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SELECT HARVESTS LIMITED — Interim / Quarterly Report 2019
May 30, 2019
65792_rns_2019-05-30_00c9be1f-ab76-49e3-a978-1ee2815c0163.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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Select Harvests Limited (ASX:SHV)
1H FY2019 Half Year Results Presentation to 31 March 2019
31 May 2019
Disclaimer & Basis of Preparation
This presentation is provided for information purposes only and has been prepared using information provided by the company. The information contained in this presentation is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. Investors should consider their own individual investment and financial circumstances in relation to any investment decision.
Certain statements contained in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements or statements about future matters that are based upon information known and assumptions made as of the date of this presentation. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from any future results or performance expressed, predicted or implied by the statements contained in this presentation.
The Select Harvests Limited financial statements are prepared in accordance with Australian Accounting Standards, other authoritative pronouncements of the Australian Accounting Standards Board, Urgent Issues Group Interpretations and the Corporations Act 2001. This includes application of AASB 141 Agriculture in accounting for the current year almond crop, which is classified as a biological asset. In applying this standard to determine the value of the current year crop, the Company makes various assumptions at the balance date as the selling price of the crop can only be estimated and the actual crop yield will not be known until it is completely processed and sold. The resulting accounting estimates will, by definition, seldom equal the related actual results, and have a risk of causing a material adjustment to the carrying amounts of assets and liabilities within the next financial year.
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1H FY2019 Overview
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SHV has changed its financial year end from 30 June to 30 September
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this report is the 1st full 6-month period reported under the new timeline (1H FY2019)
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50% of the Fair Value of the 2019 crop has been recognised in line with completed harvest activity
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Strong half year EBITDA[1] growth to $38.5M and NPAT to $20.0M
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Improved Almond Division half year EBIT of $31.5M due to increased volumes and price
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Flat Food Division half year EBIT of $2.3M
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Net debt (including finance leases) of $93.4m - gearing ratio of 23.8%
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Working capital $160.3m – large investment in inventory due to crop size
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Annualised ROCE improved to 12.4% and Earnings per Share (EPS) of 21.0 cents per share (cps)
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1H FY2019 Dividend – Interim Dividend 12 cps fully franked
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Record Date – 14 June 2019
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Payment Date – 5 July 2019
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Safety & Environment
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Zero environmental incidents
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Significant reduction in number of lost time injuries
1 - Non-IFRS measures used by the company are relevant because they are consistent with measures used internally by management and by some in the investment community to assess the operating performance of the business. The non-IFRS measures have not been subject to audit or review.
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Income Statement
| Income Statement | ▪Revenue reflects sales of prior year crops and Food Division ▪1H FY 2019 EBITDA1 $38.5m (1H FY 2018 $25.9m) - higher result driven by larger crop and firm A$ pricing ▪Almond Division EBIT1 $31.5m (1H FY2018 $17.7m) - Volume up 20,750MT (FY2018 15,700) - Price of A$8.50/kg (FY2018 A$8.05/kg) - Prior years crop valuation adjustment of ($1.7M) - Total net 2019 crop costs/kg down by 8.6% ▪Food Division EBIT1 stable at $2.3m (1H FY2018 $2.5m) - Improved Industrial product margin – China exports - Lower Retail product margin – private label impact - Retail export growing off a low base ▪Corporate costs in line with prior periods ▪Improved NPAT of $20.0m (1H FY2018 $10.2m) *1H 2018 1H 2019 Variance % 15,700 20,750 5,050 32.2% 8.05 8.50 0.45 5.6% 105.1 100.0 (5.1) (4.9%) 25.9 38.5 12.6 48.6% 8.4 7.5 (0.9) (10.7%) 17.7 31.5 13.8 78.0% 2.5 2.3 (0.2) 8.0% (2.8) (2.8) - - 17.5 31.0 13.5 77.1% (2.7) (2.1) 0.6 22.2% (4.6) (8.9) (4.3) (93.5%) 10.2 20.0 9.8 96.1% 24.6% 38.5% 13.9% 56.5% 16.6% 31.0% 14.4% 86.7% 11.6 21.0 9.4 81.0% been audited – they are 50% of the Audited FY2018 Result. |
|---|---|
| $ millions | |
| Almond Volumes MT Almond Price Per Kg Total Revenue EBITDA1 Depreciation & Amortisation Almond Division EBIT1 Food Division EBIT1 Corporate Total EBIT1 Net Financing costs Tax Expense NPAT EBITDA1 Margin (%) EBIT1 Margin (%) Earnings Per Share (cents) * The 2018 Half Year Comparatives have not |
1H FY2019 NPAT $20M – and with 80% of crop now sold, builds confidence for FY2019 full year result
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Movement in SHV Group EBIT[1] ($M)
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34.9
17.0
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- The 2018 Half Year Comparatives have not been audited – they are 50% of the Audited FY2018 Result.
Increased volumes and higher pricing have led to an improved result
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Balance Sheet
| Year Ending Balance Sheet | ||
|---|---|---|
| $ millions | *1H FY2018 ** | 1HFY 2019 |
| Current Assets excl. Cash Cash Non-Current Assets Total Assets Current Liabilities (exc. Borrowings) Borrowings (Incl. Lease Liabilities) Non-Current Liabilities (excl. Borrowings) Total Liabilities Total Equity Net Debt (Including Finance Leases) Net Debt/Equity Annualised ROCE |
155.6 187.7 0.4 1.3 352.2 370.2 |
|---|---|
| 508.1 559.3 |
|
| 24.9 32.2 69.0 94.7 35.3 40.3 |
|
| 129.2 **167.2 ** |
|
| 378.9 **392.1 ** |
|
| 68.6 93.4 18.1% 23.8% 7.4% 12.4% |
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Increased current assets – working capital of $160.3m is higher due to value of 2019 unsold crop (inventory) – higher volume
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▪ Increased non-current assets due to ongoing investment in the development of immature orchards
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Net debt including finance leases $93.4m (1H FY2018* $69.0m) – higher debt level due to investment in non-bearing acres and large 2019 crop. This will unwind in 2[nd] half as crop is sold.
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Gearing (net debt/equity) is 23.8% (1H FY2018 18.1%)
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Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) improved as orchards mature and start yielding and improved efficiency
Balance sheet is strong – debt is at seasonal peak – substantial debt reduction will occur over 2H FY2019
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Cash Flow
| Cash Flow | |
|---|---|
| $ millions | 1H FY 2019 |
| EBITDA1 | 38.5 |
| Change in Working Capital | (48.0) |
| Tax Paid | (2.8) |
| NetInterest | (2.1) |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (14.4) |
| Investing Cash Flows | (14.7) |
| Proceeds from share issue | - |
| Increase/(decrease) in debt | 29.1 |
| Dividends paid | (5.3) |
| Net (Decrease)/Increase in Cash/Cash | |
| Equivalents | (5.3) |
▪ Improved EBITDA[1] of $38.5m - operational performance
▪ Negative operating cashflow due to seasonal timing:
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First half cash outflows to grow 2019 crop (shown through increase in inventories)
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Second half cash inflows will occur through sale of 2019 crop
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Working capital also impacted by Food Division Easter inventory increase
▪ 1H FY2019 Investing cash flows of $14.7m driven by:
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Tree & Orchard Development $8.8m
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- Property Plant & Equipment $7.8m
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- Water Rights $0.3m
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- Grant Income ($2.2m)
Large investment in 2019 crop inventory will deliver substantial operating cashflow in 2H FY2019
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Almond Division Almond Division
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Carina Farm Blossom 2018
Almond Division
Almond Division
$ millions 1H FY2018* 1H FY2019 EBIT 17.7 31.5
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Crop volume increased to 20,750 tonnes (2018 Crop 15,700 tonnes) - up 32.2%
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Impact of horticultural program, new tree health technology, greenfields contribution & frost fan investment
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Favourable growing and harvesting conditions
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Sales price of $8.50/kg (2018 Crop sale price $8.05/kg) - up 5.6%
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80% of crop currently contracted for sale
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USD currency – 75% of crop sales are hedged
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Pricing not expected to decline – due to low level of uncontracted sales, combined with current China demand
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▪ Lower total cost of production per kg – down 8.6%
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Higher yields, investment in on-farm crop conditioners = lower costs
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Horticulture costs per kg (excl. water) reduced by 9.3%
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Improved efficiencies and higher hull prices offset the increase in water costs
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Processing – 60% complete
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Improved processing rates, new sorting technology plus dry conditions
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Processing cost per kg reduced by 14%
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Water
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Water costs up significantly due to dry conditions and increased market demand for water
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Water costs per kg increased by 33.6%
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Impact minimized through ownership policy and decision to acquire water requirements early in season
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2019 water commitments secured
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Orchard re-development
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Final stage of Kyndalyn Park - 142 hectares (350 acres)
* The 2018 Half Year Comparatives have not been audited – they are 50% of the Audited FY2018 Result.
Investment in growth & productivity delivering - higher volume, improved quality and improved cost profile
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Select Harvests – Orchard Age Profile
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Growth and improvement occurred in SHV orchard portfolio in recent years - acquisition, replants, greenfields
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Volume Growth
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Select Harvests is now consistently yielding over 1.3 tonnes per acre – this adds
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considerable value in future years
23% higher than FY19 theoretical yield
Investment in almond orchards ensures underlying organic earnings growth
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Food Division
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Food Division
Food Division $ millions 1H FY2018 1H FY2019 EBIT 2.5 2.3
- The 2018 Half Year Comparatives have not been audited – they are 50% of the Audited FY2018 Result.
▪ Strong Industrial Sales
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Industrial food sales strong - full pipeline from new Asian customers
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Margins positive & SHV offering value-ad options
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Domestic Consumer Foods on Track
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Sales are on track but margins challenging
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Impacted by raw material cost and house brand competition
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Export Consumer Foods
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Sales channels settling
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Consistent increases in sales order volumes
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NPD opportunities being explored
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Investing in brand
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New Pro-Biotic muesli range
Performing in line with expectations
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Business Outlook
Bunargool Orchard Blossom 2018
Photo Carina Farm Blossom 2018
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Select Harvests – in control of our destiny
Vision
Values
Strategic Priorities
The pathway to achieving our vision
Operational
Focus
What we do everyday
Goal
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Outlook
Industry Macro:
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Plant-based market fundamentals (particularly almonds) remain strong
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US 2019 crop moderate growth likely
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US trade tensions likely to remain
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Asian healthy snacking food market continues to grow
Select Harvests:
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Good tree health – well placed for 2020 crop
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Water strategy in place – continued close management of purchase options
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Carina Facility investment to continue – further quality and efficiency improvements
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Food export growth (Domestic and Industrial) remains a focus
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In-organic growth options being considered
Fundamentals remain positive and opportunities to improve exist
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Almond Outlook
USA
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August 2018 to April 2019 YTD Shipments Update
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US Domestic shipments are up 1.6%
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5 of the last 7 months were record monthly shipments
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US Export shipments are down 2.9%
- China, which is down 33% - Taken up by other markets - Uncommitted Inventory down 15% - Carryover forecast to be very tight 154 -172k MT (6-8 weeks)
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2019 USDA Subjective Estimate Crop 2.50 billion pounds (1.13m MT) - up 8% on 2018
- Crop likely to be two weeks late - Net increase post carry-over around 6%
Australia
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2018/2019 Exports 60,895 MT up 12%
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China sales 12.124MT 19.9% of total exports 2018 prior year 1.7%
Global demand for almonds continues to build and carry-over stock levels remain tight
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2H FY2019 Top 10 Priorities
1. 2020 Crop Horticultural Program – Ensure optimal tree health
2. Successfully Deliver The 2019 Crop – Maximise price and ensure quality standards
3. Cost Reductions - Continue to reduce cost per kg across all production stages
4. Mitigate Water Cost - With increasingly dry conditions, water management is critical
5. Improve Cash Position - Improve working capital and cash conversion rate
6. Growth – Assess organic and other options to deliver additional growth
7. H2E – Maximise financial and environmental benefits (Potash composting)
8. Capital Investment – Prioritise investment to deliver improved quality outcomes
9. Execute Export Growth Strategy - China opportunities in Industrial and Consumer
10. Corporate – Transition to AASB16 Lease Accounting standard
Fundamentals remain positive and opportunities to improve exist
18
Thank you
Please direct any queries to:
Paul Thompson Brad Crump Andrew Angus Managing Director Chief Financial Officer Investor Relations +61 3 9474 3544 +61 3 9474 3544 +61 402 823 757
Please note that background material/data regarding the global almond industry can be found on the Select Harvests website.
www.selectharvests.com.au
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Select Harvests - Financial History
| 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 SHV Historical Summary Units* |
2018 |
|---|---|
| Total Revenue (A$M) 218.0 229.8 224.8 248.7 239.1 250.0 251.3 191.1 188.3 223.6 286.2 242.1 210.2 EBIT (A$M) 38.4 40.5 27.1 26.8 26.0 22.6 19.6 37.7 31.3 89.6 41.3 17.0 34.9 EBIT Margin (EBIT/Sales - %) (%) 17.6% 17.6% 12.1% 10.8% 10.9% 9.0% 7.8% 19.7% 16.6% 40.1% 14.4% 7.0% 16.6% PBT (A$M) 37.9 40.0 25.4 23.0 23.6 18.5 13.4 32.7 26.8 84.3 35.8 12.0 29.5 NPAT (A$M) 26.5 28.1 18.1 16.7 17.3 17.7 9.5 22.9 21.6 59.4 27.9 9.2 20.4 Issued Shares No. of Shares 39.7 38.7 39.0 39.5 39.8 56.2 56.8 57.5 58.0 71.4 72.9 73.6 95.2 Earnings Per Share (AUD Cents per Share) 67.1 71.0 46.7 42.6 43.3 33.7 16.8 40.1 37.5 82.9 46.7 12.6 23.2 Dividend per Share (AUD Cents per Share) 53.0 57.0 45.0 12.0 21.0 13.0 8.0 12.0 20.0 50.0 46.0 10.0 12.0 Payout Ratio (%) 80.0% 80.0% 96.7% 28.2% 48.5% 38.6% 47.6% 29.9% 53.3% 60.3% 98.5% 79.4% 51.7% Net Tangible Assets per Share (A$/Share) 1.83 1.57 1.41 1.56 1.87 2.17 2.19 2.14 2.38 3.35 3.22 2.95 3.34 Net Interest Cover (times) 82.3 75.8 15.6 7.1 10.7 6.7 3.2 7.5 7.0 16.9 7.5 3.4 6.5 Net Debt (A$M) 1.3 1.6 46.8 52.4 45.0 73.1 66.8 79.3 94.8 115.9 68.7 145.8 70.8 Shareholders Equity (A$M) 101.5 95.5 94.1 100.9 113.6 168.8 160.3 159.5 175.4 287.4 290.9 277.6 378.6 Net Debt to Equity Ratio (%) 1.3% 1.7% 49.7% 51.9% 39.6% 43.3% 41.7% 49.7% 54.1% 40.3% 23.6% 52.5% 18.7% Share Price (A$/Share) 13.02 11.60 6.00 2.16 3.46 1.84 2.40 3.90 5.14 11.00 $6.74 $4.90 $6.90 Market Capitalisation (A$M) 517.0 449.4 234.1 85.4 137.6 103.5 120.0 224.3 298.1 785.4 491.5 360.7 657.1 P/E Ratio 19.5 16.0 12.9 5.1 8.0 5.8 12.6 9.8 13.8 13.2 17.6 39.0 32.3 Return on capital employed 25.1% 23.8% 15.2% 8.7% 8.7% 16.6% 10.5% 21.0% 11.2% 4.9% 7.3% |
Source: Company Data
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Almond Orchards – Our productive foundation
Geographic diversity limits exposure to: − Weather − Disease spread − Insect infestation Enables sequential progression of harvest period across regions: − Better farm equipment utilisation − Better processing utilisation − Better labour utilisation
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Secure access to diverse water sources: − River Water − Aquifers Positions the company to maximise harvest volume & reduce variance.
Building world class properties and a globally competitive low cost business.
Select Harvests has a global scale - planted almond orchard portfolio of 18,970 acres
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Select Harvests – Orchard Profile
| Select Harvests Almond orchard portfolio |
Total Planted (as at 31 March 2019) |
|---|---|
| Acres Hectares |
|
| Central region Company Owned Leased |
4,183 1,693 3,422 1,385 |
| Total | 7,605 3,078 |
| Northern Region Company Owned Leased |
1,797 727 3,017 1,221 |
| Total | 4,814 1,948 |
| Southern Region Company Owned Leased |
2,723 1,102 3,828 1,549 |
| Total | 6,551 2,651 |
| Total Company Owned Leased |
8,703 3,522 10,267 4,155 |
| Total | 18,970 7,677 |
Select Harvests is 19% of Australia’s almond acreage
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Targeting an Above Average Yield Per Acre @ Maturity
| Year | Harvest Volume (tonnes) per acre based on 1.2 Tonnes per Acre @ Maturity |
Harvest Volume (tonnes) per acre based on 1.3 Tonnes per Acre @ Maturity |
|---|---|---|
| 1 2 3 4 5 6 |
0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 |
0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 |
| 7+ | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Note:
Biennial Nature of Crop
▪ The almond crop is biannual in nature with +/- 10% per annum variation in tonnage possible
Variation between Regions and Farms
- Yields are not uniform and vary across both farms and growing regions
Post Economic Maturity Yield
- The yield for post economic maturity farms deteriorates as tree age increases
Significant tonnage upside available with a higher yield per acre at maturity
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Tree Nut Pricing
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Almonds are currently the best value in the basket - driving consumption
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Growing Costs
2019 vs 2018 Crop Costs Per Kg
- Overall 2019 Crop costs per Kg have reduced by 8.6%
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Horticultural (excl Water)
Water Harvest Rental Processing Total Crop Costs Per Kg 2018 Crop 2019 Crop
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Yield delivery remains the top priority
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Focus continues from 2018 reductions across all Horticultural expenditure categories
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New technology in the processing centre has increased throughput rates – lower processing costs
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Higher temporary water prices led to a 33.6% increase in the water cost per kg. Management of temporary market purchase decisions and ownership portfolio kept this increase to a minimum
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Further reduction targeted through use of technology
Improved efficiency and increased yields led to further reductions in production cost per kg
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Almond Market Outlook – US Shipments April 2019
| US Export Shipments | US Export Shipments | US Export Shipments | US Export Shipments | US Domestic Shipments | US Domestic Shipments | US Domestic Shipments | US Domestic Shipments | US Total Shipments | US Total Shipments | US Total Shipments | US Total Shipments | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Year | This Year | Growth | Growth | Last Year | This Year | Growth | Growth | Last Year | This Year | Growth | Growth | |
| (million lbs) | (million lbs) | (million lbs) | (%) | (million lbs) | (million lbs) | (million lbs) | (%) | (million lbs) | (million lbs) | (million lbs) | (%) | |
| April | 103.1 | 109.3 | 6.2 | 6.1% | 73.3 | 67.7 | **(5.6) ** | (7.7%) | 176.4 | 177.0 | 0.6 | 0.3% |
| Last 3mth |
370.2 | 362.1 | (8.0) | (2.2%) | 190.3 | 186.8 | **(3.5) ** | (1.9%) | 560.5 | 548.9 | (11.6) | (2.1%) |
| Last 6mth |
822.4 | 826.1 | 3.7 | 0.4% | 364.6 | 369.7 | 5.1 | 1.4% | 1,187.0 | 1,195.8 | 8.8 | 0.7% |
| Last 9mth |
1,246.4 | 1,210.9 | (35.5) | (2.8%) | 546.2 | 555.0 | 8.8 | 1.6% | 1,792.6 | 1,765.9 | (26.7) | (1.5%) |
| Last 12mth |
1,566.8 | 1,481.3 | (85.5) | (5.5%) | 727.6 | 743.5 | 15.9 | 2.2% | 2,294.3 | 2,224.8 | (69.5) | (3.0%) |
| Season | 1,246.4 | 1,210.9 | (35.5) | (2.8%) | 546.2 | 555.0 | 8.8 | 1.6% | 1,792.6 | 1,765.9 | (26.7) | (1.5%) |
Source: Almond Board of California April 2019 Position Report
US Shipments resilient – especially with shipments to China to 30 April YTD being down 33% (52 Mlbs)
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Almond Exports to China
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Data Source: Almond Boards of Australia and California
Australian almond exports to China increased significantly in the 2018 Marketing Year
27
Useful Almond Industry websites
Industry Associations
- Californian Almond Board
www.almondboard.com
- Almond Board of Australia
www.australianalmonds.com.au
Industry Reports
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US Crop Forecasts (Subjective, Objective)
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Monthly Almond Position Reports
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Almond Almanac
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UC Davis Almond Development Costings
http://www.almonds.com/growers/resources/crop-forecasts/tc-NASS-Crop-and-Acreage-Reports http://newsroom.almonds.com/position-reports
http://www.almonds.com/sites/default/files/2017%20Almanac%20Final%20-%20updated%207.5.18.pdf https://coststudies.ucdavis.edu/en/current/commodity/almonds/
Almond Companies
- Blue Diamond Growers
www.bluediamond.com
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Blue Diamond Ingredients
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Almond Insights
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Derco Foods
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RPAC Almonds
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Wonderful Pistachios & Almonds
www.bdingredients.com/category/almond-market-analysis www.almondinsights.com
www.dercofoods.com/en/english-reports/english-almond-reports www.rpacalmonds.com/marketnews www.wonderfulpistachiosandalmonds.com/#ourdifference
Definitions & Explanations
1 – EBITDA & EBIT are Non-IFRS measures used by the company are relevant because they are consistent with measures used internally by management and by some in the investment community to assess the operating performance of the business. The non-IFRS measures have not been subject to audit or review.
28