Second quarter 2021 Strong growth in project backlog and pipeline
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The following presentation contains unaudited pro forma financial information which has been prepared solely for illustrative purposes to show how the acquisition of SN Power might have affected the financials of the group if the acquisition had occurred at an earlier date. All pro forma financials in this presentation are unaudited.
Alternative performance measures (APM) used in this presentation are described and presented in the second quarter and first half 2021 report for the group.
Agenda
- Highlights and project update Raymond Carlsen, CEO
- Financial review Mikkel Tørud, CFO
- Market & outlook
- Raymond Carlsen, CEO
4
Q2'21 Strong growth in project backlog and pipeline
- Power production of 860 (406) GWh and EBITDA¹ of NOK 601 (417) million
- 2.6 GW added to project backlog and pipeline
- First large-scale hybrid (540 MW solar + storage) project awarded in South Africa
- Entering the Indian market secured 900 MW solar plant with local partner
- Moving into offshore wind in Southeast Asia
- 320 MW in Ukraine and Argentina started commercial operation in July
1) EBITDA and other alternative performance measures (APMs) are defined and reconciled as a part of the APM section of the second quarter and first half 2021 report on pages 42-45.
Power production (GWh)
Another 203 MW in commercial operation in Ukraine – 336 MW total
Progressovka, 148 MW
- Annual production: 184 GWh
- 70,000 tonnes GHG emissions to be avoided
- 76,000 households to be powered
Chigirin, 55 MW
- Annual production: 64 GWh
- 25,000 tonnes GHG emissions to be avoided
- 28,000 households to be powered
The 117 MW Guanizuil project in commercial operation
- Scatec's first power plant in Argentina and the second largest solar plant in the country
- The plant is owned and operated 50% by Scatec and 50% by Equinor
- Annual production: 305 GWh
- GHG emissions avoided: 98,000 tonnes/year
- Green energy for 80,000 households
32 ESG targets for 2021 shared in our 2020 Sustainability report
• Status on 1H'21 performance available in the Q2 report
7
ESG ambitions Key focus areas
Lifecycle management
Strategy for lifecycle management of equipment
Climate target Climate roadmap to reach 2050 targets
Responsible supply chain ESG risk and close engagement with key suppliers
Human rights
Strengthen due diligence and training to exposed groups
EU Taxonomy: Low GHG emissions for Scatec's operating hydropower assets
- Lifecycle GHG emissions* from reservoirs estimated by independent third party, International Hydropower Association (IHA)
- Threshold for lifecycle emissions in the Taxonomy: 100 gCO2/kWh
- Lifecycle emissions estimates for Scatec's reservoirs: ranging from 1.2 – 21.6 gCO2/kWh
- "Do no significant harm assessment" in process
Nam Gnouang Reservoir, TPHC, Lao PDR
*Lifecycle GHG emissions: Assessment of greenhouse gas emissions during the entire value chain of a project.
Financial review
Mikkel Tørud, CFO
Strong growth in revenues and EBITDA
Proportionate financials 45% 55% 33% 56% EBITDA margin Quarterly (NOK million) Last 12 months (NOK million) 158 177 417 601 925 Q2 20 Q2 21 1,101 683 808 3,165 1,780 Q2 20 1,630 Q2 21 4,956 Cash Flow to Equity EBITDA Revenues
10 CF to equity in Q1'21 includes NOK 397 million from refinancing of the assets in the Philippines. The 2021 figures include assets from the acquisition of SN Power.
Power Production Strong increase in power production
11 CF to equity: CF to equity in Q1'21 includes NOK 397 million from refinancing of the assets in the Philippines.
Comments
- New hydro assets with revenues of NOK 504 million and EBITDA of NOK 292 million
- EBITDA decreased by NOK 44 million from Q1, mainly explained by a seasonal dryer period and lower own production in the Philippines
- Solar assets with fairly stable revenues and EBITDA generation year on year
Services Stable financial performance
58
73
230
Comments
- Stable contract portfolio
- Underlying EBITDA broadly in line with last year
- EBITDA in Q2 last year included a one-off catch up of NOK 14 million.
Development & Construction Strong project development focus
Quarterly (NOK million) Last 12 months (NOK million)
Comments
- Revenues decreased with lower construction activity
- Construction started on the 150 MW Sukkur project in Pakistan
- Continued high project development activity with major projects in South Africa, India and Brazil
- 1,440 MW matured and moved to backlog in the quarter
Update on the Ukraine portfolio
- Commercial operation achieved for the whole asset portfolio – 336 MW
- Loan agreements to be adjusted based on revised cash flows - in principle agreement in place with lenders for Kamianka and Boguslav - implementation in 2H 2021
- In compliance with all loan agreement covenants for the whole portfolio at end of Q2 2021
A solid financial position
- Group free cash of NOK 2,361 million
- Available undrawn credit facilities NOK 1,588 million
- Group* book equity of NOK 11,061 million
(NOK million) |
Consolidated |
Project level |
Group level* |
Total prop. |
| Cash |
4,192 |
1,664 |
2,361 |
4,025 |
| Debt |
-19,530 |
-12,539 |
-7,179 |
-19,718 |
| Net debt |
-15,337 |
-10,875 |
-4,818 |
-15,693 |
(*) Defined as 'recourse group' in the corporate bond and loan agreements, where
Consolidated financial position (NOK million)
15
Q2'21 movement of the Group's free cash
Staying selective when investing
- Focus on capital discipline
- Power Production: Avg. Equity IRR on investments: 12-16%
- 30-year cash flows
- Average across technologies, regions & currencies
- Development & Construction gross margin: 10-12%
- D&C revenues expected to average 50-70% of project capex dependent on Scatec's role in the project
Scatec - 2021 Guidance
Power Production (GWh) Proportionate production volume* |
|
Development & Construction |
FY2021 Services |
FY2021 Corporate |
|
Q3 2021: 970-1,040 |
FY 2021: 3,600 - 3,750 |
End of Q2'21: Remaining, not booked, construction |
Revenues NOK 260 million |
EBITDA NOK -110 million |
|
Up from 430 in Q3 2020 |
Up from 3,045 in 2020 |
contract value NOK 490 million |
EBITDA margin: 30-35% |
|
|
Based on seasonal variations, the EBITDA from the Philippines in second half 2021 is normally 20-30% higher than in first half of the year. |
|
|
|
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(*) Guidance based on production from plants in operations at the end of second quarter 2021..
Market & outlook
Raymond Carlsen, CEO
BNEF's Green scenario The world to be powered by renewables in 2050
4.6x
Increase in global electricity demand (from 2019)
89%
Power generation covered by renewables
Fossil fuels from 68% to 13% of final energy consumption¹
USD 840 bn
Annual renewables investments²
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Outlook 2021. 1) Total energy consumed by end users,. 20 2) Annualised based on BNEF's mid point invstment estimate.
IEA report: Hydropower - a critical contributor to the green energy transition
- Additional 477 GW of hydropower capacity needs to be built globally by 2030 to achieve IEA's net zero scenario
- 75% of capacity from large-scale projects in Asia and Africa
- Until 2030, USD 127 billion or ¼ of investments in modernising ageing plants
- Hydropower can be stored and be dispatched to match demand as well as provide system stability
- Combined with wind and solar, hydropower offers unmatched flexibility in renewable power production
- Scatec well positioned:
- Hydropower and hybrids project pipeline of 3.3 GW
- Track record across multiple technologies
IEA: International Energy Agency
Technology integration strengthens renewables & expands market potential
PV and/or wind with battery storage to provide stable renewable power
Firm Renewable Power Hybridising PV and hydro Release Power to X
PV installations mounted on floating supports on the artificial basin of a hydro dam
Redeployable PV systems to replace diesel and HFO generators as standard solution
Competitive renewable power as enabler of infrastructure and industrial projects
Project backlog & pipeline of more than 14 GW
Solar+storage hybrid project in South Africa A breakthrough for our large scale hybrid solutions
- The Kenhardt project will be one of the largest PV and battery plants in the world
- Project competed successfully in a technology agnostic bidding process
- The only bid exclusivity making use of renewable energy technology
- Our integrated approach strengthens competitiveness of renewables and expands market potential
The project:
- Government requirement: Deliver 150 MW capacity between 5:00am and 21:30pm – all year
- Scatec's solution: A 540 MW solar plant + 225MW/1140MWh Storage facility
- Ca. USD 1 billion capex investment
- Fixed 'Capacity Payments' over 20 years
Entering India with 900 MW – a key growth market for renewables
- Scatec has partnered with ACME, a leading solar developer, to realise a 900 MW solar plant in India
- Pursuing long-term partnerships and upcoming tenders/auctions
- India is targeting 450 GW of new renewable energy capacity by 2030:
- Opportunities for large-scale renewables, including hydropower and hybrid solutions
- Round-the-clock tenders, corporate PPAs and hydrogen
- Indian operation up and running
Scatec moves into offshore wind in Southeast Asia
- Vietnam and the Philippines our key focus
- Attractive offshore wind conditions
- Aggressive long term renewable energy growth plans
- Target to secure 4 GW of development rights
• The Philippines
- 750 MW of exclusive development rights signed with the Dep. Of Energy
- Another 1 GW of development rights expected to be awarded and signed in second half 2021
• Vietnam
- Sites for 2 GW under development
- Development rights to be awarded post PDP8 announcement
Realising 15 GW by end of 2025
- Delivering on 2021 targets
- Construction activity ramping up 2H'21
- Positive market and pipeline development
- Broad technology platform
- Solid basis for 15 GW growth plan
Our asset portfolio
| Plants in operation |
|
Capacity |
Economic |
|
|
|
MW |
interest |
|
| Theun Hinboun, Laos |
|
525 |
20% |
|
| Magat, Philippines |
|
388 |
50% |
|
| Benban, Egypt |
|
380 |
51% |
|
| Upington, South Africa |
|
258 |
46% |
|
| Bujagali, Uganda |
|
255 |
28% |
|
| Quantum Solar Park, Malaysia |
|
197 |
100% |
|
| Apodi, Brazil |
|
162 |
44% |
|
| Progressovka, Ukraine |
|
148 |
100% |
|
| Binga, Philippines |
|
140 |
50% |
|
| Guanizuil IIA, Argentina |
|
117 |
50% |
|
| Ambuklao, Philippines |
|
105 |
50% |
|
| Kalkbult, South Africa |
|
75 |
45% |
|
| Dreunberg, South Africa |
|
75 |
45% |
|
| Agua Fria, Honduras |
|
60 |
40% |
|
| Chigirin, Ukraine |
|
55 |
100% |
|
| Boguslav, Ukraine |
|
54 |
100% |
|
| Rengy, Ukraine |
|
47 |
51% |
|
| Redsol, Malaysia |
|
47 |
100% |
|
| Jordan, Jordan |
|
43 |
62% |
|
| Linde, South Africa |
|
40 |
45% |
|
| Mocuba, Mozambique |
|
40 |
53% |
|
| Dam Nai, Vietnam |
|
39 |
100% |
|
| Los Prados, Honduras |
|
35 |
70% |
|
| Kamianka, Ukraine |
|
32 |
61% |
|
| Czech, Czech Republic |
|
20 |
100% |
|
| Maris Hydro, Philippines |
|
9 |
50% |
|
| Asyv, Rwanda |
|
9 |
54% |
|
| Total |
|
3,355 |
52% |
|
| Under construction |
Capacity MW |
|
Economic interest |
| Sukkur, Pakistan |
|
150 |
75% |
Torex Gold, Mexico |
|
9 |
100% |
| Total |
|
159 |
76% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capacity |
Economic |
| Project backlog |
|
MW |
interest |
|
|
|
|
| India |
|
900 |
50% |
| South Africa |
|
540 |
51% |
| Tunisia |
|
360 |
55% |
| Brazil |
|
101 |
40% |
| Ukraine |
|
65 |
65% |
| Bangladesh |
|
62 |
65% |
| Mali |
|
33 |
64% |
| Lesotho |
|
20 |
48% |
| Total |
|
2,081 |
54% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capacity |
Share in % |
| Project pipeline |
|
MW |
|
|
|
|
|
| Solar |
|
6,082 |
49% |
| Wind |
|
2,620 |
21% |
| Hydro |
|
2,428 |
20% |
| Hybrid solutions |
|
858 |
7% |
| Release |
|
300 |
3% |
| Total |
|
12,288 |
100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|