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Scatec ASA — Investor Presentation 2021
Apr 30, 2021
3737_rns_2021-04-30_4b8f9e90-cc48-4435-b1f8-9acf8a2f0b4b.pdf
Investor Presentation
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First quarter 2021
Strong growth and solid cash flow
Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.
The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec ASA or any company within the Scatec Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
The following presentation contains unaudited pro forma financial information which has been prepared solely for illustrative purposes to show how the acquisition of SN Power might have affected the financials of the group if the acquisition had occurred at an earlier date. All pro forma financials in this presentation are unaudited.
Alternative performance measures (APM) used in this presentation are described and presented in the fourth quarter report of the group for 2020.
Agenda
- Highlights and project update Raymond Carlsen, CEO
- Financial review Mikkel Tørud, CFO
- Market & outlook
- Raymond Carlsen, CEO
Q1'21 Strong growth and solid cash flow
- Acquisition of SN Power completed hydro assets contributing with strong growth
- Power production of 854 (349) GWh and EBITDA¹ of NOK 636 (346) million
- Power Production cash flow to equity of NOK 681² (105) million
- Started construction of 150 MW in Pakistan
- 2025 growth target: 15 GW installed - capex of NOK 100 billion
1) EBITDA and other alternative performance measures (APMs) are defined and reconciled as a part of the APM section of the first quarter report on pages 37-40.
4 2) including refinancing proceeds of NOK 397 million
Power production (GWh)
A broad and growing asset portfolio
Mature projects expected to start construction in 2021
Pakistan, 150 MW
- Financial Close in Q1
- 75% leverage
- 75% equity stake
- Construction started in April
Tunisia*, 360 MW
- Backlog
- Tariff awarded
- 75% leverage
- 50-60% target equity stake
South Africa, 600 MW
- Pipeline
- Bid into RMIPP**
- 80% leverage
- 51% equity stake
Brazil, 101 MW
- Backlog
- Blended off-take
- Kroma and Equinor partners
- 60% leverage
- 40% equity stake
Brazil, 530 MW
- Pipeline
- Equinor and Hydro partners
- Negotiating off-take
- 70% leverage
- 33% equity stake
India, 900 MW
- Pipeline
- Tariff awarded
- 75% leverage
- 50% equity stake
- No EPC
* Tozeur and Sidi Bouzid, 60 MWp each and Tataouine, 240 MWp
** RMIPP: Risk Mitigation IPP Procurement Program. REIPPP: Renewables IPP Procurement Program 6
ESG: Maintaining our strong presence in local communities
Ukraine: Online training courses Virtual education courses for about 200 teenagers
Argentina: Women empowerment programme Garment manufacturing to make fleece ponchos
Honduras: Installation of a water tank Installed water tank for 52 families
Jordan: School heating project in Ma'an Solar systems totalling 111.7 KWp for 9 schools
ESG ambitions
32 ESG targets for 2021
Key focus areas
Lifecycle management Strategy for lifecycle management of equipment
Climate target Climate roadmap to reach 2050 targets
Responsible supply chain ESG risk and close engagement with key suppliers
Human rights Strengthen due diligence and training to exposed groups
Financial review
Mikkel Tørud, CFO
Strong growth in revenues and EBITDA
Proportionate financials
Quarterly (NOK million) Last 12 months (NOK million)
EBITDA Revenues Cash Flow to Equity
Growth in Power Production partly offset by D&C
Proportionate financials
| NOK million | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | Q1'21 | Q1'20 | FY2020 |
| Power Production | 924 | 391 | 1,708 |
| Services | 56 | 52 | 232 |
| Development & Construction | 24 | 414 | 873 |
| Corporate | 6 | 8 | 33 |
| Total | 1,010 | 866 | 2,844 |
| EBITDA | |||
| Power Production | 704 | 331 | 1,404 |
| Services | 17 | 16 | 82 |
| Development & Construction | -60 | 15 | -28 |
| Corporate | -25 | -16 | -153 |
| Total | 636 | 346 | 1,306 |
Comments
- Strong growth in Power Production after SN Power acquisition
- Growth despite currency headwinds
- Stable performance in Services
- D&C revenues down with low construction activity and opex increased with development of large project pipeline
- Corporate cost increased moderately with the inclusion of SN Power
Power Production Strong increase in power production
Quarterly (NOK million) Last 12 months (NOK million)
1,777
2,241
1,003
Comments
- New hydro assets adding NOK 367 million of EBITDA from last year
- Strong performance on the Philippines, EBITDA of NOK 243 million - up NOK 117 million from last year
- Solar assets with stable EBITDA generation year on year
- Debt refinancing on the Philippines released cash of NOK 397 million to Scatec
EBITDA margin
Power Production A well diversified power plant portfolio
2020 Pro forma Power Production:
EBITDA: NOK 2,706 million
Cash flow to Equity NOK 1,067 million
Remaining contract duration* 18+ yrs
Pro forma 2020 EBITDA distribution:
(*) Perpetual concession for the hydro assets on the Philippines.
Services Stable financial performance
EBITDA Revenues
Quarterly (NOK million) Last 12 months (NOK million)
Development & Construction Increased project development efforts
Bridging proportionate to consolidated P&L
| Prop ortionate |
Residual Ownership fully consolidated entities |
Elimination of equity consolidated entities |
Other Eliminations |
Consolidated | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| External revenues | 925 | 279 | -511 | - | 693 |
| Internal revenues | 85 | 6 | -3 | -88 | - |
| Net income from JV and associates |
- | - | 138 | - | 138 |
| Total revenues and other income |
1,010 | 284 | -376 | -87 | 831 |
| Cost of sales | -103 | - | 79 | 23 | - |
| Gross profit | 907 | 284 | -295 | -64 | 831 |
| Personnel expenses | -99 | -2 | 12 | 7 | -82 |
| Other operating | |||||
| expenses | -172 | -50 | 43 | 60 | -118 |
| EBITDA | 636 | 232 | -240 | 3 | 631 |
| Depreciation and | |||||
| impairment | -230 | -78 | 77 | 44 | -187 |
| EBIT | 406 | 153 | -162 | 47 | 444 |
Proportionate
• Financials across operating segments – based on Scatec's ownership in power plants
Residual ownership
• Adding financials of non-controlling interest for fully consolidated power plants (solar & wind)
Elimination of equity consolidated entities
- Deducting revenues, EBITDA and EBIT for equity consolidated entities – and adding net income from the same
- Net income from hydro, in IFRS consolidated financials, is reported from 29 January 2021 control transferred under IFRS
Other eliminations
- Eliminating internal gross profit in D&C and internal revenues and related opex in Services and Corporate segments
- Eliminating depreciation charges from historic internal gains – mostly related to D&C
17
A solid financial position
- Group free cash of NOK 2,918 million
- Investments in JVs and associated companies of NOK 9,750 million, increased from NOK 612 million in 2020
- Group* book equity of NOK 11,190 million
| (NOK million) |
Consolidated | Project level |
Group level* |
Total prop. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 4,783 | 1,698 | 2,918 | 4,616 |
| Debt | -19,527 | -11,277 | -7,114 | -18,392 |
| Net debt | -14,744 | -9,580 | -4,196 | -13,776 |
(*) Defined as 'recourse group' in the corporate bond and
Consolidated financial position (NOK million)
Q1'21 movement of the Group's free cash
Movement of cash in 'recourse group' as defined in the corporate bond and loan agreements.
Staying selective when investing
- Focus on capital discipline
- Power Production: Avg. Equity IRR on investments: 12-16%
- 30-year cash flows
- Average across technologies, regions & currencies
- Development & Construction gross margin: 10-12%
- D&C revenues expected to average 50-70% of project capex dependent on Scatec's role in the project
Target of 15 GW by end 2025 representing NOK 100 billion of capex
Capital structure for 12 GW new capacity towards 2025 NOK billion
Scatec Equity funded by cash & operating cash flow NOK billion
Scatec - 2021 Guidance
| Power Production (GWh) Proportionate |
production volume* |
Development & Construction |
FY2021 Services | FY2021 Corporate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2021: 815-865 Up from 406 in Q2 2020 |
FY 2021: 3,500 - 3,700 Up from 3,045 in 2020 |
End of Q1'21: Remaining, not booked, construction contract value NOK 513 million |
Revenues NOK 280 million EBITDA margin: 30-35% |
EBITDA NOK -110 million |
(*) Guidance based on production from plants in operations at the end of first quarter 2021.
Market & outlook
Raymond Carlsen, CEO
4.5 GW by end 2021 and 15 GW by end 2025
GW – In operation and under construction – 100% basis
2021
Delivery of large solar projects in India, Brazil, Tunisia, South Africa & Pakistan
2025
Continued growth in pipeline and conversion of projects across key regions and technologies
Our renewables universe
Project backlog & pipeline of almost 12 GW
Milestone for Release 8.5 MW flexible lease agreement
- Lease agreement with Torex Gold for 8.5 MW solar plant for two projects in Mexico
- Initial contract of 10 years
- The plant can be expanded at any time, including adding battery storage
- Estimated completion in fourth quarter 2021
Hydropower development
– Building on key strengths from SN Power and Scatec
Hydro project development focus:
- Brownfield projects with upgrade potential
- Greenfield with regulation capability
- Hybridisation
Building on key strengths:
- Hydropower competence
- Project development
- Hydropower engineering and construction
- Structuring and financing
- Market operations
- Strong ESG focus and high HSSE standards
- Applying Scatec's integrated business model
Project opportunity in Africa:
Existing hydro portfolio of 260 MW
Opportunity to add 220 MW: Upgrade plant, add hydro capacity, and add floating solar on reservoir
Realising 15 GW by end of 2025
- NOK 100 billion investments
- Proven business model
- Team with a growth track record
- Solid cash flow to fund growth
- ESG at the center
Our asset portfolio
- 3,035 MW in operation
| Under construction | Capacity MW |
Economic interest |
Project backlog | Capacity MW |
Economic interest |
Project pipeline | Capacity MW |
Share in % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sukkur, Pakistan | 150 | 75% | Tunisia | 360 | 100% | Solar | 4,686 | 42% |
| Progressovka, Ukraine | 148 | 100% | Brazil | 101 | 40% | Hydro | 2,516 | 23% |
| Guanizuil IIA, Argentina | 117 | 50% | Ukraine | 65 | 65% | Wind | 1,871 | 17% |
| Chigirin, Ukraine | 55 | 100% | Bangladesh | 62 | 65% | Hybrid solutions | 1,726 | 15% |
| Torex Gold, Mexico | 9 | 100% | Mali | 33 | 64% | Release | 300 | 3% |
| Total | 479 | 78% | Lesotho | 25 | 48% | Total | 11,098 | 100% |
| Total | 646 | 55% |