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Scatec ASA

Investor Presentation Nov 3, 2022

3737_rns_2022-11-03_3df25ea0-bfed-4a34-a1c1-e83bdb4e84c5.pdf

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Third quarter 2022

Strong performance driven by the Philippines

CEO, Terje Pilskog & CFO, Mikkel Tørud

Disclaimer

The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.

The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec ASA or any company within the Scatec Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.

Alternative performance measures (APM) used in this presentation are described and presented in the third quarter 2022 report for the group.

Strong performance driven by the Philippines

  • All-time high proportionate EBITDA of NOK 850 million (767)
  • Philippines EBITDA increased 64% to NOK 375 million (228) driven by high production and power prices
  • Construction activities progressing well in South Africa, Brazil and Pakistan
  • Submitted net zero targets to SBTi and awarded A rating on ESG reporting from Position Green
  • Announced sharpened strategy and new growth targets

1) EBITDA and other alternative performance measures (APMs) are defined and reconciled as a part of the APM section of the third quarter 2022 report on pages 36-39.

Production increased 7% from last year - driven by the Philippines - high availability across all operating power plants

Power production, GWh

Share of power production Q3'22

High production and power prices in the Philippines

  • Production 37% above 5-year avg continued high spot prices
  • Quarterly changes driven by hydrology and spot price variability
  • Q4 production 30% above 5-year average at favourable prices
  • 2H'22 EBITDA catching up for 1H'22 as expected

Power production, GWh

5

Construction progressing well in South Africa, Brazil and Pakistan - main purchase orders placed and high activity on sites

  • Groundworks and construction of grid connection started
  • +200 people on site

  • Site clearance, levelling and fencing
  • +500 people on site

  • Site levelling, piling and roadworks
  • +600 people on site

  • Q3 D&C revenues of NOK 412 million representing 4% of initial contract value

  • D&C gross margin of 10% in the quarter
  • Remaining not recognised D&C revenues of NOK 9 billion*

6

*Remaining contract value based on currency rates per the end of the third quarter 2022.

Our strategy: Develop, build, own and operate renewable energy in emerging markets

Grow Renewables

Advance Green Hydrogen Optimise Portfolio

8

We target to invest NOK 10 billion and double Power Production EBITDA

Targets towards 2027

NOK 10 billion Equity investments1

1.2x CoE2 Project equity IRR

NOK+3 billion Power Production EBITDA3

1.5 GW Avg annual capacity additions4

(1) Committed equity for new power plant investments (2) Cost of Equity (3) Additional Annual Proportionate Power Production EBITDA generated from 10 BNOK Equity investment (4) Average gross capacity additions

Project pipeline and backlog of 16 GW across renewable technologies - 80% held in our focus markets

Focus on larger projects

  • Average pipeline project size 350 MW
  • Target average equity investment of NOK 500 million in projects

Financial review

Mikkel Tørud, CFO

11

Proportionate financials – all segments

NOK million
Revenues Q3'22 Q3'21 YTD'22 YTD'21
Power Production 1,311 1,072 3,259 2,816
Services 82 69 227 194
Development & Construction 412 43 441 118
Corporate 13 11 35 31
Total 1,818 1,196 3,962 3,158
EBITDA
Power Production 907 823 2,014 2,186
Services 22 22 58 63
Development & Construction -45 -53 -201 -167
Corporate -34 -25 -107 -79
Total 850 767 1,764 2,004
EBIT
Power Production 616 551 402 1,466
Services 21 21 54 60
Development & Construction -63 -105 -337 -222
Corporate -40 -31 -128 -97
Total 534 436 -8 1,206

Revenues from Power Production from 2021 has been adjusted due to change in accounting policy, disclosed in note 10 in Q3'22 report

Q3'22 vs Q3'21

  • Revenues increase based on higher power sales in the Philippines and D&C revenues from construction activity in South Africa, Brazil and Pakistan
  • EBITDA increased based on improved Power Production and D&C performance partly offset by increased cost in Corporate
  • EBIT increased with lower impairment of development projects in D&C partly offset by higher depreciation in Power Production driven by currency effects

Proportionate financials – Power Production

NOK million Q3'22 Q3'21 YTD'22 YTD'21
Power production (GWh) 1,135 1,065 2,919 2,778
Revenues 1,311 1,072 3,259 2,816
Cost of sales -210 -74 -622 -164
Gross Profit 1,101 999 2,637 2,651
EBITDA 907 823 2,014 2,186
EBIT 616 551 402 1,466
Cash flow to Equity 469 377 1,130 1,310
Cash flow to Equity % of EBITDA 52% 46% 56% 60%

Inflation protection: ~90% of Power Production EBITDA is either in USD/EUR, have partial or full inflation protection through local CPI adjustments, or is based on sales in the local power market (Philippines).

Q3'22 vs Q3'21

  • Revenues increase based on higher sales & prices in the Philippines and foreign currency effects, partly offset by Ukraine and slightly lower production in South Africa
  • Gross Profit optimisation of production vs contract sales impacting both revenues and cost of sales with net positive gross margin
  • EBITDA increased in line with higher gross profit - stable EBITDA in % of gross profit
  • 52% of EBITDA converted to Cash flow to Equity up from 46% last year

A solid financial position

  • Available undrawn credit facilities NOK 2 billion
  • Group* book equity of NOK 11.4 billion
  • Solid long term cash flow supporting group level debt
    • LTM Power Prod. Cash Flow to Equity of NOK 1.5 billion
  • Bridge to bond maturity extended to Q1 2024
    • Strong partnership with Nordea, DNB, Swedbank, BNP Paribas
(NOK
billion)
Consolidated Project
level
Group
level*
Total
Cash 5.5 2.3 3.1 5.5
Debt -24.7 -15.0 -8.5 -23.5
Net debt -19.2 -12.7 -5.3 -18.0

(*) Defined as 'recourse group' in the corporate bond and loan agreements, where

Consolidated financial position (NOK million)

13

Optimising cash flows during the construction phase

  • Q3'22: Received cash payments of 20% and recognised 4% D&C revenues of initial contract value
  • Revenue recognition based on percentage of completion following an S-curve
  • Ensure positive working capital through favourable payment terms and trade finance
  • Further liquidity optimisation by favourable debt terms - debt injected first and equity last in RMIPPP

EPC revenue recognition vs cash flow

Group level free cash up NOK 1.1 billion in Q3

• Total liquidity available of NOK 5.1 billion (including undrawn credit facilities)

Movement of cash in 'recourse group' as defined in the corporate bond and loan agreements.

Short term guidance

Power Production1) Q3'22 Q4'22E FY2022E
Production -
GWh
1,135 1,030-1,130 3,950 –
4,050
EBITDA -
NOK million
907 740-840 2,750 –
2,850
  • 30% above average production in the Philippines in Q4'22
  • FY2022 EBITDA increased by NOK 200 million reflecting Q3 performance, better Q4 performance in the Philippines and currency exchange rate development

Development & Construction

  • Total remaining contract value for plants under construction (revenues) of NOK 9.0 billion with an expected gross margin of 10-12%
  • D&C revenues based on "percentage of completion" progress following an "S-Curve" during 18-months construction period

Services & Corporate

  • Expected Services 2022 EBITDA of NOK 70 to 75 million
  • Expected Corporate 2022 EBITDA of NOK -140 to -145 million
  • 16
  • 1) Proportionate production volume based on production from plants in operations at the end of Q3'22. EBITDA based on currency rates at end of Q3'22.

Overview of change in net debt during the quarter

NOK billion Q2'22 Repayments New debt Change in
cash
Currency
effects
Q3'22
Project level -11.2 0.4 -1.7 0.4 -0.6 -12.7
Group level* -5.9 - - 1.0 -0.4 -5.3
Total -17.2 0.4 -1.7 1.4 -1.0 -18.0

Project and Group level net interest bearing debt

  • Repayments: Ordinary project debt repayments
  • New debt: NOK 1.2 billion for RMIPPP + remaining NOK 0.5 billion PowerChina loan**
  • Change in cash: Power production cash generation + Net EPC payments for construction
  • Currency effects: 5% net increase of cash and debt in line with EBITDA guiding increase for FY 2022

(*)Defined as 'recourse group' in the corporate bond and loan agreements, where restricted cash is excluded.

18 (**) The EUR 44 million remaining portion of the Power China loan was reclassified to interest bearing debt in Q3 and is supported by a parent company guarantee by Scatec ASA. EUR 22 million will be paid in Q4 2023 and EUR 22 million in Q2 2025.

Power Production financials – proportionate

Q3'22 Q2'22 Q3'21 2021
Power production (GWh)
Solar & Wind 542 523 551 2,002
Hydro the Philippines 339 135 214 729
Hydro Laos and Uganda 254 259 299 1,092
Total 1,135 916 1,065 3,823
Revenues (NOK million)
Solar & Wind 530 476 568 1,971
Hydro the Philippines 615 376 335 1,310
Hydro Laos and Uganda 166 163 170 608
Total 1,311 1,015 1,072 3,889
EBITDA (NOK million)
Solar & Wind 383 336 440 1,521
Hydro the Philippines 375 133 228 874
Hydro Laos and Uganda 149 148 155 554
Total 907 617 823 2,949

19 Revenues from Power Production from 2021 has been adjusted due to change in accounting policy, disclosed in note 10 in Q3'22 report Revenues and EBITDA for Solar & Wind include other asset ownership expenses in the Power Production segment

Plants in operation
MW interest
Theun Hinboun, Laos 525 20%
Magat, Philippines 388 50%
Benban, Egypt 380 51%
Upington, South Africa 258 46%
Bujagali, Uganda 255 28%
Quantum Solar Park, Malaysia 197 100%
Apodi, Brazil 162 44%
Progressovka, Ukraine 148 100%
Binga, Philippines 140 50%
Guanizuil IIA, Argentina 117 50%
Ambuklao, Philippines 105 50%
Kalkbult, South Africa 75 45%
Dreunberg, South Africa 75 45%
Agua Fria, Honduras 60 40%
Chigirin, Ukraine 55 100%
Boguslav, Ukraine 54 100%
Rengy, Ukraine 47 51%
Redsol, Malaysia 47 100%
Jordan, Jordan 43 62%
Linde, South Africa 40 45%
Mocuba, Mozambique 40 53%
Dam Nai, Vietnam 39 100%
Los Prados, Honduras 35 70%
Kamianka, Ukraine 32 61%
Czech, Czech Republic 20 100%
Maris Hydro, Philippines 9 50%
Release 20 100%
Asyv, Rwanda 9 54%
Total 3,375 52%
Under construction Capacity MW Economic
interest
Kenhardt, South Africa
Mendubim, Brazil
Sukkur, Pakistan
Release
Philippines
540
531
150
26
20
51%
33%
75%
100%
50%
Total 1,267 47%
Project backlog Capacity
MW
Economic
interest
Tunisia
South Africa
Egypt
Total
H
2
360
273
260
893
51%
51%
52%
51%
Capacity
MW
Economic
interest
Under construction Capacity
MW
Economic
interest
Project pipeline Capacity
MW
Share in %
Kenhardt, South Africa 540 51% Solar 5,504 37%
Mendubim, Brazil 531 33% Wind 6,220 41%
Sukkur, Pakistan 150 75% Hydro 2,519 17%
Release 26 100% Green Hydrogen 500 3%
Philippines 20 50% Release 300 2%
Total 1,267 47% Total 15,043 100%

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