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Scatec ASA

Investor Presentation Feb 3, 2023

3737_rns_2023-02-03_434cc8a1-7c80-4574-9bcc-74f669f5d623.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Fourth quarter 2022 Optimising portfolio and preparing for further growth

CEO, Terje Pilskog & CFO, Mikkel Tørud

Disclaimer

The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.

The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec ASA or any company within the Scatec Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.

Alternative performance measures (APM) used in this presentation are described and presented in the fourth quarter 2022 report for the group.

Capturing growth opportunities in the green transition

2022: Strong operational performance and accelerating growth

  • Strong operational performance throughout the year
  • Construction start of 1.2 GW in South Africa, Brazil and Pakistan
  • Announced sharpened strategy and new growth targets
  • Executive team expanded to strengthen our regional set-up
  • Impacted by the war in Ukraine

NOK 2.6 billion total prop. EBITDA (-5% YoY)

NOK 2.5 billion equity investment (25% of 2027 target)

4.6 GW in operation and under construction (+38% YoY)

2022: Strong ESG performance

  • Top ESG ratings received
  • Environmental and social assessments finalised for all new projects
  • 80+ community initiatives across our markets
  • Solar, wind and hydropower activities fully aligned with EU Taxonomy
  • Included traceability mapping in Supplier Qualification procedure

Optimising portfolio and preparing for further growth

  • Q4'22 proportionate power production EBITDA increased 7.6% to NOK 821 million (763)
  • Continued high construction activity
  • Signed PPAs for round 5 in South Africa, 273 MW
  • Proposes dividends of NOK 1.94 per share for 2022 and adjusted dividend policy for 2023 and onwards
  • Refinanced USD 100 million of Bridge-to-Bond
  • Selling 258 MW Upington in South Africa for gross proceeds of NOK 569 million

1) EBITDA and other alternative performance measures (APMs) are defined and reconciled as a part of the APM section of the fourth quarter 2022 report on pages 36-39.

Power production impacted by weather variations

548 510 263 188 236 281 600 0 200 400 800 1,000 1,100 979 1,047 GWh Q4'21 Q4'22 -6% Hydro, Philippines Hydro, Laos and Uganda Solar & wind

Power production, GWh Share of power production Q4'22

8

Another strong quarter in the Philippines

  • Power production rising 19% on strong hydrology
  • EBITDA up 21% driven by increased production and continued high power prices
  • FY 2022 EBITDA of NOK 888 million slightly above last year (874)

Average realised spot prices (PHPk/MWh)

Project pipeline and backlog of 16.7 GW across renewable technologies - more than 85% held in our focus markets

Focus on larger projects – average project in pipeline of ~300 MW

High construction activity in South Africa, Brazil and Pakistan

  • Modules substructure foundation and grid connection activities
  • +500 people on site

  • Drainage, foundations, levelling and road works

  • +500 people on site

  • Groundworks, piling and tracker installation ramped up

  • +700 people on site
  • Q4 D&C revenues of NOK 627 million with gross margin of 10%
  • Remaining not recognised D&C revenues of NOK 7.8 billion*

10

*Remaining contract value based on currency rates per the end of the fourth quarter 2022.

Sale of Upington for a consideration of NOK 569 million

- releasing capital from value accretive transaction to finance further growth

Transaction summary

  • Sale of 42% equity stake in 258 MW power plant
  • Total consideration of ZAR 979 million (NOK 569 million)
  • Part of sharpened strategy to optimise portfolio
  • Proceeds to be reinvested into new renewable projects across our markets
  • Estimated accounting gain of about NOK 760 million and NOK 310 million on consolidated and proportionate basis respectively

Continuing to build scale in South Africa through investments into new projects

Our strategy: Develop, build, own and operate renewable energy in emerging markets

Grow Renewables

Advance Green Hydrogen Optimise Portfolio

Financial review

Mikkel Tørud, CFO

Proportionate financials – all segments

NOK million
Revenues Q4'22 Q4'21 FY'22 FY'21
Power Production 1,262 1,073 4,521 3,890
Services 85 66 312 260
Development & Construction 627 18 1,069 137
Corporate 20 11 56 42
Total 1,995 1,169 5,957 4,329
EBITDA
Power Production 821 763 2,835 2,949
Services 16 11 74 75
Development & Construction -20 -57 -221 -223
Corporate -30 -35 -138 -114
Total 786 683 2,550 2,686
EBIT
Power Production 515 511 917 1,977
Services 14 10 68 70
Development & Construction -22 -79 -358 -301
Corporate -40 -42 -167 -140
Total 469 399 460 1,606

Q4'22 vs Q4'21

  • Revenues increased based on higher power sales in the Philippines and D&C revenues from construction activity in South Africa, Brazil and Pakistan
  • EBITDA increased based on improved Power Production and D&C performance
  • EBIT increased with lower impairment of development projects in D&C

14

Revenues from Power Production from 2021 has been adjusted due to change in accounting policy, disclosed in note 10 in Q4'22 report

Consolidated statement of profit and loss

NOK million

Q4'22 Q4'21 FY'22 FY'21
Revenues 773 762 3,002 3,038
Net income/(loss) from JVs and
associated companies
220 276 749 765
Operating expenses -304 -263 -1,196 -900
EBITDA 689 775 2,555 2,903
Depreciation & Amortisation -231 -236 -1,832 -891
Operating profit (EBIT) 458 539 723 2,012
Net financial expenses -875 -301 -1,818 -1,253
Profit before income tax -417 238 -1,095 759
Profit/(loss) for the period -433 136 -1,228 456
Profit/(loss) to Scatec -359 146 -1,334 388
Profit/(loss) to non-controlling interests -74 -11 106 68

Q4'22 vs Q4'21

  • Revenues broadly in line with the same quarter last year
  • Net income from JVs reduced due to lower water volumes in Laos and foreign currency effects
  • EBITDA reduced due to lower net income from JVs and increased operating expenses
  • Net financials cash interest expenses of NOK 414 million currency movements led to non-cash currency losses of NOK 461 million

A solid financial position

  • Available undrawn credit facilities NOK 1.8 billion
  • Group* book equity of NOK 10.6 billion
  • Solid long term cash flow supporting group level debt
  • USD 100 million of the USD 193 million Bridge-to-Bond refinanced with a new term bank loan maturing in Q4 2027**
(NOK
billion)
Consolidated Project
level
Group
level*
Total
Cash 4.1 2.2 1.7 3.9
Debt -23.7 -14.3 -8.0 -22.3
Net debt -19.6 -12.1 -6.2 -18.4

16 (*) Defined as 'recourse group' in the corporate bond and loan agreements, where restricted cash is excluded.

Consolidated financial position (NOK million)

Q4'22 movement of Group's free cash

• Total liquidity available of NOK 3.6 billion (including undrawn credit facilities)

Movement of cash in 'recourse group' as defined in the corporate bond and loan agreements.

2022 dividend proposal

Proposed dividend for 2022

  • 2022 dividend based on current policy to pay minimum 25% of free cash distributed from producing power plants
  • Scatec received distributions from operating plant companies of NOK 1,231 million in 2022
  • The Board of Directors proposes a dividend of NOK 1.94 per share totaling NOK 308 million to be paid in May 2023

Update of dividend policy

  • Board of Directors has decided to decrease the payment ratio to 15% of free cash distributed from producing power plants
  • The dividend will be assessed annually by the board based on Scatec's capital situation
  • New dividend policy to support Scatec's growth ambitions while retaining the objective to pay shareholder dividends

Outlook

Power Production1) Q4'22 Q1'23E FY2023E
Production -
GWh
979 800-900 3,500 –
3,900
EBITDA -
NOK million
821 2,700 –
3,000
  • FY 2023 EBITDA estimates includes NOK 90 million from Ukraine and is adjusted for maintenance in Laos in Q1'23 and sale of the Upington asset
  • Q1'23 EBITDA in the Philippines of NOK 60-100 million based on estimated production of 90-130 GWh and prices broadly in line with previous quarter

Development & Construction

  • Total remaining contract value for plants under construction (revenues) of NOK 7.8 billion with an estimated gross margin of 10-12%
  • D&C revenues based on "percentage of completion" progress following an "S-Curve" during 18-months construction period

Services & Corporate

19

  • Estimated Services 2023 EBITDA of NOK 80 to 90 million
  • Estimated Corporate 2023 EBITDA of NOK -140 to -150 million

1) Proportionate production volume based on production from plants in operations at the end of Q4'22. EBITDA based on currency rates at end of Q4'22.

Overview of change in net debt during the quarter

NOK billion Q3'22 Repayments New debt Change in
cash
Currency
effects
Q4'22
Project level -12.7 0.2 -0.3 0.0 0.6 -12.1
Group level* -5.3 - - -1.3 0.4 -6.2
Total -18.0 0.2 -0.3 -1.3 1.0 -18.4

Project and Group level net interest bearing debt

  • Repayments: Ordinary project debt repayments
  • New debt: NOK 300 million for RMIPPP
  • Change in cash: Primarily net EPC payments for construction
  • Currency effects: Strengthening of NOK against main functional currencies

Proportionate financials – Power Production

NOK million Q4'22 Q4'21 FY'22 FY'21
Power production (GWh) 979 1,047 3,898 3,823
Revenues 1,262 1,073 4,521 3,890
Cost of sales -230 -104 -852 -270
Gross Profit 1,032 968 3,669 3,620
EBITDA 821 763 2,835 2,949
EBIT 515 511 917 1,977
Cash flow to Equity 357 330 1,487 1,640
Cash flow to Equity % of EBITDA 43% 43% 52% 56%

Inflation protection: ~90% of Power Production EBITDA is either in USD/EUR, have partial or full inflation protection through local CPI adjustments, or is based on sales in the local power market (Philippines).

Q4'22 vs Q4'21

  • Revenues increase based on higher sales & prices in the Philippines and foreign currency effects, higher revenue from Ukraine and contribution from new Release assets
  • Gross Profit optimisation of production vs contract sales impacting both revenues and cost of sales with net positive gross margin
  • EBITDA increased in line with higher gross profit - stable EBITDA in % of gross profit
  • 43% of EBITDA converted to Cash flow to Equity in line with last year

Power Production financials – proportionate

Q4'22 Q3'22 Q4'21 2022 2021
Power production (GWh)
Solar & Wind 510 542 513 2,101 2,001
Hydro the Philippines 281 339 235 855 729
Hydro Laos and Uganda 188 254 299 942 1,092
Total 979 1,135 1,047 3,898 3,823
Revenues (NOK million)
Solar & Wind 535 530 509 2,020 1,971
Hydro the Philippines 591 615 416 1,899 1,310
Hydro Laos and Uganda 136 166 148 602 610
Total 1,262 1,311 1,073 4,521 3,890
EBITDA (NOK million)
Solar & Wind 397 383 376 1,409 1,521
Hydro the Philippines 307 375 254 888 874
Hydro Laos and Uganda 117 149 132 539 554
Total 821 907 763 2,835 2,949

23 Revenues from Power Production from 2021 has been adjusted due to change in accounting policy, disclosed in note 10 in Q4'22 report Revenues and EBITDA for Solar & Wind include other asset ownership expenses in the Power Production segment

Plants in operation
MW interest
Theun Hinboun, Laos 525 20%
Magat, Philippines 388 50%
Benban, Egypt 380 51%
Upington, South Africa 258 46%
Bujagali, Uganda 255 28%
Quantum Solar Park, Malaysia 197 100%
Apodi, Brazil 162 44%
Progressovka, Ukraine 148 100%
Binga, Philippines 140 50%
Guanizuil IIA, Argentina 117 50%
Ambuklao, Philippines 105 50%
Kalkbult, South Africa 75 45%
Dreunberg, South Africa 75 45%
Agua Fria, Honduras 60 40%
Chigirin, Ukraine 55 100%
Boguslav, Ukraine 54 100%
Rengy, Ukraine 47 51%
Redsol, Malaysia 47 100%
Jordan, Jordan 43 62%
Linde, South Africa 40 45%
Mocuba, Mozambique 40 53%
Dam Nai, Vietnam 39 100%
Los Prados, Honduras 35 70%
Kamianka, Ukraine 32 61%
Czech, Czech Republic 20 100%
Maris Hydro, Philippines 9 50%
Release 20 100%
Asyv, Rwanda 9 54%
Total 3,375 52%
MW Economic
interest
540 51%
531 33%
150 75%
26 100%
20 50%
47%
MW Economic
interest
51%
273 51%
H
2
260 52%
60 100%
953 54%
Capacity
1,267
Capacity
360
Capacity
MW
Economic
interest
Under construction Capacity
MW
Economic
interest
Project pipeline Capacity
MW
Share in %
Kenhardt, South Africa 540 51% Solar 5,005 32%
Mendubim, Brazil 531 33% Wind 6,223 39%
Sukkur, Pakistan 150 75% Hydro 2,684 17%
Release 26 100% Green Hydrogen 1,500 10%
Philippines 20 50% Release 300 2%
Total 1,267 47% Total 15,712 100%

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