1 71.0 46.7 42.6 43.3 33.7 16.8 40.1 37.5 82.9
Dividendper Share
(AUD Centsper Share) 53.0 57.0 45.0 12.0 21.0 13.0 8.0 12.0 20.0 50.0
Payout Ratio (%) 80.0% 80.0% 96.7% 28.2% 48.5% 38.6% 47.6% 29.9% 53.3% 60.3%
Net Tangible Assetsper Share (A$/Share) 1.83 1.57 1.41 1.56 1.87 2.17 2.19 2.14 2.38 3.35
Net Interest Cover (times) 82.3 75.8 15.6 7.1 10.7 6.7 3.2 7.5 7.0 16.9
Net Debt (A$M) 1.3 1.6 46.8 52.4 45.0 73.1 66.8 79.3 94.8 109.7
Shareholder Equity (A$M) 101.5 95.5 94.1 100.9 113.6 168.8 160.3 159.5 175.4 287.4
Net Debt to EquityRatio (%) 1.3% 1.7% 49.7% 51.9% 39.6% 43.3% 41.7% 49.7% 54.1% 38.2%
Share Price (A$/Share) 13.02 11.60 6.00 2.16 3.46 1.84 2.40 3.90 5.14 11.79
Market Capitalisation (A$M) 517.0 449.4 234.1 85.4 137.6 103.5 120.0 224.3 298.1 835.1
P/E Ratio 19.5 16.0 12.9 5.1 8.0 5.8 12.6 9.8 13.8 14.7
*2014 figures have been rebased according to early adoption of Accounting Standards, AASB 116, Property, Plant and Equipment, and AASB 141, Agriculture, impacting“bearer plants”.

Source: Company Data

30

30

Select Harvests Tree Area by Age

Tree age (at Feb 2016 Harvest) Area Area
(Acres) (Ha)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
948
727
611
0
0
0
0
1,907
2,804
1,097
889
1,169
505
294
455
651
609
167
225
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
766
384
294
247
0
0
0
0
772
1135
444
360
473
205
119
184
264
247
68
91
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
310
13,824 5,597

31

31

Horticultural Costs

SHV FY2015 Horticulture Costs by Percentage

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Others
Labour
11%
17%
Havest
14%
Fert & Chem
Fixed 21%
10%
Water
Bee
8%
Energy 5%
14%
----- End of picture text -----

Source: Company Data

32

32

US Crop History Analysis

Crop Year 2005/06
2006/07
2007/08
2008/09
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
Actual
Actual
Actual
Actual
Actual
Actual
Actual
Actual
Actual
Forecast
Bearing Acres
YOY Growth
Non Bearing Acres
510,000
610,000
640,000
710,000
750,000
770,000
800,000
820,000
850,000
870,000
20%
5%
11%
6%
3%
4%
2%
4%
2%
100,000
145,000
125,000
115,000
90,000
85,000
75,000
110,000
120,000
150,000
Total Acres
Bearing to Non Bearing Ratio
Yield (Metric tonnes per acre)
Crop Size (LHS Axis) - '000 000 lbs
YOY Growth
Vs Base Growth
Shipments - Total - '000 000 lbs
YOY Growth
Vs Base Growth
Shipments - Domestic - '000 000 lbs
Shipments - Export - '000 000 lbs
Carry Out Stock - '000 000 lbs
Percentage of Crop
Percentage Previous Yr Crop
US Farm Price - US$/lb (RHS Axis)
YOY Growth
610,000
755,000
765,000
825,000
840,000
855,000
875,000
930,000
970,000
1,020,000
19%
16%
14%
11%
10%
9%
12%
12%
15%
0.7
0.8
1.0
1.0
0.9
1.0
1.2
1.0
1.1
1.0
912
1,117
1,383
1,614
1,406
1,628
2,020
1,884
2,010
1,870
22%
24%
17%
(13%)
16%
24%
(7%)
7%
(7%)
22%
52%
77%
54%
79%
122%
107%
120%
105%
914
1,066
1,261
1,389
1,472
1,668
1,899
1,867
1,937
2,134
17%
18%
10%
6%
13%
14%
(2%)
4%
10%
17%
38%
52%
61%
82%
108%
104%
112%
133%
304
368
395
411
450
490
547
588
642
693
610
698
866
978
1,022
1,178
1,352
1,278
1,296
1,407
231
413
321
254
336
317
350
287
17%
26%
23%
16%
17%
17%
17%
15%
21%
30%
20%
18%
21%
16%
19%
14%
$2.81
$2.06
$1.75
$1.45
$1.65
$1.79
$1.99
$2.58
$2.90
$3.50
(27%)
(15%)
(17%)
14%
8%
11%
30%
12%
21%

Note: As at 18 June 2015

33

33