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Scatec ASA — Investor Presentation 2019
Jan 25, 2019
3737_rns_2019-01-25_f29ccb0e-4d9c-4d14-8b8e-99a4b78c19da.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Fourth quarter 2018
Oslo, 25 January 2019
Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.
The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec Solar ASA or any company within the Scatec Solar Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Solar Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Solar Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
Agenda
• Highlights and project update
Raymond Carlsen, CEO
• Financial review
Mikkel Tørud, CFO
• Summary and Outlook
Raymond Carlsen, CEO
Installation of bi-facial solar panels at the 400 MW project in Egypt.
Q4'18: Solid operational performance and strong financial results
- Q4'18 proportionate revenues of NOK 1,666 million and EBITDA of NOK 329 million
- D&C revenues of NOK 1,466 million and EBITDA of NOK 202 million – gross margin of 16%
- 162 MW in Brazil and 65 MW in Malaysia reached commercial operation
- Construction start for projects in Argentina, Malaysia and Ukraine totaling 241 MW
- The Board of directors has proposed dividends of NOK 0.95 per share
The 65 MW Gurun solar plant in Malaysia.
Record achievements in 2018
- Strong conversion rate from pipeline to backlog and construction
- Financial close and construction start for new projects in five countries totaling 539 MW
- Three new solar plants in commercial operation totaling 262 MW – bringing the total to 584 MW in operation
- Exceeding the target set for end 2018
Highlights 2018 Proportionate financials
| (NOK million) | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 4,725 | 1,680 | 1,174 |
| EBITDA | 961 | 792 | 376 |
| D&C Revenues | 4,005 | 1,054 | 604 |
| D&C gross margin | 15% | 42% | 11% |
• EBITDA up 2.6x from 2016 to 2018
A robust portfolio of 584 MW in operation
Jordan, 43 MW Czech, 20 MW
Rwanda, 9 MW
Another 1,071 MW under construction in six countries
South Africa, 258 MW
Egypt, 400 MW Jasin & Merchang, Malaysia, 130 MW Argentina, 117 MW
Ukraine, 77 MW Redsol, Malaysia, 47 MW
Mozambique, 40 MW
Financial review
Mikkel Tørud, CFO
Q4'18: Strong financial results across all business segments
Proportionate revenues by segment (NOK million)
Proportionate EBITDA by segment (NOK million)
Power Production
2018: Building a solid asset portfolio with attractive long term cash flows
Delivering on the 2018 guidance and targets
Presented at Q4'17, January 2018:
Power Production New power plants in commercial operation - increasing revenues & EBITDA
Revenues EBITDA
Operation & Maintenance Steady underlying operations – seasonal variations impacting results
Development & Construction Construction activities at all time high – delivering steady margins
Revenues EBITDA
Note: The gross profit for 2017 was positively affected by the NOK 375 million gain on the partial sale of the Apodi project in Brazil.
A solid financial position
- Equity investments of about NOK 1.7 billion in the construction portfolio in 2018
- Group free cash of NOK 1,039 million + NOK 500 million available through undrawn credit facilities
- Group* book equity strengthened to NOK 3,095 million equity ratio of 81%
| NOK million | Consolidated | SSO prop. Share |
Group level* |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 3,303 | 2,588 | 1,039 |
| Interest bearing liabilities* | -9,750 | -6,772 | -743 |
| Net debt | -6,447 | -4,214 | -296 |
Consolidated financial position (NOK million)
Current assets Non-current assets Equity Current liabilities Non-current liabilities
Q4'18 movement of free cash at group level
2018 movement of free cash at group level
Short term guidance
- 2019 O&M revenues of NOK 110-120 million with an EBITDA margin of around 30%
- D&C value for 1.1 GW under construction: NOK 8.4 billion
- Remaining NOK 4.8 billion value to be recognised
- Power production volumes from plants in operation:
| GWh | Q4'18 | Q1'19e | 2019e |
|---|---|---|---|
| Proportionate | 108 | 140-160 | 575-625 |
| 100% basis | 224 | 260-300 | 1,050-1,150 |
• IFRS 16 lease - implemented from 2019
The 35 MW Los Prados plant in Honduras.
There is a significant value of solar power plants post Power Purchase Agreements
Post PPA value:
- Power Purchase Agreements of 20-25 years
- Technical life of solar plants of 35+ years
- Scatec Solar have secured land rights for 35+ years
- Market power prices are expected continue to increase – especially across emerging markets
- After 20 years the marginal cost of solar power production is very limited
- Fully depreciated and debt free plants
- No fuel cost
- Limited cost of operation & maintenance
The 40 MW Linde plant in South Africa.
Outlook and summary
Raymond Carlsen, CEO
Solar is one of the most competitive sources of energy
- The levelized cost of solar has come down 83% since 2010 – industry scale and technology
- Solar is now the lowest cost source of energy across the sun-rich regions globally
- Storage and hybrid solutions are expected to become increasingly important for demand
- New business propositions are emerging when solar is cost competitive with base load
Cost of alternative energy sources (LCOE, USD/MWh)
Pipeline strengthened to 4.5 GW across our target markets
- Pipeline increased by more than 600 MW over the last quarter
- Systematic project development efforts in a number of key markets
Several attractive market opportunities with corporate off-takers
- Power generation at large solar plants
- Distribution through the grid
- Regulation for grid access required
Wheeling Captive – net-metering Off grid - Hybrids
- Power generation at or next to customer site
- Legal framework and financing structure important for returns
-
Relevant in all regions for large consumers
-
Off-grid large consumers often relying on diesel generated power (250 GW in Africa)
- Integrate solar with batteries & diesel gensets
- Relevant in Africa, Latin America and SE-Asia
Corporates active on renewables in OECD, but slower adaption in emerging markets
RE100 members
Source: RE100.org
- RE100 is a global initiative with 100 influential businesses
- Committed to sourcing 100% renewable electricity
- The companies consume 188TWh annually
Percentage of electricity sourced from renewables per region
• Sourcing of renewables is high in Europe and US due to de-regulated markets and available wheeling regimes and good tracking of origination
Sustainability and HSSE status 2018
Project highlights
- Honduras: Grid connected the Los Prados plant with strong community and stakeholder efforts after experiencing social unrest locally
- Mozambique: Successfully implemented a livelihood restoration program for 220 households in line with the IFC Performance Standards
- Egypt: Strong efforts with Environmental & Social work streams to ensure compliance to international standards and requirements
HSSE facts
- Delivered 6.3 million work hours across 10 projects in 9 countries
- Lost time incidents: 3
- Around 6,000 jobs created mainly unskilled and local labour The Los Prados plant in Honduras.
Stronger global commitment and reporting
- Global commitment: Became a signatory to the UN Global Compact
- Climate reporting: Preparing to report to the Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) in May 2019
- UN Sustainable Development Goals: Focusing on our core business and our direct contributions to selected goals
- Sustainability reporting: Ranked amongst the top 15 leading companies of the 100 largest listed companies in Norway
Solid operational performance and strong financial results
Target end '21: in operation and under construction 1,057 MW 584 Pipeline 225 Under construction 1,071 In operation Backlog 4,454 3,500
We will more than double installed capacity
Summary • Effective execution of current project portfolio 1.1 GW under construction plus additional volumes to be secured in 2019 • Secure growth in priority regions Pipeline increased by more than 600 MW over the last quarter • Broaden commercial and technology scope 2019 expected to be a break-through for corporate PPAs • Optimize financing and asset portfolio to enhance value Selective asset rotation as portfolio grows over time
Consolidated profit & loss
| NOK MILLION | Q4 18 | Q4 17 | FY 18 | FY 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues and other income | 343.9 | 281.5 | 1 213.2 | 1,491.5 |
| OPEX | -86.6 | -74.1 | -310.7 | -250.2 |
| EBITDA | 257.3 | 207.4 | 902.5 | 1,241.3 |
| Depreciation, amortization and | ||||
| impairment | -70.6 | -59.8 | -273.3 | -248.1 |
| Operating profit | 186.7 | 147.6 | 629.2 | 993.2 |
| Interest, other financial income | 12.7 | 10.4 | 197.3 | 51.2 |
| Interest, other financial expenses | -164.0 | -146.7 | -518.3 | -523.8 |
| Foreign exchange gain/(loss) | 59.2 | 0.7 | 15.1 | -59.8 |
| Net financial expenses | -92.1 | -135.6 | -305.9 | -532.3 |
| Profit before income tax | 94.7 | 12.0 | 323.3 | 460.9 |
| Income tax (expense)/benefit | -18.8 | -13.4 | -97.4 | -23.0 |
| Profit/(loss) for the period | 75.9 | -1.4 | 225.8 | 437.9 |
| Profit/(loss) attributable to: | ||||
| Equity holders of the parent | 45.4 | -34.9 | 139.8 | 339.1 |
| Non -controlling interests |
30.5 | 33.5 | 86.0 | 98.8 |
| Basic earnings per share (NOK) | 0.40 | -0.34 | 1.29 | 3.36 |
| Diluted earnings per share (NOK) | 0.40 | -0.34 | 1.28 | 3.35 |
Consolidated cash flow statement
| NOK MILLION | Q4 18 | Q4 17 | FY 18 | FY 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operations | 183.7 | 175.9 | 1,248.2 | 844.1 |
| Net cash flow from investments | -1 268.1 | -536.0 | -3,732.1 | -874.1 |
| Net cash flow from financing | 2 230.0 | 1 931.8 | 2 856.8 | 1 639.8 |
| Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | 1 145.5 | 1 571.7 | 372.9 | 1 609.8 |
| Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents | 116.4 | 172.5 | 66.7 | 116.1 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period | 2 040.7 | 1 118.9 | 2 863.1 | 1 137.2 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period | 3 302.6 | 2 863.1 | 3 302.6 | 2 863.1 |
Proportionate: Segment results – Q4'18
| Q4 2018 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Power | Operation & | Development & | |||
| NOK MILLION | Production | Maintenance | Construction | Corporate | Total |
| Revenues | 180 | 15 | 1,466 | 5 | 1,666 |
| Gross profit | 180 | 15 | 232 | 5 | 432 |
| EBITDA | 139 | 2 | 202 | -14 | 329 |
| EBITDA % | 77% | 12% | 14% | - | 20% |
| EBIT | 88 | 2 | 201 | -15 | 276 |
| EBIT (%) | 49% | 13% | 14% | - | 17% |
| Q4 2017 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Power | Operation & | Development & | |||
| NOK MILLION | Production | Maintenance | Construction | Corporate | Total |
| Revenues | 132 | 15 | 294 | 4 | 444 |
| Gross profit | 132 | 15 | 38 | 4 | 188 |
| EBITDA | 107 | 4 | 10 | -15 | 106 |
| EBITDA % | 81% | 25% | 3% | - | 24% |
| EBIT | 68 | 4 | 7 | -15 | 66 |
| EBIT (%) | 52% | 25% | 2% | - | 15% |
Proportionate: Segment results – Q4'18
| PROPORTIONATE | RESIDUAL | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POWER | OPERATION & | DEVELOPMENT & | OWNERSHIP | |||||
| NOK MILLION | PRODUCTION | MAINTENANCE | CONSTRUCTION | CORPORATE | TOTAL | INTERESTS | ELIMINATIONS | CONSOLIDATED |
| External revenues | 169.2 | 0.2 | - | - | 169.5 | 141.9 | - | 311.4 |
| Internal revenues | 10.9 | 14.6 | 1,466.5 | 4.6 | 1,496.6 | 111.1 | -1,607.7 | - |
| Net gain/(loss) from sale of project assets | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income from JV and associated companies | - | - | -0.7 | 0.4 | -0.3 | - | 32.8 | 32.5 |
| Total revenues and other income | 180.2 | 14.8 | 1,465.8 | 5.0 | 1,665.7 | 253.0 | -1,574.9 | 343.9 |
| Cost of sales | - | - | -1,233.5 | - | -1,233.5 | -12.7 | 1,246.2 | - |
| Gross profit | 180.2 | 14.8 | 232.3 | 5.0 | 432.2 | 240.4 | -328.7 | 343.9 |
| Personnel expenses | -6.3 | -6.8 | -12.9 | -12.5 | -38.6 | -0.1 | 0.9 | -37.9 |
| Other operating expenses | -34.7 | -6.1 | -17.1 | -6.3 | -64.2 | -3.9 | 19.3 | -48.7 |
| EBITDA | 139.1 | 1.8 | 202.3 | -13.8 | 329.4 | 236.4 | -308.5 | 257.3 |
| Depreciation and impairment | -51.5 | -0.2 | -0.9 | -0.8 | -53.5 | -33.8 | 16.7 | -70.6 |
| Operating profit | 87.6 | 1.6 | 201.4 | -14.6 | 276.0 | 202.5 | -291.8 | 186.7 |
Proportionate: Project companies' financials – Q4'18
| Q4 2018 NOK MILLION |
CZECH REPUB. |
SOUTH AFRICA |
RWANDA | HONDURAS | JORDAN | BRAZIL | MALAYSIA | OTHER | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 14 | 102 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 180 |
| OPEX | -4 | -9 | -1 | -5 | -3 | -3 | -1 | -16 | -41 |
| EBITDA | 10 | 93 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 3 | -4 | 139 |
| EBITDA margin | 74 % | 91 % | 68 % | 72 % | 83 % | 68 % | 74 % | -37 % | 77 % |
| Net interest expenses1 | -5 | -29 | -2 | -4 | -7 | -1 | - | 4 | -44 |
| Normalised loan repayments1 | -7 | -15 | -1 | -5 | -6 | -1 | -1 | - | -36 |
| Normalised income tax payments1 | 1 | -13 | - | - | - | -1 | - | 2 | -11 |
| Cash flow to equity | -1 | 37 | -1 | 8 | -1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 48 |
| SSO economic interest | 100% | 45% | 54% | 51% | 60% | 44 % | 100 % |
| Q4 2017 | CZECH | SOUTH | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK MILLION | REPUB. | AFRICA | RWANDA | HONDURAS | JORDAN | BRAZIL | MALAYSIA | OTHER | TOTAL |
| Revenues | 11 | 85 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - | - | 5 | 132 |
| OPEX | -3 | -7 | -1 | -2 | -2 | - | - | -11 | -25 |
| EBITDA | 8 | 78 | 4 | 9 | 13 | - | - | -5 | 107 |
| EBITDA margin | 69 % | 107 % | 46 % | 32 % | 54 % | N/A | N/A | 80 % | |
| Net interest expenses1 | -5 | -24 | -1 | -4 | -7 | - | - | - | -41 |
| Normalised loan repayments1 | -6 | -11 | -2 | -5 | -4 | - | - | - | -28 |
| Normalised income tax payments1 | 1 | -11 | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | -9 |
| Cash flow to equity | -2 | 32 | 1 | - | 2 | - | - | -4 | 30 |
| SSO economic interest | 100% | 39% | 54% | 40% | 60% | - | - |