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Scatec ASA

Investor Presentation Oct 19, 2018

3737_rns_2018-10-19_26eae9eb-1302-4f5a-8da6-35b314987988.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Disclaimer

The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.

The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec Solar ASA or any company within the Scatec Solar Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Solar Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Solar Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.

Agenda

Highlights and project update

Raymond Carlsen, CEO

Financial review

Mikkel Tørud, CFO

Summary and Outlook

Raymond Carlsen, CEO

High construction activity and increased backlog

  • Q3'18 proportionate revenues of NOK 1,259 million and EBITDA of NOK 257 million
  • D&C revenues of NOK 1,077 million and EBITDA of NOK 130 million
  • 35 MW Los Prados plant in Honduras grid connected and in commercial operation
  • Secured 121 MW of new backlog projects in Ukraine
  • Year to date cash distributions from operating assets of NOK 188 million
  • Increased ownership in the three operating plants in South Africa

Our second solar plant in Honduras in commercial operation

Los Prados solar plant

  • Capacity 35MW
  • Equity partnership with Norfund
  • 20-year power purchase agreement with state-owned utility ENEE
  • Annual production 73,000 MWh
  • Providing energy for more than 16,300 households

ENEE: Empresa Nacional de Energía Eléctrica.

Five projects totalling 1,057 MW under construction

Egypt, 400 MW

Malaysia, 197 MW Brazil, 162 MW Mozambique, 40 MW

South Africa, 258 MW

Increasing project backlog to 251 MW in Ukraine

Solar in Ukraine

  • Aiming to change energy mix replace nuclear reactors and reduce supply of Russian gas – 11% renewables by 2020
  • FiT of 15 €cents/kWh until 2030 for renewable energy embedded in law and backed by international community
  • Financing from DFIs with EBRD and others available

Scatec Solar in Ukraine

  • Projects with total capacity of 251 MW secured
  • Target grid connection towards end of 2019
  • Additional pipeline of 220 MW

Key facts

  • Feed-in Tariff 15 €cents/kWh
  • Tariff valid until 2029
  • Yield: 1,200 1,400 hours per year

Solid project backlog and pipeline of 4.3 GW

Financial review

Mikkel Tørud, CFO

High construction activities - steady increase in cash generation

Power Production Improved performance – especially in Czech Republic

Operation & Maintenance Stable operations – ready to operate new power plants

Development & Construction High construction activities – satisfactory margins

Revenues EBITDA

Note: The gross profit in third quarter 2017 was positively affected by the NOK 375 million gain on the partial sale of the Apodi project in Brazil.

A solid financial position

  • Equity investments of about NOK 1.4 billion in the construction portfolio over the last 18 months
  • Group free cash of NOK 489 million + NOK 500 million available through undrawn credit facilities
  • Group* book equity strengthened to NOK 2,900 million equity ratio of 80%
NOK million Consolidated SSO prop.
Share
Group level*
Cash 2,041 1,444 489
Interest bearing liabilities* -7,136 -4,537 -742
Net debt -5,095 -3,093 -253

Consolidated financial position (NOK million)

Current assets Non-current assets Equity Current liabilities Non-current liabilities

* As defined in the corporate bond and loan agreements

Q3'18 movement of free cash at group level

Stable project cash flows based on PPAs - allowing for a non-recourse debt structure

Managing financial risk

Financial targets and guidance

  • 2018 O&M revenues of NOK 80-85 million with an EBITDA margin of around 40%
  • Total D&C contract value of projects under construction of about NOK 8.0 billion
  • Around 50% of the D&C contract value is expected to recognised in 2018 – balance in 2019
  • Power production volumes:
GWh Q3'18 Q4'17 Q4'18e
Proportionate 73 71 105-115
100% basis 155 167 220-240

Short term guidance Targets and guidance 2021

D&C contribution of NOK 2.0 – 2.5 billion

Annual cash flow from operating solar plants of NOK 750 – 850 million

D&C gross margin; 12-15%

Equity IRR on power plant investments; 15%

Summary and Outlook

Raymond Carlsen, CEO

Increase installed capacity to above 3.5 GW by end 2021

Effective execution of current project portfolio

Secure growth in priority regions

Broaden commercial and technology scope Optimise financing and asset portfolio to enhance value

Targeting 3.5 GW by end of 2021

Consolidated profit & loss

NOK MILLION Q3 18 Q3 17 YTD 18 YTD 17 FY
17
Total revenues and other income 294.2 654.9 869.3 1,210.0 1,491.5
OPEX 73.6 -60.4 -224.1 -176.2 -250.2
EBITDA 220.6 594.5 645.2 1,033.8 1,241.3
Depreciation, amortization and
impairment
-78 -60.3 -202.7 -188.2 -248.1
Operating profit 142.6 534.3 442.5 845.6 993.2
Interest, other financial income 60.5 11.1 206.5 40.8 51.2
Interest, other financial expenses -121.5 -119.3 -376.3 -377.1 -523.8
Foreign exchange gain/(loss) -21.7 -14.3 -44.1 -60.5 -59.8
Net financial expenses -82.7 122.5 -213.9 -396.8 -532.3
Profit before income tax 59.9 411.8 228.6 448.9 460.9
Income tax (expense)/benefit -24.0 -5.0 -78.6 -9.6 -23.0
Profit/(loss) for the period 35.9 406.8 150.0 439.3 437.9
Profit/(loss) attributable to:
Equity holders of the parent 14.4 383.0 94.5 374.0 339.1
Non-controlling interests 21.5 23.8 55.5 65.3 98.8
Basic and diluted EPS (NOK) 0.13 3.71 0.88 3.73 3.36

Consolidated cash flow statement

NOK MILLION Q3 18 Q3 17 YTD 18 YTD 17 FY 17
Net cash flow from operations 60.7 190.9 1,064.6 668.2 844.1
Net cash flow from investments -655.6 -192.4 -2,464.0 -338.1 -874.1
Net cash flow from financing 244.4 -129.4 626.8 -292.0 1,639.8
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents -350.6 -130.9 -772.7 38.1 1,609.8
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents -38.1 -58.9 -49.7 -56.4 116.1
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period 2,429.4 1,308.8 2,863.1 1,137.2 1,137.2
Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period 2,040.7 1,118.9 2,040.7 1,118.9 2,863.1

Segment results – Q3'18

Q3 2018
NOK MILLION
Power
Production
Operation &
Maintenance
Development &
Construction
Corporate Total
Revenues 155 22 1,077 4 1,259
Gross profit 155 22 160 4 342
EBITDA 127 11 130 -11 257
EBITDA % 82% 50% 12% - 20%
EBIT 89 11 113 -12 200
EBIT (%) 57% 50% 10% - 16%
Q3 2017
Power Operation & Development &
NOK MILLION Production Maintenance Construction Corporate Total
Revenues 141 20 760 3 924
Gross profit 141 20 405 3 569
EBITDA 119 9 384 -11 500
EBITDA % 84% 45% 50% - 54%
EBIT 81 9 383 -11 461
EBIT (%) 57% 45% 50% - 50%

Segment results – Q3'18

PROPORTIONATE RESIDUAL
POWER OPERATION & DEVELOPMENT & OWNERSHIP
NOK MILLION PRODUCTION MAINTENANCE CONSTRUCTION CORPORATE TOTAL INTERESTS ELIMINATIONS CONSOLIDATED
External revenues 145.9 - - - 145.9 137.5 - 283.4
Internal revenues 9.5 22.1 1,077.2 4.2 1,113.0 78.3 -1,191.3 -
Net gain/(loss) from sale of project assets - - - - - - - -
Net income from JV and associated companies - - - - - - 10.7 10.7
Total revenues and other income 155.4 22.1 1,077.2 4.2 1,259.0 215.8 -1,180.6 294.2
Cost of sales - - -916.9 - -916.9 1.3 915.6 -
Gross profit 155.4 22.1 160.3 4.2 342.1 217.1 -265.0 294.2
Personnel expenses -3.0 -5.8 -13.0 -9.7 -31.4 - - -31.5
Other operating expenses -25.7 -5.4 -16.8 -6.0 -53.9 -17.4 29.3 -42.1
EBITDA 126.8 10.9 130.4 -11.5 256.7 199.7 -235.8 220.6
Depreciation and impairment -37.8 -0.2 -17.9 -0.8 -56.7 -36.6 15.4 -78.0
Operating profit 89.0 10.8 112.5 -12.3 200.0 163.0 -220.4 142.6

Project companies' financials – Q3'18

Q3 2018
NOK MILLION
CZECH
REPUBLIC
SOUTH AFRICA RWANDA HONDURAS JORDAN OTHER TOTAL
SSO economic interest 100% 39% 54% 40% 60%
Revenues 42 64 2 12 26 11 155
OPEX -3 -10 -1 -2 -3 -10 -29
EBITDA 39 54 1 9 23 -1 127
Net
interest expenses
-5 -22 -1 -4 -6 3 -35
Normalised loan repayments -6 -14 -1 -5 -6 - -32
Normalised income tax payments -4 -5 - - -1 -3 -13
Cash flow to equity 22 14 -1 0 11 1 47
Q3 2017
NOK MILLION
CZECH
REPUBLIC
SOUTH AFRICA RWANDA HONDURAS JORDAN OTHER TOTAL
SSO economic interest 100% 39% 54% 40% 60%
Revenues 33 68 4 11 23 3 141
OPEX -3 -9 -1 -1 -1 -6 -22
EBITDA 30 59 3 9 22 -4 119
Net
interest expenses
-5 -26 -1 -4 -7 1 -42
Normalised loan repayments -6 -12 -2 -5 -4 - -28
Normalised income tax payments -3 -5 - - - 1 -8
Cash flow to equity 17 17 0 1 10 -2 42

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