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Scatec ASA

Investor Presentation Jan 25, 2019

3737_rns_2019-01-25_f29ccb0e-4d9c-4d14-8b8e-99a4b78c19da.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Fourth quarter 2018

Oslo, 25 January 2019

Disclaimer

The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.

The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec Solar ASA or any company within the Scatec Solar Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Solar Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Solar Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.

Agenda

Highlights and project update

Raymond Carlsen, CEO

Financial review

Mikkel Tørud, CFO

Summary and Outlook

Raymond Carlsen, CEO

Installation of bi-facial solar panels at the 400 MW project in Egypt.

Q4'18: Solid operational performance and strong financial results

  • Q4'18 proportionate revenues of NOK 1,666 million and EBITDA of NOK 329 million
  • D&C revenues of NOK 1,466 million and EBITDA of NOK 202 million – gross margin of 16%
  • 162 MW in Brazil and 65 MW in Malaysia reached commercial operation
  • Construction start for projects in Argentina, Malaysia and Ukraine totaling 241 MW
  • The Board of directors has proposed dividends of NOK 0.95 per share

The 65 MW Gurun solar plant in Malaysia.

Record achievements in 2018

  • Strong conversion rate from pipeline to backlog and construction
  • Financial close and construction start for new projects in five countries totaling 539 MW
  • Three new solar plants in commercial operation totaling 262 MW – bringing the total to 584 MW in operation
  • Exceeding the target set for end 2018

Highlights 2018 Proportionate financials

(NOK million) 2018 2017 2016
Revenues 4,725 1,680 1,174
EBITDA 961 792 376
D&C Revenues 4,005 1,054 604
D&C gross margin 15% 42% 11%

• EBITDA up 2.6x from 2016 to 2018

A robust portfolio of 584 MW in operation

Jordan, 43 MW Czech, 20 MW

Rwanda, 9 MW

Another 1,071 MW under construction in six countries

South Africa, 258 MW

Egypt, 400 MW Jasin & Merchang, Malaysia, 130 MW Argentina, 117 MW

Ukraine, 77 MW Redsol, Malaysia, 47 MW

Mozambique, 40 MW

Financial review

Mikkel Tørud, CFO

Q4'18: Strong financial results across all business segments

Proportionate revenues by segment (NOK million)

Proportionate EBITDA by segment (NOK million)

Power Production

2018: Building a solid asset portfolio with attractive long term cash flows

Delivering on the 2018 guidance and targets

Presented at Q4'17, January 2018:

Power Production New power plants in commercial operation - increasing revenues & EBITDA

Revenues EBITDA

Operation & Maintenance Steady underlying operations – seasonal variations impacting results

Development & Construction Construction activities at all time high – delivering steady margins

Revenues EBITDA

Note: The gross profit for 2017 was positively affected by the NOK 375 million gain on the partial sale of the Apodi project in Brazil.

A solid financial position

  • Equity investments of about NOK 1.7 billion in the construction portfolio in 2018
  • Group free cash of NOK 1,039 million + NOK 500 million available through undrawn credit facilities
  • Group* book equity strengthened to NOK 3,095 million equity ratio of 81%
NOK million Consolidated SSO prop.
Share
Group level*
Cash 3,303 2,588 1,039
Interest bearing liabilities* -9,750 -6,772 -743
Net debt -6,447 -4,214 -296

Consolidated financial position (NOK million)

Current assets Non-current assets Equity Current liabilities Non-current liabilities

Q4'18 movement of free cash at group level

2018 movement of free cash at group level

Short term guidance

  • 2019 O&M revenues of NOK 110-120 million with an EBITDA margin of around 30%
  • D&C value for 1.1 GW under construction: NOK 8.4 billion
  • Remaining NOK 4.8 billion value to be recognised
  • Power production volumes from plants in operation:
GWh Q4'18 Q1'19e 2019e
Proportionate 108 140-160 575-625
100% basis 224 260-300 1,050-1,150

• IFRS 16 lease - implemented from 2019

The 35 MW Los Prados plant in Honduras.

There is a significant value of solar power plants post Power Purchase Agreements

Post PPA value:

  • Power Purchase Agreements of 20-25 years
  • Technical life of solar plants of 35+ years
  • Scatec Solar have secured land rights for 35+ years
  • Market power prices are expected continue to increase – especially across emerging markets
  • After 20 years the marginal cost of solar power production is very limited
  • Fully depreciated and debt free plants
  • No fuel cost
  • Limited cost of operation & maintenance

The 40 MW Linde plant in South Africa.

Outlook and summary

Raymond Carlsen, CEO

Solar is one of the most competitive sources of energy

  • The levelized cost of solar has come down 83% since 2010 – industry scale and technology
  • Solar is now the lowest cost source of energy across the sun-rich regions globally
  • Storage and hybrid solutions are expected to become increasingly important for demand
  • New business propositions are emerging when solar is cost competitive with base load

Cost of alternative energy sources (LCOE, USD/MWh)

Pipeline strengthened to 4.5 GW across our target markets

  • Pipeline increased by more than 600 MW over the last quarter
  • Systematic project development efforts in a number of key markets

Several attractive market opportunities with corporate off-takers

  • Power generation at large solar plants
  • Distribution through the grid
  • Regulation for grid access required

Wheeling Captive – net-metering Off grid - Hybrids

  • Power generation at or next to customer site
  • Legal framework and financing structure important for returns
  • Relevant in all regions for large consumers

  • Off-grid large consumers often relying on diesel generated power (250 GW in Africa)

  • Integrate solar with batteries & diesel gensets
  • Relevant in Africa, Latin America and SE-Asia

Corporates active on renewables in OECD, but slower adaption in emerging markets

RE100 members

Source: RE100.org

  • RE100 is a global initiative with 100 influential businesses
  • Committed to sourcing 100% renewable electricity
  • The companies consume 188TWh annually

Percentage of electricity sourced from renewables per region

• Sourcing of renewables is high in Europe and US due to de-regulated markets and available wheeling regimes and good tracking of origination

Sustainability and HSSE status 2018

Project highlights

  • Honduras: Grid connected the Los Prados plant with strong community and stakeholder efforts after experiencing social unrest locally
  • Mozambique: Successfully implemented a livelihood restoration program for 220 households in line with the IFC Performance Standards
  • Egypt: Strong efforts with Environmental & Social work streams to ensure compliance to international standards and requirements

HSSE facts

  • Delivered 6.3 million work hours across 10 projects in 9 countries
  • Lost time incidents: 3
  • Around 6,000 jobs created mainly unskilled and local labour The Los Prados plant in Honduras.

Stronger global commitment and reporting

  • Global commitment: Became a signatory to the UN Global Compact
  • Climate reporting: Preparing to report to the Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) in May 2019
  • UN Sustainable Development Goals: Focusing on our core business and our direct contributions to selected goals
  • Sustainability reporting: Ranked amongst the top 15 leading companies of the 100 largest listed companies in Norway

Solid operational performance and strong financial results

Target end '21: in operation and under construction 1,057 MW 584 Pipeline 225 Under construction 1,071 In operation Backlog 4,454 3,500

We will more than double installed capacity

SummaryEffective execution of current project portfolio 1.1 GW under construction plus additional volumes to be secured in 2019 • Secure growth in priority regions Pipeline increased by more than 600 MW over the last quarter • Broaden commercial and technology scope 2019 expected to be a break-through for corporate PPAs • Optimize financing and asset portfolio to enhance value Selective asset rotation as portfolio grows over time

Consolidated profit & loss

NOK MILLION Q4 18 Q4 17 FY 18 FY
17
Total revenues and other income 343.9 281.5 1 213.2 1,491.5
OPEX -86.6 -74.1 -310.7 -250.2
EBITDA 257.3 207.4 902.5 1,241.3
Depreciation, amortization and
impairment -70.6 -59.8 -273.3 -248.1
Operating profit 186.7 147.6 629.2 993.2
Interest, other financial income 12.7 10.4 197.3 51.2
Interest, other financial expenses -164.0 -146.7 -518.3 -523.8
Foreign exchange gain/(loss) 59.2 0.7 15.1 -59.8
Net financial expenses -92.1 -135.6 -305.9 -532.3
Profit before income tax 94.7 12.0 323.3 460.9
Income tax (expense)/benefit -18.8 -13.4 -97.4 -23.0
Profit/(loss) for the period 75.9 -1.4 225.8 437.9
Profit/(loss) attributable to:
Equity holders of the parent 45.4 -34.9 139.8 339.1
Non
-controlling interests
30.5 33.5 86.0 98.8
Basic earnings per share (NOK) 0.40 -0.34 1.29 3.36
Diluted earnings per share (NOK) 0.40 -0.34 1.28 3.35

Consolidated cash flow statement

NOK MILLION Q4 18 Q4 17 FY 18 FY 17
Net cash flow from operations 183.7 175.9 1,248.2 844.1
Net cash flow from investments -1 268.1 -536.0 -3,732.1 -874.1
Net cash flow from financing 2 230.0 1 931.8 2 856.8 1 639.8
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 1 145.5 1 571.7 372.9 1 609.8
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents 116.4 172.5 66.7 116.1
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period 2 040.7 1 118.9 2 863.1 1 137.2
Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period 3 302.6 2 863.1 3 302.6 2 863.1

Proportionate: Segment results – Q4'18

Q4 2018
Power Operation & Development &
NOK MILLION Production Maintenance Construction Corporate Total
Revenues 180 15 1,466 5 1,666
Gross profit 180 15 232 5 432
EBITDA 139 2 202 -14 329
EBITDA % 77% 12% 14% - 20%
EBIT 88 2 201 -15 276
EBIT (%) 49% 13% 14% - 17%
Q4 2017
Power Operation & Development &
NOK MILLION Production Maintenance Construction Corporate Total
Revenues 132 15 294 4 444
Gross profit 132 15 38 4 188
EBITDA 107 4 10 -15 106
EBITDA % 81% 25% 3% - 24%
EBIT 68 4 7 -15 66
EBIT (%) 52% 25% 2% - 15%

Proportionate: Segment results – Q4'18

PROPORTIONATE RESIDUAL
POWER OPERATION & DEVELOPMENT & OWNERSHIP
NOK MILLION PRODUCTION MAINTENANCE CONSTRUCTION CORPORATE TOTAL INTERESTS ELIMINATIONS CONSOLIDATED
External revenues 169.2 0.2 - - 169.5 141.9 - 311.4
Internal revenues 10.9 14.6 1,466.5 4.6 1,496.6 111.1 -1,607.7 -
Net gain/(loss) from sale of project assets - - - - - - - -
Net income from JV and associated companies - - -0.7 0.4 -0.3 - 32.8 32.5
Total revenues and other income 180.2 14.8 1,465.8 5.0 1,665.7 253.0 -1,574.9 343.9
Cost of sales - - -1,233.5 - -1,233.5 -12.7 1,246.2 -
Gross profit 180.2 14.8 232.3 5.0 432.2 240.4 -328.7 343.9
Personnel expenses -6.3 -6.8 -12.9 -12.5 -38.6 -0.1 0.9 -37.9
Other operating expenses -34.7 -6.1 -17.1 -6.3 -64.2 -3.9 19.3 -48.7
EBITDA 139.1 1.8 202.3 -13.8 329.4 236.4 -308.5 257.3
Depreciation and impairment -51.5 -0.2 -0.9 -0.8 -53.5 -33.8 16.7 -70.6
Operating profit 87.6 1.6 201.4 -14.6 276.0 202.5 -291.8 186.7

Proportionate: Project companies' financials – Q4'18

Q4 2018
NOK MILLION
CZECH
REPUB.
SOUTH
AFRICA
RWANDA HONDURAS JORDAN BRAZIL MALAYSIA OTHER TOTAL
Revenues 14 102 2 22 15 10 4 11 180
OPEX -4 -9 -1 -5 -3 -3 -1 -16 -41
EBITDA 10 93 2 16 12 7 3 -4 139
EBITDA margin 74 % 91 % 68 % 72 % 83 % 68 % 74 % -37 % 77 %
Net interest expenses1 -5 -29 -2 -4 -7 -1 - 4 -44
Normalised loan repayments1 -7 -15 -1 -5 -6 -1 -1 - -36
Normalised income tax payments1 1 -13 - - - -1 - 2 -11
Cash flow to equity -1 37 -1 8 -1 4 2 1 48
SSO economic interest 100% 45% 54% 51% 60% 44 % 100 %
Q4 2017 CZECH SOUTH
NOK MILLION REPUB. AFRICA RWANDA HONDURAS JORDAN BRAZIL MALAYSIA OTHER TOTAL
Revenues 11 85 4 11 15 - - 5 132
OPEX -3 -7 -1 -2 -2 - - -11 -25
EBITDA 8 78 4 9 13 - - -5 107
EBITDA margin 69 % 107 % 46 % 32 % 54 % N/A N/A 80 %
Net interest expenses1 -5 -24 -1 -4 -7 - - - -41
Normalised loan repayments1 -6 -11 -2 -5 -4 - - - -28
Normalised income tax payments1 1 -11 - - - - - 1 -9
Cash flow to equity -2 32 1 - 2 - - -4 30
SSO economic interest 100% 39% 54% 40% 60% - -

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